ALBERT

Anmerkung: Contents: Part I. Introduction to the Theory: 1. Generalising neoclassical economics: new tools and concepts ; 2. Property rights, agency and economic organisation ; 3. Explaining the rules ; Part II. Property Rights and Economic Outcomes: 4. The economics of exclusive rights ; 5. The ownership structure of firms and equilibrium outcomes ; Part III. Explaining Economic Organisation: 6. The contractual nature of the firm ; 7. The logic of economic organisation ; Part IV. Explaining Property Rights: 8. The emergence of property rights ; 9. property rights in stateless societies ; 10. The state in neoinstitutional economics.

Anmerkung: Contents: ONE Introduction ; TWO The Hopfield Model ; THREE Extensions of the Hopfield Model ; FOUR Optimization Problems ; FIVE Simple Perceptrons ; SIX Multi-Layer Networks ; SEVEN Recurrent Networks ; EIGHT Unsupervised Hebbian Learning ; NINE Unsupervised Competitive Learning ; TEN Formal Statistical Mechanics of Neural Networks ; APPENDIX Statistical Mechanics

Anmerkung: pt. 1. Introduction. The need for better theories / Paul A. Sabatier ; The stages approach to the policy process: what has it done? where is it going? / Peter deLeon -- pt. 2. Alternative views of the role of rationality in the policy process. Institutional rational choice: an assessment of the institutional analysis and development framework / Elinor Ostrom ; Ambiguity, time, and multiple streams / Nikolaos Zahariadis -- pt. 3. Frameworks focusing on policy change over fairly long periods. Punctuated-equilibrium theory: explaining stability and change in American policymaking / James L. True, Bryan D. Jones, and Frank R. Baumgartner ; The advocacy coalition framework: an assessment / Paul A. Sabatier and Hank C. Jenkins-Smith -- pt. 4. Frameworks comparing policies across a large number of political systems. Innovation and diffusion models in policy research / Frances Stokes Berry and William D. Berry ; The policy process and large-N comparative studies / William Blomquist -- pt. 5. Conclusions. A comparison of frameworks, theories, and models of policy processes / Edella Schlager ; Fostering the development of policy theory / Paul A. Sabatier..

Anmerkung: Teilw. in kyrill. Schr.

Anmerkung: Teilw. in kyrill. Schr.

Anmerkung: CONTENTS Preface List of Contributors Introduction 1. Predicting the Hydrological Effects of Climate Change / J.A.A. Jones Section I Sensitivity of the Global Hydrosphere Section Summary 2. An Introduction to Global Water Dynamics / I. Kayane 3. Modelling the Biospheric Aspects of the Hydrological Cycle: Upscaling Processes and Downscaling Weather Data / B. Bass, N. Akkur, J. Russo and J. Zack 4. Trends in Historical Steamflow Records / F.H.S. Chiew and T.A. McMahon Section II Regional Implications of Global Warming Section Summary 5. Hydrology of Northern North America under Global Warming / M.-K. Woo 6. Current Evidence on the Likely Impact of Global Warming on Hydrological Regimes in Europe / J.A.A. Jones 7. The Impact of Climatic Warming on Hydrological Regimes in China: An Overview / L. Changming and F. Guobin Section. Ill Precipitation Change and Variability Section Summary 8. The Influence of Topography, Season and Circulation on Spatial Patterns of Daily Precipitation / P.J. Robinson 9. Use of Artificial Neural Networks in Precipitation Forecasting / H.-T. Kung, L.Yu. Lin and S. Malasri 10. Generation of Sequences of Air Temperature and Precipitation for Estimation of the Hydrological Cycle in Changing Climatic Conditions in Poland / M. Gutry-Korycka and P. Werner 11. Some Aspects of Climatic Fluctuation at Four Stations on the Tibetan Plateau during the Last 40 Years / M. Yoshino 12. The Influences of the North Atlantic Oscillation, the El Niiio/Southern Oscillation and the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on Winter Precipitation in Ireland / S. Daultrey Section IV Impacts on Snow, Ice and Meltwaters Section Summary 13. Runoff Formation and Discharge Modelling of a Glacierized Basin in the Tianshan Mountains / K. Ersi, S. Yafeng, A. Ohmura and H. Lang 14. Impact of Future Climate Change on Glacier Runoff and the Possibilities for Artificially Increasing Melt Water Runoff in the Aral Sea Basin / A.N. Krenke and G.N. Kravchenko 15. Glaciers and Snowcover in Central Asia as Indicators of Climate Change in the Earth-Ocean-Atmosphere System / V.B. Aizen and E.M. Aizen 16. Global Warming and the Trend toward Dryness in the Frigid High Mountains and Plateau of Western China / L.-S. Zhang Section V The Water Balance and Changing Regional Resources Section Summary 17. A Method to Assess the Effects of Climatic Warming on the Water Balance of Mountainous Regions / C. Liu and M.-K. Woo 18. Sensitivity Analyses for the Impact of Global Warming on Water Resources in Wales / C.P. Holt and J.A.A. Jones 19. Potential Hydrological Responses to Climate Change in Australia / F.H.S. Chiew, Q.J. Wang, T.A. McMahon, B.C. Bates and P.H. Whetton 20. Dynamics of Stage Fluctuation in Yangzhouyongcuo Lake, Tibetan Plateau / T. Liu 21. Derivation of Surface Temperature, Albedo, and Radiative Fluxes over the Tibetan Plateau Based on Satellite Measurement / L. Shi 22. Climatic Warming and its Impact on the Water Resources of the Yalong River, China / D. Yuren and H. Yuguang 23. The Probable Impact of Global Change on the Water Resources of Patagonia, Argentina / R.M. Quintela, O.E. Scarpati, L.B. Spescha and AD. Capriolo 24. Long Term Trends in the Water Balance of Central Japan / K. Mori Conclusions 25. The Impact of Global Warming on Regional Hydrology and Future Research Priorities / J.A.A. Jones Index

