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  • Articles  (97,320)
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  • 1990-1994  (94,099)
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  • Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering  (21,663)
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  • Articles  (97,320)
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  • 1
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 27-41 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Groundwater monitoring networks ; Information reliability ; Information scales ; Kalman filtering in groundwater
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract The extensive use of groundwater resources has increased the need for developing cost-effective monitoring networks to provide an indication of the degree to which the subsurface environment has been affected by human activities. This study presents a cost-effective approach to the design of groundwater flow monitoring networks. The groundwater network design is formulated with two problem formats: maximizing the statistical monitoring power for specified budget constraint and minimizing monitoring cost for statistical power requirement. The statistical monitoring power constraint is introduced with an information reliability threshold value. A branch and bound technique is employed to select the optimal solution from a discrete set of possible network alternatives. The method is tested to the design of groundwater flow monitoring problem in the Pomona County, California.
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  • 2
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 65-81 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Lagoons ; Ponds ; Facultative ; First-order kinetics ; Complete mixing ; Probabilistic ; Uncertainty ; Environmental ; Stochastic differential equations
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract Two stochastic models are developed to describe the BOD output (i.e. effluent) variation of facultative aerated lagoons in series. One of the models uses the uncertainty analysis (UA) technique and the other is based on the moment equation solution methodology of stochastic differential equations (SDE's). The former considers a second-order approximation of the expectation (SOAE) and a first-order approximation of the variance (FOAV). The SDE model considers that output variability is accounted for by random variations in the rate coefficient. Comparisons are provided. Calibration and verification of the two models are aciieved by using field observations from two different lagoon systems in series. The predictive performances of the two models are compared with each other and with another SDE model, presented in a previous paper, that considers input randomness. The three methods show similar predictive performances and provide good predictions of the mean and standard deviation of the lagoon effluent BOD concentrations and thus are considered as appropriate methodologies.
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  • 3
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 89-103 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: maximum precipitation depths ; extreme-value distributions ; seasonal variation ; partial duration series ; model misspecification
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract Quantile estimates of the annual maximum distribution can be obtained by fitting theoretical distributions to the maxima in separate seasons, e.g. to the monthly maxima. In this paper, asymptotic expressions for the bias and the variance of such estimates are derived for the case that the seasonal maxima follow a Gumbel distribution. Results from these expressions are presented for a situation with no seasonal variation and for maximum precipitation depths at Uccle/Ukkel (Belgium). It is shown that the bias is often negligible and that the variance reduction by using seasonal maxima instead of just the annual maxima strongly depends on the seasonal variation in the data. A comparison is made between the asymptotic standard error of quantile estimates from monthlymaxima with those from a partial duration series. Much attention is paid to the effect of model misspecification on the resulting quantile estimates of the annual maximum distribution. The use of seasonal maxima should be viewed with caution when the upper tail of this distribution is of interest.
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  • 4
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 193-208 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Stochastic tidal modeling ; parameter identification ; model calibration
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract In this paper a parameter estimation algorithm is developed to estimate uncertain parameters in two dimensional shallow water flow models. Since in practice the open boundary conditions of these models are usually not known accurately, the uncertainty of these boundary conditions has to be taken into account to prevent that boundary errors are interpreted by the estimation procedure as parameter fluctuations. Therefore the open boundary conditions are embedded into a stochastic environment and a constant gain extended Kalman filter is employed to identify the state of the system. Defining a error functional that measures the differences between the filtered state of the system and the measurements, a quasi Newton method is employed to determine the minimum of this functional. To reduce the computational burden, the gradient of the criterium that is required using the quasi Newton method is determined by solving the adjoint system.
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  • 5
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 217-226 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Exponential distribution ; bivariate exponential distribution ; distribution of flood volume ; partial duration series
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract A methodology based on the theory of stochastic processes is applied to the analysis of floods. The approach will be based on some results of the theory of extreme values over a threshold. In this paper, we focus on the estimation of the distribution of the flood volume in partial duration series analysis of flood phenomena, by using a bivariate exponential distribution of discharge exceedances and durations over a base level.
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  • 6
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 254-254 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
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  • 7
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 277-294 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Water distribution ; optimization ; nonlinear programming ; integer programming ; chance constraints ; rehabilation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract This paper presents the mathematical development of an integer — nonlinear programming chance — constrained optimization model for the minimum cost rehabilitation/replacement of water distribution system components. Particular attention is given to the handling of uncertainties in the roughness factors and the loading conditions including both the random demand and preassure head requirements. The advantages of the proposed model include the ability to: 1) handle the optimal timing of rehabilitation/replacement for water distribution system components; 2) link a mixed-integer linear program solver, a nonlinear program solver, and a hydraulic simulator into an optimization framework; 3) handle the uncertainties of some of the variables; 4) incorporate various kinds of cost functions; and 5) handle multiple loading conditions.
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  • 8
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 309-320 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Entropy ; reliability ; redundancy ; water distribution networks ; nodal pair reliability
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract Entropy based expressions for measurement of reliability and redundancy have recently been reported. These measures approach assessment of the reliability of the distribution network from the intrinsic redundancy of the network layout. The paper extends earlier work on entropy functions by including a more explicit statement of the alternate paths available in the network and by recognizing that under certain circumstances, e.g., failure of some part of the network work, an outflow link from a node under normal working condition may become an inflow link to the same node. The measures are assessed by comparison with parameters measuring Nodal Pair Reliability and percentage of flow supplied at adequate pressure for a range of networks and link failure conditions in this networks. The entropy measures are shown to reflect changes in the network reliability, as measured by these two comparative parameters, very well.
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  • 9
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 5 (1991), S. 1-16 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Partial duration series ; unbiased risk ; Bayesian risk
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract Conventional design practice aims at obtaining optimal estimates of floods with specified exceedance probabilities. Such estimates are, however, known on the average to be exceeded more frequently than expected. Alternatively, methods focusing on the expected exceedance probability can be used. Two different methods are considered here; the first is based on the sample distribution of true exceedance probabilities. The second is a Bayesian analogue using the likelihood function and a noninformative prior to describe the variability of exceedance probabilities. Appropriate analytical solutions are presented in both cases using the partial duration series approach.
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  • 10
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 5 (1991), S. 55-68 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Bivariate probability distribution ; random variables ; zero marginals ; Finch-Groblicki method
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract A vivariate probability density function (pdf),f(x 1,x 2), admissible for two random variables (X 1,X 2), is of the form $$f(x_1 x_2 ) = f_1 (x_1 )f_2 (x_2 )[1 + \rho \{ F_1 (x_1 ),F_2 (x_2 )\} ]$$ where ρ(u, v) (u=F 1(x 1),v=F 2(x 2)) is any function on the unit square that is 0-marginal and bounded below by−1 andF 1(x 1) andF 2(x 2) are cumulative distribution functions (cdf) of marginal probability density functionsf 1(x 1) andf 2(x 2). The purpose of this study is to determinef(x 1,x 2) for different forms of ρ(u,v). By considering the rainfall intensity and the corresponding depths as dependent random variables, observed and computed probability distributionsF 1(x 1),F(x 1/x 2),F 2(x 2), andF(x 2/x 1) are compared for various forms of ρ(u,v). Subsequently, the best form of ρ(u,v) is specified.
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  • 11
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 5 (1991), S. 77-87 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Flood ; random ; distribution ; estimation ; probability ; entropy ; fractile constraints
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract The method of Relative Entropy with Fractile constraints (REF method) is explained and applied to model extreme compound hydrological phenomena, such as extreme sea levels under storm conditions. Also presented is a simple method of Tail Entropy Approximation (TEA), which amounts to a correction of traditional statistical estimates for extreme observations. Distribution assumptions are necessary but downplayed in the REF method, relegating the prior distribution to the role of an extrapolation function. The estimates are objective in an information-theoretical sense. They also satisfy a strict requirement of self-consistency that is generally not satisfied by standard statistical methods: invariance under monotonic transformations of the random variable. Historical records of storm surge levels in the Netherlands and annual maximum tidal heights for Sheerness, UK, are used as examples. Comparison is made with distributions obtained using other methods. It is concluded that the tail entropy approximation provides simple, objective estimates of extremes in the tail beyond the range of observations.
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  • 12
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 5 (1991), S. 125-134 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Empirical Orthogonal Function analysis ; random fields ; simulation ; non-homogeneous fields
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract In several fields of Geophysics, such as Hydrology, Meteorology or Oceanography, it is often useful to generate random fields, displaying the same variabilitity as the observed variables. Usually, these synthetic data are used as forcing fields into numerical models, to test the sensitivity of their outputs to the variability of the inputs. Examples can be found in subsurface or surface Hydrology and in Meteorology with General Circulation Models (GCM). Different techniques have already been proposed, often based on the spectral representation of the random process, with, usually, assumptions of stationarity. This paper suggests that Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis, which leads to the decomposition of the covariance kernel on the set of its eigen-functions, is a possible answer to this problem. The convergence and accuracy of the method are shown to depend mainly on the number of EOFs retained in the expansion of the covariance kemel. This result is confirmed by a comparison with the turning band method and a matrix technique. Furthermore, a synthetic example of non-homogencous fields shows the interest of EOF analysis in the direct simulation of such fields.
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  • 13
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 5 (1991), S. 173-188 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Entropy ; spectral analysis ; streamflow forecasting ; univariate model
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract This paper, the first in a series of two, employs the principle of maximum entropy (POME) via maximum entropy spectral analysis (MESA) to develop a univariate model for long-term streamflow forecasting. Three cases of streamflow forecasting are investigated: forward forecasting, backward forecasting (or reconstruction) and intermittent forecasting (or filling in missing records). Application of the model is discussed in the second paper.
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  • 14
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 5 (1991), S. 155-171 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Kinetic non-equilibrium ; residence time ; spatially variable chemical reactions
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract A method for simulating field scale transport of kinetically adsorbing solutes is described. The non-equilibrium adsorption is modeled as a birth and death process and is coupled with the particle tracking approach using the first two moments of the distribution of the particle residence time, i.e., the time that a solute particle stays in the liquid phase. A single residence time distribution, regardless of the initial and final phase, is demonstrated to yield an accurate description of chemical kinetics in the vast majority of field scale problems. The first two moments of the residence time distribution are derived as a function of chemical reaction rates and the transport time interval Δt. It is shown that the first moment of the residence time represents a measure of the speed of the chemical reaction relative to the transport time scale Δt which is chosen depending on the velocity field. The second moment of the residence time reflects the relative importance of the chemical kinetics versus local equilibrium conditions for the given transport time step Δt. The simulated spatial moments of the contaminant plume are compared in the one-dimensional case with available analytical solutions to demonstrate the accuracy of the proposed technique. A two-dimensional case for stratified formations is presented to study the transport behavior for heterogeneous velocity fields and variable distribution coefficient, hypothesized as being negatively correlated with hydraulic conductivity. The results show that the enhanced plume spreading and the statistics of the arrival time distribution appear to be more sensitive to the spatially variable distribution coefficient than to the kinetics alone. In fact, the second spatial moment was almost doubled in the case of spatially variable distribution coefficient.
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  • 15
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 5 (1991), S. 239-251 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Parameter estimation ; maximum likelihood estimation ; stochastic partial differential equation
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract Part I of this series of two papers (Unny, 1989) dealt with the theoretical derivation of the moment equations for the stochastic partial differential equation in the water table depth forced by stochastic rainfall input. Part I also developed a maximum likelihood estimation procedure for parameter determination. The primary aim of the present manuscript is the application of the parameter estimation procedure to the Borden aquifer, an aquifer designated as an experimental site, where extensive field measurements have been carried out. Estimates of hydraulic conductivity and transmissivity for the Borden aquifer, derived from the maximum likelihood algorithm, have been compared with estimates obtained by “traditional” procedures. The paper also presents the simulated solution of the governing differential equation in the one dimensional problem applied to the Borden aquifer.
