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  • 1
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-06-21
    Beschreibung: Measurements of kinetic energy in vortical and divergent fluctuations in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere can be used to study stratified turbulence (ST) and gravity waves. This can be done using horizontal correlation functions of the fluctuating component of velocity. This study introduces a novel method for estimating these correlation functions using radars that observe Doppler shifts of ionized specular meteor trails. The technique solves the correlation functions directly on a longitudinal‐transverse‐up coordinate system, assuming axial symmetry. This procedure is more efficient and leads to smaller uncertainties than a previous approach. The new technique is applied to a year‐long data set from a multistatic specular meteor radar network in Germany, to study the annual variability of kinetic energy within turbulent fluctuations at 87–93 km of altitude. In monthly averages, the kinetic energy is found to be nearly equipartitioned between vortical and divergent modes. Turbulent fluctuations maximize during the winter months with approximately 25% more energy in these months than at other times. The horizontal correlation functions are in agreement with the inertial subrange of ST, exhibiting a 2/3 power law in the horizontal lag direction, with an outermost scale of ST to be about 380 km. This suggests that horizontal correlation functions could be used to estimate turbulent energy transfer rates.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Flows exhibit a phenomenon called turbulence, which transfers energy from large scales into smaller scales. This effect is important to quantify the energy budget of the Earth's upper atmosphere. The range of length scales where this phenomenon occurs is called the inertial subrange of turbulence. The classical theory of isotropic turbulence predicts that this energy transfer occurs on length scales smaller than ∼100 m, at 60–110 km altitude. Recent work has shown that horizontal velocity fluctuations can extend the inertial subrange to length scales of up to hundreds of kilometers horizontally. This type of turbulence is called stratified turbulence (ST). So far no comprehensive study has been made to experimentally examine ST in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) region on horizontal mesoscales. This study introduces a method for doing so by measuring how the wind fluctuations are correlated as a function of horizontal separation. This is achieved by using meteor radar measurements. The technique is applied to a year‐long data set over Germany. It is found that the MLT wind fluctuations are compatible with ST theory. The introduced method could potentially be used for routinely measuring how kinetic energy flows from large‐scale to small‐scale atmospheric fluctuations.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: A more efficient estimator for horizontal correlation functions is introduced. The rotational and divergent correlation functions of mesosphere and lower thermosphere wind fluctuations are found to be balanced at horizontal mesoscales. Horizontal correlations of wind fluctuations follow a 2/3‐power law for horizontal separations of up to 300–400 km.
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: French Ministry of Foreign and European Affairs
    Beschreibung: Leibniz SAW project FORMOSA
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; mesosphere ; lower thermosphere ; wind fluctuations
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 2
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-10-26
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Atmospheric gravity waves play an important role in driving the dynamics of the Mesosphere and Lower Thermosphere and the basic structure of this region is determined by momentum deposition of these waves. Mesospheric bores are a type of non‐linear response that cause the amplification of gravity wave, due to trapping, that is characterized by a propagating step‐like jump followed by undulating waves. They require a stable layer or duct to travel horizontally with little attenuation thereby capable of transporting wave energy and momentum over larger distances. We present a prominent bright undular bore event observed in the mesospheric O(〈sup〉1〈/sup〉S), O〈sub〉2〈/sub〉, and OH emission layers on 16 March 2021 over Germany. A striking feature of this observation is the capture of bore's rapid dissipation around the center of the imager's field of view. The vertical temperature profile obtained from the satellite data indicates the presence of temperature inversion layer which acted as a thermal duct for the bore propagation. In addition, we have performed idealized two dimensional direct numerical simulations (DNS) of Navier‐Stokes equations under Boussinesq approximation. The DNS results reproduce many important characteristics of the observed airglow event like the nonlinear wave‐steepening, number of trailing waves, and its dissipation by implementing a thermal duct and a wave‐like perturbation. Furthermore, the DNS results also indicate that the duct width and amplitude of the initial perturbation have a considerable effect on the bore morphology.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Observation of a mesospheric bright bore event that dissipated within the field of view〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉The duct that enabled the bore propagation was near the O(〈sup〉1〈/sup〉S) emission layer based on the observational data〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉The majority of the observed features are reproduced with idealized 2D direct numerical simulations using Boussinesq approximation〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: Alexander von Humboldt‐Stiftung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100005156
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.22000/809
    Beschreibung: http://sirius.bu.edu/data/
    Beschreibung: http://saber.gats-inc.com/coin.php
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; bores ; direct numerical simulations ; gravity waves ; inversion layers
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 3
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-12-05
    Beschreibung: Cloud ice particle effective radius in atmospheric models is usually parametrized. A widely‐used parametrization comprises a strong dependence on the temperature. Utilizing available satellite‐based estimates of both cloud ice particle effective radius and cloud‐top temperature we evaluate if a similar temperature‐dependence exists in these observations. We find that for very low cloud‐top temperatures the modeled cloud ice particle effective radius generally agrees on average with satellite observations. For high sub‐zero temperatures however, the modeled cloud ice particle effective radius becomes very large, which is not seen in the satellite observations. We conclude that the investigated parametrization for the cloud ice particle effective radius, and parametrizations with a similar temperature dependence, likely produce systematic biases at the cloud top. Supporting previous studies, our findings suggest that the vertical structure of clouds should be taken into account as factor in potential future updates of the parametrizations for cloud ice particle effective radius.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Atmospheric models are often used to diagnose and predict the atmospheric state including clouds. One very important property of clouds that consist of ice particles is the cloud ice particle effective radius. This ice effective radius is based on assumptions about the size and shapes of the ice particles in clouds, and thus parametrized, and is one of the important variables needed for calculating the effect of clouds on electromagnetic radiation, in particular on the solar radiation that enters the Earth's atmosphere. In our study we found that the parametrized ice effective radius agrees well on average and global scale with the ice effective radius inferred from satellite observations for cold clouds. However, we also found that for warmer ice clouds the parametrized ice effective radius is much higher than in satellite observations. Our study suggests that parametrizations of the ice effective radius used in atmospheric models show potential for improvements.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Comparisons of modeled cloud ice particle effective radius with satellite observations are presented. For very low cloud temperatures the modeled cloud ice particle effective radius agrees on average with satellite observations. Modeled large cloud ice particle effective radii for high sub‐zero temperatures are not found in satellite observations.
    Beschreibung: European Space Agency http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000844
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7445152
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5676/DWD/ESA_Cloud_cci/AVHRR-PM/V003
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5676/EUM_SAF_CM/CLARA_AVHRR/V002
    Beschreibung: http://doi.org/10.5067/MODIS/MYD06_L2.NRT.061
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; clouds ; ice particle effective radius ; parametrization ; model ; satellite observations
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 4
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-11-23
    Beschreibung: The climatologies of the stratopause height and temperature in the UA‐ICON model are examined by comparing them to 17‐years (2005–2021) of Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) observations. In addition, the elevated stratopause (ES) event occurrence, their main characteristics, and driving mechanisms in the UA‐ICON model are examined using three 30‐year time‐slice experiments. While UA‐ICON reasonably simulates the large‐scale stratopause properties similar to MLS observations, at polar latitudes in the Southern Hemisphere the stratopause is ∼8 K warmer and ∼3 km higher than observed. A time lag of about two months also exists in the occurrence of the tropical semiannual oscillation of the stratopause compared to the observations. ES events occur in ∼20% of the boreal winters, after major sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs). Compared to the SSWs not followed by ES events (SSW‐only), the ES events are associated with the persistent tropospheric forcing and prolonged anomalies of the stratospheric jet. Our modeling results suggest that the contributions of both gravity waves (GW)s and resolved waves are important in explaining the enhanced residual circulation following ES events compared to the SSW‐only events but their contributions vary through the lifetime of ES events. We emphasize the role of the resolved wave drag in the ES formation as in the sensitivity test when the non‐orographic GW drag is absent, the anomalously enhanced resolved wave forcing in the mesosphere gives rise to the formation of the elevated stratopause at about 85 km.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Using 17 years (2005–2021) of Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) observations, we show negative (cooling stratopause temperatures and decreasing stratopause heights) trends in most regions and seasons. The largest negative trend in the stratopause temperature (by considering all regions and all seasons) is found in the Southern Hemisphere (SH)'s polar region during austral spring. The seasonal average of cooling rates is comparable in the mid‐latitudes of Northern Hemisphere and SH. In the UA‐ICON simulations, the elevated stratopause events (ESEs) occur after major sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs). ESEs frequency is 2 events per decade in UA‐ICON simulations. Our results show that the wind reversal is stronger and long‐lasting in the ESEs compared to SSW‐only events. In addition, the easterlies extend to the mesosphere in the composites of ESEs, but the reversed winds are limited to below 60 km in the case of SSW‐only events. We show that the non‐orographic gravity wave drag induces anomalous residual circulation after SSW that causes the ESEs. We also show that the ESEs form even in the absence of non‐orographic gravity wave drag. In this case, the anomalous residual circulation is due to the anomalously enhanced resolved wave forcing in the mesosphere that gives rise to the formation of the ESEs at about 85 km.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: The largest stratopause trend is found in the Southern Hemisphere polar region during austral springbased on Microwave Limb Sounder observations. The suppression of gravity waves in UA‐ICON reveals the importance of resolvedwaves and their ability to compensate missing drag. In the polar regions, the simulated stratopause is too warm and the tropical semi‐annual oscillation is about two months out of phase.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
    Beschreibung: Transregional Collaborative Research Centre
    Beschreibung: GACR
    Beschreibung: MS‐GWaves
    Beschreibung: https://code.mpimet.mpg.de/projects/iconpublic
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.26050/WDCC/UAICON_timesl_ctrl
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.26050/WDCC/UAICON_timesl_nonon
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.26050/WDCC/UAICON_timesl_nosso
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; gravity waves ; elevated stratopause ; middle atmosphere
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 5
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-11-23
    Beschreibung: In this work, we introduce a method for constraining the optical scattering models of natural ice crystals based on in‐situ measurements. Specifically the measured angular scattering functions for ice crystals can be used to compute a set of the asymmetry parameter (g) and the corresponding complexity parameter (C〈sub〉p〈/sub〉). It is demonstrated that the g‐C〈sub〉p〈/sub〉 relation can give valuable information on the morphology of ice crystal. The validity of the methods is shown from theoretical perspectives and the geometric‐optics ray‐tracing simulations. As an application, we investigate rimed ice crystals from in‐situ measurements and found that (a) the C〈sub〉p〈/sub〉 parameter is very well correlated with the surface riming degree and (b) only those models with both roughness and internal scattering can explain the observed g‐C〈sub〉p〈/sub〉 relation for rimed particles.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Light scattering models of ice crystals are important for remote sensing and climate studies. Yet, many physical parameters, such as shape, aspect ratio, and inhomogeneity of the ice crystal can impose significant uncertainty in the single‐scattering properties predicted by light scattering models. To reduce such uncertainty and constrain the physical parameters in modeling, we introduce a novel method by analyzing the in‐situ measurement of the phase functions of ice crystals. We demonstrate the validity and usefulness of the method using both geometric ray‐tracing simulations and a case study on rimed crystals from two campaigns.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: A method is developed for analyzing in‐situ polar nephelometer measurements, aiming for constraining the light scattering models for natural ice crystal. Validity of the method is demonstrated by geometric‐optics ray‐tracing simulations and in‐situ measurements. A case study of rimed crystals measured in‐situ during two aircraft field campaigns using the Particle Habit Imaging and Polar Scattering probe is presented.
    Beschreibung: Helmholtz Association's Initiative and Networking Fund
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.902611
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5065/D6639NKQ
    Beschreibung: https://zenodo.org/badge/latestdoi/440147565
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; light scattering ; ice crystals
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 6
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-07-20
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉The dryness of the stratosphere is the result of air entering through the cold tropical tropopause layer (TTL). However, our understanding of the moisture flux partitioning into water vapor and frozen hydrometeors is incomplete. This raises concerns regarding the ability of General Circulation Models to accurately predict changes in stratospheric water vapor following perturbations in the radiative budget due to volcanic aerosol or stratospheric geoengineering. We present the first results using a global storm‐resolving model investigating the sensitivity of moisture fluxes within the TTL to an additional heating source. We address the question how the partitioning of moisture fluxes into water vapor and frozen hydrometeors changes under perturbations. The analysis reveals the resilience of the TTL, keeping the flux partitioning constant even at an average cold‐point warming exceeding 8 K. In the control and perturbed simulations, water vapor contributes around 80% of the moisture entering the stratosphere.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: The stratosphere is a dry region since moisture entering it from below has to pass the cold‐point, a temperature minimum between troposphere and stratosphere. The low temperatures lead to ice formation and sedimentation of moisture. Frozen moisture within clouds rising above the cold‐point tropopause can pass this temperature barrier and be injected into the stratosphere, where temperatures increase again, promoting the melting and sublimation of ice crystals. However, little is known about the sensitivity of the split of moisture entering the stratosphere into frozen and non‐frozen moisture, especially under external influences, like heating by volcanic aerosol or stratospheric geoengineering efforts. Convective parameterizations in conventional simulations can lead to biases. The emerging km‐scale simulations, which explicitly resolve the physical processes, offer the unique possibility to study moisture fluxes under external forcing while circumventing the downsides of parameterizations. Here, the sensitivity of the moisture flux partitioning into non‐frozen and frozen components to an additional heating source is studied for the first time in global storm‐resolving simulations. The analysis reveals an unaltered flux partitioning even at an average cold‐point warming exceeding 8 K. In the control and perturbed simulations, water vapor contributes around 80% of the moisture entering the stratosphere.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points:Water vapor dominates the stratospheric moisture budget with a contribution of around 80% in global storm‐resolving simulation. The partitioning of stratospheric moisture fluxes into vapor and frozen hydrometeors remains stable under large temperature perturbations.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: Fueglistaler Group
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; stratospheric water vapor ; tropopause ; perturbation ; moisture budget ; geoengineering ; volcano
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 7
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-07-28
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉The Lagrangian representation of fluid flows offers a natural perspective to study many kinds of physical mechanisms. By contrast, the Eulerian representation is more convenient from a diagnostic point of view. This article attempts to combine elements of both worlds by proposing an Eulerian method that allows one to extract Lagrangian information about the atmospheric flow. The method is based on the offline advection of passive tracer fields and includes a relaxation term. The latter device allows one to run the integration in a continuous fashion without the need for reinitialization. As a result one obtains accumulated Lagrangian information, for example, about the recent parcel displacement or the recent parcel‐based diabatic heating, at each point of an Eulerian grid at any time step. The method is implemented with a pseudospectral algorithm suitable for gridded global atmospheric data and compared with the more traditional trajectory method. The method's utility is demonstrated on the basis of a few examples, which relate to cloud formation and the development of temperature anomalies. The examples highlight that the method provides a convenient diagnostic of parcel‐based changes, paving an intuitive way to explore the physical processes involved. Due to its gridpoint‐based nature, the proposed method can be applied to large data sets in a straightforward and computationally efficient manner, suggesting that the method is particularly useful for climatological analyses.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: 〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉The Lagrangian representation of fluid flows offers the most natural perspective to study many kinds of physical mechanisms; by contrast, the Eulerian representation is more convenient from a diagnostic point of view. This article attempts to combine elements of both worlds by proposing an Eulerian method that allows one to extract Lagrangian information about the atmospheric flow. The method enables one to easily produce a sequence of maps showing accumulated Lagrangian changes. 〈boxed-text position="anchor" id="qj4453-blkfxd-0001" content-type="graphic" xml:lang="en"〉〈graphic position="anchor" id="jats-graphic-1" xlink:href="urn:x-wiley:00359009:media:qj4453:qj4453-toc-0001"〉 〈/boxed-text〉〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; air‐parcel approach ; atmospheric fluid dynamics ; atmospheric transport ; Eulerian tracer technique ; Lagrangian analysis ; Lagrangian tracking ; synoptic‐scale meteorology ; trajectories
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 8
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-07-21
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Gravity waves (GW) carry energy and momentum from the troposphere to the middle atmosphere and have a strong influence on the circulation there. Global atmospheric models cannot fully resolve GWs, and therefore rely on highly simplified GW parametrizations that, among other limitations, account for vertical wave propagation only and neglect refraction. This is a major source of uncertainty in models, and leads to well‐known problems, such as the late break‐up of polar vortex due to the “missing” GW drag around 60°S. To investigate these phenomena, GW observations over Southern Andes were performed during SouthTRAC aircraft campaign. This paper presents measurements from a SouthTRAC flight on 21 September 2019, including 3‐D tomographic temperature data of the infrared limb imager GLORIA (8–15 km altitude) and temperature profiles of the ALIMA lidar (20–80 km altitude). GLORIA observations revealed multiple overlapping waves of different wavelengths. 3‐D wave vectors were determined from the GLORIA data and used to initialize a GW ray‐tracer. The ray‐traced GW parameters were compared with ALIMA observations, showing good agreement between the instruments and direct evidence of oblique (partly meridional) GW propagation. ALIMA data analysis confirmed that most waves at 25–40 km altitudes were indeed orographic GWs, including waves seemingly upstream of the Andes. We directly observed horizontal GW refraction, which has not been achieved before SouthTRAC. Refraction and oblique propagation caused significant meridional transport of horizontal momentum as well as horizontal momentum exchange between waves and the background flow all along the wave paths, not just in wave excitation and breaking regions.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Gravity waves (GW) are temperature and wind disturbances in the atmosphere that carry energy and momentum from troposphere to the middle atmosphere and have a strong influence on the circulation there. Global atmospheric models currently cannot adequately represent GW propagation: the facts that GWs can change wavefront orientation (refraction) and travel horizontally (and not just vertically) are typically neglected. This leads to important known model inaccuracies, for example, too low temperatures in southern polar regions. SouthTRAC aircraft measurement campaign observed GWs exited by wind flow over the Southern Andes in September–November 2019. Temperature measurements were conducted with the IR spectrometer GLORIA (provided 3‐D data) and the ALIMA lidar instrument. GLORIA data revealed many overlapping waves of different wavelengths, their propagation further up was investigated using ray‐tracing. Most waves seen by GLORIA were ray‐traced to ALIMA observations where their parameters were confirmed, thus validating our ray‐tracing technique and the two instruments against each other. We directly observed wave propagation in both vertical and horizontal directions and change in horizontal wave orientation (the latter was not seen before SouthTRAC). Due to these phenomena, many GWs carried momentum that had different directions and was deposited in a different location than most models typically predict.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: High‐resolution multi‐instrument measurements of orographic gravity waves (GWs) over the Andes were carried out. Oblique GW propagation and strong horizontal refraction were observed and analyzed using ray‐tracing. Significant redistribution of horizontal momentum due to horizontal refraction was observed all along the path of wave propagation.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: German Ministry for Education and Research
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7155729
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; gravity waves ; refraction ; remote sensing ; lidar ; ray‐tracing
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 9
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-07-21
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉The processing of aerosol by droplet collision‐coalescence is analyzed in three‐dimensional simulations of drizzling stratocumulus using a Lagrangian cloud model for the representation of aerosol and cloud microphysics. Collision‐coalescence processing is shown to create a characteristic bimodality in the aerosol size distribution. We show that the large‐scale dynamics of the stratocumulus‐topped boundary layer are key to understanding the amount of time available for collision‐coalescence processing. The large‐scale dynamics enable aerosol particles to repeat a cycle of droplet condensation, collision‐coalescence, and evaporation, which causes a steady increase in aerosol size. This process is continued until the aerosol grows so large that droplet growth is substantially accelerated and multiple collisions occur within one cycle, forming precipitation‐sized droplets that are lost to the surface, including the aerosol. An analytical relationship is derived that captures the fundamental shape of the processed aerosol size distribution.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Clouds consist of cloud droplets, and cloud droplets grow from aerosol particles, which are tiny particles suspended in the atmosphere. But clouds also modify aerosol particles. This study shows that the merging of cloud droplets, a process related to the production of rain, can lead to larger aerosol particles, causing characteristic changes in the aerosol size distribution that are revealed in this study. These changes are important because larger aerosol particles will create cloud droplets more easily, with commensurate effects on the development of clouds.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: The effect of droplet collision‐coalescence on the aerosol size distribution is analyzed in three‐dimensional simulations. Collision‐coalescence processing introduces a characteristic bimodality in the aerosol size distribution. The large‐scale stratocumulus dynamics are key to the development of a stable population of processed aerosol particles.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: Climate Program Office http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100007298
    Beschreibung: National Science Foundation http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000001
    Beschreibung: http://rossby.msrc.sunysb.edu/SAM.html
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7734008
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; clouds ; aerosol ; processing ; collision
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 10
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-07-21
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉We used the tropospheric and lower stratospheric 3D winds for four consecutive years (2017–2020) to study the momentum flux (MF) and vertical wind power spectra (VWP) over Andøya, Norway (69.30°N, 16.04°E) using the Middle Atmosphere Alomar Radar System. The spectra range from 3.5 days〈sup〉−1〈/sup〉 > 〈italic〉f〈/italic〉 > 30 min〈sup〉−1〈/sup〉, which are categorized in terms of observed/ground‐based frequency (as the local inertial period is 13 h over Andøya), height ranges, and seasons. Our results indicate for the first time that (a) both the zonal and meridional MF display peaks around the inertial period (13 h) in the troposphere (1.80–12.00 km) during all seasons (with some exceptions), while VWP exhibits such features in the whole height range (1.80–18.00 km), (b) the minimum variability in MF, VWP, and kinetic energy is observed during summer, and (c) both the MF and VWP demonstrate height variation with maximum deviations below the tropopause.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: The wind measurements are used to study the height and seasonal variation of momentum flux and vertical wind power spectra during 2017–2020. We report for the first time that both the momentum flux and vertical wind power spectra depict more variations in the tropospheric heights (around 1.80–7.20 km), below the tropopause, with the minimum amplitudes in the summer months (June–July–August). Moreover, long‐period oscillations have more energy than short‐period oscillations, and therefore, contribute more to the energy or flux transfer from the lower to the higher atmosphere. The month versus height profile of kinetic energy also portrays a similar feature with considerably more magnitude for the long‐period oscillations than the short‐period ones. The kinetic energy displays an enhancement of magnitude near the tropopause (∼5.00–10.00 km).〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: The zonal and meridional momentum flux spectra exhibit a peak around the inertial period of 13 h in the troposphere (1.80–12.00 km). Height profiles of momentum flux, vertical wind power spectra, and kinetic energy display seasonal variation with a minimum during summer. The maximum variability of momentum flux and vertical wind power spectra is noticed below tropopause and decreases with increasing height.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.22000/766
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; atmospheric gravity waves ; momentum flux ; power spectra ; kinetic energy
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 11
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-07-19
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Whereas it is now widely accepted that cumulus cloud sizes are power‐law distributed, characteristic exponents reported in the literature vary greatly, generally taking values between 1 and >3. Although these differences might be explained by variations in environmental conditions or physical processes organizing the cloud ensembles, the use of improper fitting methods may also introduce large biases. To address this issue, we propose to use a combination of maximum likelihood estimation and goodness‐of‐fit tests to provide more robust power‐law fits while systematically identifying the size range over which these fits are valid. The procedure is applied to cloud size distributions extracted from two idealized high‐resolution simulations displaying different organization characteristics. Overall, power‐laws are found to be outperformed by alternative distributions in almost all situations. When clouds are identified based on a condensed water path threshold, using power‐laws with an exponential cutoff yields the best results as it provides superior fits in the tail of the cloud size distributions. For clouds identified using a combination of water content and updraft velocity thresholds in the free troposphere, no substantial improvement over pure power‐laws can be found when considering more complex two‐parameter distributions. In this context however, exponential distributions provide results that are as good as, if not better than power‐laws. Finally, it is demonstrated that the emergence of scale free behaviors in cloud size distributions is related to exponentially distributed cloud cores merging as they are brought closer to each other by underlying organizing mechanisms.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Clouds constitute an important element of the climate system reflecting incoming solar radiation and emitting infra‐red radiation that heats the atmosphere. The net radiative impact of clouds however depends on many factors including their size. It is thus of prime importance to characterize the size of clouds, in particular convective clouds, and understand the underlying processes controlling them. In this study, a numerical model is used to simulate two convective situations at horizontal resolutions providing a fine description of cloud processes. After identifying individual clouds and calculating their size, statistical methods are employed to characterize the cloud size distributions. Depending on the situation, cloud size distributions are found to be best represented by either power‐laws with an exponential cutoff or exponential functions. Pure power‐laws, which constitute the most popular model used to represent cloud size distributions, are generally found to yield poorer fits. Finally, it is demonstrated that power‐laws in cloud size distributions emerge when individual cloud cores, that are exponentially distributed in size, are brought closer to each other and merge as the cloud ensemble organizes.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: A combination of statistical methods is used to fit cloud size distributions from two simulated convective cloud ensembles.〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉〈p〉Depending on the situation, exponential distributions and power‐laws with an exponential cutoff may constitute superior alternatives to pure power‐laws.〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉The merging of individual cloud cores is found to control the emergence of power‐law cloud size distributions.〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: https://bitbucket.org/julien_savre/pycloudfit/src/master/
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7005140
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; Moist convection ; cloud resolving modeling ; cloud size distributions ; cloud merging
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 12
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-07-19
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉This study investigates the lifetime and temporal evolution of physical properties of trade‐wind cumuli based on tracking individual clouds in observations with the Advanced Baseline Imager aboard the geostationary GOES‐16 satellite during the “ElUcidating the RolE of Cloud–Circulation Coupling in ClimAte” (EUREC〈sup〉4〈/sup〉A) campaign east of Barbados in winter 2020. A first application of our upgraded cloud‐tracking toolbox to measurements with high spatio‐temporal resolution (2 × 2 km〈sup〉2〈/sup〉 and 1 min) provides probability density functions of lifetime and area of clouds that develop as a consequence of meso‐to‐synoptic scale motions. By separately considering clouds that exist during daytime and live in distinct lifetime intervals, we find that shallow marine cumuli live longer when they cover a larger surface area and show higher cloud optical thickness (COT). Besides the effect of COT, the scale of the atmospheric motions with which the clouds interact is also critical to their lifetime.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: We present a detailed investigation of the lifetime of Caribbean trade‐wind cumulus clouds and the temporal evolution of their physical properties based on geostationary observations with the Advanced Baseline Imager aboard the geostationary GOES‐16 satellite during the “ElUcidating the RolE of Cloud–Circulation Coupling in ClimAte” (EUREC〈sup〉4〈/sup〉A) field experiment in winter 2020. The tracking of 2.7 million individual clouds in measurements with high spatio‐temporal resolution enables the investigation of processes that control the lifetime of shallow marine cumulus (SMC) clouds. Our analysis reveals that SMC clouds live longer when they span over a surface area that exceeds an order of tens of square kilometers. While these clouds show similar median cloud droplet size and number concentration compared to shorter‐lived clouds, they contain more liquid water and, thus, show a COT that is increased by about one third. Besides the effect of COT, we find that the scale of the atmospheric motions with which the clouds interact is also critical to their lifetime.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: First study of the life cycle of shallow marine cumulus based on observations with the Advanced Baseline Imager aboard GOES‐16.〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Confirmation of the double power law in the distribution of cloud lifetime from measurements with a temporal resolution of 1 minute.〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Cloud lifetime is related to large‐scale circulation and affects cloud optical thickness.〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Deutscher Akademischer Austauschdienst http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001655
    Beschreibung: https://observations.ipsl.fr/thredds/catalog/EUREC4A/SATELLITES/GOES-E/2km_01min/2020/catalog.html
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; shallow convection ; trade‐wind cumuli ; life cycle ; EUREC4A ; GOES‐16 ABI
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 13
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-07-25
