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  • 1
    Publikationsdatum: 2021-02-10
    Beschreibung: The 2011 Tohoku earthquake produced an unexpected large amount of shallow slip greatly contributing to the ensuing tsunami. How frequent are such events? How can they be efficiently modelled for tsunami hazard? Stochastic slip models, which can be computed rapidly, are used to explore the natural slip variability; however, they generally do not deal specifically with shallow slip features. We study the systematic depth-dependence of slip along a thrust fault with a number of 2D dynamic simulations using stochastic shear stress distributions and a geometry based on the cross section of the Tohoku fault. We obtain a probability density for the slip distribution, which varies both with depth, earthquake size and whether the rupture breaks the surface. We propose a method to modify stochastic slip distributions according to this dynamically-derived probability distribution. This method may be efficiently applied to produce large numbers of heterogeneous slip distributions for probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis. Using numerous M9 earthquake scenarios, we demonstrate that incorporating the dynamically-derived probability distribution does enhance the conditional probability of exceedance of maximum estimated tsunami wave heights along the Japanese coast. This technique for integrating dynamic features in stochastic models can be extended to any subduction zone and faulting style.
    Beschreibung: Published
    Beschreibung: 35007
    Beschreibung: 2T. Sorgente Sismica
    Beschreibung: 5T. Modelli di pericolosità sismica e da maremoto
    Beschreibung: JCR Journal
    Repository-Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Materialart: article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 2
    Publikationsdatum: 2021-06-07
    Beschreibung: We used High-Rate sampling Global Positioning System (HRGPS) data from 52 permanent stations to retrieve the coseismic dynamic displacements related to the 2016 August 24 Mw 6.0 Amatrice earthquake. The HRGPS position time series (named hereinafter "GPSgrams") were obtained with two different analysis strategies of the raw GPS measurements (Precise Point Positioning [PPP] and Double-Difference [DD] positioning approaches using the Gipsy-Oasis II and the TRACK (GAMIT/GLOBK) software, respectively). These GPSgrams show RMS accuracies mostly within 0.3 cm and, for each site, an agreement within 0.5 cm between the two solutions. By using cross-correlation technique, the GPSgrams are also compared to the doubly-integrated strong motion data at sites where the different instrumentations are co-located in order to recognize in the GPSgrams the seismic waves movements. The high values (mostly greater than 0.6) of the cross-correlation functions between these differently-generated waveforms (GPSgrams and the SM displacement time-histories) at the co-located sites confirm the ability of GPS in providing reliable waveforms for seismological applications.
    Beschreibung: Published
    Beschreibung: 1T. Deformazione crostale attiva
    Beschreibung: JCR Journal
    Repository-Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Materialart: article
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  • 3
    Publikationsdatum: 2012-12-19
    Beschreibung: On May, 20th 2012, the Ferrara and Modena provinces (Emilia Romagna, Northern Italy) were struck by a moderate magnitude earthquake (Ml 5.9). The focal mechanism is consistent with a ~E-W-striking thrust fault. The mainshock was recorded by 29 high-rate sampling (1-Hz) continuous GPS (HRGPS) stations belonging to scientific or commercial networks and by 55 strong motion (SM) stations belonging to INGV (Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia) and RAN (Rete Accelerometrica Nazionale) networks, respectively. The spatial distribution of both HRGPS and SM stations with respect to the mainshock location allows a satisfactory azimuthal coverage of the area. To investigate directivity effects during the mainshock occurrence, we analyze the spatial variation of the peak ground displacement (PGD) measured either for HRGPS or SM sites, using different methods. For each HRGPS and SM site, we rotated the horizontal time series to the azimuth direction and we estimated the GPS-related and the SM-related peak ground displacement (G-PGD and S-PGD, respectively) retrieved by transverse component. However, in contrast to GPS displacements, the double integration of the SM data can be affected by the presence of drifts and, thus, they have to be corrected by quasi-manual procedures. To more properly compare the G-PGDs to the S-PGDs, we used the response spectrum. A response spectrum is simply the response of a series of oscillators of varying natural frequency, that are forced into motion by the same input. The asymptotic value of the displacement response spectrum is the peak ground displacement. Thus, for each HRGPS and SM site, we computed the value of this asymptotic trend (G-PGDrs and S-PGDrs, respectively). This method allows simple automatic procedures. The consistency of the PGDs derived from HRGPS and SM is also evaluated for sites where the two instruments are collocated. The PGDs obtained by the two different methods and the two different data types suggest a source directivity effect in the SE (~120°-150°N) direction.