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  • 16
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 5 (1991), S. 280-294 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
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  • 17
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 5 (1991), S. 261-266 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Drought ; drought indices
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract Drought detection, monitoring and indices are closely related to its definition. The specific definition chosen for a particular drought analysis will affect the procedures one uses in drought detection and monitoring. The traditional Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) has been proven to be ineffective in regions of predominantly irrigated agriculture. The recently developed ALERT (Automated Local Evaluation in Real Time) system is proposed for use in monitoring the spatial and temporal variations of drought in real time. The ALERT system uses standardized instruments, radio frequencies, software and hardware. It was originally developed as a flash flood waming system by local flood control districts and the National Weather Service. However, now it has expanded to over 100 other uses in the areas of natural and man-made disaster detection and warning. The successful ALERT system indicates the need for the continued development of a national drought monitoring index that is applicable to a wide range of climate, hydrologic and water resource environments.
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  • 18
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 6 (1992), S. 1-2 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
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  • 19
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 7 (1993), S. 195-204 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Infinite dam ; resolvent operator ; Lévy process ; integrated Markov chain
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract We consider an infinite-capacity storage system. The cumulative input to the system is assumed to be either (a) a non-decreasing Lévy process or (b) an integrated continuous-time Markov chain. Reward accumulates at a rate depending on the instantaneous release rate. The objective is to choose the release rule in such a way as to maximize the expected total discounted return. In this note we show how to determine the expected discounted return when the release rate is either constant or a linear function of the content.
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  • 20
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 7 (1993), S. 213-239 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Stochastic hydrology ; perturbation ; random fields ; graph theory
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract As is well known, a complete stochastic solution of the stochastic differential equation governing saturated groundwater flow leads to an infinite hierarchy of equations in terms of higher-order moments. Perturbation techniques are commonly used to close this hierarchy, using power-series expansions. These methods are applied by truncating the series after a finite number of terms, and products of random gradients of conductivity and head potential are neglected. Uncertainty regarding the number or terms required to yield a sufficiently accurate result is a significant drawback with the application of power series-based perturbation methods for such problems. Low-order series truncation may be incapable of representing fundamental characteristics of flow and can lead to physically unreasonable and inaccurate solutions of the stochastic flow equation. To support this argument, one-dimensional, steady-state, saturated groundwater flow is examined, for the case of a spatially distributed hydraulic conductivity field. An ordinary power-series perturbation method is used to approximate the mean head, using second-order statistics to characterize the conductivity field. Then an interactive perturbation approach is introduced, which yields improved results compared to low-order, power-series perturbation methods for situations where strong interactions exist between terms in such approximations. The interactive perturbation concept is further developed using Feynman-type diagrams and graph theory, which reduce the original stochastic flow problem to a closed set of equations for the mean and the covariance functions. Both theoretical and practical advantages of diagrammatic solutions are discussed; these include the study of bounded domains and large fluctuations.
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  • 21
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 8 (1994), S. 157-172 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract Operator representations of stochastic subsurface flow equations allow writing their solutions implicitly or explicitly in terms of integro-differential expressions. Most of these representations involve Neumann series that must be truncated or otherwise approximated to become operational. It is often claimed that truncated Neumann series allow solving groundwater flow problems in the presence of arbitrarily large heterogeneities. Such claims have so far not been backed by convincing computational examples, and we present an analysis which suggests that they may not be justified on theoretical grounds. We describe an alternative operator representation due to Neuman and Orr (1993) which avoids the use of Neumann series yet accomplishes a similar purpose. It leads to a compact integro-differential form which provides considerable new insight into the nature of the solution. When written in terms of conditional moments, our new representation contains local and nonlocal effective parameters that depend on scale and information. As such, these parameters are not unique material properties but may change as more is learned about the flow system.
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  • 22
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 8 (1994), S. 185-205 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Contaminant transport ; adsorption ; decay ; random walk ; killing ; Kolmogorov equations ; contamination of a well
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract This study deals with the transport of a contaminant in groundwater. The contaminant is subject to first order decay or linear adsorption. Its displacement can be modeled by a random walk process in which particles are killed at exponentially distributed times. Dirichlet problems are derived for the rate and mean time at which contaminated particles reach a particular part of the boundary of a certain domain. These Dirichlet problems are solved asymptotically for two types of 2D-flow patterns: flow parallel to the boundary of a domain and arbitrary flow towards a well in an aquifer.
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  • 23
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 8 (1994), S. 109-116 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Unsaturated ; nonlocal ; memory ; statistical physics
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract As illustrated variously by wetting and drying scanning curves, flow in unsaturated porous media is inherently nonlocal. This nonlocality is also manifest in hysteresis in the classical Darcy conductivity. It is the authors' belief that most current theories of unsaturated/saturated flow are often inadequate, as they do not account for spatial nonlocality and memory. Here we provide a fundamental theory in which nonlocality of the flow constitutive theory is a natural consequence of force balances. The results are derived from general principles in statistical physics and under appropriate limiting conditions, the classical Darcy's Law is recovered for saturated flow. A notable departure in this theory from other nonlocal flow theories is that a classical Darcy type equation on a small scale need not exist.
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  • 24
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 1-26 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Inverse ; calibration ; estimation ; groundwater flow
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract The development of stochastic methods for groundwater flow representation has undergone enormous expansion in recent years. The calibration of groundwater models, the inverse problem, has lately received comparable attention especially and almost exclusively from the stochastic perspective. In this review we trace the evolution of the methods to date with a specific view toward identifying the most important issues involved in the usefulness of the approaches. The methods are critiqued regarding practical usefulness, and future directions for requisite study are discussed.
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  • 25
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 55-64 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Predictive distribution ; Bayesian approximation ; parameter uncertainty ; non-informative prior ; method of moments ; Gumbel distribution ; maximum likelihood estimates
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract In this paper Lindley's Bayesian approximation procedure is used to obtain the Bayes estimate of the probability of exceedence of a flood discharge. The Bayes estimates of the probability of exceedence has been shown by S.K. Sinha to be equivalent to the estimate of the probability of exceedence from the predictive or Bayesian disribution, of a future flood discharge. The evaluation of complex ratios of multiple integrals common in a Bayesian analysis is not necessary using Lindley's procedure. The Bayes estimates are compared to those obtained by the method of maximum likelihood and the method of moments. The results show that Bayes estimates of the probability of exceedence are larger as expected, but have smaller posterior standard deviations.
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  • 26
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 105-119 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Kalman filtering ; Optimal smoothing ; Shallow water equations ; Wind stress ; On-line prediction
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract Using the state space approach, an on-line filter procedure for combined wind stress identification and tidal flow forecasting is developed. The stochastic dynamic approach is based on the linear twodimensional shallow water equations. Using a finite difference scheme, a system representation of the model is obtained. To account for uncertainties, the system is embedded into a stochastic environment. By employing a Kalman filter, the on-line measurements of the water-level available can be used to identify and predict the shallow water flow. Because it takes a certain time before a fluctuation in the wind stress can be noticed in the water-level measurements, an optimal fixed-lag smoother is used to identify the stress.
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  • 27
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 135-150 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Radar ; rainfall prediction ; real-time prediction
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract A computational method for the determination of rainfall distribution for applications in short term rainfall prediction is presented here. The method is strongly influenced by the experience gained from the observation and analysis of data gathered on a heavy rainfall event in 1986 that occurred during the Baiu Season in Japan. The method is based on the concept that rainfall occurs as an interaction between an instability field, appropriately modeled, and a field of water vapor under the influence of topography. The results from this computational method showed good agreement with the temporal variation in the rainband that moved across the observation field in 1986. Towards determination of the parameters in the computational model, another method for the determination of the rainfield is also developed. This second method determines the rainfall distribution from estimation of the conversion rate of water vapor to liquid water through use of data from a three dimensional scanning radar. The results are consistent with those obtained from the first method.
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  • 28
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 4 (1990), S. 151-160 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph ; Conceptual models ; Stochastic differential equations
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract Recognizing that simple watershed conceptual models such as the Nash cascade ofn equal linear reservoirs continue to be reasonable means to approximate the Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (IUH), it is natural to accept that random errors generated by climatological variability of data used in fitting an imprecise conceptual model will produce an IUH which is random itself. It is desirable to define the random properties of the IUH in a watershed in order to have a more realistic hydrologic application of this important function. Since in this case the IUH results from a series of differential equations where one or more of the uncertain parameters is treated in stochastic terms, then the statistical properties of the IUH are best described by the solution of the corresponding Stochastic Differential Equations (SDE's). This article attempts to present a methodology to derive the IUH in a small watershed by combining a classical conceptual model with the theory of SDE's. The procedure is illustrated with the application to the Middle Thames River, Ontario, Canada, and the model is verified by the comparison of the simulated statistical measures of the IUH with the corresponding observed ones with good agreement.
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 5 (1991), S. 45-54 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Solute transport ; random velocity ; Lagrangian description ; travel time ; nonlinear effects
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    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract The problem of one-dimensional transport of passive solute by a random steady velocity field is investigated. This problem is representative of solute movement in porous media, for example, in vertical flow through a horizontally stratified formation of variable porosity with a constant flux at the soil surface. Relating moments of particle travel time and displacement, exact expressions for the advection and dispersion coefficients in the Focker-Planck equation are compared with the perturbation results for large distances. The first- and second-order approximations for the dispersion coefficient are robust for a lognormal velocity field. The mean Lagrangian velocity is the harmonic mean of the Eulerian velocity for large distances. This is an artifact of one-dimensional flow where the continuity equation provides for a divergence free fluid flux, rather than a divergence free fluid velocity.
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 5 (1991), S. 89-104 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Overland flows ; nonlinear SPDE ; evolutionary probability distributions
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    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract A theoretical solution framework to the nonlinear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDE) of the kinematic wave and diffusion wave models of overland flows under stochastic inflows/outflows, stochastic surface roughness field and stochastic state of flows was obtained. This development was realized by means of an eigenfunction representation of the time-space overland flow depths, and by transforming the problem into the phase space. By using Van Kampen's lemma and the cumulant expansion theory of Kubo-Van Kampen-Fox, the deterministic partial differential equation (PDE) for the evolutionary probability density function (pdf) of overland flow depths was finally obtained. Once this deterministic PDE is solved for the time-varying pdf of overland flow depths, then the time-space varying pdf of overland flow depths can be obtained by a transformation given in the text. In this solution framework it is possible to incorporate the stochastic dynamic behavior of the parameters and of the forcing functions of the overland flow process. For example, not only the individual rainfall duration and fluctuating rain intensity characteristics but also the sequential behavior of rainfall patterns is incorporated into the evolutionary probability density function of overland flow depths.
