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  • 1
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    Observing system simulation experiments at NASA. Goddard Space Flight Center (1985)
    In:  CASI
    Details
    Publication Date: 2004-12-04
    Description: A series of realistic simulation studies is being conducted as a cooperative effort between the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the National Meteorological Center (NMC), and the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres (GLA), to provide a quantitative assessment of the potential impact of future observing systems on large scale numerical weather prediction. A special objective is to avoid the unrealistic character of earlier simulation studies. Following a brief review of previous simulation studies and real data impact tests, the methodology for the current simulation system will be described. Results from an assessment of the realism of the simulation system and of the potential impact of advanced observing systems on numerical weather prediction and preliminary results utilizing this system will be presented at the conference.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Proceedings of the NASA Symposium on Global Wind Measurements; p 65-71
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  • 2
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    Some experiments on the effect of remote sounding temperatures upon weather forecasting (1981)
    In:  CASI
    Details
    Publication Date: 2006-03-27
    Description: A time-continuous statistical method is presented for the four dimensional assimilation of remote sounding temperatures based on radiance measurements from polar orbiting satellites. This method is applied to DST 6 data from the NOAA 4 and Nimbus 6 satellites. The state of the atmosphere throughout the test period was determined using a varying amount of satellite data from the NOAA 4 satellite only, from Nimbus 6 only, and from both satellites together. The methods tested included different variations of the statistical method, as well as more traditional methods. It is concluded that satellite derived temperature data can have a modest, but statistically significant positive impact on numerical weather prediction in the two to three day range, and that this impact is highly sensitive to the quantity of data available and to the assimilation method used.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Goddard Lab. for Atmospheric Sci., Collected Reprints, 1978 - 1979, Vol. 1; p 175-199
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  • 3
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    Simulation studies of the impact of future observing systems on weather prediction (1985)
    In:  Other Sources
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    Publication Date: 2011-08-19
    Description: The features and preliminary results from a simulation system being implemented to develop realistic estimates of the impacts future data acquisition systems will have on large-scale numerical weather simulation are described. The new instruments may include advanced passive IR and microwave satellite sensors, as well as active scatterometer and lidar sounders. A main goal of the impact study is to identify those sensor systems which will provide the most benefit. The realism of the study is being enhanced by assimilating as much real-world data as possible and generating global weather maps for comparison with maps generated on the bases on the projected new, higher resolution data. Early results have indicated a preference for higher resolution wind data than for temperature data for making 1-5 day forecasts. The prime instrument candidate for collecting the data is lidar, provided the sensor resolution design goals are met.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
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  • 4
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    A case study of the sensitivity of forecast skill to data and data analysis techniques (1983)
    In:  Other Sources
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    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: A series of experiments have been conducted to examine the sensitivity of forecast skill to various data and data analysis techniques for the 0000 GMT case of January 21, 1979. These include the individual components of the FGGE observing system, the temperatures obtained with different satellite retrieval methods, and the method of vertical interpolation between the mandatory pressure analysis levels and the model sigma levels. It is found that NESS TIROS-N infrared retrievals seriously degrade a rawinsonde-only analysis over land, resulting in a poorer forecast over North America. Less degradation in the 72-hr forecast skill at sea level and some improvement at 500 mb is noted, relative to the control with TIROS-N retrievals produced with a physical inversion method which utilizes a 6-hr forecast first guess. NESS VTPR oceanic retrievals lead to an improved forecast over North America when added to the control.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
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  • 5
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    The effect of model resolution and satellite sounding data on GLAS model forecasts (1982)
    In:  Other Sources
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    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: The effect of horizontal model resolution on satellite data impact has been studied for two versions of the GLAS second-order general circulation model: the C-model with a 4-deg latitude by 5-deg longitude resolution and the F-model with a 2.5-deg latitude and 3-deg longitude resolution. It is found that the 48-72 h forecast skill of the GLAS model was significantly improved by the increased resolution. Initial state differences between the SAT and NOSAT cycles using the F-model were on the average smaller than the corresponding differences with the C-model. However, the F-model cycle differences exhibited a smaller scale structure and, in some cases, larger gradients.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Monthly Weather Review; 110; July 198
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  • 6
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    An assessment of the FGGE satellite observing system during SOP-1 (1982)
    In:  Other Sources
