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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2023-07-20
    Description: 〈title xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"〉Abstract〈/title〉〈p xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xml:lang="en"〉The dryness of the stratosphere is the result of air entering through the cold tropical tropopause layer (TTL). However, our understanding of the moisture flux partitioning into water vapor and frozen hydrometeors is incomplete. This raises concerns regarding the ability of General Circulation Models to accurately predict changes in stratospheric water vapor following perturbations in the radiative budget due to volcanic aerosol or stratospheric geoengineering. We present the first results using a global storm‐resolving model investigating the sensitivity of moisture fluxes within the TTL to an additional heating source. We address the question how the partitioning of moisture fluxes into water vapor and frozen hydrometeors changes under perturbations. The analysis reveals the resilience of the TTL, keeping the flux partitioning constant even at an average cold‐point warming exceeding 8 K. In the control and perturbed simulations, water vapor contributes around 80% of the moisture entering the stratosphere.〈/p〉
    Description: Plain Language Summary: The stratosphere is a dry region since moisture entering it from below has to pass the cold‐point, a temperature minimum between troposphere and stratosphere. The low temperatures lead to ice formation and sedimentation of moisture. Frozen moisture within clouds rising above the cold‐point tropopause can pass this temperature barrier and be injected into the stratosphere, where temperatures increase again, promoting the melting and sublimation of ice crystals. However, little is known about the sensitivity of the split of moisture entering the stratosphere into frozen and non‐frozen moisture, especially under external influences, like heating by volcanic aerosol or stratospheric geoengineering efforts. Convective parameterizations in conventional simulations can lead to biases. The emerging km‐scale simulations, which explicitly resolve the physical processes, offer the unique possibility to study moisture fluxes under external forcing while circumventing the downsides of parameterizations. Here, the sensitivity of the moisture flux partitioning into non‐frozen and frozen components to an additional heating source is studied for the first time in global storm‐resolving simulations. The analysis reveals an unaltered flux partitioning even at an average cold‐point warming exceeding 8 K. In the control and perturbed simulations, water vapor contributes around 80% of the moisture entering the stratosphere.〈/p〉
    Description: Key Points:Water vapor dominates the stratospheric moisture budget with a contribution of around 80% in global storm‐resolving simulation. The partitioning of stratospheric moisture fluxes into vapor and frozen hydrometeors remains stable under large temperature perturbations.
    Description: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659
    Description: Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002347
    Description: Fueglistaler Group
    Keywords: ddc:551.5 ; stratospheric water vapor ; tropopause ; perturbation ; moisture budget ; geoengineering ; volcano
    Language: English
    Type: doc-type:article
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  • 2
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    In:  [Poster] In: The Lübeck Retreat, Collaborative Research SFB 574 Volatiles and Fluids in Subduction Zones: Climate Feedback and Trigger Mechanisms for Natural Disasters, 23.-25.05.2012, Lübeck . The Lübeck Retreat: final colloquium of SFB 574; May 23-25, 2012: program & abstracts ; p. 19 .
    Publication Date: 2012-09-11
    Description: Using an Earth System Model, we investigate the potential Southern Hemisphere (SH) climate response to an extremely large volcanic eruption. The volcanic radiative forcing is calculated offline with a global aerosol model taken into account the formation and development of the volcanic aerosol size distribution from an initial stratospheric injection of 700 Mt SO2 corresponding to that estimated for the VEI〉7 volcanic eruption of Los Chocoyos in Guatemala 84 ka BP. Due to the extremely large volcanic radiative forcing, the surface cools over almost the entire SH. A significant positive phase of the Southern Annual Mode (SAM), persisting for at least 12 months, characterizes the simulated posteruption SH atmospheric circulation. Significant changes of surface temperature, precipitation and wind fields result from a distinct increase in magnitude and poleward movement in position of the SH westerlies. This is associated with temporary modifications in the upper ocean circulation in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current region. Due to the propagation of the forced anomalies into the deep ocean layers, the anomalous oceanic state persists well beyond the atmospheric response timescale. Significant negative temperature anomalies in the SH ocean propagate down to ~2000 m during the first ~20-50 post-eruption years, and persist for the entire simulated 200 years. A multicentennial anomaly in the SH ocean heat content represents the longest lived volcanically-forced signal detectable in the simulated climate.