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 6 (1992), S. 5-25 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Solute transport ; Heterogeneity ; Dispersion
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    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract Macrodispersion is spreading of a substance induced by spatial variations in local advective velocity at field scales. Consider the case that the steady-state seepage velocity and the local dispersion coefficients in a heterogeneous formation may be modeled as periodic in all directions in an unbounded domain. The equations satisfied by the first two spatial moments of the concentration are derived for the case of a conservative non-reacting solute. It is shown that the moments can be calculated from the solution of well-defined deterministic boundary value problems. Then, it is described how the rate of increase of the first two moments can be calculated at large times using a Taylor-Aris analysis as generalized by Brenner. It is demonstrated that the second-order tensor of macrodispersion (or effective dispersion) can be computed through the solution of steady-state boundary-value problems followed by the determination of volume averages. The analysis is based solely on volume averaging and is not limited by the assumption that the fluctuations are small. The large-time results are valid when the system is in a form of equilibrium in which a tagged particle samples all locations in an appropriately defined “phase space” with equal probability.
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 6 (1992), S. 89-101 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Detention storage ; Pollution control ; Non-point pollutant runoff
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    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract A simple expression is presented on the capability of storage-treatment systems to reduce non-point pollutant runoff load to natural waters. Their efficiency depends on the capacities of the facilities and probabilistic properties of runoff, such as interval, duration, volume, and concentration of runoff events. Assuming the compound Poisson process for runoff time series, the exact expressions of the ratio of treated load in terms of storage and treatment capacities are theoretically derived on the neighbourhoods of all boundaries of the domain on which the problem is defined. Then, an approximate expression over the whole domain is presented, of which the value and the first-order derivative coincide with those of the exact derived expressions near the boundaries. Accuracy is checked by Monte Carlo simulations.
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 6 (1992), S. 55-68 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Drought severity ; Drought duration ; Renewal-reward process
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    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract This research study focused on the hypothesis that extreme drought and high streamflow events come from different independent populations with different probability distributions which need to be studied separately, rather than considering the streamflow population as a whole. The inability of traditional streamflow generator models to consistently reproduce the frequency of occurrence of severe droughts observed in the historical record has been questioned by many researchers. Our study focused on the development of astochastic event generator model which would be capable of doing so. This was accomplished in a two-step process by first generating the drought event, and then deriving the streamflows which comprised that event. The model considered for this analysis was an alternating renewal-reward procedure that cycles between eventon andoff times, and is representative of drought or high streamflow event duration. The reward gained while the event ison oroff represents drought severity or high streamflow surplus. Geometric and gamma distributions were considered for drought duration and deficit respectively. Model validation was performed using calculated required capacities from the sequent peak algorithm.
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 6 (1992), S. 103-121 
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    Keywords: Probabilistic model ; Sensitivity ; Contaminant transport
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    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract A reliability approach is used to develop a probabilistic model of two-dimensional non-reactive and reactive contaminant transport in porous media. The reliability approach provides two important quantitative results: an estimate of the probability that contaminant concentration is exceeded at some location and time, and measures of the sensitivity of the probabilistic outcome to likely changes in the uncertain variables. The method requires that each uncertain variable be assigned at least a mean and variance; in this work we also incorporate and investigate the influence of marginal probability distributions. Uncertain variables includex andy components of average groundwater flow velocity,x andy components of dispersivity, diffusion coefficient, distribution coefficient, porosity and bulk density. The objective is to examine the relative importance of each uncertain variable, the marginal distribution assigned to each variable, and possible correlation between the variables. Results utilizing a two-dimensional analytical solution indicate that the probabilistic outcome is generally very sensitive to likely changes in the uncertain flow velocity. Uncertainty associated with dispersivity and diffusion coefficient is often not a significant issue with respect to the probabilistic analysis; therefore, dispersivity and diffusion coefficient can often be treated for practical analysis as deterministic constants. The probabilistic outcome is sensitive to the uncertainty of the reaction terms for early times in the flow event. At later times, when source contaminants are released at constant rate throughout the study period, the probabilistic outcome may not be sensitive to changes in the reaction terms. These results, although limited at present by assumptions and conceptual restrictions inherent to the closed-form analytical solution, provide insight into the critical issues to consider in a probabilistic analysis of contaminant transport. Such information concerning the most important uncertain parameters can be used to guide field and laboratory investigations.
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 6 (1992), S. 191-207 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Hydrodynamic dispersion ; Fokker-Planck equation ; backward equation ; boundary layer ; complex potential function ; fraction of contaminated particles that enter a well
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    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract In this paper we describe the transport of pollution in groundwater in the neighbourhood of a well in a uniform background flow. We compute the rate at which contaminated particles reach the well as a function of the place of the source of pollution. The motion of a particle in a dispersive flow is seen as a random walk process. The Fokker-Planck equation for the random motion of a particle is transformed using the complex potential for the advective flow field. The resulting equation is solved asymptotically after a stretching transformation. Finally, the analytical solution is compared with results from Monte Carlo simulations with the random walk model. The method can be extended to arbitrary flow fields. Then by a numerical coordinate transformation the analytical results can still be employed.
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 6 (1992), S. 255-269 
    ISSN: 1436-3259
    Keywords: Emprical Orthogonal Functions ; interpolating runoff ; kriging
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    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering , Geography , Geosciences
    Notes: Abstract The method of Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF method) is combined with an objective interpolation technique, kriging, to generate runoff series at ungauged locations. In a case study the results are compared to series interpolated by a combination of EOF analysis and regression using catchment characteristics as independent variables. The results are also compared to linear weighting of an existing runoff series, a commonly used method for spatial interpolation. The influence of altitude on the runoff is studied comparing kriging based on 2 and 3 coordinates. The study showed that the capacity of EOF analysis combined with kriging is as good as the traditionally used linear weighting. The results, when altitude is included in the kriging, are improved.
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 6 (1992), S. 270-288 
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    Keywords: Periodicities ; hydraulic cycle ; spectral methods
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    Notes: Abstract Periodicites in hydrologic data are frequently estimated and studied. In some cases the periodic components are subtracted from the data to obtain the stochastic components. In other cases the physical reasons for the occurrence of these periodicities are investigated. Apart from the annual cycle in the hydrologic data, periods corresponding to the 11 year sunspot cycle, the Hale cycle and others have been detected. The conclusions from most of these studies depend on the reliability and robustness of the methods used to detect these periodicities. Several spectral analysis methods have been proposed to investigate periodicities in time series data. Several of these have been compared to each other. The methods by Siddiqui and Wang and by Damsleth and Spjotvoll, which are stepwise procedures of spectrum estimation, have not been evaluated. Two of the methods of spectral analysis proposed by Siddiqui and Wang and by Damsleth and Spjotvoll are investigated in this study by using generated and observed data. Siddiqui and Wang's method is found to be superior to the Damsleth and Spjotvoll's method.
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    Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment 6 (1992), S. 289-303 
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    Keywords: Stream flow series ; shot-noise model ; sadolle-point approximation
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    Notes: Abstract In this paper we consider the shot-noise model of streamflow series. We show how design discharge can be obtained by the stochastic intensity of thinned Poisson processes describing the peaks over a threshold. The main result concerns the stationary distribution of peaks. We derive an explicit expression for this limit distribution in terms of its Laplace transform. Approximation formulas are developed making use of the saddle point method for the asymptotic evaluation of contour integrals and the Post-Widder formula for inversion of Laplace transforms. We illustrate this methods on the case of Gamma-distributed shots. The stationary peak distribution is used to approximate the maximum value distribution for larger time intervals.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 44 (1990), S. 167-194 
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    Topics: Geography , Physics
    Notes: Summary Low-frequency modes of the monsoon are examined in the context of their radiation balance and diagnosed for the 13-month period between May 1979 and May 1980 using Earth radiation budget and cloud measurements taken by experiments carried on board the Nimbus-7 satellite. Simultaneous observations of the albedo, longwave radiation, absorbed shortwave radiation, and net radiation at the top of the atmosphere (TOA), and the total cloud fraction and cloud-top temperature are considered. The use of broad-band radiation budget measurements permits a description of the observed longwave, shortwave, and net radiative energy exchange by the low-frequency modes. When wavenumber one fields are considered, the entire morphology of the 1979 summer monsoon (pre-onset, onset, break, re-intensification, and withdrawal) can be fully explained in terms of an eastward propagating mode. Ridge passages occurred over the Arabian Sea and India in June prior to onset, during the July break, and during the retreat of the monsoon. Trough passages occurred prior to the onset during a period of increased tropical cyclone activity, at the time of the onset, and immediately following the break. These low-frequency waves can be unambiguously tracked around the world over extended time periods. The latitudinal structure of the waves indicated that a thermally direct Hadley Cell perturbation propagated eastward with the oscillation. These cells were evident from extratropical extensions of the oscillation, each about 180° of longitude out-of-phase with the tropical oscillation. Because the absorbed shortwave and emitted longwave radrative components are in phase and of nearly identical amplitudes, the net radiative effect of the low-frequency mode is small in general. However, in certain latitudinal belts, the passage of the waves induced perturbations in the net radiation. Because longwave cloud-radiative forcing acts in the same direction as latent heat release, it is able to contribute to the diabatic energetics maintaining the structure and propagation of the eastward propagating 30- to 60-day waves. Between trough and ridge, the TOA longwave flux varies in a coherent manner by on the order of 50 to 60 Wm−2.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 44 (1990), S. 153-165 
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    Topics: Geography , Physics
    Notes: Summary The interannual variability of the monthly mean upper layer thickness for the central Arabian Sea (5°N-15° N and 60° E-70° E) from a numerical model of the Indian Ocean during the period 1954–1976 is investigated in relation to Indian monsoon rainfall variability. The variability in the surface structure of the Somali Current in the western Arabian Sea is also briefly discussed. It is found that these fields show a great deal of interannual variability that is correlated with variability in Indian monsoon rainfall. Model upper layer thickness (H) is taken as a surrogate variable for thermocline depth, which is assumed to be correlated with sea surface temperature. In general, during the period 1967 to 1974, which is a period of lower than normal monsoon rainfall, the upper ocean warm water sphere is thicker (deeper thermocline which implies warmer surface water); in contrast, during the period 1954–1966, which is a period of higher than normal monsoon rainfall, the upper warm water sphere is thinner (shallower thermocline which implies cooler surface water). The filtered time series of uppper layer thickness indieates the presence of a quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) during the wet monsoon period, but this QBO signal is conspicuously absent during the dry monsoon period. Since model H primarily responds to wind stress curl, the interannual variability of the stress curl is investigated by means of an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis. The first three EOF modes represent more than 72% of the curl variance. The spatial patterns for these modes exhibit many elements of central Arabian Sea climatology. Features observed include the annual variation in the intensity of the summer monsoon ridge in the Arabian Sea and the annual zonal oscillation of the ridge during pre- and post-monsoon seasons. The time coefficients for the first EOF amplitude indicate the presence of a QBO during the wet monsoon period only, as seen in the ocean upper layer thickness. The variability in the model upper layer thickness is a passive response to variability in the wind field, or more specifically to variability in the Findlater Jet. When the winds are stronger, they drive stronger currents in the ocean and have stronger curl fields associated with them, driving stronger Ekman pumping. They transport more moisture from the southern hemisphere toward the Indian subcontinent, and they also drive a greater evaporative heat flux beneath the Findlater Jet in the Arabian Sea. It has been suggested that variability in the heat content of the Arabian Sea drives variability in Indian monsoon rainfall. The results of this study suggest that the opposite is true, that the northern Arabian Sea responds passively to variability in the monsoon system.
