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  • Articles  (11,202)
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  • Mathematics  (7,165)
  • Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering  (4,037)
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  • Articles  (11,202)
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  • 1995-1999  (11,202)
  • 1960-1964
  • 1945-1949
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  • 1
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 195-196 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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  • 2
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 101-129 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Due to the increasing importance of the extracellular matrix in many biological problems, in this paper we develop a model for fibroblast and collagen orientation with the ultimate objective of understanding how fibroblasts form and remodel the extracellular matrix, in particular its collagen component. The model uses integrodifferential equations to describe the interaction between the cells and fibers at a point in space with various orientations. The equations are studied both analytically and numerically to discover different types of solutions and their behavior. In particular we examine solutions where all the fibroblasts and collagen have discrete orientations, a localized continuum of orientations and a continuous distribution of orientations with several maxima. The effect of altering the parameters in the system is explored, including the angular diffusion coefficient for the fibroblasts, as well as the strength and range of the interaction between fibroblasts and collagen. We find the initial conditions and the range of influence between the collagen and the fibroblasts are the two factors which determine the behavior of the solutions. The implications of this for wound healing and cancer are discussed including the conclusion that the major factor in determining the degree of scarring is the initial deposition of collagen.
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  • 3
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 215-230 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract This paper considers the time to extinction for a stochastic epidemic model of SEIR form without replacement of susceptibles. It first shows how previous rigorous results can be heuristically explained in terms of the more transparent dynamics of an approximating deterministic system. The model is then extended to include a host population structured into patches, with weak nearest-neighbour mixing of infection. It is shown, by considering the approximating deterministic system, that the expected time to extinction in a population of n + 1 patches each of size N is of the form a log N + bn, provided that N 〉 N c where N c is a critical patch size below which transits are unlikely to occur. This corresponds to the simple decomposition of the time of an epidemic into the time it takes to spread through one patch plus the time it takes to transit to each of n successive patches. Expressions for this threshold and the coefficients of the time to extinction are given in terms of the transmission parameters of infection and the coupling strength between patches. These expressions are compared with numerical results using parameters relevant to a study of phocine distemper virus in North Sea seals, and the agreement is found to be good for large and small N. In the region when N ≈ N c , where transits may or may not occur, interesting transitional behaviour is seen, leading to a non-monotonicity of the extinction time as a function of N.
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  • 4
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 409-415 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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  • 5
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 355-372 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract When directly transmitted infectious diseases are modeled assuming an everlasting induced immunity (and constant contact rate), there are well-established formulas to deal with, which is not true if we include the loss of induced immunity. In general, the immunity induced by the disease is everlasting. We propose a model considering the loss of immunity and present methods for the estimation of two epidemiological parameters: the force of infection and the basic reproduction ratio. We also analyze the effects of the loss of immunity on these parameters. Based on these results, we conclude that reinfection can play an important role in highly vaccinated populations.
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  • 6
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 449-475 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract We studied mathematical models for the length distributions of actin filaments under the effects of polymerization/depolymerization, and fragmentation. In this paper, we emphasize the effects of these two processes acting alone. In this case, simple discrete and continuous models can be derived and solved explicitly (in several special cases), making the problem interesting from a modeling and pedagogical point of view. In a companion paper (Ermentrout and Edelstein-Keshet, 1998, Bull. Math. Biol. 60, 477–503) we investigate what happens when the processes act together, with particular attention to fragmentation by gelsolin, and with a greater level of biological detail.
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  • 7
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 197-213 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract A possible experimental design for combination experiments is to compare the doseresponse curve of a single agent with the corresponding curve of the same agent using either a fixed amount of a second one or a fixed dose ratio. No interaction is then often defined by a parallel shift of these curves. We have performed a systematic study for various types of doseresponse relations both for the dose-additivity (Loewe additivity) and for the independence (Bliss independence) criteria for defining zero interaction. Parallelism between doseresponse curves of a single agent and those of the same agent in the presence of a fixed amount of another one is found for the Loewe-additivity criterion for linear doseresponse relations. For nonlinear relations, one has to differentiate between effect parallelism (parallel shift on the effect scale) and dose parallelism (parallel shift on the dose scale). In the case of Loewe additivity, zero-interaction dose parallelism is found for power, Weibull, median-effect and logistic doseresponse relations, given that special parameter relationships are fulfilled. The mechanistic model of competitive interaction exhibits dose parallelism but not effect parallelism for Loewe additivity. Bliss independence and Loewe additivity lead to identical results for exponential doseresponse curves. This is the only case for which dose parallelism was found for Bliss independence. Parallelism between single-agent doseresponse relations and Loewe additivity mixture relations is found for examples with a fixed doseratio design. However, this is again not a general property of the design adopted but holds only if special conditions are fulfilled. The comparison of combination doseresponse curves with single-agent relations has to be performed taking into account both potency and shape parameters. The results of this analysis lead to the conclusion that parallelism between zero interaction combination and single-agent doseresponse relations is found only for special cases and cannot be used as a general criterion for defining zero-interaction in combined-action assessment even if the correct potency shift is taken into account.
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  • 8
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 1-26 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Many models have been proposed for spatial pattern formation in embryology and analyzed for the standard case of zero-flux boundary conditions. However, relatively little attention has been paid to the role of boundary conditions on the form of the final pattern. Here we investigate, numerically, the effect of nonstandard boundary conditions on a model pattern generator, which we choose to be of a cell-chemotactic type. We specifically focus on the role of boundary conditions and the effects of scale and aspect ratio, and study the spatiotemporal dynamics of pattern formation. We illustrate the properties of the model by application to the spatiotemporal sequence of skeletal development.
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  • 9
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 79-100 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Notes: Abstract A model, based on the principles of continuum mechanics, is presented for the analysis of cell-velocity fields within wool follicles. The model requires specification of three follicle characteristics in the form of spatially varying fields: viscosity, cell density and cell production rate. The viscosity is introduced as an attempt to model both complex intercellular interactions and individual cell deformation as the cells move. It is demonstrated that the distribution of cell production is more important than axial variation in viscosity in determining the overall flow pattern.
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  • 10
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 131-150 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract A microbial trichome extracts nutrients from its immediate surroundings. It may also oxidize electron donors, reduce electron acceptors, and exude the ‘waste’ products of endogenous redox metabolism. Finally, it may effect light harvesting. These exchange fluxes are summed up in a generic model, which covers photoautotrophs as well as chemoheterotrophs. The focus is on endogenous metabolism and the cellular homeostasis of both reducing and phosphorylating equivalents. A novel result is the formulation of four ‘rules’, akin to the Pasteur effect, which govern the compatibility of endogenous metabolism with various assimilatory processes.
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  • 11
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 49-65 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Notes: Abstract In this paper we present a deterministic, discrete-time model for a two-patch predator-prey metapopulation. We study optimal harvesting for the metapopulation using dynamic programming. Some rules are established as generalizations of rules for a single-species metapopulation harvesting theory. We also establish rules to harvest relatively more (or less) vulnerable prey subpopulations and more (or less) efficient predator subpopulations.
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  • 12
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 919-935 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Notes: Abstract To analyze signals measured from human blood flow in the time-frequency domain, we used the wavelet transform which gives good time resolution for high-frequency components and good frequency resolution for low-frequency components. Five characteristic frequency peaks, corresponding to five almost periodic rhythmic activities, were found on the time scale of minutes. These oscillations were characterized by time and spatial invariant measures. The potential of this approach in studying the blood-flow dynamics was illustrated by revealing differences between the groups of control subjects and athletes.
