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  • Springer  (152,772)
  • Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)  (13,913)
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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2020-11-18
    Description: Volcanic crises are complex and especially challenging to manage. Volcanic unrest is characterised by uncertainty about whether an eruption will or will not take place, as well as its possible location, size and evolution. Planning is further complicated by the range of potential hazards and the variety of disciplines involved in forecasting and responding to volcanic emergencies. Effective management is favoured at frequently active volcanoes, owing to the experience gained through the repeated ‘testing’ of systems of communication. Even when plans have not been officially put in place, the groups involved tend to have an understanding of their roles and responsibilities and those of others. Such experience is rarely available at volcanoes that have been quiescent for several generations. Emergency responses are less effective, not only because of uncertainties about the volcanic system itself, but also because scientists, crisis directors, managers and the public are inexperienced in volcanic unrest. In such situations, tensions and misunderstandings result in poor communication and have the potential to affect decision making and delay vital operations. Here we compare experiences on communi- cating information during crises on volcanoes reawakening after long repose (El Hierro in the Canary Islands) and in frequent eruption (Etna and Stromboli in Sicily). The results provide a basis for enhancing commu- nication protocols during volcanic emergencies.
    Description: Published
    Description: 1-17
    Description: 6V. Pericolosità vulcanica e contributi alla stima del rischio
    Description: N/A or not JCR
    Keywords: Etna volcano ; Stromboli volcano ; Canary Islands ; volcanic emergencies ; communication ; volcanic crisis ; Procedures for Communications During Volcanic Emergencies ; 04.08. Volcanology
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: book chapter
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2017-09-10
    Description: Sediment delivery to the abyssal regions of the oceans is an integral process in the source to sink cycle of material derived from adjacent continents and islands. The Zambezi River, the largest in southern Africa, delivers vast amounts of material to the inner continental shelf of central Mozambique. The aim of this contribution is to better constrain sediment transport pathways to the abyssal plains using the latest, regional, high-resolution multibeam bathymetry data available, taking into account the effects of bottom water circulation, antecedent basin morphology and sea-level change. Results show that sediment transport and delivery to the abyssal plains is partitioned into three distinct domains; southern, central and northern. Sediment partitioning is primarily controlled by changes in continental shelf and shelf-break morphology under the influence of a clockwise rotating shelf circulation system. However, changes in sealevel have an overarching control on sediment delivery to particular domains. During highstand conditions, such as today, limited sediment delivery to the submarine Zambezi Valley and Channel is proposed, with increased sediment delivery to the deepwater basin being envisaged during regression and lowstand conditions. However, there is a pronounced along-strike variation in sediment transport during the sea-level cycle due to changes in the width, depth and orientation of the shelf. This combination of features outlines a sequence stratigraphic concept not generally considered in the strike-aligned shelf-slope-abyssal continuum.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Type: Article , isiRev
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  • 3
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    In:  EPIC3Hamburger Klimabericht – Wissen über Klima, Klimawandel und Auswirkungen in Hamburg und Norddeutschland, Springer, 311 p., pp. 90-107, ISBN: 978-3-662-55378-7
    Publication Date: 2017-11-09
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Type: Inbook , peerRev
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  • 4
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    In:  EPIC3Faszination Meeresforschung, Book, Berlin, Springer, 573 p., pp. 455-460, ISBN: 978-3-662-49713-5
    Publication Date: 2017-01-20
    Description: Fast die Hälfte der gesamten weltweit durch Marikultur erzeugten Biomasse sind Makroalgen. Die unterschiedlich gelierenden Bestandteile ihrer Zellwände (Hydrokolloide) werden industriell genutzt. Offensichtlicher für den Verbraucher ist die Verwendung als Lebensmittel, z.B., die Rotalge Pyropia als Nori für Sushi. Es wird erklärt, warum diese Produkte teuer sind.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Type: Inbook , peerRev
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  • 5
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    In:  EPIC3Faszination Meeresforschung-Ein ökologisches Lesebuch, Faszination Meeresforschung-Ein ökologisches Lesebuch, Berlin, Springer, 573 p., pp. 385-397, ISBN: 978-3-662-49713-5
    Publication Date: 2018-02-16
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 6
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    In:  EPIC3Faszination Meeresforschung, ein ökologisches Lesebuch, Faszination Meeresforschung, Springer, pp. 261-272, ISBN: 978-3-662-49713-5
    Publication Date: 2018-02-15
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 7
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    In:  EPIC3Faszination Meeresforschung - Ein ökologisches Lesebuch, 2. Auflage, Berlin, Springer, 573 p., pp. 103-112, ISBN: 978-3-662-49713-5
    Publication Date: 2017-01-26
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 8
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    In:  EPIC3Klimawandel in Deutschland: Entwicklung, Folgen, Risiken und Perspektiven, Klimawandel in Deutschland: Entwicklung, Folgen, Risiken und Perspektiven, Berlin, Springer, 7 p., pp. 103-109, ISBN: 978-3-662-50396-6
    Publication Date: 2018-01-29
    Description: Extremereignisse zeigen am augenfälligsten, wie verletzlich Deutschland gegenüber dem Klima und seinen Veränderungen ist. Betrachtet man Extremereignisse genauer, verursachten in den vergangenen 20 Jahren Hochwasser die größten Schäden (Ernst Rauch, Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft, persönliche Mitteilung). In der Wissenschaft herrscht Einigkeit darüber, dass sich der zukünftige globale Wasserkreislauf durch steigende atmosphärische Treibhausgaskonzentrationen verändern wird (Kirtman et al. 2013). Doch selbst bei der vergleichsweise guten Datenlage für Deutschland ist es unsicher, ob sich die Auftrittsrate – die Anzahl an Ereignissen pro Jahr – von Hochwasser verändert (Trend), wie stark eventuell vorliegende Trends sind und wie stark der Klimawandel ursächlich einwirkt. Diese Zuschreibung der Ursachen wird als Attribution bezeichnet. Gleichzeitig bilden diese Informationen eine wichtige Grundlage für Entscheidungsträger, die über Mitigations- und Anpassungsstrategien befinden. Die damit verbundenen Unsicherheiten müssen daher möglichst transparent kommuniziert werden, um einen Umgang damit zu ermöglichen. Ihre Quellen und Ausmaße werden im Folgenden am Beispiel der Elbehochwasser ausführlich illustriert. Für die Elbe ist der Wissensstand aufgrund der guten Datenqualität und umfangreicher wissenschaftlicher Untersuchungen relativ hoch. Für andere Flüsse (▶ Kap. 10) und andere Ereignistypen sind die Unsicherheiten zum Teil wesentlich größer.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 9
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    In:  EPIC3Boundary-Layer Meteorology, Springer, 162:91, pp. 1-26
    Publication Date: 2017-10-20
    Description: A new quasi-analytical mixed-layer model is formulated describing the evolution of the convective atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) during cold-air outbreaks (CAO) over polar oceans downstream of the marginal sea-ice zones. The new model is superior to previous ones since it predicts not only temperature and mixed-layer height but also the height-averaged horizontal wind components. Results of the mixed-layer model are compared with dropsonde and aircraft observations carried out during several CAOs over the Fram Strait and also with results of a 3D non-hydrostatic (NH3D) model. It is shown that the mixed-layer model reproduces well the observed ABL height, temperature, low-level baroclinicity and its influence on the ABL wind speed. The mixed-layer model underestimates the observed ABL temperature only by about 10 %, most likely due to the neglect of condensation and subsidence. The comparison of the mixed-layer and NH3D model results shows good agreement with respect to wind speed including the formation of wind-speed maxima close to the ice edge. It is concluded that baroclinicity within the ABL governs the structure of the wind field while the baroclinicity above the ABL is important in reproducing the wind speed. It is shown that the baroclinicity in the ABL is strongest close to the ice edge and slowly decays further downwind. Analytical solutions demonstrate that the e-folding distance of this decay is the same as for the decay of the difference between the surface temperature of open water and of the mixed-layer temperature. This distance characterizing cold-air mass transformation ranges from 450 to 850 km for high-latitude CAOs.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2017-06-23
    Description: Amphipoda from the superfamily Lysianassoidea Dana, 1849 play an important role in Southern Ocean benthic food webs due to their high biomass, abundance and predominantly scavenging mode of feeding. Our knowledge on the lysianassoid fauna, even in well-studied areas of the Western Antarctic Peninsula, is incomplete. Here we report the findings of an integrated study of lysianassoid amphipods of Potter Cove, King George Island/Isla 25 de Mayo (KGI), combining morphological and molecular species identification (COI barcoding) methods, investigating more than 41,000 specimens from baited traps. For comparison, 2,039 specimens from the adjacent Marian Cove were analysed. Ten lysianassoid species were recorded in the deeper outer Potter Cove, whereas the inner cove (〈50 m) was dominated by a single species, Cheirimedon femoratus Pfeffer, 1888 (99.44% relative abundance). It is hypothesised that the impoverished lysianassoid fauna inside the meltwater-influenced inner cove represents a model for future conditions along the Western Antarctic Peninsula under conditions of increased glacial melting. Abyssorchomene charcoti (Chevreux, 1912) and Orchomenella pinguides Walker, 1903 were recorded in KGI waters for the first time. Furthermore, one new lysianassoid amphipod species of the genus Orchomenella Sars, 1890 is described: Orchomenella infinita sp. n. Seefeldt, 2017. First-time DNA barcode data was established for Cheirimedon femoratus, Hippomedon kergueleni Miers, 1875, Orchomenella rotundifrons K.H. Barnard, 1932 and Orchomenella infinita sp. n.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 11
    Publication Date: 2017-08-10
    Description: The Arctic represents an extreme habitat for phototrophic algae due to long periods of darkness caused by the polar night (~4 months darkness). Benthic diatoms, which dominate microphytobenthic communities in shallow water regions, can survive this dark period, but the underlying physiological and biochemical mechanisms are not well understood. One of the potential mechanisms for long-term dark survival is the utilisation of stored energy products in combination with a reduced basic metabolism. In recent years, water temperatures in the Arctic increased due to an ongoing global warming. Higher temperatures could enhance the cellular energy requirements for the maintenance metabolism during darkness and, therefore, accelerate the consumption of lipid reserves. In this study, we investigated the macromolecular ratios and the lipid content and composition of Navicula cf. perminuta Grunow, an Arctic benthic diatom isolated from the microphytobenthos of Adventfjorden (Svalbard, Norway), over a dark period of 8 weeks at two different temperatures (0 and 7 °C). The results demonstrate that N. perminuta uses the stored lipid compound triacylglycerol (TAG) during prolonged dark periods, but also the pool of free fatty acids (FFA). Under the enhanced temperature of 7 °C, the lipid resources were used significantly faster than at 0 °C, which could consequently lead to a depletion of this energy reserves before the end of the polar night. On the other hand, the membrane building phospho- and glycolipids remained unchanged during the 8 weeks darkness, indicating still intact thylakoid membranes. These results explain the shorter survival times of polar diatoms with increasing water temperatures during prolonged dark periods.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 12
    Publication Date: 2019-08-15
    Description: Chronic, low intensity herbivory by invertebrates, termed background herbivory, has been understudied in tundra, yet its impacts are likely to increase in a warmer Arctic. The magnitude of these changes is however hard to predict as we know little about the drivers of current levels of invertebrate herbivory in tundra. We assessed the intensity of invertebrate herbivory on a common tundra plant, the dwarf birch (Betula glandulosa-nana complex), and investigated its relationship to latitude and climate across the tundra biome. Leaf damage by defoliating, mining and gall-forming invertebrates was measured in samples collected from 192 sites at 56 locations. Our results indicate that invertebrate herbivory is nearly ubiquitous across the tundra biome but occurs at low intensity. On average, invertebrates damaged 11.2% of the leaves and removed 1.4% of total leaf area. The damage was mainly caused by external leaf feeders, and most damaged leaves were only slightly affected (12% leaf area lost). Foliar damage was consistently positively correlated with mid-summer (July) temperature and, to a lesser extent, precipitation in the year of data collection, irrespective of latitude. Our models predict that, on average, foliar losses to invertebrates on dwarf birch are likely to increase by 6–7% over the current levels with a 1 °C increase in summer temperatures. Our results show that invertebrate herbivory on dwarf birch is small in magnitude but given its prevalence and dependence on climatic variables, background invertebrate herbivory should be included in predictions of climate change impacts on tundra ecosystems.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 13
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    In:  EPIC3Faszination Meeresforschung, Ein ökologisches Lesebuch, Faszination Meeresforschung, Ein ökologisches Lesebuch, Germany, Springer, 8 p., pp. 365-372, ISBN: 978-3-662-49713-5
    Publication Date: 2017-06-06
    Description: Der menschengemachte CO 2-Anstieg und die dadurch verursachte Ozeanversauerung wirken auf alle Meeresorganismen. Bei Tieren kann die Sensitivität gegenüber erhöhten CO 2-Werten sehr unterschiedlich ausfallen und begründet sich vermutlich in der Fähigkeit zur extrazellulären pH-Regulation. Die beobachteten Reaktionen gegenüber Ozeanversauerung reichen von Verhaltensänderungen bei Fischen und verlängerter Entwicklungsdauer bei Krebsen bis hin zur Wachstumsabnahme bei Muscheln und reduzierter Kalkbildung bei Korallen.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 14
    Publication Date: 2022-05-25
    Description: © The Author(s), 2017. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems 108 (2017): 195–209, doi:10.1007/s10705-017-9852-z.