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    Notes: Summary The role of organized tropical storms and typhoons within the West Pacific-Indian Ocean dipole of low frequency activity is examined with the aid of INSAT satellite observations. Two Asian summer monsoon seasons-1984 and 1987-are analyzed in conjunction with a satellite derived convective index. The former year was noted as an above average Indian monsoon; the latter year as an extreme Indian monsoon failure. The analysis demonstrates that the dipole region is actually an organized collection of seven smaller scale high amplitude, low frequency centers which blur together to form the semblance of a dipole which had been originally identified in 2.5° resolution outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) data derived from NOAA satellite measurements. The centers are basically situated over oceanic regions in the eastern and western sectors of the dipole, although, an isolated high amplitude center is also found over central Tibet. Of considerable interest is that the locations of the seven centers, whereas not equivalent, are very similar for both the 1984 and 1987 seasonsinar. The analysis indicates that there are coherent phase relationships between the eastern sector of the dipole and the western sector, but that it is not a simple dipole-like process. Rather, the four high amplitude centers, within the western sector, all fall within a longitudinal channel in which the well known, northward propagating behavior of Monsoon convection anomalies serves to modulate the east-west phase lag along the meridional channel. The result is that the western paelfic phase lags the equatorial Indian Ocean center whereas it generally phase leads the more northern centers within the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal. In the two years studied here, there is little evidence of east-west propagation of anomalies between he two centers. The contribution of organized tropical storms and cyclones to the amplitude and phase characteristics of the high amplitude centers is irregular but important, particularly in the eastern sector of the dipole, where up to 50% of the variance can be explained by organized storms. It is also shown that the influence of storms on the phase propagation characteristics of convective anomalies is irregular but significant.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 44 (1990), S. 219-250 
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    Notes: Summary In this paper we have studied the low frequency variability of the sensible and latent heat flux over the Indian monsoon area. We have used an atmospheric energy budget (vertical integrated heat sources and moisture sinks), as well as the similarity theory in order to compute the surface fluxes on a darly basis. Mainly, the three following data sets were used: the First GARP Global Experiment analyzed data, the TIROS-N outgoing longwave radiation data and the Monsoon Experiment precipitation data. Our three main findings are the following. First, the variability of the temperature and the specific humidity at the surface is more important over the land than over the sea on the intraseasonal time scale (30% over land, but 20% over sea). For the wind an energy peak appears clearly around 30–40 days. The surface fluxes show an uneven variance percentage field (10% to 40%); the energy peaks stretch from 10 to 40 days. Second, the wind has a significant influence on the surface fluxes, except at some locations exclusively over the land areas. Of the temperature and the specific humidity, the temperature is the one which influences the fluxes the most. (This influence may be very strong over land.) The specific humidity may have a significant influence, over the land and sea, at the same time. Thus, one cannot neglect the influence of temperature and specific humidity over land on the intraseasonal time scale. Third, we have found a close relation between the propagation of low frequency waves and the propagation of surface flux patterns. This may suggest a feedback mechanism which relates surface processes to the northward propagation of these waves over India.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 44 (1990), S. 265-279 
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    Notes: Summary Using a General Circulation Model developed at FSU (FSUGCM), the role of the diabatic heating on the 30–60-day oscillation is investigated. To concentrate on the radiation and the moist convection processes, an aqua planet model is employed in this paper. We have obtained a 40-day oscillation with relatively lower frequency than other GCMs without strong heating in the lower troposphere. Unlike some GCMs and simple models, the convective area does not move eastward along with the oscillation. Adiabatic cooling due to the upward motion is mostly compensated by diabatic heating. This implies that Kelvin CISK theory might not explain our 40-day oscillation. We have also examined the impact of radiative heating on the low frequency oscillation. When we reduce the radiative cooling rate, our 40-day mode does not appear and a Kelvin CISK mode appears with a faster phase speed. The impact of the different convection schemes is also investigated. With an enhanced convection scheme, zonal wave number two with a 40-day period is generated.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 44 (1990), S. 281-292 
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    Notes: Summary The present paper discusses the build-up, the air mass transformation and the propagation of the Siberian high as well as its relations to the development of cold surges in East Asia. It has been found that (1) the genesis and development of the Siberian high result from the combined effects of the mass convergence at middle and upper-level and the radiative cooling; (2) the apparent transformation of the Siberian high over land is observed in winter, which is caused by the upward sensible heat and latent heat flux from the underlying surface; (3) the Siberian high and its attendant cold air outbreaks usually undergo a marked low-frequency, southward propagation with the period of 10–20 days; (4) activity of cold surge over the East China Sea and the South China Sea is closely related to the intensity of the Siberian high. The active cold surge occurs when the Siberian high is usually strong.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 44 (1990), S. 251-263 
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    Notes: Summary The Indian summer monsoon, one of the earth's most vigorous and energetic seasonally occurring weather events, influences the global atmospheric circulation. Its onset, duration, and intensity are governed by large- and meso-scale geophysical processes, such as surface solar heating and air-sea interactions. In this paper, using innovative combinations of satellite sensor data, we investigate some of these fundamental processes which are closely tied to clouds and control the monsoon system's evolution. The study, which focuses on the monsoon period of June, 1979, examines the low-frequency variability of clouds and their effects on air-sea processes through an analysis of the complex influence clouds play on the surface heat and water budgets. First, the effects of clouds on both the solar and longwave components of the surface radiation budget are assessed using a cloud radiative forcing parameter. While the effects of clouds on the long-wave irradiance act in a manner opposite to their effects on the shortwave irradiance, only a partial compensation is found to take place and the net effect results in a maximum cloud forcing of 60 Wm−2 in the southwestern Arabian Sea. Second, employing satellite-derived precipitation and evaporation estimates, the paper analyzes the net surface fresh water budget variability around the monsoon onset. This budget is important in that fresh water affects the upper ocean density distribution and, consequently, the thermohaline circulation. Two regions are found to dominate the analysis: the western Arabian Sea, where evaporation is dominant by more than 10 mm day−1, and the eastern Arabian Sea, where precipitation is dominant by more than 10 mm day−1. Thus, a strong zonal gradient of fresh water at the surface is established during the monsoon. The last topic investigated is the intraseasonal variability of convection as analyzed using a cloud parameter indicative of deep convection. Cloud oscillations of 30–50 days, associated with the different phases of the monsoon, are found to propagate northward in the eastern Indian Ocean and eastward in the Bay of Bengal. Our analysis not only supports the hypothesis that the 30–50-day oscillation is driven by deep convection but also, and more importantly, suggests that the ocean thermal forcing is modulated by 30–50-day oscillations through cloud-induced surface radiative forcing. Although the results presented are limited in scope and preliminary because of the diffculty in quantifying the accuracy of the parameters examined, they do demonstrate: 1) the role of clouds in modulating the surface heat and water budgets, 2) the advantage of using combinations of multi-sensor and multi-platform satellite observations to quantify interrelated surface heat/water budget processes, and 3) the potential to examine the intraseasonal variability of air-sea interaction processes associated with the monsoon, even though these processes are not directly measurable from space.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 45 (1991), S. 1-13 
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    Notes: Summary The monthly mean Outgoing Long wave Radiation (OLR) data from June 1974 to May 1988 (Fourteen year period) derived from the NOAA polar orbiter are analysed to examine the inter-annual variability in OLR fluxes over the indian sub-continent and adjoining Seas. The monthly mean OLR data are further analysed to observe the seasonal and annual OLR variations among the specified regions over the sub-continent. Linear and multiple correlation statistics have been applied to explain the homogeneities among the various regions in terms of long term annual as well as seasonal OLR means. Derived results show close links between selected regions where as poor and, in few cases, even negative correlations exist between some regions. Considerable differences have been observed between the regions in annual and in seasonal OLR variances. Similar analysis has been done for rainfall of the subcontinent based on fourteen year's data. The rainfall analyses for the selected regions over India illustrate a rather poor association between OLR and rainfall distribution variability. On the basis of our results discussed in this paper, it is viewed that Satellite-Derived OLR could be treated only as of marginal use for space-time precipitation analyses.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 46 (1991), S. 205-210 
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 47 (1991), S. 83-84 
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 47 (1992), S. 107-115 
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    Notes: Summary A number of cut-off processes are investigated, with the Alpine region in most cases lying at the margins of these upper lows. Our aim was to determine whether the thermal front parameter (TFP) can be used to objectively define the areas of bad weather from analysis charts and prognostic charts. An attempt is made to formulate two synoptic “guidelines”, for the eastern Alpine region, on front-sides and northern margins of upper lows, into objective synoptic rules.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 47 (1992), S. 127-144 
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    Notes: Summary This study examined ECMWF operational analyses of the outflow layer of two tropical cyclones (Allen, 1980; Elena, 1985) during their passage across the Atlantic and Caribbean. Wind fields and related derived quantities were compared to those from objective analyses of specialized data sets. Errors in center position and storm motion from the ECMWF analyses were also evaluated. Analyses of wind and angular momentum flux in 1985, subsequent to upgrading of the operational model, were superior to those from 1980. High-resolution, uninitialized analyses from 1985, however, provided no advantages over lower resolution, initialized analyses for the same time period. For all ECMWF analyses, azimuthally averaged (mean) tangential velocity, and thus mean vorticity, were well represented. Mean radial velocity and mean divergence were poorly represented. Problems with the latter arose primarily due to underestimation of outflow, especially in the 1980 analyses. Azimuthaleddy fluxes of angular momentum in the ECMWF analyses quantitatively differed from but qualitatively resembled, the control analyses. Vorticity maxima at 850 mb in the operational analyses most accurately defined the center position of the storms, with a mean error less than or equal to one grid point. In contrast, surface pressure minima failed to provide reliable estimates. Over open ocean and at early stages of storms, analysis quality was uneven, with occasional large position errors and widely varying locations of vorticity maxima in the vertical. Nevertheless, in regions surrounded by even a few rawinsondes, such as the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico, ECMWF analyses contained sufficient information to allow individual case studies of the tropical cyclone environment. In the same regions, estimates of the eddy flux convergence of angular momentum were found to be accurate enough to aid in operational hurricane intensity prediction. Enhancements in resolution and model initialization at ECMWF since 1985 should further improve operational analyses of the tropical cyclone environment.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 47 (1992), S. 205-227 
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    Notes: Summary This paper describes the evolution of two thunderstorms which developed over northeastern Colorado on 23 July 1983, and more significantly discusses the possible causal relationship between them. In particular, a disturbance apparently created by the first thunderstorm, which developed over the eastern slopes of the Rocky mountains, seems to have triggered the second thunderstorm, which developed further east over the high plains. We present evidence that suggests that the disturbance is a rapidly propagating gravity wave (possibly a solitary wave of depression) that occupied most of the troposphere and was generated by the explosive convective development of the first thunderstorm. Detailed observations of the interactions between these two storms were possible because both storms developed over a dense network of automated weather stations that provided high temporal and spatial resolution surface measurements of pressure, temperature, precipitation, and horizontal wind velocity. Also located within this mesonetwork was a high power 915 MHz wind profiler that provided radial velocities throughout most of the troposphere. These measurements were supplemented with GOES visible and infrared satellite imagery and operational data from National Weather Service rawinsondes and weather radars.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 47 (1992), S. 237-245 
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    Notes: Summary Problems of turbulent dissipation of a cold air lake (CAL) and the inversion layer bordering CAL on the upper boundary are presented and studied with the compound model. In wintertime such cold air lakes can persist for days even if rather strong winds are blowing above them. The required conditions for CAL dissipation are removed processes of its formation or maintenance, as well as a sufficiently strong invasion of turbulence in the inversion layer from above down-wards. By this, the inversion layer at first becomes stronger and dissipation is stopped, until the increase of turbulent kinetic energy of the upper flow enables further dissipation. Such turbulent dissipation process is shown by the model for typical conditions and for different initial values of the relevent variables.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 47 (1992), S. 259-265 
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    Notes: Summary THETAPLOT is a diagram useful for the display and analysis of atmospheric thermodynamic soundings, particularly in relation to conditionally and convectively instable summertime weather situations. The basic coordinates of THETAPLOT are the equivalent potential temperature and the negative logarithm of pressure. The body of the diagram contains families of curves of constant potential temperature, mixing ratio and temperature. From any given sounding, three curves are plotted on the diagram: 1) Theta-ed, the equivalent potential temperature of air saturated at its dew point temperature; 2) Theta-e, equivalent potential temperature; and 3) Theta-es, the saturated equivalent potential temperature. The winds are plotted along the margin of the diagram.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 49 (1992), S. 187-207 
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    Notes: Summary This paper is concerned with the simulation of deep convection for the CCOPE 19 July 1981 case study. Clark's three-dimensional (3D) cloud model modified to use the bulk water parameterization scheme of Lin et al. has been used in the simulation of the CCOPE 19 July 1981 case in coarse mesh, fine mesh, and interactive grid nested schemes, respectively. Comparisons with observations show this 3D grid nested cloud model is capable of both capturing both the dynamic and microphysical properties of the cloud. In the nested grid fine mesh model simulation, the timing and mode of cloud growth, the diameter of liquid cloud, the cloud top rate of rise, the maximum cloud water content, and the altitude of first radar echo are consistent with observations. The simulated thunderstorm begins to dissipate, after precipitation reaches the ground as indicated by the decreasing values of maximum updraft and maximum liquid cloud water content, and ends as a precipitating anvil as was observed in the actual thunderstorm. The model precipitation developed through ice phase processes consistent with the analysis of observations from the actual thunderstorm. Qualitative comparisons of the actual radar RHIs with simulated reflectively patterns from the 3D model show remarkable similarity, especially after the mature stage is reached. Features of the actual RHI patterns, such as the weak echo region, upshear anvil bulge, strong upwind reflectivity gradients, and the upwind outflow region near the surface are reproduced in the simulation. Comparison of the actual radar PPIs with horizontal cross sections of radar reflectivity simulated by the 3D model, however, show modest differences in the storm size with the 3D simulated thunderstorm being 1–2 km longer in the west-east direction than the actual thunderstorm. The model-predicted maximum updraft speed is smaller than the 2D model-predicted maximum updraft speed, but still greater than what was observed. Comparisons among the nested grid fine mesh model (MB), nested grid coarse mesh model (MA), fine mesh model (FM), coarse mesh model (CM), and 2D model results previously published show that the nested grid fine mesh model (MB) gives the best simulation result. The various 3D model simulation results are generally similar to each other except for the difference in the domain maximum values. The domain maximum values in the fine mesh models (MB and FM) are generally higher than the coarse mesh models as a result of averaging over a smaller area.