Anmerkung: CONTENTS: 1. Introduction. - 1.1 Scope of Aquatic Chemistry. - 1.2 The Solvent Water. - 1.3 Solute Species. - Suggested Readings. - Appendix 1.1: Some Useful Quantities, Units, Conversion Factors, Constants, and Relationships. - 2. Chemical Thermodynamics and Kinetics. - 2.1 Introduction. - 2.2 Chemical Thermodynamic Principles. - 2.3 Systems of Variable Composition: Chemical Thermodynamics. - 2.4 Gibbs Energy and Systems of Variable Chemical Composition. - 2.5 Chemical Potentials of Pure Phases and Solutions. - 2.6 Chemical Potentials of Aqueous Electrolytes. - 2.7 The Equilibrium Constant. - 2.8 The Gibbs Energy of a System. - 2.9 Driving Force for Chemical Reactions. - 2.10 Temperature and Pressure Effects on Equilibrium. - 2.11 Equilibrium Tools. - 2.12 Kinetics and Thermodynamics: Time and Reaction Advancement. - 2.13 Rate and Mechanism. - 2.14 Concentration Versus Time. - 2.15 Theory of Elementary Processes. - 2.16 Elementary Reactions and ACT. - 2.17 Equilibrium Versus Steady State in Flow Systems. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - 3. Acids and Bases. - 3.1 Introduction. - 3.2 The Nature of Acids and Bases. - 3.3 The Strength of an Acid or Base. - 3.4 Activity and pH Scales. - 3.5 Equilibrium Calculations. - 3.6 pH as a Master Variable; Equilibrium Calculations Using a Graphical Approach. - 3.7 Ionization Fractions of Acids, Bases, and Ampholytes. - 3.8 Titration of Acids and Bases. - 3.9 Buffer Intensity and Neutralizing Capacity. - 3.10 Organic Acids. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - 4. Dissolved Carbon Dioxide. - 4.1 Introduction. - 4.2 Dissolved Carbonate Equilibria (Closed System). - 4.3 Aqueous Carbonate System Open to the Atmosphere. - 4.4 Alkalinity and Acidity, Neutralizing Capacities. - 4.5 Alkalinity Changes. - 4.6 Analytical Considerations: Gran Plots. - 4.7 Equilibrium with Solid Carbonates. - 4.8 Kinetic Considerations. - 4.9 Carbon Isotopes and Isotope Fractionation. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - 5. Atmosphere-Water Interactions. - 5.1 Introduction. - 5.2 Anthropogenic Generation of Acidity in the Atmosphere. - 5.3 Gas-Water Partitioning: Henry's Law. - 5.4 Gas-Water Equilibria in Closed and Open Systems. - 5.5 Washout of Pollutants from the Atmosphere. - 5.6 Fog. - 5.7 Aerosols . - 5.8 Acid Rain - Acid Lakes. - 5.9 The Volatility of Organic Substances. - 5.10 Gas Transfer Across Water-Gas Interface. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - 6. Metal Ions in Aqueous Solution: Aspects of Coordination Chemistry. - 6.1 Introduction. - 6.2 Protons and Metal Ions. - 6.3 Hydrolysis of Metal Ions. - 6.4 Solubility and Hydrolysis: Solid Hydroxides and Metal Oxides. - 6.5 Chelates. - 6.6 Metal Ions and Ligands: Classification of Metals. - 6.7 Speciation in Fresh Waters. - 6.8 Seawater Speciation. - 6.9 Kinetics of Complex Formation. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - Appendix 6.1: Stability Constants. - Appendix 6.2: The Various Scales for Equilibrium Constants, Activity Coefficients, and pH. - 7. Precipitation and Dissolution. - 7.1 Introduction. - 7.2 The Solubility of Oxides and Hydroxides. - 7.3 Complex Formation and Solubility of (Hydr)oxides. - 7.4 Carbonates. - 7.5 The Stability of Hydroxides, Carbonates, and Hydroxide Carbonates. - 7.6 Sulfides and Phosphates. - 7.7 The Phase Rule: Components, Phases, and Degrees of Freedom. - 7.8 Solubility of Fine Particles. - 7.9 Solid Solutions. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - 8. Oxidation and Reduction; Equilibria and Microbial Mediation. - 8.1 Introduction. - 8.2 Redox Equilibria and the Electron Activity. - 8.3 The Electrode Potential: The Nernst Equation and the Electrochemical Cell. - 8.4 p[Epsilon]-pH, Potential-pH Diagrams. - 8.5 Redox Conditions in Natural Waters. - 8.6 Effect of Complex Formers on the Redox Potential. - 8.7 Measuring the Redox Potential in Natural Waters. - 8.8 The Potentiometric Determination of Individual Solutes. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Answers to Problems. - Appendix 8.1: Activity Ratio Diagrams for Redox Systems. - 9. The Solid-Solution Interface. - 9.1 Introduction. - 9.2 Adsorption. - 9.3 Adsorption Isotherms. - 9.4 Hydrous Oxide Surfaces; Reactions with H+, OH-, Metal Ions, and Ligands. - 9.5 Surface Charge and the Electric Double Layer. - 9.6 Correcting Surface Complex Formation Constants for Surface Charge. - 9.7 Sorption of Hydrophobic Substances on Organic Carbon-Bearing Particles. - 9.8 Ion Exchange. - 9.9 Transport of (Ad)sorbable Constituents in Groundwater and Soil Systems. - Suggested Readings. - Problems. - Appendix 9.1: The Gouy-Chapman Theory. - Appendix 9.2: Contact Angle, Adhesion and Cohesion, the Oil-Water Interface. - 10. Trace Metals: Cycling, Regulation, and Biological Role. - 10.1 Introduction: Global Cycling of Metals. - 10.2 Analytical Approaches to Chemical Speciation. - 10.3 Classification of Metal Ions and the Inorganic Chemistry of Life. - 10.4 Organometallic and Organometalloidal Compounds. - 10.5 Bioavailability and Toxicity. - 10.6 Metal Ions as Micronutrients. - 10.7 The Interaction of Trace Metals with Phytoplankton at the Molecular Level. - 10.8 Regulation of Trace Elements by the Solid-Water Interface in Surface Waters. - 10.9 Regulation of Dissolved Heavy Metals in Rivers, Lakes, and Oceans. - 10.10 Quality Criteria in Fresh Waters: Some Aspects. - Suggested Readings. - 11. Kinetics of Redox Processes. - 11 1 Introduction. - 11.2 How Good an Oxidant Is O2?. - 11.3 Can p[Epsilon] Be Defined for a Nonequilibrium System?. - 11.4 Kinetics of Redox Processes: Case Studies. - 11.5 Oxidants Used in Water and Waste Technology: A Few Case Studies. - 11.6 Linear Free Energy Relations (LFERs). - 11.7 The Marcus Theory of Outer-Sphere Electron Transfer: An Introduction. - 11.8 Nucleophile-Electrophile Interactions and Redox Reactions Involving Organic Substances. - 11.9 Corrosion of Metals as an Electrochemical Process. - Suggested Readings. - 12. Photochemical Processes. - 12.1 Introduction. - 12.2 Absorption of Light. - 12.3 Photoreactants. - 12.4 Photoredox Reactions: Photolysis of Transition Metal Complexes. - 12.5 Photochemical Reactions in Atmospheric Waters: Role of Dissolved Iron Species. - 12.6 Heterogeneous Photochemistry. - 12.7 Semiconducting Minerals. - Suggested Readings. - 13. Kinetics at the Solid-Water Interface: Adsorption, Dissolution of Minerals, Nucleation, and Crystal Growth. - 13.1 Introduction. - 13.2 Kinetics of Adsorption. - 13.3 Surface-Controlled Dissolution of Oxide Minerals: An Introduction to Weathering. - 13.4 Simple Rate Laws in Dissolution. - 13.5 Rates of CaCO3 Dissolution (and of CaCO3 Crystal Growth). - 13.6 Inhibition of Dissolution. - 13.7 Nucleation and Crystal Growth. - Suggested Readings. - 14. Particle-Particle Interaction: Colloids, Coagulation, and Filtration. - 14.1 Colloids. - 14.2 Particle Size Distribution. - 14.3 Surface Charge of Colloids. - 14.4 Colloid Stability: Qualitative Considerations. - 14.5 Effects of Surface Speciation on Colloid Stability. - 14.6 Some Water-Technological Considerations in Coagulation, Filtration, and Flotation. - 14.7 Filtration Compared with Coagulation. - 14.8 Transport in Aggregation and Deposition. - Suggested Readings. - Appendix 14.1: A Physical Model (DLVO) for Colloid Stability. - 15. Regulation of the Chemical Composition of Natural Waters. - 15.1 Introduction. - 15.2 Weathering and the Proton Balance. - 15.3 Isothermal Evaporation. - 15.4 Buffering. - 15.5 Interactions Between Organisms and Abiotic Environment: Redfield Stoichiometry. - 15.6 The Oceans: Relative Constancy of the Composition and Chemical Equilibria. - 15.7 Constancy of Composition: Steady State. - 15.8 Hydrothermal Vents. - 15.9 The Sediment-Water Interface. - 15.10 Biological Regulation of the Composition. - 15.11 Global Cycling: The Interdependence of Biogeochemical Cycles. - 15.12 The Carbon Cycle. - 15.13 Nitrogen Cycles:

Anmerkung: Contents: 1 The Oceans ; 2 Basic Equations ; 3 Boundary Conditions at the Air-Sea Interface ; 4 Geostrophic Flow ; 5 Planetary Boundary Layers ; 6 Barotropic Ocean Circulation ; 7 Baroclinic Oceanic Flows ; 8 General Circulation of a Baroclinic Ocean with Bottom Topography ; 9 Surface Gravity Waves ; 10 Inertial Motions ; 11 Astronomical Tides ; 12 Vorticity

Anmerkung: Contents: Front Matter ; Introduction ; Reconstruction of Phase Space ; Choosing Time Delays ; Choosing the Dimension of Reconstructed Phase Space ; Invariants of the Motion ; Modeling Chaos ; Signal Separation ; Control and Chaos ; Synchronization of Chaotic Systems ; Other Example Systems ; Estimating in Chaos: Cramér-Rao Bounds ; Summary and Conclusions

Anmerkung: Contents: Introduction ; The Classical Maximum Entropy Formalism: A Review ; PURE INVERSE PROBLEMS ; Basic Maximum Entropy Principle: Formulation and Extensions ; Formulation and Solution of Pure Inverse Problems ; Generalized Pure Inverse Problems ; LINEAR INVERSE PROBLEMS WITH NOISE ; Generalized Maximum Entropy (GME) and Cross-Entropy (GCE) Formulations ; Finite Sample Extensions of GME-GCE ; GENERAL LINEAR MODEL APPLICATIONS OF GME-GCE ; GME-GCE Solutions to Ill-conditioned Problems ; General Linear Statistical Model with a Non-scalar Identity Covariance Matrix Statistical Model Selection ; A SYSTEM OF ECONOMIC STATISTICAL RELATIONS ; Sets of Linear Statistical Models ; Simultaneous Equations Statistical Model ; LINEAR AND NON-LINEAR DYNAMIC SYSTEMS ; Estimation and Inference of Dynamic Linear Inverse Problems ; Linear and Non-linear Dynamic Systems with Control ; DISCRETE CHOICE-CENSORED PROBLEMS ; Recovering Information from Multinomial Response Data ; Recovering Information from Censored Response Data ; COMPUTATIONAL NOTES ; Computing GME-GCE Solutions ; Epilogue

Anmerkung: Contents: Preface and Acknowledgments ; A Note to the Reader ; 1. A Great Discovery - And a Mistake ; 2. Symbolic Dynamics ; 3. Collisions and Other Singularities ; 4. Stability ; 5. KAM Theory ; Notes ; Bibliography ; Index

Anmerkung: Contents: Preface ; Part 1: Fire environment ; 1 Wildland fire fundamentals ; 2 Fire behavior ; 3 Wildland fuels ; 4 Fire weather ; Part 2: Fire regime ; 5 Fire ecology ; 6 Fire and culture ; 7 Administration of fire regimes ; Part 3: Fire Management ; 8 Programs for fire management ; 9 Fire suppression ; 10 Prescribed fire ; Part 4: Global fire ; 11 Global fire ; Bibliography