    Description: Meeting food security requirements in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) will require increasing fertilizer use to improve crop yields, however excess fertilization can cause environmental and public health problems in surface and groundwater. Determining the threshold of reasonable fertilizer application in SSA requires an understanding of flow dynamics and nutrient transport in under-studied, tropical soils experiencing seasonal rainfall. We estimated leaching flux in Yala, Kenya on a maize field that received from 0 to 200 kg ha−1 of nitrogen (N) fertilizer. Soil pore water concentration measurements during two growing seasons were coupled with results from a numerical fluid flow model to calculate the daily flux of nitrate-nitrogen (NO3−-N). Modeled NO3−-N losses to below 200 cm for 1 year ranged from 40 kg N ha−1 year−1 in the 75 kg N ha−1 year−1 treatment to 81 kg N ha−1 year−1 in the 200 kg N ha−1 treatment. The highest soil pore water NO3−-N concentrations and NO3−-N leaching fluxes occurred on the highest N application plots, however there was a poor correlation between N application rate and NO3−-N leaching for the remaining N application rates. The drought in the second study year resulted in higher pore water NO3−-N concentrations, while NO3−-N leaching was disproportionately smaller than the decrease in precipitation. The lack of a strong correlation between NO3−-N leaching and N application rate, and a large decrease in flux between 120 and 200 cm suggest processes that influence NO3−-N retention in soils below 200 cm will ultimately control NO3−-N leaching at the watershed scale.
    Description: Earth Institute, Columbia University; National Science Foundation IIA-0968211; Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
    Keywords: Leaching ; Nitrogen fertilizer ; Nitrate ; Numerical modeling ; Sub-Saharan Africa
    Repository Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server
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  • 15
    Publication Date: 2022-05-25
    Description: © The Author(s), 2016. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Ecosystems 20 (2017): 316–330, doi:10.1007/s10021-016-0026-7.
    Description: Sub-arctic birch forests (Betula pubescens Ehrh. ssp. czerepanovii) periodically suffer large-scale defoliation events caused by the caterpillars of the geometrid moths Epirrita autumnata and Operophtera brumata. Despite their obvious influence on ecosystem primary productivity, little is known about how the associated reduction in belowground C allocation affects soil processes. We quantified the soil response following a natural defoliation event in sub-arctic Sweden by measuring soil respiration, nitrogen availability and ectomycorrhizal fungi (EMF) hyphal production and root tip community composition. There was a reduction in soil respiration and an accumulation of soil inorganic N in defoliated plots, symptomatic of a slowdown of soil processes. This coincided with a reduction of EMF hyphal production and a shift in the EMF community to lower autotrophic C-demanding lineages (for example, /russula-lactarius). We show that microbial and nutrient cycling processes shift to a slower, less C-demanding state in response to canopy defoliation. We speculate that, amongst other factors, a reduction in the potential of EMF biomass to immobilise excess mineral nitrogen resulted in its build-up in the soil. These defoliation events are becoming more geographically widespread with climate warming, and could result in a fundamental shift in sub-arctic ecosystem processes and properties. EMF fungi may be important in mediating the response of soil cycles to defoliation and their role merits further investigation.
    Description: This work was supported by NERC (UK Natural Environment Research Council) research Studentship training grant NE/J500434/1.
    Keywords: Defoliation ; Nitrogen ; Carbon ; Birch forest ; Sub-arctic ; Ectomycorrhizal fungi ; Community change
    Repository Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server
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  • 16
    Publication Date: 2022-05-25
    Description: © The Author(s), 2016. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Plant and Soil 414 (2017): 33-51, doi:10.1007/s11104-016-3089-5.
    Description: Hydro-biogeochemical processes in the rhizosphere regulate nutrient and water availability, and thus ecosystem productivity. We hypothesized that two such processes often neglected in rhizosphere models — diel plant water use and competitive cation exchange — could interact to enhance availability of K+ and NH4+, both high-demand nutrients. A rhizosphere model with competitive cation exchange was used to investigate how diel plant water use (i.e., daytime transpiration coupled with no nighttime water use, with nighttime root water release, and with nighttime transpiration) affects competitive ion interactions and availability of K+ and NH4+. Competitive cation exchange enabled low-demand cations that accumulate against roots (Ca2+, Mg2+, Na+) to desorb NH4+ and K+ from soil, generating non-monotonic dissolved concentration profiles (i.e. ‘hotspots’ 0.1–1 cm from the root). Cation accumulation and competitive desorption increased with net root water uptake. Daytime transpiration rate controlled diel variation in NH4+ and K+ aqueous mass, nighttime water use controlled spatial locations of ‘hotspots’, and day-to-night differences in water use controlled diel differences in ‘hotspot’ concentrations. Diel plant water use and competitive cation exchange enhanced NH4+ and K+ availability and influenced rhizosphere concentration dynamics. Demonstrated responses have implications for understanding rhizosphere nutrient cycling and plant nutrient uptake.
    Description: This material is based upon work supported by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, Office of Biological & Environmental Research Terrestrial Ecosystem Science program under Award Number DE-SC0008182 to Z.G.C. and R.B.N.
    Keywords: Hydraulic redistribution ; Nighttime transpiration ; Plant nutrient uptake ; Reactive-transport ; Rhizosphere ; Root water uptake
    Repository Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server
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  • 17
    Publication Date: 2022-05-25
    Description: © The Author(s), 2017. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Animal Cognition 20 (2017): 1067–1079, doi:10.1007/s10071-017-1123-5.
    Description: Most mammals can accomplish acoustic recognition of other individuals by means of “voice cues,” whereby characteristics of the vocal tract render vocalizations of an individual uniquely identifiable. However, sound production in dolphins takes place in gas-filled nasal sacs that are affected by pressure changes, potentially resulting in a lack of reliable voice cues. It is well known that bottlenose dolphins learn to produce individually distinctive signature whistles for individual recognition, but it is not known whether they may also use voice cues. To investigate this question, we played back non-signature whistles to wild dolphins during brief capture-release events in Sarasota Bay, Florida. We hypothesized that non-signature whistles, which have varied contours that can be shared among individuals, would be recognizable to dolphins only if they contained voice cues. Following established methodology used in two previous sets of playback experiments, we found that dolphins did not respond differentially to non-signature whistles of close relatives versus known unrelated individuals. In contrast, our previous studies showed that in an identical context, dolphins reacted strongly to hearing the signature whistle or even a synthetic version of the signature whistle of a close relative. Thus, we conclude that dolphins likely do not use voice cues to identify individuals. The low reliability of voice cues and the need for individual recognition were likely strong selective forces in the evolution of vocal learning in dolphins.
    Description: Fieldwork for this study was funded by Harbor Branch Oceanographic Institution, Grossman Family Foundation, Dolphin Quest, Inc., NOAA Fisheries, Disney, the Office of Naval Research, Morris Animal Foundations Betty White Wildlife Rapid Response Fund, the Batchelor Foundation, and the Joint Industry Program.
    Keywords: Dolphin ; Playback experiment ; Non-signature whistle ; Voice cues ; Individual recognition
    Repository Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server
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  • 18
    Publication Date: 2022-05-25
    Description: © The Author(s), 2017. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Ecotoxicology 26 (2017): 820-830, doi:10.1007/s10646-017-1813-4.
    Description: Mathematical models are essential for combining data from multiple sources to quantify population endpoints. This is especially true for species, such as marine mammals, for which data on vital rates are difficult to obtain. Since the effects of an environmental disaster are not fixed, we develop time-varying (nonautonomous) matrix population models that account for the eventual recovery of the environment to the pre-disaster state. We use these models to investigate how lethal and sublethal impacts (in the form of reductions in the survival and fecundity, respectively) affect the population’s recovery process. We explore two scenarios of the environmental recovery process and include the effect of demographic stochasticity. Our results provide insights into the relationship between the magnitude of the disaster, the duration of the disaster, and the probability that the population recovers to pre-disaster levels or a biologically relevant threshold level. To illustrate this modeling methodology, we provide an application to a sperm whale population. This application was motivated by the 2010 Deepwater Horizon oil rig explosion in the Gulf of Mexico that has impacted a wide variety of species populations including oysters, fish, corals, and whales.
    Description: This research is part of the Littoral Acoustic Demonstration Center-Gulf Ecological Monitoring and Modeling (LADC-GEMM) consortium project supported by Gulf of Mexico Research Initiative Year 5–7 Consortia Grants (RFP-IV). Hal Caswell also acknowledges support from ERC Advanced Grant 322989.
    Keywords: Population recovery ; Environmental disasters ; Stochastic modeling ; Lethal impact ; Sublethal impact ; Sperm whales
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  • 19
    Publication Date: 2022-05-25
    Description: © The Author(s), 2016. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Estuaries and Coasts 40 (2017): 22-36, doi:10.1007/s12237-016-0138-5.
    Description: Geomorphology is a fundamental control on ecological and economic function of estuaries. However, relative to open coasts, there has been little quantification of storm-induced bathymetric change in back-barrier estuaries. Vessel-based and airborne bathymetric mapping can cover large areas quickly, but change detection is difficult because measurement errors can be larger than the actual changes over the storm timescale. We quantified storm-induced bathymetric changes at several locations in Chincoteague Bay, Maryland/Virginia, over the August 2014 to July 2015 period using fixed, downward-looking altimeters and numerical modeling. At sand-dominated shoal sites, measurements showed storm-induced changes on the order of 5 cm, with variability related to stress magnitude and wind direction. Numerical modeling indicates that the predominantly northeasterly wind direction in the fall and winter promotes southwest-directed sediment transport, causing erosion of the northern face of sandy shoals; southwesterly winds in the spring and summer lead to the opposite trend. Our results suggest that storm-induced estuarine bathymetric change magnitudes are often smaller than those detectable with methods such as LiDAR. More precise fixed-sensor methods have the ability to elucidate the geomorphic processes responsible for modulating estuarine bathymetry on the event and seasonal timescale, but are limited spatially. Numerical modeling enables interpretation of broad-scale geomorphic processes and can be used to infer the long-term trajectory of estuarine bathymetric change due to episodic events, when informed by fixed-sensor methods.
