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  • Articles  (112)
  • Global Warming
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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2019-09-11
    Description: Natural soil CO2 emissions constitute a substantial portion of the carbon emitted in the atmosphere, particularly in volcano-tectonic areas where deep CO2 supply is also present because of the Earth's degassing. Hence, these emissions are considered of fundamental importance in the study of global CO2 budget estimates. Furthermore, in recent years, soil CO2 emissions have played an important role in the realm of seismic and volcanic studies as well as in the mitigation of gas-hazard-related risks. Although many methods are available for monitoring soil CO2 emissions, the comprehension and use of monitoring data can be challenging. This is because soil CO2 emissions are influenced by numerous processes and as consequence exhibit high spatio-temporal variability. In this framework, understanding the processes behind the variability of soil CO2 emissions is instrumental in improving their investigations. In addition, more suitable management of the monitoring data series is another crucial aspect of soil CO2 emission studies. In this study, we provide a detailed description of the processes that affect soil CO2 emissions and outline their impacts as functions of different features of the measurement sites. In particular, we examine the processes driven by both exogenous and endogenous factors and explain the origin of the observed variations. This study is based on the data acquired via eight monitoring stations on the island of Vulcano (Italy) from 2009 to 2017. The monitoring sites exhibited different features and covered a wide range of the soil CO2 emission values, thereby allowing a broad application of the obtained results.
    Description: Published
    Description: 102928
    Description: 2T. Deformazione crostale attiva
    Description: 2V. Struttura e sistema di alimentazione dei vulcani
    Description: 4V. Processi pre-eruttivi
    Description: 6V. Pericolosità vulcanica e contributi alla stima del rischio
    Description: 6A. Geochimica per l'ambiente e geologia medica
    Description: 1IT. Reti di monitoraggio e sorveglianza
    Description: JCR Journal
    Keywords: Soil CO2 emission ; Volcano Monitoring ; Global Warming ; Vulcano Island ; 04.08. Volcanology ; 04.07. Tectonophysics ; 01.01. Atmosphere ; 04. Solid Earth
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2017-01-05
    Description: The system of prior appropriation in the Western Unites States prioritizes property rights for water based on the establishment of beneficial use, creating a hierarchy where rights initiated first are more secure. I estimate the demand for security in water rights through their capitalization in agricultural property markets in the Yakima River Basin, a major watershed in Washington State. All water rights are satisfied in an average year, so the relative value of secure property rights is a function of water supply volatility and the costs of droughts are predominantly born by those with weak rights. In aggregate, security in water rights does not capitalize into property values at the irrigation district level; however, there is heterogeneity in the premium for secure water rights. The lack of a premium for district-level water security is robust to a variety of econometric methods to account for correlated district unobservables, and the null result produces an economically significant upper bound on the value to water security for the district. The ability for farmers to adapt to water supply volatility, as well as expectations about water markets and government infrastructure investment, are leading explanations for the lack of an aggregate premium. These explanations are supported by the pattern of heterogeneity in the water security premium.
    Keywords: Q15 - Land Ownership and Tenure ; Land Reform ; Land Use ; Irrigation, Q21 - Demand and Supply, Q24 - Land, Q25 - Water, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2016-08-20
    Description: A multi-year drought has taken a severe toll on the agricultural economy of California’s Central Valley. Index insurance is an instrument with the potential to protect water users from economic losses due to periodic water shortages. An index insurance product based on the Sacramento Index and adapted to the Central Valley Project water supply is proposed. To address the potential for intertemporal adverse selection, three product designs are suggested: (1) "early bird" insurance; (2) variable premium insurance; and (3) variable deductible insurance. The performance of the designs are assessed using loss functions from the Westlands Water District in the San Joaquin Valley.
    Keywords: Q14 - Agricultural Finance, Q15 - Land Ownership and Tenure ; Land Reform ; Land Use ; Irrigation, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 2040-5790
    Electronic ISSN: 2040-5804
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2016-07-09
    Description: Climate change affects agriculture by altering not only output quantity, but also crop quality. We quantify the economic impacts of climate change on agriculture through changes in both quantity and quality, where quality is measured by crop grades. Our model controls for methodological issues regarding sample selection, aggregation, phenology, and nonlinearity. The empirical application to Japanese rice production indicates that temperature effects are asymmetric: quantity is especially vulnerable to cold, whereas quality is vulnerable to extremely high temperature. Using these results, we simulate the effect of global warming, and we find that warming (a 3 °C increase) increases farm revenues by improving yield but decreases revenues as a result of deteriorating quality. The net effect is negative, suggesting that quality matters more than quantity. The negative effect, however, can be mitigated by shifting cultivation periods and/or regions. Overall, our results suggest that the estimated impacts of climate change and adaptation strategies could be severely misleading unless quality is considered.
    Keywords: L15 - Information and Product Quality ; Standardization and Compatibility, Q10 - General, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2016-02-03
    Description: In this article, we provide an overview of the extensive literature on the impact of weather and climate on grapes and wine, with the goal of identifying how climate change is likely to affect their production. We first discuss the physical impact of weather on vine phenology (i.e., the timing of biological events such as bud break or flowering), berry composition, and yields. Then we examine the economic literature that measures the effects of temperature on wine quality, prices, costs, and profits and, based on this review, infer how climate change will affect these variables. We also describe what has been learned thus far about possible adaptation strategies for grape growers that would allow them to mitigate the economic effects of climate change. We conclude that climate change is likely to produce both winners and losers, with the winners being those located closer to the North and South Poles. There are also likely to be some substantial short-run costs as growers adapt to climate change. Nevertheless, wine making has survived through thousands of years of recorded history, a history that has included significant climate changes. ( JEL : Q13, Q18, Q54)
    Keywords: Q13 - Agricultural Markets and Marketing ; Cooperatives ; Agribusiness, Q18 - Agricultural Policy ; Food Policy, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 1750-6816
    Electronic ISSN: 1750-6824
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Political Science , Economics
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2016-02-03
    Description: The December 2015 Conference of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change meetings in Paris are likely to yield a global agreement that will slow the world’s growth of greenhouse gas emissions, but this agreement is unlikely to guarantee a decline in global emissions in the near future. Given this reality, climate change adaptation is an increasingly important topic for discussion and study. Although much research has focused on the macroeconomic relationship between economic growth and temperature at the national and/or annual level, microeconomic analysis also offers valuable insights. This Reflections discusses recent work on household and firm responses to three climate change challenges: increased summer heat, higher food prices, and increased natural disaster risk. ( JEL : Q54)
    Keywords: Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 1750-6816
    Electronic ISSN: 1750-6824
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Political Science , Economics
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2016-02-20
    Description: In the estimation of Ricardian models the endogeneity of adaptation measures is typically ignored. In this article we propose a new estimation strategy that explicitly recognises the endogeneity of the farm type and irrigation to climate. Based on the latest census data on over 270,000 farms in Germany, we estimate a cross-sectional, spatial-IV model that decomposes the effects of climate on farm profitability into direct (unmediated) and indirect (mediated by the variables that reflect adaptation). Our results show that neglecting the endogenous nature of adaptation measures may substantially bias the magnitude of the total effect of climate on farm profitability.
    Keywords: C21 - Cross-Sectional Models ; Spatial Models ; Treatment Effect Models, C25 - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models, C36- Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation, Q18 - Agricultural Policy ; Food Policy, Q51 - Valuation of Environmental Effects, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0165-1587
    Electronic ISSN: 1464-3618
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2016-04-24
    Description: We construct a stochastic dynamic dual model to investigate the structural adjustment of two aggregate output and three aggregate input categories in US agriculture under stochastic climatic change. More than a century of national annual data (1910–2011) is used in the empirical analysis. No constraints on asset fixity are imposed. Results indicate that, with rational expectations, both output categories as well as all input categories exhibit quasi-fixity in response to market change and stochastic climate change. Crops adjust more than twice as fast as livestock—49% versus 20% of the way toward their long-run equilibrium in one year. Fertilizer adjusts most rapidly toward equilibrium levels (88% in one year), and capital adjusts most slowly (5% in one year). Labor oscillates rather than converging smoothly toward equilibrium; its distance from equilibrium is the same as if it adjusted 59% of the way toward its optimal level in one year. Failing to anticipate climate change dramatically slows the estimated rate of adjustment for two netputs and modestly speeds the rate for two others, thus likely increasing overall adjustment costs. Failing to account for uncertainty in anticipated climate change has little impact on adjustment rates.
    Keywords: Q11 - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis ; Prices, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2016-12-07
    Description: Much attention has been paid to the potential role that climate and food security has on conflict, especially in the Middle East. However, there has been little critical examination beyond the statistical correlation of events, which demonstrates whether a causal link exists and if it does, what can be done about it. This paper explores the conceptual linkages between food and conflict and attempts to draw attention to the opportunity cost of conflict as the nexus for decision-making in this context.
    Keywords: D74 - Conflict ; Conflict Resolution ; Alliances, Q18 - Agricultural Policy ; Food Policy, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 2040-5790
    Electronic ISSN: 2040-5804
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2016-12-07
    Description: What are second-generation (2G) biofuel technologies worth to global society? A dynamic, economic model is used to assess the impact that introducing 2G biofuels technology has on crops, livestock, biofuels, forestry, and environmental services, as well as greenhouse gas emissions. Under baseline conditions, this amounts to $64 billion and is $84 billion under the optimistic technology case, suggesting that investing in 2G technology could be appropriate. Under greenhouse gas regulation, global valuation more than doubles to $139 and $174 billion, respectively. A flat energy price scenario eliminates the value of 2G technology to society.
    Keywords: Q15 - Land Ownership and Tenure ; Land Reform ; Land Use ; Irrigation, Q42 - Alternative Energy Sources, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 2040-5790
    Electronic ISSN: 2040-5804
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 11
    Publication Date: 2015-08-11
    Description: Using a mathematical programming model of Norwegian agriculture, we explore interconnections between trade liberalization and reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. We show that the Doha Round proposals for a new agreement on agriculture through the World Trade Organization would not generate significant reductions in emissions. Further trade liberalization would reduce emissions by cutting agricultural production but would not change production methods. Imposing a carbon tax would lead both to a reduction in output and the extensification of production. In contrast, if farmers are allowed to claim a credit for carbon sequestration the effect is to intensify agricultural production.
