ALBERT

Note: Inhaltsverzeichnis: 1 Auf Spurensuche vor unserer Haustür. - 2 Rund um den Gletscher. - Wie Gletscher entstehen. - Gletscher, Glacier, Ghiaccia, Jökull. - Gletschertypen. - Aufbau und Eigenschaften eines Gletschers. - Gletschereis fließt. - Gletscher wachsen an und schmelzen ab. - Gletscherschwankungen und ihre Ursachen. - 3 Verbreitung des Eises und der kalten Regionen. - 4 Vereisungen während der geologischen Vergangenheit. - Präquartäre Kaltzeiten. - Quartäre Kaltzeiten. - Die Schlüssel zur Vergangenheit. - Pleistozän (Kaltzeitalter). - Europa im Pleistozän. - 5 Gletscher formen Landschaften. - Kräfte und Prozesse im Überblick. - Der glaziale Formenschatz. - Glaziale Abtragungsformen. - Glaziale Ablagerungsformen. - Moränen in Nordmitteleuropa. - Moränen im Gebirge und Gebirgsrandbereich. - Weitere Glazialformen. - 6 Der Einfluß des Gletscherschmelzwassers. - Kräfte und Prozesse im Überblick. - Fluvioglaziale Abtragungsformen. - Fluvioglaziale Ablagerungsformen. - Formengesellschaften glazialer und fluvioglazialer Entstehung. - Formenvielfalt auf engstem Raum - ein Beispiel. - Formengesellschaft im Modell - die glaziale Serie. - 7 Formengestaltung abseits von vergletscherten Gebieten. - Kräfte und Prozesse im Überblick. - Die regionale Verbreitung der Periglazialgebiete. - Der periglaziale Formenschatz. - Wind: Äolische Prozesse und Formen. - Schwerkraft: Gravitative Prozesse und Formen. - Frost: Kryogene Prozesse und Formen. - 8 Gletscher und Meeresspiegel. - Das geophysikalische Prinzip isostatischer Bewegungen. - Eustatische Meeresspiegelschwankungen. - Isostasie und Eustasie wirken zusammen. - Der Einfluß auf die Küstenlandschaften. - 9 Die nächste Kaltzeit kommt bestimmt. - Globale Entwicklungen. - Atmosphäre und Klima. - Anthropogene Eingriffe. - Natürliche Klimaschwankungen. - Astronomische Einflüsse. - Irdische Einflüsse. - Das Greenland Icecore Project - eine Eisbohrung bringt überraschende Erkenntnisse. - Meeresströme steuern das Klima. - Kann es eine überzeugende Klimaprognose geben. - Literaturverzeichnis. - Glossar. - Abbildungsnachweis. - Sachverzeichnis.

Note: Contents: Preface. - 1 Introduction. - 1.1 Physical characteristics of the Antarctic. - 1.2 A brief history of Antarctic meteorology. - 1.3 The role of the Antarctic atmosphere in the global climate system. - 2 Observations and instrumentation. - 2.1 Observing in the Antarctic. - 2.2 Instruments for meteorological measurements. - 2.3 Automatic weather stations. - 2.4 Drifting buoys. - 2.5 Surface-based remote sensing. - 2.6 Satellites, space-based observing systems and ground stations. - 2.7 The station network and communications. - 2.8 Data sets and data centres. - 3 Physical climatology. - 3.1 Radiation. - 3.2 Temperature and humidity. - 3.3 Pressure, geopotential and wind. - 3.4 Clouds and precipitation. - 3.5 Sea ice and the Southern Ocean environment. - 4 The large-scale circulation of the Antarctic atmosphere. - 4.1 Introduction. - 4.2 The heat budget. - 4.3 Atmospheric circulation and the vorticity budget. - 4.4 The water vapour budget. - 4.5 Representation of the Antarctic atmosphere in general circulation models. - 5 Synoptic-scale weather systems and fronts. - 5.1 Introduction. - 5.2 The role of depressions. - 5.3 Depressions in the Antarctic and over the Southern Ocean. - 5.4 Climatology. - 5.5 Preparation of operational analyses and forecasts. - 5.6 Future research needs. - 6 Mesoscale systems and processes. - 6.1 Local wind systems. - 6.2 Internal gravity waves. - 6.3 The atmospheric boundary layer. - 6.4 Blowing snow. - 6.5 Mesocyclones. - 7 Climate variability and change. - 7.1 Variations in the historical climate record. - 7.2 Interactions with the tropical and mid-latitude circulation. - 7.3 Future climate predictions - Antarctica in a 'greenhouse' climate. - Appendix A: A chronological list of stations that have made multi-year meteorological observations in the Antarctic and on the sub-Antarctic islands. - Appendix B: A chronological list of automatic weather stations that have been deployed in the Antarctic and on the sub-Antarctic Islands. - References. - Index.