    Keywords: Bathymetric change ; Sediment transport ; Numerical modeling ; Back-barrier estuary
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  • 20
    Publication Date: 2022-05-25
    Description: © The Author(s), 2017. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Carbon Balance and Management 12 (2017): 10, doi:10.1186/s13021-017-0077-x.
    Description: Determining national carbon stocks is essential in the framework of ongoing climate change mitigation actions. Presently, assessment of carbon stocks in the context of greenhouse gas (GHG)-reporting on a nation-by-nation basis focuses on the terrestrial realm, i.e., carbon held in living plant biomass and soils, and on potential changes in these stocks in response to anthropogenic activities. However, while the ocean and underlying sediments store substantial quantities of carbon, this pool is presently not considered in the context of national inventories. The ongoing disturbances to both terrestrial and marine ecosystems as a consequence of food production, pollution, climate change and other factors, as well as alteration of linkages and C-exchange between continental and oceanic realms, highlight the need for a better understanding of the quantity and vulnerability of carbon stocks in both systems. We present a preliminary comparison of the stocks of organic carbon held in continental margin sediments within the Exclusive Economic Zone of maritime nations with those in their soils. Our study focuses on Namibia, where there is a wealth of marine sediment data, and draws comparisons with sediment data from two other countries with different characteristics, which are Pakistan and the United Kingdom. Results indicate that marine sediment carbon stocks in maritime nations can be similar in magnitude to those of soils. Therefore, if human activities in these areas are managed, carbon stocks in the oceanic realm—particularly over continental margins—could be considered as part of national GHG inventories. This study shows that marine sediment organic carbon stocks can be equal in size or exceed terrestrial carbon stocks of maritime nations. This provides motivation both for improved assessment of sedimentary carbon inventories and for reevaluation of the way that carbon stocks are assessed and valued. The latter carries potential implications for the management of human activities on coastal environments and for their GHG inventories.
    Description: We acknowledge research support from ETH Zurich and the Swiss National Science Foundation.
    Keywords: Carbon stocks ; Sediments ; Oceans ; Climate change ; Exclusive Economic Zone ; Carbon inventory
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  • 21
    Publication Date: 2022-05-25
    Description: © The Author(s), 2017. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Earth, Planets and Space 69 (2017): 138, doi:10.1186/s40623-017-0724-1.
    Description: Despite strong anisotropy seen in analysis of seismic data from the NoMelt experiment in 70 Ma Pacific seafloor, a previous analysis of coincident magnetotelluric (MT) data showed no evidence for anisotropy in the electrical conductivity structure of either lithosphere or asthenosphere. We revisit the MT data and use 1D anisotropic models of the lithosphere to demonstrate the limits of acceptable anisotropy within the data. We construct 1D models by varying the thickness and the degree of anisotropy within the lithosphere and conduct a series of tests to investigate what types of electrical anisotropy are compatible with the data. We find that electrical anisotropy is possible in a sheared and/or hydrous mantle within the lower lithosphere (60–90 km depth). The data are not compatible with pervasive electrical anisotropy in the crust. Causes of anisotropy within the highly resistive upper and mid-lithosphere, as seen seismically, are not expected to cause measurable impacts on MT response.
    Description: RLE was supported by NSF Grant OCE-0928663.
    Keywords: Electrical anisotropy ; Oceanic lithosphere ; Shearing ; Water ; Central Pacific
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  • 22
    Publication Date: 2022-05-24
    Description: In this study, we attempt to improve the standards in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment (PSHA) towards a time-dependent hazard assessment by using the most advanced methods and new databases for the Calabria region, Italy. In this perspective we improve the knowledge of the seismotectonic framework of the Calabrian region using geologic, tectonic, paleoseismological, and macroseismic information available in the literature. We built up a PSHA model based on the long-term recurrence behavior of seismogenic faults, together with the spatial distribution of historical earthquakes. We derive the characteristic earthquake model for those sources capable of rupturing the entire fault segment (full-rupture) independently with a single event of maximum magnitude. We apply the floating rupture model to those earthquakes whose location is not known sufficiently constrained. We thus associate these events with longer fault systems, assuming that any such earthquake can rupture anywhere within the particular fault system (floating partial-rupture) with uniform probability. We use a Brownian Passage Time (BPT) model characterized by mean recurrence, aperiodicity, or uncertainty in the recurrence distribution and elapsed time since the last characteristic earthquake. The purpose of this BPT model is to express the time-dependence of the seismic processes to predict the future ground motions in the region. Besides, we consider the influence on the probability of earthquake occurrence controlled by the change in static Coulomb stress (ΔCFF) due to fault interaction; to pursue this, we adopt a model built on the fusion of BPT model (BPT + ΔCFF). We present our results for both time-dependent (renewal) and time-independent (Poisson) models in terms of Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) maps for 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years. The hazard may increase by more than 20% or decrease by as much as 50% depending on the different occurrence model. Seismic hazard in terms of PGA decreases about 20% in the Messina Strait, where a recent major earthquake took place, with respect to traditional time-independent estimates. PGA near the city of Cosenza reaches ~ 0.36 g for the time-independent model and 0.40 g for the case of the time-dependent one (i.e. a 15% increase). Both the time-dependent and time-independent models for the period of 2015–2065 demonstrate that the city of Cosenza and surrounding areas bear the highest seismic hazard in Calabria.
    Description: Published
    Description: 2497–2524
    Description: 5T. Modelli di pericolosità sismica e da maremoto
    Description: JCR Journal
    Keywords: Probabilistic seismic hazard maps ; Time-dependent hazard ; Fault-based model ; Fault interaction ; Seismogenic sources ; Calabria-Italy ; 04.07. Tectonophysics ; 04.06. Seismology ; 05.08. Risk
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
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  • 23
    Publication Date: 2022-05-26
    Description: This paper is not subject to U.S. copyright. The definitive version was published in Marine Biology 164 (2017): 181, doi:10.1007/s00227-017-3211-0.
    Description: Understanding population dynamics in broadly distributed marine species with cryptic life history stages is challenging. Information on the population dynamics of sea turtles tends to be biased toward females, due to their accessibility for study on nesting beaches. Males are encountered only at sea; there is little information about their migratory routes, residence areas, foraging zones, and population boundaries. In particular, male leatherbacks (Dermochelys coriacea) are quite elusive; little is known about adult and juvenile male distribution or behavior. The at-sea distribution of male turtles from different breeding populations is not known. Here, 122 captured or stranded male leatherback turtles from the USA, Turkey, France, and Canada (collected 1997–2012) were assigned to one of nine Atlantic basin populations using genetic analysis with microsatellite DNA markers. We found that all turtles originated from western Atlantic nesting beaches (Trinidad 55%, French Guiana 31%, and Costa Rica 14%). Although genetic data for other Atlantic nesting populations were represented in the assignment analysis (St. Croix, Brazil, Florida, and Africa (west and south), none of the male leatherbacks included in this study were shown to originate from these populations. This was an unexpected result based on estimated source population sizes. One stranded turtle from Turkey was assigned to French Guiana, while others that were stranded in France were from Trinidad or French Guiana breeding populations. For 12 male leatherbacks in our dataset, natal origins determined from the genetic assignment tests were compared to published satellite and flipper tag information to provide evidence of natal homing for male leatherbacks, which corroborated our genetic findings. Our focused study on male leatherback natal origins provides information not previously known for this cryptic, but essential component of the breeding population. This method should provide a guideline for future studies, with the ultimate goal of improving management and conservation strategies for threatened and endangered species by taking the male component of the breeding population into account.
    Description: Sample collection in Nova Scotia, Canada, was supported by funding from Canadian Wildlife Federation, Environment Canada, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, George Cedric Metcalf Foundation, Habitat Stewardship Program for Species at Risk, National Fish and Wildlife Foundation (USA), National Marine Fisheries Service (USA), Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, and World Wildlife Fund Canada. Funding for US samples was provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Massachusetts Division of Marine Fisheries, National Fish and Wildlife Foundation, and Cape Cod Commercial Fisherman’s Alliance. Funding support for this analysis and for Kelly R. Stewart was provided by a Lenfest Ocean Program Grant.
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  • 24
    Publication Date: 2022-05-26
    Description: © The Author(s), 2017. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Surveys in Geophysics 38 (2017): 1529–1568, doi:10.1007/s10712-017-9428-0.
    Description: Trade-wind cumuli constitute the cloud type with the highest frequency of occurrence on Earth, and it has been shown that their sensitivity to changing environmental conditions will critically influence the magnitude and pace of future global warming. Research over the last decade has pointed out the importance of the interplay between clouds, convection and circulation in controling this sensitivity. Numerical models represent this interplay in diverse ways, which translates into different responses of trade-cumuli to climate perturbations. Climate models predict that the area covered by shallow cumuli at cloud base is very sensitive to changes in environmental conditions, while process models suggest the opposite. To understand and resolve this contradiction, we propose to organize a field campaign aimed at quantifying the physical properties of trade-cumuli (e.g., cloud fraction and water content) as a function of the large-scale environment. Beyond a better understanding of clouds-circulation coupling processes, the campaign will provide a reference data set that may be used as a benchmark for advancing the modelling and the satellite remote sensing of clouds and circulation. It will also be an opportunity for complementary investigations such as evaluating model convective parameterizations or studying the role of ocean mesoscale eddies in air–sea interactions and convective organization.
    Description: The EUREC4A project is supported by the European Research Council (ERC), under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (Grant Agreement No. 694768), by the Max Planck Society and by DFG (Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, German Research Foundation) Priority Program SPP 1294.
    Keywords: Trade-wind cumulus ; Shallow convection ; Cloud feedback ; Atmospheric circulation ; Field campaign
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  • 25
    Publication Date: 2022-05-26
    Description: © The Author(s), 2016. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Evolutionary Biology 44 (2017): 5-10, doi:10.1007/s11692-016-9385-4.
    Description: The evolution of senescence is often explained by arguing that, in nature, few individuals survive to be old and hence it is evolutionarily unimportant what happens to organisms when they are old. A corollary to this idea is that extrinsically imposed mortality, because it reduces the chance of surviving to be old, favors the evolution of senescence. We show that these ideas, although widespread, are incorrect. Selection leading to senescence does not depend directly on survival to old age, but on the shape of the stable age distribution, and we discuss the implications of this important distinction. We show that the selection gradient on mortality declines with age even in the hypothetical case of zero mortality, when survivorship does not decline. Changing the survivorship function by imposing age independent mortality has no affect on the selection gradients. A similar result exists for optimization models: age independent mortality does not change the optimal result. We propose an alternative, brief explanation for the decline of selection gradients, and hence the evolution of senescence.
    Description: HC acknowledges financial support from ERC Advanced Grant 322989, NSF Grants DEB-1145017 and DEB-1257545, and the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation.
