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  • 1
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Oxford, UK : Blackwell Publishing Ltd
    Geophysical journal international 125 (1996), S. 0 
    ISSN: 1365-246X
    Source: Blackwell Publishing Journal Backfiles 1879-2005
    Topics: Geosciences
    Notes: The tectonic stress orientation is estimated in the lithosphere of northern Sicily, the southern Tyrrhenian sea and southern Calabria, and in the Wadati-Benioff zone below the Tyrrhenian, by inversion of fault-plane solutions of earthquakes covering a magnitude range from 2.5 to 7.1. Focal mechanisms of 97 earthquakes are taken from the literature, after a critical evaluation of their data quality. an average misfit of F= 13° indicates that the set of all shallow (〈50km) earthquakes is generated by a heterogeneous stress field. For three subsets, based on regional and magnitude separation, F was small enough (2.8°〈inlineGraphic alt="leqslant R: less-than-or-eq, slant" extraInfo="nonStandardEntity" href="urn:x-wiley:0956540X:GJI857:les" location="les.gif"/〉F〈inlineGraphic alt="leqslant R: less-than-or-eq, slant" extraInfo="nonStandardEntity" href="urn:x-wiley:0956540X:GJI857:les" location="les.gif"/〉 5.9°) to support the assumption of a homogeneous stress direction; for an additional subset, with F= 7.4°, such a condition is close to being fulfilled even though some heterogeneity appears to be present. The number of earthquakes in these subsets ranged from nine to 22, and the uncertainties of the principal stress directions were generally of the order of 20° at the 90 per cent confidence level. The earthquakes with M〈inlineGraphic alt="geqslant R: gt-or-equal, slanted" extraInfo="nonStandardEntity" href="urn:x-wiley:0956540X:GJI857:ges" location="ges.gif"/〉 5 define a regional stress field with the greatest principal stress, σ1, dipping at a shallow angle to the south. In north-eastern Sicily and south-western Calabria the stress field estimated by earthquakes is extensional, with σ3 in a direction of WNW, and a near-vertical σ1, in agreement with the graben tectonics mapped geologically in this area. In western Sicily the σ1 direction is oriented WNW, but this result is judged less reliable than the others, based on the broader confidence limits of the solution and the average misfit of 7.4°. The earthquakes in the Wadati-Benioff zone define σ1 dipping at about 70° to the NW, subparallel to the zone, with σ2 horizontal and striking parallel to the zone.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 2
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Oxford, UK : Blackwell Publishing Ltd
    Geophysical journal international 103 (1990), S. 0 
    ISSN: 1365-246X
    Source: Blackwell Publishing Journal Backfiles 1879-2005
    Topics: Geosciences
    Notes: A one-station method was developed to invert simultaneously for seismic moment, focal depth, and the orientations of the nodal planes. This method was tested on seismograms recorded at the broadband Gréfenberg array (GRF) for earthquakes in the central to eastern Hellenic arc and southern Turkey. The complete P and S body-wave responses, including all near source surface reflections, were synthesized using the reflectivity method. The minimum misfit between the observed and theoretical seismograms in the WWSSN-LP band was determined by cross-correlation, searching the whole parameter space of strike, dip and rake of a pair of orthogonal nodal planes, and adjusting the source depth and seismic moment. The initial searching step of 20° was reduced to 5° in the vicinity of the minimum misfit position, for a final search. The best fitting solution was then compared to the Harvard (HRVD) moment tensor solution best double couple which was derived using long-period data and to the P-wave first motion polarities reported by the ISC. Most solutions based on GRF data agree well with those found by HRVD, but in some cases some features of the observed GRF signals cannot be matched by the HRVD solution or solutions similar to it.The nine earthquakes we analysed in detail had magnitudes between 5.2 and 5.8. Our depth determinations ranged from 35 to 155 km. The deepest events (80–155 km) were located near Rhodes and to the east of it. One earthquake located in southern Turkey was confirmed to have a focus at about 125 km depth. The focal mechanisms of the intermediate depth earthquakes in the eastern Hellenic arc show P-axes approximately parallel to the strike of the deep slab.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2015-09-11
    Print ISSN: 0895-0695
    Electronic ISSN: 1938-2057
    Topics: Geosciences
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2016-07-26
    Description: Faults may rupture across several segments of plate boundaries, generating earthquakes of M  9 class. Along the Pacific coast of Mexico, a rupture of 450 km on 28 March 1787 generated an M w  8.6 earthquake. Intensity values ( I ) of VII were reported at the Atlantic coast, and the maximum was XI in Oaxaca. Here, we estimate the number of casualties if an M  9 rupture were to occur at present. We verified that our software tool, QLARM, with its database, estimates intensities and fatalities approximately correctly for historic earthquakes along the Pacific coast. Our test set consists of 10 earthquakes ( M w  7.3–8.6) that caused between 0 and ~10,000 fatalities between 1787 and 2003. Requirements for a satisfactory match are that the maximum I agrees within 0.5 units, the extent of the I =VII area agrees approximately, and the fatality count differs by not more than a factor of 2 or by 200 fatalities, whichever is larger. Results for Mexico, without the special case of Mexico City, suggest that an M  9 earthquake would cause approximately 27,000 fatalities and 120,000 injuries. Applying amplification factors to the ground motion in 11 of 15 districts, we estimate that, in an M  9 along the Pacific coast, 100,000 people may perish and 480,000 may be injured in Mexico City. The number of people in settlements with fewer than 20,000 inhabitants exposed to large I exceed the exposed population in larger cities by factors of 3–10. The estimated mortality rate in rural areas is several times higher than in major population centers.
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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  • 5
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    Seismological Society of America (SSA)
    Publication Date: 2018
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Large and great earthquakes have rupture lengths from about 50 to 1000 km. With several meters of slip, they wreak great damage in all settlements along their ruptures. The distances to which casualties are reported range from 0 to 40 or 50 km in countries with poor construction of the built environment, that is, in developing countries. Small rural settlements with housing of inferior strength, which are strongly affected, thus number in the thousands in great earthquakes, whereas only one to a few major settlements are located close to the rupture. For this reason, in most great earthquakes 80% to 100% of those killed are from rural settlements, not from cities. Therefore, the focus of earthquake mitigation needs to be changed from urban centers to rural areas near active faults.〈/span〉
    Print ISSN: 0895-0695
    Electronic ISSN: 1938-2057
    Topics: Geosciences
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2017-11-01
    Description: Recent Himalayan earthquakes have ruptured only the down-dip part of the underthrusting fault plane, bringing the respective up-dip sections closer to failure by transferring stress. We estimate the losses likely when the complementary up-dip sections also fail following the 1947 M  7.9 Subansiri and the 1905 M  7.8 Kangra down-dip ruptures. We estimate that the population strongly affected (intensities ≥VI) may number 12 million and 33 million in the 1947 and the 1905 up-dip segments, respectively. The number of fatalities is estimated to be about 100,000 and 200,000 in the 1947 and 1905 up-dip segments, respectively, with an estimated three times as many injured. We assess the uncertainties of these values to be factors of ~4, unless larger earthquakes, including neighboring segments are involved, in which case the casualties would be significantly larger.
    Print ISSN: 0895-0695
    Electronic ISSN: 1938-2057
    Topics: Geosciences
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2014-01-03
    Print ISSN: 0895-0695
    Electronic ISSN: 1938-2057
    Topics: Geosciences
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