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  • 56
    ISSN: 1436-5065
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    Notes: Summary The Penn State University/National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU/NCAR) mesoscale model is a widely used research tool that has been applied in a wide variety of real-data, mesoalpha-scale applications. Recently a nonhydrostatic version of this model has been developed by Dudhia (1993). It is the purpose of this paper to illustrate the capabilities of this modeling system by describing four examples of mesobeta-scale simulations: two of the cases involve maritime processes and two deal with continental weather events. All utilize fully three-dimensional sets of initial conditions that are based on real data, both standard data and from special measurements programs. One case employs the model in a data-assimilation configuration, wherein Newtonian relaxation terms are used in the equations to assimilate data from a variety of platforms. This example of nonhydrostatic four-dimensional data assimilation (FDDA) is performed for the purpose of generating a dynamically consistent four-dimensional data-set, however the same procedure can be used for model initialization. The first case, described in section 2, involves the simulation of a coastal front that forms offshore near the western edge of the Gulf Stream. In the second case, described in section 3, the model is used in the FDDA mode to define the mesobeta-scale windfield over the complex terrain of the region around Grand Canyon, Arizona. In sections 4 and 5 will be described the mesobeta-scale structure of cold fronts, one within a marine cyclone, and another near the Rocky Mountains.
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    Notes: Summary Hydrostatic and nonhydrostatic simulation models are employed to study the intensification of a terrain drag-induced dryline. The study develops a multi-stage theory for the evolution of the dryline including the concentration of potential vorticity accompanying meso-gamma scale dryline “bulges”. The numerical simulations indicate three fundamental stages of dryline intensification all of which are either directly or indirectly a result of the terrain-drag on the mid/upper-tropospheric jet stream by the Front Range of the Colorado Rocky Mountains. The first stage involves the downward momentum flux accompanying a large amplitude hydrostatic mountain wave which induces a downslope windstorm along the lee slopes. The surge of momentum (i.e., the dry, warm air associated with the downslope windstorm) propagates down the leeslope and modifies an existing weak dryline boundary. As the downslope windstorm initiates an undular bore along the lee slopes, the high momentum gradient which propagates downstream accompanying the bore, as well as the strong lower tropospheric sinking motions ahead of the bore, contract the scale of the surface moisture boundary between the dry air from above the leeslope and the moist air over the High Plains. This process further strengthens the dryline. The second stage involves the coupling of the terrain drag-induced along-stream ageostrophic front within the midtroposphere to the boundary layer through a thermally-indirect circulation. As the along-stream ageostrophic circulation intensifies within the middle troposphere down-stream from the mountain wave, sinking air parcels originating above 40 kPa descend to below 60 kPa over the High Plains where surface pressures are, only ∼85 kPa. These descending air parcels within the upstream branch of the along-stream ageostrophic thermally-indirect circulation contain high values of momentum and very low dewpoint values. As the planetary boundary layer (PBL) deepens due to surface warming during the morning hours, momentum and dry air from the midtropospheric along-stream ageostrophic front are entrained into the PBL. This process amplifies the bore-induced hydrostatic dryline bulge via low-level ageostrophic confluence. Finally, regions of low Richardson number (arising from strong vertical shears) within the amplifying midtropospheric along-stream ageostrophic thermally-indirect circulation become preferred regions for the development of non-hydrostatic evanescent internal gravity waves. These waves are embedded within the hydrostatic along-stream front above the low-level dryline and are accomapanied by very significant values of vertical momentum flux which act to focus the meso-gamma scale structure of the dryline into smaller scale bulges where low-level winds and vorticities are very high. This meso-gamma scale process follows the hydrostatic tilting and vortex tube stretching which creates meso-beta scale maxima of mid-lower tropospheric vorticity. The turbulent momentum fluxes accompanying wavebreaking within the nonhydrostatic dryline bulge create very large (i.e., stratospheric values of) potential vorticity near 70 kPa due to the nonconservation of potential vorticity on isentropic surfaces.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 49 (1992), S. 229-254 
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    Notes: Summary A nonhydrostatic numerical simulation of a tropical cyclone is performed with explicit representation of cumulus on a meso-β scale grid and for a brief period on a meso-γ scale grid. Individual cumulus plumes are represented by a combination of explicit resolution and a 1.5 level closure predicting turbulent kinetic energy (TKE). The results demonstrate a number of expected and unexpected important scale interaction processes. Within the central core of the developing cyclone, meso-β convective regions grow and breakdown into propagating inertiagravity waves throughout the lifecycle of the cyclone. In the early stages, the amplitude of pressure fluctuations associated with the meso-β scale convection exceed the central pressure of the cyclone and strongly modulate its intensity. With each meso-β scale pulsation, the cyclone core increases in strength, measured by the central pressure deficit. The increasingly strong inertial frequency of the storm core acts to increasingly trap the convection induced heating within the core by balancing the tangential wind against the low central pressure, before the meso-β scale convection breaks down and sends the warmth away as a propagating wave. Eventually, the slow manifold's amplitude exceeds the amplitude of the meso-β scale oscillations and a stable eye region is formed. As inertial instability increases, increasingly high thermal warmth can be protected in the core, allowing persistent subsidence to form and to clear out the cyclone eye. On the outside of the eye wall, strong inertial stability gradients in the troposphere cause convective warming to split the inflow to the eye wal! and spawn outwardly propagating inertia gravity waves. These waves carry away all of the heating forced by convection that is not inertially trapped by the eye wall and act as a moderating influence on storm intensity. Inertia gravity waves are also spawned in the stratosphere at the top of the eye wall by the revolution of asymmetric cumulus structures. In all instances, the tropospheric waves are coupled to the propagating stratospheric waves which both move at 35 ms−1, although there are many instances where the stratospheric waves seem to have no tropospheric counterpart. Hence the anvil top forcing and low level breakdown are linked. The outwardly propagating inertia gravity waves act to initiate outer bands of convection. This initiation is with the assistance of low level boundary layer variations of density related to previous convection and to virga falling from the anvil which moistens and destabilizes the mid levels ofθ e minimum. The convection initiated by these waves does not move substantially outward with the wave, although may appear to develop outward discontinuously.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 50 (1992), S. 75-88 
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    Notes: Summary The set of fully compressible nonhydrostatic equations governing a broad spectrum of atmospheric motion was transformed fromz coordinates to sigma coordinates under a hydrostatic base state. The hydrostatic base state may be either time-independent, such as a hydrostatic balance with-out motion or with motion such as a thermal wind balance, or time-dependent such as might be obtained from the result of integrating a hydrostatic model. The transformed set of equations can be used to predict and study all scales of at mospheric phenomena. The set of perturbation equations was also derived under the same condition. The computational sensitivity in computation of pressure gradient force in sigma coordinate can be improved by computing the pressure gradient interms of perturbations under a certain hydrostatic state. The hydrostatic regional spectral model developed by Juang and Kanamitsu (1991) was modified to be a nonhydrostatic spectral model based on the nonhydrostatic equations in sigma coordinates with time-dependent hydrostatic base states. A semi-implicit time integration scheme was used. Two experiments were performed to test this nonhydrostatic spectral model with acceptable results.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 50 (1992), S. 61-73 
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    Notes: Summary Most finite-difference numerical weather prediction models employ vertical discretizations that are staggered, and are low-order (usually second-order) approximations for the important terms such as the derivation of the geopotential from the hydrostatic equation, and the calculation of the vertically integrated divergence. In a sigma-coordinate model the latter is used for computing both the surface pressure change and the vertical velocity. All of the above-mentioned variables can diminish the accuracy of the forecast if they are not calculated accurately, and can have an impact on related quantities such as precipitation. In this study various discretization schemes in the vertical are compared both in theory and in practice. Four different vertical grids are tested: one unstaggered and three staggered (including the widely-used “Lorenz” grid). The comparison is carried out by assessing the accuracy of the grids using vertical numerics that range from second-order up to sixth-order. The theoretical part of the study examines how faithfully each vertical grid reproduces the vertical modes of the governing equations linearized with a basic state atmosphere. The performance of the grids is evaluated for 2nd, 4th and 6th-order numerical schemes based on Lagrange polynomials, and for a 6th-ordercompact scheme. Our interpretation of the results of the theoretical study is as follows. The most important result is that the order of accuracy employed in the numerics seems to be more significant than the choice of vertical grid. There are differences between the grids at second-order, but these differences effectively vanish as the order of accuracy increases. The sixth-order schemes all produce very accurate results with the grids performing equally well, and with the compact scheme significantly outperforming the Lagrange scheme. A second major result is that for the number of levels typically used in current operational forecast models, second-order schemes (which are used almost universally) all appear to be relatively poor, for other than the lowest modes. The theoretical claims were confirmed in practice using a large number (100) of forecasts with the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre's operational model. By comparing “test” model forecasts using the four grids and the different orders of numerics with very high resolution “control” model forecasts, the results of the theoretical study seem to be corroborated.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 50 (1992), S. 127-142 
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    Notes: Summary Convective to planetary scale processes govern the motion and structure of tropical storms. A model with a high resolution and a large domain is required for accurate prediction of a storm's track and intensity. A series of integrations are performed using a primitive equation model and an initial state that defines a tropical storm that later developed into a hurricane in the real atmosphere. Increasing the horizontal resolution or domain of the model improves the forecast track. However only the increase in the horizontal resolution produces a better hurricane structure. Banded structure in the vertical motion field, asymmetries in the low tropospheric winds similar to those observed and upper tropospheric cyclonic outflow develop in high horizontal resolution experiments. It is shown that horizontal advection and pressure gradient terms produce wind tendencies in the low troposphere that displace the vortex in the observed direction. A high pressure area surrounding the central low pressure area appears in the upper troposphere. Around this high pressure area large pressure gradients develop that induce outflow winds in the distal storm area.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 50 (1992), S. 105-126 