Note: Contents Observed Climatic Variability: Time Dependence / J. M. WALLACE Observed Climatic Variability: Spatial Structure / J. M. WALLACE Predictability of the Atmosphere and Oceans: From Days to Decades / T. N. PALMER Mechanisms for Decadal-to-Centennial Climate Variability / E. S. SARACHIK, M. WINTON and F. L. YIN Long-Term Coordinated Changesin the Convective Activity of the North Atlantic / R. DICKSON, J. LAZIER, J. MEINCKE and P. RHINES Mechanism for Decadal Climate Variability / M. LATIF, A. GROTZNER, M. MUNNICH, E. MAIER-REIMER, S. VENZKE and T. P. BARNETTA The Climate Response to the Changing Greenhouse Gas Concentration in the Atmosphere / L. BENGTSSON Analysis of Thermohaline Feedbacks / J. MAROTZKE An Overview of Century Time-Scale Variability in the Climate System: Observations and Models / T. F. STOCKER Steady States and Variability in Oceanic Zonal Flows / D. OLBERS and C. VOLKER Spectral Methods: What They Can and Cannot Do for Climatic Time Series / M. GHIL and P. Yiou Subject Index List of Participants

Note: Table of Contents: SECTION A: MODERN OCEAN AND SEA-ICE PROCESSES. - Features of Seasonal and Interannual Variability of the Sea Level and Water Circulation in the Laptev Sea / V. K. Pavlov and P. V. Pavlov. - Numerical Modelling of Storm Surges in the Laptev Sea Based on the Finite Element Method / I. Ashik and A. Novakov. - Large-Scale Variations of Sea Level in the Laptev Sea / G. N. Voinov and E. A. Zakharchuk. - Extreme Oscillations of the Sea Level in the Laptev Sea / I. Ashik, Y. Dvorkin and Y. Vanda. - Internal Waves in the Laptev Sea / E. A. Zakharchuk. - The Composition of the Coarse Fraction of Aerosols in the Marine Boundary Layer over the Laptev, Kara and Barents Seas / V. P. Shevchenko, A. P. Lisitzin, R. Stein, V. V. Serova, A. B. Isaeva and N. V. Politova. - New Data on Sea-Ice Albedo in the Laptev and Barents Seas / B. V. Ivanov. - Possible Causes of Radioactive Contamination in the Laptev Sea / V. K. Pavlov, V. V. Stanovoy and A. I. Nikitin. - Oceanographic Causes for Transarctic Ice Transport of River Discharge / I. Dmitrenko, P. Golovin, V. Gribanov and H. Kassens. - Step-Like Vertical Structure Formation Due to Turbulent Mixing of Initially Continuous Density Gradients / A. Zatsepin, S. Dikarev, S. Poyarkov, N. Sheremet, I. Dmitrenko, P. Golovin and H. Kassens. - Dissolved and Paniculate Major and Trace Elements in Newly Formed Ice from the Laptev Sea (Transdrift III, October 1995) / J. A. Hölemann, M. Schirmacher and A. Prange. - Particle Entrainment into Newly Forming Sea Ice - Freeze-Up Studies in October 1995 / F. Lindemann, J. A. Holemann, A. Korablev and A. Zachek. - Frazil Ice Formation during the Spring Flood and its Role in Transport of Sediments to the Ice Cover / P. Golovin, I. Dmitrenko, H. Kassens and J. A. Hölemann. - SECTION B: THE MARINE ECOSYSTEM. - Pelagic-Benthic Coupling in the Laptev Sea Affected by Ice Cover / C. Grahl, A. Boetius and E.