Anmerkung: Contents: 1 The Biological Paradigm ; 2 Threshold Logic ; 3 Weighted Networks - The Perceptron ; 4 Perceptron Learning ; 5 Unsupervised Learning and Clustering Algorithms ; 6 One and Two Layered Networks ; 7 The Backpropagation Algorithm ; 8 Fast Learning Algorithms ; 9 Statistics and Neural Networks ; 10 The Complexity of Learning ; 11 Fuzzy Logic ; 12 Associative Networks ; 13 The Hopfield Model ; 14 Stochastic Networks ; 15 Kohonen Networks ; 16 Modular Neural Networks ; 17 Genetic Algorithms ; 18 Hardware for Neural Networks

Anmerkung: Erscheinungsjahr in Vorlageform:1995

Anmerkung: Contents Foreword Preface Contributors I Introduction 1 The Development of Climate Research / by ANTONIO NAVARRA 1.1 The Nature of Climate Studies 1.1.1 The Big Storm Controversy 1.1.2 The Great Planetary Oscillations 1.2 The Components of Climate Research 1.2.1 Dynamical Theory 1.2.2 Numerical Experimentation 1.2.3 Statistical Analysis 2 Misuses of Statistical Analysis in Climate Research / by HANS VON STORCH 2.1 Prologue 2.2 Mandatory Testing and the Mexican Hat 2.3 Neglecting Serial Correlation 2.4 Misleading Names: The Case of the Decorrelation Time 2.5 Use of Advanced Techniques 2.6 Epilogue II Analyzing The Observed Climate 3 Climate Spectra and Stochastic Climate Models / by CLAUDE FRANKIGNOUL 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Spectral Characteristics of Atmospheric Variables 3.3 Stochastic Climate Model 3.4 Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies 3.5 Variability of Other Surface Variables 3.6 Variability in the Ocean Interior 3.7 Long Term Climate Changes 4 The Instrumental Data Record: Its Accuracy and Use in Attempts to Identify the "CO2 Signal" / by PHIL JONES 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Homogeneity 4.2.1 Changes in Instrumentation, Exposure and Measuring Techniques 4.2.2 Changes in Station Locations 4.2.3 Changes in Observation Time and the Methods Used to Calculate Monthly Averages 4.2.4 Changes in the Station Environment 4.2.5 Precipitation and Pressure Homogeneity 4.2.6 Data Homogenization Techniques 4.3 Surface Climate Analysis 4.3.1 Temperature 4.3.2 Precipitation 4.3.3 Pressure 4.4 The Greenhouse Detection Problem 4.4.1 Definition of Detection Vector and Data Used 4.4.2 Spatial Correlation Methods 4.5 Conclusions 5 Interpreting High-Resolution Proxy Climate Data - The Example of Dendr о climatology / by KEITH R. BRIFFA 5.1 Introduction 5.2 Background 5.3 Site Selection and Dating 5.4 Chronology Confidence 5.4.1 Chronology Signal 5.4.2 Expressed Population Signal 5.4.3 Subsample Signal Strength 5.4.4 Wider Relevance of Chronology Signal 5.5 "Standardization" and Its Implications for Judging Theoretical Signal 5.5.1 Theoretical Chronology Signal 5.5.2 Standardization of "Raw" Data Measurements 5.5.3 General Relevance of the "Standardization" Problem 5.6 Quantifying Climate Signals in Chronologies 5.6.1 Calibration of Theoretical Signal 5.6.2 Verification of Calibrated Relationships 5.7 Discussion 5.8 Conclusions 6 Analysing the Boreal Summer Relationship Between World wide Sea-Surface Temperature and Atmospheric Variability / by M. NEIL WARD 6.1 Introduction 6.2 Physical Basis for Sea-Surface Temperature Forcing of the Atmosphere 6.2.1 Tropics 6.2.2 Extratropics 6.3 Characteristic Patterns of Global Sea Surface Temperature: EOFs and Rotated EOFs 6.3.1 Introduction 6.3.2 SST Data 6.3.3 EOF method 6.3.4 EOFs p^→1 - p^→3 6.3.5 Rotation of EOFs 6.4 Characteristic Features in the Marine Atmosphere Associated with the SST Patterns p^→2, p ^→3 and p^→2R in JAS 6.4.1 Data and Methods 6.4.2 Patterns in the Marine Atmosphere Associated with EOF p^→2 6.4.3 Patterns in the Marine Atmosphere Associated with EOF p^→3 6.4.4 Patterns in the Marine Atmosphere Associated with Rotated EOF p^→2R 6.5 JAS Sahel Rainfall Links with Sea-Surface Temperature and Marine Atmosphere 6.5.1 Introduction 6.5.2 Rainfall in the Sahel of Africa 6.5.3 High Frequency Sahel Rainfall Variations 6.5.4 Low Frequency Sahel Rainfall Variations 6.6 Conclusions III Simulating and Predicting Climate 7 The Simulation of Weather Types in GCMs : A Regional Approach to Control-Run Validation / by KEITH R. BRIFFA 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Lamb Catalogue 7.3 An "Objective" Lamb Classification 7.4 Details of the Selected GCM Experiments 7.5 Comparing