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    Notes: Summary In this paper we present some recent work on typhoon prediction with a high resolution global model. The emphasis of this paper is on typhoon recurvature. Here we include examples of successful typhoon recurvature track forecasts made from a very high resolution global spectral model. The main objective of this study however is to go beyond the forecasts, i.e. to interrogate the history tapes and to diagnose residue-free budgets of the divergence and vorticity. The premise of this paper is that the recurvature of the typhoons depends on both the usual advection of vorticity by the layer mean winds and the advection of divergence in the outflow layers of the storm. The region immediately outside the heavy rain area of the storm experiences large values of divergent outflows which contribute a significant advection of divergence. Through the Dine's compensation this region must, in consort, experience an enhancement of low level convergence and of deep convection, thus contributing to the storm motion. We distinguish two facets of storm motion and recurvature, one based on the conventional steering that invokes the advection of vorticity by a vertical integrated flow, the other is the generation mechanism proposed here. During recurvature the storm appears to move in a direction which is influenced by the rotational and the divergent flow dynamics. Increased vertical resolution in the outflow layer is shown to resolve stronger amplitudes in the outflow layer divergence and thus to contribute to improved forecasts of recurvature. A number of processes seem to simultaneously evolve, these include the strong advection of divergence part of the wind, enhancement of cumulus convection over this region, an enhancement of lower tropospheric convergence, generation of vorticity of the lower troposphere and the attendant recurvature.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 50 (1992), S. 143-163 
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    Notes: Summary A number of forecast experiments were performed in order to assess the capability of reproducing, by means of a limited-area numerical model, the highly structured mesoscale circulations occurring in the Po Valley of Northern Italy during a north-westerly cold front passage across the Alpine chain, with particular attention to the modelling of the effects of organized convection. The case-study occurred during summer 1987 and the model used throughout was the 1989 version of the UB/NMC Limited Area Model (University of Belgrade, National Meteorological Centre of Washington). The model was integrated both with eta, η, and sigma, ϑ, as vertical coordinates and ECMWF initialized analyses were always used as initial conditions. ECMWF initialized analysis or operational forecast fields were also used for updating in time the lateral boundary conditions. Experiments show qualitative and quantitative agreement with observations, both in upper-air geopotential height fields, in MSLP and in cumulated precipitation. Several modelling issues were also investigated, e.g. sensitivity of the results to horizontal and vertical model resolution and to the influence of the lateral boundaries poitioning, finding large effects of the latter on quantitative precipitation fields. Difficulties in modelling very localized mesoscale phenomena, e.g. organized convective thunderstorms in the Po Valley and Alpine North Foehn in the Milan area, were generally encounted.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 50 (1992), S. 165-174 
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    Notes: Summary In this paper we present a methodology for evaluating rain rates from a mix of satellite and surface based observations. The component data sets include the outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), microwave radiometric data from the special sensor microwave imager (SSM/I) and surface raingauge data from the World Weather Watch. We have noted some deficiencies in the SSM/I algorithm-based rain rate over land areas; the OLR-based rain rates exhibit a larger lateral spread and lower intensities than the observed rainfall structures. The proposed combined method assimilates these three data sets to provide improved fields of global tropical rainfall.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 50 (1992), S. 175-187 
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    Notes: Summary The Kuo-type cumulus parameterization and rainfall rate scheme is extended by including the outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), the local time rate of change of OLR, and the horizontal Laplacian of OLR to include the additional source of mesoscale moisture supply. The extended scheme remains simple and efficient. A series of 5-day forecasts of the 1979 monsoon for the tropical belt between the Arabian Sea and the western Pacific Ocean show improvement in the 3-day forecast in the daily accumulated precipitation in both the amount and location. Further RMS error analyses indicate that using OLR and the Laplacian of OLR also produces a significant improvement in a 3-day forecast. Additional tests of the extended scheme for the 1987 and 1988 monsoons produced consistent and characteristic areal rainfall rates in the tropics. The improvement in the “OLR model” forecasts is attributed to the improved skill of OLR forecast in the forecast model as the RMS errors for 5 consecutive days in the 6 experimental forecasts are smaller than those of the 3 control forecasts.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 50 (1992), S. 189-195 
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    Notes: Summary A special analytical solution is derived for the classical orographic configuration of two-dimensional, stratified, linear, non-hydrostatic and dry model (without friction and Coriolis force). The well-known differential equation for the vertical velocity involves the vertical distribution of the Scorer parameterl 2(z) and in this casel 2 is specified such that the lower atmosphere has a stable duct near the surface and is capped by a layer which acts as a good reflector. Examination of the solution for the vertical amplitude in the vicinity of singularities indicates the dominant lee wavelength and observations confirm that in comparable settings resonant trapped gravity waves develop in the lee of mountains. Comparison with a real atmospheric lee-wave events gives good predictions for the wavelength and wave drag, but, as in other linear models, the amplitude is underestimated.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 50 (1992), S. 237-238 
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 50 (1992), S. 231-236 
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    Notes: Summary In this paper we combine chaotic theory with statistics to present three forecast models: a model of equal distance ind-dimensional phase space, a mode regression model of twelve units and a model of neighborhood model regression. Many experiments show that all these models can generate accurate forcasts.
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    Meteorology and atmospheric physics 51 (1993), S. 1-24 
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    Notes: Summary Nonlinear interactions and feedbacks in frontal dynamics are studied with two-dimensional quasigeostrophic, semigeostrophic and primitive equation models for given cases of moderate surface cold fronts. According to the degree of approximation these feedbacks are in effect as a result of geostrophic and ageostrophic advection configuring the further frontal development and the associated energy-transfers between the geostrophic and the ageostrophic scales. The most prominent feedback processes, including the feedback connected with the ageostrophic along-front windv ag , are theoretically reviewed. In cases of smallv ag values, their effects on form and horizontal scale of the frontal secondary circulation are discussed by comparing the products of different model versions and the cross-frontal spectral analysis of the ageostrophic wind fields. To scrutinize the role played by thev ag -field, further experiments were based on a hierarchy ofv ag -substitutes parameterized by the momentum equation of the crossfrontal winddu/dt=fv ag . Tentative results show the tendency towards very localized effects.
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    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Photodynamic therapy ; Superficial bladder tumours ; Dosimetry ; Isotropic light sensors ; Photosensitizers ; Wavelength of irradiation
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    Notes: Abstract The use of photodynamic therapy (PDT) for the treatment of superficial tumours on the bladder wall is described. Details are given on the laser, methods of delivering light into the bladder, suitable commercial dosimetry systems and instrumentation suitable for making light measurements on the bladder wall during therapy. New alternative photosensitizers are discussed in some detail. Some early clinical results are presented and the current problems with this type of therapy are highlighted.
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    Lasers in medical science 5 (1990), S. 43-49 
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    Keywords: Copper vapour laser ; Argon ion laser ; Port wine stains ; Telangiectasia ; Spider naevi ; Questionnaire
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    Notes: Abstract A questionnaire was sent to 242 patients who had undergone treatment with yellow light (578 nm) from a copper vapour laser for a port wine stain (PWS), for facial telangiectasia (FT), or for a spider naevus (SN). The questionnaire covered the social implications of the lesion, the physical appearance of the lesion after treatment and the patient's judgement of how the treatment has affected them. Replies were received from 73% of the patients. The replies revealed that 83% PWS, 74% FT, and 81% SN patients felt there had been an improvement in their appearance compared with 2.5% PWS, 14% FT, and 7.5% SN patients who felt that their appearance had changed for the worse. The overall impression of the treatment was also very positive, especially with PWS patients, 91% would recommend the treatment to others, 84% would have the treatment again and 60% indicated their feelings regarding their overall treatment and the effect it had on their lives was very good.
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    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Biliary calculi ; Laser lithotripsy ; Pulsed 504 nm dye laser ; Salivary calculi ; Urinary calculi
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Biliary, urinary and salivary stones were fragmented in vitro with a flashlamp-pumped dye laser operating at 504 nm. A clinical fragmentation criterion was formulated; fragmentation was continued until all fragments had passed through a sieve with holes of 1.5×1.5 mm2. The number of shots of 50 mJ necessary for total fragmentation appeared to be proportional to the stone mass. The three types of stones showed statistically significant differences in the number of shots per unit mass, necessary for fragmentation. On biliary calculi we investigated the influence of the energy per laser pulse. For pulse energies of 32 mJ and larger, the energy necessary for fragmentation appeared to be proportional to the initial stone mass, but did not depend on the energy per pulse.
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    Lasers in medical science 5 (1990), S. 121-128 
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    Keywords: Hyperthermia ; Tissue optics ; Thermal properties ; Lasers ; Cancer therapy
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract The rationale of hyperthermic treatment of tumours is based on the phenomenon that several tumours have a reduced tolerance for exposure to temperatures in the region 42–47 °C for 20–30 min. Hyperthermia may also be used as an adjunct to other modalities such as chemotherapy, conventional radiation therapy or photodynamic therapy. Methods for introducing hyperthermia include electromagnetic radiation in the radiofrequency and microwave region as well as ultrasonic waves. The use of lasers emitting within the visible and near infrared part of the spectrum has the potential to initiate a local elevation of the temperature. The extension of the heated region will depend on optical wavelength, tissue composition and blood perfusion. Typical linear dimensions of the 42–47 °C temperature region will range from 2–3 mm and up to about 10 mm. Superficial tumours may be heated by direct irradiation whereas deeper lying tumours or lesions of large extent may require light delivered by one or several inserted optical fibres. Laser-induced hyperthermia may be of particular relevance in the treatment of retinal or choroidal tumours. Visible and near infrared radiation can be transmitted through the cornea, the lens and the vitreous with negligible loss. The absorption in the tumour is, however, significantly larger and the main part of the optical power will be absorbed within 0.5–5 mm into the neoplastic tissue. This paper emphasizes a discussion of the basic principles.
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  • 74
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    Lasers in medical science 5 (1990), S. 137-141 
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Retinal epiblastic tumours ; Uveal tumours ; Photocoagulation therapy
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Two kinds of tumours are of particular importance in ophthalmology: the retinal epiblastic tumours, like the retinoblastoma and uveal tumours, like the uveal melanoma and the metastatic tumours. The photocoagulation therapy is sometimes used as a first treatment or as the only treatment, and this kind of therapy is useful according to our experience to complete conservative tumour therapy with radioactivity or cytostatic chemistry. A review of literature is done and we present several clinical examples from our own experience in the Lisbon Institute of ophthalmology and in the University Eye Clinic, Santa Maria Hospital, Lisbon.