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Local ensemble transform Kalman filters (LETKFs) allow explicit calculation of the Kalman gain, and by this the contribution of individual observations to the analysis field. Though this is a known feature, the information on the analysis contribution of individual observations (partial analysis increment) has not been used as systematic diagnostic up to now despite providing valuable information. In this study, we demonstrate three potential applications based on partial analysis increments in the regional modelling system of Deutscher Wetterdienst and propose their use for optimising LETKF data assimilation systems, in particular with respect to satellite data assimilation and localisation. While exact calculation of partial analysis increments would require saving the large, five‐dimensional ensemble weight matrix in the analysis step, it is possible to compute an approximation from standard LETKF output. We calculate the Kalman gain based on ensemble analysis perturbations, which is an approximation in the case of localisation. However, this only introduces minor errors, as the localisation function changes very gradually among nearby grid points. On the other hand, the influence of observations always depends on the presence of other observations and settings for the observation error and for localisation. However, the influence of observations behaves approximately linearly, meaning that the assimilation of other observations primarily decreases the magnitude of the influence, but it does not change the overall structure of the partial analysis increments. This means that the calculation of partial analysis increments can be used as an efficient diagnostic to investigate the three‐dimensional influence of observations in the assimilation system. Furthermore, the diagnostic can be used to detect whether the influence of additional experimental observations is in accordance with other observations without conducting computationally expensive single‐observation experiments. Last but not least, the calculation can be used to approximate the influence an observation would have when applying different assimilation settings.〈/p〉
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; analysis influence ; convective‐scale ; ensemble data assimilation ; localisation ; NWP ; satellite data assimilation
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 14
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-07-25
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉For both the meso‐ and synoptic scales, reduced mathematical models give insight into their dynamical behaviour. For the mesoscale, the weak temperature gradient approximation is one of several approaches, while for the synoptic scale the quasigeostrophic theory is well established. However, the way these two scales interact with each other is usually not included in such reduced models, thereby limiting our current perception of flow‐dependent predictability and upscale error growth. Here, we address the scale interactions explicitly by developing a two‐scale asymptotic model for the meso‐ and synoptic scales with two coupled sets of equations for the meso‐ and synoptic scales respectively. The mesoscale equations follow a weak temperature gradient balance and the synoptic‐scale equations align with quasigeostrophic theory. Importantly, the equation sets are coupled via scale‐interaction terms: eddy correlations of mesoscale variables impact the synoptic potential vorticity tendency and synoptic variables force the mesoscale vorticity (for instance due to tilting of synoptic‐scale wind shear). Furthermore, different diabatic heating rates—representing the effect of precipitation—define different flow characteristics. With weak mesoscale heating relatable to precipitation rates of 〈mml:math id="jats-math-1" display="inline" overflow="scroll"〉〈mml:mrow〉〈mml:mi〉𝒪〈/mml:mi〉〈mml:mo stretchy="false"〉(〈/mml:mo〉〈mml:mn〉6〈/mml:mn〉〈mml:mspace width="0.3em"/〉〈mml:mtext〉mm〈/mml:mtext〉〈mml:mo〉·〈/mml:mo〉〈mml:msup〉〈mml:mrow〉〈mml:mi mathvariant="normal"〉h〈/mml:mi〉〈/mml:mrow〉〈mml:mrow〉〈mml:mo form="prefix"〉−〈/mml:mo〉〈mml:mn〉1〈/mml:mn〉〈/mml:mrow〉〈/mml:msup〉〈mml:mo stretchy="false"〉)〈/mml:mo〉〈/mml:mrow〉〈/mml:math〉, the mesoscale dynamics resembles two‐dimensional incompressible vorticity dynamics and the upscale impact of the mesoscale on the synoptic scale is only of a dynamical nature. With a strong mesosocale heating relatable to precipitation rates of 〈mml:math id="jats-math-2" display="inline" overflow="scroll"〉〈mml:mrow〉〈mml:mi〉𝒪〈/mml:mi〉〈mml:mo stretchy="false"〉(〈/mml:mo〉〈mml:mn〉60〈/mml:mn〉〈mml:mspace width="0.3em"/〉〈mml:mtext〉mm〈/mml:mtext〉〈mml:mo〉·〈/mml:mo〉〈mml:msup〉〈mml:mrow〉〈mml:mi mathvariant="normal"〉h〈/mml:mi〉〈/mml:mrow〉〈mml:mrow〉〈mml:mo form="prefix"〉−〈/mml:mo〉〈mml:mn〉1〈/mml:mn〉〈/mml:mrow〉〈/mml:msup〉〈mml:mo stretchy="false"〉)〈/mml:mo〉〈/mml:mrow〉〈/mml:math〉, divergent motions and three‐dimensional effects become relevant for the mesoscale dynamics and the upscale impact also includes thermodynamical effects.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: 〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉We develop a two‐scale asymptotic model for the meso‐ and synoptic scales following a weak temperature gradient balance and quasigeostrophic theory, but with explicit scale interactions and dependent on the mesoscale diabatic heating. With weak mesoscale heating, the mesoscale dynamics resembles 2D incompressible vorticity dynamics and the upscale impact on the synoptic scale is only of a dynamical nature. With strong mesoscale heating, divergent motions and 3D effects become relevant for the mesoscale and the upscale impact also includes thermodynamical effects. 〈boxed-text position="anchor" id="qj4456-blkfxd-0001" content-type="graphic" xml:lang="en"〉〈graphic position="anchor" id="jats-graphic-1" xlink:href="urn:x-wiley:00359009:media:qj4456:qj4456-toc-0001"〉
    Beschreibung: German Research Foundation (DFG)
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; asymptotics ; atmospheric dynamics ; mesoscale ; multiscale scale interactions ; quasigeostrophic ; synoptic scale
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 15
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-02-12
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Extreme temperature events have traditionally been detected assuming a unimodal distribution of temperature data. We found that surface temperature data can be described more accurately with a multimodal rather than a unimodal distribution. Here, we applied Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) to daily near‐surface maximum air temperature data from the historical and future Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) simulations for 46 land regions defined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Using the multimodal distribution, we found that temperature extremes, defined based on daily data in the warmest mode of the GMM distributions, are getting more frequent in all regions. Globally, a 10‐year extreme temperature event relative to 1985–2014 conditions will occur 13.6 times more frequently in the future under 3.0°C of global warming levels (GWL). The frequency increase can be even higher in tropical regions, such that 10‐year extreme temperature events will occur almost twice a week. Additionally, we analyzed the change in future temperature distributions under different GWL and found that the hot temperatures are increasing faster than cold temperatures in low latitudes, while the cold temperatures are increasing faster than the hot temperatures in high latitudes. The smallest changes in temperature distribution can be found in tropical regions, where the annual temperature range is small. Our method captures the differences in geographical regions and shows that the frequency of extreme events will be even higher than reported in previous studies.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Extreme temperature events are unusual weather conditions with exceptionally low or high temperatures. Traditionally, the temperature range was determined by assuming a single distribution, which describes the frequency of temperatures at a given climate using their mean and variability. This single distribution was then used to detect extreme weather events. In this study, we found that temperature data from reanalyses and climate models can be more accurately described using a mixture of multiple Gaussian distributions. We used the information from this mixture of Gaussians to determine the cold and hot extremes of the distributions. We analyzed their change in a future climate and found that hot temperature extremes are getting more frequent in all analyzed regions at a rate that is even higher than found in previous studies. For example, a global 10‐year event will occur 13.6 times more frequently under 3.0°C of global warming. Furthermore, our results show that the temperatures of hot days will increase faster than the temperature of cold days in equatorial regions, while the opposite will occur in polar regions. Extreme hot temperatures will be the new normal in highly populated regions such as the Mediterranean basin.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Extreme temperature events are detected with Gaussian Mixture Models to follow a multimodal rather than a unimodal distribution〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉10‐year temperature extremes will occur 13.6 times more frequently under 3.0°C future warming〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Colder days are getting warmer faster than hotter days in high latitudes, whereas it is the opposite for many regions in low latitudes〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: European Research Council http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000781
    Beschreibung: https://github.com/EyringMLClimateGroup/pacal23jgr_GaussianMixtureModels_Extremes
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3401363
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; extreme events ; Gaussian mixture models ; daily maximum temperatures ; return periods ; bimodal distributions ; multimodal distributions
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 16
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-02-28
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Extremely high land surface temperatures affect soil ecological processes, alter land‐atmosphere interactions, and may limit some forms of life. Extreme surface temperature hotspots are presently identified using satellite observations or deduced from complex Earth system models. We introduce a simple, yet physically based analytical approach that incorporates salient land characteristics and atmospheric conditions to globally identify locations of extreme surface temperatures and their upper bounds. We then provide a predictive tool for delineating the spatial extent of land hotspots at the limits to biological adaptability. The model is in good agreement with satellite observations showing that temperature hotspots are associated with high radiation and low wind speed and occur primarily in Middle East and North Africa, with maximum temperatures exceeding 85°C during the study period from 2005 to 2020. We observed an increasing trend in maximum surface temperatures at a rate of 0.17°C/decade. The model allows quantifying how upper bounds of extreme temperatures can increase in a warming climate in the future for which we do not have satellite observations and offers new insights on potential impacts of future warming on limits to plant growth and biological adaptability.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: While satellite imagery can identify extreme land surface temperatures, land and atmospheric conditions for the onset of maximum land surface temperature (LST) have not yet been globally explored. We developed a physically based analytical model for quantifying the value and spatial extent of maximum LST and provide insights into combinations of land and atmospheric conditions for the onset of such temperature extremes. Results show that extreme LST hotspots occur primarily in the Middle East and North Africa with highest values near 85°C. Importantly, persistence of surface temperatures exceeding 75°C limits vegetation growth and disrupts primary productivity such as in Lut desert in Iran. The study shows that with global warming, regions with prohibitive land surface temperatures will expand.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Hotspots for high land surface temperatures (LSTs) were globally identified using a physically based analytical approach incorporating land and atmospheric conditions〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉High LSTs primarily occur in Middle East and North Africa with values exceeding 85°C〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Maximum LSTs rising at a rate of 0.17°C/decade may limit plant growth and biological adaptability in a warming world〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Hamburg University of Technology
    Beschreibung: European Union's Horizon Europe Research and Innovation Programme
    Beschreibung: https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/datasets/M2I1NXLFO_5.12.4/summary
    Beschreibung: https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/datasets/M2T1NXRAD_5.12.4/summary
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5067/MODIS/MCD12C1.006
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20111073
    Beschreibung: https://www.nccs.nasa.gov/services/data-collections/land-based-products/nex-gddp-cmip6
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.3334/ORNLDAAC/1247
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; maximum land surface temperature (LST) ; land conditions ; atmospheric conditions ; LST hotspots
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 17
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-03-05
    Beschreibung: Land surface heterogeneity in conjunction with ambient winds influences the convective atmospheric boundary layer by affecting the distribution of incoming solar radiation and forming secondary circulations. This study performed coupled large‐eddy simulation (ICON‐LEM) with a land surface model (TERRA‐ML) over a flat river corridor mimicked by soil moisture heterogeneity to investigate the impact of ambient winds on secondary circulations. The coupled model employed double‐periodic boundary conditions with a spatial scale of 4.8 km. All simulations used the same idealized initial atmospheric conditions with constant incident radiation of 700 W⋅m〈sup〉−2〈/sup〉 and various ambient winds with different speeds (0 to 16 m⋅s〈sup〉−1〈/sup〉) and directions (e.g., cross‐river, parallel‐river, and mixed). The atmospheric states are decomposed into ensemble‐averaged, mesoscale, and turbulence. The results show that the secondary circulation structure persists under the parallel‐river wind conditions independently of the wind speed but is destroyed when the cross‐river wind is stronger than 2 m⋅s〈sup〉−1〈/sup〉. The soil moisture and wind speed determine the influence on the surface energy distribution independent of the wind direction. However, secondary circulations increase advection and dispersive heat flux while decreasing turbulent energy flux. The vertical profiles of the wind variance reflect the secondary circulation, and the maximum value of the mesoscale vertical wind variance indicates the secondary circulation strength. The secondary circulation strength positively scales with the Bowen ratio, stability parameter (−Z〈sub〉i〈/sub〉/L), and thermal heterogeneity parameter under cross‐river wind and mixed wind conditions. The proposed similarity analyses and scaling approach provide a new quantitative perspective on the impact of the ambient wind under heteronomous soil moisture conditions on secondary circulation.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; ambient winds ; Bowen ratio ; land surface model ; large‐eddy simulation ; moisture spatial heterogeneity ; secondary circulation ; similarity theory ; turbulence
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 18
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-03-05
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Light‐absorbing impurities such as mineral dust can play a major role in reducing the albedo of snow surfaces. Particularly in spring, deposited dust particles lead to increased snow melt and trigger further feedbacks at the land surface and in the atmosphere. Quantifying the extent of dust‐induced variations is difficult due to high variability in the spatial distribution of mineral dust and snow. We present an extension of a fully coupled atmospheric and land surface model system to address the impact of mineral dust on the snow albedo across Eurasia. We evaluated the short‐term effects of Saharan dust in a case study. To obtain robust results, we performed an ensemble simulation followed by statistical analysis. Mountainous regions showed a strong impact of dust deposition on snow depth. We found a mean significant reduction of −1.4 cm in the Caucasus Mountains after 1 week. However, areas with flat terrain near the snow line also showed strong effects despite lower dust concentrations. Here, the feedback to dust deposition was more pronounced as increase in surface temperature and air temperature. In the region surrounding the snow line, we found an average significant surface warming of 0.9 K after 1 week. This study shows that the impact of mineral dust deposition depends on several factors. Primarily, these are altitude, slope, snow depth, and snow cover fraction. Especially in complex terrain, it is therefore necessary to use fully coupled models to investigate the effects of mineral dust on snow pack and the atmosphere.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Dust particles such as Saharan dust can darken snow surfaces, leading to increased absorption of solar radiation. The result is earlier snow melt in the spring and a warming of the land surface. Predicting dust deposition and subsequent regional impacts is difficult because the distribution of snow and dust appears in complex patterns depending on the landscape. We extended an atmospheric and land surface model system to investigate the impact of Saharan dust particles across Eurasia during a Saharan dust transport event. We found that mountainous regions are particularly affected by the dust particles, leading to increased snowmelt. In addition, regions with thin and patchy snow cover show a strong response to the dust particles, mainly causing a warming of the land surface. We found that the effects of dust particles depend on different regional characteristics. Therefore, when investigating dust on snow, it is important to use model systems that represent both the atmospheric process and surface properties properly.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉There are regional effects due to the high spatial variability in mineral dust and snow properties〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Thin snow layers favor a rise in temperature, higher elevations mainly show accelerated snow melt〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉We found a significant impact on surface radiation, temperature and snow cover properties〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Initiative and Networking Fund of the Helmholtz Association
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.35097/1579
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; light‐absorbing impurities ; dust on snow ; snow albedo ; regional impact ; modeling ; ensemble simulation
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 19
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-03-06
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉The drag coefficient, Stanton number and Dalton number are of particular importance for estimating the surface turbulent fluxes of momentum, heat and water vapor using bulk parameterization. Although these bulk transfer coefficients have been extensively studied over the past several decades in marine and large‐lake environments, there are no studies analyzing their variability for smaller lakes. Here, we evaluated these coefficients through directly measured surface fluxes using the eddy‐covariance technique over more than 30 lakes and reservoirs of different sizes and depths. Our analysis showed that the transfer coefficients (adjusted to neutral atmospheric stability) were generally within the range reported in previous studies for large lakes and oceans. All transfer coefficients exhibit a substantial increase at low wind speeds (〈3 m s〈sup〉−1〈/sup〉), which was found to be associated with the presence of gusts and capillary waves (except Dalton number). Stanton number was found to be on average a factor of 1.3 higher than Dalton number, likely affecting the Bowen ratio method. At high wind speeds, the transfer coefficients remained relatively constant at values of 1.6·10〈sup〉−3〈/sup〉, 1.4·10〈sup〉−3〈/sup〉, 1.0·10〈sup〉−3〈/sup〉, respectively. We found that the variability of the transfer coefficients among the lakes could be associated with lake surface area. In flux parameterizations at lake surfaces, it is recommended to consider variations in the drag coefficient and Stanton number due to wind gustiness and capillary wave roughness while Dalton number could be considered as constant at all wind speeds.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: In our study, we investigate the bulk transfer coefficients, which are of particular importance for estimation the turbulent fluxes of momentum, heat and water vapor in the atmospheric surface layer, above lakes and reservoirs. The incorrect representation of the surface fluxes above inland waters can potentially lead to errors in weather and climate prediction models. For the first time we made this synthesis using a compiled data set consisting of existing eddy‐covariance flux measurements over 23 lakes and 8 reservoirs. Our results revealed substantial increase of the transfer coefficients at low wind speeds, which is often not taken into account in models. The observed increase in the drag coefficient (momentum transfer coefficient) and Stanton number (heat transfer coefficient) could be associated with the presence of wind gusts and capillary waves. In flux parameterizations at lake surface, it is recommended to consider them for accurate flux representation. Although the bulk transfer coefficients were relatively constant at high wind speeds, we found that the Stanton number systematically exceeds the Dalton number (water vapor transfer coefficient), despite the fact they are typically considered to be equal. This difference may affect the Bowen ratio method and result in biased estimates of lake evaporation.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Bulk transfer coefficients exhibit a substantial increase at low wind speed〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉The increase is explained by wind gustiness and capillary wave roughness〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉At higher wind speed, drag coefficient and Stanton number decrease with lake surface area〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: SHESF, Sao Francisco Hydroelectric Company
    Beschreibung: DOE Ameriflux Network Management Project
    Beschreibung: NSF North Temperate Lakes LTER
    Beschreibung: U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science
    Beschreibung: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science KAKENHI
    Beschreibung: Swedish Research Council
    Beschreibung: ÚNKP‐21‐3 New National Excellence Program of the Ministry for Innovation and Technology, Hungary
    Beschreibung: Russian Science Foundation http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100006769
    Beschreibung: Helmholtz Young Investigators Grant
    Beschreibung: Helmholtz Association of German Research Centers
    Beschreibung: Austrian Academy of Sciences
    Beschreibung: Autonome Provinz Bozen‐Südtirol
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: Russian Ministry of Science and Higher Education
    Beschreibung: National Research, Development and Innovation Office
    Beschreibung: ICOS‐Finland, University of Helsinki
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6597828
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; bulk transfer coefficients ; eddy‐covariance ; lakes ; reservoirs
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 20
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-02-15
    Beschreibung: Entrainment and mixing play an essential role in shaping the droplet size distribution (DSD), with commensurate effects on cloud radiative properties or precipitation formation. In this paper, we use a model that considers all relevant scales related to entrainment and mixing by employing the linear eddy model (LEM) as a subgrid‐scale (SGS) mixing model, coupled with a large‐eddy simulation model and a Lagrangian cloud model (LCM) for a single cumulus congestus cloud. We confirm that the DSD is broadened toward small‐size droplets during homogeneous mixing. During inhomogeneous mixing, the DSD width remains almost unchanged. The DSD width can also be narrowed after mixing. We show that this happens when DSD is broadened toward small‐size droplets, which evaporate rapidly, while larger droplets are almost unaffected. In addition, when droplets ascend during mixing, DSD narrowing is caused when the adiabatic increase in supersaturation is slower than the average droplet evaporation, allowing only the largest droplets to benefit from the newly produced supersaturation. The narrowing mixing scenario prevents clouds from having too broad DSDs and causes the DSD relative dispersion to converge around 0.2 to 0.4. As this scenario is more frequent when the LEM SGS model is used, our results indicate that adequately modeling turbulent mixing is necessary to represent a realistic DSD shape.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Clouds are always in contact with the surrounding air. Because the air outside the cloud is drier than the cloud, cloud droplets tend to evaporate when it enters the cloud. The size of the cloud droplets after evaporation can vary depending on the timescales of turbulent mixing and droplet evaporation. If the dry air mixes quickly, all droplets evaporate simultaneously. If the dry air is mixed slowly, only the droplets exposed to the dry air evaporate. However, this mixing occurs on small scales that traditional cloud models cannot account for. To account for this, we use a special model capable of representing all relevant scales. We confirm previous theoretical work that when mixing is fast, all droplets evaporate and the mean droplet size decreases. When mixing is slow, some droplets evaporate completely, but the average droplet size remains constant. We also observe cases where only small droplets evaporate while large droplets barely change. This scenario happens when there are many small droplets to evaporate or when additional moisture from cloud motion prevents larger droplets from evaporating completely.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Changes in the droplet spectrum width under different mixing scenarios are investigated using a Lagrangian cloud model. While droplet spectrum broadening is common, narrowing occurs when the droplet size relative dispersion is large, or when droplets ascend. The interaction of these different mixing scenarios favors a relative dispersion of the droplet spectrum between 0.2 and 0.4.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: http://rossby.msrc.sunysb.edu/SAM.html
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7120916
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; entrainment and mixing ; cumulus clouds ; droplet size distribution ; Lagrangian cloud model ; mixing scenarios
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 21
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-02-15
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Machine learning (ML) has been increasingly applied to space weather and ionosphere problems in recent years, with the goal of improving modeling and forecasting capabilities through a data‐driven modeling approach of nonlinear relationships. However, little work has been done to quantify the uncertainty of the results, lacking an indication of how confident and reliable the results of an ML system are. In this paper, we implement and analyze several uncertainty quantification approaches for an ML‐based model to forecast Vertical Total Electron Content (VTEC) 1‐day ahead and corresponding uncertainties with 95% confidence intervals (CI): (a) Super‐Ensemble of ML‐based VTEC models (SE), (b) Gradient Tree Boosting with quantile loss function (Quantile Gradient Boosting, QGB), (c) Bayesian neural network (BNN), and (d) BNN including data uncertainty (BNN + D). Techniques that consider only model parameter uncertainties (a and c) predict narrow CI and over‐optimistic results, whereas accounting for both model parameter and data uncertainties with the BNN + D approach leads to a wider CI and the most realistic uncertainties quantification of VTEC forecast. However, the BNN + D approach suffers from a high computational burden, while the QGB approach is the most computationally efficient solution with slightly less realistic uncertainties. The QGB CI are determined to a large extent from space weather indices, as revealed by the feature analysis. They exhibit variations related to daytime/nightime, solar irradiance, geomagnetic activity, and post‐sunset low‐latitude ionosphere enhancement.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Space weather describes the varying conditions in the space environment between the Sun and Earth that can affect satellites and technologies on Earth, such as navigation systems, power grids, radio, and satellite communications. The manifestation of space weather in the ionosphere can be characterized using the Vertical Total Electron Content (VTEC) derived from Global Navigation Satellite Systems observations. In this study, the machine learning (ML) approach is applied to approximate the nonlinear relationships of Sun‐Earth processes using data on solar activity, solar wind, magnetic field, and VTEC. However, the measurements and the modeling approaches are subject to errors, increasing the uncertainty of the results when forecasting future instances. For reliable forecasting, it is necessary to quantify the uncertainties. Quantifying the uncertainty is also helpful for understanding the ML‐based model and the problem of VTEC and space weather forecasting. Therefore, in this study, ML‐based models are developed to forecast VTEC within the ionosphere, including the manifestation of space weather, while the degree of reliability is quantified with a target value of 95% confidence.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Machine learning‐based Vertical Total Electron Content models with 95% confidence intervals (CI) are developed for the first time using four approaches to quantify uncertainties〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Bayesian Neural Network quantifying model and data uncertainties contains ground truth within CIs, but is computationally intensive〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Quantile Gradient Boosting is fastest with comparable performance in terms of uncertainty; CIs largely determined from space weather indices〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Deutscher Akademischer Austauschdienst http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001655
    Beschreibung: https://www.tensorflow.org/
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.03021
    Beschreibung: http://www.aiub.unibe.ch/download/CODE
    Beschreibung: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/instantrun/iri
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7741342
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7858906
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7858661
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; machine learning ; uncertainty quantification ; confidence intervals ; probabilistic ionosphere forecast ; space weather ; ensemble ; Bayesian neural network ; quantile gradient boosting
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 22
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-02-14
    Beschreibung: The United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) approved the Hargreaves‐Samani formula (HAR‐85) as an alternative to the standard Penman‐Monteith method (FAO‐PM) for estimating grass reference evapotranspiration (ETo). With much less data demand, HAR‐85 is unequivocally useful where meteorological variables are often scarce, incomplete or unavailable. Herein, we evaluate HAR‐85 against FAO‐PM across 2.505 million km2, representing Sudan and South Sudan and encompassing wide hydroclimate domains including the Nile River. We further propose simple year‐round and seasonal adjustment models to correcting HAR‐85 across the entire study area. The models express HAR‐85's error in multiple linear regressions in terms of latitude, longitude, altitude and/or monthly rainfall. Varying data periods, including odd, even and all years, are used in the evaluation and the adjustment models development and validation processes to investigate the influence of changing data period. A suit of eight performance indicators shows dependency of the original bias of HAR‐85 on the geographical location, monthly rainfall amount, season of the year and data period. All error indicators amplify southward from the hyper‐arid region to the dry sub‐humid zone. For example, the mean bias error (MBE) ranges from −0.51 to 1.29 mm/day, respectively. Study area‐wide, HAR‐85 least represents FAO‐PM during the hottest month and the transitional month (between the wet and dry‐cool seasons) with MBE of 0.65 and 0.70 mm/day, respectively. Conversely, it represents FAO‐PM the most in the wettest month, with smallest MBE of 0.32 mm/day. Beholding this spatiotemporal trait, the final yearly and seasonal adjustment models developed herein enormously moderate the predominant overestimation of the original HAR‐85. The former model explains 46.7% of the error variance whereas 36.9% to 62.3% of the variation in the error is explainable by the latter models. These adjustment models narrow the monthly MBE among the stations from −0.71‐2.17 to −0.80‐1.20 and −0.65‐0.99 mm/day, respectively. Without undermining the accuracy, the year‐round adjustment model can still be feasibly recommended for general use across the study area.
    Beschreibung: For the vast area encompassing Sudan and South Sudan, with hyper‐arid, arid, semi‐arid and dry sub‐humid climates, the performance of the simple Hargreaves‐Samani formula is evaluated against FAO Penman‐Monteith method for estimating grass reference evapotranspiration (ETo). ETo is essentially latitude, rainfall, season and timescale dependent with dominant overestimation. Adjustment is proposed through year‐round and seasonal multiple linear regressions on latitude, altitude, longitude and monthly rainfall, explaining ~37‐62% of the bias error.
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; arid climates ; evaluation ; FAO Penman‐Monteith method ; grass reference evapotranspiration ; Hargreaves‐Samani method ; sub‐humid climates ; Sudan ; validation
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 23
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-02-14
    Beschreibung: We study a strong clear air turbulence (CAT) event experienced by the German High‐Altitude Long‐Range research aircraft (HALO) during the Southern Hemisphere Transport, Dynamics, and Chemistry campaign. HALO encountered CAT leeward of the southern Andes Mountains, where tropospheric airflow favored vertically propagating mountain waves that were refracted southeastward into the core of tropopause jet. Turbulence is quantified using spectral quantities and structure functions computed from in situ 100 Hz flight level data. The detected CAT region exhibits strong patchiness, characterized by separated bursts in turbulent kinetic energy and energy dissipation rate. The high resolution in situ observations reveal different turbulent scaling within each patch, in both spectra and structure functions, and following Monin and Yaglom's conversion law. One patch follows power laws with exponents −1.71 ± 0.06, −1.771 ± 0.006, and −1.56 ± 0.05 for the velocity components w, v, and u, respectively, while another patch has exponents −2.17 ± 0.12, −2.50 ± 0.08, and −1.92 ± 0.09. These patches are mediated by a third patch with less clear scaling. While the patches can deviate from Kolmogorov scaling due to the anisotropy of the airflow, they still display evidence of CAT with enhanced energy dissipation rates.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Clear air turbulence (CAT) is a common phenomenon in upper layers of the atmosphere, often triggered by the instability of internal gravity waves or by strong wind shear. CAT can be disruptive for airplanes and uncomfortable for pilots and passengers. Nevertheless, the relationship between CAT formation and the resulting strength of bumpiness experienced by an aircraft is not fully understood. Most of these turbulent regions are patchy and exhibit sudden inhomogeneous bursts of velocity and temperature variations. However, CAT is often quantified using spectral quantities assuming isotropic and homogeneous turbulence. Here, we present a case study of a CAT event observed in the lowermost stratosphere during a research flight in the lee of the Andes Mountains near the Drake Passage in South America. The unique 100 Hz high resolution in situ observations allow the study of individual patches within the turbulent event. Their statistical properties can deviate significantly from those of homogeneous and isotropic turbulence, indicating thermal stratification as an important parameter determining the spectral response.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Moderate‐to‐severe clear air turbulence (CAT) over the Southern Andes is analyzed using 100 Hz in situ data obtained during a flight of the Southern Hemisphere Transport, Dynamics, and Chemistry campaign. Vertical propagation of mountain waves in the lee of the Southern Andes is recognized as the main source for the turbulence observed. Anisotropy due to thermal stratification results in turbulent patches within the CAT region with non‐Kolmogorov turbulence scaling.