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    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: The sensitivity of a Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheric Sciences global objective analysis cycle to the addition of FGGE level II-b data is assessed. The GOAS system comprises a predictive continuity provided by a model first-guess forecast integrated from a previous forecast and updated by data gathered in the interim. FGGE data originated in the Jan.-Mar. 1979 period and were acquired by rawinsondes, pilot balloons, surface stations, satellites, ships, and drifting buoys deployed during SOP-1. Focussing on 2-5 and 8-day forecasts, comparisons were made of the 6 hr forecast error at the 300 mb height in three experiments using all, no-satellite (NOSAT), and without rawinsondes or pilot balloons modes. Larger errors occurred in the case of NOSAT, while significant corrections to the GOAS predictions were noted using all the FGGE data. It was concluded that all forecasts were improved by inclusion of full FGGE data sets, including forecasting beyond one week.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: American Meteorological Society; vol. 63
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  • 7
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    A stochastic-dynamical approach to the study of the natural variability of the climate (1981)
    In:  Other Sources
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    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: A method, suggested by Leith (1975), which employed stochastic-dynamic forecasts obtained from a general circulation model in such a way as to satisfy the definition of climatic noise, was used to validate assumptions accounting for the effects of external influences in estimating the climatic noise. Two assumptions were investigated: (1) that the weather fluctuations can be represented as a Markov process, and (2) that changing external conditions do not influence the atmosphere's statistical properties on short time scales. The general circulation model's simulation of the daily weather fluctuations was generated by performing integrations with prescribed climatological boundary conditions for random initial atmospheric states, with resulting dynamical forecasts providing an ensemble of simulated data for the autoregressive modeling of weather fluctuations. To estimate the climatic noise from the observational data (consisting of hourly values of sea level pressure and surface temperature at 54 U.S. stations for the month of January for the years 1949-1975) use of the short time-scale assumption is made. The simulated and observed data were found not to be consistent with either white noise or a Markov process of weather fluctuations. Good agreement was found between the results of the hypothetical testing of the simulated and the observed surface temperatures; and only partial support was found for the short time-scale assumption, i.e., for sea level pressure.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Monthly Weather Review; 109; Mar. 198
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  • 8
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    Large amplitude stationary Rossby waves in the Southern Hemisphere (1981)
    In:  Other Sources
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    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: Large Amplitude stationary waves downstream of South America, and in the lee of Australia were investigated using Tiros N photographs. These waves appear to be Rossby lee waves associated with anomalous poleward flow over the Andes and by continental heating over Australia. The waves have a maximum amplitude near 300 mb between 20 and 40 deg S and correlate well with observed precipitation bands in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. The orientation of these waves is such that they transfer zonal momentum to the roaring forties latitudes. Stationary Rossby waves, in the Northern Hemisphere, have a characteristic wavelength of the order of 120 deg longitude. In January the observed stationary wavelengths have a wavelength of less than 60 deg longitude with an amplitude in the upper tropospheric meridional wind of more than 15 m sec E-1.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: WMO Intern. Conf. on Early Results of FGGE and Large-Scale Aspects of its Monsoon Expt.; 11 p
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  • 9
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    The relative contributions of increased resolution in the data assimilation and in the forecast model to satellite data impact (1981)
    In:  Other Sources
    Details
    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: Assimilation cycles were carried out with two versions of the GLAS second order GCM: a coarse version with 4 deg latitude by 5 deg longitude resolution, called the C model, and a fine version with 2.5 deg latitude by 3 deg longitude resolution called the F model. For the two DST-6 cases where the combined influence of satellite data and model resolution are at a maximum at sea level, the relative contributions of increased resolution in the data assimilation and in the forecast models were evaluated. F model forecasts were generated from the C model SAT assimilation interpolated by the F grid, and C model forecasts were generated from the F model SAT assimilation interpolated to the C grid. These forecasts were then compared with the corresponding forecasts which had utilized the same grid resolution in the data assimilation and forecast models, CS and FS.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: Modeling and Simulation Facility: Res. Rev., 1980 - 1981; p 11-13
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  • 10
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    The state of the atmosphere as inferred from the FGGE satellite observing systems during SOP-1 (1981)
    In:  Other Sources
    Details
    Publication Date: 2011-08-18
    Description: The statistical properties, and coverage, of satellite temperature sounding data are described. Tropical regions are observed every two days, extratropics from one to four times a day. Oceans are covered two to three times a day. Asynoptic coverage is comparable to the U.S. rawinsonde network twice daily coverage. Lack of ground truth for data sparse areas makes accuracy difficult to assess. The rms differences of layer mean temperatures obtained from collocating rawinsonde observations with satellite temperature profiles in space and time differ from rms differences of layer mean satellite temperature soundings. The FGGE satellite systems can infer the three dimensional motion field and improve the representation of the large scale state of the atmosphere.
    Keywords: METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
    Type: WMO Intern. Conf on Early Results of FGGE and Large-Scale Aspects of its Monsoon Expt.; 15 p
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