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  • 13
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 997-998 
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 1167-1200 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract The interaction of a pair of weakly coupled biological bursters is examined. Bursting refers to oscillations in which an observable slowly alternates between phases of relative quiescence and rapid oscillatory behavior. The motivation for this work is to understand the role of electrical coupling in promoting the synchronization of bursting electrical activity (BEA) observed in the β-cells of the islet of Langerhans, which secrete insulin in response to glucose. By studying the coupled fast subsystem of a model of BEA, we focus on the interaction that occurs during the rapid oscillatory phase. Coupling is weak, diffusive and non-scalar. In addition, non-identical oscillators are permitted. Using perturbation methods with the assumption that the uncoupled oscillators are near a Hopf bifurcation, a reduced system of equations is obtained. A detailed bifurcation study of this reduced system reveals a variety of patterns but suggests that asymmetrically phase-locked solutions are the most typical. Finally, the results are applied to the unreduced full bursting system and used to predict the burst pattern for a pair of cells with a given coupling strength and degree of heterogeneity.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 1017-1037 
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    Notes: Abstract Hemodynamic forces affect endothelial cell morphology and function. In particular, circumferential cyclic stretch of blood vessels, due to pressure changes during the cardiac cycle, is known to affect the endothelial cell shape, mediating the alignment of the cells in the direction perpendicular to stretch. This change in cell shape proceeds a drastic reorganization at the internal level. The cellular scaffolding, mainly composed of actin filaments, reorganize in the direction which later becomes the cell’s long axis. How this external mechanical stimulus is ’sensed’ and transduced into the cell is still unknown. Here, we develop a mathematical model depicting the dynamics of actin filaments, and the influence of the cyclic stretch of the substratum based on the experimental evidence that external stimuli may be transduced inside the cell via transmembrane proteins which are coupled with actin filaments on the cytoplasmic side. Based on this view, we investigate two approaches describing the formulation of the transduction mechanisms involving the coupling between filaments and the membrane proteins. As a result, we find that the mechanical stimulus could cause the experimentally observed reorganization of the entire cytoskeleton simply by altering the dynamics of the filaments connected with the integral membrane proteins, as described in our model. Comparison of our results with previous studies of cytoskeletal dynamics reveals that the cytoskeleton, which, in the absence of the effect of stretch would maintain its isotropic distribution, slowly aligns with the precise direction set by the external stimulus. It is found that even a feeble stimulus, coupled with a strong internal dynamics, is sufficient to align actin filaments perpendicular to the direction of stretch.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 1149-1166 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Notes: Abstract We study a general predator—prey system in a spatially heterogeneous environment. The predation process, which occurs on a behavioural time-scale, is much faster than the other processes (reproduction, natural mortality and migrations) occurring on the population dynamics time-scale. We show that, taking account of this difference in time-scales, and assuming that the prey have a refuge, the dynamics of the system on a slow time-scale become donor-controlled. Even though predators may control the prey density locally and on a behavioural fast time-scale, nevertheless, both globally and on a slow time-scale, the prey dynamics are independent of predator density: the presence of predators generates a constant prey mortality. In other words, in heterogeneous environments, the prey population dynamics depend in a switch-like manner on the presence or absence of predators, not on their actual density.
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  • 17
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 283-297 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: Primary 42B25 ; 30D10 ; Secondary 26A16 ; 46B45 ; 47B10 ; 47B35 ; Mean oscillation ; Paley-Wiener space ; Besov spaces ; wavelets ; commutators ; Hankel operators ; Schatten-von Neumann ideals
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract The oscillatory behavior of functions with compactly supported Fourier transform is characterized in a quantified way using various function spaces. In particular, the results in this article show that the oscillations of a function at large scale are comparable to the oscillations of its samples on an appropriate discrete set of points. Several open questions about spaces of sequences are answered and applications in the study of commutator operators on the Paley-Wiener space are shown.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 329-340 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 42C15 ; 46E35 ; Wavelets ; function spaces ; fractals
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Wavelets on self-similar fractals are introduced. It is shown that for certain totally disconnected fractals, function spaces may be characterized by means of the magnitude of the wavelet coefficients of the functions.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 357-375 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 42C15 ; 94A12 ; wavelets ; interpolation ; orthogonal expansions
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Gibbs' phenomenon occurs for most orthogonal wavelet expansions. It is also shown to occur with many wavelet interpolating series, and a characterization is given. By introducing modifications in such a series, it can be avoided. However, some series that exhibit Gibbs' phenomenon for orthogonal series do not for the associated sampling series.
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  • 20
    ISSN: 1539-6924
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    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
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  • 21
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    Risk analysis 18 (1998), S. 563-573 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Risk assessment ; mourning doves ; hunting ; radionuclides ; heavy metals ; lead shot ; cesium
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Recreational and subsistence hunters and anglers consume a wide range of species, including birds, mammals, fish and shellfish, some of which represent significant exposure pathways for environmental toxic agents. This study focuses on the Department of Energy's (DOE's) Savannah River Site (SRS), a former nuclear weapons production facility in South Carolina. The potential risk of contaminant intake from consuming mourning doves (Zenaida macroura), the most popular United States game bird, was examined under various risk scenarios. For all of these scenarios we used the mean tissue concentration of six metals (lead, mercury, cadmium, selenium, chromium, manganese) and radiocesium, in doves collected on and near SRS. We also estimated risk to a child consuming doves that had the maximum contaminant level. We used the cancer slope factor for radiocesium, the Environmental Protection Agencies Uptake/Biokinetic model for lead, and published reference doses for the other metals. As a result of our risk assessments we recommend management of water levels in contaminated reservoirs so that lake bed sediments are not exposed to use by gamebirds and other terrestrial wildlife. Particularly, measures should be taken to insure that the hunting public does not have access to such a site. Our data also indicate that doves on popular hunting areas are exposed to excess lead, suggesting that banning lead shot for doves, as has been done for waterfowl, is desirable.
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  • 22
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Exposure duration ; survey data ; longevity bias ; angler populations
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    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Exposure duration is an important component in determining long-term dose rates associated with exposure to environmental contaminants. Surveys of exposed populations collect information on individuals' past behaviors, including the durations of a behavior up to the time of the survey. This paper presents an empirical approach for determining the distribution of total durations that is consistent with the distribution past durations obtained from surveys. This approach is appropriate where the rates of beginning and ending a behavior are relatively constant over time. The approach allows the incorporation of information on the distribution of age in a population into the determination of the distribution of durations. The paper also explores the impact of “longevity” bias on survey data. A case study of the application of this approach to two angler populations is also provided. The results of the case study have characteristics similar to the results reported by Israeli and Nelson (Risk Anal. 12, 65–72 (1992)) from their analytical model of residential duration. Specifically, the average period of time for the total duration in the entire population is shorter than the average period of time reported for historical duration in the surveyed individuals.
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  • 23
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Risk perceptions ; cultural theory ; psychometric paradigm
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    Notes: Abstract This paper seeks to compare two frameworks which have been proposed to explain risk perceptions, namely, cultural theory and the psychometric paradigm. A structured questionnaire which incorporated elements from both approaches was administered to 129 residents of Norwich, England. The qualitative risk characteristics generated by the psychometric paradigm explained a far greater proportion of the variance in risk perceptions than cultural biases, though it should be borne in mind that the qualitative characteristics refer directly to risks whereas cultural biases are much more distant variables. Correlations between cultural biases and risk perceptions were very low, but the key point was that each cultural bias was associated with concern about distinct types of risks and that the pattern of responses was compatible with that predicted by cultural theory. The cultural approach also provided indicators for underlying beliefs regarding trust and the environment; beliefs which were consistent within each world view but divergent between them. An important drawback, however, was that the psychometric questionnaire could only allocate 32% of the respondents unequivocally to one of the four cultural types. The rest of the sample expressed several cultural biases simultaneously, or none at all. Cultural biases are therefore probably best interpreted as four extreme world views, and a mixture of qualitative and quantitative research methodologies would generate better insights into who might defend these views in what circumstances, whether there are only four mutually exclusive world views or not, and how these views are related to patterns of social solidarity, and judgments on institutional trust.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 597-613 
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 505-543 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Notes: Abstract It is theoretically analysed whether the structural design of ATP-producing pathways, in particular the design of glycolysis, may be explained by optimization principles. On the basis of kinetic and thermodynamic principles conclusions are derived concerning the stoichiometry of these pathways in states of high ATP production rates. One of the extensions to previous investigations is that the concentrations of the adenine nucleotides are taken into account as variable quantities. This necessitates the consideration of an interaction of the ATP-producing system I with an external ATP-consuming system II. A great variety of pathways is studied which differ in the number and location of ATP-consuming reactions, ATP-producing reactions and reactions involving inorganic phosphate. The corresponding number of possible pathways may be calculated in an explicit manner as a function of the number of those reactions which do not couple to ATP or inorganic phosphate. The kinetics of the individual reactions are described by linear or bilinear functions of reactant concentrations and all rate equations are expressed in terms of equilibrium constants and characteristic times. A thermodynamical analysis of the two coupled systems yields upper and lower limits for the concentration of ATP and an explicit expression for the maximal difference between the number of ATP-producing and ATP-consuming reactions of system I. The following results of the optimization are obtained. (i) The ATP production rate always increases if the ATP-producing reactions as well as those reactions characterized by an uptake of inorganic phosphate are shifted as far as possible towards the end of system I. (ii) Explicit conditions for the optimal location of the ATP-consuming reactions are presented. The results are discussed in the context of characteristic times as well as in terms of enzyme kinetic parameters. (iii) For two sets of characteristic times the resulting stoichiometries and their corresponding steady-state fluxes are investigated in detail. One of these stoichiometries shows a close correspondence to contemporary standard glycolysis. (iv) It is shown that most possible pathways result in a very low steady-state flux, that is, the optimal stoichiometry is characterized by a significant selective advantage. (v) The standard free energy profile of a pathway with an optimal stoichiometry is discussed. It differs significantly from the free energy profiles of nonoptimized pathways.