-M. Nöthig. - Chlorophyll a Distribution in Water Column and Sea Ice during the Laptev Sea Freeze-Up Study in Autumn 1995 / K. v. Juterzenka and K. Knickmeier. - Composition, Abundance and Population Structure of Spring-Time Zooplankton in the Shelf-Zone of Laptev Sea / E. N. Abramova. - Macrobenthos Distribution in the Laptev Sea in Relation to Hydrology / V. V. Petryashov, B. I. Sirenko, A. A. Golikov, A. V. Novozhilov, E. Rachor, D. Piepenburg and M. K. Schmid. - Carepoctus solidus sp.n., a New Species of Liparid Fish (Scorpaeniformes, Liparidae) from the Lower Bathyal of the Polar Basin / N. V. Chernova. - Spring Stopover of Birds on the Laptev Sea Polynya / D. V. Solovieva. - SECTION C: LAND-OCEAN INTERACTIONS AND PATHWAYS. - Major, Trace and Rare Earth Element Geochemistry of Suspended Particulate Material of East Siberian Rivers Draining to the Arctic Ocean / V. Rachold. - Carbon Isotope Composition of Particulate Organic Material in East Siberian Rivers / V. Rachold and H.-W. Hubberten. - Distribution of River Water and Suspended Sediment Loads in the Deltas of Rivers in the Basins of The Laptev and East-Siberian Seas / V. V. Ivanov and A. A. Piskun. - Dissolved Oxygen, Silicon, Phosphorous and Suspended Matter Concentrations During the Spring Breakup of The Lena River / S. V. Pivovarov, J. A. Hölemann, H. Kassens, M. Antonow and I. Dmitrenko. - Distribution Patterns of Heavy Minerals in Siberian Rivers, the Laptev Sea and the eastern Arctic Ocean: An Approach to Identify Sources, Transport and Pathways of Terrigenous Matter / M. Behrends, E. Hoops and B. Peregovich. - The Role of Coastal Retreat for Sedimentation in the Laptev Sea / F. E. Are. - SECTION D: TERRESTRIAL ENVIRONMENT - PAST AND PRESENT. - Seasonal Changes in Hydrology, Energy Balance and Chemistry in the Active Layers of Arctic Tundra Soils in Taymyr Peninsula, Russia / J. Boike and P. P. Overduin. - The Landscape and Geobotanical Characteristics of the Levinson-Lessing Lake Basin, Byrranga Mountains, Central Taimyr / M. A. Anisimov and I. N. Pospelov. - Studies of Methane Production and Emission in Relation to the Microrelief of a Polygonal Tundra in Northern Siberia / V. A. Samarkin, A. Gundelwein and E.-M. Pfeiffer. - Carbon Dioxide and Methane Emmissions at Arctic Tundra Sites in North Siberia / M. Sommerkom, A. Gundelwein, E.-M. Pfeiffer and M. Bolter. - The Features of the Hydrological Regime of the Lake-River Systems of the Byrranga Mountains (by the Example of the Levinson-Lessing Lake) / V. P. Zimichev, D. Yu. Bolschyanov, V. G. Mesheryakov and D. Gintz. - Lead-210 Dating and Heavy Metal Concentration in Recent Sediments of Lama Lake (Norilsk Area, Siberia) / B. Hagedorn, S. Harwart, M. M. R. van der Loeff and M. Melles. - Late Weichselian to Holocene Diatom Succession in a Sediment Core from Lama Lake, Siberia and Presumed Ecological Implications / U. Kienel. - Climate and Vegetation History of the Taymyr Peninsula since Middle Weichselian Time - Palynological Evidence from Lake Sediments / J. Hahne and M. Melles. - Laminated Sediments from Levinson-Lessing