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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2006-04-26
    Description: A large scale numerical time-dependent model of sea ice that takes into account the heat fluxes in and out of the ice, the seasonal occurrence of snow, and ice motions was used in an experiment to determine the response of the Arctic Ocean ice pack to a warming of the atmosphere. The degree of warming specified is that expected for a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide with its associated greenhouse effect, a condition that could occur before the middle of the next century. The results of three 5-year simulations with a warmer atmosphere and varied boundary conditions were: (1) that in the face of a 5 K surface atmospheric temperature increase the ice pack disappeared completely in August and September but reformed in the central Arctic Ocean in mid fall; (2) that the simulations were moderately dependence on assumptions concerning cloud cover; and (3) that even when atmospheric temperature increases of 6-9 K were combined with an order-of-magnitude increase in the upward heat flux from the ocean, the ice still appeared in winter. It should be noted that a year-round ice-free Arctic Ocean has apparently not existed for a million years or more.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Goddard Lab. for Atmospheric Sci., Collected Reprints 1978 - 1979, Vol. 2; p 687-700
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2011-08-23
    Description: From November 1978 through December 1996, the areal extent of sea ice decreased by 2.9 +/- 0.4 percent per decade in the Arctic and increased by 1.3 +/- 0.2 percent per decade in the Antarctic. The observed hemispheric asymmetry in these trends is consistent with a modeled response to a carbon dioxide-induced climate warming. The interannual variations, which are 2.3 percent of the annual mean in the Arctic, with a predominant period of about 5 years, and 3.4 percent of the annual mean in the Antarctic, with a predominant period of about 3 years, are uncorrelated.
    Keywords: Oceanography
    Type: Laboratory for Hydrospheric Processes Research Publications; 21-22
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2011-08-19
    Description: The influence of the hemispheric atmospheric circulation on the sea ice covers of the Bering Sea and the Sea of Okhotsk is examined using data obtained with the Nimbus 5 electrically scanning microwave radiometer for the four winters of the 1973-1976 period. The 3-day averaged sea ice extent data were used to establish periods for which there is an out-of-phase relationship between fluctuations of the two ice covers. A comparison of the sea-level atmospheric pressure field with the seasonal, interannual, and short-term sea ice fluctuations reveal an association between changes in the phase and the amplitude of the long waves in the atmosphere and advance and retreat of Arctic ice covers.
    Keywords: OCEANOGRAPHY
    Type: Journal of Geophysical Research (ISSN 0148-0227); 92; 7141-716
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2011-08-19
    Description: The development and use of three-dimensional computer models of the earth's climate are discussed. The processes and interactions of the atmosphere, oceans, and sea ice are examined. The basic theory of climate simulation which includes the fundamental equations, models, and numerical techniques for simulating the atmosphere, oceans, and sea ice is described. Simulated wind, temperature, precipitation, ocean current, and sea ice distribution data are presented and compared to observational data. The responses of the climate to various environmental changes, such as variations in solar output or increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide, are modeled. Future developments in climate modeling are considered. Information is also provided on the derivation of the energy equation, the finite difference barotropic forecast model, the spectral transform technique, and the finite difference shallow water waved equation model.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2014-08-23
    Description: Many regions of the world ocean known or suspected to have deep convection are sea-ice covered for at least a portion of the annual cycle. As this suggests that sea ice might have some impact on generating or maintaining this phenomenon, several mechanisms by which sea ice could exert an influence are presented in the following paragraphs. Sea ice formation could be a direct causal factor in deep convection by providing the surface density increase necessary to initiate the convective overturning. As sea ice forms, either by ice accretion or by in situ ice formation in open water or in lead areas between ice floes, salt is rejected to the underlying water. This increases the water salinity, thereby increasing water density in the mixed layer under the ice. A sufficient increase in density will lead to mixing with deeper waters, and perhaps to deep convection or even bottom water formation. Observations are needed to establish whether this process is actually occurring; it is most likely in regions with extensive ice formation and a relatively unstable oceanic density structure.