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    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Notes: Abstract Calcification and eventual integration of orthopedic implants into bone is important to many load-bearing devices, and the influence of load and implant stiffness on this process are assessed in this mathematical modelling study. Three research questions are posed in this study. First, can limiting material models provide useful information on the overall behavior of the tissue adjacent to a loaded orthopedic implant? Second, can the limiting models lead to optimization criteria? Third, can an optimization approach be used to differentiate between the four prospective remodeling rate equations which are proposed? The answers are yes, yes, and no, respectively. A two degree of freedom lumped parameter model for axial loading of an intramedullary implant is considered. Two limiting composite material models are used, and the strain energy density in the calcified and non-calcified phases are assessed as stimuli for calcification. The rate equations posed here assume that the calcified material volume fraction decreases at high strain-energy densities, and increases at small strain-energy densities. In all four cases (both models, both phases) the steady states for these rate equations find equilibrium points of indicator functions which are a weighted sum of total strain energy and the mass of calcified tissue in the layer considered. The weights on strain-energy density and mass differ in each case. This shows that for appropriate choices of parameters, all four models can yield the same results, and it also shows that an optimization approach does not uniquely determine the appropriate rate equation in these cases. The rate equations showed complicated dynamic behavior and a phase-plane analysis was used which led to upper bounds on load, which depended on implant stiffness and distal support. The predictions of the four cases studied are compared.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 703-719 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Atritrophic food-chain chemostat model composed of a prey with Monod-type nutrient uptake, a Holling Type II predator and a Holling Type II exploited superpredator is considered in this paper. The bifurcations of the model show that dynamic complexity first increases and then decreases with the nutrient supplied to the bottom of the food chain. Extensive simulations prove that the same holds for food yield, i.e., there exists an optimum nutrient supply which maximizes mean food yield. Finally, a comparative analysis of the results points out that the optimum nutrient supply practically coincides with the nutrient supply separating chaotic dynamics from high-frequency cyclic dynamics. This reinforces the idea, already known for simpler models, that food yield maximization requires that the system behaves on the edge of chaos.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 721-751 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract We developed a non-stochastic methodology to deal with the uncertainty in models of population dynamics. This approach assumed that noise is bounded; it led to models based on differential inclusions rather than stochastic processes, and avoided stochastic calculus. Examples of estimations of extinction times for exponential and logistic population growth with environmental and demographic noise are presented.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 815-856 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract We present a method for generating alternative biochemical pathways between specified compounds. We systematically generated diverse alternatives to the nonoxidative stage of the pentose phosphate pathway, by first finding pathways between 5-carbon and 6-carbon skeletons. Each solution of the equations for the stoichiometric coefficients of skeleton-changing reactions defines a set of networks. Within each set we selected networks with modules; a module is a coupled set of reactions that occurs more than one in a network. The networks can be classified into at least 53 families in at least seven superfamilies, according to the number, the input-output relations, and the internal structure of their modules. We then assigned classes of enzymes to mediate transformations of carbon skeletons and modifications of functional groups. The ensemble of candidate networks was too large to allow complete determination of the optimal network. However, among the networks we studied the real pathway is especially favorable in several respects. It has few steps, uses no reducing or oxidizing compounds, requires only one ATP in one direction of flux, and does not depend on recurrent inputs.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 937-953 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Topics: Biology , Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Intratrophic predation is a phenomenon not usually considered in mathematical models of biological populations, and yet it may occur in any model where many species are considered as a single model variable. This paper demonstrates how intratrophic predation can be rationally included in a general predator-prey model, and shows that the resulting model has some desirable and intuitively plausible features. A simple asymptotic method is developed in order to investigate how intratrophic predation can affect both the position and stability of the equilibria of a model. The methods can be applied to wide classes of population models, and the conclusions drawn are of practical importance.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 1099-1122 
    ISSN: 1522-9602
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    Notes: Abstract This paper addresses the problem of modelling heterogeneous individual characteristics in a population. A flexible unified approach for stochastic parametrization dynamics of the distribution in population data is proposed. To approximate data with multiple observations per individual, models based on Markov processes are constructed. The method can be applied to scalar or multivariate characteristics, and its application to growth and allometry data is considered. Different stochastic versions of known growth and allometry functions are developed, which enable wide applicability. Simple informative growth indices are calculated as the moments of distribution. The three-parameter Gompertz growth model for size-at-age data was reparametrized to a size-increment data model with two parameters.
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    Notes: Abstract A rigorous Bayesian analysis is presented that unifies protein sequence-structure alignment and recognition. Given a sequence, explicit formulae are derived to select (1) its globally most probable core structure from a structure library; (2) its globally most probable alignment to a given core structure; (3) its most probable joint core structure and alignment chosen globally across the entire library; and (4) its most probable individual segments, secondary structure, and super-secondary structures across the entire library. The computations involved are NP-hard in the general case (3D-3D). Fast exact recursions for the restricted sequence singleton-only (1D-3D) case are given. Conclusions include: (a) the most probable joint core structure and alignment is not necessarily the most probable alignment of the most probable core structure, but rather maximizes the product of core and alignment probabilities; (b) use of a sequence-independent linear or affine gap penalty may result in the highest-probability threading not having the lowest score; (c) selecting the most probable core structure from the library (core structure selection or fold recognition only) involves comparing probabilities summed over all possible alignments of the sequence to the core, and not comparing individual optimal (or near-optimal) sequence-structure alignments; and (d) assuming uninformative priors, core structure selection is equivalent to comparing the ratio of two global means.
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    Notes: Abstract The theory of autocatalytic binary ligation is reviewed within the context of a consistently applied Michaelis-Menten quasi-steady-state approximation to obtain explicit analytical results describing time-course data from experiments. A detailed protocol for the step-wise elucidation of a minimal set of experimental parameters is outlined. The kinetic equations are then generalized to cases of self-and cross-catalysis among an arbitrary number of different templates and applied to experiments involving just two templates. Depending on the values of various kinetic parameters such systems can display exclusionary Darwinian selection corresponding to an exponential growth law, selective coexistence or coexistence of all species characteristic of a parabolic growth law; the intermediate behaviour arises as a property of the full mechanism analysed here. Our results are applicable to the classical case of self-replicating nucleic acids and their analogues as well as to newly discovered self-replicating peptides.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 1123-1148 
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    Notes: Abstract Theoretical results show that the measles ‘pulse’ vaccination strategy can be distinguished from the conventional strategies in leading to disease eradication at relatively low values of vaccination. Using the SIR epidemic model we showed that under a planned pulse vaccination regime the system converges to a stable solution with the number of infectious individuals equal to zero. We showed that pulse vaccination leads to epidemics eradication if certain conditions regarding the magnitude of vaccination proportion and on the period of the pulses are adhered to. Our theoretical results are confirmed by numerical simulations. The introduction of seasonal variation into the basic SIR model leads to periodic and chaotic dynamics of epidemics. We showed that under seasonal variation, in spite of the complex dynamics of the system, pulse vaccination still leads to epidemic eradication. We derived the conditions for epidemic eradication under various constraints and showed their dependence on the parameters of the epidemic. We compared effectiveness and cost of constant, pulse and mixed vaccination policies.
