Abstract
The stability of time-varying autoregressive (TVAR) models is an important issue in many applications such as time-varying spectral estimation, EEG simulation and analysis, and time-varying linear prediction coding (TVLPC). For stationary AR models there are methods that guarantee stability, but the for nonadaptive time-varying approaches there are no such methods. On the other hand, in some situations, such as in EEG analysis, the models that temporarily exhibit roots with almost unit moduli are difficult to use. Thus we may need a tighter stability condition such as stability with margin 1−ϱ. In this paper we propose a method for the estimation of TVAR models that guarantees stability with margin 1−ϱ, that is, the moduli of the roots of the time-varying characteristic polynomial are less than or equal to some arbitrary positive number ϱ for every time instant. The model class is the Subba Rao-Liporace class, in which the time-varying coefficients are constrained to a subspace of the coefficient time evolutions. The method is based on sequential linearization of the associated nonlinear constraints and the subsequent use of a Gauss-Newton-type algorithm. The method is also applied to a simulated autoregressive process.
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Juntunen, M., Tervo, J. & Kaipio, J.P. Stabilization of Subba Rao-Liporace models. Circuits Systems and Signal Process 18, 395–406 (1999). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01200790
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01200790