    Keywords: F18 - Trade and Environment, Q17 - Agriculture in International Trade, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 2040-5790
    Electronic ISSN: 2040-5804
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 12
    Publication Date: 2015-04-18
    Description: Climate change will most likely confront agricultural producers with natural, economic, and political conditions that have not previously been observed and are largely uncertain. As a consequence, extrapolation from past data reaches its limits, and a process-based analysis of farmer adaptation is required. Simulation of changes in crop yields using crop growth models is a first step in that direction. However, changes in crop yields are only one pathway through which climate change affects agricultural production. A meaningful process-based analysis of farmer adaptation requires a whole-farm analysis at the farm level. We use a highly disaggregated mathematical programming model to analyze farm-level climate change adaptation for a mountainous area in southwest Germany. Regional-level results are obtained by simulating each full-time farm holding in the study area. We address parameter uncertainty and model underdetermination using a cautious calibration approach and a comprehensive uncertainty analysis. We deal with the resulting computational burden using efficient experimental designs and high-performance computing. We show that in our study area, shifted crop management time slots can have potentially significant effects on agricultural supply, incomes, and various policy objectives promoted under German and European environmental policy schemes. The simulated effects are robust against model uncertainty and underline the importance of a comprehensive assessment of climate change impacts beyond merely looking at crop yield changes. Our simulations demonstrate how farm-level models can contribute to a process-based analysis of climate change adaptation if they are embedded into a systematic framework for treating inherent model uncertainty.
    Keywords: C61 - Optimization Techniques ; Programming Models ; Dynamic Analysis, C63 - Computational Techniques, Q12 - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 13
    Publication Date: 2015-12-13
    Description: This article uses the 2007 Farm and Ranch Irrigation Survey database developed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture to assess the impact of water scarcity and climate on irrigation decisions for producers of specialty crops, wheat, and forage crops. We estimate an irrigation management model for major crops in the West Coast (California, Oregon, and Washington), which includes a farm-level equation of irrigated share and crop-specific equations of technology adoption and water application rate (orchard/vineyard, vegetable, wheat, alfalfa, hay, and pasture). We find that economic and physical water scarcity, climate, and extreme weather, such as frost, extreme heat, and drought, significantly impact producers’ irrigation decisions. Producers use sprinkler technologies or additional water applications to mitigate risk of crop damage from extreme weather. Water application rates are least responsive to surface water cost or groundwater well depth for producers of orchard/vineyard. Water supply institutions influence producers’ irrigation decisions. Producers who receive water from federal agencies use higher water application rates and are less likely to adopt water-saving irrigation technologies for some crops. Institutional arrangements, including access to distinct water sources (surface or ground) and whether surface water cost is fee based, also affect the responsiveness of water application rates to changes in surface water cost. The analysis provides valuable information about how producers in irrigated agricultural production systems would respond and adapt to water pricing policies and climate change.
    Keywords: Q12 - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets, Q15 - Land Ownership and Tenure ; Land Reform ; Land Use ; Irrigation, Q16 - R&D ; Agricultural Technology ; Agricultural Extension Services, Q18 - Agricultural Policy ; Food Policy, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 14
    Publication Date: 2015-07-18
    Description: How important is the Green Paradox? We address this question in three ways. First, we present a simple model explaining how announcing a future climate policy may increase carbon emissions today – the Green Paradox effect. This effect is a result of fossil fuel producers increasing their extraction today as a response to a reduction in future resource rents. Second, we examine the theoretical and empirical literature to assess whether green paradoxes are likely to occur, and if they are, whether they are big enough to be of concern for policy makers. We consider several factors that affect the existence of the green paradox, including long-term extraction costs, short-term extraction capacities, the mix of policy instruments, and potential spatial carbon leakage to countries that have no climate policy. We find that these and other factors can sometimes strengthen, but mostly weaken, the case for concern about the green paradox. Third, we identify the lessons the literature offers for policy makers. We argue that in designing climate policy, policy makers need to consider the supply side of the fossil fuel market.
    Keywords: H23 - Externalities ; Redistributive Effects ; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies, Q31 - Demand and Supply, Q38 - Government Policy, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 1750-6816
    Electronic ISSN: 1750-6824
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Political Science , Economics
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  • 15
    Publication Date: 2015-04-18
    Description: This article explores the reduction potential of greenhouse gases for major pollution-emitting countries of the world using nonparametric productivity measurement methods and directional distance functions. In contrast to the existing literature, we apply optimization methods to endogenously determine optimal directions for the efficiency analysis. These directions represent the compromise of output enhancement and emissions reduction. The results show that for reasonable directions the adoption of best practices would lead to sizable emission reductions in a range of approximately 20% compared with current levels.
    Keywords: C14 - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods, D24 - Production ; Cost ; Capital and Total Factor Productivity ; Capacity, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 16
    Publication Date: 2015-01-29
    Description: The United States and Canada have seen a competitive and technological revolution in unconventional natural gas production in the 21 st Century—dramatically lowering the price of gas and displacing high-carbon coal with low-carbon gas for power generation. This gas revolution came from an earlier revolution in the regulation of gas pipelines, which ended the obstruction of gas markets by pipeline interests. Neither revolution has spread to Europe, where increasingly protectionist EU legislation has effectively blocked competitive pipeline entry and related gas markets. As a result, unconventional gas is untapped, coal displaces gas for power generation, and oil-linked gas prices have cost EU consumers a staggering $425 billion more than their US counterparts have paid since 2009 for about the same quantity of gas. Europe faces a serious institutional challenge to adopting the kind of pipeline regulation that facilitates the competitive flow of natural gas supplies and the accompanying lower carbon emissions. ( JEL : D23, K23, L14, L51, L95, N70, Q54)
    Keywords: D23 - Organizational Behavior ; Transaction Costs ; Property Rights, K23 - Regulated Industries and Administrative Law, L14 - Transactional Relationships ; Contracts and Reputation ; Networks, L51 - Economics of Regulation, L95 - Gas Utilities ; Pipelines ; Water Utilities, N70 - General, International, or Comparative, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 1750-6816
    Electronic ISSN: 1750-6824
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Political Science , Economics
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  • 17
    Publication Date: 2015-01-29
    Description: Natural gas plays an important role in the global energy system as an input to power generation, heating, and industry. This article identifies key drivers and uncertainties for natural gas markets in the coming decades. These include the availability of natural gas from conventional and unconventional sources, the role of international trade, and the impact of climate policies. We build on model-based research as well as an up-to-date survey of natural gas resource availability. We find that natural gas is an abundant fossil fuel and that the Asia-Pacific region will be most important in future global natural gas markets, especially under stringent international climate change mitigation. This means that an increasingly large share of future natural gas trade flows and infrastructure expansions will be directed to the Asia-Pacific region and that the role of liquefied natural gas will continue to increase globally. ( JEL : C61, L71, Q33, Q37, Q54)
    Keywords: C61 - Optimization Techniques ; Programming Models ; Dynamic Analysis, L71 - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels, Q33 - Resource Booms, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 1750-6816
    Electronic ISSN: 1750-6824
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Political Science , Economics
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  • 18
    Publication Date: 2015-01-29
    Description: Natural disasters may constitute a major shock to public finances and debt sustainability because of their impact on output and the need for government response with reconstruction and relief expenses. The question arises of whether governments can use financial development policy as the means to mitigate or insure against this negative fiscal impact. This paper uses a panel vector autoregressive model, estimated on annual data for high- and middle-income countries over 1975–2008, to study the role of debt market development and insurance penetration in enabling fiscal response after catastrophes. The authors find that countries with higher debt market development suffer smaller real consequences from disasters but that their deficits expand further following the mitigating fiscal response. Disasters in countries with high insurance penetration also experience smaller real consequences of disasters but without the need for further deficit expansions. From an ex-post perspective, the availability of insurance could offer the best mitigation approach against the real and fiscal consequences of disasters.
    Keywords: E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles, H50 - General, H60 - General, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0258-6770
    Electronic ISSN: 1564-698X
    Topics: Economics
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  • 19
    Publication Date: 2015-07-10
    Description: We develop a general equilibrium framework, based on a specific-factors trade model, to quantify the medium-term household welfare impacts of global warming in rural India. Using an hedonic approach grounded in the theory combined with detailed microdata, we estimate that three decades of warming will reduce agricultural productivity in the range of 7%–13%, with the arid northwest of India especially hard hit. Our analysis shows that the proportional welfare cost of climate change is likely to be both modest and evenly distributed across percentiles of the per capita income distribution, but this latter conclusion emerges only when the flexibility of rural wages is taken into account.
    Keywords: Q17 - Agriculture in International Trade, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 20
    Publication Date: 2015-12-13
    Description: We investigate the effect of crop price and climate variables on rainfed corn and soybean yields and acreage in the United States using a large panel dataset for the 1977–2007 period. Instrumental variables are used to control for endogeneity of prices in yield and acreage regressions, while allowing for spatially auto-correlated errors. We find that an increase in corn price has a statistically significant positive impact on corn yield, but the effect of soybean price on soybean yields is not statistically significant. The estimated price elasticities of corn yield and acreage are 0.23 and 0.45, respectively. Of the increase in corn supply caused by an increase in corn price, we find that 33.8% is due to price-induced yield enhancement and 66.2% is due to price-induced acreage expansion. We also find that the impact of climate change on corn production ranges from $-$ 7% to $-$ 41% and on soybean ranges from $-$ 8% to $-$ 45%, depending on the climate change scenarios, time horizon, and global climate models used to predict climate change. We show that the aggregate net impact of omitting price variables is an overestimation of the effect of climate change on corn yield by up to 9% and on soybean yield by up to 15%.
    Keywords: Q11 - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis ; Prices, Q15 - Land Ownership and Tenure ; Land Reform ; Land Use ; Irrigation, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 21
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2015-01-17
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉England -- Nature. 2015 Jan 15;517(7534):244. doi: 10.1038/517244a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25592496" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; Coral Reefs ; Disasters/statistics & numerical data ; Fishes ; Global Warming ; Oceanography/*trends ; Seawater/analysis
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 22
    Publication Date: 2015-01-22
    Description: In a warming climate, surface meltwater production on large ice sheets is expected to increase. If this water is delivered to the ice sheet base it may have important consequences for ice dynamics. For example, basal water distributed in a diffuse network can decrease basal friction and accelerate ice flow, whereas channelized basal water can move quickly to the ice margin, where it can alter fjord circulation and submarine melt rates. Less certain is whether surface meltwater can be trapped and stored in subglacial lakes beneath large ice sheets. Here we show that a subglacial lake in Greenland drained quickly, as seen in the collapse of the ice surface, and then refilled from surface meltwater input. We use digital elevation models from stereo satellite imagery and airborne measurements to resolve elevation changes during the evolution of the surface and basal hydrologic systems at the Flade Isblink ice cap in northeast Greenland. During the autumn of 2011, a collapse basin about 70 metres deep and about 0.4 cubic kilometres in volume formed near the southern summit of the ice cap as a subglacial lake drained into a nearby fjord. Over the next two years, rapid uplift of the floor of the basin (which is approximately 8.4 square kilometres in area) occurred as surface meltwater flowed into crevasses around the basin margin and refilled the subglacial lake. Our observations show that surface meltwater can be trapped and stored at the bed of an ice sheet. Sensible and latent heat released by this trapped meltwater could soften nearby colder basal ice and alter downstream ice dynamics. Heat transport associated with meltwater trapped in subglacial lakes should be considered when predicting how ice sheet behaviour will change in a warming climate.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Willis, Michael J -- Herried, Bradley G -- Bevis, Michael G -- Bell, Robin E -- England -- Nature. 2015 Feb 12;518(7538):223-7. doi: 10.1038/nature14116. Epub 2015 Jan 21.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉1] Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14853, USA [2] Department of Geological Sciences, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina 27599, USA. ; Polar Geospatial Center, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, Minnesota 55108, USA. ; School of Earth Sciences, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio 43210, USA. ; Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, New York 10964, USA.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25607355" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Altitude ; Freezing ; Global Warming ; Greenland ; Hydrology ; Ice Cover/*chemistry ; Lakes/*chemistry ; Models, Theoretical ; Rivers/chemistry ; Seasons ; Temperature ; Time Factors ; *Water Movements
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 23
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    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Publication Date: 2015-07-04
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Mervis, Jeffrey -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2015 Jul 3;349(6243):16. doi: 10.1126/science.349.6243.16.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26138958" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Adult ; Age Factors ; Animal Experimentation ; Animals ; *Attitude ; Data Collection ; Female ; Global Warming ; Humans ; Nuclear Energy ; Politics ; *Public Opinion ; *Research ; Sex Factors ; United States
    Print ISSN: 0036-8075
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9203
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 24
    Publication Date: 2014-04-05
    Description: It appears that news media and some pro-environmental organizations have the tendency to accentuate or even exaggerate the damage caused by climate change. This article provides a rationale for this tendency by using a modified International Environmental Agreement (IEA) model with asymmetric information. We find that the information manipulation has an instrumental value, as it ex post induces more countries to participate in an IEA, which will eventually enhance global welfare. From the ex ante perspective, however, the impact that manipulating information has on the level of participation in an IEA and on welfare is ambiguous.