    Keywords: Extrinsic mortality ; Survivorship ; Age distribution ; Selection gradient ; Senescence
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  • 26
    Publication Date: 2022-05-26
    Description: © The Author(s), 2017. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Ambio 46, Supple. 1 (2017): 160-173, doi:10.1007/s13280-016-0870-x.
    Description: Long-term measurements of ecological effects of warming are often not statistically significant because of annual variability or signal noise. These are reduced in indicators that filter or reduce the noise around the signal and allow effects of climate warming to emerge. In this way, certain indicators act as medium pass filters integrating the signal over years-to-decades. In the Alaskan Arctic, the 25-year record of warming of air temperature revealed no significant trend, yet environmental and ecological changes prove that warming is affecting the ecosystem. The useful indicators are deep permafrost temperatures, vegetation and shrub biomass, satellite measures of canopy reflectance (NDVI), and chemical measures of soil weathering. In contrast, the 18-year record in the Greenland Arctic revealed an extremely high summer air-warming of 1.3°C/decade; the cover of some plant species increased while the cover of others decreased. Useful indicators of change are NDVI and the active layer thickness.
    Description: The Toolik research was supported in part by NSF Grants DEB 0207150, DEB 1026843, ARC 1107701, and ARC 1504006.
    Keywords: Alaska Toolik ; Climate change ; Ecological effects ; Greenland Zackenberg ; Medium pass filter ; Vegetation
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  • 27
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    In:  EPIC3Springer, 339 p., ISBN: 0044-7447
    Publication Date: 2023-06-21
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    In:  EPIC3Faszination Meeresforschung: Ein ökologisches Lesebuch, Faszination Meeresforschung: Ein ökologisches Lesebuch, Springer, pp. 211-222
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    In:  EPIC3Faszination Meeresforschung, Springer, pp. 135-141, ISBN: 978-3-662-49714-2
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    In:  EPIC3Building Bridges at the Science-Stakeholder Interface: Towards Knowledge Exchange in Earth System Science, SpringerBriefs in Earth System Sciences, Cham, Springer, 7 p., pp. 85-91, ISBN: 978-3-319-75919-7
    Publication Date: 2023-06-21
    Description: Anthropogenic litter contamination of the oceans is a global problem of growing concern and currently receives strongly increasing attention by policy makers, public authorities, media and the general public. Unlike many other pollutants, marine litter on beaches and its deleterious effects on marine mammals, birds and turtles have attracted much attention as they can be directly observed by stakeholders.
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    In:  EPIC3Faszination Meeresforschung – ein ökologisches Lesebuch, Faszination Meeresforschung – ein ökologisches Lesebuch, Springer, 4 p., pp. 380-384, ISBN: 978-3-662-49713-5
    Publication Date: 2023-06-21
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  • 32
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 1-17 
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    Notes: Abstract An equivalent electrical circuit is given for a branch of an amphibian motor-nerve terminal in a volume conductor. The circuit allows for longitudinal current flow inside the axon as well as between the axon and its Schwann cell sheath, and also for the radial leakage of current through the Schwann cell sheath. Analytical and numerical solutions are found for the spatial and time dependence of the membrane potential resulting from the injection of depolarizing current pulses by external electrodes at one or two separate locations on the terminal. These solutions show that the depolarization at an injection site can cause a hyperpolarization at sites a short distance away. This effect becomes more pronounced in a short terminal with sealed-end boundary conditions. The hyperpolarization provides a possible explanation for recent experimental results, which show that the average quantal release due to a test depolarizing current pulse delivered by an electrode at one site on a nerve terminal is reduced by the application of an identical conditioning pulse at a neighbouring site.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 113-140 
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    Notes: Abstract Synthetic barriers such as gloves, condoms and masks are widely used in efforts to prevent disease transmission. Due to manufacturing defects, tears arising during use, or material porosity, there is inevitably a risk associated with use of these barriers. An understanding of virus transport through the relevant passageways would be valuable in quantifying the risk. However, experimental investigations involving such passageways are difficult to perform, owing to the small dimensions involved. This paper presents a mathematical model for analyzing and predicting virus transport through barriers. The model incorporates a mathematical description of the mechanisms of virus transport, which include carrier-fluid flow, Brownian motion, and attraction or repulsion via virus-barrier interaction forces. The critical element of the model is the empirically determined rate constant characterizing the interaction force between the virus and the barrier. Once the model has been calibrated through specification of the rate constant, it can predict virus concentration under a wide variety of conditions. The experiments used to calibrate the model are described, and the rate constants are given for four bacterial viruses interacting with a latex membrane in saline. Rate constants were also determined for different carrier-fluid salinities, and the salt concentration was found to have a pronounced effect. Validation experiments employing laser-drilled pores in condoms were also performed to test the calibrated model. Model predictions of amount of transmitted virus through the drilled holes agreed well with measured values. Calculations using determined rate constants show that the model can help identify situations where barrier-integrity tests could significantly underestimate the risk associated with barrier use.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 221-238 
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    Notes: Abstract Evaluation of the fluid flow pattern in a non-pregnant uterus is important for understanding embryo transport in the uterus. Fertilization occurs in the fallopian tube and the embryo (fertilized ovum) enters the uterine cavity within 3 days of ovulation. In the uterus, the embryo is conveyed by the uterine fluid for another 3 to 4 days to a successful implantation site at the upper part of the uterus. Fluid movements within the uterus may be induced by several mechanisms, but they seem to be dominated by myometrial contractions. Intra-uterine fluid transport in a sagittal cross-section of the uterus was simulated by a model of wall-induced fluid motion within a two-dimensional channel. The time-dependent fluid pattern was studied by employing the lubrication theory. A comprehensive analysis of peristaltic transport resulting from symmetric and asymmetric contractions is presented for various displacement waves on the channel walls. The results provide information on the flow field and possible trajectories by which an embryo may be transported before implantation at the uterine wall.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 379-398 
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    Notes: Abstract A mechanistically based mathematical model is used to investigate some of the important factors in priming hepatocytes to enter the G1 phase of the cell cycle. The model considers all of the relevant biochemical mechanisms from signal-receptor binding to the elevation of AP-1(activation protein transcription factor) levels. Focus is centered on the chain of biochemical events governing the sequential activation of protein kinase C (PKC), mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) and AP-1. Factors such as amplitude and duration of growth factors signals, the kinetics of guanosine diphosphate (GDP) to guanosine triphosphate (GTP) conversion, and the negative feedback control mechanisms governing initial steps in cellular replication were theoretically examined. The results of our theoretical assessments support the finding that specific mutations along the PKC-AP1 pathways can have a critical effect on the rate at which cells enter the division cycle.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 273-301 
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    Notes: Abstract Normal cardiac muscle contraction occurs in response to a rapid rise followed by a slower decay in intracellular calcium concentration. When cardiac muscle cells are loaded with calcium, an intracellular store releases calcium into the cytosol by the process of calcium-induced calcium release (CICR). This release contributes to the rise in intracellular calcium which in turn triggers contraction. We use two qualitative piecewise linear reaction-diffusion models of this behaviour to investigate the speed, stability and waveform of plane waves using singular perturbation techniques.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 365-377 
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    Notes: Abstract Properties of two of the stochastic circulatory models theoretically introduced by Smith et al., 1997, Bull. Math. Biol. 59, 1–22 were investigated. The models assumed the gamma distribution of the cycle time under either the geometric or Poisson elimination scheme. The reason for selecting these models was the fact that the probability density functions of the residence time of these models are formally similar to those of the Bateman and gamma-like function models, i.e., the two common deterministic models. Using published data, the analytical forms of the probability density functions of the residence time and the distributions of the simulated values of the residence time were determined on the basis of the deterministic models and the stochastic circulatory models, respectively. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test revealed that even for 1000 xenobiotic particles, i.e., a relatively small number if the particles imply drug molecules, the probability density functions of the residence time based on the deterministic models closely matched the distributions of the simulated values of the residence time obtained on the basis of the stochastic circulatory models, provided that parameters of the latter models fulfilled selected conditions.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 19-32 
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    Notes: Abstract Ratio-dependent predator-prey models set up a challenging issue regarding their dynamics near the origin. This is due to the fact that such models are undefined at (0, 0). We study the analytical behavior at (0, 0) for a common ratio-dependent model and demonstrate that this equilibrium can be either a saddle point or an attractor for certain trajectories. This fact has important implications concerning the global behavior of the model, for example regarding the existence of stable limit cycles. Then, we prove formally, for a general class of ratio-dependent models, that (0, 0) has its own basin of attraction in phase space, even when there exists a non-trivial stable or unstable equilibrium. Therefore, these models have no pathological dynamics on the axes and at the origin, contrary to what has been stated by some authors. Finally, we relate these findings to some published empirical results.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 157-177 
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    Notes: Abstract We explore the behavior of richly connected inhibitory neural networks under parameter changes that correspond to weakening of synaptic efficacies between network units, and show that transitions from irregular to periodic dynamics are common in such systems. The weakening of these connections leads to a reduction in the number of units that effectively drive the dynamics and thus to simpler behavior. We hypothesize that the multiple interconnecting loops of the brain’s motor circuitry, which involve many inhibitory connections, exhibit such transitions. Normal physiological tremor is irregular while other forms of tremor show more regular oscillations. Tremor in Parkinson’s disease, for example, stems from weakened synaptic efficacies of dopaminergic neurons in the nigro-striatal pathway, as in our general model. The multiplicity of structures involved in the production of symptoms in Parkinson’s disease and the reversibility of symptoms by pharmacological and surgical manipulation of connection parameters suggest that such a neural network model is appropriate. Furthermore, fixed points that can occur in the network models are suggestive of akinesia in Parkinson’s disease. This model is consistent with the view that normal physiological systems can be regulated by robust and richly connected feedback networks with complex dynamics, and that loss of complexity in the feedback structure due to disease leads to more orderly behavior.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 987-1008 
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    Notes: Abstract Determining molecular structure from interatomic distances is an important and challenging problem. Given a molecule with n atoms, lower and upper bounds on interatomic distances can usually be obtained only for a small subset of the $$\frac{{n(n - 1)}}{2}$$ atom pairs, using NMR. Given the bounds so obtained on the distances between some of the atom pairs, it is often useful to compute tighter bounds on all the $$\frac{{n(n - 1)}}{2}$$ pairwise distances. This process is referred to as bound smoothing. The initial lower and upper bounds for the pairwise distances not measured are usually assumed to be 0 and ∞. One method for bound smoothing is to use the limits imposed by the triangle inequality. The distance bounds so obtained can often be tightened further by applying the tetrangle inequality—the limits imposed on the six pairwise distances among a set of four atoms (instead of three for the triangle inequalities). The tetrangle inequality is expressed by the Cayley—Menger determinants. For every quadruple of atoms, each pass of the tetrangle inequality bound smoothing procedure finds upper and lower limits on each of the six distances in the quadruple. Applying the tetrangle inequalities to each of the ( 4 n ) quadruples requires O(n 4) time. Here, we propose a parallel algorithm for bound smoothing employing the tetrangle inequality. Each pass of our algorithm requires O(n 3 log n) time on a CREW PRAM (Concurrent Read Exclusive Write Parallel Random Access Machine) with $$O\left( {\frac{n}{{\log n}}} \right)$$ processors. An implementation of this parallel algorithm on the Intel Paragon XP/S and its performance are also discussed.