    Beschreibung: Ministerio de Defensa, Argentina http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100016156
    Beschreibung: Federal Ministry for Education and Research
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6918363
    Beschreibung: https://halo-db.pa.op.dlr.de/mission/116
    Beschreibung: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/reanalysis-datasets/era5
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; southern Andes ; clear air turbulence (CAT) ; gravity waves dynamics ; German High-Altitude Long-Range research aircraft (HALO)
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 24
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-02-21
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉We quantify sea ice concentration (SIC) changes related to synoptic cyclones separately for each month of the year in the Greenland, Barents and Kara Seas for 1979–2018. We find that these SIC changes can be statistically significant throughout the year. However, their strength varies from region to region and month to month, and their sign strongly depends on the considered time scale (before/during vs. after cyclone passages). Our results show that the annual cycle of cyclone impacts on SIC is related to varying cyclone intensity and traversed sea ice conditions. We further show that significant changes in these cyclone impacts have manifested in the last 40 years, with the strongest changes occurring in October and November. For these months, SIC decreases before/during cyclones have more than doubled in magnitude in the Barents and Kara Seas, while SIC increases following cyclones have weakened (intensified) in the Barents Sea (Kara Sea).〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: We study how the sea ice cover in the Arctic Ocean changes due to the passage of low‐pressure systems (cyclones). Our study covers all years between 1979 and 2018 and each individual month of the year. Our results show that the passage of cyclones can affect the sea ice year around, but the strength and the sign (less or more sea ice concentration due to cyclones) of this impact varies strongly. These variations in cyclone impacts throughout the year are related to variations in the strength of the cyclones and changes in the state of the sea ice cover (e.g., thinner vs. thicker ice). We further show that the cyclone impact on the Arctic sea ice has changed during the last 40 years. These changes are strongest in autumn, particularly in October and November. In these months, the strength of the destructive cyclone impacts on sea ice has more than doubled in some regions of the Arctic compared to previous times. In some regions, however, also the strength of ice preserving cyclone impacts (more sea ice due to cyclones) has intensified recently.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Cyclones can significantly impact the sea ice in the Atlantic Arctic in all months of the year, but with strong spatiotemporal variations〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Impacts are stronger in the cold season than in summer due to variations in cyclone intensity and traversed sea ice conditions〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Significant changes emerged throughout the year, recently strongest in the Barents Sea in autumn due to a reduced mean ice concentration〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: Horizon 2020 Framework Programme http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100010661
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.adbb2d47
    Beschreibung: https://www.cen.uni-hamburg.de/icdc/data/ocean/easy-init-ocean/ecmwf-oras5.html
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; cyclones ; sea ice ; Arctic ; atmosphere‐sea ice interactions ; climate change
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 25
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-01-24
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Reliable prediction of heavy precipitation events causing floods in a world of changing climate is crucial for the development of appropriate adaption strategies. Many attempts to provide such predictions have already been conducted but there is still much potential for improvement left. This is particularly true for statistical downscaling of heavy precipitation due to changes present in the corresponding atmospheric drivers. In this study, a circulation pattern (CP) conditional downscaling to the station level is proposed which considers occurring frequency changes of CPs. Following a strict circulation‐to‐environment approach we use atmospheric predictors to derive CPs. Subsequently, precipitation observations are used to derive CP conditional cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of daily precipitation. Raw precipitation time series are sampled from these CDFs. Bias correction is applied to the sampled time series with quantile mapping (QM) and parametric transfer functions (PTFs) as methods being tested. The added value of this CP conditional downscaling approach is evaluated against the corresponding common non‐CP conditional approach. The performance evaluation is conducted by using Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) metrics. In both cases the applied bias correction is identical. Potential added value can therefore only be attributed to the CP conditioning. It can be shown that the proposed CP conditional downscaling approach is capable of yielding more reliable and accurate downscaled daily precipitation time series in comparison to a non‐CP conditional approach. This can be seen in particular for the extreme parts of the distribution. Above the 95th percentile, an average performance gain of +0.24 and a maximum gain of +0.6 in terms of KGE is observed. These findings support the assumption of conserving and utilizing atmospheric information through CPs can be beneficial for more reliable statistical precipitation downscaling. Due to the availability of these atmospheric predictors in climate model output, the presented method is potentially suitable for downscaling precipitation projections.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsapp#!/dataset/reanalysis-era5-pressure-levels?tab=overview
    Beschreibung: https://cdc.dwd.de/portal/
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; bias correction ; circulation patterns ; ERA5 ; extreme events ; heavy precipitation ; simulated annealing ; statistical downscaling
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 26
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-01-24
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events can form a window of forecast opportunity for polar vortex predictions on subseasonal‐to‐seasonal time scales. Analyzing numerical ensemble simulations, we quantify the associated enhanced predictability due to reduced upward planetary wave fluxes during the mostly radiatively driven recovery phase following SSWs. Ensembles that predict an SSW show reduced ensemble spread in terms of polar vortex strength for several weeks to follow, as well as a corresponding reduction in forecast errors. This increased predictability is particularly pronounced for strong SSWs and even occurs if not all ensemble members predict a major SSW. Furthermore, we found a direct impact of the occurrence of SSWs on the date of the final warming (FW): the decrease in upward wave fluxes delays the FW significantly. The reduced spread after SSWs and the delay in FW date have potentially further implications for (subseasonal) predictions of the tropospheric and mesospheric circulations.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: The polar vortex is a large scale circulation active during winter in the higher levels of the polar atmosphere. Changes in the strength of the polar vortex can have an impact on the weather over mid‐latitude regions like Europe. This is the case especially for the period after so‐called sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events, where the polar vortex breaks down very abruptly and then slowly recovers over several weeks. Such a break‐down of the polar vortex tends to suppress wave activity and hence reduces the dynamical variability in the polar stratosphere, leading to a more predictable evolution of the circulation. We quantify the strength and timescale of this increase in predictability of the polar vortex after an SSW using a large set of winter time model forecasts.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) lead to reduced forecast spread in the polar stratosphere for several weeks after the event〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Reduced forecast spread after SSWs is driven by suppressed vertical planetary wave propagation due to persistent negative wind anomalies〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Final warmings are delayed for winters with SSW, consistent with reduced upward wave fluxes following the SSW〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: https://apps.ecmwf.int/datasets/data/s2s-realtime-instantaneous-accum-ecmf/levtype=sfc/type=cf/
    Beschreibung: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsapp#!/dataset/reanalysis-era5-pressure-levels?tab=overview
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5282/ubm/data.395
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; sudden stratospheric warming ; final warming ; strat‐trop‐coupling ; polar vortex ; predictability ; window of forecast opportunity
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 27
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-01-24
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Jet streams are important sources of non‐orographic internal gravity waves and clear air turbulence (CAT). We analyze non‐orographic gravity waves and CAT during a merger of the polar front jet stream (PFJ) with the subtropical jet stream (STJ) above the southern Atlantic. Thereby, we use a novel combination of airborne observations covering the meso‐scale and turbulent scale in combination with high‐resolution deterministic short‐term forecasts. Coherent phase lines of temperature perturbations by gravity waves stretching along a highly sheared tropopause fold are simulated by the ECMWF IFS (integrated forecast system) forecasts. During the merging event, the PFJ reverses its direction from approximately antiparallel to parallel with respect to the STJ, going along with strong wind shear and horizontal deformation. Temperature perturbations in limb‐imaging and lidar observations onboard the research aircraft HALO during the SouthTRAC campaign show remarkable agreement with the IFS data. Ten hours earlier, the IFS data show an “X‐shaped” pattern in the temperature perturbations emanating from the sheared tropopause fold. Tendencies of the IFS wind components show that these gravity waves are excited by spontaneous emission adjusting the strongly divergent flow when the PFJ impinges the STJ. In situ observations of temperature and wind components at 100 Hz confirm upward propagation of the probed portion of the gravity waves. They furthermore reveal embedded episodes of light‐to‐moderate CAT, Kelvin Helmholtz waves, and indications for partial wave reflection. Patches of low Richardson numbers in the IFS data coincide with the CAT observations, suggesting that this event was accessible to turbulence forecasting.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Gravity waves play an in important role in vertical and horizontal energy transport in the atmosphere and are significant factors in wheather forecasting and climate projections. Among other processes, tropospheric jet streams are known to be sources of gravity waves. They furthermore can be accompanied by tropopause folds (i.e., local tropopause depressions, where stratospheric air can reach deeply into the troposphere) and turbulence, which is relevant for aviation safety. Using a novel combination of airborne observations and data by a state‐of‐the‐art forecasting system, we analyze gravity waves and turbulence during a merger of tropospheric jet streams above the southern Atlantic. The observations show a high degree of agreement with the forecast data from the troposphere to the stratosphere. Ten hours earlier, the forcast data show an “X‐shaped” gravity wave structure that emerges from a highly sheared tropopause fold between the merging jet streams. Fast in situ observations at the flight level provide information on the characteristics of the observed waves and show light‐to‐moderate turbulence, small‐scale waves and indications for partial wave reflection. The observed turbulence events are consistently located in regions where the forecast data suggest potential for turbulence.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Non‐orographic internal gravity waves and clear air turbulence are observed in merging jet streams〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉State‐of‐the art high resolution forecast agrees with novel combination of airborne sensors〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉“X‐shaped” gravity wave feature resulting from merging jet streams at a highly sheared tropopause fold〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5445/IR/1000151856
    Beschreibung: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts
    Beschreibung: https://www.ready.noaa.gov/
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; gravity waves ; jet streams ; clear air turbulence ; remote sensing ; in situ observations ; field campaigns
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 28
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-11-02
    Beschreibung: The impact of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentration on microphysical processes within thunderstorms and the resulting surface precipitation is not fully understood yet. In this work, an analysis of the microphysical pathways occurring in these clouds is proposed to systematically investigate and understand these sensitivities. Thunderstorms were simulated using convection‐permitting (1 km horizontal grid spacing) idealized simulations with the ICON model, which included a 2‐moment microphysics parameterization. Cloud condensation nuclei concentrations were increased from 100 to 3,200 CCN/cm3, in five different wind shear environments ranging from 18 to 50 m/s. Large and systematic decreases of surface precipitation (up to 35%) and hail (up to 90%) were found as CCN was increased. Wind shear changes the details, but not the sign, of the sensitivity to CCN. The microphysical process rates were tracked throughout each simulation, closing the mass budget for each hydrometeor class, and collected together into “microphysical pathways,” which quantify the different growth processes leading to surface precipitation. Almost all surface precipitation occurred through the mixed‐phase pathway, where graupel and hail grow by riming and later melt as they fall to the surface. The mixed‐phase pathway is sensitive to CCN concentration changes as a result of changes to the riming rate, which were systematically evaluated. Supercooled water content was almost insensitive to increasing CCN concentration, but decreased cloud drop size led to a large reduction in the riming efficiency (from 0.79 to 0.24) between supercooled cloud drops and graupel or hail, resulting in less surface precipitation.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: The amount of rain and hail from thunderstorms can be influenced by the amount of pollution in the form of aerosol particles, which determine how many cloud droplets form and how large they are. Unfortunately, different numerical models give different answers on whether rain and hail increase or decrease if pollution increases. In this article, we present a new analysis method helping to identify the small‐scale processes which are responsible for the increase or decrease in a specific numerical scheme. We apply it to simulations of thunderstorms and show that the decrease of rain and hail in the numerical model used here is mostly linked to the riming process. Riming is the collision of cloud droplets and frozen particles at temperatures below 0°C, such that the liquid water freezes to the surface of the ice particles and makes them bigger. Less riming occurs when pollution increases, because cloud droplets are smaller. This process is very important because nearly all rain reaching the surface consists of melted ice particles.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Microphysical pathways are constructed by tracking microphysical processes rates and closing the hydrometeor mass budget. More cloud condensation nuclei lead to less surface precipitation and hail, due to smaller cloud drop sizes and reduced riming collection efficiency. Simulations with constant riming collection efficiency reveal two different hail formation pathways.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100019180
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5445/IR/1000156063
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; convective clouds ; hail ; riming ; precipitation ; CCN ; convection‐permitting simulation
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 29
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-11-02
    Beschreibung: Extra‐tropical cyclones are an important source of weather variability in the mid‐latitudes. Multiple occurrences in a short period of time at a particular location are denominated serial cyclone clustering (SCC), and potentially lead to large societal impacts. We investigate the relationship between SCC affecting Western Europe and large‐scale weather regimes (WRs) in the North Atlantic‐European region in boreal winter. We find that SCC in low latitudes (45°N) is predominantly associated with the anticyclonic Greenland Blocking WR. In contrast, SCC in mid and high latitudes (55°N, 65°N) is mostly linked to different cyclonic WRs. Thereby, SCC occurs typically within a well‐established WR that builds up prior to SCC and decays after SCC. Thus, SCC events are closely associated with recurrent, quasi‐stationary and persistent large‐scale flow patterns (WRs). This mutual relationship reveals the potential of WRs in forecasting storm series and associated impacts on sub‐seasonal to seasonal time scales.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Serial cyclone clustering describes the occurrence of multiple extra‐tropical cyclones within a certain time frame and a spatially restricted region. Since extra‐tropical cyclones can be associated with strong winds and heavy precipitation, multiple occurrences can lead to large cumulative impacts in the affected areas. We analyze the relationship between serial cyclone clustering (SCC) in Western Europe and so‐called weather regimes (WRs) in the North Atlantic‐European region in boreal winter. These regimes describe slow evolving and enduring large‐scale atmospheric circulation patterns. Relationships with certain regime types are identified but depend on the latitude at which the clustered frequency of extra‐tropical cyclones is found. When SCC occurs in low latitudes (45°N), it mostly appears coincident with anticyclonic large‐scale flow patterns. In contrast, SCC in mid and high latitudes (55°N, 65°N) often occurs simultaneously with different cyclonic regimes. We find that periods of SCC occur typically within WR life cycles pointing to the fact that both, the WRs and SCC periods, are interlinked. This relationship may facilitate forecasting storm series and associated impacts on time scales beyond 2 weeks.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: A close relationship is found between serial cyclone clustering (SCC) at 5°W and weather regimes (WRs) in the North Atlantic‐European region. SCC in mid and high latitudes (55°N, 65°N) is mainly associated with cyclonic and in low latitudes (45°N) with anticyclonic WR life cycles. Regardless of the selected latitude, SCC occurs mostly during an active regime life cycle and is manifested in a well‐established WR.
    Beschreibung: German Research Foundation
    Beschreibung: AXA Research Fund http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001961
    Beschreibung: Helmholtz Association http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100009318
    Beschreibung: BMBF ClimXtreme
    Beschreibung: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/reanalysis-datasets/era-interim
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; serial cyclone clustering ; weather regimes ; atmospheric dynamics ; sub‐seasonal prediction
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 30
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-11-28
    Beschreibung: Horizontal gravity wave (GW) refraction was observed around the Andes and Drake Passage during the SouthTRAC campaign. GWs interact with the background wind through refraction and dissipation. This interaction helps to drive midatmospheric circulations and slows down the polar vortex by taking GW momentum flux (GWMF) from one location to another. The SouthTRAC campaign was composed to gain improved understanding of the propagation and dissipation of GWs. This study uses observational data from this campaign collected by the German High Altitude Long Range research aircraft on 12 September 2019. During the campaign a minor sudden stratospheric warming in the southern hemisphere occurred, which heavily influenced GW propagation and refraction and thus also the location and amount of GWMF deposition. Observations include measurements from below the aircraft by Gimballed Limb Observer for Radiance Imaging of the Atmosphere and above the aircraft by Airborne Lidar for the Middle Atmosphere. Refraction is identified in two different GW packets as low as ≈4 km and as high as 58 km. One GW packet of orographic origin and one of nonorographic origin is used to investigate refraction. Observations are supplemented by the Gravity‐wave Regional Or Global Ray Tracer, a simplified mountain wave model, ERA5 data and high‐resolution (3 km) WRF data. Contrary to some previous studies we find that refraction makes a noteworthy contribution in the amount and the location of GWMF deposition. This case study highlights the importance of refraction and provides compelling arguments that models should account for this.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Gravity waves (GWs) are very important for models to reproduce a midatmospheric circulations. But the fact is that models oversimplify the GW physics which results in GWs being underrepresented in models. GW refraction is one of the processes not captured by the physics in model parameterization schemes. This article uses high‐resolution observations from the SouthTRAC campaign to show how GWs refract and highlight the importance there‐of. This case study shows a 25% increase in the GWMF during propagation. The increase in momentum flux is linked to refraction which results in a shortening in the GW horizontal wavelength. This article shows that refraction is important for the amount as well as the location of GWMF deposition. This case study highlights the importance of refraction and provides compelling arguments that models should account for this.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: A case study reveals that refraction results in a 25% increase in gravity wave momentum flux (GWMF). Including refraction dynamics affects the location of GWMF deposition. Refraction is prominent in strong wind gradients (i.e., displaced vortex conditions).
    Beschreibung: ANPCYT PICT
    Beschreibung: DFG
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: Instituto de Física de Buenos Aires
    Beschreibung: SNCAD MinCyT initiative
    Beschreibung: HALO‐SPP
    Beschreibung: ROMIC WASCLIM
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6997443
    Beschreibung: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsapp%23%21/home
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; gravity wave ; mountain wave ; refraction ; Andes ; Drake Passage ; gravity wave momentum flux
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 31
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-11-27
    Beschreibung: Using the 5 km coupled general circulation model ICON, the surface internal wave energy source, crucial for the oceanic circulation, is quantified as the wind‐induced wave energy flux that radiates from the mixed layer bottom (MLB) into the ocean interior. Our result lowers the previous estimates of the wind power input to surface near‐inertial motions from up to more than 1 TW down to about 0.23–0.27 TW, depending on season. We point out that the estimate of the wind input to ocean depends not only on the wind stress used—as suggested by previous studies—but also on the ocean model used. While the surface currents in a slab ocean model or a non‐eddying ocean circulation model are strongly determined by the wind forcing, the surface currents in the 5 km ICON model can be more strongly determined by internal instability process (eddy) than by wind stress forcing from less‐extreme weather disturbances. The resulting more or less random alignment of surface current and wind stress can presumably lead to a lower wind input to surface near‐inertial motions. Of the surface wave energy source, about 30% is fluxed down into the interior ocean. This percentage roughly doubles those from previous studies, due to the stronger wave energy flux related to stronger inertial waves generated by the tropical cyclones simulated by the 5 km ICON model. Overall, the low wind input at near‐inertial frequencies produces a wind‐induced wave energy source at the MLB that is well below 0.1 TW.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: For maintaining the oceanic overturning circulation, energy is needed to mix the dense water up and light water down. The main energy source for mixing arises from breaking of internal waves. A considerable portion of this source comes from waves excited by winds at the sea surface. This paper quantifies this wave energy source based on a frontier simulation of a coupled atmosphere‐ocean general circulation model at a horizontal resolution of 5 km. This model is capable to simulate tropical cyclones (hurricanes and typhoons) and less‐extreme small‐scale and short‐living weather disturbances and oceanic mesoscale eddies, which were not represented by the models used in most of the previous studies. Taking these new features into account, we find that the wind‐induced wave energy source is less than 0.1 TW.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Relatively low wind power input to near‐inertial motions in a 5 km global coupled simulation. Energy flux radiating from the mixed layer bottom as interior wave energy source. Strong internal waves excited by tropical cyclones simulated by a 5 km global coupled general circulation model.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-000A-C1FA-2
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; wind‐induced wave energy source ; km‐scale coupled GCM ; internal waves generated by tropical cyclones
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 32
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-11-27
    Beschreibung: Gravity waves (GWs) are generated at all altitudes in the atmosphere, but sources above the lower stratosphere are rarely considered by parameterizations employed in general circulation models. This study assesses the potential impact on the thermosphere produced by small‐scale waves originating at different heights. Within the proposed numerical framework, GW sources are represented by wave momentum forcing, whose values are expressed relative to the forcing required to obtain typical wave spectra around the tropopause. The relative importance of tropospheric and extra‐tropospheric sources and the response in the thermosphere are studied in a series of sensitivity experiments. They demonstrate that the accumulation of wave momentum steeply drops with height as a consequence of decreasing density, even when the forcing is maintained at a uniform level throughout the middle atmosphere. When a broad spectrum is forced at twice the tropospheric rate, the thermospheric drag is increased by only a factor of two, and that increase is produced by waves that were forced in the lower stratosphere. With increasing altitude, vertically localized sources contribute progressively less. For example, for GWs excited near the mesopause to produce an impact comparable with that due to waves propagating from below, the forcing must be orders of magnitude stronger than in the troposphere. The estimated forcing of the so‐called secondary harmonics by breaking primary waves is much weaker, such that the systematic dynamical effect of secondary waves in the thermosphere is negligible compared to that of the primary GWs generated in the troposphere.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Multiple observations demonstrate that gravity waves (GWs) are generated at all atmospheric levels, however numerical general circulation models employing parameterizations that account for wave sources only in the troposphere are able to reproduce the state and dynamics of the middle and upper atmosphere reasonably well. Assessing the role of GWs generated above the troposphere is extremely challenging, because such waves are difficult to separate from those of tropospheric origin in observations. The mechanisms of wave generation in the middle atmosphere are very complex and not fully understood. We developed a numerical framework, in which the strength of the extra‐tropospheric sources is represented by multiples of those in the troposphere. In the series of sensitivity tests, we demonstrate that the contribution of sources to the total wave momentum drops with height following the density decrease, and that the tropospheric sources capture the major part of the total momentum and of the associated GW drag in the thermosphere. One of the conclusions of this study is that the impact in the thermosphere of secondary waves, which are believed to be excited near the mesopause, is negligible compared to that of primary waves propagating from the troposphere.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: A framework for assessing impacts of gravity waves generated by sources distributed over all heights in the middle atmosphere is developed. The thermospheric response to sources above the tropopause is primarily produced by waves generated in the lower. stratosphere Localized sources produce negligible thermospheric drag unless the forcing is orders of magnitude stronger than in the troposphere.
    Beschreibung: Earth Sciences Division http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100014573
    Beschreibung: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/instantrun/hwm
    Beschreibung: https://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/modelweb/models/nrlmsise00.php
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; gravity waves ; wave sources ; thermosphere ; secondary waves ; middle atmosphere
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 33
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-12-19
    Beschreibung: Predicting cirrus cloud properties with confidence requires a sound understanding of the relative roles of homogeneous and heterogeneous ice formation. This study explores the effect of mineral dust and contrail‐processed aviation soot particles as ice‐nucleating particles (INPs) competing with liquid solution droplets in cirrus formation. We study aerosol‐cirrus interactions by accounting for atmospheric variability in updraft speeds and INP number concentrations. Our results confirm the dominant role of mineral dust in ice nucleation events in cirrus clouds. In addition, we show that pre‐existing thin cirrus may suppress ice formation when updraft speeds are low. We find that homogeneous freezing of liquid solution droplets dominates clear‐sky aerosol‐cirrus interaction above a threshold updraft speed determined by total number concentrations and ice nucleation abilities of INPs. When mineral dust particles exceed number concentrations of 10 L〈sup〉−1〈/sup〉, they reduce homogeneously nucleated ice crystal numbers significantly and even prevent homogeneous freezing for frequently observed local updraft speeds between 10 and 20 cm s〈sup〉−1〈/sup〉. When both mineral dust and aviation soot particles coexist with solution droplets, dust typically prevents ice nucleation by aviation soot. Aviation soot exerts a notable impact on cirrus ice numbers only if updrafts are weak, large soot particles are present in number concentrations that are considerably higher than typically observed in emission measurements, and/or number concentrations of mineral dust and other INPs are low. Overall, our results elucidate the role of aviation soot‐cirrus interactions in the presence of other INP types.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Understanding ice formation from atmospheric aerosol particles in cirrus clouds is important to correctly predict the impact of cirrus on climate. Here, we study for the first time on the process level cirrus ice formation from freezing of liquid solution droplets in competition with ice nucleation on mineral dust and aviation‐produced soot particles. Our results show that in the majority of cloud‐forming updrafts, mineral dust particles dominate cirrus formation over droplet freezing and that they outcompete aviation soot in producing cloud ice. Moreover, already existing cirrus clouds often prevent ice formation from these particle types altogether. Our results help evaluate cirrus parameterizations within global models and constrain model‐based estimates of the global climate impact of aviation.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Mineral dust outcompetes contrail‐processed aviation soot in aerosol‐cirrus interactions. Mineral dust reduces homogeneously nucleated ice crystal numbers more effectively than aviation soot. Strong potential of pre‐existing cirrus clouds to suppress new cloud ice formation.