Observed and GCM Climates 7.5.1 Lamb Types 7.5.2 Temperature and Precipitation 7.5.3 Relationships Between Circulation Frequencies and Temperature and Precipitation 7.5.4 Weather-Type Spell Lengths and Storm Frequencies 7.6 Conclusions 7.6.1 Specific Conclusions 7.6.2 General Conclusions 8 Statistical Analysis of GCM Output / by CLAUDE FRANKIGNOUL 8.1 Introduction 8.2 Univariate Analysis 8.2.1 The i-Test on the Mean of a Normal Variable 8.2.2 Tests for Autocorrelated Variables 8.2.3 Field Significance 8.2.4 Example: GCM Response to a Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly 8.3 Multivariate Analysis 8.3.1 Test on Means of Multidimensional Normal Variables 8.3.2 Application to Response Studies 8.3.3 Application to Model Testing and Intercomparison 9 Field Intercomparison / by ROBERT E . LIVEZEY 9.1 Introduction 9.2 Motivation for Permutation and Monte Carlo Testing 9.2.1 Local vs. Field Significance 9.2.2 Test Example 9.3 Permutation Procedures 9.3.1 Test Environment 9.3.2 Permutation (PP) and Bootstrap (BP) Procedures 9.3.3 Properties 9.3.4 Interdependence Among Field Variables 9.4 Serial Correlation 9.4.1 Local Probability Matching 9.4.2 Times Series and Monte Carlo Methods 9.4.3 Independent Samples 9.4.4 Conservatism 9.5 Concluding Remarks 10 The Evaluation of Forecasts / by ROBERT E. LIVEZEY 10.1 Introduction 10.2 Considerations for Objective Verification 10.2.1 Quantification 10.2.2 Authentication 10.2.3 Description of Probability Distributions 10.2.4 Comparison of Forecasts 10.3 Measures and Relationships: Categorical Forecasts 10.3.1 Contingency and Definitions 10.3.2 Some Scores Based on the Contingency Table 10.4 Measures and Relationships: Continuous Forecasts 10.4.1 Mean Squared Error and Correlation 10.4.2 Pattern Verification (the Murphy-Epstein Decomposition) 10.5 Hindcasts and Cross-Validation 10.5.1 Cross-Validation Procedure 10.5.2 Key Constraints in Cross-Validation 11 Stochastic Modeling of Precipitation with Applications to Climate Model Downscaling / by DENNIS LETTENMAIER 11.1 Introduction 11.2 Probabilistic Characteristics of Precipitation 11.3 Stochastic Models of Precipitation 11.3.1 Background 11.3.2 Applications to Global Change 11.4 Stochastic Precipitation Models with External Forcing 11.4.1 Weather Classification Schemes 11.4.2 Conditional Stochastic Precipitation Models 11.5 Applications to Alternative Climate Simulation 11.6 Conclusions IV Pattern Analysis 12 Teleconnections Patterns / by ANTONIO NAVARRA 12.1 Objective Teleconnections 12.2 Singular Value Decomposition 12.3 Teleconnections in the Ocean-Atmosphere System 12.4 Concluding Remarks 13 Spatial Patterns: EOFs and CCA / by HANS VON STORCH 13.1 Introduction 13.2 Expansion into a Few Guess Patterns 13.2.1 Guess Patterns, Expansion Coefficients and Explained Variance 13.2.2 Example: Temperature Distribution in the Mediterranean Sea 13.2.3 Specification of Guess Patterns 13.2.4 Rotation of Guess Patterns 13.3 Empirical Orthogonal Functions 13.3.1 Definition of EOFs 13.3.2 What EOFs Are Not Designed for 13.3.3 Estimating EOFs 13.3.4 Example: Central European Temperature 13.4 Canonical Correlation Analysis 13.4.1 Definition of Canonical Correlation Patterns 13.4.2 CCA in EOF Coordinates 13.4.3 Estimation: CCA of Finite Samples 13.4.4 Example: Central European Temperature 14 Patterns in Time : SSA and MSSA / by ROBERT VAUTARD 14.1 Introduction 14.2 Reconstruction and Approximation of Attractors 14.2.1 The Embedding Problem 14.2.2 Dimension and Noise 14.2.3 The Macroscopic Approximation 14.3 Singular Spectrum Analysis 14.3.1 Time EOFs 14.3.2 Space-Time EOFs 14.3.3 Oscillatory Pairs 14.3.4 Spectral Properties 14.3.5 Choice of the Embedding Dimension 14.3.6 Estimating Time and Space-Time Patterns 14.4 Climatic Applications of SSA 14.4.1 The Analysis of Intraseasonal Oscillations 14.4.2 Empirical Long-Range Forecasts Using MSSA Predictors 14.5 Conclusions 15 Multivariate Statistical Modeling : POP-Model as a First Order Approximation / by JIN-SONG VON STORCH 15.1 Introduction 15.2 The Cross-Covariance Matrix and the Cross-Spectrum Matrix 15.3 Multivariate AR(1) Process and its Cross-Covariance and Cross-Spectrum Matrices 15.3.1 The System Matrix A and its POPs 15.3.2 Cross-Spectrum Matrix in POP-Basis: Its Matrix Formulation 15.3.3 Cross-Spectrum Matrix in POP-Basis: Its Diagonal Components 15.3.4

