Publication Date:
2022-05-25
Description:
Author Posting. © The Author(s), 2007. This is the author's version of the work. It is posted here by permission of Elsevier B.V. for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Energy Policy 35 (2007): 5370-5383, doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2006.01.040.
Description:
Multiple environmental changes will have consequences for global vegetation. To the
extent that crop yields and pasture and forest productivity are affected there can be
important economic consequences. We examine the combined effects of changes in
climate, increases in carbon dioxide, and changes in tropospheric ozone on crop, pasture,
and forest lands and the consequences for the global and regional economies. We
examine scenarios where there is limited or little effort to control these substances, and
policy scenarios that limit emissions of CO2 and ozone precursors. We find the effects of
climate and CO2 to be generally positive, and the effects of ozone to be very detrimental.
Unless ozone is strongly controlled damage could offset CO2 and climate benefits. We
find that resource allocation among sectors in the economy, and trade among countries,
can strongly affect the estimate of economic effect in a country.
Description:
This research was supported by the US Department of Energy, US Environmental Protection Agency, US National Science Foundation, US National Aeronautics and Space Administration, US National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration; and the Industry and Foundation Sponsors of the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
Keywords:
Climate change
;
Ozone damage
;
Vegetation
;
Agriculture
;
Economics
Repository Name:
Woods Hole Open Access Server
Type:
Preprint
Format:
application/pdf
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