ALBERT

Description: The main activities of the VLBI group at the Department of Geodesy and Geoinformation of the Vienna University of Technology were related to the development of the Vienna VLBI Software VieVS (http://vievs.hg.tuwien.ac.at/) and its application for various studies. For example, we dealt with scheduling, satellite tracking, and the estimation of geodynamical and astronomical parameters from VLBI observations. One highlight was the release of VieVS 2.0 just before the third VieVS User Workshop in September 2012.

Description: Managed aquifer recharge (MAR) is increasingly used as a water management tool to enhance water availability and to improve water quality. Until now, however, the risk of fluoride release during MAR with low ionic strength injectate has not been recognised or examined. In this study we analyse and report the mobilisation of fluoride (up to 58 µM) and filterable reactive phosphorus (FRP) (up to 55 µM) during a field groundwater replenishment experiment in which highly treated, deionised wastewater (average TDS 33 mg/L) was injected into a siliciclastic Cretaceous aquifer. In the field experiment, maximum concentrations, which coincided with a rise in pH, exceeded background groundwater concentrations by an average factor of 3.6 for fluoride and 24 for FRP. The combined results from the field experiment, a detailed mineralogical characterisation and geochemical modelling suggested carbonate-rich fluorapatite (CFA: Ca10(PO4)5(CO3,F)F2) to be the most likely source of fluoride and phosphate release. An anoxic batch experiment with powdered CFA-rich nodules sourced from the target aquifer and aqueous solutions of successively decreasing ionic strength closely replicated the field-observed fluoride and phosphate behaviour. Based on the laboratory experiment and geochemical modelling, we hypothesise that the release of fluoride and phosphate results from the incongruent dissolution of CFA and the simultaneous formation of a depleted layer that has hydrated di-basic calcium phosphate (CaHPO4·nH2O) composition at the CFA-water interface. Disequilibrium caused by calcium removal following breakthrough of the deionised injectate triggered the release of fluoride and phosphate. Given the increasing use of highly treated, deionised water for MAR and the ubiquitous presence of CFA and fluorapatite (Ca10(PO4)6F2) in aquifer settings worldwide, the risk of fluoride and phosphate release needs to be considered in the MAR design process.

Description: The North Atlantic (NA) basin-averaged sea surface temperature (NASST) is often used as an index to study climate variability in the NA sector. However, there is still some debate on what drives it. Based on observations and climate models, an analysis of the different influences on the NASST index and its low-pass filtered version, the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) index, is provided. In particular, the relationships of the two indices with some of its mechanistic drivers including the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) are investigated. In observations, the NASST index accounts for significant SST variability over the tropical and subpolar NA. The NASST index is shown to lump together SST variability originating from different mechanisms operating on different time scales. The AMO index emphasizes the subpolar SST variability. In the climate models, the SST-anomaly pattern associated with the NASST index is similar. The AMO index, however, only represents pronounced SST variability over the extratropical NA, and this variability is significantly linked to the AMOC. There is a sensitivity of this linkage to the cold NA SST bias observed in many climate models. Models suffering from a large cold bias exhibit a relatively weak linkage between the AMOC and AMO and vice versa. Finally, the basin-averaged SST in its unfiltered form, which has been used to question a strong influence of ocean dynamics on NA SST variability, mixes together multiple types of variability occurring on different time scales and therefore underemphasizes the role of ocean dynamics in the multidecadal variability of NA SSTs.

Description: There is a controversy about the nature of multidecadal climate variability in the North Atlantic (NA) region, concerning the roles of ocean circulation and atmosphere–ocean coupling. Here we describe NA multidecadal variability from a version of the Kiel Climate Model, in which both subpolar gyre (SPG)–Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) coupling and atmosphere–ocean coupling are essential. The oceanic barotropic and meridional overturning streamfunctions and the sea level pressure are jointly analyzed to derive the leading mode of Atlantic sector variability. This mode accounting for 23.7% of the total combined variance is oscillatory with an irregular periodicity of 25–50 years and an e-folding time of about a decade. SPG and AMOC mutually influence each other and together provide the delayed negative feedback necessary for maintaining the oscillation. An anomalously strong SPG, for example, drives higher surface salinity and density in the NA’s sinking region. In response, oceanic deep convection and AMOC intensify, which, with a time delay of about a decade, reduces SPG strength by enhancing upper-ocean heat content. The weaker gyre leads to lower surface salinity and density in the sinking region, which reduces deep convection and eventually AMOC strength. There is a positive ocean–atmosphere feedback between the sea surface temperature and low-level atmospheric circulation over the southern Greenland area, with related wind stress changes reinforcing SPG changes, thereby maintaining the (damped) multidecadal oscillation against dissipation. Stochastic surface heat flux forcing associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation drives the eigenmode.