    Beschreibung: European Commission http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000780
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7404707
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; ice nucleating particles ; cirrus ; aerosol cloud interactions
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 34
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-01-22
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉The summer mesopause at middle and high latitudes is the coldest place on Earth, and atmospheric gravity waves are responsible for the emergence of this extreme thermal phenomenon. Although the main physical mechanism behind the latter is understood, a deeper insight into it can be gained from the investigation of the mesoscale energy spectrum. In this work, we decompose the frequency spectra into divergent and rotational parts and find that their energy contributions are equipartitioned at high frequencies. This mesoscale energy equipartition is a feature of stratified turbulence and illustrates the complexity of the mesoscale dynamics in the summer mesopause region. We also analyze the power spectra of observed and simulated mesoscale zonal and meridional winds at middle latitudes in the Southern Hemisphere and show that stratified turbulence plays a role in the mesopause region during summer.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Given its complexity to be measured at different spatio‐temporal scales, the exploration of the mesosphere and lower thermosphere remains an active area of research. In this work, we have applied velocity filtering techniques to both multistatic specular meteor radar measurements and global circulation model simulations to analyze horizontal wind frequency spectra over southern Patagonia. We consider the theory of layered anisotropic stratified turbulence to study the summer mesopause region and hypothesize that this type of turbulence (in the statistical sense) plays a role in the transition of internal gravity waves to small‐scale turbulence.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Spatially filtered horizontal wind residuals are explored for the first time at mesopause altitudes over Patagonia〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Frequency spectra of horizontal wind residuals follow a −2 slope〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Simulated divergent and rotational parts of the mesoscale kinetic energy are equipartitioned at high frequencies〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: Leibniz Society
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.22000/1737
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; stratified turbulence ; gravity waves ; mesopause ; meteor radar ; energy spectrum
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 35
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-01-26
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Version 5 (v05) of the thermospheric wind data from the Michelson Interferometer for Global High‐resolution Thermospheric Imaging (MIGHTI) instrument on the Ionospheric Connection Explorer (ICON) mission has been recently released, which largely avoids local‐time dependent artificial baseline drifts that are found in previous versions of the ICON/MIGHTI wind data. This paper describes monthly climatologies of zonal‐mean winds and tides based on the v05 ICON/MIGHTI data under geomagnetically quiet conditions (Hp30 〈 3o) during April 2020–March 2022. Green‐line winds in the lower thermosphere (90–110 km) and red‐line winds in the middle thermosphere (200–300 km) are analyzed, as these data cover both daytime and nighttime. The latitude and height structures of zonal‐mean winds and tides are presented for each month, and the results are compared with the widely used empirical model, Horizontal Wind Model 2014 (HWM14). The ICON/MIGHTI and HWM14 results are in general agreement, providing a validation of the v05 ICON/MIGHTI data. The agreement is especially good for the zonal‐mean winds. Amplitudes of lower thermospheric tides from ICON/MIGHTI tend to be larger than those from HWM14 as well as from an empirical model, Climatological Tidal Model of the Thermosphere (CTMT). This could be due to the influence of interannual variability of the tides. The amplitude structure of lower thermospheric tides in HWM14 does not match those from ICON/MIGHTI and CTMT in some months. Also, HWM14 underestimates the meridional‐wind amplitude of the migrating diurnal tide in the middle thermosphere. These results highlight the need for improved tidal representation in HWM14.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Monthly climatologies of zonal‐mean winds and tides at 90–110 km and 200–300 km are determined using v05 Ionospheric Connection Explorer/Michelson Interferometer for Global High‐resolution Thermospheric Imaging (ICON/MIGHTI) observations〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉ICON/MIGHTI and Horizontal Wind Model 2014 results are in general agreement, providing a validation of the Version 5 ICON/MIGHTI data〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉The agreement is especially good for the zonal‐mean winds, while some discrepancies are found in tidal amplitudes〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: NASA
    Beschreibung: https://icon.ssl.berkeley.edu/Data
    Beschreibung: https://kp.gfz-potsdam.de/en/hp30-hp60/data
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5880/Hpo.0002
    Beschreibung: https://spaceweather.gc.ca/forecast-prevision/solar-solaire/solarflux/sx-5-mavg-en.php
    Beschreibung: https://globaldynamics.sites.clemson.edu/articles/ctmt.html
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5541913
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; thermosphere ; zonal‐mean winds ; tides ; ionospheric connection explorer (ICON) ; MIGHTI ; HWM14
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 36
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-04-03
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉On 15 January 2022, the Hunga volcano produced a massive explosion that generated perturbations in the entire atmosphere. Nonetheless, signatures in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) have been challenging to identify. We report MLT horizontal wind perturbations using three multistatic specular meteor radars on the west side of South America (spanning more than 3,000 km). The most notorious signal is an exceptional solitary wave with a large vertical wavelength observed around 18 UT at all three sites, with an amplitude of ∼50 m/s mainly in the westward direction. Using a customized analysis, the wave is characterized as traveling at ∼200 m/s, with a period of ∼2 hr and a horizontal wavelength of ∼1,440 km in the longitudinal direction, away from the source. The perturbation is consistent with an 〈italic〉L〈/italic〉〈sub〉1〈/sub〉 Lamb wave mode. The signal's timing coincides with the arrival time of the tsunami triggered by the eruption.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: The eruption of the Hunga volcano in January 2022 had a widespread impact on the atmosphere, affecting various layers. We describe a perturbation in horizontal winds caused by the event, which was observed over the west coast of South America by three different meteor radar systems separated by more than 3,000 km between them. The perturbation behaved similarly in the altitude range of 80–100 km, and the wave parameters observed were consistent with high‐order Lamb wave solutions from simulations carried out using the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model with thermosphere/ionosphere extension. This finding complements other studies that have explored the impacts of the eruption on different atmospheric levels. Overall, this study provides valuable insights into the complex and far‐reaching effects of volcanic eruptions on the atmosphere.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Hunga eruption generated extreme horizontal wind perturbations at 80–100 km of altitude over South America〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉The signal was detected almost simultaneously by three multistatic meteor radar systems spanning more than 3,000 km〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉The perturbation had a period of ∼2 hr, a horizontal phase velocity of ∼200 m/s, and a horizontal wavelength of ∼1,440 km〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Leibniz SAW project FORMOSA
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.22000/956
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; South America ; 2022 Hunga Eruption ; mesosphere ; lower thermosphere ; horizontal wind perturbations
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 37
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-04-19
    Beschreibung: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉Horizontal wavenumber spectra across the middle atmosphere are investigated based on density measurements with the Airborne Lidar for Middle Atmosphere research (ALIMA) in the vicinity of the Southern Andes, the Drake passage and the Antarctic peninsula in September 2019. The probed horizontal scales range from 2000 to 25 km. Spectral slopes are close to 〈italic〉k〈/italic〉〈sup〉−5/3〈/sup〉 in the stratosphere and get shallower for horizontal wavelengths 〈200 km in the mesosphere. The spectral slopes are shown to be statistically robust with the presented number of flight legs despite the unknown orientation of true wave vectors relative to the flight track using synthetic data and a Monte Carlo approach. The largest spectral amplitudes are found over the ocean rather than over topography. The 2019 sudden stratospheric warming caused a critical level for MWs and a reduction of spectral amplitudes at horizontal wavelengths of about 200 km in the mesosphere.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: The spectral analysis of observations along extended flight tracks helps to determine the contribution of different length scales to atmospheric processes. In this study we calculate horizontal wavenumber spectra in the altitude range between 20 and 80 km, the middle atmosphere, based on observations from the Airborne Lidar for Middle Atmosphere research onboard the HALO aircraft. The observations were performed in the vicinity of the Southern Andes, the Drake passage and the Antarctic peninsula during September 2019. The observed horizontal scales range from 2000 km to about 25 km and cover almost the entire mesoscale range of atmospheric dynamics in the middle atmosphere. This study finds that vertical oscillations in the atmosphere, called gravity waves, cause the slopes and power of the spectra at the observed horizontal scales in the middle atmosphere. The slopes and power of the horizontal spectra vary with varying gravity wave activity during the period of observations.〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: Key Points: 〈list list-type="bullet"〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Horizontal wavenumber spectra across the middle atmosphere are computed using airborne lidar observations during the 2019 sudden stratospheric warming (SSW)〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Horizontal wavenumber spectra are close to 〈italic〉k〈/italic〉〈sup〉−5/3〈/sup〉 in the stratosphere, and become shallower in the mesosphere during the SSW〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈list-item〉 〈p xml:lang="en"〉Observational evidence is provided that the mesoscale spectral slope in the middle atmosphere is caused by the occurrence of gravity waves〈/p〉〈/list-item〉 〈/list〉 〈/p〉
    Beschreibung: German Federal Ministry for Education and Research
    Beschreibung: Internal Funds of the German Aerospace Center
    Beschreibung: Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
    Beschreibung: Forschungszentrum Jülich
    Beschreibung: German Science Foundation
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7861915
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; gravity waves ; middle atmosphere ; airborne lidar ; horizontal wavenumber spectrum ; SSW
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 38
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-04-01
    Beschreibung: Despite the implication of aerosols for the radiation budget, there are persistent differences in data for the aerosol optical depth (τ) for 1998–2019. This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of the large‐scale spatio‐temporal patterns of mid‐visible τ from modern data sets. In total, we assessed 94 different global data sets from eight satellite retrievals, four aerosol‐climate model ensembles, one operational ensemble product, two reanalyses, one climatology and one merged satellite product. We include the new satellite data SLSTR and aerosol‐climate simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) and the Aerosol Comparisons between Observations and Models Phase 3 (AeroCom‐III). Our intercomparison highlights model differences and observational uncertainty. Spatial mean τ for 60°N – 60°S ranges from 0.124 to 0.164 for individual satellites, with a mean of 0.14. Averaged τ from aerosol‐climate model ensembles fall within this satellite range, but individual models do not. Our assessment suggests no systematic improvement compared to CMIP5 and AeroCom‐I. Although some regional biases have been reduced, τ from both CMIP6 and AeroCom‐III are for instance substantially larger along extra‐tropical storm tracks compared to the satellite products. The considerable uncertainty in observed τ implies that a model evaluation based on a single satellite product might draw biased conclusions. This underlines the need for continued efforts to improve both model and satellite estimates of τ, for example, through measurement campaigns in areas of particularly uncertain satellite estimates identified in this study, to facilitate a better understanding of aerosol effects in the Earth system.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Aerosols are known to affect atmospheric processes. For instance, particles emitted during dust storms, biomass burning and anthropogenic activities affect air quality and influence the climate through effects on solar radiation and clouds. Although many studies address such aerosol effects, there is a persistent difference in current estimates of the amount of aerosols in the atmosphere across observations and complex climate models. This study documents the data differences for aerosol amounts, including new estimates from climate‐model simulations and satellite products. We quantify considerable differences across aerosol amount estimates as well as regional and seasonal variations of extended and new data. Further, this study addresses the question to what extent complex climate models have improved over the past decades in light of observational uncertainty.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Present‐day patterns in aerosol optical depth differ substantially between 94 modern global data sets. The range in spatial means from individual satellites is −11% to +17% of the multi‐satellite mean. Spatial means from climate model intercomparison projects fall within the satellite range but strong regional differences are identified.
    Beschreibung: Hans‐Ertel‐Center for Weather Research
    Beschreibung: Collaborative Research Centre 1211
    Beschreibung: Max‐Planck‐Institute for Meteorology
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 39
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-06-26
    Beschreibung: Marine low clouds cool the Earth's climate, with their coverage (LCC) being controlled by their environment. Here, an observed significant decrease of LCC in the northeastern Pacific over the past two decades is linked quantitatively to changes in cloud‐controlling factors. In a comparison of different statistical and machine learning methods, a decrease in the inversion strength and near‐surface winds, and an increase in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are unanimously shown to be the main causes of the LCC decrease. While the decreased inversion strength leads to more entrainment of dry free‐tropospheric air, the increasing SSTs are shown to lead to an increased vertical moisture gradient that enhances evaporation when entrainment takes place. While the LCC trend is likely driven by natural variability, the trend‐attribution framework developed here can be used with any method in future analyses. We find the choice of predictors is more important than the method.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Marine low clouds efficiently cool the Earth's climate, and their prevalence is controlled by environmental factors. Here, a decrease of the cover of marine low clouds in the northeastern Pacific over the past 20 years is analyzed to attribute the trend to changes in environmental factors known to be important for low clouds. A decrease in the strength of the temperature inversion and an increase in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are shown to be the main causes of the low‐cloud trend. The decreased inversion strength leads to more mixing in of dry air from above the clouds, leading to cloud evaporation. The increasing SSTs increase the atmospheric moisture levels near the surface more than above the cloud, enhancing evaporation when the mixing takes place. While the trend in low clouds is likely driven by natural variability rather than climate change, the analytical framework developed here can be deployed to attribute causes for trends with any statistical or machine learning method in the future. The analysis shows that the choice of environmental factors used for the analysis has a larger impact on the results than the method.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Significant decrease of low cloud cover in northeastern Pacific in last two decades. Increased vertical moisture gradient, decreased inversion strength, and winds drive low cloud trend. Good agreement between statistical and machine‐learning methods, predictor choice more important.
    Beschreibung: Horizon 2020 research and innovation program
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.f17050d7
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.6860a573
    Beschreibung: https://dx.doi.org/10.5067/MODIS/MOD08_M3.061
    Beschreibung: http://dx.doi.org/10.5067/MODIS/MYD08_M3.061
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5067/TERRA-AQUA/CERES/EBAF-TOA_L3B004.1
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5747221
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 40
    facet.materialart.
    Unbekannt
    John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. | Chichester, UK
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-08-04
    Beschreibung: The 2011/2012 summer drought in Southeastern South America (SESA) was a short but devastating event. What would this event have looked like under pre‐industrial conditions, or in a +2 degC world? We find that climate change causes the region to be at a higher risk of drought. However, we found no large‐scale changes in the half‐month water budgets. We show that the climate change induced positive precipitation trend in the region outweighs the increased temperatures and potential evapotranspiration during the 2011/2012 drought. image
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 41
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-09-29
    Beschreibung: Modeling studies have predicted that the acoustic resonance of the atmosphere during geophysical events such as earthquakes and volcanos can lead to an oscillation of the geomagnetic field with a frequency of about 4 mHz. However, observational evidence is still limited due to scarcity of suitable events. On 15 January 2022, the submarine volcano Hunga Tonga‐Hunga Ha'apai (20.5°S, 175.4°W, Tonga) erupted in the Pacific Ocean and caused severe atmospheric disturbance, providing an opportunity to investigate geomagnetic effects associated with acoustic resonance. Following the eruption, geomagnetic oscillation is observed at Apia, approximately 835 km from Hunga Tonga, mainly in the Pc 5 band (150–600 s, or 1.7–6.7 mHz) lasting for about 2 hr. The dominant frequency of the oscillation is 3.8 mHz, which is consistent with the frequency of the atmospheric oscillation due to acoustic resonance. The oscillation is most prominent in the eastward (Y) component, with an amplitude of ∼3 nT, which is much larger than those previously reported for other events (〈1 nT). Comparably large oscillation is not found at other stations located further away (〉2700 km). However, geomagnetic oscillation with a much smaller amplitude (∼0.3 nT) is observed at Honolulu, which is located near the magnetic conjugate point of Hunga Tonga, in a similar wave form as at Apia, indicating interhemispheric coupling. This is the first time that geomagnetic oscillations due to the atmospheric acoustic resonance are simultaneously detected at magnetic conjugate points.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: The effect of the January 2022 Hunga Tonga‐Hunga Ha’apai volcano eruption on the geomagnetic field is examined. Geomagnetic oscillation with a frequency of ∼3.8 mHz is observed simultaneously near the volcano and its magnetic conjugate point. The oscillation is attributed to the acoustic resonance of the atmosphere.
    Beschreibung: Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002322
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: https://www.intermagnet.org/data-donnee/download-eng.php
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:538.7 ; ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 42
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-10-04
    Beschreibung: The role of clouds for radiative transfer, precipitation formation, and their interaction with atmospheric dynamics depends strongly on cloud microphysics. The parameterization of cloud microphysical processes in weather and climate models is a well‐known source of uncertainties. Hence, robust quantification of this uncertainty is mandatory. Sensitivity analysis to date has typically investigated only a few model parameters. We propose algorithmic differentiation (AD) as a tool to detect the magnitude and timing at which a model state variable is sensitive to any of the hundreds of uncertain model parameters in the cloud microphysics parameterization. AD increases the computational cost by roughly a third in our simulations. We explore this methodology as the example of warm conveyor belt trajectories, that is, air parcels rising rapidly from the planetary boundary layer to the upper troposphere in the vicinity of an extratropical cyclone. Based on the information of derivatives with respect to the uncertain parameters, the ten parameters contributing most to uncertainty are selected. These uncertain parameters are mostly related to the representation of hydrometeor diameter and fall velocity, the activation of cloud condensation nuclei, and heterogeneous freezing. We demonstrate the meaningfulness of the AD‐estimated sensitivities by comparing the AD results with ensemble simulations spawned at different points along the trajectories, where different parameter settings are used in the various ensemble members. The ranking of the most important parameters from these ensemble simulations is consistent with the results from AD. Thus, AD is a helpful tool for selecting parameters contributing most to cloud microphysics uncertainty.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: The formation of clouds is determined by processes that act on smaller scales than weather prediction models can resolve. Consequently, a parameterization with typically hundreds of parameters is constructed to determine the effects of these processes on the resolved larger scales. These parameters are a well‐known source of uncertainty in weather and climate models. Classical attempts to quantify this uncertainty are typically limited to a few parameters. We propose algorithmic differentiation (AD) as a tool to detect parameters with the largest impact for any of the hundreds of parameters on multiple model state variables at every time step in our simulation. This increases the computational cost by roughly a third. The relevance of the AD‐estimated impact is demonstrated by comparing the AD results with ensemble simulations, where different parameter settings are used in the various ensemble members. The ranking of the most important parameters from these ensemble simulations is consistent with the results from AD. Thus, AD is a helpful tool to identify parameters objectively that contribute most to uncertainty in cloud parameterizations.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Quantification of multi‐parameter uncertainty of cloud microphysical evolution of WCB trajectories using algorithmic differentiation. Uncertainty at every time step derived with algorithmic differentiation representative for key uncertainty over at least 30 min intervals. Parameterization of CCN activation, diameter size, and fall velocity of hydrometeors have the largest mean impact on water vapor contents.
    Beschreibung: Deutsch Forschungsgemeinschaft DFG
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 43
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-10-04
    Beschreibung: We use a global 5‐km resolution model to analyze the air‐sea interactions during a katabatic storm in the Irminger Sea originating from the Ammassalik valleys. Katabatic storms have not yet been resolved in global climate models, raising the question of whether and how they modify water masses in the Irminger Sea. Our results show that dense water forms along the boundary current and on the shelf during the katabatic storm due to the heat loss caused by the high wind speeds and the strong temperature contrast. The dense water contributes to the lightest upper North Atlantic Deep Water as upper Irminger Sea Intermediate Water and thus to the lower limb of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The katabatic storm triggers a polar low, which in turn amplifies the near‐surface wind speed due to the superimposed pressure gradient, in addition to acceleration from a breaking mountain wave. Overall, katabatic storms account for up to 25% of the total heat loss (20 January 2020 to 30 September 2021) over the Irminger shelf of the Ammassalik area. Resolving katabatic storms in global models is therefore important for the formation of dense water in the western boundary current of the Irminger Sea, which is relevant to the AMOC, and for the large‐scale atmospheric circulation by triggering polar lows.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Katabatic storms are outbursts of cold air associated with strong winds from coastal valleys of Greenland, in particular from the Ammassalik valleys in southeast Greenland. These storms are not resolved in global climate models because of their small spatial extent. However, they are important for the formation of dense water on the Irminger Sea shelf, because they induce a substantial heat loss from the coastal water. In this study, we resolve katabatic storms for the first time in a global climate model and analyze the water transformation caused by a single storm before quantifying the importance of katabatic storms for the entire simulation period. We find that a water mass is formed during the katabatic storm that is dense enough to contribute to the cooling and sinking of the global conveyor belt in the subpolar North Atlantic. Overall, katabatic storms account for up to 25% of the heat loss over the Irminger shelf of the Ammassalik area.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: For the first time, the direct effect of a katabatic storm on the Irminger Sea has been simulated in a global climate model. The katabatic storm induces strong heat loss and dense water formation over the Irminger shelf (Sermilik Trough) and in the boundary current. Dense water forming in the western boundary current during katabatic storms contributes to the lightest upper North Atlantic Deep Water.
    Beschreibung: Collaborative Research Centre TRR181 funded by DFG
    Beschreibung: Max Planck Society for Advancement of Science
    Beschreibung: NextGEMS
    Beschreibung: European Union’s Horizon 2020
    Beschreibung: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0008-ECF1-E
    Beschreibung: https://cera-www.dkrz.de/WDCC/ui/Compact.jsp?acronym=DKRZ_LTA_033_ds00010
    Beschreibung: https://mpimet.mpg.de/en/science/modeling-with-icon/code-availability
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 44
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-10-04
    Beschreibung: We review the widely used concepts of “buoyancy” and “convective available potential energy” (CAPE) in relation to deep convection in tropical cyclones and discuss their limitations. A fact easily forgotten in applying these concepts is that the buoyancy force of an air parcel, as often defined, is non‐unique because it depends on the arbitrary definition of a reference density field. However, when calculating CAPE, the buoyancy of a lifted air parcel is related to the specific reference density field along a vertical column passing through that parcel. Both concepts can be generalized for a vortical flow and to slantwise ascent of a lifted air parcel in such a flow. In all cases, the air parcel is assumed to have infinitely small dimensions. In this article, we explore the consequences of generalizing buoyancy and CAPE for buoyant regions of finite size that perturb the pressure field in their immediate environment. Quantitative calculations of effective buoyancy, defined as the sum of the conventional buoyancy and the static vertical perturbation pressure gradient force induced by it, are shown for buoyant regions of finite width. For a judicious choice of reference density, the effective buoyancy per unit mass is essentially a unique force, independent of the reference density, but its distribution depends on the horizontal scale of the buoyant region. A corresponding concept of “effective CAPE” is introduced and its relevance to deep convection in tropical cyclones is discussed. The study is conceived as a first step to understanding the decreasing ability of inner‐core deep convection in tropical cyclones to ventilate the mass of air converging in the frictional boundary layer as the vortex matures and decays.
    Beschreibung: The buoyancy force of an infinitesimally small air parcel is non‐unique, depending on the arbitrary definition of a reference density field. When calculating the “convective available potential energy” (CAPE), the buoyancy of a lifted air parcel is related to the reference density field along a vertical column passing through that parcel. We generalize buoyancy and CAPE for buoyant regions of finite size that perturb the pressure field in their immediate environment and discuss the relevance to deep convection in tropical cyclones.
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 45
    facet.materialart.
    Unbekannt
    John Wiley & Sons, Ltd | Chichester, UK
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-10-04
    Beschreibung: New cross‐validation diagnostics have been derived by further partitioning well‐established impact diagnostics. They are related to consistency relations, the most prominent of which indicates whether the first‐guess departures of a given observation type pull the model state into the direction of the verifying data (when processed with the ensemble estimated model error covariances). Alternatively, this can be regarded as cross‐validation between model error covariance estimates from the ensemble (which are used in the data assimilation system) and estimates diagnosed directly from the observations. A statistical cross‐validation tool has been developed that includes an indicator of statistical significance as well as a normalization that makes the statistical comparison largely independent from the total number of data and the closeness of their collocation. We also present a version of these diagnostics related to single‐observation experiments that exploits the same consistency relations but is easier to compute. Diagnostics computed within the Deutscher Wetterdienst's localized ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF) are presented for various kinds of bins. Results from well‐established in‐situ measurements are taken as a benchmark for more complex observations. Good agreement is found for radio‐occultation bending angle measurements, whereas atmospheric motion vectors are generally also beneficial but substantially less optimal than the corresponding in‐situ measurements. This is consistent with reported atmospheric motion vector height assignment problems. To illustrate its potential, a recent example is given where the method allowed identifying bias problems of a subgroup of aircraft measurements. Another diagnostic relationship compares the information content of the analysis increments with a theoretical optimum. From this, the information content of the LETKF increments is found to be considerably lower than those of the deterministic hybrid ensemble–variational system, which is consistent with the LETKF's limitation to the comparably low‐dimensional ensemble space for finding the optimal analysis.
    Beschreibung: New cross‐validation diagnostics are presented, allowing to test the consistent use of different observation types in the data assimilation system. The figure gives an example in which these new diagnostics allowed identification of the detrimental impact of a group of aircraft measurements (which as a consequence has now been blacklisted in the Deutscher Wetterdienst's operational system). More precisely, brown colors in this plot indicate regions where these aircraft measurements pulled the analysis state away from radiosonde observations.
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 46
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-10-05
    Beschreibung: The spatial and angular emission patterns of artificial and natural light emitted, scattered, and reflected from the Earth at night are far more complex than those for scattered and reflected solar radiation during daytime. In this commentary, we use examples to show that there is additional information contained in the angular distribution of emitted light. We argue that this information could be used to improve existing remote sensing retrievals based on night lights, and in some cases could make entirely new remote sensing analyses possible. This work will be challenging, so we hope this article will encourage researchers and funding agencies to pursue further study of how multi‐angle views can be analyzed or acquired.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: When satellites take images of Earth, they usually do so from directly above (or as close to it as is reasonably possible). In this comment, we show that for studies that use imagery of Earth at night, it may be beneficial to take several images of the same area at different angles within a short period of time. For example, different types of lights shine in different directions (street lights usually shine down, while video advertisements shine sideways), and tall buildings can block the view of a street from some viewing angles. Additionally, since views from different directions pass through different amounts of air, imagery at multiple angles could be used to obtain information about Earth's atmosphere, and measure artificial and natural night sky brightness. The main point of the paper is to encourage researchers, funding agencies, and space agencies to think about what new possibilities could be achieved in the future with views of night lights at different angles.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Remote sensing using the visible band at night is more complex than during the daytime, especially due to the variety of artificial lights. Views of night lights intentionally taken from multiple angles provide several advantages over near‐nadir or circumstantial view geometries. Night lights remote sensing would benefit from greater consideration of the role viewing geometry plays in the observed radiance.
    Beschreibung: EC H2020 H2020 Societal Challenges http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100010676
    Beschreibung: Helmholtz Association http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100009318
    Beschreibung: Slovak Research and Development Agency
    Beschreibung: Xunta de Galicia (Regional Government of Galicia) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100010801
    Beschreibung: National Aeronautics and Space Administration http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000104
    Beschreibung: University of Hong Kong http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003803
    Beschreibung: Fonds de recherche du Québec
    Beschreibung: EC Emprego, Assuntos Sociais e Inclusão European Social Fund http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100004895
    Beschreibung: Natural Environment Research Council http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000270
    Beschreibung: City of Cologne, Germany
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 47
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-10-06
    Beschreibung: Trade wind convection organises into a rich spectrum of spatial patterns, often in conjunction with precipitation development. Which role spatial organisation plays for precipitation and vice versa is not well understood. We analyse scenes of trade‐wind convection scanned by the C‐band radar Poldirad during the EUREC4A field campaign to investigate how trade‐wind precipitation fields are spatially organised, quantified by the cells' number, mean size, and spatial arrangement, and how this matters for precipitation characteristics. We find that the mean rain rate (i.e., the amount of precipitation in a scene) and the intensity of precipitation (mean conditional rain rate) relate differently to the spatial pattern of precipitation. Whereas the amount of precipitation increases with mean cell size or number, as it scales well with the precipitation fraction, the intensity increases predominantly with mean cell size. In dry scenes, the increase of precipitation intensity with mean cell size is stronger than in moist scenes. Dry scenes usually contain fewer cells with a higher degree of clustering than moist scenes do. High precipitation intensities hence typically occur in dry scenes with rather large, few, and strongly clustered cells, whereas high precipitation amounts typically occur in moist scenes with rather large, numerous, and weakly clustered cells. As cell size influences both the intensity and amount of precipitation, its importance is highlighted. Our analyses suggest that the cells' spatial arrangement, correlating mainly weakly with precipitation characteristics, is of second‐order importance for precipitation across all regimes, but it could be important for high precipitation intensities and to maintain precipitation amounts in dry environments.
    Beschreibung: We analyse scenes of trade‐wind convection scanned by the C‐band radar Poldirad during the EUREC4A field campaign to investigate how trade‐wind precipitation fields are spatially organised, quantified by the cells' number, mean size, and spatial arrangement, and how this matters for precipitation characteristics. We conclude that the cells' size is important for both the amount and intensity of precipitation, whereas the cells' spatial arrangement is of second‐order importance for precipitation across all regimes, but possibly important for precipitation in dry environments.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) under Germany's Excellence Strategy—EXC 2037 'CLICCS—Climate, Climatic Change, and Society'
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.25326/217
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.25326/79
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 48
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-10-06
    Beschreibung: Prominent excursions in the number of cosmogenic nuclides (e.g., 10Be) around 774 CE/775 document the most severe solar proton event (SPE) throughout the Holocene. Its manifestation in ice cores is valuable for geochronology, but also for solar‐terrestrial physics and climate modeling. Using the ECHAM/MESSy Atmospheric Chemistry (EMAC) climate model in combination with the Warning System for Aviation Exposure to SEP (WASAVIES), we investigate the transport, mixing, and deposition of the cosmogenic nuclide 10Be produced by the 774 CE/775 SPE. By comparing the model results to the reconstructed 10Be time series from four ice core records, we study the atmospheric pathways of 10Be from its stratospheric source to its sink at Earth's surface. The reconstructed post‐SPE evolution of the 10Be surface fluxes at the ice core sites is well captured by the model. The downward transport of the 10Be atoms is controlled by the Brewer‐Dobson circulation in the stratosphere and cross‐tropopause transport via tropopause folds or large‐scale sinking. Clear hemispheric differences in the transport and deposition processes are identified. In both polar regions the 10Be surface fluxes peak in summertime, with a larger influence of wet deposition on the seasonal 10Be surface flux in Greenland than in Antarctica. Differences in the peak 10Be surface flux following the 774 CE/775 SPE at the drilling sites are explained by specific meteorological conditions depending on the geographic locations of the sites.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: During large solar storms, high energy particles are hurled with enormous force toward Earth by the Sun. As these particles collide with atmospheric constituents (such as oxygen or nitrogen) unique nuclides of cosmogenic origin are formed in the higher atmosphere. From there they are transported downwards and finally precipitate at the surface due to different sink processes. Their imprints can be conserved over thousands of years within natural archives, such as ice cores or tree rings. Analysis of these natural archives around the globe indicates that the strongest solar storm over the last 10.000 years happened around 774 CE/775. This event is estimated to have been up to two orders of magnitude stronger, than the strongest known events documented for the satellite era. In this study, we model and analyze the transport and deposition of the cosmogenic nuclides produced by the extreme 774 CE/775 event, by applying a new experimental setup. Our results might help to interpret the fingerprints of historical extreme events with respect to the prevailing atmospheric conditions.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: The modeled transport and deposition of the cosmogenic nuclide10Be produced by the 774/775 solar proton event was compared to 10Be ice core records. Hemispheric differences in stratospheric and cross‐tropopause transport, and deposition were identified, with polar summertime maxima of 10Be surface flux. Differences in reconstructed10Be surface fluxes are explained by the local ratio of wet to dry deposition maximizing in the summertime.
    Beschreibung: MEXT Japan Society for the Promotion of Science http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001691
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 49
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-10-06
    Beschreibung: The stochastically perturbed parametrisation tendency (SPPT) scheme is a well‐established technique in ensemble forecasting to address model uncertainty by introducing perturbations into the tendencies provided by the physics parametrisations. The magnitude of the perturbations scales with the local net parametrisation tendency, resulting in large perturbations where diabatic processes are active. Rapidly ascending air streams, such as warm conveyor belts (WCBs) and organized tropical convection, are often driven by cloud diabatic processes and are therefore prone to such perturbations. This study investigates the effects of SPPT and initial condition perturbations on rapidly ascending air streams by computing trajectories in sensitivity experiments with the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble prediction system, which are set up to disentangle the effects of initial conditions and physics perturbations. The results demonstrate that SPPT systematically increases the frequency of rapidly ascending air streams. The effect is observed globally, but is enhanced in regions where the latent heating along the trajectories is larger. Despite the frequency changes, there are only minor modifications to the physical properties of the trajectories due to SPPT. In contrast to SPPT, initial condition perturbations do not affect WCBs and tropical convection systematically. An Eulerian perspective on vertical velocities reveals that SPPT increases the frequency of strong upward motions compared with experiments with unperturbed model physics. Consistent with the altered vertical motions, precipitation rates are also affected by the model physics perturbations. The unperturbed control member shows the same characteristics as the experiments without SPPT regarding rapidly ascending air streams. We make use of this to corroborate the findings from the sensitivity experiments by analyzing the differences between perturbed and unperturbed members in operational ensemble forecasts of ECMWF. Finally, we give an explanation of how symmetric, zero‐mean perturbations can lead to a unidirectional response when applied in a nonlinear system.
    Beschreibung: The stochastically perturbed parametrisation tendencies (SPPT) scheme is used at ECMWF to perturb the model physics and introduces state‐dependent perturbations into the parametrisation tendencies. The frequency of rapidly ascending air streams is systematically enhanced when SPPT is active. This effect is stronger when the latent heating is large (panel a), and is therefore more pronounced in the Tropics than in the Extratropics. In contrast, the impact of SPPT on the physical properties of the air streams, such as the latent heat release, is very small (panel b).
