Publication Date:
2017-04-04
Description:
The purpose of this report is to discuss in detail the importance and prerogatives of quantitative volcanic hazard assessment and to describe the main features of a Bayesian model designed to achieve this goal. Ideas, models and results come out from the work made in the framework of the INGV-DPC V4 project, and partially from the application of the technique to Campi Flegrei (V3_2) and Vesuvius (V3_4). Here, we examine in depth the practical and philosophical implications of the approach, and report only a brief summary of the technical details that can be found on the cited literature.
Description:
Published
Description:
77-89
Description:
4.3. TTC - Scenari di pericolosità vulcanica
Description:
open
Keywords:
Bayesian Event Tree
;
Probabilistic volcanic hazard
;
Probabilistic eruption Forecasting
;
04. Solid Earth::04.08. Volcanology::04.08.08. Volcanic risk
Repository Name:
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
Type:
book chapter
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