    Keywords: D82 - Asymmetric and Private Information, L82 - Entertainment ; Media, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 25
    Publication Date: 2014-12-17
    Description: Nitrous oxide (N2O) is an important greenhouse gas and ozone-depleting substance that has anthropogenic as well as natural marine and terrestrial sources. The tropospheric N2O concentrations have varied substantially in the past in concert with changing climate on glacial-interglacial and millennial timescales. It is not well understood, however, how N2O emissions from marine and terrestrial sources change in response to varying environmental conditions. The distinct isotopic compositions of marine and terrestrial N2O sources can help disentangle the relative changes in marine and terrestrial N2O emissions during past climate variations. Here we present N2O concentration and isotopic data for the last deglaciation, from 16,000 to 10,000 years before present, retrieved from air bubbles trapped in polar ice at Taylor Glacier, Antarctica. With the help of our data and a box model of the N2O cycle, we find a 30 per cent increase in total N2O emissions from the late glacial to the interglacial, with terrestrial and marine emissions contributing equally to the overall increase and generally evolving in parallel over the last deglaciation, even though there is no a priori connection between the drivers of the two sources. However, we find that terrestrial emissions dominated on centennial timescales, consistent with a state-of-the-art dynamic global vegetation and land surface process model that suggests that during the last deglaciation emission changes were strongly influenced by temperature and precipitation patterns over land surfaces. The results improve our understanding of the drivers of natural N2O emissions and are consistent with the idea that natural N2O emissions will probably increase in response to anthropogenic warming.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Schilt, Adrian -- Brook, Edward J -- Bauska, Thomas K -- Baggenstos, Daniel -- Fischer, Hubertus -- Joos, Fortunat -- Petrenko, Vasilii V -- Schaefer, Hinrich -- Schmitt, Jochen -- Severinghaus, Jeffrey P -- Spahni, Renato -- Stocker, Thomas F -- England -- Nature. 2014 Dec 11;516(7530):234-7. doi: 10.1038/nature13971.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉1] College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon 97331, USA [2] Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, and Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland. ; College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon 97331, USA. ; Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, California 92037, USA. ; Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, and Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, 3012 Bern, Switzerland. ; Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester, New York 14627, USA. ; National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington 6021, New Zealand.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25503236" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Antarctic Regions ; Aquatic Organisms/*metabolism ; Atmosphere/*chemistry ; Global Warming ; History, Ancient ; *Ice Cover ; Nitrogen Isotopes/analysis ; Nitrous Oxide/analysis/history/*metabolism ; Oxygen Isotopes/analysis ; Rain ; Temperature ; Time Factors
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 26
    Publication Date: 2014-04-30
    Description: The climate-active gas methane is generated both by biological processes and by thermogenic decomposition of fossil organic material, which forms methane and short-chain alkanes, principally ethane, propane and butane. In addition to natural sources, environments are exposed to anthropogenic inputs of all these gases from oil and gas extraction and distribution. The gases provide carbon and/or energy for a diverse range of microorganisms that can metabolize them in both anoxic and oxic zones. Aerobic methanotrophs, which can assimilate methane, have been considered to be entirely distinct from utilizers of short-chain alkanes, and studies of environments exposed to mixtures of methane and multi-carbon alkanes have assumed that disparate groups of microorganisms are responsible for the metabolism of these gases. Here we describe the mechanism by which a single bacterial strain, Methylocella silvestris, can use methane or propane as a carbon and energy source, documenting a methanotroph that can utilize a short-chain alkane as an alternative to methane. Furthermore, during growth on a mixture of these gases, efficient consumption of both gases occurred at the same time. Two soluble di-iron centre monooxygenase (SDIMO) gene clusters were identified and were found to be differentially expressed during bacterial growth on these gases, although both were required for efficient propane utilization. This report of a methanotroph expressing an additional SDIMO that seems to be uniquely involved in short-chain alkane metabolism suggests that such metabolic flexibility may be important in many environments where methane and short-chain alkanes co-occur.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Crombie, Andrew T -- Murrell, J Colin -- England -- Nature. 2014 Jun 5;510(7503):148-51. doi: 10.1038/nature13192. Epub 2014 Apr 28.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24776799" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Beijerinckiaceae/enzymology/genetics/growth & development/*metabolism ; Carbon/metabolism ; Enzyme Induction/drug effects ; Gases/*metabolism/pharmacology ; Gene Expression Regulation, Bacterial/drug effects ; Global Warming ; Methane/*metabolism/pharmacology ; Mixed Function Oxygenases/genetics/metabolism ; Multigene Family/genetics ; Propane/*metabolism/pharmacology
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 27
    Publication Date: 2014-09-26
    Description: Billions of organisms, from bacteria to humans, migrate each year and research on their migration biology is expanding rapidly through ever more sophisticated remote sensing technologies. However, little is known about how migratory performance develops through life for any organism. To date, age variation has been almost systematically simplified into a dichotomous comparison between recently born juveniles at their first migration versus adults of unknown age. These comparisons have regularly highlighted better migratory performance by adults compared with juveniles, but it is unknown whether such variation is gradual or abrupt and whether it is driven by improvements within the individual, by selective mortality of poor performers, or both. Here we exploit the opportunity offered by long-term monitoring of individuals through Global Positioning System (GPS) satellite tracking to combine within-individual and cross-sectional data on 364 migration episodes from 92 individuals of a raptorial bird, aged 1-27 years old. We show that the development of migratory behaviour follows a consistent trajectory, more gradual and prolonged than previously appreciated, and that this is promoted by both individual improvements and selective mortality, mainly operating in early life and during the pre-breeding migration. Individuals of different age used different travelling tactics and varied in their ability to exploit tailwinds or to cope with wind drift. All individuals seemed aligned along a race with their contemporary peers, whose outcome was largely determined by the ability to depart early, affecting their subsequent recruitment, reproduction and survival. Understanding how climate change and human action can affect the migration of younger animals may be the key to managing and forecasting the declines of many threatened migrants.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Sergio, Fabrizio -- Tanferna, Alessandro -- De Stephanis, Renaud -- Jimenez, Lidia Lopez -- Blas, Julio -- Tavecchia, Giacomo -- Preatoni, Damiano -- Hiraldo, Fernando -- England -- Nature. 2014 Nov 20;515(7527):410-3. doi: 10.1038/nature13696. Epub 2014 Sep 24.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Department of Conservation Biology, Estacion Biologica de Donana-CSIC, Avenida Americo Vespucio, 41092 Seville, Spain. ; Population Ecology Group, Institute for Mediterranean Studies (IMEDEA), CSIC-UIB, 07190 Esporles, Spain. ; Department of Theoretical and Applied Sciences, Insubria University, 21100 Varese, Italy.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25252973" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Africa ; Age Factors ; Aging/*physiology ; Animal Migration/*physiology ; Animals ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Geographic Information Systems ; Global Warming ; Human Activities ; Raptors/*physiology ; Reproduction/physiology ; Spain ; Survival Rate ; Time Factors ; Wind
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 28
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2014-05-30
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Subramanian, Meera -- England -- Nature. 2014 May 29;509(7502):548-51. doi: 10.1038/509548a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24870526" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Air Pollution, Indoor/*adverse effects/*prevention & control/statistics & ; numerical data ; Animals ; Atmosphere/chemistry ; *Biomass ; Cattle ; Cooking/economics/*instrumentation ; Developing Countries/statistics & numerical data ; Electricity ; Environmental Health/statistics & numerical data/trends ; Feces ; Female ; *Fires ; Global Health/*statistics & numerical data/trends ; Global Warming ; *Housing ; Humans ; India/epidemiology ; Meals ; Renewable Energy/economics ; Soot/adverse effects/analysis ; Wood
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 29
    Publication Date: 2014-01-24
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Morello, Lauren -- England -- Nature. 2014 Jan 23;505(7484):465-6. doi: 10.1038/505465a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24451522" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; Conservation of Natural Resources/*legislation & jurisprudence ; Diet/veterinary ; Endangered Species/*statistics & numerical data ; Global Warming ; Pinus/growth & development/microbiology/parasitology ; Population Density ; *Ursidae ; Wyoming
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    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 30
    Publication Date: 2014-01-24
    Description: In recent decades, Antarctica has experienced pronounced climate changes. The Antarctic Peninsula exhibited the strongest warming of any region on the planet, causing rapid changes in land ice. Additionally, in contrast to the sea-ice decline over the Arctic, Antarctic sea ice has not declined, but has instead undergone a perplexing redistribution. Antarctic climate is influenced by, among other factors, changes in radiative forcing and remote Pacific climate variability, but none explains the observed Antarctic Peninsula warming or the sea-ice redistribution in austral winter. However, in the north and tropical Atlantic Ocean, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (a leading mode of sea surface temperature variability) has been overlooked in this context. Here we show that sea surface warming related to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation reduces the surface pressure in the Amundsen Sea and contributes to the observed dipole-like sea-ice redistribution between the Ross and Amundsen-Bellingshausen-Weddell seas and to the Antarctic Peninsula warming. Support for these findings comes from analysis of observational and reanalysis data, and independently from both comprehensive and idealized atmospheric model simulations. We suggest that the north and tropical Atlantic is important for projections of future climate change in Antarctica, and has the potential to affect the global thermohaline circulation and sea-level change.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Li, Xichen -- Holland, David M -- Gerber, Edwin P -- Yoo, Changhyun -- England -- Nature. 2014 Jan 23;505(7484):538-42. doi: 10.1038/nature12945.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University, 251 Mercer Street, New York, New York 10012, USA.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24451542" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Antarctic Regions ; Atlantic Ocean ; Computer Simulation ; Global Warming ; *Ice Cover ; Models, Theoretical ; Pacific Ocean ; Pressure ; Seasons ; Seawater/*chemistry ; Temperature ; Time Factors ; *Tropical Climate
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    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 31
    Publication Date: 2014-09-05
