Publication Date:
2013-03-09
Description:
Surface temperature reconstructions of the past 1500 years suggest that recent warming is unprecedented in that time. Here we provide a broader perspective by reconstructing regional and global temperature anomalies for the past 11,300 years from 73 globally distributed records. Early Holocene (10,000 to 5000 years ago) warmth is followed by ~0.7 degrees C cooling through the middle to late Holocene (〈5000 years ago), culminating in the coolest temperatures of the Holocene during the Little Ice Age, about 200 years ago. This cooling is largely associated with ~2 degrees C change in the North Atlantic. Current global temperatures of the past decade have not yet exceeded peak interglacial values but are warmer than during ~75% of the Holocene temperature history. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change model projections for 2100 exceed the full distribution of Holocene temperature under all plausible greenhouse gas emission scenarios.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Marcott, Shaun A -- Shakun, Jeremy D -- Clark, Peter U -- Mix, Alan C -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2013 Mar 8;339(6124):1198-201. doi: 10.1126/science.1228026.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA. marcotts@science.oregonstate.edu〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23471405" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
Keywords:
Global Warming/*history/statistics & numerical data
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History, 15th Century
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History, 16th Century
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History, 17th Century
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History, 18th Century
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History, 19th Century
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History, 20th Century
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History, 21st Century
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History, Ancient
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History, Medieval
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*Models, Theoretical
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*Temperature
Print ISSN:
0036-8075
Electronic ISSN:
1095-9203
Topics:
Biology
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Chemistry and Pharmacology
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Computer Science
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Medicine
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Natural Sciences in General
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Physics
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