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  • 1
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    Ground-Motion Variability for Single Site and Single Source through Deterministic Stochastic Method Simulations: Implications for PSHA (2017)
    Seismological Society of America (SSA)
    Details
    Publication Date: 2017-03-23
    Description: The ground-motion median and standard deviation of empirical ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) are usually poorly constrained in the near-source region due to the general lack of strong-motion records. Here we explore the use of a deterministic–stochastic simulation technique, specifically tailored to reproduce directivity effects, to evaluate the expected ground motion and its variability at a near-source site, and seek a strategy to overcome the known GMPEs limitations. To this end, we simulated a large number of equally likely scenario events for three earthquake magnitudes ( M w  7.0, 6.0, and 5.0) and various source-to-site distances. The variability of the explored synthetic ground motion is heteroscedastic, with smaller values for larger earthquakes. The standard deviation is comparable with empirical estimates for smaller events and reduces by 30%–40% for stronger earthquakes. We then illustrate how to incorporate directivity effects into probabilistic seismic-hazard analysis (PSHA). This goal is pursued by calibrating a set of synthetic GMPEs and reducing their aleatory variability (~50%) by including a predictive directivity term that depends on the apparent stress parameter obtained through the simulation method. Our results show that, for specific source-to-site configurations, the nonergodic PSHA is very sensitive to the additional epistemic uncertainty that may augment the exceedance probabilities when directivity effects are maximized. The proposed approach may represent a suitable way to compute more accurate hazard estimates. Electronic Supplement: Histograms of synthetic peak ground accelerations (PGAs) and peak ground velocities (PGVs).
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Published by Seismological Society of America (SSA)
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    PAPER CURRENT
  • 2
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    Monitoraggio in area sismica di beni monumentali: tecniche NDT e procedure di verifica (2014)
    AIPnD - Associazione Italiana Prove non Distruttive
    Details
    Publication Date: 2020-12-15
    Description: Negli ultimi anni il concetto di vulnerabilità sismica è tristemente entrato a far parte delle conoscenze anche dei non addetti ai lavori. Infatti, gli eventi sismici che hanno interessato dagli inizi del ‘900 il territorio Italiano, hanno sistematicamente messo in risalto l’elevata vulnerabilità sismica del nostro patrimonio edilizio, ivi compresi i beni monumentali, nonché, l’inesistenza di qualsiasi attività di programmazione della manutenzione periodica ordinaria e straordinaria delle strutture sismo-resistenti, che garantiscono nel tempo la conservazione delle loro capacità di risposta alle perturbazioni esterne.Il progetto PON sul Monitoraggio in Area Sismica di SIstemi MOnumentali nasce con la prerogativa di produrre uno strumento dedicato alla tutela di strutture a valenza storico – artistica, attraverso un percorso di catalogazione, di analisi del bene inteso come elemento costituito da elementi resistenti e da materiali, di studio del sito dove la struttura è ubicata e di attività di monitoraggio.
    Description: PON 01/02710 MASSIMO - Monitoraggio in Area SiSmica di benI MOnumentali
    Description: Published
    Description: 41-51
    Description: 3T. Pericolosità sismica e contributo alla definizione del rischio
    Description: 5T. Sorveglianza sismica e operatività post-terremoto
    Description: N/A or not JCR
    Description: open
    Keywords: beni monumentali ; tecniche NDT ; monitoraggio ; 04. Solid Earth::04.02. Exploration geophysics::04.02.04. Magnetic and electrical methods ; 04. Solid Earth::04.02. Exploration geophysics::04.02.05. Downhole, radioactivity, remote sensing, and other methods ; 04. Solid Earth::04.02. Exploration geophysics::04.02.06. Seismic methods ; 04. Solid Earth::04.02. Exploration geophysics::04.02.07. Instruments and techniques ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.04. Ground motion
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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    PAPER (OA)
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