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  • African Humid Period; biomization scheme; disturbance dynamics; ecosystem response to climate change; land use and land cover change; palynology; PFT; reconstructing vegetation change; subfossil pollen records; vegetation-environment interactions  (1)
  • Age; AGE; Analytical method; Atlantic meridional overturning circulation; ATLAS; A Trans-Atlantic assessment and deep-water ecosystem-based spatial management plan for Europe; deep water formation; DEPTH, sediment/rock; KNR158-4-MC10; Labrador Sea; PC; Piston corer; Reference/source; sortable silt; subsurface ocean temperatures  (1)
  • Hadley circulation
  • 2015-2019  (3)
  • 2019  (3)
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Keywords
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  • 2015-2019  (3)
Year
  • 1
    Publication Date: 2023-02-23
    Description: Author Posting. © American Meteorological Society, 2019. This article is posted here by permission of American Meteorological Society for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Journal of Climate 32(5) (2019): 1551-1571. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0444.1.
    Description: Previous studies have documented a poleward shift in the subsiding branches of Earth’s Hadley circulation since 1979 but have disagreed on the causes of these observed changes and the ability of global climate models to capture them. This synthesis paper reexamines a number of contradictory claims in the past literature and finds that the tropical expansion indicated by modern reanalyses is within the bounds of models’ historical simulations for the period 1979–2005. Earlier conclusions that models were underestimating the observed trends relied on defining the Hadley circulation using the mass streamfunction from older reanalyses. The recent observed tropical expansion has similar magnitudes in the annual mean in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) and Southern Hemisphere (SH), but models suggest that the factors driving the expansion differ between the hemispheres. In the SH, increasing greenhouse gases (GHGs) and stratospheric ozone depletion contributed to tropical expansion over the late twentieth century, and if GHGs continue increasing, the SH tropical edge is projected to shift further poleward over the twenty-first century, even as stratospheric ozone concentrations recover. In the NH, the contribution of GHGs to tropical expansion is much smaller and will remain difficult to detect in a background of large natural variability, even by the end of the twenty-first century. To explain similar recent tropical expansion rates in the two hemispheres, natural variability must be taken into account. Recent coupled atmosphere–ocean variability, including the Pacific decadal oscillation, has contributed to tropical expansion. However, in models forced with observed sea surface temperatures, tropical expansion rates still vary widely because of internal atmospheric variability.
    Description: We thank Ori Adam, Nick Davis, Isaac Held, Tim Merlis, Lorenzo Polvani, and one anonymous reviewer for helpful comments and suggestions. We thank U.S. CLIVAR and the International Space Science Institute (ISSI) for funding working groups that stimulated this project. We thank all members of the working groups for helpful discussions, and the U.S. CLIVAR and ISSI offices and their sponsoring agencies (NASA,NOAA,NSF,DOE, ESA, Swiss Confederation, Swiss Academy of Sciences, and University of Bern) for supporting these groups and activities.We acknowledge WCRP’sWorking Group on CoupledModelling, which is responsible for CMIP, and we thank the climate modeling groups (Table 2) for producing and making available their model output. For CMIP, the U.S. DOE PCMDI provides coordinating support and led development of software infrastructure in partnership with the Global Organization for Earth System Science Portals.
    Description: 2019-08-06
    Keywords: Hadley circulation ; Climate models ; Reanalysis data ; Multidecadal variability ; Pacific decadal oscillation ; Trends
    Repository Name: Woods Hole Open Access Server
    Type: Article
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2023-12-18
    Keywords: Age; AGE; Analytical method; Atlantic meridional overturning circulation; ATLAS; A Trans-Atlantic assessment and deep-water ecosystem-based spatial management plan for Europe; deep water formation; DEPTH, sediment/rock; KNR158-4-MC10; Labrador Sea; PC; Piston corer; Reference/source; sortable silt; subsurface ocean temperatures
    Type: Dataset
    Format: text/tab-separated-values, 36 data points
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2024-04-20
    Description: This dataset is associated with Phelps et al. (2020, DOI: 10.1111/ecog.04990), and is comprised of paleoecological information from African subfossil pollen assemblages over the past 20,000 years. Data includes the following information: Appendix 1: a list of collated sites from the APD, EPD, and other publications Appendix 2: a list of collated entities from the APD, EPD, and other publications Appendix 3: a list of citations for each entity in appendix 2, whether analyzed or not Appendix 4: a harmonized taxa list with original taxa names and numbers Appendix 5: a list of collated samples from the APD, EPD, and other publications Appendix 6: a list of counts from the APD, EPD, ACER, and other publications Appendix 7: a list of dates (14C, etc) from the APD, EPD, ACER, and other publications Appendix 8: a list of CLAM outputs calculated (Blaauw 2010) from the list of radiocarbon dates Appendix 9: a harmonized biomization scheme for "direct" and "indirect" methods For use of these datasets, associated publications (see appendix 3) and databases should be cited: The African Pollen Database (APD: Vincens et al. 2007, http://fpd.sedoo.fr/fpd/bibli.do) The European Pollen Database (EPD: Fyfe et al. 2009, http://www.europeanpollendatabase.net/getdata/) The ACER Pollen and Charcoal Database (Sánchez Goñi et al. 2017) Additional information was added to these appendices in association with the following publications (note: information was extracted from publications and/or contributed by authors): Brenac 1988, Burrough & Willis 2015, Chase et al. 2015b, Cheddadi et al. 2015, 2016, 2017, Cordova et al. 2017, Giresse et al. 1994, Lim et al. 2016, Maley 1991, Maley & Brenac 1998, Metwally et al. 2014, Quick et al. 2016, 2018, Valsecchi et al. 2013, Waller et al. 2007. The harmonized biomization scheme (appendix 9), is based on six primary publications: Jolly et al. 1998, Elenga et al. 2000, Vincens et al. 2006, Vincens et al. 2007, Lebamba et al. 2009, Lézine et al. 2009, with reference to the African Plant Database (version 3.4.0).
    Keywords: African Humid Period; biomization scheme; disturbance dynamics; ecosystem response to climate change; land use and land cover change; palynology; PFT; reconstructing vegetation change; subfossil pollen records; vegetation-environment interactions
    Type: Dataset
    Format: application/zip, 2.1 MBytes
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