Publication Date:
2017-04-04
Description:
Forecasting the time, nature, and impact of future eruptions is difficult at volcanoes
such as Mount Etna, in Italy, where eruptions occur from the summit and on the flanks,
affecting areas distant from each other. Nonetheless, the identification and quantification
of areas at risk from new eruptions are fundamental for mitigating potential human
casualties and material damage. Here, we present new results from the application of a
methodology to define flexible high‐resolution lava invasion susceptibility maps based on
a reliable computational model for simulating lava flows at Etna and on a validation
procedure for assessing the correctness of susceptibility mapping in the study area.
Furthermore, specific scenarios can be extracted at any time from the simulation database,
for land use and civil defense planning in the long term, to quantify, in real time, the
impact of an imminent eruption, and to assess the efficiency of protective measures.
Description:
This work was sponsored by the Italian Ministry for
Education, University and Research, FIRB project RBAU01RMZ4 “Lava
flow simulations by Cellular Automata,” and by the National Civil Defense
Department and INGV (National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology),
project V3_6/09 “V3_6 – Etna.”
Description:
Published
Description:
B04203
Description:
1.5. TTC - Sorveglianza dell'attività eruttiva dei vulcani
Description:
3.5. Geologia e storia dei vulcani ed evoluzione dei magmi
Description:
3.6. Fisica del vulcanismo
Description:
4.3. TTC - Scenari di pericolosità vulcanica
Description:
4.4. Scenari e mitigazione del rischio ambientale
Description:
JCR Journal
Description:
reserved
Keywords:
lava flows
;
volcanic hazard
;
04. Solid Earth::04.04. Geology::04.04.99. General or miscellaneous
;
04. Solid Earth::04.04. Geology::04.04.03. Geomorphology
;
04. Solid Earth::04.08. Volcanology::04.08.99. General or miscellaneous
;
04. Solid Earth::04.08. Volcanology::04.08.06. Volcano monitoring
;
04. Solid Earth::04.08. Volcanology::04.08.08. Volcanic risk
;
05. General::05.01. Computational geophysics::05.01.02. Cellular automata, fuzzy logic, genetic alghoritms, neural networks
;
05. General::05.01. Computational geophysics::05.01.05. Algorithms and implementation
;
05. General::05.02. Data dissemination::05.02.99. General or miscellaneous
;
05. General::05.02. Data dissemination::05.02.03. Volcanic eruptions
;
05. General::05.08. Risk::05.08.99. General or miscellaneous
;
05. General::05.09. Miscellaneous::05.09.99. General or miscellaneous
Repository Name:
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
Type:
article