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  • 35
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    Notes: Abstract The self-complementary subset $$\mathcal{T}_0 = \mathcal{X}_0 $$ ∪{AAA,TTT} with $$\mathcal{X}_0 $$ = {AAC, AAT, ACC, ATC, ATT, CAG, CTC, CTG, GAA, GAC, GAG, GAT, GCC, GGC, GGT, GTA, GTC, GTT, TAC, TTC} of 22 trinucleotides has a preferential occurrence in the frame 0 (reading frame established by the ATG start trinucleotide) of protein (coding) genes of both prokaryotes and eukaryotes. The subsets $$\mathcal{T}_1 = \mathcal{X}_1 $$ ∪{CCC} and $$\mathcal{T}_2 = \mathcal{X}_2 $$ ∪{GGG} of 21 trinucleotides have a preferential occurrence in the shifted frames 1 and 2 respectively (frame 0 shifted by one and two nucleotides respectively in the 5′-3′ direction). $$\mathcal{T}_1 $$ and $$\mathcal{T}_2 $$ are complementary to each other. The subset $$\mathcal{T}_0 $$ contains the subset $$\mathcal{X}_0 $$ which has the rarity property (6 × 10−8) to be a complementary maximal circular code with two permutated maximal circular codes $$\mathcal{X}_1 $$ and $$\mathcal{X}_2 $$ in the frames 1 and 2 respectively. $$\mathcal{X}_0 $$ is called a C3 code. A quantitative study of these three subsets $$\mathcal{T}_0 ,\mathcal{T}_1 ,\mathcal{T}_2 $$ in the three frames 0, 1, 2 of protein genes, and the 5′ and 3′ regions of eukaryotes, shows that their occurrence frequencies are constant functions of the trinucleotide positions in the sequences. The frequencies of $$\mathcal{T}_0 ,\mathcal{T}_1 ,\mathcal{T}_2 $$ in the frame 0 of protein genes are 49, 28.5 and 22.5% respectively. In contrast, the frequencies of $$\mathcal{T}_0 ,\mathcal{T}_1 ,\mathcal{T}_2 $$ in the 5′ and 3′ regions of eukaryotes, are independent of the frame. Indeed, the frequency of $$\mathcal{T}_0 $$ in the three frames of 5′ (respectively 3′) regions is equal to 35.5% (respectively 38%) and is greater than the frequencies $$\mathcal{T}_1 $$ and $$\mathcal{T}_2 $$ , both equal to 32.25% (respectively 31%) in the three frames. Several frequency asymmetries unexpectedly observed (e.g. the frequency difference between $$\mathcal{T}_1 $$ and $$\mathcal{T}_2 $$ in the frame 0), are related to a new property of the subset $$\mathcal{T}_0 $$ involving substitutions. An evolutionary analytical model at three parameters (p, q, t) based on an independent mixing of the 22 codons (trinucleotides in frame 0) of $$\mathcal{T}_0 $$ with equiprobability (1/22) followed by t ≈ 4 substitutions per codon according to the proportions p ≈ 0.1; q ≈ 0.1 and r = 1 − p − q ≈ 0.8 in the three codon sites respectively, retrieves the frequencies of $$\mathcal{T}_0 ,\mathcal{T}_1 ,\mathcal{T}_2 $$ observed in the three frames of protein genes and explains these asymmetries. Furthermore, the same model (0.1, 0.1, t) after t ≈ 22 substitutions per codon, retrieves the statistical properties observed in the three frames of the 5′ and 3′ regions. The complex behaviour of these analytical curves is totally unexpected and a priori difficult to imagine.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 275-305 
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    Notes: Abstract A simple mathematical model for the dynamics of network-bundle transitions in actin filaments has been previously proposed and some of its mathematical properties have been described. Other models in this class have since been considered and investigated mathematically. In this paper, we have made the first steps in connecting parameters in the model with biologically measurable quantities such as published values of rate constants for filament-crosslinker association. We describe how this connection was made, and give some preliminary numerical simulation results for the behavior of the model under biologically realistic parameter regimes. A key result is that filament length influences the bundle-network transition.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 435-448 
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    Notes: Abstract This paper concerns the minimal speed of traveling wave fronts for a two-species diffusion-competition model of the Lotka-Volterra type. An earlier paper used this model to discuss the speed of invasion of the gray squirrel by estimating the model parameters from field data, and predicted its speed by the use of a heuristic analytical argument. We discuss the conditions which assure the validity of their argument and show numerically the existence of the realistic range of parameter values for which their heuristic argument does not hold. Especially for the case of the strong interaction of two competing species compared with the intraspecific competition, we show that all parameters appearing in the system affect the minimal speed of invasion.
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    Notes: Abstract We describe a method of implementing efficient computer simulations of immune systems that have a large number of unique B-and/or T-cell clones. The method uses an implementation technique called lazy evaluation to create the illusion that all clones are being simulated, while only actually simulating a much smaller number of clones that can respond to the antigens in the simulation. The method is effective because only 0.001–0.01% of clones can typically be stimulated by an antigen, and because many simulations involve only a small number of distinct antigens. A lazy simulation of a realistic number of clones and 10 distinct antigens is 1000 times faster and 10 000 times smaller than a conventional simulation—making simulations of immune systems with realistic-size repertoires computationally tractable.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 753-807 
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    Notes: Abstract We introduce a simple mathematical model of regulation of division of labor in insect societies based on fixed-response thresholds. Individuals with different thresholds respond differently to task-associated stimuli. Low-threshold individuals become involved at a lower level of stimulus than high-threshold individuals. We show that this simple model can account for experimental observations of Wilson (1984), extend the model to more complicated situations, explore its properties, and study under what conditions it can account for temporal polyethism.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 901-918 
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    Notes: Abstract Patterning events in development often depend on the transmission over a range of several cell diameters of signals emanating from a localized source. Experimental studies of such long-range signalling by members of the TGF-β family of growth factors suggests that a cell-relay mechanism in which cells signal only with their immediate neighbours (i.e., juxtacrine signalling) may be operating in some tissues. Here, this possibility is investigated through the analysis of a model of juxtacrine signalling. Depending on the strength of the signal relay between cells, a localized signal source can generate either stable gradients or travelling fronts of cell activation. Both of these behaviors could in principle be involved in the long-range transmission of signals and patterning of cell fates by cell relays. There are significant and surprising differences between the gradients generated by the mechanism studied here, and those generated by the diffusion of a morphogen. In particular, there is an upper limit on the distance over which any given level of cell activation can be attained in a relay-mediated gradient, irrespective of the strength of signal source.
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    Notes: Abstract We present the analysis of a phase-shift sequence obtained from random transitions between periodic solutions of a biochemical dynamical model, formed by a system of three differential equations and which represent an instability-generating multienzymatic mechanism. The phase-shift series was studied in terms of Hurst’s rescaled range analysis. We found that the data were characterized by a Hurst exponent H = 0.69, which was clearly indicative of long-term trends. This result had a high significance level, as was confirmed through Monte Carlo simulations in which the data were scrambled in the series, destroying its original ordering. For these series we obtained a Hurst exponent which was consistent with the expectation of H = 0.5 for a random independent process. This clearly showed that, although the transitions between the periodic solutions were provoked randomly, the stochastic process obtained exhibited long-term persistence. The fractal dimension was also estimated and found to be consistent with the value of the Hurst exponent.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 809-814 
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 857-899 
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    Notes: Abstract Angiogenesis, the formation of blood vessels from a pre-existing vasculature, is a process whereby capillary sprouts are formed in response to externally supplied chemical stimuli. The sprouts then grow and develop, driven initially by endothelial-cell migration, and organize themselves into a dendritic structure. Subsequent cell proliferation near the sprout tip permits further extension of the capillary and ultimately completes the process. Angiogenesis occurs during embryogenesis, wound healing, arthritis and during the growth of solid tumors. In this paper we present both continuous and discrete mathematical models which describe the formation of the capillary sprout network in response to chemical stimuli (tumor angiogenic factors, TAF) supplied by a solid tumor. The models also take into account essential endothelial cell-extracellular matrix interactions via the inclusion of the matrix macromolecule fibronectin. The continuous model consists of a system of nonlinear partial differential equations describing the initial migratory response of endothelial cells to the TAF and the fibronectin. Numerical simulations of the system, using parameter values based on experimental data, are presented and compared qualitatively with in vivo experiments. We then use a discretized form of the partial differential equations to develop a biased random-walk model which enables us to track individual endothelial cells at the sprout tips and incorporate anastomosis, mitosis and branching explicitly into the model. The theoretical capillary networks generated by computer simulations of the discrete model are compared with the morphology of capillary networks observed in in vivo experiments.