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    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Notes: Abstract We observed that amphiphile-induced microexovesicles may be spherical or cylindrical, depending on the species of the added amphiphile. The spherical microexovesicle corresponds to an extreme local difference between the two monolayer areas of the membrane segment with a fixed area, while the cylindrical microexovesicle corresponds to an extreme local area difference if the area of the budding segment is increased due to lateral influx of anisotropic membrane constituents. Protein analysis showed that both types of vesicles are highly depleted in the membrane skeleton. It is suggested that a partial detachment of the skeleton in the budding region is favoured due to accumulated skeleton shear deformations in this region.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 1209-1210 
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 1187-1207 
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    Notes: Abstract The possibility of chaos control in biological systems has been stimulated by recent advances in the study of heart and brain tissue dynamics. More recently, some authors have conjectured that such a method might be applied to population dynamics and even play a nontrivial evolutionary role in ecology. In this paper we explore this idea by means of both mathematical and individual-based simulation models. Because of the intrinsic noise linked to individual behavior, controlling a noisy system becomes more difficult but, as shown here, it is a feasible task allowed to be experimentally tested.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 573-595 
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    Notes: Abstract In an attempt to improve the understanding of complex metabolic dynamic phenomena, we have analysed several ‘metabolic networks’, dynamical systems which, under a single formulation, take into account the activity of several catalytic dissipative structures, interconnected by substrate fluxes and regulatory signals. These metabolic networks exhibit a rich variety of self-organized dynamic patterns, with e.g., phase transitions emerging in the whole activity of each network. We apply Hurst’s R/S analysis to several time series generated by these metabolic networks, and measure Hurst exponents H 〈 0.5 in most cases. This value of H, indicative of antipersistent processes, is detected at very high significance levels, estimated with detailed Monte Carlo simulations. These results show clearly the considered type of metabolic networks exhibit long-term memory phenomena.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 597-600 
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 437-467 
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    Notes: Abstract The secondary structures of nucleic acids form a particularly important class of contact structures. Many important RNA molecules, however, contain pseudo-knots, a structural feature that is excluded explicitly from the conventional definition of secondary structures. We propose here a generalization of secondary structures incorporating ‘non-nested’ pseudo-knots, which we call bi-secondary structures, and discuss measures for the complexity of more general contact structures based on their graph-theoretical properties. Bi-secondary structures are planar trivalent graphs that are characterized by special embedding properties. We derive exact upper bounds on their number (as a function of the chain length n) implying that there are fewer different structures than sequences. Computational results show that the number of bi-secondary structures grows approximately like 2.35n. Numerical studies based on kinetic folding and a simple extension of the standard energy model show that the global features of the sequence-structure map of RNA do not change when pseudo-knots are introduced into the secondary structure picture. We find a large fraction of neutral mutations and, in particular, networks of sequences that fold into the same shape. These neutral networks percolate through the entire sequence space.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 683-700 
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    Notes: Abstract A braced framework of tubular struts, in the walls and air spaces of frog lungs, suspends the respiratory surface and holds the lung open at zero transmural pressure withstanding imploding forces created by abdominal viscera, much as would the supports of a bell tent. The struts are tubes, having a larger second moment of area than do solid struts of the same cross-sectional area, and so are stronger, and contain pulmonary vessels within a flexible wall. The orthogonal arrangement of the struts in the framework, explained in part by Maxwell’s Lemma and Michell’s Theorem, strengthens the framework and minimizes its weight; orthogonality is maintained as the lungs change size. A model is presented, in which a frog might control pre-and post-pulmonary vascular resistances and, hence, blood volume in the struts, without compromising pulmonary perfusion. Such adjustments could vary the area of lung and the extent of perfused capillaries exposed to pulmonary gas, helping match the lung’s surface area, weight and metabolic load to activity.
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    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Notes: Abstract A molecular-level theory is constructed for the control of fast neurotransmitter release, based on recent experimental findings that depolarization shifts presynaptic autoreceptors to a low affinity state and that an autoreceptor must be bound to a transmitter before it can become associated with the exocytotic apparatus. It is assumed that such an association blocks release; experimental support for this assumption is cited. The theory provides mechanisms for key experimental results concerning the essence of the matter, what controls the time course of evoked release? The same general model can account for both evoked and spontaneous release. The new theory can be regarded as a molecular implementation of the (phenomenological) calcium-voltage hypothesis that was suggested earlier.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 799-805 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 625-649 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Notes: Abstract We have developed cellular automaton models for two species competing in a patchy environment. We have modeled three common types of competition: facilitation (in which the winning species can colonize only after the losing species has arrived) inhibition (in which either species is able to prevent the other from colonizing) and tolerance (in which the species most tolerant of reduced resource levels wins). The state of a patch is defined by the presence or absence of each species. State transition probabilities are determined by rates of disturbance, competitive exclusion, and colonization. Colonization is restricted to neighboring patches. In all three models, disturbance permits regional persistence of species that are excluded by competition locally. Persistence, and hence diversity, is maximized at intermediate disturbance frequencies. If disturbance and dispersal rates are sufficiently high, the inferior competitor need not have a dispersal advantage to persist. Using a new method for measuring the spatial patterns of nominal data, we show that none of these competition models generates patchiness at equilibrium. In the inhibition model, however, transient patchiness decays very slowly. We compare the cellular automaton models to the corresponding mean-field patch-occupancy models, in which colonization is not restricted to neighboring patches and depends on spatially averaged species frequencies. The patch-occupancy model does an excellent job of predicting the equilibrium frequencies of the species and the conditions required for coexistence, but not of predicting transient behavior.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 1093-1120 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract We investigate the sequence of patterns generated by a reaction—diffusion system on a growing domain. We derive a general evolution equation to incorporate domain growth in reaction—diffusion models and consider the case of slow and isotropic domain growth in one spatial dimension. We use a self-similarity argument to predict a frequency-doubling sequence of patterns for exponential domain growth and we find numerically that frequency-doubling is realized for a finite range of exponential growth rate. We consider pattern formation under different forms for the growth and show that in one dimension domain growth may be a mechanism for increased robustness of pattern formation.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 1151-1186 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Notes: Abstract The persistence of linear dominance hierarchies is often attributed to higher probabilities of a win after a win or a loss after a loss in agonistic interactions, yet there has been no theory on the evolution of such prior-experience effects. Here an analytic model, based on the idea that contests are determined by subjective perceptions of resource-holding potential (RHP) which animals may revise in the light of experience, demonstrates that winner and loser effects can evolve through round-robin competition among triads of animals drawn randomly from their population, and that the probability of a hierarchy increases with the strength of the combined effect. The effects are pure, in the sense that a contestant observes neither its own RHP nor its opponent’s RHP or RHP perception or win—loss record; and so the strength of an effect is unmodified by the RHPs of particular individuals, but depends on the distribution of RHP among the population at large. The greater the difference between an individual’s and its opponent’s RHP perception, the more likely it is to win a contest; however, if it overestimates its RHP, then the cost of fighting increases with the overestimate. A winner or loser effect exists only if the fitness gain of the beta individual in a hierarchy, relative to that of the alpha, is less than 0.5. Then a loser effect can exist alone, or it can coexist with a winner effect; however, there cannot exist a winner effect without a loser effect.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 61 (1999), S. 1121-1149 
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    Notes: Abstract Mathematical models predict that a population which oscillates in the absence of time-dependent factors can develop multiple attracting final states in the advent of periodic forcing. A periodically-forced, stage-structured mathematical model predicted the transient and asymptotic behaviors of Tribolium (flour beetle) populations cultured in periodic habitats of fluctuating flour volume. Predictions included multiple (2-cycle) attractors, resonance and attenuation phenomena, and saddle influences. Stochasticity, combined with the deterministic effects of an unstable ’saddle cycle’ separating the two stable cycles, is used to explain the observed transients and final states of the experimental cultures. In experimental regimes containing multiple attractors, the presence of unstable invariant sets, as well as stochasticity and the nature, location, and size of basins of attraction, are all central to the interpretation of data.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 1-19 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: Primary: 42A20 ; Secondary 42C20 ; divergence of Fourier series ; rearrangement of Fourier series
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract There exists a continuous function whose Fourier sum, when taken in decreasing order of magnitude of the coefficients, diverges unboundedly almost everywhere.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 73-85 
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    Keywords: 42C10 ; 46B15 ; 46E30 ; Wavelet ; unimodular wavelet ; unconditional basis
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract We present weak sufficient conditions for decay of a wavelet so that the wavelet basis is an unconditional basis in Lp(ℝ), 1 〈p 〈 ∞. We also prove that some unimodular wavelets yield unconditional bases in Lp(ℝ).
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 87-104 
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    Keywords: 42C15 ; 46E35 ; 42B30 ; refinable distribution ; Triebel-Lizorkin space ; Besov space ; multiresolution ; wavelet ; joint spectral radius
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    Notes: Abstract The aim of this article is to characterize compactly supported refinable distributions in Triebel-Lizorkin spaces and Besov spaces by projection operators on certain wavelet space and by some operators on a finitely dimensional space.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 21-44 
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    Keywords: 42B99 ; 47B35 ; 15A54 ; 60G35 ; Positive extensions ; Toeplitz operators ; matrix functions on bitorus ; Wiener algebra ; band method ; entropy ; almost periodic functions ; ARMA processes
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Let S be a band in Z2 bordered by two parallel lines that are of equal distance to the origin. Given a positive definite ℓ1 sequence of matrices {cj}j∈S we prove that there is a positive definite matrix function f in the Wiener algebra on the bitorus such that the Fourier coefficients $$\widehat{f(k)}$$ equal ck for k ∈ S. A parameterization is obtained for the set of all positive extensions f of {cj}j∈S. We also prove that among all matrix functions with these properties, there exists a distinguished one that maximizes the entropy. A formula is given for this distinguished matrix function. The results are interpreted in the context of spectral estimation of ARMA processes.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 67-71 
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    Keywords: 42C15 ; Frame ; Frame sequence ; Fourier frame
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    Notes: Abstract Given a real sequence {λn}n∈ℤ. Suppose that $$\left\{ {e^{i\lambda _n x} } \right\}_{n \in \mathbb{Z}}$$ is a frame for L2[−π, π] with bounds A, B. The problem is to find a positive constant L such that for any real sequence {μn}n∈ℤ with ¦μn −λn¦ ≤δ 〈L, $$\left\{ {e^{i\mu _n x} } \right\}_{n \in \mathbb{Z}}$$ is also a frame for L2[−π, π]. Balan [1] obtained $$L_R = \tfrac{1}{4} - \tfrac{1}{\pi }$$ arcsin $$\left( {\tfrac{1}{{\sqrt 2 }}\left( {1 - \sqrt {\tfrac{A}{B}} } \right)} \right)$$ . This value is a good stability bound of Fourier frames because it covers Kadec's 1/4-theorem $$\left( {L_R = \tfrac{1}{4}ifA = B} \right)$$ and is better than $$L_{DS} = \tfrac{1}{\pi }\ln \left( {1 + \sqrt {\tfrac{A}{B}} } \right)$$ (see Duffin and Schaefer [3]). In this paper, a sharper estimate is given.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 105-125 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 26B05 ; 42B10 ; 42C99 ; frame ; Gabor system ; Riesz basis ; stability ; wavelet
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract If the sequence of functions ϕj, k is a wavelet frame (Riesz basis) or Gabor frame (Riesz basis), we obtain its perturbation system ψj,k which is still a frame (Riesz basis) under very mild conditions. For example, we do not need to know that the support of ϕ or ψ $$(\hat \phi or\hat \psi )$$ is compact as in [14]. We also discuss the stability of irregular sampling problems. In order to arrive at some of our results, we set up a general multivariate version of Littlewood-Paley type inequality which was originally considered by Lemarié and Meyer [17], then by Chui and Shi [9], and Long [16].