    Description: Soils store about four times as much carbon as plant biomass, and soil microbial respiration releases about 60 petagrams of carbon per year to the atmosphere as carbon dioxide. Short-term experiments have shown that soil microbial respiration increases exponentially with temperature. This information has been incorporated into soil carbon and Earth-system models, which suggest that warming-induced increases in carbon dioxide release from soils represent an important positive feedback loop that could influence twenty-first-century climate change. The magnitude of this feedback remains uncertain, however, not least because the response of soil microbial communities to changing temperatures has the potential to either decrease or increase warming-induced carbon losses substantially. Here we collect soils from different ecosystems along a climate gradient from the Arctic to the Amazon and investigate how microbial community-level responses control the temperature sensitivity of soil respiration. We find that the microbial community-level response more often enhances than reduces the mid- to long-term (90 days) temperature sensitivity of respiration. Furthermore, the strongest enhancing responses were observed in soils with high carbon-to-nitrogen ratios and in soils from cold climatic regions. After 90 days, microbial community responses increased the temperature sensitivity of respiration in high-latitude soils by a factor of 1.4 compared to the instantaneous temperature response. This suggests that the substantial carbon stores in Arctic and boreal soils could be more vulnerable to climate warming than currently predicted.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Karhu, Kristiina -- Auffret, Marc D -- Dungait, Jennifer A J -- Hopkins, David W -- Prosser, James I -- Singh, Brajesh K -- Subke, Jens-Arne -- Wookey, Philip A -- Agren, Goran I -- Sebastia, Maria-Teresa -- Gouriveau, Fabrice -- Bergkvist, Goran -- Meir, Patrick -- Nottingham, Andrew T -- Salinas, Norma -- Hartley, Iain P -- England -- Nature. 2014 Sep 4;513(7516):81-4. doi: 10.1038/nature13604.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉1] Geography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4RJ, UK [2] Department of Forest Sciences, University of Helsinki, 00014 Helsinki, Finland. ; Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB24 3UU, UK. ; Rothamsted Research-North Wyke, Okehampton, Devon EX20 2SB, UK. ; School of Agriculture, Food &Environment, The Royal Agricultural University, Cirencester, Gloucestershire GL7 6JS, UK. ; Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, University of Western Sydney, Penrith 2751, New South Wales, Australia. ; School of Natural Sciences, Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Stirling, Stirling FK9 4LA, UK. ; School of Life Sciences, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh EH14 4AS, UK. ; Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), 750 07 Uppsala, Sweden. ; 1] Laboratory of Functional Ecology and Global Change, Forest Sciences Centre of Catalonia (CTFC), 25280 Solsona, Spain [2] Department of Horticulture, Botany and Landscaping, School of Agrifood and Forestry Science and Engineering, University of Lleida, 25198 Lleida, Spain. ; Laboratory of Functional Ecology and Global Change, Forest Sciences Centre of Catalonia (CTFC), 25280 Solsona, Spain. ; Department of Crop Production Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), 750 07 Uppsala, Sweden. ; 1] School of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9XP, UK [2] Research School of Biology, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory 0200, Australia. ; School of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9XP, UK. ; Seccion Quimica, Pontificia Universidad Catolica del Peru, Lima 32, Peru. ; Geography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4RJ, UK.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25186902" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Arctic Regions ; Carbon/metabolism ; Carbon Dioxide/*metabolism ; Cold Climate ; *Feedback ; Global Warming ; Nitrogen/metabolism ; Oxygen/*metabolism ; Soil/chemistry ; *Soil Microbiology ; *Temperature ; Tropical Climate
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  • 32
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2014-06-20
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Schiermeier, Quirin -- England -- Nature. 2014 Jun 19;510(7505):326-8. doi: 10.1038/510326a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24943941" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Global Warming ; Population Growth ; *Water Resources ; Water Supply/*standards
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  • 33
    Publication Date: 2014-01-28
    Description: Earth system models project that the tropical land carbon sink will decrease in size in response to an increase in warming and drought during this century, probably causing a positive climate feedback. But available data are too limited at present to test the predicted changes in the tropical carbon balance in response to climate change. Long-term atmospheric carbon dioxide data provide a global record that integrates the interannual variability of the global carbon balance. Multiple lines of evidence demonstrate that most of this variability originates in the terrestrial biosphere. In particular, the year-to-year variations in the atmospheric carbon dioxide growth rate (CGR) are thought to be the result of fluctuations in the carbon fluxes of tropical land areas. Recently, the response of CGR to tropical climate interannual variability was used to put a constraint on the sensitivity of tropical land carbon to climate change. Here we use the long-term CGR record from Mauna Loa and the South Pole to show that the sensitivity of CGR to tropical temperature interannual variability has increased by a factor of 1.9 +/- 0.3 in the past five decades. We find that this sensitivity was greater when tropical land regions experienced drier conditions. This suggests that the sensitivity of CGR to interannual temperature variations is regulated by moisture conditions, even though the direct correlation between CGR and tropical precipitation is weak. We also find that present terrestrial carbon cycle models do not capture the observed enhancement in CGR sensitivity in the past five decades. More realistic model predictions of future carbon cycle and climate feedbacks require a better understanding of the processes driving the response of tropical ecosystems to drought and warming.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Wang, Xuhui -- Piao, Shilong -- Ciais, Philippe -- Friedlingstein, Pierre -- Myneni, Ranga B -- Cox, Peter -- Heimann, Martin -- Miller, John -- Peng, Shushi -- Wang, Tao -- Yang, Hui -- Chen, Anping -- England -- Nature. 2014 Feb 13;506(7487):212-5. doi: 10.1038/nature12915. Epub 2014 Jan 26.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China. ; 1] Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China [2] Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China. ; 1] Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China [2] Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, CEA CNRS UVSQ, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France. ; College of Engineering, Mathematics, and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4QF, UK. ; Department of Earth and Environment, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts 02215, USA. ; Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, 07701 Jena, Germany. ; 1] Global Monitoring Division, Earth System Research Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 325 Broadway, Boulder, Colorado 80305, USA [2] Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado 80309, USA. ; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey 08544-1003, USA.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24463514" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Antarctic Regions ; Atmosphere/chemistry ; Carbon/analysis/metabolism ; Carbon Cycle/*physiology ; Carbon Dioxide/metabolism ; Carbon Sequestration ; Droughts ; Ecosystem ; Global Warming ; Hawaii ; History, 20th Century ; History, 21st Century ; Humidity ; Models, Theoretical ; Rain ; *Temperature ; *Tropical Climate
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  • 34
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    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Publication Date: 2014-06-07
    Description: Within the context of Earth's limited natural resources and assimilation capacity, the current environmental footprint of humankind is not sustainable. Assessing land, water, energy, material, and other footprints along supply chains is paramount in understanding the sustainability, efficiency, and equity of resource use from the perspective of producers, consumers, and government. We review current footprints and relate those to maximum sustainable levels, highlighting the need for future work on combining footprints, assessing trade-offs between them, improving computational techniques, estimating maximum sustainable footprint levels, and benchmarking efficiency of resource use. Ultimately, major transformative changes in the global economy are necessary to reduce humanity's environmental footprint to sustainable levels.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Hoekstra, Arjen Y -- Wiedmann, Thomas O -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2014 Jun 6;344(6188):1114-7. doi: 10.1126/science.1248365.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Twente Water Centre, Institute for Innovation and Governance Studies, University of Twente, Enschede, Netherlands. a.y.hoekstra@utwente.nl. ; School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, UNSW Australia, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia. Integrated Sustainability Analysis, School of Physics A28, The University of Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24904155" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Economics ; *Environment ; Global Warming ; Humans
    Print ISSN: 0036-8075
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9203
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 35
    Publication Date: 2014-03-08
    Description: The impact of global warming on insect-borne diseases and on highland malaria in particular remains controversial. Temperature is known to influence transmission intensity through its effects on the population growth of the mosquito vector and on pathogen development within the vector. Spatiotemporal data at a regional scale in highlands of Colombia and Ethiopia supplied an opportunity to examine how the spatial distribution of the disease changes with the interannual variability of temperature. We provide evidence for an increase in the altitude of malaria distribution in warmer years, which implies that climate change will, without mitigation, result in an increase of the malaria burden in the densely populated highlands of Africa and South America.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Siraj, A S -- Santos-Vega, M -- Bouma, M J -- Yadeta, D -- Ruiz Carrascal, D -- Pascual, M -- Howard Hughes Medical Institute/ -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2014 Mar 7;343(6175):1154-8. doi: 10.1126/science.1244325.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Department of Geography and the Environment, University of Denver, 235 Boettcher West, 2050 East Iliff Avenue Denver, CO 80208-0710, USA.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24604201" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Altitude ; Colombia/epidemiology ; Ethiopia/epidemiology ; Global Warming ; Humans ; Incidence ; Malaria, Falciparum/*epidemiology ; *Plasmodium falciparum ; Population Density ; Seasons
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  • 36
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    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Publication Date: 2014-11-08
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Normile, Dennis -- Dayton, Leigh -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2014 Nov 7;346(6210):683. doi: 10.1126/science.346.6210.683.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25378598" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Australia ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Coral Reefs ; *Environmental Policy ; Federal Government ; Global Warming
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  • 37
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    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Publication Date: 2014-11-02
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Service, Robert F -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2014 Oct 31;346(6209):538-41. doi: 10.1126/science.346.6209.538.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25359947" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Global Warming ; *Methane ; *Motor Vehicles ; Natural Gas/*utilization ; United States
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  • 38
    Publication Date: 2014-07-23
    Description: In the United States, climate change is likely to increase average daily temperatures and the frequency of heat waves, which can reduce meat and milk production in animals. Methods that livestock producers use to mitigate thermal stress—including modifications to animal management or housing—tend to increase production costs. We use operation-level economic data coupled with finely-scaled climate data to estimate how the local thermal environment affects the technical efficiency of dairies across the United States. We then use this information to estimate the possible decline in milk production in 2030 resulting from climate change-induced heat stress under the simplifying assumptions that the production technology, location of production, and other factors are held constant. For four climate model scenarios, the results indicate modest heat-stress-related production declines by 2030, with the largest declines occurring in the southern states.
    Keywords: D24 - Production ; Cost ; Capital and Total Factor Productivity ; Capacity, Q12 - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 39
    Publication Date: 2014-07-23
    Description: A growing body of evidence shows a causal relationship between extreme weather events and civil conflict incidence at the global level. We find that this causality is also valid for droughts and local violent conflicts in a within-country setting over a short time frame in the case of Somalia. We estimate that a one standard deviation increase in drought intensity and length raises the likelihood of conflict by 62%. We also find that drought affects conflict through livestock price changes, establishing livestock markets as the primary channel of transmission in Somalia.