Lake, Northern Central Siberia - A 30,000 Year Record of Environmental History? / T. Ebel, M. Melles and F. Niessen. - High-Resolution Seismic Stratigraphy of Lake Sediments on the Taymyr Peninsula, Central Siberia / F. Niessen, T. Ebel, C. Kopsch and G. B. Fedorov. - Archaeological Survey in Central Taymyr / V. V. Pitul'ko. - Marine Pleistocene Deposits of the Taymyr Peninsula and their Age from ESR Dating / D. Bolshiyanov and A. Molodkov. - Paleoclimatic Indicators from Permafrost Sequences in the Eastern Taymyr Lowland / C. Siegert, A. Yu. Derevyagin, G.N. Shilova, W.-D. Hermichen and A. Hiller. - SECTION E: MARINE DEPOSITIONAL ENVIRONMENT - PAST AND PRESENT. - Stable Oxygen Isotope Ratios in Benthic Carbonate Shells of Ostracoda, Foraminifera, and Bivalvia from Surface Sediments of the Laptev Sea, Summer 1993 and 1994 / H. Erlenkeuser and U. von Grafenstein. - Determination of Depositional Beryllium-10 Fluxes in the Area of the Laptev Sea and Beryllium-10 Concentrations in Water Samples of High Northern Latitudes / C. Strobl, V. Schulz, S. Vogler, S. Baumann, H. Kassens, P. W. Kubik, M. Suter and A. Mangini. - Spatial Distribution of Diatom Surface Sediment Assemblages on the Laptev Sea Shelf (Russian Arctic) / H. Cremer. - Diatoms from Surface Sediments of the Saint Anna Trough (Kara Sea) / R. N. Djinoridze, G. I. Ivanov, E. N. Djinoridze, and R. F. Spielhagen. - Distribution of Aquatic Palynomorphs in Surface Sediments from the Laptev Sea, Eastern Arctic Ocean / M. Kunz-Pirrung. - Distribution of Pollen and Spores in Surface Sediments of the Laptev Sea / O. D. Naidina and H. A. Bauch. - Clay Mineral Distribution in Surface Sediments of the Laptev Sea: Indicator for Sediment Provinces, Dynamics and Sources / B. T. Rossak, H. Kassens, H. Lange and J. Thiede. - Planktic Foraminifera in Holocene Sediments from the Laptev Sea and the Central Arctic Ocean: Species Distribution and Paleobiogeographical Implication / H. A. Bauch. - Holocene Diatom Stratigraphy and Paleoceanography of the Eurasian Arctic Seas / Y. Polyakova. - Late Quaternary Organic Carbon and Biomarker Records from the Laptev Sea Continental Margin (Arctic Ocean): Implications for Organic Carbon Flux and Composition / R. Stein, K. Fahl, F. Niessen and M. Siebold. - Late Pleistocene Paleoriver Channels on the Laptev Sea Shelf - Implications from Sub-Bottom Profiling / H. P. Kleiber and F. Niessen. - Main Structural Elements of Eastern Russian Arctic Continental Margin Derived from Satellite Gravity and Multichannel Seismic Reflection Data / S. S. Drachev, G. L. Johnson, S. W. Laxon, D. C. McAdoo and H. Kassens. - High Resolution Seismic Studies in the Laptev Sea Shelf: First Results and Future Needs / B. Kim, G. Grikurov and V. Soloviev. - SECTION F: SUMMARY. - Dynamics and History of the Laptev Sea and its Continental Hinterland: A Summary / J. Thiede, L. Timokhov, H. A. Bauch, D. Bolshiyanov, I. Dmitrenko

