ISSN:
1572-9338
Keywords:
Scenario
;
mental model
;
causal knowledge
;
inferential reasoning
;
memory
Source:
Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
Topics:
Mathematics
,
Economics
Notes:
Abstract A conceptual framework is proposed for understanding and analysing the cognitive processes involved in the intuitive generation of scenarios. Four stages are distinguished: The activation of relevant problem knowledge, the constitution of a mental model, the simulation of the mental model, and the selection of inferences. The approach is illustrated with examples from a project on the future impacts of new information and communication technology on private life.
Type of Medium:
Electronic Resource
URL:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF02283740
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