ALBERT

Notizen: This paper develops a model of the equilibrium unemploymentvacancy relationship, drawing upon concepts in the job searchlabour turnover literature, and uses that model to explain recent shifts in the uv curve for Great Britain. The analysis involves two stages: the estimation of a dynamic employment adjustment equation, and then the solution of the estimated form for the implicit, equilibrium uv relationship at different points in time. In this approach it is possible to attribute shifts in the uv curve to various exogenous factors such as the movement in real wages relative to productivity, external competitiveness, mismatching between jobs and workers, and the replacement ratio.

Notizen: A model of an open economy, in which two goods, a tradeable and a non-tradeable, are distinguished, is constructed. There is also an intermediate input (oil) which is both produced domestically and traded, and which is used as an input in the traded sector. There are two assets, money and internationally traded bonds. In the model the effects of various changes, including an increase in the money supply, and increases in both the world price of, and the domestic output of, oil, are analysed.

Notizen: This paper generalizes an earlier paper by Heal (1976) in which the‘lemons problem’is analysed in an exchange framework over time. Heal showed that the Akerlof (1970) rule that bad goods (lemons) always drive out good may not always be a valid one. Heal's anti-lemons result is also shown to be a Balanced Tempta-Equilibrium (B.T.E.) in the supergame. But it is also shown, paradoxically, that the B.T.E. can itself be dominated by certain strategies, hence there is a direct counterpart to the constituent version of the Lemons Game in its supergame analogue.

Notizen: This note demonstrates how recent results in the literature on true cost-of-living indices are of direct relevance to attempts to measure Hicks’compensating and equivalent variations because of the close inter-relationship between the Hicksian surplus measures and true (or constant-utility) price indices.

Notizen: Interfuel substitution, a priori, seems to be of considerable importance in the economy of the United Kingdom. Consequently, an appropriate model is developed and estimated. All energy sources are demonstrated to be substitutable. Coal is the most price responsive with natural gas, oil and electrical following. The results are not inconsistent with other studies of energy substitution. Moreover, when the issue of the stability of the demand for energy types is considered, the suggestion that the demand for coal, oil, natural gas, and electrical energy have remained virtually constant over the past three decades.

Notizen: In this paper a model of depository firm behavior is developed in which the depository institution acts as a multiple product producer. The multi-product model is an application of the general theory of value to the particular case of depository firms. It generalizes the theory of bank behavior to include production and cost aspects of banking activity as well as its financial aspects and reconciles the rivaling intermediary and firm-theoretic views on depository institutions. By so doing, it bridges the gap between models which treat depository firms as mere portfolio holders and those which analyze the check clearance function in isolation. Risk aversion, production function constraint, jointness, and multiple sources of uncertainty are simultaneously introduced. The model is used to analyze the effects of interest payment on transaction balances, interest payment on reserves of depository institutions by the Central bank, and the Central bank policy swings.

Notizen: This paper examines the short-run effects of changing government expenditure on output, consumption and employment. It attempts to combine the Public-Finance and macroeconomic approaches to the analysis of fiscal policy by introducing government expenditure which is ‘useful’ in consumption into an ISLM-type macro model which is derived from the singleperiod maximizing decisions of households and firms and which includes a government budget constraint.The principal conclusion is that the effects of fiscal policy on output and employment depend on the ‘efficiency’ of government expenditure. The more efficiently government expenditure meets consumption needs, the less effective is fiscal policy to the point where the fiscal-policy multiplier may be negative.

Notizen: In this paper population growth is the outcome of a utility maximizing process undertaken by each working generation. This is distinct from the usual treatment of population growth as an exogenous variable. Steady state growth paths are analysed, and the model is extended to allow for international lending and borrowing. The results obtained broadly correspond to the case of a given rate of increase of population, but under certain assumptions it is found that a capital importing country will have a faster rate of growth as a result of being able to borrow on international capital markets.

Notizen: The purpose of this paper is to derive the demand functions corresponding to an intertemporal linear expenditure system in which goods are durable, and in which there are penalty costs for changes in planned stocks. Taste changes over time can be interpreted as changes in the technology converting goods into characteristics.