Note: Preface Acknowledgements Part S Basic topics Chapter I Introduction: Why nonlinear methods? Chapter 2 Linear tools and general considerations 2.1 Stationarity and sampling 2.2 Testing for stationarity 2.3 Linear correlations and the power spectrum 2.3.1 Stationarity and the low-frequency component in the power spectrum 2.4 Linear filters 2.5 Linear predictions Chapter 3 Phase space methods 3.1 Determinism: Uniqueness in phase space 3.2 Delay reconstruction 3.3 Finding a good embedding 3.4 Visual inspection of data 3.5 Poincare surface of section Chapter 4 Determinism and predictability 4.1 Sources of predictability 4.2 Simple nonlinear prediction algorithm 4.3 Verification of successful prediction 4.4 Probing stationarity with nonlinear predictions 4.5 Simple nonlinear noise reduction Chapter 5 Instability: Lyapunov exponents 5.1 Sensitive dependence on initial conditions 5.2 Exponential divergence 5.3 Measuring the maximal exponent from data Chapter 6 Self-similarity: Dimensions 6.1 Attractor geometry and fractals 6.2 Correlation dimension 6.3 Correlation sum from a time series 6.4 Interpretation and pitfalls 6.5 Temporal correlations, nonstationarity, and space time separation plots 6.6 Practical considerations 6.7 A useful application: Determination of the noise level Chapter 7 Using nonlinear methods when determinism is weak 7.1 Testing for nonlinearity with surrogate data 7.1.1 The null hypothesis 7.1.2 How to make surrogate data sets 7.1.3 Which statistics to use 7.1.4 What can go wrong 7.1.5 What we have learned 7.2 Nonlinear statistics for system discrimination 7.3 Extracting qualitative information from a time series Chapters Selected nonlinear phenomena 8.1 Coexistence of attractors 8.2 Transients 8.3 Intermittency 8.4 Structural stability 8.5 Bifurcations 8.6 Quasi-periodicity Part 2 Advanced topics Chapter 9 Advanced embedding methods 9.1 Embedding theorems 9.1.1 Whitney's embedding theorem 9.1.2 Takens's delay embedding theorem 9.2 The time lag 9.3 Filtered delay embeddings 9.3.1 Derivative coordinates 9.3.2 Principal component analysis 9.4 Fluctuating time intervals 9.5 Multichannel measurements 9.5.1 Equivalent variables at different positions 9.5.2 Variables with different physical meanings 9.5.3 Distributed systems 9.6 Embedding of interspike intervals Chapter 10 Chaotic data and noise 10.1 Measurement noise and dynamical noise 10.2 Effects of noise 10.3 Nonlinear noise reduction 10.3.1 Noise reduction by gradient descent 10.3.2 Local projective noise reduction 10.3.3 Implementation of locally projective noise reduction 10.3.4 How much noise is taken out? 10.3.5 Consistency tests 10.4 An application: Foetal ECG extraction Chapter ! 