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 185-192 
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    Keywords: 42C15 ; 30A10 ; 94A12 ; lower bound ; exponential frame ; sine-type-function ; irregular sampling
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Lower frame bounds for sequences of exponentials are obtained in a special version of Avdonin's theorem on “1/4 in the mean” [1] and in a theorem of Duffin and Schaeffer [4].
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 303-308 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 42B20 ; 42B30 ; Hardy spaces ; Calderon-Zygmund singular integral operator ; multipliers
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Calderón-Zygmund singular integral operators have been extensively studied for almost half a century. This paper provides a context for and proof of the following result: If a Calderón-Zygmund convolution singular integral operator is bounded on the Hardy space H1 (Rn), then the homogeneous of degree zero kernel is in the Hardy space H1(Sn−1) on the sphere.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 285-302 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 42C05 ; 22D25 ; 46L55 ; 47C05 ; spectral pair ; translations ; tilings ; Fourier basis ; operator extensions ; induced representations ; spectral resolution ; Hilbert space
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    Notes: Abstract Let Ω ⊂ℝd have finite positive Lebesgue measure, and let $$\mathcal{L}^2$$ (Ω) be the corresponding Hilbert space of $$\mathcal{L}^2$$ -functions on Ω. We shall consider the exponential functionse λ on Ω given bye λ(x)=e i2πλ·x . If these functions form an orthogonal basis for $$\mathcal{L}^2$$ (Ω), when λ ranges over some subset Λ in ℝ d , then we say that (Ω, Λ) is a spectral pair, and that Λ is a spectrum. We conjecture that (Ω, Λ) is a spectral pair if and only if the translates of some set Ω′ by the vectors of Λ tile ℝd. In the special case of Ω=Id, the d-dimensional unit cube, we prove this conjecture, with Ω′=Id, for d≤3, describing all the tilings by Id, and for all d when Λ is a discrete periodic set. In an appendix we generalize the notion of spectral pair to measures on a locally compact abelian group and its dual.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 355-362 
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    Keywords: 28A80 ; 42B10 ; 60G57 ; random self-similar measures ; Fourier dimension ; Salem sets
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract In this paper we investigate the pointwise Fourier decay of some selfsimilar random measures. As an application we construct statistically selfsimilar Salem sets. For example, our result shows that a “slight” random perturbation of the classical Cantor set becomes a “nice” set in the sense that its Fourier dimension equals its Hausdorff dimension.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. v 
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 409-419 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: Weyl-Heisenberg frame ; Zak transform ; polynomial matrix ; 42C15
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract In this note we consider continuous-time Weyl-Heisenberg (Gabor) frame expansions with rational oversampling. We present a necessary and sufficient condition on a compactly supported function g(t) generating a Weyl-Heisenberg frame for L2 (ℝ) for its minimal dual (Wexler-Razdual) γ0 (t) to be compactly supported. We furthermore provide a necessary and sufficient condition for a band-limited function g(t) generating a Weyl-Heisenberg frame for L2 (ℝ) to have a band-limited minimal dual γ0 (t). As a consequence of these conditions, we show that in the cases of integer oversampling and critical sampling a compactly supported (band-limited) g(t) has a compactly supported (band-limited) minimal dual γ0(t) if and only if the Weyl-Heisenberg frame operator is a multiplication operator in the time (frequency) domain. Our proofs rely on the Zak transform, on the Zibulski-Zeevi representation of the Weyl-Heisenberg frame operator, and on the theory of polynomial matrices.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 521-522 
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    Transformation groups 4 (1999), S. 127-156 
    ISSN: 1531-586X
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract We obtain a criterion for rational smoothness of an algebraic variety with a torus action, with applications to orbit closures in flag varieties, and to closures of double classes in regular group completions.
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    Transformation groups 4 (1999), S. 157-218 
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    Notes: Abstract We present a formalization, using data uniquely defined at the level of the Weyl group, of the construction and combinatorial properties of unipotent character sheaves and unipotent characters for reductive algebraic groups over an algebraic closure of a finite field. This formalization extends to the case where the Weyl group is replaced by a complex reflection group, and in many cases we get families of unipotent characters for a mysterious object, a kind of reductive algebraic group with a nonreal Weyl group, the “spets”. In this first part, we present the general results about complex reflection groups, their associated braid groups and Hecke algebras, which will be needed later on for properties of “spetses”. Not all irreducible complex reflection groups will give rise to a spets (the ones which do so are called “spetsial”), but all of them afford properties which already allow us to generalize many of the notions attached to the Weyl groups through the approach of “generic groups” (see [BMM1]).
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    Transformation groups 4 (1999), S. 355-374 
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    Notes: Abstract For the flag manifoldX=G/B of a complex semi-simple Lie groupG, we make connections between the Kostant harmonic forms onG/B and the geometry of the Bruhat Poisson structure. We show that on each Schubert cell, the corresponding Kostant harmonic form can be described using only data coming from the Bruhat Poisson structure. We do this by using an explicit set of coordinates on the Schubert cell.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 45-66 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 42B25 ; Fractional maximal operator ; weighted norm inequalities
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract For 0 ≤α 〈 ∞ let Tαf denote one of the operators $$M_{\alpha ,0} f(x) = \mathop {\sup }\limits_{I \mathrel\backepsilon x} \left| I \right|^\alpha \exp \left( {\frac{1}{{\left| I \right|}}\int_I {\log \left| f \right|} } \right),M_{\alpha ,0}^* f(x) = \mathop {\lim }\limits_{r \searrow 0} \mathop {\sup }\limits_{I \mathrel\backepsilon x} \left| I \right|^\alpha \left( {\frac{1}{{\left| I \right|}}\int_I {\left| f \right|^r } } \right)^{{1 \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {1 r}} \right. \kern-\nulldelimiterspace} r}} .$$ We characterize the pairs of weights (u, v) for which Tα is a bounded operator from Lp(v) to Lq(u), 0 〈p ≤q 〈 ∞. This extends to α 〉 0 the norm inequalities for α=0 in [4, 16]. As an application we give lower bounds for convolutions ϕ ⋆ f, where ϕ is a radially decreasing function.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 193-201 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: Primary 30D15 ; 42C15 ; Secondary 30D10 ; 42C30 ; Paley-Wiener space ; entire functions of exponential type ; exponential frames ; discrete norms ; sampling theorem
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract It is well known that for certain sequences {tn}n∈ℤ the usual Lp norm ∥·∥p in the Paley-Wiener space PW τ p is equivalent to the discrete norm ‖f‖p,{tn}:=(∑ n=−∞ ∞ |f(tn)|p)1/p for 1 ≤ p = 〈 ∞ and ‖f‖∞,{tn}:=sup n∈ℤ|f(tn| for p=∞). We estimate ∥f∥p from above by C∥f∥p, n and give an explicit value for C depending only on p, τ, and characteristic parameters of the sequence {tn}n∈ℤ. This includes an explicit lower frame bound in a famous theorem of Duffin and Schaeffer.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 203-284 
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    Keywords: Primary 31C45 ; 42C99 ; Fractal differential equations ; analysis on fractals ; Sierpinski gasket ; eigenfunctions of the Laplacian ; wave propagation on fractals
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    Notes: Abstract Let Δ denote the symmetric Laplacian on the Sierpinski gasket SG defined by Kigami [11] as a renormalized limit of graph Laplacians on the sequence of pregaskets Gm whose limit is SG. We study the analogs of some of the classical partial differential equations with Δ playing the role of the usual Laplacian. For harmonic functions, biharmonic functions, and Dirichlet eigenfunctions of Δ, we give efficient algorithms to compute the solutions exactly, we display the results of implementing these algorithms, and we prove various properties of the solutions that are suggested by the data. Completing the work of Fukushima and Shima [8] who computed the Dirichlet eigenvalues and their multiplicities, we show how to construct a basis (but not orthonormal) for the eigenspaces, so that we have the analog of Fourier sine series on the unit interval. We also show that certain eigenfunctions have the property that they are a nonzero constant along certain lines contained in SG. For the analogs of the heat and wave equation, we give algorithms for approximating the solution, and display the results of implementing these algorithms. We give strong evidence that the analog of finite propagation for the wave equation does not hold because of inconsistent scaling behavior in space and time.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 363-372 
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    Keywords: Primary 43A80 ; Secondary 44A12 ; spherical means ; Heisenberg group ; twisted spherical means ; Laguerre functions ; hypergeometric functions
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    Notes: Abstract We prove that the boundary of a bounded domain is a set of injectivity for the twisted spherical means on ℂ n for a certain class of functions on ℂ n . As a consequence we obtain results about injectivity of the spherical mean operator in the Heisenberg group and the complex Radon transform.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 5 (1999), S. 465-494 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: Fractional ARIMA ; midpoint displacement technique ; fractional Gaussian noise ; fractional derivative ; generalized functions ; self-similarity ; Primary 60G18 ; secondary 41A58 ; 60F15.
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract We provide an almost sure convergent expansion of fractional Brownian motion in wavelets which decorrelates the high frequencies. Our approach generalizes Lévy's midpoint displacement technique which is used to generate Brownian motion. The low-frequency terms in the expansion involve an independent fractional Brownian motion evaluated at discrete times or, alternatively, partial sums of a stationary fractional ARIMA time series. The wavelets fill in the gaps and provide the necessary high frequency corrections. We also obtain a way of constructing an arbitrary number of non-Gaussian continuous time processes whose second order properties are the same as those of fractional Brownian motion.
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    Circuits, systems and signal processing 18 (1999), S. 27-42 
    ISSN: 1531-5878
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    Topics: Electrical Engineering, Measurement and Control Technology
    Notes: Abstract Of concern is the propagation of distortionless surface waves in a medium that may be nonuniform relative to depth. Distortionless wave propagation in inhomogeneous media was discussed by V. Burke, R. J. Duffin and D. Hazony, inQuart. Appl. Math., 183–194 (1976). Accordingly, the media could be modeled by a distributed electrical ladder network, nonuniform along the axis. We give a two-dimensional development based on Hooke's law and Newton's law which leads to the well-known case of Rayleigh waves in homogeneous media. It will be seen that the available pool of propagation modes greatly increases when high-pass propagation is included. The emphasis is on media where the elastic coefficients track one another as a function of depth. Special cases are studied in detail showing that as a disturbance travels along the surface, it may assume a broadband phase change, which translates into a shape distortion in the time domain, which is periodic with distance. Applications may be found in acousto-optics, in situ monitoring of elongated bodies, high-frequency SAW filters, microstrips, and any situations where surface waves are used in an environment of high precision or relatively large distances.
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    Circuits, systems and signal processing 18 (1999), S. 131-147 
    ISSN: 1531-5878
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    Topics: Electrical Engineering, Measurement and Control Technology
    Notes: Abstract This study presents a linear output-based controller for stabilizing a rigid-link flexible-joint electrically driven (RLFJED) robot manipulator. The proposed controller ensures local exponential stability under some uncertainty conditions. It is assumed that the velocity signals from the link side are not measurable. The controller is analyzed by using tools for pole placement by an output-feedback in the framework of the linear system theory. Some useful structural properties of the systems under consideration have been studied. Applications of the results to the set-point regulation control problem are considered.