Notizen: Book Reviews in This Article. Dynamics of Urban Development, by L. H. Klaassen, W. T. M. Molle, and J. H. P. Paelinck (eds.). British Regional Development since World War I, by Christopher M. Law. Nonmetropolitan America in Transition, by Amos H. Hawley and Sara Mills Mazie (eds.). Revitalizing Cities, by H. Briavel Holcomb and Robert A. Beauregard. Gentrification Amid Urban Decline: Strategies for America's Older Cities, by Michael H. Lang. Migration and Economic Growth in the United States. National, Regional, and Metropolitan Perspectives, by Michael J. Greenwood. Land Office Business, Land and Housing Prices in Rapidly Growing Metropolitan Areas, by Gary Sands. Energy Forecasting for Planners: Transportation Models, by W. Patrick Beaton, Jon H. Weyland, and Nancy Neuman. The City: Patterns and Processes in the Urban Ecosystem, by Christopher Exline, Gary L. Peters, and Robert P. Larkin.

Notizen: “Is there a human being who does not revere his homeland, even though he may not return?” (Jimmie Durham, Cherokee Indian)

Notizen: Book reviewed in this article: Geograph as Spatial Interaction, by edwward L. Ullman, edited by Ronald R. Boyce. Resources and Development: Natural Resource Policies and Economic Development in an Interdependent World, by Peter Dorner and Mahmoud A. El-Shafie. Metropolitan Planning: Issues and Policies, by Yung-Hee Pho and Myong-Chan Hwang. Microeconomic Simulation Models for Public Policy Analysis, Volume 1-Distributional Impacts, Volume 2-Sectoral, Regional, and General Equilibrium Models, by R. H. Haveman and K. Hollenbeck (eds.). An Industrial Geography of Japan, by Kiyoji Murata (ed.).

Notizen: Integrated land-use—transportation models are characterized as models in which the redistributive effects of one subsystem upon the other are explicitly defined and incorporated into the model's structure. At the core of integrated models is a linking procedure whose function is to transform the outputs of one model component into inputs for the other. Despite major efforts made in the past to build operational large scale integrated models, the structural properties of such models remain largely unexplored.This paper describes a general framework for an integrated model consisting of prototype model components. These are an iterative activity allocation model of the Garin-Lowry type, an equilibrium-assignment transportation network model, and a linking procedure. Given the level of analysis, this framework is shown useful for exploring the analytics of integrated models and, in particular, their equilibrium properties. By means of many simulation experiments based on an hypothetical numerical example, the operation of the model is demonstrated with an emphasis on the locational interpretation of the integration procedure.On the basis of the empirical results and considering the model's intrinsic assumptions, the following major findings can be cited. First, the effects of nontravel factors (such as basic employment and zonal attractions) upon activity distribution are stronger than effects caused by changes in the transportation system. The latter effects were found to yield nonlinear and, spatially, nonuniform changes in activity location which also tended to be larger in peripheral regions. Second, implicit in the specification of the integration procedure are behavioral assumptions regarding time-lags in locational adjustments made by activities in reaction to rising cost of travel. The present formulation implies that once located, activities do not revise their locational decisions despite substantial increases in travel costs. At the other extreme, all activities are permitted to readjust their locational preferences after the final interzonal travel costs are derived. The effect upon activity distribution of the latter specification is, of course, larger than that of the former, although less than the effect yielded by changes in nontravel factors.Regarding the equilibrium properties of the integrated system, both the theoretical and empirical analyses show that the entire model will converge into an equilibrium solution and that the corresponding trip patterns are also at equilibrium. These results will hold as long as the operation of the integrated models is completely controlled by the generation functions of the land-use model and the transportation model component only affects the spatial distribution of activities.Finally, the results from the simulation experiments indicate that the computed mean travel cost parameter tends to stabilize around a certain value as the level of demand for travel, within the system, rises. There is evidence that compensating changes in the location and composition of this demand are the main causes of this phenomenon.In light of these findings, it is possible to point to three key problems whose resolution could largely improve the predictive power of integrated models. First, it would be useful to define activity models in which the generation of activities is, among other things, a function of travel conditions. Second, currently formulated integrated models do not contain trip demand functions and, thus, demand for travel by an activity unit is regarded as completely inelastic. Third, different locating activities respond differently—over time and space—to changíng travel conditions, and models should, therefore, reflect explicitly such differences in activity behavior. A recent paper by Los [14], is an important contribution to the analysis of this issue.

Notizen: Book reviewed in this article: Population Redistribution and Public Policy, by Brian J.L. Berry and Lester P. Silverman (eds.). Spatial Analysis, Industry and the Industrial Environment, Volume I—Industrial Systems, by F.E. Ian Hamilton and G.J.R. Linge (eds.). Evaluation in Environmental Planning: Assessing Environmental, Social, Economic and Political Trade-offs, by Donald M. McAllister. Spatial Inequalities and Regional Development, by H. Folmer and J. Oosterhaven (eds.). Memoirs, by Jean Monnet.