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    Bulletin of mathematical biology 60 (1998), S. 955-971 
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    Notes: Abstract There appear to be two different kinds of theoretical results about stochastic patch-occupancy metapopulation models: those recently proposed by Gyllenberg and Silvestrov about metapopulations including a very stable patch, and those by Darroch and Seneta about more general metapopulations. Based on the spectral theory of linear operators, it is shown that the results by Gyllenberg and Silvestrov are a limiting case of those by Darroch and Seneta. Taking the examples proposed by Gyllenberg and Silvestrov as a case study, the application and relevance of these results are discussed, with a particular stress to their bearing on real metapopulations.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 199-214 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: Primary 33E20 ; 41A15 ; 41A30 ; secondary 47D25 ; Wavelets ; multiresolution analysis ; unitary operators ; low-pass filters ; wandering vectors ; QMF ; scaling functions
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    Notes: Abstract This article provides classes of unitary operators of L2(R) contained in the commutant of the Shift operator, such that for any pair of multiresolution analyses of L2(R) there exists a unitary operator in one of these classes, which maps all the scaling functions of the first multiresolution analysis to scaling functions of the other. We use these unitary operators to provide an interesting class of scaling functions. We show that the Dai-Larson unitary parametrization of orthonormal wavelets is not suitable for the study of scaling functions. These operators give an interesting relation between low-pass filters corresponding to scaling functions, which is implemented by a special class of unitary operators acting on L2([−π, π)), which we characterize. Using this characterization we recapture Daubechies' orthonormal wavelets bypassing the spectral factorization process.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 271-281 
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    Keywords: Primary 43A80 ; secondary 41A15, 41A17 ; Keywords and Phrases ; Stratified group ; sub-Laplacian ; Bernstein inequality ; Lagrangian spline
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    Notes: Abstract We consider a generalization of entire functions of spherical exponential type on stratified groups. An analog of the Paley-Wiener theorem is given. We also show that every spectral entire function on a stratified group is uniquely determined by its values on some discrete subgroups. The main result of the article is reconstruction formula of spectral entire functions from their values on discrete subgroups using Lagrangian splines.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 317-328 
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    Keywords: Primary 44 ; Paley-Wiener theorem ; Mellin transform
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    Notes: Abstract New type Paley-Wiener theorems for the modified multidimensional Mellin and inverse Mellin transforms are established. The supports of functions are described in terms of their modified Mellin (or inverse Mellin) transform without passing to the complexification.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 51-56 
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    Notes: Abstract LetW be a finite Weyl group. We give a characterization of those elements ofW whose reduced expressions avoid substrings of the formsts wheres andt are noncommuting generators. We give as an application a family of singular Schubert varieties.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 115-134 
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    Notes: Abstract We construct essentially all the irreducible modules for the multiparameter quantum function algebraF ɛ φ [G], whereG is a simple simply connected complex algebraic group, and ɛ is a root of unity.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 75-102 
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    Notes: Abstract Recently Varagnolo and Vasserot established that theq-deformed Fock spaces due to Hayashi, and Kashiwara, Miwa and Stern, admit actions of the quantum toroidal algebra $$U'_q (\mathfrak{s}\mathfrak{l}_{n,tor} ) (n \geqslant 3)$$ with the level (0,1). In the present article we propose a more detailed proof of this fact than the one given by Varagnolo and Vasserot. The quantum toroidal action on the Fock space depends on a certain parameter κ. We find that with a specific choice of this parameter, the action on the Fock spaces gives rise to the toroidal action on irreducible level-1 highest weight modules of the affine quantum algebra $$U_q (\widehat{\mathfrak{s}\mathfrak{l}}_n )$$ . Similarly, by a specific choice of the parameter, the level (1,0) vertex representation of the quantum totoidal algebra gives rise to a $$U'_q (\mathfrak{s}\mathfrak{l}_{n,tor} ) (n \geqslant 3)$$ structure on irreducible level-1 highest weight $$U_q (\widehat{\mathfrak{s}\mathfrak{l}}_n )$$ -modules.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 181-207 
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    Notes: Abstract We consider 3-parametric polynomialsP μ * (x; q, t, s) which replace theA n-series interpolation Macdonald polynomialsP μ * (x; q, t) for theBC n-type root system. For these polynomials we prove an integral representation, a combinatorial formula, Pieri rules, Cauchy identity, and we also show that they do not satisfy any rationalq-difference equation. Ass → ∞ the polynomialsP μ * (x; q, t, s) becomeP μ * (x; q, t). We also prove a binomial formula for 6-parametric Koornwinder polynomials.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 269-299 
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    Notes: Abstract We give complete proofs of the K-theoretic construction of the quantized enveloping algebra of affine gl(n) sketched in [GV].
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 301-319 
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    Notes: Abstract The aim of the paper is to prove the Main Theorem which says that, in any complex normal variety with an action of a reductive groupG, there are only finitely many subsets which are maximal in the family of all openG-invariant subsets admitting a good quotient.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 375-396 
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    Notes: Abstract We study the geometry of algebraic monoids. We prove that the group of invertible elements of an irreducible algebraic monoid is an algebraic group, open in the monoid. Moreover, if this group is reductive, then the monoid is affine. We then give a combinatorial classification of reductive monoids by means of the theory of spherical varieties.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 355-374 
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    Notes: Abstract We study discrete (Kleinian) subgroups of the isometry group Iso+H 4 of the real hyperbolic space of dimension 4. Suppose that a finitely generated geometrically finite Kleinian groupG⊃Iso+H 4 act discontinuously on a connected set Ω G ⊂S 3 and contains a nontrivial normal finitely generated subgroupF 0◃G of infinite index. We prove that the fundamental group π1(Ω G /F 0) is finitely generated iff Ω G is simply connected. In particular, if there is one such a groupF 0 for which the group π1(Ω G /F 0) is finitely generated, then the same is true for any other nontrivial normal finitely generated subgroupF ofG of infinite index. On the other hand, a number of examples exists of finitely generated Kleinian groups Γ⊂Iso+H 4 for which the fundamental group π1(ΩГ/Г) is not finitely generated if one of our conditions is not satisfied. Using our method, we provide a simplified proof of a recent result of M. Boileau and S. Wang giving an infinite tower of finite coverings of hyperbolic 3-manifolds not fibering over the circle.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 19-52 
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    Keywords: 20C40 ; Secondary 65T10 ; 42C10 ; Generalized Fourier transform ; Gel'fand-Tsetlin basis ; spherical harmonics ; computational complexity
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    Notes: Abstract This article genralizes the fast Fourier transform algorithm to the computation of Fourier transforms on compact Lie groups. The basic technique uses factorization of group elements and Gel'fand-Tsetlin bases to simplify the computations, and may be extended to treat the computation of Fourier transforms of finitely supported distributions on the group. Similar transforms may be defined on homogeneous spaces; in that case we show how special function properties of spherical functions lead to more efficient algorithms. These results may all be viewed as generalizations of the fast Fourier transform algorithms on the circle, and of recent results about Fourier transforms on finite groups.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 151-157 
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    Keywords: Primary 42C10 ; 42C20 ; secondary 60G46 ; Haar series ; martingale sums
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    Notes: Abstract We characterize, for finite measure spaces, those orthonormal bases with the following positivity property: if f is a non-negative function, then the partial sums in the expansion of f are non-negative. The bases are necessarily generalized Haar functions and the partial sums are a martingale closed on the right by f.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 215-227 
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    Keywords: Primary: 42B25 ; Maximal functions ; density basis ; Perron trees ; lacunary sets
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    Notes: Abstract In this article we give some new necessary conditions for subsets of the unit circle to give collections of rectangles (by means of orientations) which differentiate Lp-functions or give Hardy-Littlewood type maximal functions which are bounded on Lp, p〉1. This is done by proving that a well-known method, the construction of a Perron Tree, can be applied to a larger collection of subsets of the unit circle than was earlier known. As applications, we prove a partial converse of a well-known result of Nagel et al. [6] regarding boundedness of maximal functions with respect to rectangles of lacunary directions, and prove a result regarding the cardinality of subsets of arithmetic progressions in sets of the type described above.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 247-269 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 42C15 ; 42C05 ; 19-02 ; Wavelet ; lifting ; elementary matrix ; Euclidean algorithm ; Laurent polynomial
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    Notes: Abstract This article is essentially tutorial in nature. We show how any discrete wavelet transform or two band subband filtering with finite filters can be decomposed into a finite sequence of simple filtering steps, which we call lifting steps but that are also known as ladder structures. This decomposition corresponds to a factorization of the polyphase matrix of the wavelet or subband filters into elementary matrices. That such a factorization is possible is well-known to algebraists (and expressed by the formulaSL(n;R[z, z−1])=E(n;R[z, z−1])); it is also used in linear systems theory in the electrical engineering community. We present here a self-contained derivation, building the decomposition from basic principles such as the Euclidean algorithm, with a focus on applying it to wavelet filtering. This factorization provides an alternative for the lattice factorization, with the advantage that it can also be used in the biorthogonal, i.e., non-unitary case. Like the lattice factorization, the decomposition presented here asymptotically reduces the computational complexity of the transform by a factor two. It has other applications, such as the possibility of defining a wavelet-like transform that maps integers to integers.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 33-49 
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    Notes: Abstract This paper shows how the Kazhdan-Lusztig theory of cells can be directly applied to establish the quasi-heredity ofq-Schur algebras. The application arises because of a very strong homological property enjoyed by certain cell filtrations forq-permutation modules.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 57-73 
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    Notes: Abstract We describe a procedure for constructing monomial bases for finite dimensional irreducible representations of complex semisimple Lie algebras. A basis is calledmonomial if each of its elements is the result of applying to a (fixed) highest weight vector a monomial in the Chevalley basis elementsY α, α a simple root, in the opposite Borel subalgebra. As an immediate application we obtain a new proof of the main theorem of standard monomial theory for classical groups.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 135-144 
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    Notes: Abstract We prove two statements. The first one is a conjecture of Ian Hughes which states that iff 1, ..., fn are primary invariants of a finite linear groupG, then the least common multiple of the degrees of thef i is a multiple of the exponent ofG. The second statement is about vector invariants: IfG is a permutation group andK a field of positive characteristicp such thatp divides |G|, then the invariant ringK[V m]G ofm copies of the permutation moduleV overK requires a generator of degreem(p−1). This improves a bound given by Richman [6], and implies that there exists no degree bound for the invariants ofG that is independent of the representation.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 255-267 
    ISSN: 1531-586X
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract LetG be a complex reductive Lie group with maximal compact subgroupK andG×X →X a holomorphic action on a Stein manifoldX. LetR o andR 1 be two Kempf-Ness sets arising from moment maps induced by strictly plurisubharmonic,K-invariant, proper functions. Then there is a globalK-equivariant diffeomorphism φ:X→X with φ(R 0)=R 1. In particular, the induced differentiable structures on the categorical quotientX G are diffeomorphic. The proof is based on a variant of Moser's method using time-dependent vector fields. An example shows that the differentiable structures can indeed be different, even though they are isomorphic.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 321-336 
    ISSN: 1531-586X
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract In this paper we show that the Kazhdan-Lusztig polynomials (and, more generally, parabolic KL polynomials) for the groupS n coincide with the coefficients of the canonical basis innth tensor power of the fundamental representation of the quantum groupU q $$\mathfrak{s}\mathfrak{l}$$ k . We also use known results about canonical bases forU q $$\mathfrak{s}\mathfrak{l}$$ 2 to get a new proof of recurrent formulas for KL polynomials for maximal parabolic subgroups (geometrically, this case corresponds to Grassmannians), due to Lascoux-Schützenberger and Zelevinsky.