Description: The North Atlantic (NA) region plays a key role in the global climate system and exhibits pronounced multidecadal climate variability. There is a controversy about the nature of the multidecadal climate variability in the NA region. This thesis provides an enhanced understanding about the multidecadal variability in the NA sector by applying and analyzing climate models and investigating observations, especially about the mechanisms for sea surface temperature (SST) and Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variability. Firstly, different driving factors operating on the extratropical and tropical NA SST on different timescales are investigated by using observations and model simulations. Secondly, a coupled air-sea multidecadal mode is discovered in the NA region by analyzing the fully coupled Kiel Climate Model (KCM). Thirdly, possible AMOC slowing is discussed by analyzing observational datasets and historical simulations with climate models. In the first part of this thesis, the different influences on the NA SST variability are examined based on observations and climate models. This analysis is conducted by using the basin-averaged NA SST index (NASST) and the low-pass filtered version, termed Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) index. In particular, the relationships of the two indices with some of its mechanistic drivers including Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), subpolar gyre (SPG) and El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are investigated. The results show that the NASST index lumps together SST variability driven by different mechanisms and operating on different timescales. Meanwhile, the AMO index emphasizes the SST variability over the extratropical NA, which is connected to the AMOC in climate models. In addition, models with a large cold bias over the NA exhibit a relatively weak linkage between the AMOC and AMO. The second part discusses the roles of ocean circulation and atmosphere-ocean coupling in the multidecadal climate variability in the NA region. A multidecadal mode is found in KCM, where both ocean circulation and atmosphere-ocean coupling are essential. A fast positive feedback and a delayed negative feedback are crucial for the multidecadal mode. The positive ocean-atmosphere feedback is between the SST and low-level atmospheric circulation over the Southern Greenland area. SPG and AMOC mutually influence each other and together provide the delayed negative feedback necessary for maintaining the oscillation. The stochastic heat-flux variability associated with the NAO keeps exciting the mode. A number of climate models predict that the AMOC will slow if the anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise unabatedly. However, there are debates about as to whether the AMOC is already slowing. The NA warming hole, which is a region where the SST cooled despite the global surface ocean warmed, has been suggested to be an indicator of anthropogenic AMOC slowing. The cooling may reflect diminishing AMOC-related northward upper-ocean heat transport. In the last part of the thesis, by using observational datasets since the beginning of the 20th century, the Atlantic SST variability linked to the net radiative forcing is identified and this pattern hardly accounts for any variance in the NA warming hole. In the NA warming hole, the so-called interhemispheric SST dipole pattern dominates that well records long-term internal AMOC variability in climate models. Furthermore, historical simulations with climate models in the ensemble mean only predict minor AMOC slowing. This part demonstrates the importance of natural internal AMOC variability in recent AMOC slowing and the need for systematic and sustained direct observations of the AMOC.

Description: There is debate about slowing of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a key component of the global climate system. Some focus is on the sea surface temperature (SST) slightly cooling in parts of the subpolar North Atlantic despite widespread ocean warming. Atlantic SST is influenced by the AMOC, especially on decadal timescales and beyond. The local cooling could thus reflect AMOC slowing and diminishing heat transport, consistent with climate model responses to rising atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations. Here we show from Atlantic SST the prevalence of natural AMOC variability since 1900. This is consistent with historical climate model simulations for 1900–2014 predicting on average AMOC slowing of about 1 Sv at 30° N after 1980, which is within the range of internal multidecadal variability derived from the models’ preindustrial control runs. These results highlight the importance of systematic and sustained in-situ monitoring systems that can detect and attribute with high confidence an anthropogenic AMOC signal.

Description: Atlantic decadal-to-bidecadal variability (ADV) is described from a multimillennial control integration of a version of the Kiel Climate Model (KCM). The KCM’s ADV is the second most energetic mode of long-term North Atlantic variability in that simulation, whereas the Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) is the leading mode that has been described in a previous study. The KCM’s ADV can be regarded as a mixed oceanic gyre-overturning circulation mode that is forced by the North Atlantic Oscillation. The extratropical North Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies associated with the model’s ADV initially exhibit a tripolar structure in the meridional direction, which is linked to the gyre circulation. After some years, the SST-anomaly pattern turns into a monopolar pattern located in the subpolar North Atlantic. This transition is related to the overturning circulation. The AMV and the ADV co-exist and share some similarities. Both modes of variability rely on the upper-ocean heat transport into the subpolar North Atlantic. They differ in the importance of the gyre and overturning circulations. In the ADV, gyre and overturning-heat transports into the subpolar North Atlantic are equally important in contrast to the AMV where the overturning contribution dominates.

Description: The globally averaged sea-surface temperature (SST) has steadily increased in the last four decades, consistent with the rising atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations. Parts of the tropical Pacific exhibited less warming than the global average or even cooling, which is not captured by state-of-the-art climate models and the reasons are poorly understood. Here we show that the last four decades featured a strengthening atmospheric circulation and stronger trade winds over the tropical Pacific, which counteracted externally-forced SST warming. Climate models do not simulate the trends in the atmospheric circulation irrespective of whether an external forcing is applied or not and model bias is the likely reason. This study raises questions about model-based tropical Pacific climate change projections and emphasizes the need to enhance understanding of tropical Pacific climate dynamics and response to external forcing in order to project with confidence future climate changes in the tropical Pacific sector and beyond.