1 More about invariant quantities 11.1 Ergodicity and strange attractors 11.2 Lyapunov exponents II 11.2.1 The spectrum of Lyapunov exponents and invariant manifolds 11.2.2 Flows versus maps 11.2.3 Tangent space method 11.2.4 Spurious exponents 11.2.5 Almost two-dimensional flows 11.3 Dimensions II 11.3.1 Generalised dimensions, multifractals 11.3.2 Information dimension from a time series 11.4 Entropies 11.4.1 Chaos and the flow of information 11.4.2 Entropies of a static distribution 11.4.3 The Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy 11.4.4 Entropies from time series data 11.5 How things are related 11.5.1 Pesin's identity 11.5.2 Kaplan-Yorke conjecture Chapter 12 Modelling and forecasting 12.1 Stochastic models 12.1.1 Linear filter 12.1.2 Nonlinear filters 12.1.3 Markov models 12.2 Deterministic dynamics 12.3 Local methods in phase space 12.3.1 Almost model free methods 12.3.2 Local linear fits 12.4 Global nonlinear models 12.4.1 Polynomials 12.4.2 Radial basis functions 12.4.3 Afeura/ networks 12.4.4 Wfcat to do in practice 12.5 Improved cost functions 12.5.1 Overfitting and model costs 12.5.2 The errors-in-variables problem 12.6 Model verification Chapter 13 Chaos control 13.1 Unstable periodic orbits and their invariant manifolds 13.1.1 Locating periodic orbits 13.1.2 Stable/unstable manifolds from data 13.2 OGY-control and derivates 13.3 Variants of OGY-control 13.4 Delayed feedback 13.5 Chaos suppression without feedback 13.6 Tracking 13.7 Related aspects Chapter 14 Other selected topics 14.1 High dimensional chaos 14.1.1 Analysis of higher dimensional signals 14.1.2 Spatially extended systems 14.2 Analysis of spatiotemporal patterns 14.3 Multiscale or self-similar signals, wavelets 14.3.1 Dynamical origin of multiscale signals 14.3.2 Scaling laws 14.3.3 Wavelet analysis Appendix A Efficient neighbour searching Appendix B Program listings Appendix C Description of the experimental data sets References Index

Note: Inhaltsverzeichnis: 1 Falsche Propheten. - 2 Wetter jeder Art - wie wird das Wetter?. - 2.1 Erst Diagnose - dann Prognose. - 3 Voraussetzung für die Wettervorhersage - Beobachten und Messen. - 3.1 Meteorologische Größenordnungen (Scales). - 3.2 Messen der Wetterelemente in Bodennähe - eine Wetterstation. - 3.3 Messen der Wetterelemente in der Atmosphäre - die 3. Dimension. - Geschichtliches: Meßverfahren für die ganze Atmosphäre. - Vom Boden aus wird die dritte Dimension erschlossen. - Flächenhafte Messung aus der Ferne - vom Satelliten aus. - Meßgeräte der neuen Generation. - 3.4 Meßnetze. - 4 Nowcasting - die ersten zwei Stunden. - 4.1 Großer Aufwand für Nowcasting - Wetterüberwachung (Monitoring). - 4.2 Wann löst sich der Nebel auf? Wie gefährlich wird das Gewitter?. - 4.3 Nutzung empirischer Verfahren. - 5 Meilensteine der modernen Wettervorhersage. - 5.1 Die Suche nach dem wahren Zustand der Atmosphäre. - 5.2 Die geniale Idee des Breslauer Physikers Brandes. - 5.3 Ist der Krieg doch "der Vater aller Dinge"?. - 5.4 Wetterdienste in Aktion - Warum Deutschland Schlußlicht war. - 5.5 Das Bjerknes-Programm - die Geburtsstunde der modernen Wettervorhersage. - 5.6 Richardson - der Rückschlag und die Konsequenzen. - 5.7 Charney und Neumann - der Durchbruch. - 5.8 Hinkelmann - der deutsche Aufbruch. - 6 Grundlagen und Besonderheiten der mittelfristigen Wettervorhersage. - 6.1 Das EZMW-Modell näher betrachtet. - 6.2 Das Prognosemodell. - 6.3 