    Keywords: D74 - Conflict ; Conflict Resolution ; Alliances, O12 - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development, Q11 - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis ; Prices, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0002-9092
    Electronic ISSN: 1467-8276
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 40
    Publication Date: 2014-07-23
    Description: Climate scientists, and natural scientists more generally, believe that climate change is a major, perhaps the most important, problem facing humankind this century, and that it is increasingly linked to extreme weather events. However, the impression one gets from much of the economic literature, particularly simulations from integrated assessment models used in policy analysis, is that the potential impacts of climate change are not large enough to warrant aggressive mitigation efforts in the near term. Although these models represent an important step in the needed interdisciplinary analysis of climate change by elucidating the links between climate and economy, we argue that they grossly underestimate potential impacts and associated damages because they (and the related policy analyses) fail to adequately capture extreme conditions, catastrophic events, and tipping points that trigger irreversible changes in the climate system, as well as impacts on the natural environment that cannot be monetized. Because the most severe impacts are expected in the later years of this century and beyond, discounting is crucial, and we argue that the appropriate rate is well below market rates. Moreover, we show that in the uniquely long period relevant to climate policy, the irreversibility of climate changes and impacts is more serious than the irreversibility of proposed mitigation measures. We conclude that an aggressive mitigation policy is warranted, one that holds further increases in global mean temperature to the scientific consensus on what is required to avoid the worst impacts, and that such a policy can be achieved at a cost that is well below potential damages. ( JEL : Q54)
    Keywords: Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 1750-6816
    Electronic ISSN: 1750-6824
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Political Science , Economics
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  • 41
    Publication Date: 2014-01-28
    Description: Uncertainty is intrinsic to climate change: we know that the climate is changing but not precisely how fast or in what ways. Nor do we understand fully the social and economic consequences of these changes or the options that will be available for reducing climate change. Furthermore, the uncertainty about these issues is not readily quantified in probabilistic terms: we are facing deep uncertainty rather than known risks. We argue that this may render the classical expected utility framework for decision making under uncertainty of limited value for informing climate policy. We review the sources of uncertainty about all aspects of climate change, separate these into scientific and socioeconomic components, and examine their relative importance. Then we review decision-making frameworks that may be more appropriate in the absence of unique probabilities including nonprobabilistic approaches and those based on multiple priors, and we discuss their application in the context of climate change economics. ( JEL : D81, Q54)
    Keywords: D81 - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 1750-6816
    Electronic ISSN: 1750-6824
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Political Science , Economics
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  • 42
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    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Publication Date: 2013-08-10
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Kintisch, Eli -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2013 Aug 9;341(6146):609-11. doi: 10.1126/science.341.6146.609.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23929964" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: California ; *Computer Simulation ; Fires/*prevention & control/*statistics & numerical data ; Forecasting/*methods ; Global Warming ; *Trees
    Print ISSN: 0036-8075
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9203
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 43
    Publication Date: 2013-11-22
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Westwick, Peter -- England -- Nature. 2013 Nov 21;503(7476):341. doi: 10.1038/503341a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24256794" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; *Athletes ; Athletic Performance ; Diving ; Forecasting ; Global Warming ; Research ; *Research Personnel ; *Sports ; *Water Movements
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 44
    Publication Date: 2013-07-26
    Description: Evidence from Greenland ice cores shows that year-to-year temperature variability was probably higher in some past cold periods, but there is considerable interest in determining whether global warming is increasing climate variability at present. This interest is motivated by an understanding that increased variability and resulting extreme weather conditions may be more difficult for society to adapt to than altered mean conditions. So far, however, in spite of suggestions of increased variability, there is considerable uncertainty as to whether it is occurring. Here we show that although fluctuations in annual temperature have indeed shown substantial geographical variation over the past few decades, the time-evolving standard deviation of globally averaged temperature anomalies has been stable. A feature of the changes has been a tendency for many regions of low variability to experience increases, which might contribute to the perception of increased climate volatility. The normalization of temperature anomalies creates the impression of larger relative overall increases, but our use of absolute values, which we argue is a more appropriate approach, reveals little change. Regionally, greater year-to-year changes recently occurred in much of North America and Europe. Many climate models predict that total variability will ultimately decrease under high greenhouse gas concentrations, possibly associated with reductions in sea-ice cover. Our findings contradict the view that a warming world will automatically be one of more overall climatic variation.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Huntingford, Chris -- Jones, Philip D -- Livina, Valerie N -- Lenton, Timothy M -- Cox, Peter M -- England -- Nature. 2013 Aug 15;500(7462):327-30. doi: 10.1038/nature12310. Epub 2013 Jul 24.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford OX10 8BB, UK. chg@ceh.ac.uk〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23883935" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Climate Change ; *Computer Simulation ; Global Warming ; Ice Cover ; Seasons ; *Temperature
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 45
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2013-12-21
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉England -- Nature. 2013 Dec 19;504(7480):331-2.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24358505" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Agriculture/*statistics & numerical data ; Carbon Sequestration ; *Geographic Mapping ; Global Warming ; Satellite Imagery ; Ussr
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 46
    Publication Date: 2013-08-21
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Tingley, Morgan W -- Estes, Lyndon D -- Wilcove, David S -- England -- Nature. 2013 Aug 15;500(7462):271-2. doi: 10.1038/500271a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey 08544, USA. mtingley@princeton.edu〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23955216" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; *Biodiversity ; Conservation of Natural Resources/legislation & jurisprudence/*trends ; Global Warming ; United States
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 47
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2013-01-04
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Van Noorden, Richard -- England -- Nature. 2013 Jan 3;493(7430):11. doi: 10.1038/493011a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23282342" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; Astronomical Phenomena ; Clinical Trials as Topic ; Embryonic Stem Cells/transplantation ; Genes ; Global Warming ; Humans ; Intestines/microbiology ; Mental Disorders/diagnosis ; Neoplasms/drug therapy/microbiology ; Patents as Topic/legislation & jurisprudence ; Pyridones/therapeutic use ; Pyrimidinones/therapeutic use ; Reference Books ; Research Report/trends ; Research Support as Topic/economics ; Retina/cytology ; Science/*trends
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 48
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2013-09-07
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Oreskes, Naomi -- England -- Nature. 2013 Sep 5;501(7465):27-9.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA. oreskes@fas.harvard.edu〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24010145" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Geological Phenomena ; Geology/*history ; Global Warming ; History, 20th Century ; Paleontology
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 49
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2013-05-10
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Schiermeier, Quirin -- England -- Nature. 2013 May 9;497(7448):167-8. doi: 10.1038/497167a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23657327" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Atlantic Ocean ; Global Warming ; *Oceanography ; Temperature ; *Water Movements ; Weather
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 50
    Publication Date: 2013-11-19
    Description: The El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the Earth's most prominent source of interannual climate variability, exerting profound worldwide effects. Despite decades of research, its behaviour continues to challenge scientists. In the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, the anomalously cool sea surface temperatures (SSTs) found during La Nina events and the warm waters of modest El Nino events both propagate westwards, as in the seasonal cycle. In contrast, SST anomalies propagate eastwards during extreme El Nino events, prominently in the post-1976 period, spurring unusual weather events worldwide with costly consequences. The cause of this propagation asymmetry is currently unknown. Here we trace the cause of the asymmetry to the variations in upper ocean currents in the equatorial Pacific, whereby the westward-flowing currents are enhanced during La Nina events but reversed during extreme El Nino events. Our results highlight that propagation asymmetry is favoured when the westward mean equatorial currents weaken, as is projected to be the case under global warming. By analysing past and future climate simulations of an ensemble of models with more realistic propagation, we find a doubling in the occurrences of El Nino events that feature prominent eastward propagation characteristics in a warmer world. Our analysis thus suggests that more frequent emergence of propagation asymmetry will be an indication of the Earth's warming climate.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Santoso, Agus -- McGregor, Shayne -- Jin, Fei-Fei -- Cai, Wenju -- England, Matthew H -- An, Soon-Il -- McPhaden, Michael J -- Guilyardi, Eric -- England -- Nature. 2013 Dec 5;504(7478):126-30. doi: 10.1038/nature12683. Epub 2013 Nov 17.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science and Climate Change Research Centre, Level 4 Mathews Building, The University of New South Wales, Sydney 2052, Australia.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24240279" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Computer Simulation ; El Nino-Southern Oscillation/history ; Global Warming ; History, 20th Century ; Pacific Ocean ; Seasons ; Water Movements ; Weather
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 51
    Publication Date: 2013-10-05
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Jotzo, Frank -- England -- Nature. 2013 Oct 3;502(7469):38. doi: 10.1038/502038a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24091970" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Australia ; Carbon/*economics ; Environmental Policy/*economics ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 52
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    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Publication Date: 2013-10-05
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Kerr, Richard A -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2013 Oct 4;342(6154):23-4. doi: 10.1126/science.342.6154.23-a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24092706" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Climate Change ; Consensus ; Forecasting ; Global Warming ; Humans ; *Research Report
    Print ISSN: 0036-8075
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9203
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 53
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    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Publication Date: 2013-06-01
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Stevens, Bjorn -- Bony, Sandrine -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2013 May 31;340(6136):1053-4. doi: 10.1126/science.1237554.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg Germany. bjorn.stevens@mpimet.mpg.de〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23723223" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Air Movements ; *Atmosphere ; *Climate Change ; Earth (Planet) ; Global Warming ; *Models, Theoretical ; Rain ; Uncertainty
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 54
    Publication Date: 2013-08-03
    Description: Terrestrial ecosystems have encountered substantial warming over the past century, with temperatures increasing about twice as rapidly over land as over the oceans. Here, we review the likelihood of continued changes in terrestrial climate, including analyses of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project global climate model ensemble. Inertia toward continued emissions creates potential 21st-century global warming that is comparable in magnitude to that of the largest global changes in the past 65 million years but is orders of magnitude more rapid. The rate of warming implies a velocity of climate change and required range shifts of up to several kilometers per year, raising the prospect of daunting challenges for ecosystems, especially in the context of extensive land use and degradation, changes in frequency and severity of extreme events, and interactions with other stresses.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Diffenbaugh, Noah S -- Field, Christopher B -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2013 Aug 2;341(6145):486-92. doi: 10.1126/science.1237123.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Department of Environmental Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA. diffenbaugh@stanford.edu〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23908225" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Climate Change ; Ecology ; *Ecosystem ; Forecasting ; Global Warming ; Humans ; Models, Theoretical ; Temperature
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 55
    Publication Date: 2013-11-22
    Description: This paper explores federal policies, other than a carbon price, for reducing emissions from the electric power sector. These policies fall into two major categories: policies that encourage the development of non- or low-emitting energy sources, and regulatory policies under existing legal authority (primarily the Clean Air Act). The paper provides an overview of policy options and a few concrete proposals, along with a summary of insights from economists on their advantages and disadvantages. Economists generally disfavor investment subsidies, but comparing other policy options, including regulatory approaches, technology mandates, and production subsidies, is complex. Excluding existing clean generation from incentive policies is tempting but can lead to perverse outcomes.