Anmerkung: TABLE OF CONTENTS PROLOGUE INDICATORS INTRODUCTION ICE VOLUME Glacial Moraines Shorelines Oxygen Isotopes Summary TEMPERATURE Mountaintop Temperatures Polar Temperatures Sea Surface Teiμperatures Continental Temperatures The Tropical Temperature Dilemma ARIDITY Precipitation Rock Varnish Dust ATMOSPHERIC GAS COMPOSITION Carbon Dioxide Methane Isotopic Composition of Atmospheric Gases OCEANIC CHEMISTRY Trace Metals Carbon Isotopes RATE OF DEEP SEA VENTUATION CO3 Concentration Paleo pH Preservation Events CLOCKS INTRODUCTION THE RADIOCARBON CLOCK ANNUAL CLOCKS THE URANIUM-THORIUM CLOCK CLOCKS READING MORE THAN 50,000 YEARS THE POTASSIUM-ARGON CLOCK PLANETARY CLOCKS IN SITU PRODUCTION CLOCKS SUNDIALS RECORDS SETTING THE STAGE: 55 MILLION YEARS OF POLAR COOLING MILANKOVITCH CYCLES THE LAST 160,000 YEARS THE LAST TERMINATION DANSGAARD-OESCHGER EVENTS HEINRICH EVENTS RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DANSGAARD-OESCHGER EVENTS AND HEINRICH EVENTS PHYSICS INTRODUCTION WATER VAPOR THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION FRESH WATER FLUXES MODE SWITCH TRIGGERS EPILOGUE BIBLIOGRAPHY PROBLEMS APPENDICES ∑CO2 and Alkalinity in the Sea What Drives Glacial Cycles? (Scientific American) The Great Ocean Conveyor (Oceanography)