    Beschreibung: Published
    Beschreibung: San Francisco, California (USA)
    Beschreibung: 3.1. Fisica dei terremoti
    Beschreibung: open
    Schlagwort(e): HRGPS; strong motion ; source directivity ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.03. Earthquake source and dynamics
    Repository-Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Materialart: Poster session
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 4
    Publikationsdatum: 2020-02-24
    Beschreibung: During the three strongest shocks of the 1997 Umbria-Marche, central Italy, seismic sequence, long-period (T 〉 1 s) spectral ordinates showed large variations in intermountain basins in the Apennines. In particular, at a strong-motion station in the Rieti plain, about 65 km south of epicenters, long-period response spectra during the Mw 5.6 and 5.7 shocks had larger amplitudes than the Mw 6.0 ones; in contrast, in the Gubbio basin, about 40 km northwest of the epicenters, the Mw 6.0 shock had spectral ordinates exceeding those of the Mw 5.6 and 5.7 shocks by more than a factor of 10 at long periods. Since focal mechanisms were similar for the causative earthquakes and the difference in magnitude and source-to-receiver-path is small, these observations can only be explained in terms of a different source directivity. The availability of a rock station on the Gubbio basin edge and other moderate-magnitude earthquakes of the same seismic sequence allows us to separate the local amplification term from the varying contribution of source directivity for the different shocks. Their combination is responsible for long-period ground displacements significantly larger than 10 cm at Mw 6.0 and 40-km source distance. Since source directivity is a very recurrent feature for normal-faulting earthquakes of the Apennines (evident during the recent L’Aquila earthquakes even at magnitudes as small as 3), these results arise a concern for many intermountain basins located in a geographical position favorable to a significant hazard increase due to source directivity. Furthermore, the performance of different Ground Motion Prediction Equations has been explored as well as of corrections based on various source directivity models.
    Beschreibung: Published
    Beschreibung: University of California Santa Barbara
    Beschreibung: 3.1. Fisica dei terremoti
    Beschreibung: open
    Schlagwort(e): Source directivity ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.01. Earthquake faults: properties and evolution ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.03. Earthquake source and dynamics ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.04. Ground motion ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.09. Waves and wave analysis
    Repository-Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Materialart: Poster session
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 5
    Publikationsdatum: 2017-04-04
    Beschreibung: ShakeMap package uses empirical ground motion prediction equations (GM PEs) to estimate the ground motion where recorded data are not available. Recorded and estimated values are then interpolated in order to produce a shaking map associated to the considered event. Anyway GMPEs account only for average characteristics of source and wave propagation processes. Within the framework of the DPC-INGV S3 project (2007-09), we evaluate whether the inclusion of directivity effects in GMPEs (companion paper Spagnuolo et al., 2010) or the use of synthetic seismograms from finite-fault rupture models may improve the ShakeMap evaluation. An advantage of using simulated motions from kinematic rupture models is that source effects, as rupture directivity, are directly included in the synthetics. This is particularly interesting in Italy where the regional GMPEs, based on a few number of near-source records for moderate-to-large earthquakes, are not reliable for estimating ground motion in the vicinity of the source. In this work we investigated how and if the synthetic seismograms generated with finite-fault models can be used in place of (or in addition to) GMPEs within the ShakeMap methodology. We assumed a description of the rupture model with gradually increasing details, from a simple point source to a kinematic rupture history obtained from inversion of strong-motion data. According to the available information synthetic seismograms are calculated with methods that account for the different degree of approximation in source properties. We chose the M w 6.9 2008 Iwate-M iyagi (Japan) earthquake as a case study. This earthquake has been recorded by a very large number of stations and the corresponding ShakeMap relies almost totally on the recorded ground motions. Starting from this ideal case, we removed a number of stations in order to evaluate the deviations from the reference map and the sensitivity of the map to the number of stations used. The removed data are then substituted with synthetic values calculated assuming different source approximations, and the resulting maps are compared to the original ones (containing observed data only). The use of synthetic seismograms computed for finite-fault rupture models produces, in general, an improvement of the calculated ShakeMaps, especially when synthetics are used to integrate real data. When real data are not available and ShakeMap is estimated using GMPEs only, the improvement adding simulated values depends on the considered strong-motion parameters.
