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  • Articles  (16)
  • JEL classification: J13  (8)
  • prisoner's dilemma  (8)
  • Sociology  (16)
  • Political Science
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  • Articles  (16)
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  • 1
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Is a significant socio-economic structural change a pre-requisite for `initial' fertility decline in the LDCs? Evidence from Thailand based on a multivariate cointegration/vector error correction modelling approach (1999)
    Springer
    Journal of population economics 12 (1999), S. 463-487 
    Details
    ISSN: 1432-1475
    Keywords: JEL classification: J13 ; O15 ; C52 ; Key words: Fertility ; vector error-correction model ; variance decomposition
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract. This study is the first attempt at placing the analysis of fertility in a temporal dynamic framework in the case of a developing Asian economy such as Thailand by binding the relationship between fertility and its determinants within a cointegrated system. The analysis is based on the application of the following recently developed dynamic time series techniques: cointegration, vector error-correction modelling, variance decompositions and the impulse response functions. The results tend to indicate that in the complex dynamic interactions, the importance of the conventional `structural' hypothesis as a significant factor in bringing fertility down in the longer term cannot be denied. However, in the short to longer term, our findings, although not fully supportive of any particular hypothesis, appear to be broadly consistent more with the hypothesis emphasising the critical role played by the `ideational' or diffusion forces along with the demographic variables in ensuring `initial' fertility decline than with the conventional `structural' hypothesis emphasising a significant socio-economic structural change as a pre-condition for `initial' fertility decline.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s001480050109
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  • 2
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    A socioeconomic analysis of the determinants of fertility: The case of Vietnam (1997)
    Springer
    Journal of population economics 10 (1997), S. 251-271 
    Details
    ISSN: 1432-1475
    Keywords: JEL classification: J13 ; Key words: Number of children ever born ; Poisson model ; ordered-logit model
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract. This paper is an economics-based quantitative analysis of the determinants of individual fertility in Vietnam, measured as the number of children ever born. In addition to the conventional linear model, two limited dependent variable models, Poisson and ordered-logit, are estimated using data from the 1988 Vietnam Demographic and Health Survery. We find, among other things, that husbands‘ characteristics are almost as important as those of wives in determining fertility, perhaps a reflection of the still dominant role of husbands in Vietnamese families. Both paternal and maternal education have important impacts on fertility. Of special interest is the evidence that supports the attitudinal effect of education over the opportunity-cost effect.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s001480050042
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  • 3
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Intergenerational redistribution in a small open economy with endogenous fertility (1997)
    Springer
    Journal of population economics 10 (1997), S. 335-356 
    Details
    ISSN: 1432-1475
    Keywords: JEL classification: J13 ; H23 ; H55 ; Key words: Endogenous fertility ; pay-as-you-go financed pension systems
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract. For pay-as-you-go financed pension systems, claims may be calculated according to individual contributions (income) or the number of children of a family. We analyse the optimal structure of these parameters in a model with endogenous fertility. It is shown that for both structural determinants there exists no interior solution of the problem of intragenerational utility maximisation. Thus, pure systems are always welfare maximizing. Furthermore, children-related pension claims induce a fiscal externality that tends to be positive. The determination of the optimal contribution rate shows that the widely accepted Aaron-condition is in general a misleading indicator for the comparison of fully funded and pay-as-you-go financed pension systems.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s001480050047
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  • 4
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    An econometric and neoclassical analysis of the timing and spacing of births in Canada from 1950 to 1990 (1998)
    Springer
    Journal of population economics 11 (1998), S. 29-51 
    Details
    ISSN: 1432-1475
    Keywords: JEL classification: J13 ; C41 ; Key words: Life-cycle ; fertility ; multiple spell hazards ; non-parametric ; heterogeneity
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract. This paper estimates a reduced form neoclassical model of Canadian fertility dynamics using an econometric technique that integrates several features not usually found in the demographic and economic literature. We find considerable support for the neoclassical model. We also find that correlated unobservables and parity stopping effects play an important role in Canadian fertility dynamics as well as other socio-demographic features of Canadian women. However, we fail to totally characterize the important drops in the fertility rate that took place for this era.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s001480050057
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  • 5
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    The demand for children in Arab countries: Evidence from panel and count data models (1998)
    Springer
    Journal of population economics 11 (1998), S. 435-452 
    Details
    ISSN: 1432-1475
    Keywords: Key words: Fertility ; panel data ; negative binomial ; pro-natal policies ; JEL classification: J13 ; C25 ; C33
