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  • 1
    Monograph available for loan
    Monograph available for loan
    Transitions to sustainable development : new directions in the study of long term transformative change (2010)
    New York, NY [u.a.] : Routledge
    Details Availability
    Call number: PIK N 071-10-0125
    Description / Table of Contents: Contents: Foreword by Carlota Perez. Preface. Introduction: From Persistent Problems to System Innovations and Transitions Part I: The Dynamics of Transitions: A Socio-Technical Perspective Chapter I.1: Introduction: Exploration of the Research Topic Chapter I.2: A Multi-Level Perspective on Transitions Chapter I.3: Theoretical Backgrounds: Crossovers STS, Evolutionary Economics, and Sociology Chapter I.4: A Typology of Transition Pathways Chapter I.5: Managing Sustainable Innovation Journeys Chapter I.6: Reflections: Process Theory, Causality and Narrative Explanation Part II: Towards a Better Understanding of Transitions and Their Governance: A Systemic and Reflexive Approach Chapter II.1: Introduction Chapter II.2: A Complex Integrated Systems Perspective Chapter II.3: Conceptual Framework for Analyzing Transitions Chapter II.4: Research into the Governance of Transitions: A Framework for Transition Management Chapter II.5: Case Study I: Parkstad Limburg: Regional Transition Management Chapter II.6: Case Study II: The Dutch Energy Transition Chapter II.7: Self-Evaluation of the Development and Prospects of Transition Management Part III: Understanding Transitions from a Governance Perspective Chapter III.1: Introduction Chapter III.2: Contemporary Processes of Institutional Change Chapter III.3: Modernization Processes in Dutch Agriculture, 1886 to the Present Chapter III.4: The Governance of Transitions: An Agency Perspective Chapter III.5: Modernization as Multilevel Dynamics: Lessons from Dutch Agriculture Chapter III.6: Governance of Transitions: An Analytical Perspective. Conclusion: How to Understand Transitions? How to Influence Them?: Synthesis and Lessons for Further Research. Notes. References. Index.
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: XIX, 397 S. : graph. Darst.
    ISBN: 9780415876759
    Series Statement: Routledge studies in sustainability transitions 1
    Location: A 18 - must be ordered
    Branch Library: PIK Library
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  • 2
    Monograph available for loan
    Monograph available for loan
    Image : An integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect (1990)
    Dordrecht : Kluwer
    Details Availability
    Call number: PIK M 370-94-0057
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: 289 p.
    ISBN: 079230957x
    Series Statement: Environment & Assessment ;
    Location: A 18 - must be ordered
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  • 3
    Monograph available for loan
    Monograph available for loan
    Modelling global biogeochemical cycles : an integrated assessment approach (1995)
    Bilthoven
    Details Availability
    Call number: PIK N 442-16-90130
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: 104 S. : graph. Darst
    Series Statement: Globo report series 7
    Language: English
    Location: A 18 - must be ordered
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  • 4
    Monograph available for loan
    Monograph available for loan
    Puzzle - solving for policy : A provisonal handbook for integrated assessment (2001)
    Details Availability
    Call number: PIK B 160-01-0216 ; PIK B 160-01-0270
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: 387 p.