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    Risk analysis 18 (1998), S. 661-662 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
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    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
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    Risk analysis 18 (1998), S. 665-667 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
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    Risk analysis 18 (1998), S. 679-688 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Air quality ; benchmarking ; best available control technology ; contaminant exposure ; risk assessment
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Although occupational exposure limits are sought to establish health-based standards, they do not always give a sufficient basis for planning an indoor air climate that is good and comfortable for the occupants in industrial work rooms. This paper considers methodologies by which the desired level, i.e., target level, of air quality in industrial settings can be defined, taking into account feasibility issues. Risk assessment based on health criteria is compared with risk-assessment based on “Best Available Technology” (BAT). Because health-based risk estimates at low concentration regions are rather inaccurate, the technology-based approach is emphasized. The technological approach is based on information on the prevailing concentrations in industrial work environments and the benchmark air quality attained with the best achievable technology. The prevailing contaminant concentrations are obtained from a contaminant exposure databank, and the benchmark air quality by field measurements in industrial work rooms equipped with advanced ventilation and production technology. As an example, the target level assessment has been applied to formaldehyde, total inorganic dust and hexavalent chromium, which are common contaminants in work room air.
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    Risk analysis 18 (1998), S. 741-753 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Lethal doses ; cross-species extrapolation ; dose scaling ; RTECS® ; noncancer risk assessment
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract The scaling of administered doses to achieve equal degrees of toxic effect in different species has been relatively poorly examined for noncancer toxicity, either empirically or theoretically. We investigate empirical patterns in the correspondence of single oral dose LD50 values across several mammalian species for a large number of chemicals based on data reported in the RTECS® database maintained by the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health. We find a good correspondence of LD50 values across species when the dose levels are expressed in terms of mg administered per kg of body mass. Our findings contrast with earlier analyses that support scaling doses by the 3/4-power of body mass to achieve equal subacute toxicity of antineoplastic agents. We suggest that, especially for severe toxicity, single- and repeated-dosing regimes may have different cross-species scaling properties, as they may depend on standing levels of defenses and rate of regeneration of defenses, respectively.
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    Risk analysis 18 (1998), S. 781-785 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: RADTRAN ; transportation risk ; routing ; spent nuclear fuel
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    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Truck transport of radioactive material (RAM), e.g., spent nuclear fuel (SNF), normally maximizes use of Interstate highways, which are safer and more efficient for truck transport in general. In the estimation of transportation risks, population bordering a route is a direct factor in determining consequences and an indirect factor in determining exposure times, accident probabilities and severities, and other parameters. Proposals to transport RAM may draw intense resistance from “stakeholders” based on concern for population concentrations along urban segments but the length of a route segment is also a determinative factor in estimating the transport risks. To quantify the relative importance of these two factors, a potential route for transport of SNF (strict use of Interstate highways) was selected and compared with a modified version that bypassed urban areas. The results suggest that emphasis on Interstate highways minimizes total route and urban segment risks.
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  • 70
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Threat mitigation ; risk reduction ; attitudes
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    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract This research explores public judgments about the threat-reducing potential of experts, individual behavior, and government spending. The data are responses of a national sample of 1225 to mail surveys that include measures of several dimensions of public judgments about violent crime, automobile accidents, hazardous chemical waste, air pollution, water pollution, global warming, AIDS, heart disease, and cancer. Beliefs about who can best mitigate threats are specific to classes of threats. In general, there is little faith that experts can do much about violent crime and automobile accidents, moderate faith in their ability to address problems of global warming, and greater expectations for expert solutions to the remaining threats. People judge individual behavior as effective in reducing the threats of violent crime, AIDS, heart disease, and automobile accidents but less so for the remaining threats. Faith in more government spending is highest for AIDS and the other two health items, lowest for the trio of violent crime, automobile accidents, and global warming, and moderate for the remaining threats. For most threats, people are not distributed at the extremes in judging mitigators. Strong attitudinal and demographic cleavages are also lacking, although some interesting relationships occur. This relative lack of sharp cleavages and the generally moderate opinion indicate ample opportunity for public education and risk communication.
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  • 71
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Power frequency magnetic fields ; 60 Hz fields ; EMF ; public perception ; risk communication ; inverse square law
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    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract The AC electric and magnetic fields associated with high voltage power lines have become a concern as a possible health risk. In most cases the strength of these fields decreases as the inverse square of the distance from the line. In earlier work, we found that laypeople do not understand how rapidly field strength decreases with distance. Most believe that any high voltage power line they can see is exposing them to strong fields. This paper confirms the earlier finding and explores a number of strategies which might be used in risk communications to correct this misperception. We found it relatively easy to provide subjects with a better understanding of the range-dependency of magnetic field strength. Moreover, the quality of this acquisition was apparently independent of the manner in which they were instructed. Such successful instruction is markedly different from the well-established difficulty of teaching people about many qualitative domains, such as physics or ideas in probability. Clearly, while some erroneous beliefs are highly resistant to change, others can be altered quite readily. We suspect that an important distinction between knowledge about the range-dependency of power-frequency magnetic fields and less tractable topics involves the presence or absence of prior folk-theories or “mental models” of the domain.
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    Risk analysis 18 (1998), S. 673-674 
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    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
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    Risk analysis 18 (1998), S. 689-699 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Information asymmetry ; risk perception ; food contamination (JEL D81, D82)
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    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract It is common in catastrophic food-contamination events that consumers fail to adjust instantaneously to a normal consumption level. One explanation is that consumers only gradually accept new positive information as being trustworthy. The gradual establishment of the trustworthiness of the released information depends on both positive and negative media coverage over time. We examine the individual “trust” effects by extending the prospective reference theory (Viscusi, 1989) to include a dynamic adjustment process of risk perception. Conditions that allow aggregation of changes in risk perceptions across individuals are described. The proposed model describes a general updating process of risk perceptions to media coverage and can be applied to explain the temporal impact of media coverage on consumption of a broad range of goods (food or nonfood). A case study of milk contamination is conducted to demonstrate consumer demand adjustment process to a temporarily unfavorable shock. The results suggest that effects of positive and negative information to adjustment of consumption and risk perception are asymmetric over time.
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    Risk analysis 18 (1998), S. 729-739 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Risk perceptions ; cultural theory
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    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Cultural Theory, as developed by Mary Douglas, argues that differing risk perceptions can be explained by reference to four distinct cultural biases: hierarchy, egalitarianism, individualism, and fatalism. This paper presents empirical results from a quantitative survey based on a questionnaire devised by Karl Dake to measure these cultural biases. A large representative sample (N = 1022) was used to test this instrument in the French social context. Correlations between cultural biases and perceptions of 20 social and environmental risks were examined. These correlations were very weak, but were statistically significant: cultural biases explained 6%, at most, of the variance in risk perceptions. Standard sociodemographic variables were also weakly related to risk perceptions (especially gender, social class, and education), and cultural biases and sociodemographic variables were themselves inter correlated (especially with age, social class, and political outlook). The authors compare these results with surveys conducted in other countries using the same instrument and conclude that new methods, more qualitative and contextual, still need to be developed to investigate the cultural dimensions of risk perceptions. The paper also discusses relationships between perceptions of personal and residual risk, and between perceived risk and demand for additional safety measures. These three dimensions were generally closely related, but interesting differences were observed for some risk issues.