    Beschreibung: Published
    Beschreibung: Montpellier , France
    Beschreibung: 4.1. Metodologie sismologiche per l'ingegneria sismica
    Beschreibung: open
    Schlagwort(e): Shakemaps ; synthetic seismograms ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.99. General or miscellaneous
    Repository-Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Materialart: Poster session
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  • 6
    Publikationsdatum: 2018-02-19
    Beschreibung: The city of Istanbul is characterized by one of the highest levels of seismic risk in the Mediterranean region. An important source of such increased risk is the high probability of large earthquake occurrence during the coming years, which stands at about 65% likelihood owing to the existing seismic gap and the post-1999 earthquake stress transfer at the western portion of the North Anatolian fault zone. In this study, we simulated hybrid broadband time histories from selected earthquakes having magnitude Mw 〉7:0 in the Sea of Marmara within 10–20 km of Istanbul, the most probable scenarios for simulated generation of the devastating 1509 event in this region. Physics-based rupture scenarios, which may be an indication of potential future events, are adopted to estimate the ground-motion characteristics and its variability in the region. Two simulation techniques are used to compute a realistic time series, considering generic rock site conditions. The first is a full 3D wave propagation method used for generating low-frequency seismograms, and the second is a stochastic finite-fault model approach based on dynamic corner-frequency high-frequency seismograms. Dynamic rupture is generated and computed using a boundary integral equation method, and the propagation in the medium is realized through a finite-difference approach. The results from the two simulation techniques are then merged by performing a weighted summation at intermediate frequencies to calculate a broadband synthetic time series. The simulated hybrid broadband ground motions are validated by comparing peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity (PGV), and spectral accelerations (5% damping) at different periods with the ground-motion prediction equations in the region. Our simulations reveal strong rupture directivity and supershear rupture effects over a large spatial extent, which generate extremely high near-fault motions exceeding the 250 cm=s PGV along the entire length of the ruptured fault.
    Beschreibung: Published
    Beschreibung: 1307-1323
    Beschreibung: 5T. Modelli di pericolosità sismica e da maremoto
    Beschreibung: JCR Journal
    Repository-Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Materialart: article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 7
    Publikationsdatum: 2018-03-23
    Beschreibung: The 2016 August 24 Amatrice earthquake occurred at 03:36 local time in Central Apennines Italy with an epicentre at 43.36°E, 38.76°N, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), few kilometers north of the city of Amatrice. The earthquake ruptured a North-West (NW)–South-East (SE) oriented normal fault dipping toward the South-West (SW) (Scognamiglio et al., 2016). High values of peak ground acceleration (~0.92 g) were observed close to Amatrice (3 stations being few kilometer distances from the fault). The present study presents an overview of the main features of the seismic ground shaking during the Amatrice earthquake. We analyze the ground motion characteristics of the main shock in terms of peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV) and spectral accelerations (SA, 5 per cent of critical damping). In order to understand the characteristics of the ground motions induced by Amatrice earthquake, we also study the source-related effects relative to the fault rupture directivity.