Datenassimilation. - 6.4 Noch einmal zum Maßstabsproblem. - 6.5 Instabilitäten wohin man schaut. - 6.6 Unvermeidliche Fehlerquellen. - 7 Aktuelle Herausforderungen und erste Antworten. - 7.1 Die Entdeckung der Grenzen in der Vorhersage. - 7.2 Die Antwort heißt: Stochastik. - 7.3 EPS - der gesteuerte Zufall. - Steigerung der Vorhersagegüte. - Quantifizierung der Unbestimmtheit. - 7.4 Muß das EPS erweitert werden?. - 7.5 Die Automatisierung der Wettervorhersage. - AFREG. - 7.6 Die MIX-Philosophie. - 8 Prognosenprüfung - Wie gut oder schlecht sind Wettervorhersagen?. - 8.1 Verifikation tut not. - 8.2 Wozu Prognosenprüfung?. - 8.3 Interessen contra Objektivität. - 8.4 Wie erkennt man Blindlingsprognosen?. - Was heißen nun Persistenz und Klimaerwartung?. - 8.5 Die Geister scheiden sich. - 8.6 Zahlen statt Begriffe - die Wende. - 8.7 Maßzahlen der Güte. - Wirtschaftsprognosen - ist da etwas dran?. - Bewertung von Alternativprognosen. - 8.8 Zur aktuellen Güte der Wettervorhersage. - 1. Schwankt die Prognosegüte im Laufe eines Jahres?. - 2. In welchem Monat sind die Wettervorhersagen am genauesten?. - 3. Wie gut werden Niederschläge vorhergesagt?. - 4. Wie verhalten sich Mensch und Maschine bei der Vorhersage anderer Wetterelemente?. - 5. Wie gut sind mittelfristige Wettervorhersagen?. - 6. Wo liegt gegenwärtig die zeitliche Grenze der Vorhersagbarkeit?. - 7. Zum Trend der Prognosengüte. - 8. Wird der Fortschritt anhalten?. - 9 Wettervorhersage - Einblick und Ausblick. - 9.1 Das Mensch-Maschine-Problem in der Wettervorhersage. - 9.2 Die Zukunft der Wettervorhersage. - 10 Langfristvorhersage. - 10.1 Einige historische Anmerkungen zu Langfristvorhersagen. - 10.2 Gegenwärtiger Stand der Langfristvorhersage. - Extratropische Langfristvorhersagen. - 11 Klimaprognosen. - 11.1 Der Klimabegriff. - 11.2 Komponenten unseres Klimasystems. - Wenigstens auf die Sonne ist Verlaß. - Die Atmosphäre - ein warmer Mantel. - Der Mantel ist vielschichtig. - Es wird noch komplexer!. - Der Kohlenstoffkreisl. als Schlüssel zum Verständnis unseres Klimas. - Physikalischer Kohlenstoffkreislauf. - Der organische Kohlenstoffkreislauf - Ozeane als Schlüsselfaktor. - 11.3 Mögliche Ursachen von Klimaänderungen. - Historische und prähistorische Klimaänderungen. - Historische Aufzeichnungen. - Laminierte Sedimente (Warven). - Ablagerungen in Großtagebauen. - Kohlenstoffisotope von Bäumen als Klimaindikatoren. - Untersuchungen der Eisbohrkerne auf Grönland. - Klimabedingungen aus Rattenkot. - Samen- und Pollenanalysen. - Wo ist das CO2 der Uratmosphäre geblieben und warum gibt es überhaupt noch CO2?. - Einige Eiszeittheorien. - 11.4 Methoden der Klimaprognose. - Statistische Modelle. - Boxmodelle. - Zirkulationsmodelle. - 11.5 Regionalisierung von großräumigen Klimaprognosen. - 1. Regionale Klimamodelle. - 2. Statistische Verfahren. - 3. Gekoppelte dynamische und statistische Verfahren. - 11.6 Ergebnisse von Klimaprognosen. - Werden wir den CO2-Ausstoß wirklich weltweit reduzieren?. - Literatur. - Glossar. - Index.

