ISSN:
1420-9136
Keywords:
Greece
;
hazard
;
Bayesian probabilities
Source:
Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
Topics:
Geosciences
,
Physics
Notes:
Abstract The Bayesian extreme-value distribution of earthquake occurrences has been adopted to estimate the seismic hazard in some seismogenic zones in Greece and surrounding regions. Seismic moment, slip rate, earthquake recurrence rate and magnitude were considered as basic parameters for computing the prior estimates of the seismicity. These estimates are then updated in terms of Bayes' theorem and historical estimates of seismicity associated with each zone. High probabilities for earthquakes withM≥6.0 have been obtained for the northwestern part of Greece as well as for the southwestern part of the Hellenic arc.
Type of Medium:
Electronic Resource
URL:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00878637