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Error growth and predictability in operational ECMWF forecasts (1987)

Kalnay, Eugenia ; Dalcher, Amnon

In: Other Sources

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Publication Date: 2011-08-19

Description: The forecast error growth in the 100-day ECMWF data set of 10-day forecasts previously utilized by Lorenz (1982) is studied, separating the square of the error into systematic and random components. The nature of the errors is analyzed in the spherical harmonics wavenumber domain, and a new parametrization and its application to global errors are presented. The wavenumber dependence of the error growth is studied.

Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY

Type: Tellus, Series A - Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography (ISSN 0280-6495); 39A; 474-491

Format: text

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