    Beschreibung: Helmholtz Young Investigator Group ‘Sub‐ Seasonal Predictability: Understanding the Role of Diabatic Outflow’
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 50
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-10-06
    Beschreibung: Accurate tropospheric delays from Numerical Weather Models (NWM) are an important input to space geodetic techniques, especially for precise real‐time Global Navigation Satellite Systems, which are indispensable to earthquake and tsunami early warning systems as well as weather forecasting. The NWM‐based tropospheric delays are currently provided either site‐specific with a limited spatial coverage, or on two‐dimensional grids close to the Earth surface, which cannot be used for high altitudes. We introduce a new method of representing NWM‐derived tropospheric zenith hydrostatic and wet delays. A large volume of NWM‐derived data is parameterized with surface values and additional two or three coefficients for their vertical scaling to heights up to 14 km. A precision of 1–2 mm is achieved for reconstructing delays to the NWM‐determined delays at any altitudes. The method can efficiently deliver NWM‐derived tropospheric delays to a broader community of space geodetic techniques.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Precise positioning with microwave‐based space geodetic techniques, such as Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS), requires accurate modeling of the atmospheric refraction. Numerical Weather Models (NWM) can provide tropospheric delays with an accuracy of 1–2 cm in zenith direction and are therefore useful for improving the data analysis. However, due to the large data volume to handle, NWM‐based products are typically provided only for selected sites, or on a global grid referring to a specific height. We provide an efficient method to represent the vertical profile of tropospheric delay from the Earth surface up to 14 km altitude with a precision of 1–2 mm. The method is used to preserve the precision of NWM‐derived tropospheric delays at the altitudes using three to four coefficients per geographic location (longitude, latitude) at the ground. This paves the way of applying the NWM‐based accurate tropospheric delays in space geodetic data analysis, especially for global augmentations of real‐time GNSS, which play a critical role in the rapid characterization and early warning of geohazards such as earthquake and tsunami, as well as kinematic platforms of high altitudes.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: New method for precise modeling of the zenith hydrostatic and wet delays from the Earth surface up to an altitude of 14 km. Tropospheric delay vertical modeling precision of better than 3 mm is achieved on a global scale. The method provides numerical weather model‐derived precise tropospheric augmentation correction for real‐time space geodetic techniques.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: China Scholarship Council CSC
    Beschreibung: Helmholtz OCPC Program
    Beschreibung: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsapp
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 51
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-09-22
    Beschreibung: February‐March 2020 was marked by highly anomalous large‐scale circulations in the Northern extratropical troposphere and stratosphere. The Atlantic jet reached extreme strength, linked to some of the strongest and most persistent positive values of the Arctic Oscillation index on record, which provided conditions for extreme windstorms hitting Europe. Likewise, the stratospheric polar vortex reached extreme strength that persisted for an unusually long period. Past research indicated that such circulation extremes occurring throughout the troposphere‐stratosphere system are dynamically coupled, although the nature of this coupling is still not fully understood and generally difficult to quantify. We employ sets of numerical ensemble simulations to statistically characterize the mutual coupling of the early 2020 extremes. We find the extreme vortex strength to be linked to the reflection of upward propagating planetary waves and the occurrence of this reflection to be sensitive to the details of the vortex structure. Our results show an overall robust coupling between tropospheric and stratospheric anomalies: ensemble members with polar vortex exceeding a certain strength tend to exhibit a stronger tropospheric jet and vice versa. Moreover, members exhibiting a breakdown of the stratospheric circulation (e.g., sudden stratospheric warming) tend to lack periods of persistently enhanced tropospheric circulation. Despite indications for vertical coupling, our simulations underline the role of internal variability within each atmospheric layer. The circulation extremes during early 2020 may be viewed as resulting from a fortuitous alignment of dynamical evolutions within the troposphere and stratosphere, aided by each layer's modification of the other layer's boundary condition.
    Beschreibung: Key Points Large‐ensemble simulations are needed to fully characterize coupled extremes in the polar vortex and tropospheric jet in early 2020. Details of the vortex structure play an important role in promoting either reflection or dissipation of upward propagating waves 1 and/or 2. Modulation of lowermost stratospheric circulation from above and below facilitates co‐evolution of tropospheric and stratospheric extremes.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/reanalysis-datasets/era5
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5282/ubm/data.281
    Beschreibung: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao.shtml
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 52
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-09-22
    Beschreibung: Based on the analysis of electron density Ne profiles (Grahamstown ionosonde), a case study of the height‐dependent ionospheric response to two 27‐day solar rotation periods in 2019 is performed. A well‐defined sinusoidal response is observed for the period from 27 April 2019 to 24 May 2019 and reproduced with a Thermosphere‐Ionosphere‐Electrodynamics General Circulation Model simulation. The occurring differences between model and observations as well as the driving physical and chemical processes are discussed based on the height‐dependent variations of Ne and major species. Further simulations with an artificial noise free sinusoidal solar flux input show that the Ne delay is defined by contributions due to accumulation of O+ at the Ne peak (positive delay) and continuous loss of O2+ in the lower ionosphere (negative delay). The neutral parts' 27‐day signatures show stronger phase shifts. The time‐dependent and height‐dependent impact of the processes responsible for the delayed ionospheric response can therefore be described by a joint analysis of the neutral and ionized parts. The return to the initial ionospheric state (and thus the loss of the accumulated O+) is driven by an increase of downward transport in the second half of the 27‐day solar rotation period. For this reason, the neutral vertical winds (upwards and downwards) and their different height‐dependent 27‐day signatures are discussed. Finally, the importance of a wavelength‐dependent analysis, statistical methods (superposed epoch analysis), and coupling with the middle atmosphere is discussed to outline steps for future analysis.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: A response to solar 27‐day signatures is observed in ionosonde Ne height profiles and successfully reproduced with a Thermosphere‐Ionosphere‐Electrodynamics General Circulation Model simulation. Height‐dependent variations of the delayed ionospheric response are driven by the respective contributions of O+ and O2+. Transport processes have a significant impact on the 27‐day signatures of neutral and ionized parts in the upper atmosphere.
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:538.7 ; ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 53
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    Unbekannt
    John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. | Chichester, UK
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-09-22
    Beschreibung: This note is framed as an open question to the community regarding parameterisation schemes using the blocking layer depth to reduce the orographic gravity wave drag. It is the purpose of this note to argue that the current orographic gravity wave drag parameterisation in the vicinity of blocking is inadequate. Reducing the gravity wave amplitude (and thereby reducing the gravity wave drag) by assuming an effective mountain height dependent on the blocking depth is not realistic. The arguments given here will hopefully spark a debate and new considerations, ultimately leading to improvements in current orographic gravity wave drag parameterisations. This note illustrates that low‐level blocking can induce more gravity waves or gravity waves with a higher momentum flux (compared to the current parameterisation schemes). More realistic parameterisation schemes are likely to improve the models' performance. However, the fact is complex theories are needed to describe gravity wave excitation by orography so that it is difficult to represent gravity wave nature by a ‘too simple’ parameterisation scheme.
    Beschreibung: The purpose of this letter is to provide arguments that the current gravity wave drag parameterisation in the vicinity of blocking is inadequate. Reducing the gravity wave drag depending on the blocking depth is not a realistic representation. The letter lists five ways in which the blocking layer can result in a greater amount of gravity wave drag.
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 54
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-06-17
    Beschreibung: Relationships between vegetation and air quality are intricate and still not fully understood. For regional air quality assessments, a better understanding of the diverse feedback mechanisms is crucial. The present article investigates the impact of land use data set detailedness on air quality predictions. Therefore, two different land use data sets were applied for simulations with COSMO‐MUSCAT for Germany in May 2014. One data set includes detailed information about tree species while the second one obtains generalized widely applied land use classes including mixed and coniferous forests. Moreover, we examined the role of agricultural NO soil emissions, agricultural biomass density enhancements, and model resolution. For a more comprehensive implementation of the secondary organic aerosol (SOA) formation, the SOA module was extended considering additional biogenic volatile organic compound (BVOC) precursor groups from isoprene, α‐pinene, limonene, and sesquiterpene oxidations. The model studies showed substantial differences in BVOC emission patterns between the two land use data sets. The application of detailed tree species information leads to complex BVOC emission patterns with high emission spots. In contrast, coarser forest information lead to standardized comprehensive emissions which result in 50% higher BVOC emissions. These differences affect both the atmospheric oxidizing potential and the production rates of SOA precursors. Land use induced regional differences (tree species minus forest information) in NOx (±2.5%), ozone (−2.5%), OH (±50%), NO3 radical (+70%) concentrations, and SOA (−60%) mass are modeled. Overall, the simulations demonstrate that detailed land use information, extended organic chemistry treatment, and high spatial resolution are mandatory for air quality assessments.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Trees are associated with being the lungs of the atmosphere as they filter out harmful substances from the air, they store CO2, and produce oxygen via photosynthesis. Other by‐products of photosynthesis are biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOCs). BVOCs are chemical substances with a high vapor pressure already at room temperatures, so they quickly evaporate from the leaves into the surrounding air and are responsible for the characteristic forest smell. The amount and composition of BVOC emissions strongly depend on the tree species. Every plant has its own distinct emission properties. The chemical degradation of BVOCs impacts the chemical composition of the troposphere and is connected to ground level ozone production and the formation of secondary organic aerosols (SOA), contributing substantially to particulate matter (PM). On a global scale, standardized BVOC emission information on forest levels are often used, but for regional air quality assessments detailed plant specific information is crucial, but still often lacking. Therefore, two different land use data sets were applied in the present study to investigate the impact of standardized forest versus detailed tree‐species information for Germany in May 2014. The study reveals changes in NOx (±2.5%), ozone (−2.5%), OH (±50%), NO3 radical (+70%), and SOA (−60%) concentrations.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Detail of land use data sets crucial for biogenic volatile organic compound emission strength and composition. Composition and concentration variation of these organic compounds induce changes in regional air quality predictions. Detailed land use information, extended organic matter treatment, and high‐resolution simulations are mandatory for air quality assessments.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Bundesstiftung Umwelt (DBU) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100007636
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4783106
    Beschreibung: http://ebas.nilu.no/
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; ddc:551.9
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 55
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-08-09
    Beschreibung: High wind speed (U) is one of the most dangerous natural hazards in North America and Europe. As a result, spatially explicit, statistical estimation of extreme U is of particular relevance for many sectors. However, the most common sources of wind speed data such as reanalysis data and in situ measurements are limited for this purpose due to their coarse spatial resolution and low representativeness. Thus, the main goal was to develop a high spatial resolution (250 m × 250 m) model (GloWiSMo‐X) for monthly mapping of the maximum hourly U for a 10‐year return period (U10yr) in North America and Europe. The multistep development of GloWiSMo‐X is based on 2544 hourly U time series available from the integrated surface global hourly meteorological data set (UNCEI), U time series from ERA5 (UERA5), and mean wind speed from the Global Wind Speed Model (U¯GloWiSMo). Firstly, the block maxima method was applied to estimate monthly wind speed for a 10‐year return period for both UNCEI (U10yr,NCEI) and UERA5 (U10yr,ERA5). Secondly, the least squares boosting approach was used to predict the target variable U10yr,NCEI yielding the predictions Û10yr. The predictor variables U10yr,ERA5, U¯GloWiSMo, continent, and month were used as input. It was found that the highest monthly continental means of Û10yr (U¯10yr) in January are 16.4 m/s in North America and 16.3 m/s in Europe. U¯10yr dropped to 13.4 m/s and 12.5 m/s in August. The annual cycle of U¯10yr is more pronounced in Europe than in North America. The central parts of the USA and Western Europe were identified as intracontinental regions with the highest U¯10yr. GloWiSMo‐X proves to be very broadly applicable as it covers two different continents and all months. The model validation by the mean squared error (MSE) demonstrates its improved predictive power compared to ERA5.
    Beschreibung: A high spatial resolution (250 m × 250 m) model (GloWiSMo‐X) for monthly mapping of the maximum hourly wind speed for a 10‐year return period in North America and Europe was developed. The highest monthly continental means are 16.4 m/s in North America and 16.3 m/s in Europe. Due to the pronounced annual cycle, it drops to 13.4 m/s and 12.5 m/s in August. image
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz und nukleare Sicherheit
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 56
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-12-06
    Beschreibung: Deep learning can accurately represent sub‐grid‐scale convective processes in climate models, learning from high resolution simulations. However, deep learning methods usually lack interpretability due to large internal dimensionality, resulting in reduced trustworthiness in these methods. Here, we use Variational Encoder Decoder structures (VED), a non‐linear dimensionality reduction technique, to learn and understand convective processes in an aquaplanet superparameterized climate model simulation, where deep convective processes are simulated explicitly. We show that similar to previous deep learning studies based on feed‐forward neural nets, the VED is capable of learning and accurately reproducing convective processes. In contrast to past work, we show this can be achieved by compressing the original information into only five latent nodes. As a result, the VED can be used to understand convective processes and delineate modes of convection through the exploration of its latent dimensions. A close investigation of the latent space enables the identification of different convective regimes: (a) stable conditions are clearly distinguished from deep convection with low outgoing longwave radiation and strong precipitation; (b) high optically thin cirrus‐like clouds are separated from low optically thick cumulus clouds; and (c) shallow convective processes are associated with large‐scale moisture content and surface diabatic heating. Our results demonstrate that VEDs can accurately represent convective processes in climate models, while enabling interpretability and better understanding of sub‐grid‐scale physical processes, paving the way to increasingly interpretable machine learning parameterizations with promising generative properties.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Deep neural nets are hard to interpret due to their hundred thousand or million trainable parameters without further postprocessing. We demonstrate in this paper the usefulness of a network type that is designed to drastically reduce this high dimensional information in a lower‐dimensional space to enhance the interpretability of predictions compared to regular deep neural nets. Our approach is, on the one hand, able to reproduce small‐scale cloud related processes in the atmosphere learned from a physical model that simulates these processes skillfully. On the other hand, our network allows us to identify key features of different cloud types in the lower‐dimensional space. Additionally, the lower‐order manifold separates tropical samples from polar ones with a remarkable skill. Overall, our approach has the potential to boost our understanding of various complex processes in Earth System science.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: A Variational Encoder Decoder (VED) can predict sub‐grid‐scale thermodynamics from the coarse‐scale climate state. The VED's latent space can distinguish convective regimes, including shallow/deep/no convection. The VED's latent space reveals the main sources of convective predictability at different latitudes.
    Beschreibung: EC ERC HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100019180
    Beschreibung: Columbia sub‐award 1
    Beschreibung: Advanced Research Projects Agency - Energy http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100006133
    Beschreibung: Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100018730
    Beschreibung: National Science Foundation Science and Technology Center Learning the Earth with Artificial intelligence and Physics
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; machine learning ; generative deep learning ; convection ; parameterization ; explainable artificial intelligence ; dimensionality reduction
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 57
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-12-05
    Beschreibung: Classification of atmospheric circulation patterns (CP) is a common tool for downscaling rainfall, but it is rarely used for West Africa. In this study, a two‐step classification procedure is proposed for this region, which is applied from 1989 to 2010 for the Sudan‐Sahel zone (Central Burkina Faso) with a focus on heavy rainfall. The approach is based on a classification of large‐scale atmospheric CPs (e.g., Saharan Heat Low) of the West African Monsoon using a fuzzy rule‐based method to describe the seasonal rainfall variability. The wettest CPs are further classified using meso‐scale monsoon patterns to better describe the daily rainfall variability during the monsoon period. A comprehensive predictor screening for the seasonal classification indicates that the best performing predictor variables (e.g., surface pressure, meridional moisture fluxes) are closely related to the main processes of the West African Monsoon. In the second classification step, the stream function at 700 hPa for identifying troughs and ridges of tropical waves shows the highest performance, providing an added value to the overall performance of the classification. Thus, the new approach can better distinguish between dry and wet CPs during the rainy season. Moreover, CPs are identified that are of high relevance for daily heavy rainfall in the study area. The two wettest CPs caused roughly half of the extremes on about 6.5% of days. Both wettest patterns are characterized by an intensified Saharan Heat Low and a cyclonic rotation near the study area, indicating a tropical wave trough. Since the classification can be used to condition other statistical approaches used in climate sciences and other disciplines, the presented classification approach opens many different applications for the West African Monsoon region.
    Beschreibung: A two‐step classification of daily atmospheric circulation patterns is used to describe seasonal and daily rainfall variability in West Africa. The approach clearly distinguishes between dry and wet patterns if sea level pressure and stream function at 700 hPa are used. The two wettest patterns trigger about half of heavy rainfall events in Central Burkina Faso. They are characterized by an intensified Saharan Heat Low and a cyclonic rotation indicating a tropical wave trough near the study area.
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; circulation pattern ; classification ; downscaling ; heavy rainfall ; West Africa
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 58
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-12-07
    Beschreibung: Based on velocity data from a long‐term moored observatory located at 0°N, 23°W we present evidence of a vertical asymmetry during the intraseasonal maxima of northward and southward upper‐ocean flow in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean. Periods of northward flow are characterized by a meridional velocity maximum close to the surface, while southward phases show a subsurface velocity maximum at about 40 m. We show that the observed asymmetry is caused by the local winds. Southerly wind stress at the equator drives northward flow near the surface and southward flow below that is superimposed on the Tropical Instability Wave (TIW) velocity field. This wind‐driven overturning cell, known as the Equatorial Roll, shows a distinct seasonal cycle linked to the seasonality of the meridional component of the south‐easterly trade winds. The superposition of vertical shear of the Equatorial Roll and TIWs causes asymmetric mixing during northward and southward TIW phases.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary; Tropical Instability Waves (TIWs) are clear in satellite measurements of sea surface temperature as horizontal undulations with wavelength of the order of 1,000 km in equatorial regions of both Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. TIWs are characterized by their distinctive upper‐ocean meridional velocity structure. TIWs amplify vertical shear and thus contribute to the generation of turbulence which in turn leads to the mixing of heat and freshwater downward into the deeper ocean. In this study we show that the prevailing southerly winds in the central equatorial Atlantic drive near‐surface northward and subsurface southward flows, which are superposed on the meridional TIW velocity field. The strength of this wind driven cell is linked to the seasonal cycle of the northward component of the trade winds, peaking in boreal fall when TIWs reach their maximum amplitude. The overturning cell affects the vertical structure of the meridional velocity field and thus has impact on the generation of current shear and turbulence. We show that the overturning reduces/enhances shear during northward/southward TIW flow, an asymmetry that is consistent with independent measurements showing asymmetric mixing.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Composites of Tropical Instability Waves at 0°N, 23°W show a surface (subsurface) velocity maximum during northward (southward) phases. Meridional wind stress forces a seasonally‐varying, shallow cross‐equatorial overturning cell‐the Equatorial Roll. The superposition of Tropical Instability Waves and Equatorial Roll causes asymmetric mixing during north‐ and southward phases.
    Beschreibung: EU H2020
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: US NSF
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000192
    Beschreibung: National Academy of Sciences http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000209
    Beschreibung: National Science Foundation http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000001
    Beschreibung: https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.941042
    Beschreibung: https://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/drupal/disdel/
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; tropical instability waves ; equatorial Atlantic ; equatorial roll ; moored velocity data ; ocean mixing ; ocean observations
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 59
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-11-01
    Beschreibung: An update of the two‐energy turbulence scheme is presented, the 2TE + APDF scheme. The original version of the two‐energy scheme is able to successfully model shallow convection without the need of an additional parameterization for non‐local fluxes. However, the performance of the two‐energy scheme is worse in stratocumulus cases, where it tends to overestimate the erosion of the stable layers. We have identified the causes: the non‐local stability parameter does not consider local stratification, the scheme lacks an internal parameter that could distinguish between a shallow convection regime and a stratocumulus regime, and it uses an inflexible turbulence length scale formulation. To alleviate this problem, we propose several modifications: an update of the stability parameter, a modified computation of the turbulence length scale, and the introduction of the entropy potential temperature to distinguish between a shallow convection and a stratocumulus regime. In addition, the two‐energy scheme is coupled to a simplified assumed probability density function method in order to achieve a more universal representation of the cloudy regimes. The updated turbulence scheme is evaluated for several idealized cases and one selected real case in the ICOsahedral Nonhydrostatic (ICON) modeling framework. The results show that the updated scheme corrects the overmixing problem in the stratocumulus cases. The performance of the updated scheme is comparable to the operational setup, and can be thus used instead of the operational turbulence and shallow convection scheme in ICON. Additionally, the updated scheme improves the coupling with dynamics, which is beneficial for the modeling of coherent flow structures in the atmospheric boundary layer.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: The two‐energy turbulence scheme parametrizes turbulence and boundary layer clouds in a unified framework. This enables the scheme to be more consistent and more continuous in time and space than the classical combination of separate turbulence and convection schemes. The original version of the scheme tends to overestimate the erosion of the stable layers, particularly in stratocumulus cases. We have identified several reasons for this problem and updated the scheme accordingly. To achieve a more universal representation of the cloudy regimes, the two‐energy scheme has been also coupled to the assumed probability density function (PDF) method. This method is based on assuming the shape of the trivariate PDF of moisture, heat and vertical velocity. The new version of the scheme was implemented into the ICOsahedral Nonhydrostatic (ICON) modeling framework and was tested on several idealized cases and one realistic case. The results show that the updated scheme corrects the overmixing problem in the stratocumulus cases. The performance of the updated scheme is comparable to the operational setup, and can be thus used instead of the operational turbulence and shallow convection scheme in ICON. Additionally, the updated scheme improves the coupling with dynamics, which is beneficial for the modeling of coherent flow structures in the atmospheric boundary layer.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: An update of the two‐energy scheme for the unified parameterization of the turbulence and clouds in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) is presented. The performance of the updated scheme is comparable to the operational ICOsahedral Nonhydrostatic configuration. The updated scheme shows the ability to model coherent flow structures in the ABL.
    Beschreibung: Hans Ertel Centre for Weather Research of DWD
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: https://zenodo.org/record/822842
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6403030
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:550.724 ; ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 60
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-01-17
    Beschreibung: In this study, a spectral model for convective transport is coupled to a thermal population model on a two‐dimensional horizontal “microgrid,” covering the typical gridbox size of general circulation models. The goal is to explore new ways of representing impacts of spatial organization in cumulus cloud fields. The thermals are considered the smallest building block of convection, with thermal life cycle and movement represented through binomial functions. Thermals interact through two simple rules, reflecting pulsating growth and environmental deformation. Long‐lived thermal clusters thus form on the microgrid, exhibiting scale growth and spacing that represent simple forms of spatial organization and memory. Size distributions of cluster number are diagnosed from the microgrid through an online clustering algorithm, and provided as input to a spectral multiplume eddy‐diffusivity mass flux scheme. This yields a decentralized transport system, in that the thermal clusters acting as independent but interacting nodes that carry information about spatial structure. The main objectives of this study are (a) to seek proof of concept of this approach, and (b) to gain insight into impacts of spatial organization on convective transport. Single‐column model experiments demonstrate satisfactory skill in reproducing two observed cases of continental shallow convection. Metrics expressing self‐organization and spatial organization match well with large‐eddy simulation results. We find that in this coupled system, spatial organization impacts convective transport primarily through the scale break in the size distribution of cluster number. The rooting of saturated plumes in the subcloud mixed layer plays a key role in this process.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Recent studies have emphasized the importance of the spatial structure of convective cloud fields in Earth's climate, yet this phenomenon is not yet represented well in Earth System Models (ESMs). This study explores a new way to achieve this goal, by considering spatial organization at the scale of small bubbles of rising air called thermals that together make up convective clouds. Populations of interacting thermals are modeled in a computationally efficient way on a small two‐dimensional grid. This microgrid is then coupled to a convection scheme, which stands for the set of equations used to statistically represent the impact of convective transport at scales that remain unresolved in ESMs. The coupling makes the scheme decentralized, in that the transport becomes dependent on a population of longer‐lived convective structures that slowly develop and evolve on the microgrid. The new scheme is tested for observed conditions at a meteorological site in the Southern Great Plains area of the United States, making use of a combination of high‐resolution simulations and measurements to evaluate performance. Apart from proof of concept for the new modeling approach, the results provide new insights into how the spatial structure of convective cloud populations can affect its vertical transport.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: A multiplume spectral convection scheme is coupled to a binomial thermal population model on a horizontal microgrid. Observed diurnal cycles of continental shallow convection are reproduced, including good agreement on scale growth and spatial organization. Spatial organization impacts convective transport through the scale break in the cluster number density, with a key role played by plume rooting.
    Beschreibung: U.S. Department of Energy http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000015
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6044338
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; convective parameterization ; spatial organization ; population dynamics ; thermals ; microgrid modeling ; shallow cumulus
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 61
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-01-14
    Beschreibung: Specular meteor radars (SMRs) have significantly contributed to the understanding of wind dynamics in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT). We present a method to estimate horizontal correlations of vertical vorticity (Qzz) and horizontal divergence (P) in the MLT, using line‐of‐sight multistatic SMRs velocities, that consists of three steps. First, we estimate 2D, zonal, and meridional correlation functions of wind fluctuations (with periods less than 4 hr and vertical wavelengths smaller than 4 km) using the wind field correlation function inversion (WCFI) technique. Then, the WCFI's statistical estimates are converted into longitudinal and transverse components. The conversion relation is obtained by considering the rotation about the vertical direction of two velocity vectors, from an east‐north‐up system to a meteor‐pair‐dependent cylindrical system. Finally, following a procedure previously applied in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere to airborne wind measurements, the longitudinal and transverse spatial correlations are fitted, from which Qzz, P, and their spectra are directly estimated. The method is applied to a special Spread spectrum Interferometric Multistatic meteor radar Observing Network data set, obtained over northern Germany for seven days in November 2018. The results show that in a quasi‐axisymmetric scenario, P was more than five times larger than Qzz for the horizontal wavelengths range given by ∼50–400 km, indicating a predominance of internal gravity waves over vortical modes of motion as a possible explanation for the MLT mesoscale dynamics during this campaign.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: We investigate the horizontal correlation functions of vertical vorticity and horizontal divergence for mesoscale wind fluctuations in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere. 2D zonal and meridional correlation functions and 1D longitudinal and transverse correlation functions as a function of horizontal lags are analyzed. The divergence dominated over the vorticity during November 2018 in northern Germany.
    Beschreibung: Leibniz SAW
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: French Ministry of Foreign and European
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.22000/536
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; MLT ; vorticity ; correlation function ; meteor radar ; mesoscales ; divergence
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 62
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-01-14
    Beschreibung: High‐resolution flight data obtained from in situ measurements in the free atmosphere aboard the High Altitude and Long Range Research Aircraft (HALO) are used to determine eddy dissipation rates along extended flights during the recent Southern Hemisphere Transport, Dynamics, and Chemistry aircraft campaign (SOUTHTRAC) in the 2019 austral winter. These data are analyzed and correlated with quantities characterizing the ambient airflow and the magnitudes of vertical energy propagation through internal gravity waves. The observed turbulence events are strongly correlated with elevated shear values, and overturning gravity waves do not appear to play a role. A highlight of the analysis is the validation of a recently implemented Clear Air Turbulence (CAT) forecast index in the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecast integrated forecast system. Here we find a slightly better correlation of the CAT prediction with the HALO research aircraft observations compared to those of commercial aircraft. The observed turbulence during SOUTHTRAC was never stronger than moderate, as EDR values remained below 0.3 m2/3 s−1. In general, light and light‐to‐moderate turbulence events were extremely rare, occurring in only about 5% of the flight time, and stronger events in less than 0.2%. These results are also reflected in the local atmospheric conditions, which were dominated by a thermally very stable airflow with low vertical shear and large Richardson numbers.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: This study analyzes high‐resolution data of velocity components in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere collected with the German research aircraft High Altitude and Long Range Research Aircraft during the Southern Hemisphere Transport, Dynamics, and Chemistry (SOUTHTRAC) campaign in September–November 2019. Flights were conducted predominantly over the southern part of South America, the Drake Passage, and the Antarctic Peninsula. The objective of the analysis was to determine the eddy dissipation rates during the 22 flights. The cubic root of eddy dissipation rates is a common measure used to characterize turbulent regions in the atmosphere. High quality observations with a very accurately calibrated sensor are rare, especially in the remote areas of the SOUTHTRAC campaign. Observed eddy dissipation rates have been correlated with gravity wave activity, but these correlations are very small. A much stronger dependence of the eddy dissipation rates exists on the vertical shear of the horizontal wind. Thus, mechanical generation of turbulence appears to dominate in the observed cases. Overall, the observed turbulence was never stronger than moderate. Turbulence events were extremely rare, occurring in only about 5% of the flight time, and stronger events less than 0.2%. Finally, the observed eddy dissipation rates were compared with weather model forecasts, demonstrating their reliability in predicting turbulent regions.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Small eddy dissipation rates were observed in the free atmosphere along extended research flights during Southern Hemisphere Transport, Dynamics, and Chemistry in austral winter 2019. Stronger turbulence events are rare and are mostly correlated with enhanced vertical shear of the horizontal wind. EDR predictions of a 15‐member ensemble shows higher correlation with research aircraft observations than with those by commercial aircraft.