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  • 75
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Bladder tumour ; Diagnosis ; Fluorescence ; Photodynamic therapy ; Photosensitization
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Most methods of modern laser tumour therapy are physically based on the conversion of light to heat. Recently tumours have also been treated using ionizing processes for tissue ablation. Photodynamic laser therapy (PDT), however, involves light-induced non-thermal biochemical processes and the use of a photosensitizer. Several drugs are known to be stored selectively in tumours after systemic application. This transient marking can be used for diagnostic and therapeutic procedures. The marker most commonly used is dihaematoporphyrin ether/ester (DHE) intravenously injected at doses of 0.2–3.0 mg/kg bodyweight for diagnosis and therapy, respectively. The corresponding clearance intervals after injection of DHE range from 3–48 h to 25–75 h. Detection of photosensitized tumours might offer great advantages. The highly sensitive two-wavelength laser excitation method with computerized fluorescence imaging recently has been transferred to the hospital for clinical tests. Photoinduced production of singlet oxygen is claimed to be the initial process which leads to later tumour destruction and therapy. PDT has been applied to 20 patients suffering from superficial tumours (TIS GII–III) recurred after application of other treatments. The results after PDT were evaluated by three-monthly check-ups (endoscopy, cytology, bladder mapping, renal ultrasonography) as well as by computed tomography (CT) examination at 8–13 month intervals. In six patients treated by PDT no tumour recurrence has been found over the whole observation period of up to 5 years. Four patients have remained free of tumour (12 and 14 months) after repeated transurethral resection (TUR) and Nd-YAG laser therapy following PDT. Due to an initial application of insufficient irradiation four patients required a second PDT. In one patient a circumscribed dysplasia appeared at the left ostium 26 months following PDT and was treated successfully by means of thermal Nd-YAG laser irradiation following TUR. In six patients slight mucosal atypia persisted for a period of at least 2.5 years. One cystectomy had to be performed because of bladder shrinkage. The dissected bladder, however, was free of tumour. These preliminary results suggest that PDT is justified in patients who are in a worst-case situation with cystectomy recommended in case of recurrent superficial TIS bladder carcinoma and indicate the future potential of photodynamic therapy of tumours. Homogeneous irradiation of the area to be treated and a reliable light dosimetry are prerequisites for an effective tumour therapy. Standard instruments for a routine application do not exist, but are under development.
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  • 76
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    Lasers in medical science 5 (1990), S. 213-215 
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Gynaecological tumours ; Endometriosis ; Haematoporphyrin derivative
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  • 77
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    Lasers in medical science 5 (1990), S. 217-221 
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Oesophageal cancer ; Nd-YAG laser ; Endoscopic treatment
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Over a 10 year period, 149 non-surgical patients were treated for palliation of an oesophageal cancer. One hundred and twenty-nine patients had an advanced cancer; 20 had a small cancer. The initial success rate was 81% and the complications rate was 3.1% for advanced cancers. Average duration of improvement after initial improvement was 138 days. Location was the only factor affecting the initial results in advanced cancers. Improvement duration was affected by the reason for treatment and an association of treatments during follow up. A complete local destruction of the small cancers was obtained in 18 patients. Three patients had a local recurrence during follow up.
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  • 78
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    Lasers in medical science 5 (1990), S. 253-269 
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Laser applications are developing rapidly in medicine. Virtually every specialty of surgery, and a number of medical specialties, are using the laser for several conditions, and the number of conditions treated seems to grow every day. This fact is of concern to policy-makers in a time of limited resources for health care. Increasingly, health policy decisions are guided by costeffectiveness studies of medical applications. This paper reviews evidence of cost-effectiveness for a number of relatively mature laser applications. In general, although available studies are suggestive of benefit, effectiveness has been demonstrated for relatively few laser applications. Little reliable cost information has been developed, although out-patient therapy and shortened length of stay in hospital seem to be demonstrated for several conditions.
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  • 79
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    Lasers in medical science 5 (1990), S. 289-292 
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Cancer ; Laser ; Chromophores ; Photodynamic therapy
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Chromophores in tissue are of considerable interest for the tissue interactions with lasers in the visible light range. The natural chromophores in man are essentially melanin and red cell haemoglobin. With the development of Photodynamic Therapy (PDT) in the treatment of human cancer, the new technology of exogenous chromophores was developed and continues to expand both in laser medicine and laser surgery. This technology relates specific chromophores to specific wavelengths for the destruction of tumours and has been very effective for PDT in those instances where there is accessibility to the tumour mass by the laser beam. The problems today are concerned with how to mark these malignant foci deep in the tissue, how to detect them, and how to direct selected laser beams to the marked carcinomatous tissue. In laser medicine, the field is expanding especially for tissue and laboratory diagnostics.
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  • 80
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Photodynamic therapy ; PDT ; Fluorescence ; Haematoporphyrin derivative ; HPD ; Diagnosis ; Murine tumour ; Laser ; Pharmacodynamic ; Pharmacokinetic ; Regrowth delay
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    Notes: Abstract Eight commercially available HPD-photosensitizers intended for photodynamic therapy were tested in a murine tumour model with regard to their therapeutic efficacy. The regrowth delay of the fibrosarcoma SSK-2 on the mouse C3H, Neuherberg-line, was determined 3, 24, 48 and 72 h after injection of the drugs (dose: 9 mg kg−1 body weight). The corresponding pharmacodynamics, as measured by regrowth delay, were approximated by an exponential function and the characterizing coefficients derived. These coefficients served to quantify the photodynamic properties of the drugs. The pharmacodynamics of five substances were compared with those obtained fluorometrically. The latter showed shorter decay constants than the therapy-correlated substances which indicates different metabolic behaviour of the therapeutic and diagnostically useful fluorescent components of haematoporphyrin-derived photosensitizers.
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  • 81
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    Lasers in medical science 5 (1990), S. 337-337 
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  • 82
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    Lasers in medical science 5 (1990), S. 381-386 
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: HeNe laser irradiation ; Biostimulation ; Wound healing ; Capillary regeneration
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Laser light of low energy is discussed to have an accelerating effect on wound healing. The aim of the present study was to proof whether HeNe laser irradiations have a positive effect on regeneration of capillaries. For this purpose aluminium chambers were implanted in the dorsal skin flap of Syrian hamsters. After coagulation of blood vessels by means of an argon laser the tissue was irradiated daily with the low energy light of a HeNe laser. Regeneration of capillaries was studied by means of intravital microscopy. The results of the study revealed a positive effect of low dose HeNe laser irradiation on the regeneration of capillaries at day 5 after the coagulation. The measurable part of the capillaries was about 27% higher for the irradiated animals compared to controls.
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  • 83
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    Lasers in medical science 5 (1990), S. 411-413 
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  • 84
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    Lasers in medical science 6 (1991), S. 15-21 
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Laser ; Platelets ; Aspirin
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Laser angioplasty involves intravascular laser irradiation which may affect platelets and aggregation. In this study we examined the in vitro effects of different energy doses and modes of CO2 laser irradiation on the platelet number, function and ultrastructure. Since aspirin is used in many patients suffering from coronary artery disease, the consequences of laser irradiation on aspirin-treated platelets were studied as well. We found that CO2 laser irradiation causes a dose-response reduction of the platelet number that is most pronounced with high energy-short duration irradiation, and a dose-response reduction in platelet aggregation which is independent of the mode of irradiation. Pretreatment with aspirin does not change the effects of laser irradiation on platelet number, while aggregation is reduced only at relatively high energy doses. Electron microscopy revealed significant intracellular injury following low energy irradiation, while progressive damage to membranes occurred in a dose-response mode, both in untreated and aspirin-treated platelets. The clinical application of our findings should be done cautiously since important in vivo factors, such as the effect of laser irradiation on the vessel wall and coagulation system, were not studied.
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  • 85
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    Lasers in medical science 6 (1991), S. 53-53 
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  • 86
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Atherosclerosis ; Peripheral arteries ; Laser angioplasty ; Pulsed Nd-YAG laser ; Sapphire tips
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Percutaneous transluminal laser angioplasty with a pulsed Nd-YAG laser (1064 nm wavelength, 100μs pulse duration, up to 0.4 J per pulse, 10 Hz repetition rate) coupled to optical fibres with sapphire tips of 1.8 and 2.2 mm diameter was performed under experimental conditions and then in 30 chronic occlusions of femoral and popliteal arteries in 22 patients. The experimental study in 11 human cadaverous arteries revealed that this laser system was effective in the recanalization of seven femoropopliteal occlusions, but the relative rigidity of the sapphire-tipped contact probe prevented its access to two infrapopliteal vessels. Two perforations occurred after the recanalization of 18 and 15 cm, respectively. Clinically the procedure was successful in 17 out of 25 sessions (68%). The probe formed a primary channel of at least 2.0 mm width which was further dilated by conventional balloon catheter. Ankle/brachial systolic pressure index (ABPI) increased from 0.43±0.13 to 0.79±0.21 after the procedure. In eight cases complications occurred. Two reocclusions were treated by Streptokinase infusion, two procedures were repeated 2 months later, one patient was referred to elective bypass surgery, and three patients were treated conservatively. Six patients were followed-up for more than 6 months. In one patient claudication of 400 m reappeared. ABPI showed a moderate decrease from 0.84±0.20 to 0.69±0.19. These first results are encouraging and it is likely that this method could become an important adjunct to balloon angioplasty.
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  • 87
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Laser angioplasty ; Coronary artery disease ; Nitrogen laser ; Tissue fluorescence
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    Notes: Abstract To determine the fluorescence pattern for distinguishing normal (N) from calcified and fibrous plaque (P), fluorescence spectra of cadaveric aorta were measured with a spectrofluorometer. Emission (Em) and excitation (Ex) spectra corrected for instrumental response were obtained from 200 to 1000 nm. Specimens from 50 patients were measured less than 24 h after autopsy and then examined histologically. Spectra from 25 specimens demonstrated that the ratio of fluorescence intensity 460 nm/385 nm with Ex=337 nm provided separation of N from P (1.53±29 vs 0.82±0.25,p〈0.01) and that a ratio of 1.25 correctly identified all N and P. A prospective test of this ratio on an additional 25 specimens yielded a significant difference between N and P (1.70±0.37 vs 0.87±0.23,p〈0.0001) with a value of 1.25 correctly identifying all (10/10) N and 93% (14/15) P. Prospective analysis of previously proposed fluorescence ratios (600 nm/580 nm at Ex=480 nm; 530 nm/550 nm at Ex=459 nm; 448 nm/514 nm and 538 nm/514 nm at Ex=337 nm) all resulted in poor separation of N from P. The ratio of 460 nm/385 nm with Ex=337 nm is superior to previously reported criteria for distinguishing N from P and may be useful for guiding laser angioplasty systems.
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  • 88
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Photodynamic therapy ; Skin photosensitivity ; Antihistamines
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract We have investigated the incidence of cutaneous phototoxicity in 47 patients who received photodynamic therapy between April 1988 and March 1990. Of these, 15 patients received antihistamines as part of a pilot study to evluate their photoprotective role. Patients were followed-up for a minimum of 8 weeks. One out of the fifteen who received antihistamines and 15 out of the 32 patients who did not (p〈0.005), developed cutaneous phototoxicity. On the basis of these results we have initiated a randomized double-blind trial to evaluate the role of antihistamines in haematoporphyrin derivative-induced cutaneous phototoxicity.