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    Circuits, systems and signal processing 18 (1999), S. 205-223 
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    Topics: Electrical Engineering, Measurement and Control Technology
    Notes: Abstract In this paper we consider an adaptive controller with vanishing gain and excitation of the reference signal. We use the burst recovery concept to show that all signals in the adaptive loop remain uniformly bounded. We also show that the mean-square performance converges so that the adaptive system is optimal in the sense that the parameter estimation error and the one-step ahead prediction error are uncorrelated in the mean despite the presence of the unmodeled dynamics.
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    Circuits, systems and signal processing 18 (1999), S. 191-204 
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    Topics: Electrical Engineering, Measurement and Control Technology
    Notes: Abstract Finite homogeneous Markov chains ξ, which admit invariant probability distributions, can be defined by the cycloids { $$\bar C_k $$ } (closed polygonal lines whose consecutive edges have various orientations that do not necessarily determine a common direction for $$\bar C_k $$ ) occurring in their graphs. These Markov chains are called cycloid chains, and the corresponding finite-dimensional distributions are linear expressions on the cycloids { $$\bar C_k $$ } with the real coefficients αk. Then the collection {{ $$\bar C_k $$ }, {αk}}, called the cycloid decomposition of ξ, gives a minimal description of the finite-dimensional distributions that, except for a choice of the maximal tree, uniquely determines the chain ξ. Furthermore, the cycloid decompositions have an interpretation in terms of the transition probability functions expressing the same essence as the known Chapman-Kolmogorov equations.
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    Circuits, systems and signal processing 18 (1999), S. 241-267 
    ISSN: 1531-5878
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Electrical Engineering, Measurement and Control Technology
    Notes: Abstract We study solutions of the “linear system in a saturated mode” $$\begin{array}{*{20}c} {(M)} & {x' \in Tx + c - \partial I_{D^n } x.} \\ \end{array} $$ We show that a trajectory is in a constant face of the cubeD n on some interval (0,d]. We answer a question about comparing the two systems: (M) and $$\begin{array}{*{20}c} {(H)} & {\begin{array}{*{20}c} {Cu' = T\upsilon + c - R^{ - 1} u,} & {\upsilon = G(\lambda } \\ \end{array} u)} \\ \end{array} $$ . As λ→∞, limits ofv corresponding to asymptotically stable equilibrium points of (H) are asymptotically stable equilibrium points of (M), and the converse is also true. We study the assumptions to see which are required and which may be weakened.
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    Circuits, systems and signal processing 18 (1999), S. 291-314 
    ISSN: 1531-5878
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Electrical Engineering, Measurement and Control Technology
    Notes: Abstract In this paper we introduce a new computational method for solving the diffusion equation. In particular, we construct a “generalized” state-space system and compute the impulse response of an equivalent truncated state-space system. In this effort, we use a 3D finite element method (FEM) to obtain the state-space system. We then use the Arnoldi iteration to approximate the state impulse response by projecting on the dominant controllable subspace. The idea exploited here is the approximation of the impulse response of the linear system. We study the homogeneous and heterogeneous cases and discuss the approximation error. Finally, we compare our computational results to our experimental setup.
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    Circuits, systems and signal processing 18 (1999), S. 351-364 
    ISSN: 1531-5878
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Electrical Engineering, Measurement and Control Technology
    Notes: Abstract A simple state-space approach for the four-block singular nonlinearH ∞ control problem is proposed in this paper. This approach combines a (J, J′)-lossless and a class of conjugate (J, J′)-expansive systems to yield a family of nonlinearH ∞ output feedback controllers. The singular nonlinearH ∞ control problem is thus transformed into a simple lossless network problem that is easy to deal with in a network-theory context.
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  • 82
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    Circuits, systems and signal processing 18 (1999), S. 395-406 
    ISSN: 1531-5878
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Electrical Engineering, Measurement and Control Technology
    Notes: Abstract The stability of time-varying autoregressive (TVAR) models is an important issue in many applications such as time-varying spectral estimation, EEG simulation and analysis, and time-varying linear prediction coding (TVLPC). For stationary AR models there are methods that guarantee stability, but the for nonadaptive time-varying approaches there are no such methods. On the other hand, in some situations, such as in EEG analysis, the models that temporarily exhibit roots with almost unit moduli are difficult to use. Thus we may need a tighter stability condition such as stability with margin 1−ϱ. In this paper we propose a method for the estimation of TVAR models that guarantees stability with margin 1−ϱ, that is, the moduli of the roots of the time-varying characteristic polynomial are less than or equal to some arbitrary positive number ϱ for every time instant. The model class is the Subba Rao-Liporace class, in which the time-varying coefficients are constrained to a subspace of the coefficient time evolutions. The method is based on sequential linearization of the associated nonlinear constraints and the subsequent use of a Gauss-Newton-type algorithm. The method is also applied to a simulated autoregressive process.
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    Circuits, systems and signal processing 18 (1999), S. 443-443 
    ISSN: 1531-5878
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Electrical Engineering, Measurement and Control Technology
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  • 84
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    Risk analysis 19 (1999), S. 283-294 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Risk perception ; pesticides ; pest management ; health effects ; agricultural pollution
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Water pollution from agricultural pesticides continues to be a public concern. Given that the use of such pesticides on the farm is largely governed by voluntary behavior, it is important to understand what drives farmer behavior. Health belief models in public health and social psychology argue that persons who have adverse health experiences are likely to undertake preventive behavior. An analogous hypothesis set was tested here: farmers who believe they have had adverse health experiences from pesticides are likely to have heightened concerns about pesticides and are more likely to take greater precautions in dealing with pesticides. This work is based on an original survey of a population of 2700 corn and soybean growers in Maryland, New York, and Pennsylvania using the U.S. Department of Agriculture data base. It was designed as a mail survey with telephone follow-up, and resulted in a 60 percent response rate. Farm operators report experiencing adverse health problems they believe are associated with pesticides that is equivalent to an incidence rate that is higher than the reported incidence of occupational pesticide poisonings, but similar to the reported incidence of all pesticide poisonings. Farmers who report experiencing such problems have more heightened concerns about water pollution from fertilizers and pesticides, and illness and injury from mixing, loading, and applying pesticides than farmers who have not experienced such problems. Farmers who report experiencing such problems also are more likely to report using alternative pest management practices than farmers who do not report having such problems. This implies that farmers who have had such experiences do care about the effects of application and do engage in alternative means of pest management, which at least involve the reduction in pesticide use.
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  • 85
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Ethnicity ; fish consumption ; advisories ; Savannah River ; methylmercury ; risk perception
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract South Carolina has issued fish consumption advisories for the Savannah River based on mercury and radionuclide levels. We examine differences in fishing rates and fish consumption of 258 people interviewed while fishing along the Savannah River, as a function of age, education, ethnicity, employment history, and income, and test the assumption that the average consumption of fish is less than the recreational value of 19 kg/year assumed by risk assessors. Ethnicity and education contributed significantly to explaining variations in number of fish meals per month, serving size, and total quantity of fish consumed per year. Blacks fished more often, ate more fish meals of slightly larger serving sizes, and consumed more fish per year than did Whites. Although education and income were correlated, education contributed most significantly to behavior; people who did not graduate from high school ate fish more often, ate more fish per year, and ate more whole fish than people who graduated from high school. Computing consumption of fish for each person individually indicates that (1) people who eat fish more often also eat larger portions, (2) a substantial number of people consume more than the amount of fish used to compute risk to recreational fishermen, (3) some people consume more than the subsistence level default assumption (50 kg/year) and (4) Blacks consume more fish per year than Whites, putting them at greater risk from contaminants in fish. Overall, ethnicity, age, and education contributed to variations in fishing behavior and consumption.
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    Risk analysis 19 (1999), S. 453-459 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Efficiency ; nonquantal ; probit ; quantal
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Methods of quantitative risk assessment for toxic responses that are measured on a continuous scale are not well established. Although risk-assessment procedures that attempt to utilize the quantitative information in such data have been proposed, there is no general agreement that these procedures are appreciably more efficient than common quantal dose–response procedures that operate on dichotomized continuous data. This paper points out an equivalence between the dose–response models of the nonquantal approach of Kodell and West(1) and a quantal probit procedure, and provides results from a Monte Carlo simulation study to compare coverage probabilities of statistical lower confidence limits on dose corresponding to specified additional risk based on applying the two procedures to continuous data from a dose–response experiment. The nonquantal approach is shown to be superior, in terms of both statistical validity and statistical efficiency.
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  • 87
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Threshold ; measurement error ; mortality ; air pollution
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract The association between daily fluctuations in ambient particulate matter and daily variations in nonaccidental mortality have been extensively investigated. Although it is now widely recognized that such an association exists, the form of the concentration–response model is still in question. Linear, no threshold and linear threshold models have been most commonly examined. In this paper we considered methods to detect and estimate threshold concentrations using time series data of daily mortality rates and air pollution concentrations. Because exposure is measured with error, we also considered the influence of measurement error in distinguishing between these two completing model specifications. The methods were illustrated on a 15-year daily time series of nonaccidental mortality and particulate air pollution data in Toronto, Canada. Nonparametric smoothed representations of the association between mortality and air pollution were adequate to graphically distinguish between these two forms. Weighted nonlinear regression methods for relative risk models were adequate to give nearly unbiased estimates of threshold concentrations even under conditions of extreme exposure measurement error. The uncertainty in the threshold estimates increased with the degree of exposure error. Regression models incorporating threshold concentrations could be clearly distinguished from linear relative risk models in the presence of exposure measurement error. The assumption of a linear model given that a threshold model was the correct form usually resulted in overestimates in the number of averted premature deaths, except for low threshold concentrations and large measurement error.
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    Risk analysis 19 (1999), S. 527-545 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: breast-feeding ; chlorinated compounds ; risk assessment
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Exposure to persistent organochlorines in breast milk was estimated probabilistically for Canadian infants. Noncancer health effects were evaluated by comparing the predicted exposure distributions to published guidance values. For chemicals identified as potential human carcinogens, cancer risks were evaluated using standard methodology typically applied in Canada, as well as an alternative method developed under the Canadian Environmental Protection Act. Potential health risks associated with exposure to persistent organochlorines were quantitatively and qualitatively weighed against the benefits of breast-feeding. Current levels of the majority of contaminants identified in Canadian breast milk do not pose unacceptable risks to infants. Benefits of breast-feeding are well documented and qualitatively appear to outweigh potential health concerns associated with organochlorine exposure. Furthermore, the risks of mortality from not breast-feeding estimated by Rogan and colleagues exceed the theoretical cancer risks estimated for infant exposure to potential carcinogens in Canadian breast milk. Although levels of persistent compounds have been declining in Canadian breast milk, potentially significant risks were estimated for exposure to polychlorinated biphenyls, dibenzo-p-dioxins, and dibenzofurans. Follow-up work is suggested that would involve the use of a physiologically based toxicokinetic model with probabilistic inputs to predict dioxin exposure to the infant. A more detailed risk analysis could be carried out by coupling the exposure estimates with a dose–response analysis that accounts for uncertainty.
