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  • 1
    Monograph available for loan
    Monograph available for loan
    Dire predictions : understanding global warming (2008)
    London [u.a.] : DK Publ.
    Details Availability
    Call number: PIK N 076-08-0252
    Description / Table of Contents: Contents: 1. Climate change basics; 2. Climate change projections; 3. The impact of climate change; 4. Vulnerability and adaptation to climate change; 5. Solving global warming; Glossary; Index
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: 208 S. : zahlr. Ill., graph. Darst.
    Edition: 1st American ed.
    ISBN: 9780756639952
    Location: A 18 - must be ordered
    Branch Library: PIK Library
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  • 2
    Monograph available for loan
    Monograph available for loan
    Urbanization and governance in India (2005)
    New Delhi : Manohar
    Details Availability
    Call number: PIK E 712-09-0142
    Description / Table of Contents: Contents: Governing India's urban environment : problems, policies, and politics ; Planning of Indian mega-cities : issues of governance, the public sphere, and a pinch of civil society ; Women and urban development : do they make a difference? : a case study of the Municipal Corporation of Delhi ; Slum as achievement : governmentality, and the agency of slum dwellers ; Towards an improved urban governance of public services : water supply and sanitation ; Reflections on urbanization in water : infrastructure and local discourse in a town in the making ; Waste and the city : public responses to the problems of municipal solid waste management in Indian metropolitan cities ; Pigs and power : urban space and urban decay ; Planning urban chaos : state and refugees in post-partition Delhi ; Town-planning and urban resistance in the old city of Delhi, 1937-77 ; Urban villages of Delhi ; Residential practices, creation, and use of urban space : unauthorized colonies in Delhi
    Type of Medium: Monograph available for loan
    Pages: 345 S. : graph. Darst
    ISBN: 8173046093
    Series Statement: South Asia studies 42
    Location: A 18 - must be ordered
    Branch Library: PIK Library
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  • 3
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Authors were clear about hockey-stick uncertainties (2006)
    [s.l.] : Nature Publishing Group
    Nature 442 (2006), S. 627-627 
    Details
    ISSN: 1476-4687
    Source: Nature Archives 1869 - 2009
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Notes: [Auszug] Sir Your News story “Academy affirms hockey-stick graph” (Nature 441, 1032; 2006) states that the US National Academy of Sciences (NAS) panel “concluded that systematic uncertainties in climate records from before ...
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/442627b
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    Paper (German National Licenses)
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  • 4
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Proxy evidence for an El Niño-like response to volcanic forcing (2003)
    [s.l.] : Macmillian Magazines Ltd.
    Nature 426 (2003), S. 274-278 
    Details
    ISSN: 1476-4687
    Source: Nature Archives 1869 - 2009
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Notes: [Auszug] Past studies have suggested a statistical connection between explosive volcanic eruptions and subsequent El Niño climate events. This connection, however, has remained controversial. Here we present support for a response of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon to ...
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature02101
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  • 5
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries (1998)
    [s.l.] : Macmillan Magazines Ltd.
    Nature 392 (1998), S. 779-787 
    Details
    ISSN: 1476-4687
    Source: Nature Archives 1869 - 2009
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Notes: [Auszug] Spatially resolved global reconstructions of annual surface temperature patterns over the past six centuries are based on the multivariate calibration of widely distributed high-resolution proxy climate indicators. Time-dependent correlations of the reconstructions with time-series records ...
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/33859
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  • 6
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    The North Atlantic Oscillation and regional phenology prediction over Europe (2005)
    Oxford, UK : Blackwell Science Ltd
    Global change biology 11 (2005), S. 0 
    Details
    ISSN: 1365-2486
    Source: Blackwell Publishing Journal Backfiles 1879-2005
    Topics: Biology , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography
    Notes: We present an integrated modeling study designed to investigate changes in ecosystem level phenology over Europe associated with changes in climate pattern, by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). We derived onset dates from processed NDVI data sets and used growing degree day (GDD) summations from the NCEP re-analysis to calibrate and validate a phenology model to predict the onset of the growing season over Europe. In a cross-validation hindcast, the model (PHENOM) is able to explain 63% of the variance in onset date for grid cells containing at least 50% mixed and boreal forest. Using a model developed from previous work we performed climate change scenarios, generating synthetic temperature and GDD distributions under a hypothetically increasing NAO. These new distributions were used to drive PHENOM and project changes in the timing of onset for forested cells over Europe. Results from the climate change scenarios indicate that, if the current trend in the NAO continues, there is the potential for a continued advance to the start of the growing season by as much as 13 days in some areas.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.00960.x
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  • 7
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Global interdecadal and century-scale climate oscillations during the past five centuries (1995)
    [s.l.] : Nature Publishing Group
    Nature 378 (1995), S. 266-270 
    Details
    ISSN: 1476-4687
    Source: Nature Archives 1869 - 2009
    Topics: Biology , Chemistry and Pharmacology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General , Physics
    Notes: [Auszug] Evidence for truly global climate signals must demonstrate consistent variations in data from widely separated localities, using records that are long enough to resolve the timescales of interest. To isolate possible climate signals, we have compiled a small (35), but globally distributed, set of ...
