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  • Key Words: Block-structure, morphostructural zonation, criteria of seismicity, Carpatho-Balkan mountain belt.  (1)
  • algorithm CN  (1)
  • 1
    ISSN: 1420-9136
    Keywords: Key Words: Block-structure, morphostructural zonation, criteria of seismicity, Carpatho-Balkan mountain belt.
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract —The Carpatho-Balkan mountain belt, the most seismic zone of the Circum-Pannonian region, is studied with a goal to identify sites where shallow earthquakes with M≥ 6.5 may occur. The study is based on the assumption that strong earthquakes associate with disjunctive nodes that are formed around the junctions of lineaments. In the study region, lineaments and disjunctive nodes were defined by a morphostructural zonation method. The morphostructural map compiled at the scale of 1:1,000,000 shows a hierarchical system of homogeneous blocks, the network of morphostructural lineaments and the loci of disjunctive nodes. Shallow earthquakes with M s ≥ 5.0 recorded in the region were found to be nucleated at the mapped nodes. In the Carpatho-Balkan mountain belt, the nodes where earthquakes with M≥ 6.5 may occur have been identified using morphostructural criteria of high seismicity, previously derived from pattern-recognition of potential seismic nodes in the Pamirs-Tien Shan region. In total, 64 of the 165 nodes mapped in the studied region have been defined to be prone to earthquakes of M≥ 6.5. These 64 nodes include the seven where earthquakes of M s ≥ 6.0 already took place.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 2
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Pure and applied geophysics 134 (1990), S. 79-92 
    ISSN: 1420-9136
    Keywords: Seismology ; earthquake prediction ; self-similarity ; algorithm CN ; Central Italy
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Notes: Abstract The Time of Increased Probability (TIP) for the occurrence of a strong earthquake is determined in Central Italy. This is done with an algorithm that has been successfully applied in other regions of the world (algorithm CN, from the initials of California and Nevada, where the first diagnoses of TIPs were made). The use of normalized functions allows direct application of the orginal algorithm to the new region being studied, without anyad hoc adjustment of the parameters. Retrospective analysis carried on until 1986 shows that TIPs occupy 26 percent of the total time considered and precede four out of five strong earthquakes. Forward monitoring indicates the possible existence of a TIP started in May 1988. Several tests indicate that the results obtained are quite stable, even when using catalogues from different agencies. Apart from obvious practical interest, this research is essential for the worldwide investigation of self-similarity in the origin of strong earthquakes.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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