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract. This paper provides empirical evidence on fertility determinants in Arab countries. Adopting a macro and micro framework and exploiting panel and count data models the paper estimates the impact of cultural and economic factors on the demand for children. The results obtained strongly support the hypothesis that cross-country heterogeneity buttresses differentiated fertility and that female education mitigates high fertility. Child mortality and parent‘s preferences for sons positively affect fertility. By and large, demand for children is price and income inelastic.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s001480050078
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  • 6
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Endogenous fertility, mortality and growth (1998)
    Springer
    Journal of population economics 11 (1998), S. 517-534 
    Details
    ISSN: 1432-1475
    Keywords: Key words: Fertility ; mortality ; growth ; JEL classification: J13 ; O41
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract. Economic and demographic outcomes are determined jointly in a choice-theoretic model of fertility, mortality and capital accumulation. There is an endogenous population of reproductive agents who belong to dynastic families of overlapping generations connected through altruism. In addition to choosing savings and births, parents may reduce (infant) deaths by incurring expenditures on health-care which is also provided by the government. A generalised production technology accounts for long-run endogenous growth with short-run transitional dynamics. The analysis yields testable time series and cross-section implications which accord with the empirical evidence on the relationship between demography and development.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s001480050082
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  • 7
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Are simple tests of son preference useful? An evaluation using data from Vietnam (1998)
    Springer
    Journal of population economics 11 (1998), S. 495-516 
    Details
    ISSN: 1432-1475
    Keywords: Key words: Vietnam ; son preference ; JEL classification: J13
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract. Son preference is widespread although not universal. Where it occurs it may lead to higher fertility rates. Ideally son preference should be measured in the context of a hazards or parity progression model of fertility, or a logistic model of contraceptive use. Such models require large amounts of survey data, particularly to measure the covariates. Can son preference be discerned reliably using tests which rely on more limited information? The answer is yes, based on applying eight simple tests to data from the Vietnam Living Standards Survey of 1992–93 and comparing the outcomes with the benchmark results from fuller models. Some, but not all, of the simpler tests accurately measure son preference, including estimating a simple hazards or progression parity model, the unisex sibship test, and the sibling differentials test.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s001480050081
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  • 8
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    The socioeconomic consequences of young women's childbearing: Reconciling disparate evidence (1999)
    Springer
    Journal of population economics 12 (1999), S. 547-565 
    Details
    ISSN: 1432-1475
    Keywords: JEL classification: J13 ; Key words: Fertility ; siblings models
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract. Recent studies have begun to examine rigorously the links between early childbearing and subsequent socioeconomic status. Prominent in this literature has been a set of analyses that have used sibling fixed effects models to control for omitted variables bias. These studies report that the siblings difference procedure leads to smaller estimates of the effects of teen fertility than does standard regression analysis. While it is well known that the siblings fixed effects procedure makes strong assumptions regarding the type of omitted variables and is not necessarily robust to alternative assumptions, the assumptions of the procedure have not been explicitly examined. This paper uses 1979–1992 data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth to compare estimates of the income and education consequences of teenage and young adult fertility from standard regression and siblings fixed effects models with estimates from more general, alternative siblings models.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s001480050113
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  • 9
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    The repeated public goods game: A solution using Tit-for-Tat and the Lindahl point (1992)
    Springer
    Theory and decision 32 (1992), S. 133-146 
    Details
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Keywords: Lindahl ; public goods ; collective action ; tit-for-tat ; prisoner's dilemma ; repeated games
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract This paper demonstrates how a repeated public goods problem may be solved by using Tit-for-Tat (TFT) on the Lindahl point. The general solution is developed; geometric and numerical examples are offered.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00134048
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  • 10
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Nash Equilibrium with Lower Probabilities (1998)
    Springer
    Theory and decision 44 (1998), S. 37-66 
    Details
    ISSN: 1573-7187
    Keywords: Knightian uncertainty ; ambiguity ; mixed strategy Nash equilibrium ; lower probabilities ; belief functions ; prisoner's dilemma
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Sociology , Economics
    Notes: Abstract We generalize the concept of Nash equilibrium in mixed strategies for strategic form games to allow for ambiguity in the players' expectations. In contrast to other contributions, we model ambiguity by means of so-called lower probability measures or belief functions, which makes it possible to distinguish between a player's assessment of ambiguity and his attitude towards ambiguity. We also generalize the concept of trembling hand perfect equilibrium. Finally, we demonstrate that for certain attitudes towards ambiguity it is possible to explain cooperation in the one-shot Prisoner's Dilemma in a way that is in accordance with some recent experimental findings.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1004962423985
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