    Location: A 18 - must be ordered
    Location: A 18 - must be ordered
    Branch Library: PIK Library
    Branch Library: PIK Library
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  • 5
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    The gloomy greenhouse: Should the world phase out fossil fuels? (1990)
    Springer
    Environmental management 14 (1990), S. 291-296 
    Details
    ISSN: 1432-1009
    Keywords: Greenhouse effect ; Climate change policy ; Scenario analysis ; Greenhouse policy model ; Carbon dioxide emissions
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract In 1988 the Toronto World Conference on the Changing Atmosphere called for a reduction of CO2 emissions of the industrialized countries by approximately 20% by the year 2005 as compared with 1988. A stabilization of CO2 concentrations would require an eventual emissions reduction of more than 50% of present levels. Model runs were performed with the Dutch Integrated Model for the Assessment of the Greenhouse Effect (IMAGE) to put these figures into perspective. It was found that the suggested emissions reduction levels could indeed be adequate to prevent global temperature change from moving beyond past climate experience. However, this would only be the case when these reduced levels of emissions were achieved at a global scale and maximum emission control for the other greenhouse gases was implemented. A delayed response analysis shows that the policies of the coming decades are crucial for the eventual control of the greenhouse effect.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF02394196
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  • 6
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    The impact of climate change on the river rhine: A scenario study (1995)
    Springer
    Climatic change 30 (1995), S. 397-425 
    Details
    ISSN: 1573-1480
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract This paper concerns the impact of human-induced global climate change on the River Rhine discharge. For this purpose a model for climate assessment, named ESCAPE, is coupled to a water balance model, named RHINEFLOW. From climate scenarios, changes in regional annual water availability and seasonal discharge in the River Rhine Basin are estimated. The climate scenarios are based on greenhouse gases emissions scenarios. An assessment is made for ‘best guess’ seasonal discharge changes and for changes in frequencies of low and high discharges in the downstream reaches of the river. In addition, a quantitative estimation of the uncertainties associated with this guess is arrived at. The results show that the extent and range of uncertainty is large with respect to the ‘best guess’ changes. The uncertainty range is 2–3 times larger for the Business-as-Usual than for the Accelerated Policies scenarios. This large range stems from the doubtful precipitation simulations from the present General Circulation Models. This scenario study showed the precipitation scenarios to be the key-elements within the present range of reliable climate change scenarios. For the River Rhine ‘best guess’ changes for annual water availability are small according to both scenarios. The river changes from a present combined snow-melt-rain fed river to an almost entirely rain fed river. The difference between present-day large average discharge in winter and the small average discharge in autumn should increase for all scenarios. This trend is largest in the Alpine part of the basin. Here, winter discharges should increase even for scenarios forecasting annual precipitation decreases. Summer discharge should decrease. ‘Best guess’ scenarios should lead to increased frequencies of both low and high flow events in the downstream (Dutch) part of the river. The results indicate changes could be larger than presently assumed in ‘worst case scenarios’ used by the Dutch water management authorities.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF01093854
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  • 7
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    An integrated model for the assessment of the greenhouse effect: The Dutch approach (1990)
    Springer
    Climatic change 16 (1990), S. 331-356 
    Details
    ISSN: 1573-1480
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract This paper describes a simulation policy model of the combined greenhouse effects of trace gases. With this model, the Integrated Model for the Assessment of the Greenhouse Effect (IMAGE) scenarios for the future impact of the greenhouse effect can be made, based on different assumptions for technological and socio-economic developments. The contribution of each trace gas can be estimated separately. Basically the model, consisting of a number of coupled modules, gives policy makers a concise overview of the problem and enables them to evaluate the impact of different strategies. Because the model covers the complete cause-effect relationship it can be utilized to derive allowable emission rates for the different trace gases from set effect related targets. Regular demonstration sessions with the simulation model have proven the importance of such science based integrated models for policy development. Four different scenarios are worked out for the most important trace gases (CO2, CH4, N2O, CFC-11 and CFC-12). One of these scenarios can be regarded as a growth scenario unrestricted by environmental concerns. The others are based on different strategic policies. After the simulation of future trace gas concentrations global equilibrium temperature increases are computed. Finally the sea level rise, the most threatening effect of the greenhouse problem for the Netherlands, is estimated. Simulation results so far emphasize the importance of trace gases other than CO2. The Montreal Protocol on reduction of CFC is found to stabilize the relative contribution of these substances to the greenhouse effect.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00144508
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  • 8
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Integrated assessment: A growing child on its way to maturity (1996)
    Springer
    Climatic change 34 (1996), S. 327-336 
    Details
    ISSN: 1573-1480
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00139296
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  • 9
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Methods for IA: The challenges and opportunities ahead (1998)
    Springer
    Environmental modeling and assessment 3 (1998), S. 155-179 
    Details
    ISSN: 1573-2967
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1019019024003
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  • 10
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    Patterns in transitions: Understanding complex chains of change (2011)
    Elsevier
    Details
    Publication Date: 2011-01-01
    Print ISSN: 0040-1625
    Electronic ISSN: 1873-5509
    Topics: Geography , Sociology , Technology
    Published by Elsevier
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