    Type: Conference or Workshop Item , NonPeerReviewed
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  • 3
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    In:  [Talk] In: SFB 574 Subduction Workshop, 04.-07.11.2010, Pucon, Chile .
    Publication Date: 2012-02-23
    Description: This study aims to give an overview on Southern Hemisphere (SH) climate effects of tropical volcanic eruptions. Major volcanic eruptions which directly inject high SO2 amounts into the tropical stratosphere have a significant impact on the global climate. Volcanic sulfate aerosol in the stratosphere is transported by the large scale meridional overturning circulation in the stratosphere, called the Brewer-Dobson circulation (BDC). Due to the different strengths of the BDC in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) and SH, and to its seasonality, we find different climate effects between the two hemispheres. To address the role of the seasonality, and eruption strength, we perform a set of model simulations with stratospheric SO2 injections of magnitudes corresponding to the Mt. Pinatubo and Los Chocoyos eruptions during January and July. In this study we focus on temperature, precipitation and circulation changes, and contrast the differences between the SH and the NH responses. We particularly address the effects from the stratosphere down to the surface, showing the dominant atmospheric modes during winter: the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and the Northern Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) for the SH and NH respectively.
    Type: Conference or Workshop Item , NonPeerReviewed
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2012-02-23
    Description: It has been noted that while major volcanic eruptions in the tropics lead to a global distribution of stratospheric aerosol, the distribution is not necessarily symmetric between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Furthermore, ice-core records of volcanic events from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are often in poor agreement, with the best known example being that of the Toba eruption of ~74 ka B.P., which has a strong signal in the Greenland ice cores, but no identified signal in Antarctic ice core records. Using simulations with the MAECHAM5-HAM general circulation model including detailed aerosol microphysics, we examine how the hemispheric asymmetry of volcanic aerosol loading, and of the deposition of sulfate to the surface, depends on the season and magnitude of eruption. A number of paleo-eruptions in the Central American Volcanic Arc (CAVA) are simulated, with different SO2 emission strengths (ranging from 17 to 700 Mt SO2) estimated from field measurements. We show that heating of volcanic aerosols leads to atmospheric circulation changes, affecting the global aerosol transport. Our results indicate that for extremely large volcanic eruptions, such anomalous atmospheric circulation patterns can lead to very large asymmetries in stratospheric aerosol loading and sulfate deposition to the polar ice sheets. This work could be useful in better interpreting volcanic signals in paleo-ice core data and improving the accuracy of estimated aerosol optical depth data sets used in the model simulation of past climate.
    Type: Conference or Workshop Item , NonPeerReviewed
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2019-09-23
    Description: One of the most important natural causes of climate change are large volcanic eruptions as they have a significant impact on Earth's global climate system, especially on the tropospheric and stratospheric circulation. The direct injection of gases, aerosols and volcanic ash into the stratosphere has a strong and long lasting radiative influence, which leads to a global reduction in surface temperatures, and a pronounced warming of the stratosphere, for several years or even decades. To evaluate the climate response and feedback to an extremely large volcanic eruption we use the complex MPI-Earth System Model (ESM) by forcing it with a simulated Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) distribution resulting from a stratospheric injection of 700 Mt SO2, corresponding to the Los Chocoyos eruption (VEI〉7) in Guatemala (84 ka BP). To take into account the unknown season of the eruption, we perform experiments for January and July eruptions, including five ensemble simulations for each. We consider global atmospheric effects as well as changes in the ocean circulation, sea ice and the carbon cycle, which are generated by complex relationships between the radiative forcing and the earth climate system on different time scales. In this study we show that the global surface temperature and especially the tropical precipitation drop rapidly before they recover within 8 years. The ocean response indicates a reduction in ocean heat content, a strengthening of the Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC) and a sensitivity of the sea ice content on longer time scales. Finally modifications in the CO2 storage of the earth climate system comprising the ocean, land and atmospheric CO2 concentrations are investigated
    Type: Conference or Workshop Item , NonPeerReviewed
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2015-01-23