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  • 89
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: air dispersion ; models ; validation ; Rocky Flats
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Five atmospheric transport models were evaluated for use in Phase II of the Historical Public Exposures Studies at the Rocky Flats Plant. Models included a simple straight-line Gaussian plume model (ISCST2), several integrated puff models (RATCHET, TRIAD, and INPUFF2), and a complex terrain model (TRAC). Evaluations were based on how well model predictions compared with sulfur hexafluoride tracer measurements taken in the vicinity of Rocky Flats in February 1991. Twelve separate tracer experiments were conducted, each lasting 9 hr and measured at 140 samplers in arcs 8 and 16 km from the release point at Rocky Flats. Four modeling objectives were defined based on the endpoints of the overall study: (1) the unpaired maximum hourly average concentration, (2) paired time-averaged concentration, (3) unpaired time-averaged concentration, and (4) arc-integrated concentration. Performance measures were used to evaluate models and focused on the geometric mean and standard deviation of the predicted-to-observed ratio and the correlation coefficient between predicted and observed concentrations. No one model consistently outperformed the others in all modeling objectives and performance measures. About 75% of the maximum hourly concentration predictions were within a factor of 5 of the observations. About 64% of the paired and 80% of the unpaired time-averaged model predictions were within a factor of 5 of the observations. The overall performance of the RATCHET model was somewhat better than the other models. All models appeared to experience difficulty defining plume trajectories, which was attributed to the influence of multilayered flow initiated by terrain complexities and the diurnal flow patterns characteristic of the Colorado Front Range.
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  • 90
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: initiation ; Monte Carlo methods ; promotion
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract We present the results of a quantitative assessment of the lung cancer risk associated with occupational exposure to refractory ceramic fibers (RCF). The primary sources of data for our risk assessment were two long-term oncogenicity studies in male Fischer rats conducted to assess the potential pathogenic effects associated with prolonged inhalation of RCF. An interesting feature of the data was the availability of the temporal profile of fiber burden in the lungs of experimental animals. Because of this information, we were able to conduct both exposure–response and dose–response analyses. Our risk assessment was conducted within the framework of a biologically based model for carcinogenesis, the two-stage clonal expansion model, which allows for the explicit incorporation of the concepts of initiation and promotion in the analyses. We found that a model positing that RCF was an initiator had the highest likelihood. We proposed an approach based on biological considerations for the extrapolation of risk to humans. This approach requires estimation of human lung burdens for specific exposure scenarios, which we did by using an extension of a model due to Yu. Our approach acknowledges that the risk associated with exposure to RCF depends on exposure to other lung carcinogens. We present estimates of risk in two populations: (1) a population of nonsmokers and (2) an occupational cohort of steelworkers not exposed to coke oven emissions, a mixed population that includes both smokers and nonsmokers.
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  • 91
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: accident risk ; population distribution ; RADTRAN ; transportation ; radioactive materials
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Calculation of accident dose-risk estimates with the RADTRAN code requires input data describing the population likely to be affected by the plume of radioactive material (RAM) released in a hypothetical transportation accident. In the existing model, population densities within 1/2 mile (0.8 km) of the route centerline are tabulated in three ranges (Rural, Suburban, and Urban). These population densities may be of questionable validity since the plume in the RADTRAN analysis is assumed to extend out to 120 km from the hypothetical accident site. We present a GIS-based population model which accounts for the actual distribution of population under a potential plume, and compare accident-risk estimates based on the resulting population densities with those based on the existing model. Results for individual points along a route differ greatly, but the cumulative accident risks for a sample route of a few hundred kilometers are found to be comparable, if not identical. We conclude, therefore, that for estimation of aggregate accident risks over typical routes of several hundred kilometers, the existing, simpler RADTRAN model is sufficiently detailed and accurate.
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    Risk analysis 19 (1999), S. 685-687 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
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    Risk analysis 19 (1999), S. 703-710 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: probabilistic risk analysis ; subjective judgment ; risk-informed regulation ; robust Bayesian analysis ; human performance ; human error ; management and organizational factors ; corporate culture
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract This paper discusses a number of the key challenges to the acceptance and application of probabilistic risk analysis (PRA). Those challenges include: (a) the extensive reliance on subjective judgment in PRA, requiring the development of guidance for the use of PRA in risk-informed regulation, and possibly the development of “robust” or “reference” prior distributions to minimize the reliance on judgment; and (b) the treatment of human performance in PRA, including not only human error per se but also management and organizational factors more broadly. All of these areas are seen as presenting interesting research challenges at the interface between engineering and other disciplines.
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    Risk analysis 19 (1999), S. 689-701 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: risk ; risk perception ; risk assessment ; risk communication ; risk management
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Risk management has become increasingly politicized and contentious. Polarized views, controversy, and conflict have become pervasive. Research has begun to provide a new perspective on this problem by demonstrating the complexity of the concept “risk” and the inadequacies of the traditional view of risk assessment as a purely scientific enterprise. This paper argues that danger is real, but risk is socially constructed. Risk assessment is inherently subjective and represents a blending of science and judgment with important psychological, social, cultural, and political factors. In addition, our social and democratic institutions, remarkable as they are in many respects, breed distrust in the risk arena. Whoever controls the definition of risk controls the rational solution to the problem at hand. If risk is defined one way, then one option will rise to the top as the most cost-effective or the safest or the best. If it is defined another way, perhaps incorporating qualitative characteristics and other contextual factors, one will likely get a different ordering of action solutions. Defining risk is thus an exercise in power. Scientific literacy and public education are important, but they are not central to risk controversies. The public is not irrational. Their judgments about risk are influenced by emotion and affect in a way that is both simple and sophisticated. The same holds true for scientists. Public views are also influenced by worldviews, ideologies, and values; so are scientists' views, particularly when they are working at the limits of their expertise. The limitations of risk science, the importance and difficulty of maintaining trust, and the complex, sociopolitical nature of risk point to the need for a new approach—one that focuses upon introducing more public participation into both risk assessment and risk decision making in order to make the decision process more democratic, improve the relevance and quality of technical analysis, and increase the legitimacy and public acceptance of the resulting decisions.
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    Risk analysis 19 (1999), S. 727-738 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: mitigation ; insurance ; catastrophic risk ; building codes
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract This paper examines the impact that insurance coupled with specific risk mitigation measures (RMMs) could have on reducing losses from hurricanes and earthquakes as well as improving the solvency position of insurers who provide coverage against these hazards. We first explore why relatively few individuals adopt cost-effective RMMs by reporting on the results of empirical studies and controlled laboratory studies. We then investigate the impact that an RMM has on both the expected losses and those from a worst case scenario in two model cities—Oakland (an earthquake-prone area) and Miami/Dade County (a hurricane-prone area) which were constructed respectively with the assistance of two modeling firms. The paper then explores three programs for forging a meaningful public-private sector partnership: well-enforced building codes, insurance premium reductions linked with long-term loans, and lower deductibles on insurance policies tied to mitigation. We conclude by briefly examining four issues for future research on linking mitigation with insurance.
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  • 96
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    Risk analysis 19 (1999), S. 711-726 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: variability ; exposure ; susceptibility ; risk assessment ; pharmacokinetics ; pharmacodynamics
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract This paper reviews existing data on the variability in parameters relevant for health risk analyses. We cover both exposure-related parameters and parameters related to individual susceptibility to toxicity. The toxicity/susceptibility data base under construction is part of a longer term research effort to lay the groundwork for quantitative distributional analyses of non-cancer toxic risks. These data are broken down into a variety of parameter types that encompass different portions of the pathway from external exposure to the production of biological responses. The discrete steps in this pathway, as we now conceive them, are: •Contact Rate (Breathing rates per body weight; fish consumption per body weight) •Uptake or Absorption as a Fraction of Intake or Contact Rate •General Systemic Availability Net of First Pass Elimination and Dilution via Distribution Volume (e.g., initial blood concentration per mg/kg of uptake) •Systemic Elimination (half life or clearance) •Active Site Concentration per Systemic Blood or Plasma Concentration •Physiological Parameter Change per Active Site Concentration (expressed as the dose required to make a given percentage change in different people, or the dose required to achieve some proportion of an individual's maximum response to the drug or toxicant) •Functional Reserve Capacity–Change in Baseline Physiological Parameter Needed to Produce a Biological Response or Pass a Criterion of Abnormal Function Comparison of the amounts of variability observed for the different parameter types suggests that appreciable variability is associated with the final step in the process–differences among people in “functional reserve capacity.” This has the implication that relevant information for estimating effective toxic susceptibility distributions may be gleaned by direct studies of the population distributions of key physiological parameters in people that are not exposed to the environmental and occupational toxicants that are thought to perturb those parameters. This is illustrated with some recent observations of the population distributions of Low Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol from the second and third National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys.
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    Risk analysis 19 (1999), S. 751-758 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: nuclear waste ; high-level waste ; performance assessment ; Yucca Mountain
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract The management of spent nuclear fuel and high-level nuclear waste has the deserved reputation as one of the most intractable policy issues facing the United States and other nations using nuclear reactors for electric power generation. This paper presents the author's perspective on this complex issue, based on a decade of service with the Nuclear Waste Technical Review Board and Board on Radioactive Waste Management of the National Research Council.
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    Risk analysis 19 (1999), S. 763-807 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: risk assessment ; probabilistic risk assessment ; performance assessment ; policy analysis ; history of technology
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract This article describes the evolution of the process for assessing the hazards of a geologic disposal system for radioactive waste and, similarly, nuclear power reactors, and the relationship of this process with other assessments of risk, particularly assessments of hazards from manufactured carcinogenic chemicals during use and disposal. This perspective reviews the common history of scientific concepts for risk assessment developed until the 1950s. Computational tools and techniques developed in the late 1950s and early 1960s to analyze the reliability of nuclear weapon delivery systems were adopted in the early 1970s for probabilistic risk assessment of nuclear power reactors, a technology for which behavior was unknown. In turn, these analyses became an important foundation for performance assessment of nuclear waste disposal in the late 1970s. The evaluation of risk to human health and the environment from chemical hazards is built on methods for assessing the dose response of radionuclides in the 1950s. Despite a shared background, however, societal events, often in the form of legislation, have affected the development path for risk assessment for human health, producing dissimilarities between these risk assessments and those for nuclear facilities. An important difference is the regulator's interest in accounting for uncertainty.
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  • 99
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: performance assessment ; nuclear waste ; risk-informed regulation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) staff has developed a performance assessment capability to address three programmatic areas in nuclear waste management: high-level waste, low-level waste, and decommissioning of licensed facilities (license termination). The NRC capability consists of: (1) methodologies for performance assessment; (2) models and computer codes for estimating system performance; (3) regulatory guidance in various forms, such as regulations, Branch Technical Positions, and Standard Review Plans; and (4) a technical staff experienced in executing and evaluating performance assessments for a variety of waste systems. Although the tools and techniques are refined for each programmatic area, general approaches and similar issues are encountered in all areas.
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    Risk analysis 19 (1999), S. 903-913 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: nuclear waste ; performance assessment ; Yucca Mountain ; probability ; repository ; high-level waste ; risk ; engineered barriers
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract In this paper the problem of high-level nuclear waste disposal is viewed as a five-stage, cascaded decision problem. The first four of these decisions having essentially been made, the work of recent years has been focused on the fifth stage, which concerns specifics of the repository design. The probabilistic performance assessment (PPA) work is viewed as the outcome prediction for this stage, and the site characterization work as the information gathering option. This brief examination of the proposed Yucca Mountain repository through a decision analysis framework resulted in three conclusions: (1) A decision theory approach to the process of selecting and characterizing Yucca Mountain would enhance public understanding of the issues and solutions to high-level waste management; (2) engineered systems are an attractive alternative to offset uncertainties in the containment capability of the natural setting and should receive greater emphasis in the design of the repository; and (3) a strategy of “waste management” should be adopted, as opposed to “waste disposal,” as it allows for incremental confirmation and confidence building of a permanent solution to the high-level waste problem.
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