    Keywords: L94 - Electric Utilities, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 2040-5790
    Electronic ISSN: 2040-5804
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 56
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    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Publication Date: 2012-11-20
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Qiu, Jane -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2012 Nov 16;338(6109):879-81. doi: 10.1126/science.338.6109.879.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23161970" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; Antarctic Regions ; *Climate Change ; Global Warming ; *Ice Cover ; Spheniscidae/*physiology
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 57
    Publication Date: 2012-11-16
    Description: Global mean sea surface temperature (SST) has risen steadily over the past century, but the overall pattern contains extensive and often uncertain spatial variations, with potentially important effects on regional precipitation. Observations suggest a slowdown of the zonal atmospheric overturning circulation above the tropical Pacific Ocean (the Walker circulation) over the twentieth century. Although this change has been attributed to a muted hydrological cycle forced by global warming, the effect of SST warming patterns has not been explored and quantified. Here we perform experiments using an atmospheric model, and find that SST warming patterns are the main cause of the weakened Walker circulation over the past six decades (1950-2009). The SST trend reconstructed from bucket-sampled SST and night-time marine surface air temperature features a reduced zonal gradient in the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean, a change consistent with subsurface temperature observations. Model experiments with this trend pattern robustly simulate the observed changes, including the Walker circulation slowdown and the eastward shift of atmospheric convection from the Indonesian maritime continent to the central tropical Pacific. Our results cannot establish whether the observed changes are due to natural variability or anthropogenic global warming, but they do show that the observed slowdown in the Walker circulation is presumably driven by oceanic rather than atmospheric processes.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Tokinaga, Hiroki -- Xie, Shang-Ping -- Deser, Clara -- Kosaka, Yu -- Okumura, Yuko M -- England -- Nature. 2012 Nov 15;491(7424):439-43. doi: 10.1038/nature11576.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉International Pacific Research Center, Department of Meteorology, SOEST, University of Hawaii at Manoa, 1680 East West Road, Honolulu, Hawaii 96822, USA.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23151588" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Air Movements ; Global Warming ; *Models, Theoretical ; *Oceans and Seas ; *Temperature ; *Tropical Climate
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 58
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2012-08-31
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Tollefson, Jeff -- England -- Nature. 2012 Aug 30;488(7413):570. doi: 10.1038/488570a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22932357" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Atmosphere/*chemistry ; Biomass ; Brazil ; Carbon Cycle ; Carbon Dioxide/*analysis/metabolism ; *Environmental Monitoring/instrumentation ; Forestry/*statistics & numerical data ; Global Warming ; Satellite Communications ; Trees/growth & development/*metabolism
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
    Electronic ISSN: 1476-4687
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 59
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2012-06-29
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Conley, Daniel J -- England -- Nature. 2012 Jun 27;486(7404):463-4. doi: 10.1038/486463a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉GeoBiosphere Science Centre, Department of Geology, Lund University, Sweden. daniel.conley@geol.lu.se〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22739295" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Baltic States ; Ecology/*trends ; Eutrophication ; Global Warming ; Nitrogen/analysis/metabolism ; Oceans and Seas ; Oxygen/*analysis ; Phosphorus/analysis/metabolism ; Seawater/*chemistry ; Sweden
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  • 60
    Publication Date: 2012-10-27
    Description: The Gulf Stream is an ocean current that modulates climate in the Northern Hemisphere by transporting warm waters from the Gulf of Mexico into the North Atlantic and Arctic oceans. A changing Gulf Stream has the potential to thaw and convert hundreds of gigatonnes of frozen methane hydrate trapped below the sea floor into methane gas, increasing the risk of slope failure and methane release. How the Gulf Stream changes with time and what effect these changes have on methane hydrate stability is unclear. Here, using seismic data combined with thermal models, we show that recent changes in intermediate-depth ocean temperature associated with the Gulf Stream are rapidly destabilizing methane hydrate along a broad swathe of the North American margin. The area of active hydrate destabilization covers at least 10,000 square kilometres of the United States eastern margin, and occurs in a region prone to kilometre-scale slope failures. Previous hypothetical studies postulated that an increase of five degrees Celsius in intermediate-depth ocean temperatures could release enough methane to explain extreme global warming events like the Palaeocene-Eocene thermal maximum (PETM) and trigger widespread ocean acidification. Our analysis suggests that changes in Gulf Stream flow or temperature within the past 5,000 years or so are warming the western North Atlantic margin by up to eight degrees Celsius and are now triggering the destabilization of 2.5 gigatonnes of methane hydrate (about 0.2 per cent of that required to cause the PETM). This destabilization extends along hundreds of kilometres of the margin and may continue for centuries. It is unlikely that the western North Atlantic margin is the only area experiencing changing ocean currents; our estimate of 2.5 gigatonnes of destabilizing methane hydrate may therefore represent only a fraction of the methane hydrate currently destabilizing globally. The transport from ocean to atmosphere of any methane released--and thus its impact on climate--remains uncertain.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Phrampus, Benjamin J -- Hornbach, Matthew J -- England -- Nature. 2012 Oct 25;490(7421):527-30. doi: 10.1038/nature11528.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Huffington Department of Earth Sciences, Southern Methodist University, Dallas, Texas 75275, USA. bphrampus@mail.smu.edu〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23099408" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Atlantic Ocean ; Atmosphere/chemistry ; Geologic Sediments/chemistry ; Global Warming ; Gulf of Mexico ; Methane/*analogs & derivatives/analysis/*chemistry ; Seawater/chemistry ; Temperature ; *Water Movements
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 61
    Publication Date: 2012-12-14
    Description: Anthropogenic climate change is likely to cause continuing global sea level rise, but some processes within the Earth system may mitigate the magnitude of the projected effect. Regional and global climate models simulate enhanced snowfall over Antarctica, which would provide a direct offset of the future contribution to global sea level rise from cryospheric mass loss and ocean expansion. Uncertainties exist in modelled snowfall, but even larger uncertainties exist in the potential changes of dynamic ice discharge from Antarctica and thus in the ultimate fate of the precipitation-deposited ice mass. Here we show that snowfall and discharge are not independent, but that future ice discharge will increase by up to three times as a result of additional snowfall under global warming. Our results, based on an ice-sheet model forced by climate simulations through to the end of 2500 (ref. 8), show that the enhanced discharge effect exceeds the effect of surface warming as well as that of basal ice-shelf melting, and is due to the difference in surface elevation change caused by snowfall on grounded versus floating ice. Although different underlying forcings drive ice loss from basal melting versus increased snowfall, similar ice dynamical processes are nonetheless at work in both; therefore results are relatively independent of the specific representation of the transition zone. In an ensemble of simulations designed to capture ice-physics uncertainty, the additional dynamic ice loss along the coastline compensates between 30 and 65 per cent of the ice gain due to enhanced snowfall over the entire continent. This results in a dynamic ice loss of up to 1.25 metres in the year 2500 for the strongest warming scenario. The reported effect thus strongly counters a potential negative contribution to global sea level by the Antarctic Ice Sheet.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Winkelmann, R -- Levermann, A -- Martin, M A -- Frieler, K -- England -- Nature. 2012 Dec 13;492(7428):239-42. doi: 10.1038/nature11616.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), 14473 Potsdam, Germany. ricarda.winkelmann@pik-potsdam.de〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23235878" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Antarctic Regions ; Computer Simulation ; Global Warming ; *Ice Cover ; *Models, Theoretical ; *Snow
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 62
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2012-12-22
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Van Noorden, Richard -- England -- Nature. 2012 Dec 20;492(7429):324-7. doi: 10.1038/492324a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23257860" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; Drug Approval ; Drug Industry/economics ; Economic Recession ; Encyclopedias as Topic ; Food, Genetically Modified/standards ; Genetics ; Global Warming ; History, 21st Century ; Humans ; Influenza A Virus, H5N1 Subtype/genetics/pathogenicity ; Mars ; Nuclear Energy ; Physics ; Science/*history ; Space Flight/instrumentation ; Transportation/legislation & jurisprudence
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
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  • 63
    Publication Date: 2012-08-31
    Description: Once thought to be devoid of life, the ice-covered parts of Antarctica are now known to be a reservoir of metabolically active microbial cells and organic carbon. The potential for methanogenic archaea to support the degradation of organic carbon to methane beneath the ice, however, has not yet been evaluated. Large sedimentary basins containing marine sequences up to 14 kilometres thick and an estimated 21,000 petagrams (1 Pg equals 10(15) g) of organic carbon are buried beneath the Antarctic Ice Sheet. No data exist for rates of methanogenesis in sub-Antarctic marine sediments. Here we present experimental data from other subglacial environments that demonstrate the potential for overridden organic matter beneath glacial systems to produce methane. We also numerically simulate the accumulation of methane in Antarctic sedimentary basins using an established one-dimensional hydrate model and show that pressure/temperature conditions favour methane hydrate formation down to sediment depths of about 300 metres in West Antarctica and 700 metres in East Antarctica. Our results demonstrate the potential for methane hydrate accumulation in Antarctic sedimentary basins, where the total inventory depends on rates of organic carbon degradation and conditions at the ice-sheet bed. We calculate that the sub-Antarctic hydrate inventory could be of the same order of magnitude as that of recent estimates made for Arctic permafrost. Our findings suggest that the Antarctic Ice Sheet may be a neglected but important component of the global methane budget, with the potential to act as a positive feedback on climate warming during ice-sheet wastage.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Wadham, J L -- Arndt, S -- Tulaczyk, S -- Stibal, M -- Tranter, M -- Telling, J -- Lis, G P -- Lawson, E -- Ridgwell, A -- Dubnick, A -- Sharp, M J -- Anesio, A M -- Butler, C E H -- England -- Nature. 2012 Aug 30;488(7413):633-7. doi: 10.1038/nature11374.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1SS, UK. j.l.wadham@bris.ac.uk〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22932387" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Antarctic Regions ; Feedback ; Gases/analysis/chemistry/metabolism ; Geologic Sediments/*chemistry/microbiology ; Global Warming ; Ice Cover ; Methane/*analysis/biosynthesis/chemistry ; Pressure ; Solubility ; Temperature ; Uncertainty
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  • 64
    Publication Date: 2012-11-23
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Vance, James H -- England -- Nature. 2012 Nov 22;491(7425):527. doi: 10.1038/491527a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23172204" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: China ; *Cities ; Cyclonic Storms/statistics & numerical data ; *Disaster Planning/trends ; Disasters/*prevention & control/statistics & numerical data ; *Floods/statistics & numerical data ; Global Warming ; New York City
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  • 65
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2012-12-14
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Fox, Douglas -- England -- Nature. 2012 Dec 13;492(7428):170-2. doi: 10.1038/492170a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23235858" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; Antarctic Regions ; Brachyura/*physiology ; *Ecosystem ; Global Warming ; *Introduced Species
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  • 66
    Publication Date: 2012-09-22
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Glover, Jerry D -- Reganold, John P -- Cox, Cindy M -- England -- Nature. 2012 Sep 20;489(7416):359-61. doi: 10.1038/489359a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉USAID Bureau for Food Security, Washington DC 20523, USA. jglover@usaid.gov〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22996532" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Africa ; Agriculture/*methods ; Animals ; Biomass ; Crops, Agricultural/*growth & development/metabolism ; Fabaceae/growth & development/metabolism ; Food Supply/*statistics & numerical data ; Global Warming ; Livestock/metabolism ; *Plant Development ; Plants/metabolism ; Population Growth ; Soil/*chemistry
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  • 67
    Publication Date: 2012-03-01
    Description: Body size plays a critical role in mammalian ecology and physiology. Previous research has shown that many mammals became smaller during the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM), but the timing and magnitude of that change relative to climate change have been unclear. A high-resolution record of continental climate and equid body size change shows a directional size decrease of ~30% over the first ~130,000 years of the PETM, followed by a ~76% increase in the recovery phase of the PETM. These size changes are negatively correlated with temperature inferred from oxygen isotopes in mammal teeth and were probably driven by shifts in temperature and possibly high atmospheric CO(2) concentrations. These findings could be important for understanding mammalian evolutionary responses to future global warming.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Secord, Ross -- Bloch, Jonathan I -- Chester, Stephen G B -- Boyer, Doug M -- Wood, Aaron R -- Wing, Scott L -- Kraus, Mary J -- McInerney, Francesca A -- Krigbaum, John -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2012 Feb 24;335(6071):959-62. doi: 10.1126/science.1213859.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE 68588, USA. rsecord2@unl.edu〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22363006" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; Atmosphere ; *Biological Evolution ; Body Size ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; *Climate Change ; Equidae/*anatomy & histology ; *Fossils ; Global Warming ; Horses/*anatomy & histology ; Humidity ; Oxygen Isotopes/analysis ; Temperature ; Wyoming
    Print ISSN: 0036-8075
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9203
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 68
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    American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    Publication Date: 2012-12-01
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Stocker, Thomas F -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2013 Jan 18;339(6117):280-2. doi: 10.1126/science.1232468. Epub 2012 Nov 29.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland. stocker@climate.unibe.ch〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23196911" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Carbon Dioxide/*chemistry ; *Climate Change ; Computer Simulation ; Global Warming ; Models, Theoretical ; *Vehicle Emissions
    Print ISSN: 0036-8075
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9203
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Computer Science , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 69
    Publication Date: 2011-11-24
    Description: Looking into the future of agriculture raises three challenging questions: How can agriculture deal with an uncertain future? How do local vulnerabilities and global disparities respond to this uncertain future? How should we prioritise adaptation to overcome the resulting future risks? This paper analyses the broad question of how climate change science may provide some insights into these issues. The data provided for the analysis are the product of our new research on global impacts of climate change in agriculture. The questions are analysed across world regions to provide some thoughts on policy development.