Anmerkung: Front Cover; SEAWATER: ITS COMPOSITION, PROPERTIES AND BEHAVIOUR; Copyright Page; CONTENTS; ABOUT THIS VOLUME; ABOUT THIS SERIES; CHAPTER 1. WATER , AIR AND ICE; 1.1 THE SPECIAL PROPERTIES OF WATER; 1.2 THE HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE; 1.3 SUMMARY OF CHAPTER 1; CHAPTER 2. TEMPERATURE IN THE OCEANS; 2.1 SOLAR RADIATION; 2.2 DISTRIBUTION OF SURFACE TEMPERATURES; 2.3 DISTRIBUTION OF TEMPERATURE WITH DEPTH; 2.4 ENERGY FROM THE THERMOCLINE - A BRIEF DIGRESSION; 2.5 TEMPERATURE DISTRIBUTION AND WATER MOVEMENT; 2.6 SUMMARY OF CHAPTER 2; CHAPTER 3. SALINITY IN THE OCEANS; 3.1 CONSTANCY OF COMPOSITION. , 3.2 VARIATIONS IN SALINITY3.3 THE MEASUREMENT OF SALINITY; 3.4 SUMMARY OF CHAPTER 3; CHAPTER 4. DENSITY AND PRESSURE IN THE OCEAN; 4.1 WATER MASSES; 4.2 DEPTH (PRESSURE), DENSITY AND TEMPERATURE; 4.3 T-S DIAGRAMS; 4.4 MIXING PROCESSES IN THE OCEANS; 4.5 SUMMARY OF CHAPTER4; CHAPTER 5. LIGHT AND SOUND IN SEAWATER; 5.1 UNDERWATER LIGHT; 5.2 UNDERWATER SOUND; 5.3 SUMMARY OF CHAPTER 5; CHAPTER 6. THE SEAWATER SOLUTION; 6.1 THE GROSS CHEMICAL COMPOSITION OF SEAWATER; 6.2 SOURCES AND SINKS, OR WHY THE SEA IS SALT; 6.3 CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL REACTIONS IN SEAWATER; 6.4 SUMMARY OF CHAPTER 6. , CHAPTER 7. SEAWATER AND THE GLOBAL CYCLE7.1 A SHORT HISTORY OF SEAWATER; 7.2 A LOOK AHEAD; 7.3 SUMMARY OF CHAPTER; APPENDIX: CONVERSIONS BETWEEN pH AND [H+]; SUGGESTED AND COMMENTS READING; ANSWERS AND COMMENTS TO QUESTIONS; ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS; INDEX.

Anmerkung: Contents: Figures. - Tables. - Preface. - Illustrations. - 1. Introduction. - 1.1 Background. - 1.2 Scope of the text. - 1.3 World vegetation types. - 1.3.1 Vegetation formations and zones. - 1.3.2 Zonobiomes. - 1.3.3 Exoclimates. - 1.3.4 The Canadian vegetation classification system. - 1.3.5 Ecozones. - 1.3.6 Floristic realms. - 1.3.7 Plant species nomenclature. - 1.4 Soil classification and soil systems. - 1.5 Climatic parameters. - 1.5.1 The role of climate. - 1.5.2 Moisture indices. - 1.5.3 Climate diagrams. - 1.6 Plant strategies. - 1.6.1 Competition. - 1.6.2 Hydrature and moisture regulation. - 1.6.3 Life forms. - 1.6.4 Leaf morphology and adaptation. - 1.7 Biomass and net primary productivity. - 2. Tundra 2.1 Tundra distribution. - 2.2 Climate. - 2.3 Soils. - 2.4 Tundra in North America. - 2.4.1 Ecoclimatic sub-provinces and regions. - 2.4.2 High and mid-Arctic. - 2.4.3 Low Arctic. - 2.5 Tundra in other Northern Hemisphere locations. - 2.5.1 Arctic Tundra. - 2.5.2 Typical Tundra. - 2.5.3 Southern Tundra. - 2.5.4 Tundra on Arctic Islands. - 2.6 Tundea in the Southern Hemisphere. - 2.6.1 The Antarctic Subregion. - 2.6.2 The Sub-Antarctic Subregion. - 2.7 Alpine Tundra. - 2.7.1 Temperate-latitude alpine Tundra. - 2.7.2 Low-latitude (equatorial) alpine Tundra. - 2.8 Primary production and phytomass in Tundra. - 3. Forest-Tundra or Boreal-Tundra Ecotone. - 3.1 Definitions. - 3.2 Distribution. - 3.3 Climate. - 3.4 Soils. - 3.5 Forest-Tundra in Canada. - 3.5.1 Ecoclimatic sub-provinces. - 3.5.2 The shrub subzone (Northern Forest-Tundra). - 3.5.3 The forest subzone (Southern Forest Tundra). - 3.6 Eurasian Forest-Tundra. - 3.7 Primary production and phytomass in forest-Tundra. - 4. Boreal Forest (Taiga) and Mixed Forest Transition. - 4.1 Distribution. - 4.2 Climate. - 4.3 Soils. - 4.4 Boreal forest in North America. - 4.4.1 Open Lichen Woodland. - 4.4.2 Northern Coniferous Forest. - 4.4.3 Mixed-Forest (Boreal-Broadleaf ecotone). - 4.4.4 Mixed-Forest transition to grassland (Northern Mixedwoods). - 4.5 Eurasian Boreal. - 4.5.1 The European Boreal. - 4.5.2 The Siberian Boreal. - 4.5.3 Northwest Pacific Fringe Boreal. - 4.6 Primary production and phytomass in boreal forest. - 5. Prairie (Steppe). - 5.1 Distribution. - 5.2 Climate. - 5.2.1 North America. - 5.2.2 Climate in Eurasia and elsewhere. - 5.3 Soils. - 5.4 Prairie in North America. - 5.4.1 The Canadian Prairie. - 5.4.2 Prairie in the USA. - 5.5. Eurasian Steppe. - 5.6 Southern Hemisphere Grasslands. - 5.6.1 The High Veldt. - 5.6.2 The Pampas/Campos Grasslands. - 5.7 Primary production and biomass. - 6. Cordilleran Environments in Western North America. - 6.1 Canada's Cordilleran ecoclimatic provinces. - 6.1.1 Distribution. - 6.1.2 Climate. - 6.1.3 Soils. - 6.1.4 Pacific Coastal Mesothermal Forest. - 6.1.5 Pacific Coastal Subalpine Forest. - 6.1.6 Cordilleran Forest Region. - 6.1.7 Cordilleran Cold Steppe and Savanna Forst. - 6.1.8 Canadian Cordilleran Subalpine Forest. - 6.1.9 Alpine Tundra and Boreal Forest. - 6.2 The Cordilleran Region in the USA. - 6.2.1 Distribution. - 6.2.2 Northwest Coast Conifer-Hardwood Forests. - 6.2.3 Montane Pine Forests. - 6.2.4 Sagebrush and Grasslands. - 6.2.5 Interior Hemlock-Douglas-Fir-Larch. - 6.2.6 Subalpine Forest. - 6.3 Primary Production and Phytomass. - 7. Temperate Deciduous Forests. - 7.1 Distribution. - 7.2 Climate. - 7.3 Soils. - 7.4 Temperate Deciduous Forest in North America. - 7.4.1 Canada. - 7.4.2 United States of America. - 7.4.3 Southern Mexico and South America. - 7.5 Europe. - 7.5.1 Atlantic Deciduous Forest. - 7.5.2 Central European Deciduous Forest. - 7.5.3 East European Deciduous Forest. - 7.6 Asia. - 7.7 Southern Hemisphere. - 7.8 Primary Production and Phytomass. - 8. Wetlands. - 8.1 Introduction. - 8.2 Climate. - 8.3 Soils. - 8.4 Canadian Wetland Classification. - 8.4.1 Canadian Wetland Classification System. - 8.4.2 Wetland classes. - 8.4.3 Wetland forms and types. - 8.5 Canadian Wetlands. - 8.5.1 Arctic Wetlands. - 8.5.2 Subarctic Wetlands. - 8.5.3 Boreal Wetlands. - 8.5.4 Prairie Wetlands. - 8.5.5 Temperate Wetlands. - 8.5.6 Oceanic Wetlands. - 8.5.7 Mountain Wetlands. - 8.6 Wetlands in the USA. - 8.7 Eurasian Wetlands. - 8.7.1 European Wetlands. - 8.7.2 Asian Wetlands. - 8.8 Central and South American Wetlands. - 8.9 African Wetlands. - 8.10 Austromalesian and Pacific Wetlands. - 8.11 Phytomass and Primary Production. - 9. Conclusion. - Appendix: Biomials and their local names as used in the text. - Bibliography. - Index.