Note: Contents Preface Acknowledgements 1 Introduction 1.1 Glacier forelands and simplicity 1.2 Ecology and primary succession 1.3 Space-for-time substitution (chronosequences) 1.4 Geoecology (landscape ecology) 2 The nature of the timescale 2.1 Glacier variations 2.2 Dating techniques 2.2.1 Historical sources 2.2.2 Biological dating 2.2.3 Physico-chemical dating 2.3 Terrain age sequences and areal chronologies 3 The physical landscape 3.1 The legacy of glaciation 3.1.1 Glacial erosion 3.1.2 Glacial sediments 3.1.3 Depositional landforms and landsystems 3.2 Proglacial landscape modification 3.2.1 Glacio-fluvial activity 3.2.2 Consolidation and slope stabilization 3.2.3 Pervection 3.2.4 Cryogenic processes: frost weathering 3.2.5 Frost-heave and frost-sorting 3.2.6 Solifluction and other periglacial slope processes 3.2.7 Nivation 3.2.8 Aeolian processes 3.3 The climatic environment 3.3.1 Regional climate 3.3.2 Meso-scale climatic gradients 3.3.3 Microclimate 3.3.4 Climatic change 3.4 Spatial variation and change in the physical landscape 3.4.1 Spatial patterns at various scales 3.4.2 Physical processes and landscape change 4 Soil development 4.1 Soil chronosequences and chronofunctions 4.1.1 Conceptual framework 4.1.2 An example: Glacier Bay, Alaska 4.2 Soil properties and pedogenic processes 4.2.1 Texture 4.2.2 Micromorphology 4.2.3 Organic content 4.2.4 pH and base status 4.2.5 Iron and aluminium 4.2.6 Chemical weathering processes 4.2.7 Nitrogen 4.2.8 Phosphorus 4.3 Environmental controls on pedogenesis 4.3.1 Parent material 4.3.2 Topography 4.3.3 Biota 4.3.4 Climatic controls 4.4 Soil formation in time and space 4.4.1 Soil development and equilibrium concepts 4.4.2 Spatial variation and soil chronosequences 5 Plant succession: patterns and environmental factors 5.1 Vegetational chronosequences: methodological considerations 5.1.1 Concept and limitations 5.1.2 Tests of chronoseauences: observed successions 5.1.3 Tests of chronosequences: retrospective analysis 5.2 Inferred successional trends 5.2.1 Cover 5.2.2 Spatial organization 5.2.3 Stratification and physiognomy 5.2.4 Biomass 5.2.5 Species diversity 5.2.6 Species composition and successional stages 5.2.7 Population attributes and physiological traits 5.3 Spatial variation and successional pathways 5.3.1 Within-foreland patterns: mapping 5.3.2 Quantitative community analysis at Storbreen, Jotunheimen 5.3.3 Inferred successional pathways elsewhere 5.3.4 Between-foreland patterns: a comparative approach 5.4 Environmental controls on successional sequences 5.4.1 Initial site conditions 5.4.2 Environmental factors as influx variables 5.4.3 Environmental factor complexes 6 Plant succession: processes and models 6.1 Biological processes of colonization and succession 6.1 Migration 6.2 Ecesis 6.3 Reaction 6.4 Facilitation 6.5 Competition 6.6 Allelopathy, herbivory and pathogens 6.7 Stabilization 6.2 Models 6.2.1 Monoclimax and polyclimax 6.2.2 Climax pattern and site climax 6.2.3 Relay floristics and IFC 6.2.4 Non-selective and selective autosuccession 6.2.5 Facilitation, tolerance and inhibition 6.2.6 Chronic disturbance, competitive hierarchy and resource ratio 6.2.7 Evolutionary strategies 6.2.8 Vital attributes, process interactions and a causal hierarchy 6.3 A geoecological model 6.3.1 Coupling of physical and biological processes 6.3.2 Spatio-temporal dynamics 7 The ecological significance of recently-deglaciated terrain 7.1 Chronosequences 7.2 The geoecological approach 7.3 Some broader implications References Index