    Beschreibung: Published
    Beschreibung: 4T. Sismologia, geofisica e geologia per l'ingegneria sismica
    Beschreibung: JCR Journal
    Repository-Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Materialart: article
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  • 8
    Publikationsdatum: 2019-10-01
    Beschreibung: European-Union Civil Protection Mechanism, DG-ECHO, Agreement Number: ECHO/SUB/2015/718568/PREV26
    Beschreibung: Published
    Beschreibung: 6T. Studi di pericolosità sismica e da maremoto
    Beschreibung: 1SR TERREMOTI - Sorveglianza Sismica e Allerta Tsunami
    Beschreibung: 2SR TERREMOTI - Gestione delle emergenze sismiche e da maremoto
    Beschreibung: 4IT. Banche dati
    Schlagwort(e): Europe ; NEAM ; Atlantic Ocean ; Mediterranean Sea ; Aegean Sea ; Marmara Sea ; Black Sea ; earthquake ; tsunami ; moment magnitude ; crustal fault ; subduction interface ; megathrust ; probabilistic hazard model ; natural hazard ; Disaster Risk Reduction ; 05.08. Risk ; 04.06. Seismology ; 03.02. Hydrology
    Repository-Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Materialart: web product
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 9
    Publikationsdatum: 2018-02-19
    Beschreibung: In the present study, we improve the probabilistic seismic-hazard assessment (PSHA), taking into account fault rupture-related parameters that sensibly affect the azimuthal variability of the ground motion. The study area is the Marmara region (Turkey), characterized by one of the highest levels of seismic risk in Europe and the Mediterranean region. The seismic hazard in the city of Istanbul is mainly associated with two active fault segments having well-defined geometry, focal mechanism, and rate of activity. Deterministic dynamic models are also available in this area (Aochi and Ulrich, 2015) that aimed at evaluating the seismic potential of the Marmara region. These models provide the statistical distribution for the hypocenter position, which is particularly relevant for rupture directivity. The aim of this work is to incorporate all the available information about the seismic potential of the Marmara region in a PSHA framework. We use an analytical model for directivity (Spudich and Chiou, 2008; Spudich et al., 2013) to integrate rupture-related parameters inside the PSHA standard procedure. Because the directivity effect is conditional on the hypocenter position, which is not a priori known, we assume at first ad hoc Gaussian distributions centered in the western, eastern, or middle part of the two fault segments. Our results show that the correction for directivity introduces a significant contribution (up to 25% of relative increase at 2 s) to the hazard maps computed with the standard PSHA practice (given in terms of pseudospectral accelerations having 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years). The hazard maps sensibly change when we use the distribution for the hypocenter position informed by the statistical treatment of dynamic simulations. Thus, integrating new variables in the PSHA in combination with properly informed probability density functions is not only feasible, but also recommended for a comprehensive PSHA.
    Beschreibung: Published
    Beschreibung: 2599-2613
    Beschreibung: 5T. Modelli di pericolosità sismica e da maremoto
    Beschreibung: JCR Journal
    Repository-Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Materialart: article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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  • 10
    Publikationsdatum: 2018-03-13
    Beschreibung: We develop a new approach to image earthquake rupture from strong motion data. We use a large data set of aftershock waveforms, interpolated over the seismic fault to obtain Green’s function approximations. Next we deploy a Bayesian inversion method to characterize the slip distribution, the rupture velocity, the slip duration, and their uncertainties induced by errors in the Green’s functions. The method is applied to the 29 May 2012 Mw 6 Emilia earthquake, which ruptured a fault buried below the Po Plain sediments (Northern Italy). Despite the particularly complex wave propagation, the near-field strong motion observations are well reproduced with 15 rupture parameters. The rupture and slip velocities were notably slow (~0.5 Vs and 〈0.5 m/s, respectively), implying that the fault was difficult to break. This method opens some perspectives for earthquake rupture studies in areas where numerical simulations suffer from imprecise knowledge of the velocity structure.
    Beschreibung: Published
    Beschreibung: 7783-7792
    Beschreibung: 2T. Sorgente Sismica
    Beschreibung: 4T. Sismologia, geofisica e geologia per l'ingegneria sismica
    Beschreibung: JCR Journal
    Repository-Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Materialart: article
    Standort Signatur Erwartet Verfügbarkeit
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