    Beschreibung: Federal Ministry for Education and Research
    Beschreibung: German Science Foundation
    Beschreibung: https://halo-db.pa.op.dlr.de/mission/116
    Beschreibung: https://halo-db.pa.op.dlr.de/dataset/8497
    Beschreibung: https://halo-db.pa.op.dlr.de/dataset/8496
    Beschreibung: https://apps.ecmwf.int/codes/grib/param-db/?id=260290
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.21957/xbar-5611
    Beschreibung: https://halo-db.pa.op.dlr.de/dataset/8955
    Beschreibung: https://madis.ncep.noaa.gov/acars_variable_list.shtml
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; turbulence in the free atmosphere ; eddy dissipation rate ; clear‐air turbulence predictions ; ECMWF integrated forecast system
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 63
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-01-13
    Beschreibung: Low‐level mixed‐phase clouds (MPCs) occur extensively in the Arctic, and are known to play a key role for the energy budget. While their characteristic structure is nowadays well understood, the significance of different precipitation‐formation processes, such as aggregation and riming, is still unclear. Using a 3‐year data set of vertically pointing W‐band cloud radar and K‐band Micro Rain Radar (MRR) observations from Ny‐Ålesund, Svalbard, we statistically assess the relevance of aggregation in Arctic low‐level MPCs. Combining radar observations with thermodynamic profiling, we find that larger snowflakes (mass median diameter larger than 1 mm) are predominantly produced in low‐level MPCs whose mixed‐phase layer is at temperatures between −15 and −10°C. This coincides with the temperature regime known for favoring aggregation due to growth and subsequent mechanical entanglement of dendritic crystals. Doppler velocity information confirms that these signatures are likely due to enhanced ice particle growth by aggregation. Signatures indicative of enhanced aggregation are however not distributed uniformly across the cloud deck, and only observed in limited regions, suggesting a link with dynamical effects. Low Doppler velocity values further indicate that significant riming of large particles is unlikely at temperatures colder than −5°C. Surprisingly, we find no evidence of enhanced aggregation at temperatures warmer than −5°C, as is typically observed in deeper cloud systems. Possible reasons are discussed, likely connected to the ice habits that form at temperatures warmer than −10°C, increased riming, and lack of particle populations characterized by broader size distributions precipitating from higher altitudes.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Low‐level mixed‐phase clouds (MPCs), that is, shallow clouds containing both liquid droplets and ice crystals, form frequently in the Arctic region. Their characteristic structure—consisting of one or multiple liquid layers at sub‐zero temperatures, from which ice crystals form and precipitate—is nowadays well understood. However, the processes that lead to the growth of ice crystals into snow have been overlooked. Using a 3‐year data set of radar observations from Ny‐Ålesund, in Svalbard, Norway, we are able to identify situations when the ice particle growth is dominated by aggregation of several individual crystals. Combining radar observations with temperature information, we find that larger snowflakes are only produced in MPCs if their liquid portion is at temperatures between −15 and −10°C. This coincides with the temperature regime known for favoring aggregation due to growth and subsequent entanglement of branched crystals. Surprisingly, we find no evidence of enhanced ice aggregation at temperatures warmer than −5°C, as is typically observed in deeper cloud systems. Possible reasons are discussed, likely connected to the ice crystal shapes that develop at temperatures warmer than −10°C, increased liquid droplet production, and lack of particles precipitating from higher altitudes.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Low‐level mixed‐phase clouds (MPCs) at Ny‐Ålesund produce large aggregates predominantly at dendritic‐growth temperatures. Enhanced aggregation due to dendritic growth occurs intermittently in limited regions of the MPC. The typically observed enhanced aggregation zone close to 0°C is absent in low‐level MPCs at the site.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; Arctic mixed‐phase clouds ; aggregation ; riming ; dendritic‐growth zone ; radar
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 64
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-01-19
    Beschreibung: Europe has been affected by record‐breaking heat waves in recent decades. Using station data and a gridded reanalysis as input, four commonly used heat wave indices, the heat wave magnitude index daily (HWMId), excess heat factor (EHF), wet‐bulb globe temperature (WBGT) and universal thermal climate index (UTCI), are computed. The extremeness of historical European heat waves between 1979 and 2019 using the four indices and different metrics is ranked. A normalisation to enable the comparison between the four indices is introduced. Additionally, a method to quantify the influence of the input parameters on heat wave magnitude is introduced. The spatio‐temporal behaviour of heat waves is assessed by spatial–temporal tracking. The areal extent, large‐scale intensity and duration are visualized using bubble plots. As expected, temperature explains the largest variance in all indices, but humidity is nearly as important in WBGT and wind speed plays a substantial role in UTCI. While the 2010 Russian heat wave is by far the most extreme event in duration and intensity in all normalized indices, the 2018 heat wave was comparable in size for EHF, WBGT and UTCI. Interestingly, the well‐known 2003 central European heat wave was only the fifth and tenth strongest in cumulative intensity in WBGT and UTCI, respectively. The June and July 2019 heat waves were very intense, but short‐lived, thus not belonging to the top heat waves in Europe when duration and areal extent are taken into account. Overall, the proposed normalized indices and the multi‐metric assessment of large‐scale heat waves allow for a more robust description of their extremeness and will be helpful to assess heat waves worldwide and in climate projections.
    Beschreibung: Europe has been affected by record‐breaking heat waves in recent decades. Using station data and a gridded reanalysis, the extremeness of European heat waves between 1979 and 2019 is ranked using four indices: heat wave magnitude index daily (HWMId), excess heat factor (EHF), wet‐bulb globe temperature (WBGT) and universal thermal climate index (UTCI). In order to assess heatwaves worldwide and in climate projections, the spatial extent, large‐scale intensity and duration of heatwaves are visualized using bubble plots.
    Beschreibung: AXA Research Fund http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001961
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: Karlsruher Institut für Technologie http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100009133
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; duration ; heat wave ; indices ; intensity ; large‐scale ; spatial extent
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 65
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-01-20
    Beschreibung: This study develops an advanced physically‐based parameterization of heterogeneous ice nucleation in cirrus clouds that includes an updated parameterization of stochastic homogeneous freezing of supercooled solution droplets. Both components are formulated based on the same methodology and level of approximation, without numerical integration of the underlying ice supersaturation equation. The new scheme includes measured ice nucleation spectra describing deterministic ice activation from an arbitrary number of types of ice‐nucleating particles (INPs), tracks the competition for available water vapor between the different ice nucleation modes, and allows for new ice formation and growth within pre‐existing cirrus clouds. The computationally efficient scheme works with a minimal set of physical input parameters and predicts total nucleated ice crystal number concentrations (ICNCs) along with the maximum ice supersaturation attained during cirrus formation events. Aspects of its implementation into host models are discussed, including the provision of suitably parameterized vertical wind speeds. The parameterization is validated by comparisons to numerical simulations. First off‐line applications to mineral dust and aviation soot particles are presented, including ICNC ensemble statistics resulting from the coupling with statistics of updraft speed variability.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Two decades after introduction of the first parameterization of cirrus cloud formation by freezing of ubiquitous liquid solution droplets, an improved version is developed based on the latest experimental findings regarding solid ice‐nucleating particles, a small subset of the atmospheric aerosol. The new scheme allows to predict ice crystal formation in cirrus from competing homogeneous freezing and heterogeneous ice activation more realistically and with greater computational efficiency. It considers new developments regarding the properties of vertical wind speeds (triggering ice formation) and the molecular kinetics of water vapor uptake onto ice crystals (controlling ice growth). This study explains the foundation of cirrus ice formation and growth based on cloud physical theory, derives and explains the parameterization, discusses its use in host models to facilitate applications, checks its performance by comparison to comprehensive numerical simulations, and presents first results involving mineral dust and aircraft‐emitted soot particles as examples for good and poor atmospheric ice‐nucleating particles, respectively.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Competing ice nucleation processes in cirrus are predicted reliably and efficiently. Partial activation of dust particles may occur frequently in cirrus formation. Nucleation of ice within already‐existing cirrus requires high updraft speeds.
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; cirrus ; ice nucleation ; parameterization ; dust
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 66
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-12-05
    Beschreibung: Clouds are primary modulators of Earth's energy balance. It is thus important to understand the links connecting variabilities in cloudiness to variabilities in other state variables of the climate system, and also describe how these links would change in a changing climate. A conceptual model of global cloudiness can help elucidate these points. In this work we derive simple representations of cloudiness, that can be useful in creating a theory of global cloudiness. These representations illustrate how both spatial and temporal variability of cloudiness can be expressed in terms of basic state variables. Specifically, cloud albedo is captured by a nonlinear combination of pressure velocity and a measure of the low‐level stability, and cloud longwave effect is captured by surface temperature, pressure velocity, and standard deviation of pressure velocity. We conclude with a short discussion on the usefulness of this work in the context of global warming response studies.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Clouds are important for Earth's climate, because they affect a large portion of the planet's energy balance, and hence its mean temperature. To better understand how the interplay between cloudiness and energy balance would change in a changing climate, a better theoretical understanding of how clouds are distributed over the planet, and how this connects with the state variables of the climate system such as temperature and wind speed, is required. As theoretical understanding is currently limited, in this work we explore the possibility of very simply representing the spatiotemporal distribution of clouds over the whole planet. We believe that these simple representations advance the field in the direction of a conceptual theory of global cloudiness and its impact on the energy balance. We show that the impact of cloudiness on both solar and terrestrial radiation balance can be captured well globally with only a few predictive fields, like surface temperature or vertical wind speed, combined simply and using only three tunable parameters, and without using any supplementary information such as the particular season or location on the planet.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Model fits are performed to the spatiotemporal observed cloudiness over all oceans, using a minimal set of predictors and parameters. Models capture global‐mean, spatial, and most of seasonal variability of cloud radiative effects. Cloud albedo and longwave effect are captured by pressure velocity and its variance, surface temperature, and lower tropospheric stability.
    Beschreibung: CONSTRAIN project EU Horizon 2020
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; global cloudiness ; energy balance ; cloud controlling factors
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 67
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-12-05
    Beschreibung: A promising approach to improve cloud parameterizations within climate models and thus climate projections is to use deep learning in combination with training data from storm‐resolving model (SRM) simulations. The ICOsahedral Non‐hydrostatic (ICON) modeling framework permits simulations ranging from numerical weather prediction to climate projections, making it an ideal target to develop neural network (NN) based parameterizations for sub‐grid scale processes. Within the ICON framework, we train NN based cloud cover parameterizations with coarse‐grained data based on realistic regional and global ICON SRM simulations. We set up three different types of NNs that differ in the degree of vertical locality they assume for diagnosing cloud cover from coarse‐grained atmospheric state variables. The NNs accurately estimate sub‐grid scale cloud cover from coarse‐grained data that has similar geographical characteristics as their training data. Additionally, globally trained NNs can reproduce sub‐grid scale cloud cover of the regional SRM simulation. Using the game‐theory based interpretability library SHapley Additive exPlanations, we identify an overemphasis on specific humidity and cloud ice as the reason why our column‐based NN cannot perfectly generalize from the global to the regional coarse‐grained SRM data. The interpretability tool also helps visualize similarities and differences in feature importance between regionally and globally trained column‐based NNs, and reveals a local relationship between their cloud cover predictions and the thermodynamic environment. Our results show the potential of deep learning to derive accurate yet interpretable cloud cover parameterizations from global SRMs, and suggest that neighborhood‐based models may be a good compromise between accuracy and generalizability.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Climate models, such as the ICOsahedral Non‐hydrostatic climate model, operate on low‐resolution grids, making it computationally feasible to use them for climate projections. However, physical processes –especially those associated with clouds– that happen on a sub‐grid scale (inside a grid box) cannot be resolved, yet they are critical for the climate. In this study, we train neural networks that return the cloudy fraction of a grid box knowing only low‐resolution grid‐box averaged variables (such as temperature, pressure, etc.) as the climate model sees them. We find that the neural networks can reproduce the sub‐grid scale cloud fraction on data sets similar to the one they were trained on. The networks trained on global data also prove to be applicable on regional data coming from a model simulation with an entirely different setup. Since neural networks are often described as black boxes that are therefore difficult to trust, we peek inside the black box to reveal what input features the neural networks have learned to focus on and in what respect the networks differ. Overall, the neural networks prove to be accurate methods of reproducing sub‐grid scale cloudiness and could improve climate model projections when implemented in a climate model.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Neural networks can accurately learn sub‐grid scale cloud cover from realistic regional and global storm‐resolving simulations. Three neural network types account for different degrees of vertical locality and differentiate between cloud volume and cloud area fraction. Using a game theory based library we find that the neural networks tend to learn local mappings and are able to explain model errors.
    Beschreibung: EC ERC HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council
    Beschreibung: Partnership for Advanced Computing in Europe (PRACE)
    Beschreibung: NSF Science and Technology Center, Center for Learning the Earth with Artificial Intelligence and Physics (LEAP)
    Beschreibung: Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum
    Beschreibung: Columbia sub‐award 1
    Beschreibung: https://github.com/agrundner24/iconml_clc
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5788873
    Beschreibung: https://code.mpimet.mpg.de/projects/iconpublic
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; cloud cover ; parameterization ; machine learning ; neural network ; explainable AI ; SHAP
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 68
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-07-25
    Beschreibung: Long believed to be insignificant, melt activity on the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream (NEGIS) has increased in recent years. Summertime Arctic clouds have the potential to strongly affect surface melt processes by regulating the amount of radiation received at the surface. However, the cloud effect over Greenland is spatially and temporally variable and high‐resolution information on the northeast is absent. This study aims at exploring the potential of a high‐resolution configuration of the polar‐optimized Weather Research & Forecasting Model (PWRF) in simulating cloud properties in the area of the Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden Glacier (79 N Glacier). Subsequently, the model simulations are employed to investigate the impact of Arctic clouds on the surface energy budget and on surface melting during the extensive melt event at the end of July 2019. Compared to automatic weather station (AWS) measurements and remote‐sensing data (Sentinel‐2A and the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer, MODIS), PWRF simulates cloud properties with sufficient accuracy. It appears that peak melt was caused by an increase in solar radiation and sensible heat flux (SHF) in response to a blocking anticyclone and foehn winds in the absence of clouds. Cloud warming over high‐albedo surfaces helped to precondition the surface and prolonged the melting as the anticyclone abated. The results are sensitive to the surface albedo and suggest spatiotemporal differences in the cloud effect as snow and ice properties change over the course of the melting season. This demonstrates the importance of including high‐resolution information on clouds in analyses of ice sheet dynamics.
    Beschreibung: German Federal Ministry for Education and Research http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5065/EM0T-1D34
    Beschreibung: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsapp/#!/search?type=dataset
    Beschreibung: https://ladsweb.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/search/
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; cloud properties ; cloud radiative effect ; Northeast Greenland Ice Stream ; regional climate modeling ; surface energy balance ; surface melt ; surface energy balance ; surface melt
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 69
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-01-25
    Beschreibung: Drought poses significant challenges to global water security in a warming world. A global‐scale synthesis of the multivariate drought risk considering interdependencies between drought attributes across disparate climate regimes is still lacking. Leveraging precipitation and streamflow observations of 270 large catchments over the globe, we show that multivariate drought hazard amplifies significantly (at ∼65–76% of catchments) considering dependence between drought duration and severity. A signifying nature of this amplification (A) is the power‐law scaling with dependence metric (A∝τλ;λ=5−12; $A\propto {\tau }^{\lambda };\,\lambda =5-12;$ where τ and λ are Kendall's correlation and the scaling exponent), revealing current approaches considering drought attributes as independent or linearly dependent will severely underestimate likelihood of extreme droughts. Furthermore, we find disparate responses in the multivariate imprints of meteorological to hydrological droughts across climate types, with strengths varying from large to modest in Tropics and Mid‐latitudes, which indicates weaker overlap between rain‐deficit and streamflow droughts. In contrast, a strong overlap in multivariate hazards of rain‐deficit and streamflow droughts is apparent across transitional Subtropics. Our study highlights the relevance of accounting for multivariate aspects of drought hazards to inform adaptation to water scarcity in a changing climate.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: The world's large river basins support a huge population and diverse ecosystems. A growing body of the literature suggests holistic risk management requires a “multivariate event perspective” to analyze interacting drought attributes rather than each of these drivers in isolation. Using the gauge‐based observational framework, we show a robust amplification in multivariate drought hazard and this response co‐vary among distinct climate regimes. Our multivariate hazard framework shows a contrasting response in multivariate imprints (or degree of overlap) of rain‐deficit (drivers) to streamflow (response)‐droughts across disparate climate regimes for milder and extreme categories of droughts; from substantial regional variations in multivariate drought hazard in tropics and mid‐latitudes, revealing a weak imprint between drought types. In contrast, the transitional subtropics show a modest variation in the multivariate imprint of drought types, indicating stronger imprint. We emphasize that failure to account for nonlinear interactions among interacting drought attributes will severely underestimate the extreme drought hazard, jeopardizing the adequacy of resilient water infrastructure design. The insights will aid in adaptation to extreme droughts under global warming.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Global synthesis of multivariate drought imprints between rain‐deficit and streamflow droughts. Observational assessment showed strong amplifications in bivariate drought hazards to dependence. Strong imprints between rain‐deficit and streamflow droughts in transitional sub‐tropics.
    Beschreibung: Department of Science and Technology, Ministry of Science and Technology, India http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001409
    Beschreibung: German Academic Exchange Service New Delhi http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001650
    Beschreibung: Science and Engineering Research Board http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001843
    Beschreibung: Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100008984
    Beschreibung: Deutscher Akademischer Austauschdienst http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001655
    Beschreibung: https://portal.grdc.bafg.de/applications/public.html?publicuser=PublicUser
    Beschreibung: https://opendata.dwd.de/climate_environment/GPCC/html/download_gate.html
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; hydrological drought ; meteorological drought ; multivariate drought hazard
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 70
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-02-28
    Beschreibung: Accurate spatiotemporal precipitation quantification is a crucial prerequisite for hydrological analyses. The optimal reconstruction of the spatial distribution, that is, the rainfall patterns, is particularly challenging. In this study, we reconstructed spatial rainfall on a countrywide scale for Germany by combining commercial microwave link and rain gauge observations for a better representation of the variability and spatial structure of rainfall. We further developed and applied the Random‐Mixing‐Whittaker‐Shannon method, enabling the stochastic reconstruction of ensembles of spatial fields via linear combinations of unconditional random fields. The pattern of rainfall objects is evaluated by three performance characteristics, that is, ensemble Structure‐, Amplitude‐, and Location‐error. Precipitation estimates obtained are in good agreement with the gauge‐adjusted weather radar product RADOLAN‐RW of the German Weather Service (DWD) which was used as a reference. Compared to reconstructions by Ordinary Kriging, Random Mixing showed clear advantages in the pattern representation via a five times smaller median structure error.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Rainfall is commonly measured by dedicated sensors such as rain gauges or weather radars. Commercial microwave links (CMLs), which have the primary purpose of signal forwarding within cellular networks, can be used for rainfall measurements too. The signal, which is transmitted from one antenna to another, is being attenuated if it rains along the path. From the amount of attenuation an average rain rate can be retrieved. For many hydrological applications, it is of major interest to estimate area‐wide rainfall (i.e., rainfall maps) while observations provide only scattered information. In this study, we used the local information from almost 1,000 rain gauges and the information along the paths of 3,900 CMLs distributed over Germany to reconstruct rainfall maps. We did this by applying a method of stochastic simulation (called Random Mixing) which we compared to a more common method of estimation (Ordinary Kriging). To evaluate the quality of the obtained maps, we compared them to rainfall information from weather radars. We found that the general agreement is high, and that maps reconstructed by Random Mixing have particular advantages in representing the spatial structure, that is, the shape of rainfall cells.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Geostatistical Random Mixing simulation now capable of countrywide spatial rainfall interpolation. Variability assessment via commercial microwave link path consideration and ensemble estimation. Realistic rainfall pattern representation quantified by ensemble Structure‐, Amplitude‐, and Location‐error metrics.
    Beschreibung: German Research Foundation
    Beschreibung: Federal Ministry of Education and Research
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4810169
    Beschreibung: https://opendata.dwd.de/climate_environment/CDC
    Beschreibung: https://maps.dwd.de/geoserver/web/wicket/bookmarkable/org.geoserver.web.demo.SRSDescriptionPage?10 26code=EPSG:1000001
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5380342
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7048941
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7049826
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7049846
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; precipitation estimation ; geostatistical simulation ; spatial pattern analysis ; commercial microwave links ; rain gauges ; random mixing
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 71
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-02-09
    Beschreibung: When exposed to sufficiently humid environments, pollen grains burst and release large quantities of small subpollen particles (SPPs) which carry ice nucleating macromolecules. In this study, for the first time we develop a physically based parameterization describing the bursting process of pollen by applying a turgor pressure parameterization and quantify the impact SPPs have on overall ice nucleation in clouds. SPPs are generated from simulated birch pollen emissions over Europe for a 10‐day case study in spring. We found SPP concentrations to surpass pollen grain concentrations by 4–6 orders of magnitude leading to an abundance of biological ice nuclei from SPPs in the range of 103−104 m−3. However, it is found that these concentrations lead to only small changes in hydrometeor number densities and precipitation. Addressing the question when SPPs become relevant for ice nucleation in clouds, we conducted a sensitivity investigation. We find that amplifying ice nucleation efficiency of biological particles by factors greater 100 increases the ice particle numbers by up to 25% (T ≈ 268 K). Strong reductions show in cloud droplet number concentration and water vapor at these temperatures while water vapor is increasing at 600 m. Overall, we found a net reduction of water in the atmosphere as liquid and particularly water vapor density is reduced, while frozen water mass density increases above 257 K. Findings indicate an alteration of mixed‐phase cloud composition and increased precipitation (up to 6.2%) when SPPs are considered as highly efficient biological ice nuclei.
    Beschreibung: Key Points Subpollen particles (SPPs) reach freezing altitudes in large number concentrations. Nucleation efficiency of SPPs affects both amplitude and sign of impact on nucleation processes. Relevant impact requires greatly increased nucleation efficiency of the SPPs.
    Beschreibung: H2020 European Research Council http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100010663
    Beschreibung: University of Toronto Scarborough Department of Physical and Environmental Sciences Travel Award
    Beschreibung: Ministry of Science, Research and the Arts Baden‐Württemberg
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.35097/830
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; subpollen particle ; SPP ; biological ice nucleation ; burst parameterization
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 72
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-11-13
    Beschreibung: Low‐level clouds over the tropical and sub‐tropical oceans play a crucial role in the planetary radiative energy budget. However, they are challenging to model in climate simulations because they are affected by local processes that are still partially unknown. The control that mesoscale sea surface temperature (SST) structures have on the dynamics of the lower atmosphere on daily scales is emerging to be non‐negligible and calls for more effort to be understood. During the EUREC〈sup〉4〈/sup〉A field campaign, two of the research vessels (R/Vs) involved in the experiment sampled the edge of a cold mesoscale SST patch in the north‐western tropical Atlantic, crossing a gradient of roughly 0.75°C/100 km. The comprehensive set of instruments carried by the R/Vs allows an unprecedented characterization of the atmospheric response to the cold water forcing. The cold ocean patch weakens the vertical atmospheric mixing, reducing the boundary layer depth of roughly 200 m and the horizontal wind intensity of approximately 3 m s〈sup〉−1〈/sup〉. At the same time, the humidity content in the sub‐cloud layer increases and these conditions decrease the latent heat flux (by roughly 80 W m〈sup〉−2〈/sup〉) and reduce vertical velocity fluctuations, making it less likely that moisture exceeds the lifting condensation level. As a consequence, fewer and thinner low‐level clouds form over cold water. Independent satellite measurements are found to agree with the in situ observations. The observed link between sea temperature and low‐level clouds highlights its importance in the puzzle of modeling the sea‐air‐cloud interactions.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Puffy clouds typically visible at sea strongly challenge climate models that struggle to represent their interaction with the sea surface and solar radiation. And as a consequence, these climate models cannot precisely estimate how much the Earth's temperature will increase 100 years from now and its uncertainty. We went into the western Atlantic ocean for a month in January–February 2020 to measure sea surface temperature and cloud properties and observe how these changes occur. We saw clouds grow deeper over the warm water patches, holding more water and eventually raining. Weaker winds and more humid air occur on cold patches. Satellite observations seem to record the same behavior over a larger area in the same region. We detected a clear difference in cloud properties and amounts over warm and cold patches from all sensors, recording essential evidence of a feature that is hard to predict. We hope these observations will help to properly simulate the intensity and signs of low‐cloud feedback over warm and cold oceanic patches of water to improve climate models.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Ship‐based observations are used to characterize the lower atmospheric response to a cold patch in the north‐western subtropical Atlantic. Signatures in dynamical and thermodynamical atmospheric properties agree with a reduced vertical mixing over the cold patch. Such a weaker vertical mixing is linked to a reduced shallow cloud cover because less moisture reaches the level of saturation.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: ESA ESRIN
    Beschreibung: MIUR 2018–2022
    Beschreibung: COST European Cooperation in Science and Technology
    Beschreibung: Helmholtz Association of German Research Centers
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6365636
    Beschreibung: https://github.com/ClauClouds/SST-impact/
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; mesoscale SST structures ; low clouds ; cloud feedbacks ; marine boundary layer ; air‐sea interactions ; ship‐based remote sensing
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 73
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-09-13
    Beschreibung: Satellite images show solid marine stratocumulus cloud decks (Sc) that break up over the remote oceans. The Sc breakup is initiated by precipitation and is accompanied by a strong reduction in the cloud radiative effect. Aerosol has been shown to delay the Sc breakup by postponing the onset of precipitation, however its climatic effect is uncertain. Here we introduce a new approach that allows us to re‐cast currently observed cloud cover and albedo to their counterfactual cleaner world, enabling the first estimate of the radiative effect due to delayed cloud breakup. Using simple radiative approximation, the radiative forcing with respect to pre‐industrial times due to delayed Sc breakup is −0.39 W m−2. The radiative effect changes nearly linearly with aerosol due to the droplet concentration control on the cloud cover, suggesting a potentially accelerated warming if the current trend of reduction in aerosol emissions continues.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: The response of cloud cover to aerosol is a climatologically important quantity that has been extremely difficult to estimate. The challenge is that one would need to estimate the fractional area that is currently overcast, but which would have been partly overcast in a cleaner atmosphere. Global climate models (GCMs) are one tool to address such a problem. They allow one to change aerosol levels and to evaluate the cloud response. However, representation of warm, low‐level cloud processes, and in particular aerosol‐cloud interactions in GCMs, is inadequate. Here we introduce an observational method that allows us to re‐cast the currently observed cloud cover and albedo of oceanic warm clouds to their counterfactual state in a cleaner world. We find a linear relationship between the cloud radiative effect and droplet concentration. If we continue to experience a decrease in aerosol emissions then we anticipate a reduction in the aerosol‐cloud radiative effect. The global annual radiative forcing associated with anthropogenic aerosol delaying closed cell breakup is found to be −0.39 W m−2.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: A simple model is presented to describe closed cell breakup by initiation of precipitation. The model demonstrates that the global annual radiative effect due to delayed closed cells breakup changes nearly linearly with emissions. The linearity emerges from the nearly linear relationship between cloud cover and albedo.