    Keywords: N50 - General, International, or Comparative, Q18 - Agricultural Policy ; Food Policy, Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters ; Global Warming
    Print ISSN: 0165-1587
    Electronic ISSN: 1464-3618
    Topics: Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition , Economics
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  • 70
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2011-03-11
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉England -- Nature. 2011 Mar 10;471(7337):136. doi: 10.1038/471136a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21390085" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Bias (Epidemiology) ; Cost-Benefit Analysis ; Female ; Global Warming ; Human Rights ; Humans ; Insurance, Accident/economics/*statistics & numerical data ; Insurance, Life/economics/*statistics & numerical data ; Male ; *Policy Making ; *Risk Assessment/methods/standards ; *Sex Characteristics
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  • 71
    Publication Date: 2011-02-11
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Bendle, James -- England -- Nature. 2011 Feb 10;470(7333):181-2. doi: 10.1038/470181a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21307928" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; Antarctic Regions ; Aquatic Organisms ; Geologic Sediments/chemistry ; Global Warming ; History, Ancient ; Ice Cover ; Oceans and Seas ; Seasons ; Seawater/*analysis ; *Temperature
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  • 72
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2011-03-01
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Kaplan, Karen -- England -- Nature. 2011 Feb 17;470(7334):425-7.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21355100" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Career Choice ; Communication ; Employment/statistics & numerical data ; Fellowships and Scholarships ; Global Health ; Global Warming ; International Cooperation ; *Internationality ; *Negotiating/psychology ; Policy Making ; Public Health ; *Public Policy ; *Research Personnel/education ; *Science/economics ; United States
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  • 73
    Publication Date: 2011-02-11
    Description: The disintegration of ice shelves, reduced sea-ice and glacier extent, and shifting ecological zones observed around Antarctica highlight the impact of recent atmospheric and oceanic warming on the cryosphere. Observations and models suggest that oceanic and atmospheric temperature variations at Antarctica's margins affect global cryosphere stability, ocean circulation, sea levels and carbon cycling. In particular, recent climate changes on the Antarctic Peninsula have been dramatic, yet the Holocene climate variability of this region is largely unknown, limiting our ability to evaluate ongoing changes within the context of historical variability and underlying forcing mechanisms. Here we show that surface ocean temperatures at the continental margin of the western Antarctic Peninsula cooled by 3-4 degrees C over the past 12,000 years, tracking the Holocene decline of local (65 degrees S) spring insolation. Our results, based on TEX(86) sea surface temperature (SST) proxy evidence from a marine sediment core, indicate the importance of regional summer duration as a driver of Antarctic seasonal sea-ice fluctuations. On millennial timescales, abrupt SST fluctuations of 2-4 degrees C coincide with globally recognized climate variability. Similarities between our SSTs, Southern Hemisphere westerly wind reconstructions and El Nino/Southern Oscillation variability indicate that present climate teleconnections between the tropical Pacific Ocean and the western Antarctic Peninsula strengthened late in the Holocene epoch. We conclude that during the Holocene, Southern Ocean temperatures at the western Antarctic Peninsula margin were tied to changes in the position of the westerlies, which have a critical role in global carbon cycling.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Shevenell, A E -- Ingalls, A E -- Domack, E W -- Kelly, C -- England -- Nature. 2011 Feb 10;470(7333):250-4. doi: 10.1038/nature09751.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉School of Oceanography, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington 98195, USA. a.shevenell@ucl.ac.uk〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21307939" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Antarctic Regions ; Carbon Cycle ; Crenarchaeota/chemistry/isolation & purification ; Ecosystem ; Geologic Sediments/chemistry ; Global Warming ; History, Ancient ; Ice Cover ; Magnetics ; Oxygen Isotopes ; Pacific Ocean ; Plankton/chemistry ; Seasons ; Seawater/*analysis ; Spores/isolation & purification ; *Temperature ; Wind
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  • 74
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2011-01-07
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉England -- Nature. 2011 Jan 6;469(7328):23-5. doi: 10.1038/469023a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21209640" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Biomimetics/trends ; Biopolymers/chemistry ; Chemistry/methods/*trends ; Conservation of Energy Resources/trends ; Drug Design ; Ecology/trends ; Global Warming ; Green Chemistry Technology/trends ; Molecular Biology/trends ; Nanotechnology/trends ; Photosynthesis ; Research Personnel ; Solar Energy ; Stereoisomerism ; Thermodynamics
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  • 75
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2011-08-13
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Tollefson, Jeff -- England -- Nature. 2011 Aug 9;476(7359):135. doi: 10.1038/476135a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21833061" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Ecology/*methods/organization & administration/*trends ; Ecosystem ; Environmental Monitoring/economics/*methods ; Global Warming ; United States
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2011-05-06
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Drake, Nadia -- England -- Nature. 2011 May 5;473(7345):16. doi: 10.1038/473016a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21544121" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Animal Migration ; Animals ; Global Warming ; Mediterranean Sea ; Whales/*physiology
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2011-04-02
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉England -- Nature. 2011 Mar 31;471(7340):548. doi: 10.1038/471548b.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21455132" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Climate Change ; Global Warming ; Humans ; Periodicals as Topic/*trends ; Social Sciences
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  • 78
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-05-14
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Qiu, Jane -- England -- Nature. 2010 May 13;465(7295):142-3. doi: 10.1038/465142a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20463708" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Agriculture/methods/trends ; Biodiversity ; China ; *Disasters/statistics & numerical data ; *Droughts/statistics & numerical data ; Food Supply/statistics & numerical data ; Forestry/statistics & numerical data/trends ; Global Warming ; Rain ; Trees/physiology ; *Water Supply/statistics & numerical data
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
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  • 79
    Publication Date: 2010-10-01
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉O'Hara, Kathryn -- England -- Nature. 2010 Sep 30;467(7315):501. doi: 10.1038/467501a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Carleton University. kathryn_ohara@carleton.ca〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20881970" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Access to Information ; Animals ; Canada ; *Communication ; *Federal Government ; *Freedom ; Global Warming ; Humans ; *Journalism ; Mass Media ; Policy Making ; Politics ; Public Sector ; *Research Personnel
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  • 80
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-06-11
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Schiermeier, Quirin -- England -- Nature. 2010 Jun 10;465(7299):677. doi: 10.1038/465677a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20535174" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: *Climate ; Computer Simulation ; Global Warming ; Human Activities ; *Ice Cover ; Oceans and Seas ; Seawater ; Temperature
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-08-13
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Marris, Emma -- England -- Nature. 2010 Aug 12;466(7308):807. doi: 10.1038/466807a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20703280" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animal Migration ; Animals ; Birds/*physiology ; Computational Biology/*instrumentation/trends ; *Computers ; *Computing Methodologies ; *Databases, Factual ; Extinction, Biological ; Global Warming ; Population Density ; Seasons
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  • 82
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-09-25
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Tollefson, Jeff -- England -- Nature. 2010 Sep 23;467(7314):386-7. doi: 10.1038/467386a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20864970" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Atmosphere/*chemistry ; Brazil ; Carbon Dioxide/*analysis/metabolism ; *Ecosystem ; Environmental Monitoring/economics/*instrumentation ; Forestry ; Germany ; Global Warming ; *Greenhouse Effect ; Time Factors ; Trees/growth & development/*metabolism ; Tropical Climate
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-10-15
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉England -- Nature. 2010 Oct 14;467(7317):752. doi: 10.1038/467752a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20944685" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Agriculture/trends ; Animals ; *Biodiversity ; Congresses as Topic ; Conservation of Natural Resources/economics/*trends ; Global Warming ; Japan
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 84
    Publication Date: 2010-03-06
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Cole, Joanna -- England -- Nature. 2010 Mar 4;464(7285):36. doi: 10.1038/464036a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20203593" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; Books, Illustrated ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Global Warming ; Humans ; *Literature, Modern ; Research Personnel ; *Science/education ; Wit and Humor as Topic ; *Writing
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  • 85
    Publication Date: 2010-06-26
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Macilwain, Colin -- England -- Nature. 2010 Jun 24;465(7301):1002-4. doi: 10.1038/4651002a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20577185" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Academies and Institutes/economics/*organization & administration/trends ; Anniversaries and Special Events ; Federal Government ; Global Warming ; Great Britain ; International Cooperation ; *Public Policy ; Societies, Scientific/economics/*organization & administration/trends ; United States
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 86
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-06-19
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Marris, Emma -- England -- Nature. 2010 Jun 17;465(7300):859. doi: 10.1038/465859a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20559360" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; *Biodiversity ; *Ecosystem ; Global Warming ; Humans ; *United Nations/economics
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 87
    Publication Date: 2010-08-27