Anmerkung: Contents: Preface. - Acknowledgments. - 1 How the Ocean-Atmosphere System Is Driven. - 1.1 Introduction. - 1.2 The Amount of Energy Received by the Earth. - 1.3 Radiative Equilibrium Models. - 1.4 The Greenhouse Effect. - 1.5 Effects of Convection. - 1.6 Effects of Horizontal Gradients. - 1.7 Variability in Radiative Driving of the Earth. - 2 Transfer of Properties between Atmosphere and Ocean. - 2.1 Introduction. - 2.2 Contrasts in Properties of Ocean and Atmosphere. - 2.3 Momentum Transfer between Air and Sea, and the Atmosphere's Angular Momentum Balance. - 2.4 Dependence of Exchange Rates on Air-Sea Velocity, Temperature, and Humidity Differences. - 2.5 The Hydrological Cycle. - 2.6 The Heat Balance of the Ocean. - 2.7 Surface Density Changes and the Thermohaline Circulation of the Ocean. - 3 Properties of a Fluid at Rest. - 3.1 The Equation of State. - 3.2 Thermodynamic Variables. - 3.3 Values of Thermodynamic Quantities for the Ocean and Atmosphere. - 3.4 Phase Changes. - 3.5 Balance of Forces in a Fluid at Rest. - 3.6 Static Stability. - 3.7 Quantities Associated with Stability. - 3.8 Stability of a Saturated Atmosphere. - 3.9 Graphical Representation of Vertical Soundings. - 4 Equations Satisfied by a Moving Fluid. - 4.1 Properties of a Material Element. - 4.2 Mass Conservation Equation. - 4.3 Balance for a Scalar Quantity like Salinity. - 4.4 The Internal Energy (or Heat) Equation. - 4.5 The Equation of Motion. - 4.6 Mechanical Energy Equation. - 4.7 Total Energy Equation. - 4.8 Bernoulli's Equation. - 4.9 Systematic Effects of Diffusion. - 4.10 Summary List of the Governing Equations. - 4.11 Boundary Conditions. - 4.12 A Coordinate System for Planetary Scale Motions. - 5 Adjustment under Gravity in a Nonrotating System. - 5.1 Introduction: Adjustment to Equilibrium. - 5.2 Perturbations from the Rest State for a Homogenous Inviscid Fluid. - 5.3 Surface Gravity Waves. - 5.4 Dispersion. - 5.5 Short-Wave and Long-Wave Approximations. - 5.6 Shallow-Water Equations Derived Using the Hydrostatic Approximation. - 5.7 Energetics of Shallow-Water Motion. - 5.8 Seiches and Tides in Channels and Gulfs. - 6 Adjustment under Gravity of a Density-Stratified Fluid. - 6.1 Introduction. - 6.2 The Case of Two Superposed Fluids of Different Density. - 6.3 The Baroclinic Mode and the Rigid Lid Approximation. - 6.4 Adjustments within a Continuously Stratified Incompressible Fluid. - 6.5 Internal Gravity Waves. - 6.6 Dispersion Effects. - 6.7 Energetics of internal waves. - 6.8 Internal Waves Generated at a Horizontal Boundary. - 6.9 Effects on Boundary-Generated Waves of Variations of Buoyancy Frequency with Height. - 6.10 Free Waves in the Presence of Boundaries. - 6.11 Waves of Large Horizontal Scale: Normal Modes. - 6.12 An Example of Adjustment to Equilibrium in a Stratified Fluid. - 6.13 Resolution into Normal Modes for the Ocean. - 6.14 Adjustment to Equilibrium in a Stratified Compressible Fluid. - 6.15 Examples of Adjustment in a Compressible Atmosphere. - 6.16 Weak Dispersion of a Pulse. - 6.17 Isobaric Coordinates. - 6.18 The Vertically Integrated Perturbation Energy Equation in Isobaric Coordinates. - 7 Effects of Rotation. - 7.1 Introduction. - 7.2 The Rossby Adjustment Problem. - 7.3 The Transients. - 7.4 Applicability, to the Rotating Earth. - 7.5 The Rossby Radius of Deformation. - 7.6 The Geostrophic Balance. - 7.7 Relative Geostrophic Currents: The Thermal Wind. - 7.8 Available Potential Energy. - 7.9 Circulation and Vorticity. - 7.10 Conservation of Potential Vorticity for a Shallow Homogeneous Layer. - 7.11 Circulation in a Stratified Fluid and Ertel's Potential Vorticity. - 7.12 Perturbation Forms of the Vorticity Equations in a Uniformly Rotating Fluid. - 7.13 Initialization of Fields for Numerical Prediction Schemes. - 8 Gravity Waves in a Rotating Fluid. - 8.1 Introduction. - 8.2 Effect of Rotation on Surface Gravity Waves: Poincare Waves. - 8.3 Dispersion Properties and Energetics of Poincare Waves. - 8.4 Vertically Propagating Internal Waves in a Rotating Fluid. - 8.5 Polarization Relations. - 8.6 Energetics. - 8.7 Waves Generated at a Horizontal Boundary. - 8.8 Mountain Waves. - 8.9 Effects of Variation of Properties with Height. - 8.10 Finite-Amplitude Topographic Effects. - 8.11 Dissipative Effects in the Upper Atmosphere. - 8.12 The Liouville-Green or WKBJ Approximation. - 8.13 Wave Interactions. - 8.14 The Internal Wave Spectrum in the Ocean. - 8.15 Wave Transport and Effects on the Mean Flow. - 8.16 Quasi-geostrophic Flow (f Plane): The Isallobaric Wind. - 9 Forced Motion. - 9.1 Introduction. - 9.2 Forcing Due to Surface Stress: Ekman Transport. - 9.3 Wind-Generated Inertial Oscillations in the Ocean Mixed Layer. - 9.4 Ekman Pumping. - 9.5 Bottom Friction: Velocity Structure of the Boundary Layer. - 9.6 The Laminar Ekman Layer. - 9.7 The Nocturnal Jet. - 9.8 Tide-Producing Forces. - 9.9 Effect of Atmospheric Pressure Variations and Wind on Barotropic Motion in the Sea: The Forced Shallow-Water Equation. - 9.10 Baroclinic Response of the Ocean to Wind Forcing: Use of Normal Modes. - 9.11 Response of the Ocean to a Moving Storm or Hurricane. - 9.12 Spin-Down by Bottom Friction. - 9.13 Buoyancy Forcing. - 9.14 Response to Stationary Forcing: A Barotropic Example. - 9.15 A Forced Baroclinic Vortex. - 9.16 Equilibration through Dissipative Effects. - 10 Effects of Side Boundaries. - 10.1 Introduction. - 10.2 Effects of Rotation on Seiches and Tides in Narrow Channels and Gulfs. - 10.3 Poincare Waves in a Uniform Channel of Arbitrary Width. - 10.4 Kelvin Waves. - 10.5 The Full Set of Modes for an Infinite Channel of Uniform Width. - 10.6 End Effects: Seiches and Tides in a Gulf That Is Not Narrow. - 10.7 Adjustment to Equilibrium in a Channel. - 10.8 Tides. - 10.9 Storm Surges on an Open Coastline: The Local Solution. - 10.10 Surges Moving along the Coast: Forced Kelvin Waves. - 10.11 Coastal Upwelling. - 10.12 Continental Shelf Waves. - 10.13 Coastally Trapped Waves. - 10.14 Eastern Boundary Currents. - 11. The Tropics. - 11.1 Introduction. - 11.2 Effects of Earth's Curvature: Shallow-Water Equations on the Sphere. - 11.3 Potential Vorticity for a Shallow Homogeneous Layer. - 11.4 The Equatorial Beta Plane. - 11.5 The Equatorial Kelvin Wave. - 11.6 Other Equatorially Trapped Waves. - 11.7 The Equatorial Waveguide: Gravity Waves. - 11.8 Planetary Waves and Quasi-geostrophic Motion. - 11.9 Baroclinic Motion near the Equator. - 11.10 Vertically Propagating Equatorial Waves. - 11.11 Adjustment under Gravity near the Equator. - 11.12 Transient Forced Motion. - 11.13 Potential Vorticity for Baroclinic Motion: The Steady Limit. - 11.14 Steady Forced Motion. - 11.15 The Tropical Circulation of the Atmosphere. - 11.16 Tropical Ocean Currents. - 12 Mid-latitudes. - 12.1 Introduction. - 12.2 The Mid-latitude Beta Plane. - 12.3 Planetary Waves. - 12.4 Spin-Up of the Ocean by an Applied Wind Stress. - 12.5 Steady Ocean Circulation. - 12.6 Western Boundary Currents. - 12.7 Vertical Propagation of Planetary Waves in a Medium at Rest. - 12.8 Nonlinear Quasi-geostrophic Flow in Three Dimensions. - 12.9 Small Disturbances on a Zonal Flow Varying with Latitude and Height. - 12.10 Deductions about Vertical Motion from the Quasi-geostrophic Equations. - 13 Instabilities, Fronts, and the General Circulation. - 13.1 Introduction. - 13.2 Free Waves in the Presence of a Horizontal Temperature Gradient. - 13.3 Baroclinic Instability: The Eady Problem. - 13.4 Baroclinic Instability: The Charney Problem. - 13.5 Necessary Conditions for Instability. - 13.6 Barotropic Instability. - 13.7 Eddies in the Ocean. - 13.8 Fronts. - 13.9 The Life Cycle of a Baroclinic Disturbance. - 13.10 General Circulation of the Atmosphere. - Appendix One Units and Their SI Equivalents. - Appendix Two Useful

Anmerkung: Enth.: Giess, W.: Die in der Zentralem Namib von Südwestafrika / Namibia festgestellten Pflanzenarten und ihre Biotope