    Description: Simulations of tropical volcanic eruptions using a general circulation model with coupled aerosol microphysics are used to assess the influence of season of eruption on the aerosol evolution and radiative impacts at the Earth's surface. This analysis is presented for eruptions with SO2 injection magnitudes of 17 and 700 Tg, the former consistent with estimates of the 1991 Mt. Pinatubo eruption, the later a near-"super eruption". For each eruption magnitude, simulations are performed with eruptions at 15° N, at four equally spaced times of year. Sensitivity to eruption season of aerosol optical depth (AOD), clear-sky and all-sky shortwave (SW) radiative flux is quantified by first integrating each field for four years after the eruption, then calculating for each cumulative field the absolute or percent difference between the maximum and minimum response from the four eruption seasons. Eruption season has a significant influence on AOD and clear-sky SW radiative flux anomalies for both eruption magnitudes. The sensitivity to eruption season for both fields is generally weak in the tropics, but increases in the mid- and high latitudes, reaching maximum values of ~75 %. Global mean AOD and clear-sky SW anomalies show sensitivity to eruption season on the order of 15–20 %, which results from differences in aerosol effective radius for the different eruption seasons. Smallest aerosol size and largest cumulative impact result from a January eruption for Pinatubo-magnitude eruption, and from a July eruption for the near-super eruption. In contrast to AOD and clear-sky SW anomalies, all-sky SW anomalies are found to be insensitive to season of eruption for the Pinatubo-magnitude eruption experiment, due to the reflection of solar radiation by clouds in the mid- to high latitudes. However, differences in all-sky SW anomalies between eruptions in different seasons are significant for the larger eruption magnitude, and the ~15 % sensitivity to eruption season of the global mean all-sky SW anomalies is comparable to the sensitivity of global mean AOD and clear-sky SW anomalies. Our estimates of sensitivity to eruption season are larger than previously reported estimates: implications regarding volcanic AOD timeseries reconstructions and their use in climate models are discussed.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
    Format: text
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  • 7
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    In:  [Talk] In: The Lübeck Retreat, Collaborative Research SFB 574 Volatiles and Fluids in Subduction Zones: Climate Feedback and Trigger Mechanisms for Natural Disasters, 23.-25.05.2012, Lübeck . The Lübeck Retreat: final colloquium of SFB 574; May 23-25, 2012: program & abstracts ; pp. 15-16 .
    Publication Date: 2012-09-11
    Description: This study gives an overview of the climate effects of explosive volcanic eruptions at the Central American Volcanic Arc (CAVA) for the last 200 ka, obtained during the third phase of the SFB574 project. Major volcanic eruptions in the tropics which directly inject high SO2 amounts into the stratosphere have a significant impact on the global climate. Within weeks the sulfur gases build volcanic sulfate aerosols, which remain in the stratosphere between 3 to 6 years according to the large scale meridional overturning circulation in the stratosphere, called the Brewer-Dobson circulation (BDC). Due to the different strengths of the BDC in the Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere, and to its seasonality, we find different climate effects between the two hemispheres. To address the role of the seasonality, and eruption strength, we perform a set of model simulations with stratospheric SO2 injections of different magnitudes varying between weak and extremely strong eruptions during different seasons. We particularly address the effects from the stratosphere down to the surface, showing the dominant atmospheric modes during winter: the Northern and Southern Annular Modes (NAM and SAM). We explore the mechanisms for the annular mode volcano response, highlighting atmospheric and oceanic circulation changes and possible implications for ice core proxies.
    Type: Conference or Workshop Item , NonPeerReviewed
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  • 8
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    WMO
    In:  In: Report of the 2006 Assessment of the Scientific Assessment Panel : SCIENTIFIC ASSESSMENT OF OZONE DEPLETION: 2006 - Pursuant to Article 6 of the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer. World Meteorological Organization Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project, 50 . WMO, pp. 1-53.
    Publication Date: 2012-09-07
    Type: Book chapter , NonPeerReviewed
    Format: text
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  • 9
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    In:  [Poster] In: AGU Chapman Conference on Volcanism and the Atmosphere, 10.-15.06.2012, Selfoss, Iceland .
    Publication Date: 2012-12-14
    Type: Conference or Workshop Item , NonPeerReviewed
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  • 10
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    In:  [Poster] In: 3. International Conference on Earth System Modelling (ICESM), 17.-21.09.2012, Hamburg, Germany .
    Publication Date: 2012-12-14
    Type: Conference or Workshop Item , NonPeerReviewed
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