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  • 76
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    Keywords: RfD ; uncertainty distributions ; extrapolation factors ; benchmark dose ; critical effect size ; critical effect dose ; human health risks
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    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract The use of uncertainty factors in the standard method for deriving acceptable intake or exposure limits for humans, such as the Reference Dose (RfD), may be viewed as a conservative method of taking various uncertainties into account. As an obvious alternative, the use of uncertainty distributions instead of uncertainty factors is gaining attention. This paper presents a comprehensive discussion of a general framework that quantifies both the uncertainties in the no-adverse-effect level in the animal (using a benchmark-like approach) and the uncertainties in the various extrapolation steps involved (using uncertainty distributions). This approach results in an uncertainty distribution for the no-adverse-effect level in the sensitive human subpopulation, reflecting the overall scientific uncertainty associated with that level. A lower percentile of this distribution may be regarded as an acceptable exposure limit (e.g., RfD) that takes account of the various uncertainties in a nonconservative fashion. The same methodology may also be used as a tool to derive a distribution for possible human health effects at a given exposure level. We argue that in a probabilistic approach the uncertainty in the estimated no-adverse-effect-level in the animal should be explicitly taken into account. Not only is this source of uncertainty too large to be ignored, it also has repercussions for the quantification of the other uncertainty distributions.
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    Risk analysis 18 (1998), S. 805-811 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Gender ; gender theory ; risk perception ; risk research ; methods
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    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract A substantial body of risk research indicates that women and men differ in their perceptions of risk. This paper discusses how they differ and why. A review of a number of existing empirical studies of risk perception points at several problems, regarding what gender differences are found in such studies, and how these differences are accounted for. Firstly, quantitative approaches, which have so far dominated risk research, and qualitative approaches give different, sometimes even contradictory images of women's and men's perceptions of risk. Secondly, the gender differences that appear are often left unexplained, and even when explanations are suggested, these are seldom related to gender research and gender theory in any systematic way. This paper argues that a coherent, theoretically informed gender perspective on risk is needed to improve the understanding of women's and men's risk perceptions. An analysis of social theories of gender points out some relations and distinctions which should be considered in such a perspective. It is argued that gender structures, reflected in gendered ideology and gendered practice, give rise to systematic gender differences in the perception of risk. These gender differences may be of different kinds, and their investigation requires the use of qualitative as well as quantitative methods. In conclusion, the arguments about gender and risk perception are brought together in a theoretical model which might serve as a starting point for further research.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 1-17 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 65T99 ; 42c15 ; 65T20 ; discrete Gabor transform (DGT) ; Gabor-Gram matrix ; unitarily equivalent Gabor-Gram matrix (UEGM) ; Gabor window ; dual Gabor window
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract The fundamental problem ofdiscrete Gabor transforms is to compute a set ofGabor coefficients in efficient ways. Recent study on the subject is an indirect approach: in order to compute the Gabor coefficients, one needs to find an auxiliary bi-orthogonal window function γ. We are seeking a direct approach in this paper. We introduce concepts ofGabor-Gram matrices and investigate their structural properties. We propose iterative methods to compute theGabor coefficients. Simple solutions for critical sampling, certain oversampling, and undersampling cases are developed.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 93-103 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 42A50 ; 42B20 ; 47G10
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 129-150 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 41A63 ; 41A65 ; 28A80 ; Fourier transformation ; Gibbs measure ; infinite product ; self-similar ; wavelet
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Let 0≤g be a dyadic Hölder continuous function with period 1 and g(0)=1, and let $$G(x) = \prod\nolimits_{n = 0}^\infty {g(x/{\text{2}}^n )} $$ . In this article we investigate the asymptotic behavior of $$\smallint _0^{\rm T} \left| {G(x)} \right|^q dx$$ and $$\frac{1}{n}\sum\nolimits_{k = 0}^n {\log g(2^k x)} $$ using the dynamical system techniques: the pressure function and the variational principle. An algorithm to calculate the pressure is presented. The results are applied to study the regulatiry of wavelets and Bernoulli convolutions.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 229-245 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 42A38-42B20 ; Generalized continuous wavelet transform ; Calderón's formula ; Generalized Abel transform
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract We prove a Calderón reproducing formula for a continuous wavelet transform associated with a class of singular differential operators on the half line. We apply this result to derive a new inversion formula for the generalized Abel transform.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 299-315 
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    Notes: Abstract Under very minimal regularity assumptions, it can be shown that 2n−1 functions are needed to generate an orthonormal wavelet basis for L2(ℝn). In a recent paper by Dai et al. it is shown, by abstract means, that there exist subsets K of ℝn such that the single function ψ, defined by $$\hat \psi = \chi K$$ , is an orthonormal wavelet for L2(ℝn). Here we provide methods for construucting explicit examples of these sets. Moreover, we demonstrate that these wavelets do not behave like their one-dimensional couterparts.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 53-66 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 42A10 ; 42A16 ; Local sinusoidal bases ; Malvar wavelets ; lapped orthogonal transform ; object-based video coding
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract In this article, we construct two-dimensional continuous/smooth local sinusoidal bases (also called Malvar wavelets) defined onL-shaped regions. With this construction, one is able to construct local sinusoidal bases and lapped orthogonal transforms (LOT) on arbitrarily shaped regions. This work is motivated from and useful in object-based video coding, where a segmented moving object may have arbitrary shape and block transform coding of this object is needed.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 105-128 
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 67-91 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 43A30 ; 43A65 ; 43A85 ; 68T10 ; 68U10 ; Fourier analysis ; irreducible representations of the groupSL(2, ℂ) ; harmonic analysis onSL(2, ℂ) ; projectively invariant classification of patterns ; projectively adapted pattern representation
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    Notes: Abstract Among all image transforms, the classical (Euclidean) Fourier transform has had the widest range of applications in image processing. Here its projective analogue, given by the double cover groupSL(2, ℂ) of the projective groupPSL(2, ℂ) for patterns, is developed. First, a projectively invariant classification of patterns is constructed in terms of orbits of the groupPSL(2, ℂ) acting on the image plane (with complex coordinates) by linear-fractional transformations. Then,SL(2, ℂ)-harmonic analysis, in the noncompact picture of induced representations, is used to decompose patterns into the components invariant under irreducible representations of the principal series ofSL(2, ℂ). Usefulness in digital image processing problems is studied by providing a camera model in which the action ofSL(2, ℂ) on the complex image plane corresponds to, and exhausts, planar central projections as produced when aerial images of the same scene are taken from different vantage points. The projectively adapted properties of theSL(2, ℂ)-harmonic analysis, as applied to the problems, in image processing, are confirmed by computational tests. Therefore, it should be an important step in developing a system for automated perspective-independent object recognition.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 159-174 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 26A15 ; 33A65 ; Fractals ; Hausdorff Dimension ; Hölder regularity ; wavelets
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract We give general mathematical results concerning oscillating singularities and we study examples of functions composed only of oscillating singularities. These functions are defined by explicit coefficients on an orthonormal wavelet basis. We compute their Hölder regularity and oscillation at every point and we deduce their spectrum of oscillating singularities.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 175-197 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: Primary 44A05 ; secondary 42B99 ; Wavelets ; Radon transforms ; L p -spaces ; windowed X-ray transforms ; k-plane transforms
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract The generalized Calderón reproducing formula involving “wavelet measure” is established for functions f ∈ Lp(ℝn). The special choice of the wavelet measure in the reproducing formula gives rise to the continuous decomposition of f into wavelets, and enables one to obtain inversion formulae for generalized windowed X-ray transforms, the Radon transform, and k-plane transforms. The admissibility conditions for the wavelet measure μ are presented in terms of μ itself and in terms of the Fourier transform of μ.