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/378266a0
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  • 8
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Robust estimation of background noise and signal detection in climatic time series (1996)
    Springer
    Climatic change 33 (1996), S. 409-445 
    Details
    ISSN: 1573-1480
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract We present a new technique for isolating climate signals in time series with a characteristic ‘red’ noise background which arises from temporal persistence. This background is estimated by a ‘robust’ procedure that, unlike conventional techniques, is largely unbiased by the presence of signals immersed in the noise. Making use of multiple-taper spectral analysis methods, the technique further provides for a distinction between purely harmonic (periodic) signals, and broader-band (‘quasiperiodic’) signals. The effectiveness of our signal detection procedure is demonstrated with synthetic examples that simulate a variety of possible periodic and quasiperiodic signals immersed in red noise. We apply our methodology to historical climate and paleoclimate time series examples. Analysis of a ≈ 3 million year sediment core reveals significant periodic components at known astronomical forcing periodicities and a significant quasiperiodic 100 year peak. Analysis of a roughly 1500 year tree-ring reconstruction of Scandinavian summer temperatures suggests significant quasiperiodic signals on a near-century timescale, an interdecadal 16–18 year timescale, within the interannual El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) band, and on a quasibiennial timescale. Analysis of the 144 year record of Great Salt Lake monthly volume change reveals a significant broad band of significant interdecadal variability, ENSO-timescale peaks, an annual cycle and its harmonics. Focusing in detail on the historical estimated global-average surface temperature record, we find a highly significant secular trend relative to the estimated red noise background, and weakly significant quasiperiodic signals within the ENSO band. Decadal and quasibiennial signals are marginally significant in this series.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00142586
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  • 9
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    Increased threat of tropical cyclones and coastal flooding to New York City during the anthropogenic era (2015)
    National Academy of Sciences
    Details
    Publication Date: 2015-09-28
    Description: In a changing climate, future inundation of the United States’ Atlantic coast will depend on both storm surges during tropical cyclones and the rising relative sea levels on which those surges occur. However, the observational record of tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic basin is too short (A.D. 1851 to present) to accurately assess long-term trends in storm activity. To overcome this limitation, we use proxy sea level records, and downscale three CMIP5 models to generate large synthetic tropical cyclone data sets for the North Atlantic basin; driving climate conditions span from A.D. 850 to A.D. 2005. We compare pre-anthropogenic era (A.D. 850–1800) and anthropogenic era (A.D.1970–2005) storm surge model results for New York City, exposing links between increased rates of sea level rise and storm flood heights. We find that mean flood heights increased by ∼1.24 m (due mainly to sea level rise) from ∼A.D. 850 to the anthropogenic era, a result that is significant at the 99% confidence level. Additionally, changes in tropical cyclone characteristics have led to increases in the extremes of the types of storms that create the largest storm surges for New York City. As a result, flood risk has greatly increased for the region; for example, the 500-y return period for a ∼2.25-m flood height during the pre-anthropogenic era has decreased to ∼24.4 y in the anthropogenic era. Our results indicate the impacts of climate change on coastal inundation, and call for advanced risk management strategies.
    Print ISSN: 0027-8424
    Electronic ISSN: 1091-6490
    Topics: Biology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General
    Published by National Academy of Sciences
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  • 10
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    Impact of climate change on New York City’s coastal flood hazard: Increasing flood heights from the preindustrial to 2300 CE (2017)
    National Academy of Sciences
    Details
    Publication Date: 2017-10-23
    Description: The flood hazard in New York City depends on both storm surges and rising sea levels. We combine modeled storm surges with probabilistic sea-level rise projections to assess future coastal inundation in New York City from the preindustrial era through 2300 CE. The storm surges are derived from large sets of synthetic tropical cyclones, downscaled from RCP8.5 simulations from three CMIP5 models. The sea-level rise projections account for potential partial collapse of the Antarctic ice sheet in assessing future coastal inundation. CMIP5 models indicate that there will be minimal change in storm-surge heights from 2010 to 2100 or 2300, because the predicted strengthening of the strongest storms will be compensated by storm tracks moving offshore at the latitude of New York City. However, projected sea-level rise causes overall flood heights associated with tropical cyclones in New York City in coming centuries to increase greatly compared with preindustrial or modern flood heights. For the various sea-level rise scenarios we consider, the 1-in-500-y flood event increases from 3.4 m above mean tidal level during 1970–2005 to 4.0–5.1 m above mean tidal level by 2080–2100 and ranges from 5.0–15.4 m above mean tidal level by 2280–2300. Further, we find that the return period of a 2.25-m flood has decreased from ∼500 y before 1800 to ∼25 y during 1970–2005 and further decreases to ∼5 y by 2030–2045 in 95% of our simulations. The 2.25-m flood height is permanently exceeded by 2280–2300 for scenarios that include Antarctica’s potential partial collapse.
    Print ISSN: 0027-8424
    Electronic ISSN: 1091-6490
    Topics: Biology , Medicine , Natural Sciences in General
    Published by National Academy of Sciences
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