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  • 89
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Atherosclerosis ; Alexandrite ; Angioplasty
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Pulsed ultra-violet excimer laser radiation is capable of tissue ablation with only minimal thermal injury of adjacent tissue structures. Since difficult fibre optic coupling of energy was observed, alternative Q-switched laser sources capable of ablation of atherosclerotic plaque are under current investigation. To evaluate tissue effects of Alexandrite laser radiation, 160 arterial segments with macroscopic evidence of atherosclerotic disease were treated. The laser light was transmitted via silica based quartz fibres with different diameters. Using the Q-switched Alexandrite laser at the fundamental wavelength (748 nm) with a pulse duration of 300 ns the energy density threshold for tissue ablation was found to be in the range of 63 to 126 J cm−2 using a 300μm fibre. On macroscopic examination only limited thermal and acoustic injury was found in crater adjacent tissue structures. Crater edges were even and did not reveal signs of crater charring or debris in the crater lumen. However, the histological cross-sections revealed thermal injury extending from 100 up to 200μm lateral into adjacent tissue. The crater margins revealed fissuring as a result of shock wave injury. Thermal damage was most evident if irradiation of atherosclerotic tissue was performed in blood.
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  • 90
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    Lasers in medical science 6 (1991), S. 215-215 
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  • 91
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    Lasers in medical science 6 (1991), S. 223-233 
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Angioplasty ; Recanalization ; Laser ; Balloon ; Intravascular ultrasound ; Restenosis
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract The current state of clinical laser angioplasty is reviewed. Compared to balloon dilation at the beginning of the past decade, both peripheral and coronary laser angioplasty devices produce better results. Compared to current balloon angioplasty techniques, however, laser angioplasty does not seem to offer improved initial or long term results. Intravascular ultrasound imaging may help to improve laser ablation of atherosclerotic plaque. It remains to be established, however, whether precise debulking of the obstruction will result in a reduced restenosis rate compared to balloon angioplasty.
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  • 92
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    Lasers in medical science 6 (1991), S. 241-254 
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Laser angioplasty ; Photoablation ; Photohydraulic effect ; Fast thermal explosion
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Besides the coagulation, where the body digests the necrotic tissue and direct evaporation of tissue, the photoablation effect turns out to be very important in tissue removal. In the case of high tissue absorption the process channels in photoablation can either be photochemical (bond breaking) or fast thermal. In the case of transparent media, a plasma formation due to high irradiances and an optical breakdown is necessary for ablation or photodisruption. All the process channels lead to a fast microscale explosion and to Shockwaves. For soft tissue the main process channel is the fast thermal explosion. Assuming that tissue will be disintegrated, if the energy deposited within a single laser pulse is larger than a material specific threshold, the thresholds for the radiant exposure and ablation rates respectively can be calculated. There is a large difference, whether the laser radiation is applied to the tissue surface in noncontact or through a fibre in contact. In contact the ‘fast thermal explosion’ happens in a closed chamber and hence the photohydraulic effect will support the photoablation. The thermally damaged zone in the surrounding tissue depends on the optical penetration depth mainly in cases that the pulse duration is shorter than a critical time given by the heat conductivity. Pulsed lasers can be used ‘non-thermally’ only if the average power is less than a tenth of a watt. With a higher amount of average power a pulsed laser will act comparable to a cw laser.
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  • 93
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    Lasers in medical science 6 (1991), S. 289-296 
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Atherosclerosis ; Dihaematoporphyrin ether/ester, DHE ; Haematoporphyrin derivative, HPD ; Laser angioplasty ; Laser-induced fluorescence ; Plaque
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Selective fluorescence-marking of plaque offers new possibilities in cardiovascular diagnosis and therapy. Angioscopic investigations and spectrometry-assisted laser angioplasty will be simplified and more effective as compared with methods of today. It might help to make laser angioplasty a further promising interventional method to overcome, at least partially, the problems caused by atheromatous or atherosclerotic changes in the cardiovascular system. Fluorescence detection and imaging of markers is usually limited by the intrinsic fluorescence of tissue. Optical differential methods in combination with two-wavelength laser excitation and computer-assisted image processing, however, allow for discrimination of background-related signals and enable plaque detection and imaging at a high contrast. Plaque consists of either fibrotic, lipoid, or calcified depositions and is rather bradytrophic. For that reason in vitro experiments on human specimens post mortem seem to be justified and of clinical evidence. Due to intrinsically different fluorometric properties of plaque and normal vascular tissue imaging of marker-free plaque areas is possible. Additionally the specimens have been incubated with a haematoporphyrin-containing fluorescence marker at concentrations of 10–40μg ml−1 and incubation times of 60 min in order to obtain a corresponding increase in contrast. Lipoid depositions show the highest contrast because of lipophilic properties of the marker, while fibrotic and calcified plaque is slightly less effectively marked. The results, however, so far obtained indicate that fluorescence detection of plaque promises further progress in diagnosis and therapy of cardiovascular diseases.
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  • 94
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    Lasers in medical science 6 (1991), S. 317-321 
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Laser angioplasty ; Coronary artery disease ; PTCA
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Excimer laser angioplasty is an alternative method for the treatment of obstructive coronary lesions. Initial clinical results demonstrated the safety and feasibility of the procedure. However, efficacy was limited by low catheter flexibility and unreliable energy transmission. Advanced transmission devices were used in 80 interventions in 79 patients. The catheter diameter is 1.3, 1.5 or 1.8 mm, the catheters consist of 20, 30 or 35 quartz fibres (100 μm) respectively. The mean energy density was 55 ±18 mJ mm−2, mean loss of energy transmission was 20%. The pulse width was 60 ns and 115 ns in 40 interventions each. The target vessel was the LAD in 53, the LCX in 6 and the RCA in 21 interventions. Failure of laser angioplasty occurred in 10 patients due to failed guidewire placement (N=6), failed catheter placement (N=3) or impossibility to cross the lesion with the catheter (N=1). Stand-alone laser angioplasty was performed in 43/70 procedures. Additional balloon angioplasty was necessary due to an unsatisfactory result (N=10) or due to complications (N=17) in 27 patients. Vessel occlusion occurred in 18 patients (25%) and could be successfully resolved by balloon dilatation (N=16) or additional laser angioplasty (N=1) in 17 patients. Two early occlusions were found at the 24-h control angiography. The incidence of myocardial infarction and in-hospital death (N=1) was 1.4%. Conclusion: The use of an advanced energy delivery system with trusted energy transmission and higher energy density increased the primary success rate of stand-alone excimer laser angioplasty. However, further improvement of catheter flexibility and reduction of dead space at the catheter tip is necessary to optimize ablation efficacy.
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  • 95
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    Lasers in medical science 6 (1991), S. 339-347 
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Xenon chloride ; Excimer laser ; Coronary angioplasty
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Photochemical ablation of coronary artery atheroma using pulsed xenon-chloride excimer laser has, over the past 18 months produced promising results. Worldwide experience amounts to some 2000 cases. In the first 6 months following installation of the Dymer 200+ laser (Advanced Interventional Systems, Irvine, California, USA) at St. Thomas' Hospital, 53 procedures have been performed in 49 patients. Of these, 52.8% were ‘high risk’ (triple vessel disease, unstable angina, LV ejection fraction 〈35%, need to treat sole remaining coronary conduit). Complications were two in hospital deaths (18 and 48 h post-procedure-3.8%); one ELCA related myocardial infarct (1.9%); two haemorrhage requiring transfusion (3.8%); no emergency bypass graft surgery (0%). Current indications for the use of laser include: (1) long-segment diffuse disease; (2) proximal or ostial stenoses in coronary artery or graft; (3) restenosis after balloon angioplasty; (4) total occlusions crossed by a guidewire; (5) severe stenoses crossed by guidewire but not balloon; and (6) bifurcation lesions or stenoses compromising an important side-branch. Potential complications include: arterial perforation; aneurysm formation; peripheral embolization by plaque material; abrupt thrombotic closure; dissection; late sudden occlusion; spasm; and restenosis. Minor problems at the start of the programme involved: modifications to the machine to meet local laser safety requirements; special gases required for the machine; supply and design of fibre optic catheters; guiding catheters; heparin dose; dissection of the coronary artery (major and minor); and selection of patients.
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    Lasers in medical science 6 (1991), S. 371-371 
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    Lasers in medical science 6 (1991), S. 429-435 
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: TEA CO2 laser ; Ablation ; Thermal modelling ; Pulse width ; Gelatin ; Absorption coefficient
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Ablation of gelatin samples was performed by using a semiconductively preionized TEA CO2 laser, emitting pulses of the lower TEM mode, 100 ns duration, at a repetition rate of 2.4Hz. Ablation rate experiments were performed at a range of fluences from 2J cm−2 to 10J cm−2. Assuming that the absorption coefficient is much larger than the scattering coefficient, experimental data were explained by simple models of ablation. The ablation depth per pulse and the specific absorption depth were calculated from the experimental data.
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  • 98
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Photodynamic therapy ; Tumour ; Haematopor-phyrin derivative ; Photoproduct ; Laser illumination
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    Notes: Abstract Illumination of haematoporphyrin derivative in phosphate-buffered solutions causes the formation of a stable photoproduct with new absorption and fluorescence bands. We report data showing photodynamic activity of the photoproduct. Praestomic tumour OJ-5, carcinosarcoma W-256 (mice) and adenocarcinoma Akatol of colon (rats) have been used. Dynamics of tumour growth, life span of animals and morphological changes of tumour tissues have been the main criteria used to show the photoproduct activity.
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  • 99
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Tissue optics ; Absorption ; Scattering ; Fluence distribution
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract This paper is the second of two reviewing the propagation of electromagnetic radiation of wavelength 0.25–10μm in tissue. This part begins with a discussion of how the fundamental optical interaction coefficients of tissue may be measured. Both direct methods, in which the coefficients are measured for optically thin samples, and indirect methods, in which the coefficients are inferred from measurements on bulk samples are described. The difficulties inherent in both types of measurement are outlined. Next the wavelength dependence of the scattering and absorption coefficient is discussed, both from a heuristic point of view and by illustration from current literature. We illustrate how the optical spectrum can be divided into regions where the propagation of light is dominated by absorption or scattering effects. Finally we show how the distribution of light fluence in these spectral regions is dramatically different and illustrate the important features of these distributions.
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  • 100
    ISSN: 1435-604X
    Keywords: Laser bronchoscopy ; 1.32μm Nd-YAG laser
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    Topics: Medicine , Physics , Technology
    Notes: Abstract Endoscopic laser treatment for tracheobronchial malignancy is usually given with the neodymium-YAG laser using the 1.064μm output beam. However, recent experimental work suggests that the 1.32μm output beam of this laser has more desirable tissue effects. We have now treated 55 patients with the 1.32μm Nd-YAG laser (MBB-Medizintechnic) under general anaesthesia, using power settings of 10–20 W and pulse durations of up to 1 s. The indications for treatment were localized airway obstruction in each case. Airway calibre was improved in 46 (84%) patients and this was associated with an improvement in symptoms of cough and breathlessness. Patients with tracheal and carinal obstruction exhibited the most striking clinical improvements with up to four-fold increases in peak expiratory flow. In patients with more peripheral endobronchial obstruction, treatment improved airway calibre less frequently and resulted in a smaller clinical improvement. Of 11 patients with obstruction of a main bronchus and lung collapse, treatment led to partial or complete re-expansion in 10 cases (91%). The 1.32μm wavelength allows treatment to be conducted efficiently and safely but at a considerably lower power than is required for the 1.064μmwavelength. The ability to use low powers has the apparent advantage of generating only negligible quantities of smoke. Our experience with this new laser system demonstrates its considerable potential in the management of tracheobronchial malignancy.
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