    Description: Radiocarbon in the atmosphere is regulated largely by ocean circulation, which controls the sequestration of carbon dioxide (CO(2)) in the deep sea through atmosphere-ocean carbon exchange. During the last glaciation, lower atmospheric CO(2) levels were accompanied by increased atmospheric radiocarbon concentrations that have been attributed to greater storage of CO(2) in a poorly ventilated abyssal ocean. The end of the ice age was marked by a rapid increase in atmospheric CO(2) concentrations that coincided with reduced (14)C/(12)C ratios (Delta(14)C) in the atmosphere, suggesting the release of very 'old' ((14)C-depleted) CO(2) from the deep ocean to the atmosphere. Here we present radiocarbon records of surface and intermediate-depth waters from two sediment cores in the southwest Pacific and Southern oceans. We find a steady 170 per mil decrease in Delta(14)C that precedes and roughly equals in magnitude the decrease in the atmospheric radiocarbon signal during the early stages of the glacial-interglacial climatic transition. The atmospheric decrease in the radiocarbon signal coincides with regionally intensified upwelling and marine biological productivity, suggesting that CO(2) released by means of deep water upwelling in the Southern Ocean lost most of its original depleted-(14)C imprint as a result of exchange and isotopic equilibration with the atmosphere. Our data imply that the deglacial (14)C depletion previously identified in the eastern tropical North Pacific must have involved contributions from sources other than the previously suggested carbon release by way of a deep Southern Ocean pathway, and may reflect the expanded influence of the (14)C-depleted North Pacific carbon reservoir across this interval. Accordingly, shallow water masses advecting north across the South Pacific in the early deglaciation had little or no residual (14)C-depleted signals owing to degassing of CO(2) and biological uptake in the Southern Ocean.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Rose, Kathryn A -- Sikes, Elisabeth L -- Guilderson, Thomas P -- Shane, Phil -- Hill, Tessa M -- Zahn, Rainer -- Spero, Howard J -- England -- Nature. 2010 Aug 26;466(7310):1093-7. doi: 10.1038/nature09288.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Department of Geology, University of California, Davis, California 95616, USA.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20740012" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Atmosphere/*chemistry ; Carbon Dioxide/*analysis/metabolism ; Carbon Radioisotopes/*analysis ; Environmental Monitoring ; Foraminifera/chemistry ; Geologic Sediments/chemistry ; Global Warming ; Ice Cover/*chemistry ; Oceans and Seas ; Plankton/chemistry ; Seawater/*chemistry ; Water Movements
    Print ISSN: 0028-0836
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  • 88
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-08-27
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Mutter, John -- England -- Nature. 2010 Aug 26;466(7310):1042. doi: 10.1038/4661042a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027-6902, USA. jmutter@ei.columbia.edu〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20739992" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Disasters/*economics/statistics & numerical data ; Economics ; Global Warming ; Humans ; Population Growth ; *Poverty ; Socioeconomic Factors
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 89
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-02-26
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Heffernan, Olive -- England -- Nature. 2010 Feb 25;463(7284):1014-6. doi: 10.1038/4631014a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20182486" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Atmosphere/chemistry ; *Climate ; Ecosystem ; Global Warming ; Great Britain ; Greenhouse Effect ; *Models, Theoretical ; Seawater/chemistry ; Uncertainty
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 90
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-08-06
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉You, Yuzhu -- England -- Nature. 2010 Aug 5;466(7307):690-1. doi: 10.1038/466690a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Institute of Marine Science, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales 2006, Australia. yuzhu.you@sydney.edu.au〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20686551" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Global Warming ; Internationality ; Oceanography/*instrumentation/*methods ; Oceans and Seas ; Optical Fibers/*utilization ; Seawater/analysis ; Telecommunications/*instrumentation
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 91
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-01-22
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Aspinall, Willy -- England -- Nature. 2010 Jan 21;463(7279):294-5. doi: 10.1038/463294a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Bristol University, Bristol BS8 1RJ, UK. Willy.Aspinall@Bristol.ac.uk〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20090733" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; Bias (Epidemiology) ; Consensus ; *Decision Making ; Global Warming ; Humans ; *Models, Theoretical ; *Professional Competence ; Public Health ; Public Policy ; Risk Assessment ; Science/*methods ; *Uncertainty ; Volcanic Eruptions/statistics & numerical data ; West Indies
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 92
    Publication Date: 2010-01-22
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Esteban, Genoveva F -- Finlay, Bland J -- England -- Nature. 2010 Jan 21;463(7279):293. doi: 10.1038/463293c.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20090730" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; *Biodiversity ; Conservation of Natural Resources/*methods/trends ; Data Collection ; Global Warming ; Great Britain ; Hydrobiology/trends ; Population Density
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  • 93
    Publication Date: 2010-02-26
    Description: Tropical cyclones (also known as hurricanes and typhoons) are now believed to be an important component of the Earth's climate system. In particular, by vigorously mixing the upper ocean, they can affect the ocean's heat uptake, poleward heat transport, and hence global temperatures. Changes in the distribution and frequency of tropical cyclones could therefore become an important element of the climate response to global warming. A potential analogue to modern greenhouse conditions, the climate of the early Pliocene epoch (approximately 5 to 3 million years ago) can provide important clues to this response. Here we describe a positive feedback between hurricanes and the upper-ocean circulation in the tropical Pacific Ocean that may have been essential for maintaining warm, El Nino-like conditions during the early Pliocene. This feedback is based on the ability of hurricanes to warm water parcels that travel towards the Equator at shallow depths and then resurface in the eastern equatorial Pacific as part of the ocean's wind-driven circulation. In the present climate, very few hurricane tracks intersect the parcel trajectories; consequently, there is little heat exchange between waters at such depths and the surface. More frequent and/or stronger hurricanes in the central Pacific imply greater heating of the parcels, warmer temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific, warmer tropics and, in turn, even more hurricanes. Using a downscaling hurricane model, we show dramatic shifts in the tropical cyclone distribution for the early Pliocene that favour this feedback. Further calculations with a coupled climate model support our conclusions. The proposed feedback should be relevant to past equable climates and potentially to contemporary climate change.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Fedorov, Alexey V -- Brierley, Christopher M -- Emanuel, Kerry -- England -- Nature. 2010 Feb 25;463(7284):1066-70. doi: 10.1038/nature08831.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Department of Geology and Geophysics, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut 06520, USA. alexey.fedorov@yale.edu〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20182509" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Atlantic Ocean ; Atmosphere/chemistry ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Cyclonic Storms/*history ; Global Warming ; History, Ancient ; Hot Temperature ; Pacific Ocean ; Seawater ; Time Factors ; *Tropical Climate ; Water Movements ; Wind
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  • 94
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-01-22
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Schiermeier, Quirin -- England -- Nature. 2010 Jan 21;463(7279):276-7. doi: 10.1038/463276a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20090719" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Ecology/*standards ; Environmental Monitoring ; Geography ; Global Warming ; *Ice Cover ; India ; Peer Review, Research/standards ; Tibet ; Time Factors ; Uncertainty ; Water Supply/analysis
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  • 95
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-03-12
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Tollefson, Jeff -- England -- Nature. 2010 Mar 11;464(7286):149. doi: 10.1038/464149a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20220809" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Electronic Mail/*ethics ; Global Warming ; *Meteorology/ethics/trends ; Policy Making ; Privacy
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  • 96
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-09-25
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Cyranoski, David -- England -- Nature. 2010 Sep 23;467(7314):388-9. doi: 10.1038/467388a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20864971" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animals ; Attitude/*ethnology ; Bias (Epidemiology) ; Biological Evolution ; *Cultural Diversity ; *Data Collection ; Educational Status ; Far East ; *Geography ; Global Warming ; Politics ; *Public Opinion ; Religion and Science ; *Science ; Surveys and Questionnaires
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  • 97
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-02-25
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Schrope, Mark -- England -- Nature. 2010 Jan 14;463(7278):145. doi: 10.1038/463145a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20075890" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Ecology/methods/trends ; Food Chain ; Global Warming ; Marine Biology/*methods/*trends ; Oceans and Seas ; Plankton/metabolism ; Seawater/*chemistry ; Ships ; Trace Elements/*analysis
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  • 98
    Publication Date: 2010-02-19
    Description: 〈br /〉〈br /〉〈a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2886576/" target="_blank"〉〈img src="https://static.pubmed.gov/portal/portal3rc.fcgi/4089621/img/3977009" border="0"〉〈/a〉   〈a href="https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2886576/" target="_blank"〉This paper as free author manuscript - peer-reviewed and accepted for publication〈/a〉〈br /〉〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Deal, Roger B -- Henikoff, Steven -- F32 GM083449-03/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/ -- Howard Hughes Medical Institute/ -- England -- Nature. 2010 Feb 18;463(7283):887-8. doi: 10.1038/463887a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20164913" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Adaptation, Physiological/*genetics ; Arabidopsis/*genetics/*physiology ; Arabidopsis Proteins/genetics/*metabolism ; Chromatin/*genetics/metabolism ; *Gene Expression Regulation, Plant ; Global Warming ; HSP70 Heat-Shock Proteins/genetics/metabolism ; Histones/genetics/*metabolism ; *Hot Temperature ; Microfilament Proteins/genetics/metabolism
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 99
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-01-08
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Schrope, Mark -- England -- Nature. 2010 Jan 7;463(7277):22-3. doi: 10.1038/463022a.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20054373" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Animal Identification Systems ; Animals ; *Biodiversity ; Ecology/*methods ; *Geography ; Global Warming ; Models, Biological ; Population Dynamics ; Rain ; West Indies ; *Wilderness
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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  • 100
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    Nature Publishing Group (NPG)
    Publication Date: 2010-07-16
    Description: 〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉England -- Nature. 2010 Jul 15;466(7304):295-6. doi: 10.1038/466295b.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20631752" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
    Keywords: Antarctic Regions ; Arctic Regions ; Cost Allocation ; Cost-Benefit Analysis ; Global Warming ; Research/*economics/*instrumentation/trends ; Ships/*economics/statistics & numerical data ; United States
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    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
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