    Beschreibung: German Research Foundation
    Beschreibung: Department of Energy's Atmospheric System Research
    Beschreibung: Royal Society University Research Fellowship
    Beschreibung: https://ladsweb.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/archive/allData/61/MOD06_L2/
    Beschreibung: https://ceres-tool.larc.nasa.gov/ord-tool/jsp/SSF1degEd41Selection.jsp
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.bd0915c6
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7072605
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; cloud radiative effect ; stratocumulus ; aerosol cloud interactions ; transitions ; closed cells ; open cells
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 74
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-12-15
    Beschreibung: Contrail ice nucleation and ice crystal loss during the vortex phase control ice crystal numbers in young contrails and can have a strong impact on the properties and the life cycle of contrail cirrus. For current soot number emissions, ice nucleation is controlled by the number of emitted soot particles and atmospheric conditions while the vortex phase loss depends predominantly on the nucleated ice crystal numbers and the ambient relative humidity. Initial ice crystal numbers after the vortex phase are close to the emitted soot particle number only for very low ambient temperatures (〈210 K) and for highly ice‐supersaturated conditions. Higher temperatures and lower relative humidities lead to significantly decreased ice crystal numbers. Global climate model simulations show that initial contrail ice crystal numbers per fuel mass are on average 50%–65% decreased relative to the soot number emission index in the extratropics and more in tropics. In the extratropics, this is mainly caused by a high ice crystal loss during the vortex phase and in the (sub)tropics and at lower flight levels by decreased ice nucleation. Simulated ice crystal numbers per newly formed contrail length agree well with in situ measurements over central Europe within the variability of present‐day soot number emissions. Our estimated global mean contrail cirrus radiative forcing (RF) for the year 2006 is 44 (31–49) mWm〈sup〉−2〈/sup〉, around 22% lower than estimated in a previous study. When reducing soot number emissions by 80%, RF decreases by 41%, slightly less than suggested by a recent study.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Contrail cirrus are known to be a major contribution to the aviation climate impact connected with a large uncertainty. Earlier research has shown that the ice crystal number in newly formed contrails has a large impact on the average contrail cirrus climate impact. But the properties of newly formed contrails are not well captured within the climate models. We have improved the representation of the contrail formation processes in our contrail cirrus module within the ECHAM climate model by including parameterizations for contrail ice nucleation and the ice crystal survival in the vortex phase. We could show that young contrail properties agree well with available campaign measurements over central Europe, given the large variability in soot number emissions, when matching geographical locations, cruise level, and atmospheric variables. The improvements within our contrail cirrus parameterization lead to a decrease in our estimate of contrail cirrus radiative forcing by slightly more than 20% relative to our earlier estimates in which we prescribed constant initial ice crystal numbers. Furthermore, our improved model indicates that the decrease in the contrail cirrus climate impact due to introducing biofuels, which lead to a decrease in soot number emissions, is slightly smaller than estimated earlier.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: For current soot emissions, young contrail ice numbers are limited by vortex phase loss in extratropics and ice nucleation in tropics. Modeled young contrail ice crystal numbers agree well with measurements over Europe considering the variability of soot number emissions. Sensitivity of contrail cirrus radiative forcing to soot number emissions decreased if capturing variability in young contrail ice numbers.
    Beschreibung: Emission and Climate Impact of Alternative Fuels
    Beschreibung: Scientific Steering Committee
    Beschreibung: https://zenodo.org/record/6902742
    Beschreibung: https://www.qtiplot.com/
    Beschreibung: http://ferret.pmel.noaa.gov/Ferret/
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; contrail formation ; soot number emissions ; ice crystal numbers ; contrail cirrus properties ; radiative forcing
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 75
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-12-14
    Beschreibung: Southern Africa, with its vast arid to semiarid areas, is considered vulnerable to precipitation changes and amplifying weather extremes. However, during the last 100 ka, huge lakes existed in the currently dry central Kalahari. It has been suggested that these lakes could have existed due to altered atmospheric circulation pattern, leading to an increase in precipitation or to changes in the annual precipitation distribution. Past climate changes are recorded in paleo‐archives, yet, for a proper interpretation of paleo‐records, for example, from sedimentological archives or fossils, it is essential to put them in a context with recent observations. This study’s objective is, therefore, to analyze spatially differing annual precipitation distributions at multiple locations in southern Africa with respect to their stable water isotope composition, moisture transport pathways, and sources. Five different precipitation distributions are identified by end‐member modeling and respective rainfall zones are inferred, which differ significantly in their isotopic compositions. By calculating backward trajectories, different moisture source regions are identified for the rainfall zones and linked to typical circulation patterns. Our results furthermore show the importance of the seasonality, the amount effect, and the traveled distance of the moisture for the general isotopic composition over the entire southern Africa. The identified pattern and relationships can be useful in the evaluation of isotope‐enabled climate models for the region and are potentially of major importance for the interpretation of stable water isotope composition in paleo‐records in future research.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: We identified five different annual precipitation distributions in southern Africa that cluster in space and define rainfall zones. Lagrangian source diagnostic shows that the rainfall zones have notably different moisture sources. The isotopic composition differs significantly between rainfall zones.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: https://nucleus.iaea.org/wiser
    Beschreibung: https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.944811
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.bd0915c6
    Beschreibung: http://iacweb.ethz.ch/staff/sprenger/lagranto/
    Beschreibung: https://forobs.jrc.ec.europa.eu/products/glc2000/products.php
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.7504448.v3
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5066/F7J38R2N
    Beschreibung: https://cran.r-project.org/bin/windows/base/old/
    Beschreibung: https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/EMMAgeo/index.html
    Beschreibung: https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/party/index.html
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; Lagrangian moisture source diagnostic ; stable water isotopes ; precipitation end‐member ; random forest ; annual rainfall distribution ; moisture pathways
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 76
    Publikationsdatum: 2023-12-19
    Beschreibung: The formation of the Aralkum (Aral Desert), following the severe desiccation of the former Aral Sea since the 1960s, has created what may be regarded as one of the world's most significant anthropogenic dust sources. In this paper, focusing on dust emission and transport patterns from the Aralkum, the dust life‐cycle has been simulated over Central Asia using the aerosol transport model COSMO‐MUSCAT (COnsortium for Small‐scale MOdelling‐MUltiScale Chemistry Aerosol Transport Model), making use of the Global Surface Water data set to take into account the sensitivity to changes in surface water coverage over the region between the 1980s (the “past”) and the 2010s (the “present”). Over a case study 1‐year period, the simulated dust emissions from the Aralkum region increased from 14.3 to 27.1 Tg year〈sup〉−1〈/sup〉 between the past and present, an increase driven solely by the changes in the surface water environment. Of these simulated modern emissions, 14.5 Tg are driven by westerly winds, indicating that regions downwind to the east may be worst affected by Aralkum dust. However a high degree of interannual variability in the prevailing surface wind patterns ensures that these transport patterns of Aralkum dust do not occur every year. Frequent cloud cover poses substantial challenges for observations of Central Asian dust: in the Aralkum, over two‐thirds of the yearly emissions are emitted under overcast skies, dust which may be impossible to observe using traditional satellite or ground‐based passive remote sensing techniques. Furthermore, it is apparent that the pattern of dust transport from the Aralkum under clear‐sky conditions is not representative of the pattern under all‐sky conditions.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Since the 1960s the Central Asian lake that used to be known as the Aral Sea has almost completely dried out, due to human activity. This environmental disaster has created a new desert known as the Aralkum (the “Aral Desert”), which now has a size of 245 km × 245 km across. Dried lakes such as the Aralkum can be very effective sources of wind‐driven atmospheric dust. The soils of the Aralkum are also contaminated with agricultural chemicals from nearby croplands, making the Aralkum a major regional threat to human health. Using an atmospheric computer model, we explore the consequences of the new Aralkum for the patterns of atmospheric dust and their potential impacts in Central Asia. We find that the new Aralkum has contributed an extra 7% per year to the total dust quantity over Central Asia, however due to thick cloud cover over two thirds of this dust from the Aralkum cannot be seen by Earth‐observing satellites. The wind patterns over the Aralkum vary from year to year, so while our simulations predict that most of the Aralkum's dust is transported to the east during the simulation year, during other years plenty more dust will be transported elsewhere.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: The impact of changes in surface water coverage over the Aralkum (the former Aral Sea) for dust emission and transport is investigated. There is a high degree of interannual variability in the directions of dust‐emitting winds over the Aralkum. Over two thirds of Aralkum dust activity occurs under thick cloud cover, limiting the possibility of it being observed by satellites.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6022747
    Beschreibung: https://global-surface-water.appspot.com/download
    Beschreibung: https://soilgrids.org/
    Beschreibung: https://search.earthdata.nasa.gov/search
    Beschreibung: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsapp#!/dataset/reanalysis-era5-single-levels
    Beschreibung: https://ads.atmosphere.copernicus.eu/cdsapp#!/dataset/cams-global-reanalysis-eac4
    Beschreibung: https://ladsweb.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/search/
    Beschreibung: https://aeronet.gsfc.nasa.gov/
    Beschreibung: https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; dust aerosol ; Aralkum ; Central Asia ; modeling
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 77
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-01-15
    Beschreibung: The formation of low stratus cloud over idealized hills is investigated using numerical model simulations. The main driver for the cloud formation is radiative cooling due to outgoing longwave radiation. Despite a purely horizontal flow, the advection terms in the prognostic equations for heat and moisture produce vertical mixing across the upper cloud edge, leading to a loss of cloud water content. This behavior is depicted via a budget analysis. More precisely, this spurious mixing is caused by the diffusive error of the advection scheme in regions where the sloping surfaces of the terrain‐following vertical coordinate intersect the cloud top. This study shows that the intensity of the (spurious) numerical diffusion depends strongly on the horizontal resolution, the order of the advection schemes, and the choice of scalar advection scheme. A large‐eddy simulation with 4‐m horizontal resolution serves as a reference. For horizontal resolutions of a few hundred meters and simulations carried out with a model setup as used in numerical weather prediction, a strong reduction of the simulated liquid‐water path is observed. In order to keep the (spurious) numerical diffusion at coarser resolutions small, at least a fifth‐order advection scheme should be used. In the present case, a weighted essentially nonoscillatory scalar advection scheme turns out to increase the numerical diffusion along a sharp cloud edge compared with an upwind scheme. Furthermore, the choice of vertical coordinate has a strong impact on the simulated liquid‐water path over orography. With a modified definition of the sigma coordinate, it is possible to produce cloud water where the classical sigma coordinate does not allow any cloud formation.
    Beschreibung: Diffusive errors of the advection scheme reduce the cloud water content of low stratus over idealized hills. This is due to the terrain‐following vertical coordinate and depends strongly on the horizontal resolution. Orographic features should be represented by at least 𝒪(10) grid points and a fifth‐order advection scheme (or higher) should be used. A weighted essentially nonoscillatory scalar advection scheme increases numerical diffusion along a sharp cloud edge compared with an upwind scheme. Modifying the definition of the sigma coordinate leads to a strong gain in the simulated liquid‐water path.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: Hans Ertel Centre for Weather Research
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; advection ; fog ; low stratus ; resolution ; rolling terrain ; vertical coordinate
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 78
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-04-01
    Beschreibung: We present a Lagrangian framework for identifying mechanisms that control the isotopic composition of mid‐tropospheric water vapor in the Sahel region during the West African Monsoon 2016. In this region mixing between contrasting air masses, strong convective activity, as well as surface and rain evaporation lead to high variability in the distribution of stable water isotopologues. Using backward trajectories based on high‐resolution isotope‐enabled model data, we obtain information not only about the source regions of Sahelian air masses, but also about the evolution of H2O and its isotopologue HDO (expressed as δD) along the pathways of individual air parcels. We sort the full trajectory ensemble into groups with similar transport pathways and hydro‐meteorological properties, such as precipitation and relative humidity, and investigate the evolution of the corresponding paired {H2O, δD} distributions. The use of idealized process curves in the {H2O, δD} phase space allows us to attribute isotopic changes to contributions from (a) air mass mixing, (b) Rayleigh condensation during convection, and (c) microphysical processes depleting the vapor beyond the Rayleigh prediction, i.e., partial rain evaporation in unsaturated and isotopic equilibration in saturated conditions. Different combinations of these processes along the trajectory ensembles are found to determine the final isotopic composition in the Sahelian troposphere during the monsoon. The presented Lagrangian framework is a powerful tool for interpreting tropospheric water vapor distributions. In the future, it will be applied to satellite observations of {H2O, δD} over Africa and other regions in order to better quantify characteristics of the hydrological cycle.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: New Lagrangian framework to attribute variability in {H2O, δD} distributions to air mass mixing and phase changes of water. Application to West African Monsoon season 2016 shows characteristic mixing and precipitation effects along trajectories. New framework can be used for the interpretation of satellite and in‐situ observations, and for model validation in future work.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: Swiss National Science Foundation
    Beschreibung: European Space Agency
    Beschreibung: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BMBF) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Beschreibung: Ministerium für Wissenschaft, Forschung und Kunst Baden‐Württemberg (MWK) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003542
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 79
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-30
    Beschreibung: In this study, the variability of the spectral dispersion of droplet size distributions (DSDs) in convective clouds is investigated. Analyses are based on aircraft measurements of growing cumuli near the Amazon basin, and on numerical simulations of an idealized ice‐free cumulus. In cleaner clouds, the relative dispersion ϵ, defined as the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean value of the droplet diameter, is negatively correlated with the ratio of the cloud water content (qc) to the adiabatic liquid water content (qa), while no strong correlation between ϵ and qc/qa is seen in polluted clouds. Bin microphysics numerical simulations suggest that these contrasting behaviors are associated with the effect of collision‐coalescence in cleaner clouds, and secondary droplet activation in polluted clouds, in addition to the turbulent mixing of parcels that experienced different paths within the cloud. Collision‐coalescence simultaneously broadens the DSDs and decreases qc, explaining the inverse relationship between ϵ and qc/qa in cleaner clouds. Secondary droplet activation broadens the DSDs but has little direct impact on qc. The combination of a rather modest DSD broadening due to weak collision‐coalescence with enhanced droplet activation in both diluted and highly undiluted cloud regions may contribute to maintain a relatively uniform ϵ within polluted clouds. These findings can be useful for parameterizing the shape parameter (μ) of gamma DSDs in bulk microphysics cloud‐resolving models. It is shown that emulating the observed μ−qc/qa relationship improves the estimation of the collision‐coalescence rate in bulk microphysics simulations compared to the bin simulations.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Droplet size distribution patterns observed in warm cumuli reflect the roles of collision‐coalescence, secondary activation, and mixing. The intra‐cloud distribution of droplet spectral dispersion varies with aerosol loading. Emulating the observed shape‐parameter improves bulk estimations of collision‐coalescence in models.
    Beschreibung: Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001807
    Beschreibung: Max Planck Society (MPG)
    Beschreibung: U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000015
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: HALO
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 80
    facet.materialart.
    Unbekannt
    John Wiley & Sons, Ltd | Chichester, UK
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-31
    Beschreibung: Aerosol can affect clouds in various ways. Beside the microphysical impact of aerosol particles on cloud formation, the interference of aerosol with atmospheric radiation leads to changes in local heating, surface fluxes and thus mesoscale circulations, all of which may also modify clouds. Rather little is known about these so‐called semi‐direct effects in realistic settings – a reason why this study investigates the impact of absorbing aerosol particles on cloud and radiation fields over Germany. Using advanced high‐resolution simulations with grid spacings of 312 and 625 m, numerical experiments with different aerosol optical properties are contrasted using purely scattering aerosol as a control case and realistic absorbing aerosol as a perturbation. The combined effect of surface dimming and atmospheric heating induces positive temperature and negative moisture anomalies between 800 and 900 hPa, impacting low‐level cloud formation. Decreased relative humidity as well as increased atmospheric stability below clouds lead to a reduction of low‐level cloud cover, liquid water path and precipitation. It is further found that direct and semi‐direct effects of absorbing aerosol forcing have similar magnitudes and contribute equally to a reduction of net radiation at the top of the atmosphere.
    Beschreibung: Atmospheric aerosol particles can absorb solar radiation, altering the thermal structure of the atmosphere and surface fluxes. Using advanced high‐resolution simulations over Germany with grid spacings of 312 and 625 m, we find that boundary‐layer absorbing aerosol reduces low‐level cloud cover, liquid water path and precipitation. Direct and semi‐direct effects have similar magnitudes and contribute equally to a positive absorbing aerosol forcing.
    Beschreibung: German Ministry for Education and Research EU Horizon 2020 project CONSTRAIN
    Beschreibung: https://cera-www.dkrz.de/WDCC/ui/cerasearch/entry?acronym=DKRZ_LTA_1174_ds00001
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 81
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-31
    Beschreibung: The local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF) suggested by Hunt et al., 2007 is a very popular method for ensemble data assimilation. It is the operational method for convective‐scale data assimilation at Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD). At DWD, based on the LETKF, three‐dimensional volume radar observations are assimilated operationally for the operational ICON‐D2. However, one major challenge for the LETKF is the situation where observations show precipitation (reflectivity) whereas all ensemble members do not show such reflectivity at a given point in space. In this case, there is no sensitivity of the LETKF with respect to the observations, and the analysis increment based on the observed reflectivity is zero. The goal of this work is to develop a targeted covariance inflation (TCI) for the assimilation of 3D‐volume radar data based on the LETKF, adding artificial sensitivity and making the LETKF react properly to the radar observations. The basic idea of the TCI is to employ an additive covariance inflation as entrance point for the LETKF. Here, we construct perturbations to the simulated observation which are used by the core LETKF assimilation step. The perturbations are constructed such that they exhibit a correlation between humidity and reflectivity. This leads to a change in humidity in such a way that precipitation is more likely to occur. We describe and demonstrate the theoretical basis of the method. We then present a case study where targeted covariance inflation leads to a clear improvement of the LETKF and precipitation forecast. All examples are based on the German radar network and the ICON‐D2 model over Central Europe.
    Beschreibung: The goal of this work is to develop a targeted covariance inflation (TCI) for the assimilation of 3D‐volume radar data based on the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF), adding artificial sensitivity and making the LETKF react properly to the radar observations. Perturbations to the simulated observations are constructed such that they exhibit an empirically derived correlation between humidity and reflectivity. This leads to a change in humidity in such a way that precipitation is more likely to occur.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 82
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-31
    Beschreibung: The tropical temperature in the free troposphere deviates from a theoretical moist‐adiabat. The overall deviations are attributed to the entrainment of dry surrounding air. The deviations gradually approach zero in the upper troposphere, which we explain with a buoyancy‐sorting mechanism: the height to which individual convective parcels rise depends on parcel buoyancy, which is closely tied to the impact of entrainment during ascent. In higher altitudes, the temperature is increasingly controlled by the convective parcels that are warmer and more buoyant because of weaker entrainment effects. We represent such temperature deviations from moist‐adiabats in a clear‐sky one‐dimensional radiative‐convective equilibrium model. Compared with a moist‐adiabatic adjustment, having the entrainment‐induced temperature deviations lead to higher clear‐sky climate sensitivity. As the impact of entrainment depends on the saturation deficit, which increases with warming, our model predicts even more amplified surface warming from entrainment in a warmer climate.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: The tropical temperature structure is determined by regions with deep convection, which is believed to be moist‐adiabatic. However, both models and observations show that the temperature deviates from moist‐adiabats. This is because convective parcels often mix with dry environmental air during ascent, pushing the temperature away from the moist‐adiabatic structure. More importantly, the tropical temperature is not dominated by one or a few strongest convective plumes, but rather controlled by the combined effect of many convective plumes of different strengths and depths. Therefore, the tropical temperature structure reflects the composition of convection happening at different values of boundary‐layer energy and mixing processes of variable efficiency with the environment. Using an idealized model, we find that representing such a deviation in the temperature structure increases the surface warming, because the resulting temperature lapse rate (LR) is more similar to a constant LR, showing less temperature increases higher than a moist‐adiabatic LR. This effect is likely amplified in a warmer climate due to this mixing process becoming more efficient in pushing the temperature further away from moist‐adiabats.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: The tropical temperature profile in the free troposphere deviates from that following a moist‐adiabatic lapse rate (LR). The deviations from the moist‐adiabatic LR can be explained by entrainment with a buoyancy‐sorting mechanism. The temperature deviations from moist‐adiabats increase climate sensitivity.
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1313687
    Beschreibung: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsapp#%21/dataset/reanalysis-era5-pressure-levels-monthly-means?tab=overview
    Beschreibung: https://esgf-data.dkrz.de/projects/cmip6-dkrz/
    Beschreibung: http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0008-FDA6-0
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 83
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-25
    Beschreibung: Over the last 20 years, a large number of instruments have provided plasma density measurements in Earth's topside ionosphere. To utilize all of the collected observations for empirical modeling, it is necessary to ensure that they do not exhibit systematic differences and are adjusted to the same reference frame. In this study, we compare satellite plasma density observations from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC), CHAllenging Minisatellite Payload (CHAMP), Swarm, and Communications/Navigation Outage Forecasting System (C/NOFS) missions. Electron densities retrieved from GRACE K‐Band Ranging (KBR) system, previously shown to be in excellent agreement with incoherent scatter radar (ISR) measurements, are used as a reference. We find that COSMIC radio occultation (RO) densities are highly consistent with GRACE‐KBR observations showing a mean relative difference of 〈2%, and therefore no calibration factors between them are necessary. We utilize the outstanding three‐dimensional coverage of the topside ionosphere by the COSMIC mission to perform conjunction analysis with in situ density observations from CHAMP, C/NOFS, and Swarm missions. CHAMP measurements are lower than COSMIC by ∼11%. Swarm densities are generally lower at daytime and higher at nighttime compared to COSMIC. C/NOFS ion densities agree well with COSMIC, with a relative bias of ∼7%. The resulting cross‐calibration factors, derived from the probability distribution functions, help to eliminate the systematic leveling differences between the data sets, and allow using these data jointly in a large number of ionospheric applications.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: A systematic comparison of the plasma density data from CHAMP, C/NOFS, GRACE, COSMIC, and Swarm missions is performed. Electron densities retrieved from COSMIC‐RO agree well with GRACE‐KBR observations showing a relative difference of less than 2%. Intercalibration factors, allowing to eliminate the systematic offsets between the considered data sets, are presented.
    Beschreibung: Helmholtz Pilot Projects Information & Data Science II, MAchine learning based Plasma density model project
    Beschreibung: National Center for Atmospheric Research http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100005323
    Beschreibung: Air Force Office of Scientific Research http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000181
    Beschreibung: National Science Foundation http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000001
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:538.76 ; ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 84
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-25
    Beschreibung: Titan's paleoclimate after the onset of the putative last major methane outgassing event 700 Myr ago is simulated by a global climate model. If the atmosphere was methane‐depleted prior to outgassing, outgassed methane initially causes warming due to increased greenhouse effect. Further outgassing leads to methane snowfall, which in turn cools the troposphere and surface by an ice‐albedo feedback and thereby initiates a lengthy ice age. Formation of ice sheets begins in the polar region, but with increasing methane inventory the entire globe is eventually covered by surface methane frost as thick as 100 m, with local accumulation on elevated terrains. Among various time‐dependent input parameters the methane inventory by far exerts the greatest control over the climate evolution. As Titan's climate transitions from a dry state via a partially ice‐covered state to a globally ice‐covered state, the circulation and precipitation pattern change profoundly and the tropospheric temperature further decreases. Globally ice‐covered snowball Titan is characterized by weak meridional circulation, weak seasonality and widespread snowfall. Frost ablation begins after the end of outgassing due to photochemical destruction of atmospheric methane. It is conceivable that Titan's polar seas resulted from melting of the polar caps within the past 10 Myr and subsequent drainage to the polar basins. Surface methane frost could only melt when the frost retreated to the polar region, which led to global warming by lowering of the surface albedo at low latitudes and increased greenhouse effect.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Saturn's moon Titan may have experienced long periods of cold climate in the past when the nitrogen atmosphere contained no methane unlike the present atmosphere. We simulated how Titan's climate may have changed when large amounts of methane were outgassed into such a cold atmosphere as indicated by models of Titan's evolution. The atmosphere can hold a certain amount of methane but the vast majority of outgassed methane condenses out as snow and is deposited on the surface. Bright methane snow on the surface keeps the surface cold and thereby prevents efficient greenhouse warming. Initially, surface methane frost is confined to high latitudes, but eventually the entire globe will be ice‐covered under the assumed total amount of outgassed methane. The seasonal and global pattern of atmospheric circulation and snowfall strongly depend on the degree of frost coverage. The surface frost sublimes away long after outgassing has ceased because methane is destroyed in the atmosphere by photochemistry. Eventually, the polar caps melt, leaving behind the observed polar seas.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Massive methane outgassing into Titan's atmosphere should have caused global ice sheets if the atmosphere was previously depleted in methane. Climate of methane snowball Titan is characterized by weak circulation, low temperature, weak seasonality and widespread snowfall. Melting polar caps in geologically recent past may have resulted in polar seas.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:523 ; ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 85
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-25
    Beschreibung: An analysis of the life cycle of shallow marine cumulus clouds is presented based on geostationary observations by the Spinning Enhanced Visible and InfraRed Imager aboard Meteosat Second Generation (MSG‐SEVIRI). Trajectories of about 250,000 individual shallow marine cumulus clouds have been derived by applying Particle Image Velocimetry to the Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring CLoud property dAtAset using SEVIRI for a region in the trade wind zone centered around the Canary Islands in August 2015. The temporal evolution of the physical properties of these clouds allows to characterize cloud development and to infer the distribution of cloud life time and cloud extent. In the derived data set, the life time distribution follows a double power law with most clouds existing on a time scale of tens of minutes. The cloud physical properties, available during daytime, are analyzed along the cloud tracks. Relative time series of cloud extent, cloud water path, cloud droplet effective radius at cloud top, cloud optical thickness, and cloud droplet number concentration for clouds in two temporal ranges reveal conditions that can be attributed to long‐lasting clouds. Clouds of a certain horizontal extent and cloud top height as well as cloud droplet radius show longer life times if they are optically more dense, i.e., have a higher droplet number concentration. Furthermore, the investigation of the content of liquid cloud water regarding cloud life time and cloud extent shows that small short‐living clouds significantly contribute to cloud radiative effects.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: A comprehensive analysis of the life cycle of shallow marine cumulus clouds is presented based on measurements of a specialized instrument, called SEVIRI, aboard Meteosat's Second Generation geostationary meteorological satellite. A new method is applied to derive the physic‐property temporal evolution of approximately 250,000 individual clouds in a region around the Canary Islands during August 2015. Several constraints are applied to infer the relationship between cloud life time and various cloud parameters. The study reveals that cloud life time is related to the optical thickness when constrained by horizontal extent, cloud top height, and droplet radius. The analysis further shows that small short‐living clouds significantly contribute to cloud radiative effects.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: The life cycle of shallow marine cumulus clouds is inferred using a passive space‐based geostationary instrument. Life cycle is quantified by top temperature/height, cloud extent, cloud water path, optical thickness, and droplet radius/number concentration. Cumulus clouds of a certain horizontal extent, cloud top height as well as droplet radius live longer if they are optically denser.
    Beschreibung: DAAD, German Academic Exchange Service
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 86
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-25
    Beschreibung: A major problem in the precise orbit determination (POD) of satellites at altitudes below 1,000 km is the modeling of the aerodynamic drag which mainly depends on the thermospheric density and causes the largest non‐gravitational acceleration. Typically, empirical thermosphere models are used to calculate density values at satellite positions but current thermosphere models cannot provide the required accuracy. Thus, unaccounted variations in the thermospheric density may lead to significantly incorrect satellite positions. For the first time, we bring together thermospheric density corrections for the NRLMSISE‐00 model in terms of scale factors with a temporal resolution of 12 hr derived from satellite laser ranging (SLR) and accelerometer measurements. Whereas, the latter are in situ information given along the satellite orbit, SLR results have to be interpreted as mean values along the orbit within the underlying time interval. From their comparison, we notice a rather similar behavior with correlations of up to 80% and more depending on altitude. During high solar activity, scale factors vary around 30% at low solar activity and up to 70% at high solar activity from the value one. In addition, we found the scaled thermospheric density decreasing stronger as the modeled density of NRLMSISE‐00. To check the reliability of the SLR‐derived scale factors, we compare the POD result of two different software packages, namely DOGS‐OC from DGFI‐TUM and GROOPS from IGG Bonn. Furthermore, a validation of our estimated scale factors with respect to an external data set proofs the high quality of the obtained results.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Variations in the density of the thermosphere must be taken into account when modeling and predicting the motion of satellites in the near‐Earth environment. Typically, thermospheric densities at the position of satellites are provided by models, but their accuracy is limited. Due to the sensitivity of satellites orbiting the Earth in the altitude range of the thermosphere, they can be used to derive information about the thermospheric density. In this study, we compare for the first time thermospheric density corrections in terms of scale factors for the NRLMSISE‐00 model with a temporal resolution of 12 hr derived from two geodetic measurement techniques, namely satellite laser ranging (SLR) and accelerometry. Our results demonstrate that both measurement techniques can be used to derive comparable scale factors of the thermospheric density, which vary around the desired value one. This indicates to which extent the NRLMSISE‐00 model differs from the observed thermospheric density. On average, during high solar activity, the model underestimates the thermospheric density and can be scaled up using the estimated scale factors. We additionally discuss our estimated scale factors with respect to an external data set. Furthermore, we validate the approach of deriving scale factors from SLR measurements by using two independent software packages.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: For the first time, we compare scale factors of the thermospheric density derived from satellite laser ranging (SLR) and accelerometer measurements. The estimated scale factors vary by up to 30% at low solar activity and up to 70% at high solar activity from the desired value 1. Correlations of 0.7–0.8 are obtained between the estimated scale factors from SLR and accelerometer measurements depending on the height.