    Keywords: OCEANOGRAPHY
    Type: NASA. Goddard Inst. for Space Studies North Atlantic Deep Water Formation; p 39-41
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  • 6
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    In:  CASI
    Publication Date: 2013-08-31
    Description: The objectives were to determine and analyze the annual cycle of sea ice extents in the Arctic Ocean and peripheral seas and bays over the period 1973 to 1986, looking in particular for any long term trends; to examine the relationship between local sea ice covers and the surrounding atmosphere and ocean; and to examine sea ice as a potential early indicator of climate change. The work involves creating regional and hemispheric time series of sea ice variables from satellite passive microwave data and analyzing these through various intercomparisons amongst themselves and with oceanographic and atmospheric fields.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Laboratory for Oceans; p 123-125
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: Available data for antarctic sea ice is examined for the presence of long terms trends which could signal a decrease in the total ice amount being brought on by atmospheric warming due to increased CO2 concentrations. The Nimbus 5 electrically scanning microwave radiometer derived ice concentrations from 1972-1976, after which the scanning multifrequency microwave radiometer on the Nimbus 7 spacecraft was used from 1978-1981. Additionally, ship reports, IR data from the NOAA 5 radiometer, and the Landsat visible light scanner were considered. The data were digitized for analyses, which covered seasonal, year-to-year, trends over several years, and interannual seasonal variations. The total ice amplitude varied by 30 pct annually, and decreases in one area corresponded to increases in ice in others. No particular long-term trends were observed, and it is suggested that the satellite ice coverage data be extended in time in order to uncover any trends that extend beyond 9 yr.
    Keywords: OCEANOGRAPHY
    Type: Science (ISSN 0036-8075); 220; June 3
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: The 1974 Antarctic large scale sea ice extent is studied from data from Nimbus 2 and 5 and temperature and sea level pressure fields from the Australian Meteorological Data Set. Electrically Scanning Microwave Radiometer data were three-day averaged and compared with 1000 mbar atmospheric pressure and sea level pressure data, also in three-day averages. Each three-day period was subjected to a Fourier analysis and included the mean latitude of the ice extent and the phases and percent variances in terms of the first six Fourier harmonics. Centers of low pressure were found to be generally east of regions which displayed rapid ice growth, and winds acted to extend the ice equatorward. An atmospheric response was also noted as caused by the changing ice cover.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Monthly Weather Review; 109; Nov. 198
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: Satellite microwave imagery has allowed determination of sea ice conditions in the Sea of Okhotsk over years 1973-1976. Comparisons of the general features of the cycle of sea ice distribution with basic oceanographic factors shows that ice forms first in cold, shallow, low-salinity waters and then seems to drift in a direction approximating the Okhotsk-Kuril current system. The heaviest ice cover occurred in 1973, followed by a much weaker ice cover in 1974. Only the 1972-73 growth season experienced close to monotonic advance. A much greater weakening of the ice cover through polynya formation occurred during the 1976 decay season than in any of the other three years. Two fairly common ice macrostructures in the Sea of Okhotsk were identified as a rectangular structure and a wedge structure; these are strongly correlated with the bathymetry of the region and with the known current system.
    Keywords: OCEANOGRAPHY
    Type: Journal of Geophysical Research; 88; Mar. 30
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2011-08-23
    Description: How sensitive are doubled CO2 simulations to GCM control-run sea ice thickness and extent? This issue is examined in a series of 10 control-run simulations with different sea ice and corresponding doubled CO2 simulations. Results show that with increased control-run sea ice coverage in the Southern Hemisphere, temperature sensitivity with climate change is enhanced, while there is little effect on temperature sensitivity of (reasonable) variations in control-run sea ice thickness. In the Northern Hemisphere the situation is reversed: sea ice thickness is the key parameter, while (reasonable) variations in control-run sea ice coverage are of less importance. In both cases, the quantity of sea ice that can be removed in the warmer climate is the determining factor. Overall, the Southern Hemisphere sea ice coverage change had a larger impact on global temperature, because Northern Hemisphere sea ice was sufficiently thick to limit its response to doubled CO2, and sea ice changes generally occurred at higher latitudes, reducing the sea ice-albedo feedback. In both these experiments and earlier ones in which sea ice was not allowed to change, the model displayed a sensitivity of -0.02 C global warming per percent change in Southern Hemisphere sea ice coverage.
    Keywords: Environment Pollution
    Type: Laboratory for Hydrospheric Processes Research Publications; 95-96
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