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    The journal of Fourier analysis and applications 4 (1998), S. 341-356 
    ISSN: 1531-5851
    Keywords: 42A16 ; 35J10 ; 11L07 ; 11T24 ; 33B20 ; Cauchy initial value problem ; Schrödinger equation ; Hilbert transform ; Gauss' sum ; continued fraction ; Fresnel integral ; curlicue ; selfsimilarity
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Let $$h(t,x): = p.v. \sum\limits_{n \in Z\backslash \left| 0 \right|} {\frac{{e^{\pi i(tn^2 + 2xn)} }}{{2\pi in}}} = \mathop {\lim }\limits_{N \to \infty } \sum\limits_{0〈 \left| n \right| \leqslant N} {\frac{{e^{\pi i(tn^2 + 2xn)} }}{{2\pi in}}} $$ ( $$(i = \sqrt { - 1;} t,x$$ -real variables). It is proved that in the rectangle $$D: = \left\{ {(t,x):0〈 t〈 1,\left| x \right| \leqslant \frac{1}{2}} \right\}$$ , the function h satisfies the followingfunctional inequality: $$\left| {h(t,x)} \right| \leqslant \sqrt t \left| {h\left( {\frac{1}{t},\frac{x}{t}} \right)} \right| + c,$$ where c is an absolute positive constant. Iterations of this relation provide another, more elementary, proof of the known global boundedness result $$\left\| {h; L^\infty (E^2 )} \right\| : = ess sup \left| {h(t,x)} \right|〈 \infty .$$ The above functional inequality is derived from a general duality relation, of theta-function type, for solutions of the Cauchy initial value problem for Schrödinger equation of a free particle. Variation and complexity of solutions of Schrödinger equation are discussed.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 3-32 
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract We generalize features of bounded symmetric domains to a bigger class of symmetric spaces calledMakarevič spaces: we associate a generalizedBergman operator to such a space and describe the invariant pseudo-metric and the invariant measure on the space by means of this family of operators. The space itself can be characterized essentially as the domain where the generalized Bergman operator is nondegenerate. These results are applied to the theory ofcompactly causal symmetric spaces: we describe explicitly the complex domain Ξ associated to such a space.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 103-111 
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract We investigate holomorphic self-maps of complex manifolds of the formG/Γ whereG is a complex Lie group and Γ a lattice. We show that they are induced by automorphisms ofG and that a surjective holomorphic self-map can be nonbijective only in the directions of the nilradical ofG.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 145-179 
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    Notes: Abstract There are two well known combinatorial tools in the representation theory ofSL n, the semi-standard Young tableaux and the Gelfand-Tsetlin patterns. Using the path model and the theory of crystals, we generalize the concept of patterns to arbitrary complex semi-simple algebraic groups.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 241-253 
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract We prove a more general version of a result announced without proof in [DP], claiming roughly that in a partially integrable highest weight module over a Kac-Moody algebra the integrable directions from a parabolic subalgebra.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 209-239 
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract The aim of the paper is the study of the orbits of the action of PGL4 on the space ℙ3 of the cubic surfaces of ℙ3, i.e., the classification of cubic surfaces up to projective motions. A varietyQ⊂ℙ19 is explicitely constructed as the union of 22 disjoint irreducible components which are either points or open subsets of linear spaces. More precisely, each orbit of the above action intersects one componentX ofQ in a finite number of points and the action of PGL4 restricted on each componentX is equivalent to the action of a finite groupG X onX which can be explicitely computed. Finally the cubic surfaces of each component ofQ are studied in details by determining their stabilizers, their rational representations and whether they can be expressed as the determinant of a 3×3 matrix of linear forms. The results are obtained with computational techniques and with the aid of some computer algebra systems like CoCoA, Macaulay and Maple.
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    Transformation groups 3 (1998), S. 337-353 
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    Topics: Mathematics
    Notes: Abstract Let $$\mathfrak{g}$$ u be a compact Lie algebra and let $$\mathfrak{g}$$ u be its complexification. Let ζ−1/2 be the inverse on the set of regular elements of $$\mathfrak{g}$$ u of a square root of the discriminant of $$\mathfrak{g}$$ . Generalizing a result of W. Lichtenstein in the case $$\mathfrak{g}$$ u = $$\mathfrak{s}\mathfrak{u}$$ (n, ℂ) or $$\mathfrak{s}\mathfrak{o}$$ (nℝ), we prove that ∂(q).ζ1/2 is non zero for all harmonic polynomialsq ∈S( $$\mathfrak{g}$$ ) \ {0}. This fact is deduced from results about equivariantD-modules supported on the nilpotent cone of $$\mathfrak{g}$$ .
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  • 95
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 96
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Benchmark ; mercury ; risk assessment ; epidemiology
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract This paper presents benchmark (BMD) calculations and additional regression analyses of data from a study in which scores from 26 scholastic and psychological tests administered to 237 6- and 7-year-old New Zealand children were correlated with the mercury concentration in their mothers' hair during pregnancy. The original analyses of five test scores found an association between high prenatal mercury exposure and decreased test performance, using category variables for mercury exposure. Our regression analyses, which utilized the actual hair mercury level, did not find significant associations between mercury and children's test scores. However, this finding was highly influenced by a single child whose mother's mercury hair level (86 mg/kg) was more than four times that of any other mother. When that child was omitted, results were more indicative of a mercury effect and scores on six tests were significantly associated with the mothers' hair mercury level. BMDs calculated from five tests ranged from 32 to 73 mg/kg hair mercury, and corresponding BMDLs (95% lower limits on BMDs) ranged from 17 to 24 mg/kg. When the child with the highest mercury level was omitted, BMDs ranged from 13 to 21 mg/kg, and corresponding BMDLs ranged from 7.4 to 10 mg/kg.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 97
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Risk analysis 18 (1998), S. 755-771 
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Everglades ; cost-benefit ; economic ; ecological ; entropy
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Evaluating alternatives for restoring the Everglades involves analysis of a complex ecological and economic system for which current knowledge is limited. Uncertain benefits and impacts are analyzed probabilistically in this paper, following otherwise accepted principles of net present value (NPV) analysis. Ecological benefits and impacts were considered in monetary terms. Probabilities for selected uncertain parameters were found by maximizing entropy. The first ecological risk conceptual model for the Everglades ecosystem was developed to show ecological interactions. “Current Plans” for restoration involve discharge of phosphorus-enriched water from artificial wetlands to relatively pristine Everglades marshes for 3–10 years, risking conversion of the ecosystem to a eutrophic cattail marsh. For two of the three areas studied, alternative “Bypass Plans” were shown to avoid the loss of up to 3000 acres of sawgrass marsh at a cost that is probabilistically justified by the value of the ecosystem preserved. Sensitivity of the results to projected ecological changes, eutrophic marsh valuation, natural marsh valuation, and future values as represented in the discount rate, was examined.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 98
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Sensitivity analysis ; decision making ; uncertainty in model predictions
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract The motivation of the present work is to provide an auxiliary tool for the decision-maker (DM) faced with predictive model uncertainty. The tool is especially suited for the allocation of R&D resources. When taking decisions under uncertainties, making use of the output from mathematical or computational models, the DM might be helped if the uncertainty in model predictions be decomposed in a quantitative—rather than qualitative—fashion, apportioning uncertainty according to source. This would allow optimal use of resources to reduce the imprecision in the prediction. For complex models, such a decomposition of the uncertainty into constituent elements could be impractical as such, due to the large number of parameters involved. If instead parameters could be grouped into logical subsets, then the analysis could be more useful, also because the decision maker might likely have different perceptions (and degrees of acceptance) for different kinds of uncertainty. For instance, the decomposition in groups could involve one subset of factors for each constituent module of the model; or one set for the weights, and one for the factors in a multi-criteria analysis; or phenomenological parameters of the model vs. factors driving the model configuration/structure aggregation level, etc.); finally, one might imagine that a partition of the uncertainty could be sought between stochastic (or aleatory) and subjective (or epistemic) uncertainty. The present note shows how to compute rigorous decomposition of the output's variance with grouped parameters, and how this approach may be beneficial for the efficiency and transparency of the analysis.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 99
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Remediation ; stakeholders ; deliberation ; risk assessment
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract The National Research Council has recommended the use of an analytic/deliberative decision-making process in environmental restoration decisions that involve multiple stakeholders. This work investigates the use of the results of risk assessment and multiattribute utility analysis (the “analysis”) in guiding the deliberation. These results include the ranking of proposed remedial action alternatives according to each stakeholder's preferences, as well as the identification of the major reasons for these rankings. The stakeholder preferences are over a number of performance measures that include the traditional risk assessment metrics, e.g., individual worker risk, as well as programmatic, cultural, and cost-related impacts. Based on these results, a number of proposals are prepared for consideration by the stakeholders during the deliberation. These proposals are the starting point for the formulation of actual recommendations by the group. In our case study, these recommendations included new remedial action alternatives that were created by the stakeholders after an extensive discussion of the detailed analytical results.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 100
    ISSN: 1539-6924
    Keywords: Fish consumption health advisories ; Great Lakes ; reading level ; risk communication ; risk ladders
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
    Notes: Abstract Information format can influence the extent to which target audiences understand and respond to risk-related information. This study examined four elements of risk information presentation format. Using printed materials, we examined target audience perceptions about: (a) reading level; (b) use of diagrams vs. text; (c) commanding versus cajoling tone; and (d) use of qualitative vs. quantitative information presented in a risk ladder. We used the risk communication topic of human health concerns related to eating noncommercial Great Lakes fish affected by chemical contaminants. Results from the comparisons of specific communication formats indicated that multiple formats are required to meet the needs of a significant percent of anglers for three of the four format types examined. Advisory text should be reviewed to ensure the reading level is geared to abilities of the target audience. For many audiences, a combination of qualitative and quantitative information, and a combination of diagrams and text may be most effective. For most audiences, a cajoling rather than commanding tone better provides them with the information they need to make a decision about fish consumption. Segmenting audiences regarding information needs and communication formats may help clarify which approaches to take with each audience.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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