    Beschreibung: German Research Foundation (DFG)
    Beschreibung: Technical University of Munich (TUM)
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; ddc:526.1
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 87
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-24
    Beschreibung: The lunar polar regions offer permanently shadowed regions (PSRs) representing the only regions which are cold enough for water ice to accumulate on the surface. The Lunar Exploration Neutron Detector (LEND) aboard the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO) has mapped the polar regions for their hydrogen abundance which possibly resides there in the form of water ice. Neutron suppression regions (NSRs) are regions of excessive hydrogen concentrations and were previously identified using LEND data. At each pole, we applied thermal modeling to three NSRs and one unclassified region to evaluate the correlation between hydrogen concentrations and temperatures. Our thermal model delivers temperature estimates for the surface and for 29 layers in the sub‐surface down to 2 m depth. We compared our temperature maps at each layer to LEND neutron suppression maps to reveal the range of depths at which both maps correlate best. As anticipated, we find the three south polar NSRs which are coincident with PSRs in agreement with respective (near)‐surface temperatures that support the accumulation of water ice. Water ice is suspected to be present in the upper ≈19 cm layer of regolith. The three north polar NSRs however lie in non‐PSR areas and are counter‐intuitive as such that most surfaces reach temperatures that are too high for water ice to exist. However, we find that temperatures are cold enough in the shallow sub‐surface and suggest water ice to be present at depths down to ≈35–65 cm. Additionally we find ideal conditions for ice pumping into the sub‐surface at the north polar NSRs. The reported depths are observable by LEND and can, at least in part, explain the existence and shape of the observed hydrogen signal. Although we can substantiate the anticipated correlation between hydrogen abundance and temperature the converse argument cannot be made.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: The lunar poles have quite unique illumination conditions. For instance, the Sun never shines on some crater floors. As a consequence, the floors of those craters are very cold and dark. Here, water ice can accumulate on the surface and can be preserved for long periods of time. One of the instruments mounted on the Moon‐orbiting satellite Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter is capable of detecting areas where hydrogen is located, which is assumed to be present in the form of water ice. For instance, the instrument detected several areas at the lunar poles where a lot more water ice is found than at other locations. For these special locations, we calculated the temperatures at the surface and near sub‐surface to see whether they are indeed cold enough for water to freeze. At some of these locations, surface temperatures turn out to be too warm. However, we found that at these warm surfaces where no water ice can exist it can be transported into the sub‐surface and survive there. This mechanism is referred to as ice pumping. In summary, we could show that temperatures at all these special locations are usually cold enough for water ice, either right at the surface or within the first meter of soil.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Some neutron suppression regions (NSRs) form from surface ice deposits while others may form through ice pumping in the sub‐surface. NSRs identified by Lunar Exploration Neutron Detector correlate well with low surface temperatures in permanently shadowed regions (PSRs) and are in agreement with sub‐surface temperatures in non‐PSR.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:523 ; ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 88
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-24
    Beschreibung: The correct representation of global‐scale electron density is crucial for monitoring and exploring the space weather. This study investigates whether the ground‐based Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) tomography can be used to reflect the global spatial and temporal responses of the ionosphere under storm conditions. A global tomography of the ionosphere electron density is constructed based on data from over 2,700 GNSS stations. In comparison to previous techniques, advances are made in spatial and temporal resolution, and in the assessment of results. To demonstrate the capabilities of the approach, the developed method is applied to the March 17, 2015 geomagnetic storm. The tomographic reconstructions show good agreement with electron density observations from worldwide ionosondes, Millstone Hill incoherent scatter radar and in‐situ measurements from satellite missions. Also, the results show that the tomographic technique is capable of reproducing plasma variabilities during geomagnetically disturbed periods including features such as equatorial ionization anomaly enhancements and depletion. Validation results of this brief study period show that the accuracy of our tomography is better than the Neustrelitz Electron Density Model, which is the model used as background, and physics‐based thermosphere‐ionosphere‐electrodynamics general circulation model. The results show that our tomography approach allows us to specify the global electron density from ground to ∼900 km accurately. Given the demonstrated quality, this global electron density reconstruction has potential for improving applications such as assessment of the effects of the electron density on radio signals, GNSS positioning, computation of ray tracing for radio‐signal transmission, and space weather monitoring.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Computerized tomography allows the 3D imaging of several objects based on radio frequency signal measurements. Given the measurements and geometry of the current GPS (Global Positioning System) satellite constellation, there is an opportunity to apply tomography techniques and extract 3D snapshots of the Earth's atmosphere. This work presents an advanced global‐scale tomography that can represent the electron density in the Earth's upper atmosphere in a relatively high spatial and temporal resolution in the region of ∼100–1,000 km above the Earth's surface; referred to as the ionosphere. The work also validates the tomography results with multiple ionospheric observations from satellites and ground‐based radar instruments and compares with empirical and physical models. It is usually a challenge for models to reproduce the ionospheric system dynamics accurately during active space weather conditions, such as geomagnetic storms. This work, using the severe geomagnetic storm on March 17, 2015 as a case‐study, shows that the tomography is well poised for this task. The developed method could be extended to benefit several applications, such as space weather monitoring, GPS positioning and navigation, as well as to improve our understanding of the morphology and dynamics of the ionosphere.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Presents an advanced global‐scale tomography of ionospheric electron density. Demonstrates the capability of the tomography model to reproduce the system dynamics during a severe geomagnetic storm. Validates the tomography results with multiple ground‐ and space‐based data and compares with empirical and physical models.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: Helmholtz‐Fonds (Helmholtz‐Fonds e.V.) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100013655
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; ddc:538.7
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 89
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-24
    Beschreibung: Analysis of Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution (MAVEN)/Supra‐Thermal And Thermal Ion Composition observations in the Martian upper atmosphere, bounded at higher altitudes by the shocked solar wind, shows that the draping of interplanetary magnetic field penetrates down to low altitudes (∼200−250 km) and governs dynamics of the ionosphere. The upper ionospheric plasma is driven into motion flowing around Mars similar to the shocked solar wind in the adjacent magnetosheath. Such a fluid‐like motion is accompanied by ion acceleration caused by the bending of the magnetic field, leading to ion extraction and finally to ion pickup. Extraction of ions and their acceleration produces a recoil effect of the bulk ionosphere in the opposite direction. This provides a strong asymmetry in ion dynamics in two different hemispheres, accompanied by wrapping of the magnetic field lines around Mars and respective reconnection.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Although the Martian magnetosphere is hybrid and contains components of the induced and intrinsic magnetosphere, is possible to display these components by using the specific coordinate systems. Here we study the properties of the induced magnetosphere using the data obtained by MAVEN spacecraft. The interplanetary magnetic field penetrates deep into the Martian ionosphere draping around Mars and drive to the motion dense ionospheric plasma. Draping features and the induced plasma motions occur different in two hemispheres determined by the direction of the motional electric field in the solar wind. Ion acceleration and extraction is accompanied by a recoil effect that leads to a shift and asymmetry of the ionosphere.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Draping of the interplanetary magnetic field around Mars penetrates deep to the ionosphere enveloping the planet and driving the ionosphere to the bulk motion. Draping and motion of the ionospheric plasma is characterized by asymmetry by the direction of the motional electric field in solar wind. Ion acceleration and extraction from the ionosphere is accompanied by a shift of the bulk ionosphere in the opposite direction.
    Beschreibung: National Aeronautics and Space Administration http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000104
    Beschreibung: DFG http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: Russian Science Foundation http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100006769
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:523 ; ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 90
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-24
    Beschreibung: The influence of the initial vertical moisture profile on precipitating shallow cumulus cloud organization in terms of the column‐averaged moisture variance is investigated using large‐eddy simulations. Five idealized simulations based on the Rain in Cumulus over the Ocean field experiment with different initial moisture profiles are investigated. All cases simulate precipitating shallow cumulus convection in a marine sub‐tropical region under large‐scale subsidence. The results show that the moisture variance is mainly generated through the interaction of the moisture flux and the moisture gradient in the gradient production term at the top of the boundary layer. The development is characterized by three regimes: initial, transition, and quasi‐steady regime. During the initial regime, the moisture gradient is built up by moisture accumulation until precipitating convection starts. Within the transition regime, precipitation enables mesoscale cloud organization with enhanced convective activity and moisture fluxes. The moisture variance increases from the moist to the dry initial moisture profiles. In a following quasi‐steady regime, the moisture variance is approximately preserved. Thereby, the initial moisture gradient between the average sub‐cloud layer and the free atmosphere is found to be an important factor for the generation of the quasi‐steady column‐averaged moisture variance. The result suggests that a resolved‐scale variable like the moisture gradient can be used to estimate the quasi‐steady state conditions resulting from cloud organization. This finding may serve as a starting point for the parametrization of the subgrid scale cloud organization caused by precipitating shallow convection.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Mesoscale organization of precipitating shallow cumulus changes the bulk properties of the atmospheric boundary layer (e.g., cloud cover). The increase of moisture variance during cloud organization is sensitive to the initial vertical moisture profiles. The average gradient between the average sub‐cloud layer and the free atmosphere is a good predictor of the moisture variance.
    Beschreibung: Hans Ertel Centre for Weather Research
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
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  • 91
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-28
    Beschreibung: Limited‐area convection‐permitting climate models (CPMs) with horizontal grid‐spacing less than 4 km and not relying on deep convection parameterisations (CPs) are being used more and more frequently. CPMs represent small‐scale features such as deep convection more realistically than coarser regional climate models (RCMs) with deep CPs. Because of computational costs, CPMs tend to use smaller horizontal domains than RCMs. As all limited‐area models (LAMs), CPMs suffer issues with lateral boundary conditions (LBCs) and nesting. We investigated these issues using idealized Big‐Brother (BB) experiments with the LAM COSMO‐CLM. Grid‐spacing of the reference BB simulation was 2.4 km. Deep convection was triggered by idealized hills with driving data from simulations with different spatial resolutions, with/without deep CP, and with different nesting frequencies and LBC formulations. All our nested idealized 2.4‐km Little‐Brother (LB) experiments performed worse than a coarser CPM simulation (4.9 km) which used a four times larger computational domain and yet spent only half the computational cost. A boundary zone of 〉100 grid‐points of the LBs could not be interpreted meteorologically because of spin‐up of convection and boundary inconsistencies. Hosts with grid‐spacing in the so‐called gray zone of convection (ca. 4–20 km) were not advantageous to the LB performance. The LB's performance was insensitive to the applied LBC formulation and updating (if ≤ 3‐hourly). Therefore, our idealized experiments suggested to opt for a larger domain instead of a higher resolution even if coarser than usual (∼5 $\sim 5$ km) as a compromise between the harmful boundary problems, computational cost and improved representation of processes by CPMs.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Recently, very high resolution (grid‐spacing 〈 4 km) so‐called convection‐permitting climate models (CPMs) were developed, which represent deep convection explicitly. CPMs, however, are computationally very expensive. They need information about the state of the atmosphere at their lateral boundaries from coarser models. This paper investigates the setting of the lateral boundary formulation. We used idealized experiments with grid‐spacing of ≈ 2.4 km, where deep convection was triggered by small hills. We found that a CPM boundary zone 〉 100 grid points cannot be interpreted reliably. The boundary data should be given to the CPM every 3 hr or more often. Small‐domain CPM simulations all performed worse than a reference simulation on a larger domain with the same resolution or with an even two times lower resolution. We tested different resolutions of the driving data for the CPMs and found that driving data from a model in the “gray zone” of convection (about 4–20 km) is not advantageous for the CPM performance. We concluded that it often might be better to opt for a larger domain with an unusually coarse CPM resolution (ca. 5 km) than for a much smaller domain with grid‐spacing 〈 4 km.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: The nesting challenge of convection‐permitting climate modeling (CPM) is investigated with idealized simulation experiments. Nesting the CPM into host simulations with grid‐spacing in the gray zone of convection is not better than into coarser simulations. Large boundary areas with poor simulation quality suggest using large domains even with grid‐spacing coarser than usually accepted for CPM.
    Beschreibung: European Union's H2020 Research and Innovation Programme http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100010661
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 92
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-28
    Beschreibung: The wind shear theory is widely accepted as an explanation for the formation of a sporadic E (Es) layer, but the direct comparison of Es with the local wind shear has been limited due to the lack of neutral wind measurements. This study examines the role of the vertical wind shear for Es, using signal‐to‐noise ratio profiles from COSMIC‐2 radio occultation measurements and concurrent measurements of neutral wind profiles from the Ionospheric Connection Explorer. It is observed that the Es occurrence rate and average S4 index are correlated with the negative vertical shear of the eastward wind, providing observational support for the wind shear theory. Es can be observed even when the vertical wind shear is positive, which is interpreted as metallic ion layers generated at an earlier time.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: Sporadic E (Es) is anomalous radio propagation resulting from intense clouds of ionization at heights of the E‐region ionosphere (90–120 km). The formation of an Es layer is generally attributed to the vertical wind shear, which can move metallic ions in the vertical direction by the Lorentz force. According to the wind shear theory, a negative shear of the eastward wind is effective in converging the metallic ions into a thin layer to produce Es. Although previous observations and modeling studies have supported the theory to various degrees, the direct comparison of Es with the vertical wind shear has been limited due to sparse observations of neutral winds at E‐region heights. Neutral wind profiles from the Ionospheric Connection Explorer mission, together with Es data from COSMIC‐2 radio occultation measurements, provide an opportunity to fill this knowledge gap. Direct comparisons of these measurements reveal that the Es occurrence rate is higher and lower for larger negative and positive wind shears, respectively, providing observational evidence for the wind shear theory.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Conjunction observations of sporadic E (Es) from COSMIC‐2 and neutral wind profiles from Ionospheric Connection Explorer/Michelson Interferometer for Global High‐Resolution Thermospheric Imaging are analyzed. Es occurrence rate correlates with the negative vertical shear of eastward wind, providing observational evidence for the wind shear theory. Es can be observed even when the vertical shear of the local eastward wind is positive.
    Beschreibung: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Beschreibung: NASA
    Beschreibung: DFG Priority Program Dynamic Earth
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 93
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-28
    Beschreibung: The winter 2019/2020 showed the lowest ozone mixing ratios ever observed in the Arctic winter stratosphere. It was the coldest Arctic stratospheric winter on record and was characterized by an unusually strong and long‐lasting polar vortex. We study the chemical evolution and ozone depletion in the winter 2019/2020 using the global Chemistry and Transport Model ATLAS. We examine whether the chemical processes in 2019/2020 are more characteristic of typical conditions in Antarctic winters or in average Arctic winters. Model runs for the winter 2019/2020 are compared to simulations of the Arctic winters 2004/2005, 2009/2010, and 2010/2011 and of the Antarctic winters 2006 and 2011, to assess differences in chemical evolution in winters with different meteorological conditions. In some respects, the winter 2019/2020 (and also the winter 2010/2011) was a hybrid between Arctic and Antarctic conditions, for example, with respect to the fraction of chlorine deactivation into HCl versus ClONO2, the amount of denitrification, and the importance of the heterogeneous HOCl + HCl reaction for chlorine activation. The pronounced ozone minimum of less than 0.2 ppm at about 450 K potential temperature that was observed in about 20% of the polar vortex area in 2019/2020 was caused by exceptionally long periods in the history of these air masses with low temperatures in sunlight. Based on a simple extrapolation of observed loss rates, only an additional 21–46 h spent below the upper temperature limit for polar stratospheric cloud formation and in sunlight would have been necessary to reduce ozone to near zero values (0.05 ppm) in these parts of the vortex.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: The Arctic stratospheric winter 2019/2020 showed the lowest ozone mixing ratios ever observed and was one of the coldest on record. Chemical evolution of the Arctic winter 2019/2020 was a hybrid between typical Arctic and typical Antarctic conditions. Only an additional 21–46 h below PSC temperatures and in sunlight would have been necessary to reduce ozone to near zero locally.
    Beschreibung: International Multidisciplinary Drifting Observatory for the Study of the Arctic Climate (MOSAiC)
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; ddc:551.9
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 94
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-23
    Beschreibung: The modeling of the atmospheric boundary layer over sea ice is still challenging because of the complex interaction between clouds, radiation and turbulence over the often inhomogeneous sea ice cover. There is still much uncertainty concerning sea ice roughness, near‐surface thermal stability and related processes, and their accurate parameterization. Here, a regional Arctic climate model forced by ERA‐Interim data was used to test the sensitivity of climate simulations to a modified surface flux parameterization for wintertime conditions over the Arctic. The reference parameterization as well as the modified one is based on Monin–Obukhov similarity theory, but different roughness lengths were prescribed and the stability dependence of the transfer coefficients for momentum, heat and moisture differed from each other. The modified parameterization accounts for the most comprehensive observations that are presently available over sea ice in the inner Arctic. Independent of the parameterization used, the model was able to reproduce the two observed dominant winter states with respect to cloud cover and longwave radiation. A stepwise use of the different parameterization assumptions showed that modifications of both surface roughness and stability dependence had a considerable impact on quantities such as air pressure, wind and near‐surface turbulent fluxes. However, the reduction of surface roughness to values agreeing with those observed during the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean campaign led to an improvement in the western Arctic, while the modified stability parameterization had only a minor impact. The latter could be traced back to the model's underestimation of the strength of stability over sea ice. Future work should concentrate on possible reasons for this underestimation and on the question of generality of the results for other climate models.
    Beschreibung: The modeling of the atmospheric boundary layer over sea ice is challenging. This is, among others, due to the distinct sea ice surface roughness and pressure ridges as shown in the image, and the often stably stratified atmosphere. We quantified the impact of used parameterizations and show that both surface roughness and stability dependence have a considerable impact on near‐surface turbulent fluxes and atmospheric circulation in Arctic climate simulations.
    Beschreibung: German Research Foundation (DFG)
    Beschreibung: Helmholtz Association (HGF), POLEX http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100003872
    Beschreibung: Russian Science Foundation (RSF) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100006769
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 95
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    Unbekannt
    John Wiley & Sons, Ltd | Chichester, UK
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-29
    Beschreibung: An idealized, three‐dimensional, numerical simulation of tropical cyclone evolution in a quiescent environment on an f‐plane is used to explore aspects of the cyclone's life cycle in the context of the rotating‐convection paradigm. In the 20‐day simulation, the vortex undergoes a life cycle including a gestation period culminating in genesis, a rapid intensification phase, a mature phase, a transient decay and re‐intensification phase, a second mature phase and a rapid decay phase. During much of the life cycle, the flow evolution is highly asymmetric, although important aspects of it can be understood within an azimuthally averaged framework, central to which are a boundary‐layer control mechanism and a new ventilation diagnostic. The boundary‐layer control mechanism provides an explanation for the gradual expansion of the inner core of the vortex. The ventilation diagnostic characterizes the ability of deep convection within a given radius to evacuate the mass of air ascending out of the boundary layer within that radius. The transient decay and re‐intensification phase is not associated with an eyewall replacement cycle, but rather with a hitherto undescribed process in which the eyewall becomes fragmented as a rainband complex forms beyond it. This process is interpreted as an interplay between the boundary layer and ventilation. The final rapid decay of the vortex results from the ever increasing difficulty of deep convection to ventilate the air exiting the boundary layer. Any unventilated air flows radially outwards in the lower troposphere and leads to spin‐down because of the approximate conservation of mean absolute angular momentum. If found in real cyclones, such transience or final decay might be erroneously attributed to ambient vertical wind shear. The results support the hypothesis that, even in a quiescent environment, isolated tropical cyclone vortices are intrinsically transient and never reach a globally steady state.
    Beschreibung: A three‐dimensional, idealized numerical simulation of tropical cyclone evolution on an f‐plane is used to explore aspects of the cyclone's life cycle in the framework of the rotating‐convection paradigm. In the simulation, which lasts for 20 days, the vortex undergoes a life cycle that includes a gestation period cultimating in genesis, a rapid intensification period, a mature stage followed by a transient decay and re‐intensification stage, a second mature stage and a final rapid decay stage. The results support the hypothesis that, even in a quiescent environment on an f‐plane, isolated tropical cyclone vortices are intrinsically transient and never reach a globally steady state.
    Beschreibung: U.S. Office of Naval Research http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000006
    Beschreibung: German Research Council
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 96
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-29
    Beschreibung: Four previously identified patterns of meso‐scale cloud organization in the trades — called Sugar, Gravel, Flowers, and Fish — are studied using long‐term records of ground‐based measurements, satellite observations and reanalyzes. A deep neural network trained to detect these patterns is applied to satellite imagery to identify periods during which a particular pattern is observed over the Barbados Cloud Observatory. Surface‐based remote sensing at the observatory is composited and shows that the patterns can be distinguished by differences in cloud geometry. Variations in total cloudiness among the patterns are dominated by variations in cloud‐top cloudiness. Cloud amount near cloud base varies little. Each pattern is associated with a distinct atmospheric environment whose characteristics are traced back to origins that are not solely within the trades. Sugar air‐masses are characterized by weak winds and of tropical origin. Fish are driven by convergence lines originating from synoptical disturbances. Gravel and Flowers are most native to the trades, but distinguish themselves with slightly stronger winds and stronger subsidence in the first case and greater stability in the latter. The patterns with the higher cloud amounts and more negative cloud‐radiative effects, Flowers and Fish, are selected by conditions expected to occur less frequently with greenhouse warming.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: Meso‐scale patterns of trade‐wind clouds are identified with a neural network and characterized based on observations. The four analyzed patterns distinguish themselves by stratiform cloudiness and less by cloudiness at the lifting condensation level. Two patterns are imprinted by tropical, respectively extra‐tropical intrusions.
    Beschreibung: European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme
    Beschreibung: NASA
    Beschreibung: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4767674
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 97
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-29
    Beschreibung: Monitoring the Vertical Total Electron Content (VTEC) of the ionosphere is important for applications ranging from navigation to detection of space weather events. Therefore, emerging efforts have been made by several analysis centers to estimate the VTEC using different approaches in real‐time. Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) is a crucial technology for ionosphere modeling due to its worldwide distributed receivers, high temporal resolution, and low latency data dissemination capability. The selection of a convenient approach to extract ionosphere information from GNSS and the representation of VTEC by an appropriate mathematical model are essential factors for providing fast and accurate ionosphere products. Contrarily to the widespread phase‐leveling method, which uses noisy and erroneous code measurements, the modeling concept in this paper utilizes pure carrier‐phase measurements. Measurements acquired through the International GNSS Service (IGS) real‐time service in Radio Technical Commission for Maritime Services format are from GPS, GLONASS, and GALILEO. The measurement biases, including the ambiguity of carrier‐phase measurements, are simultaneously estimated along with VTEC model parameters. In our approach, VTEC is represented by B‐spline expansions embedded into a Kalman filter. Due to their localizing feature, B‐splines form a highly sparse structure in the filter measurement model. Thus, matrix operations for large‐scale problems can be performed fast using sparse matrix operations, as is done in this study. The differential slant total electron content (dSTEC) analysis and the comparison with Jason‐3 altimetry VTEC were performed for validation within selected periods in 2019. The dSTEC analysis shows that the quality of the generated real‐time VTEC maps slightly outperforms those provided by the other IGS analysis centers.
    Beschreibung: Plain Language Summary: As part of the Earth's upper atmosphere, the ionosphere is coupled to the Sun and the Earth's lower atmosphere by complex electromagnetic and dynamic interactions of charged particles (electrons and ions) and neutral species. Spatio‐temporal variations of the ionosphere electron content are of particular importance for technologies utilizing electromagnetic signals such as navigation and telecommunication since the electromagnetic waves are refracted/reflected while traveling through the ionosphere. There has been an increasing demand for real‐time ionosphere products to compute interactions between electromagnetic waves and the ionosphere in real‐time. In this context, the IGS and its several analysis centers have been developing models to provide global Vertical Electron Content (VTEC) products using different approaches based on Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) observations. By considering the crucial impact of the ionosphere and its constituents on our life, in this study, we model the ionosphere VTEC represented by B‐splines embedded into a Kalman filter in real‐time using carrier‐phase observations from geodetic GNSS receivers.
    Beschreibung: Key Points: A new real‐time approach estimating simultaneously coefficients of the B‐spline representation and biases of carrier‐phases was introduced. Carrier‐phase observations from GPS, GLONASS, and GALILEO were incorporated into an adaptive Kalman filter. Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) observations were obtained in Radio Technical Commission for Maritime Services format via the International GNSS Service real‐time service.
    Beschreibung: Technical University of Munich http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100005713
    Beschreibung: German Research Foundation
    Beschreibung: Bundeswehr GeoInformation Center
    Beschreibung: German Space Situational Awareness Centre
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:538.76 ; ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 98
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-02-23
    Beschreibung: The differences between one classical and three state-of-the-art formulations of the mass density of humid air were quantified. Here, we present both the calculi for direct determination of the humid-air mass density employing the virial form of the thermodynamic equation of state, and a sufficiently accurate look-up-table for the quick-look determination of the humid-air mass density, which is based on the advanced Thermodynamic Equation of Seawater 2010.
    Beschreibung: Leibniz-Institut für Troposphärenforschung e.V. (3489)
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; Mass density ; Humid air ; Real-gas effects ; TEOS-10
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 99
    Publikationsdatum: 2024-01-19
    Beschreibung: The total electron content (TEC) data derived from the GAIA (Ground-to-topside model of Atmosphere Ionosphere for Aeronomy) is used to study the seasonal and longitudinal variation of occurrence of medium-scale traveling ionospheric disturbances (MSTIDs) during daytime (09:00–15:00 LT) for the year 2011 at eight locations in northern and southern hemispheres, and the results are compared with ground-based Global Positioning System (GPS)-TEC. To derive TEC variations caused by MSTIDs from the GAIA (GPS) data, we obtained detrended TEC by subtracting 2-h (1-h) running average from the TEC, and calculated standard deviation of the detrended TEC in 2 h (1 h). MSTID activity was defined as a ratio of the standard deviation to the averaged TEC. Both GAIA simulation and GPS observations data show that daytime MSTID activities in the northern and southern hemisphere (NH and SH) are higher in winter than in other seasons. From the GAIA simulation, the amplitude of the meridional wind variations, which could be representative of gravity waves (GWs), shows two peaks in winter and summer. The winter peak in the amplitude of the meridional wind variations coincides with the winter peak of the daytime MSTIDs, indicating that the high GW activity is responsible for the high MSTID activity. On the other hand, the MSTID activity does not increase in summer. This is because the GWs in the thermosphere propagate poleward in summer, and equatorward in winter, and the equatorward-propagating GWs cause large plasma density perturbations compared to the poleward-propagating GWs. Longitudinal variation of daytime MSTID activity in winter is seen in both hemispheres. The MSTID activity during winter in the NH is higher over Japan than USA, and the MSTID activity during winter in the SH is the highest in South America. In a nutshell, GAIA can successfully reproduce the seasonal and longitudinal variation of the daytime MSTIDs. This study confirms that GWs cause the daytime MSTIDs in GAIA and amplitude and propagation direction of the GWs control the noted seasonal variation. GW activities in the middle and lower atmosphere cause the longitudinal variation.
    Beschreibung: Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, KAKENHI (15H05815, 16H06286), Project for Solar-Terrestrial Environment Prediction (PSTEP) and Study of dynamical variation of particles and waves in the inner magnetosphere using ground-based network observation
    Beschreibung: Projekt DEAL
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5 ; Daytime MSTIDs ; GAIA model ; GPS ; Gravity waves ; Meridional wind ; TEC
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 100
    Publikationsdatum: 2022-03-25
    Beschreibung: We revisit the linear boundary-layer approximation that expresses a generalized Ekman balance and use it to clarify a range of interpretations in the previous literature on the tropical cyclone boundary layer. Some of these interpretations relate to the reasons for inflow in the boundary layer and others relate to the presumed effects of inertial stability on boundary-layer dynamics. Inertial stability has been invoked, for example, to explain aspects of boundary-layer behaviour, including the frontogenetic nature of the boundary layer and its relationship to vortex spin-up. Our analysis exposes the fallacy of invoking inertial stability as a resistance to radial inflow in the boundary layer. The analysis shows also that the nonlinear acceleration terms become comparable to the linear Coriolis acceleration terms in relatively narrow vortices that are inertially stable above the boundary layer. Estimates of the nonlinear accelerations using the linear solutions are expected to underestimate the actual contribution in a nonlinear boundary-layer model, cautioning against neglecting the nonlinear terms in diagnostic or prognostic models.
    Schlagwort(e): ddc:551.5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Materialart: doc-type:article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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