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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2018-01-31
    Description: Despite an increased understanding of the physical processes involved, forecasting radiative cold pools and their associated meteorological phenomena (e.g., fog and freezing rain) remains a challenging problem in mesoscale models. The present study is focused on California’s tule fog where the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model’s frequent inability to forecast these events is addressed and substantially improved. Specifically, this was accomplished with four major changes from a commonly employed, default configuration. First, horizontal model diffusion and numerical filtering along terrain slopes was deactivated (or mitigated) since it is unphysical and can completely prevent the development of fog. However, this often resulted in unrealistically persistent foggy boundary layers that failed to lift. Next, changes specific to the Yonsei University (YSU) planetary boundary layer (PBL) scheme were adopted that include using the ice–liquid-water potential temperature to determine vertical stability, a reversed eddy mixing K profile to represent the consequences of negatively buoyant thermals originating near the fog (PBL) top, and an additional entrainment term to account for the turbulence generated by cloud-top (radiative and evaporative) cooling. While other changes will be discussed, it is these modifications that create, to a sizable degree, marked improvements in modeling the evolution and life cycle of fog, low stratus clouds, and adiabatic cold pools.
    Print ISSN: 0882-8156
    Electronic ISSN: 1520-0434
    Topics: Geography , Physics
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2016-11-07
    Description: Stable cold pools in California’s Central Valley (CV) are conducive to freezing temperatures, high relative humidity, and, in some cases, fog. In this study it will be shown that the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model as commonly configured cannot reproduce such conditions because of a persistent warm and dry bias near the surface. It was found that removing horizontal diffusion, which by default operates on model levels and thus up and down the valley’s sides, can reduce but not entirely fix the problem. Other improvements include enhancing the near-surface vertical resolution and the surface–air coupling, as both directly control the surface fluxes, especially evaporation. However, these alterations actually have the largest impact in the forested region surrounding the Central Valley, and influence the nighttime relative humidity in the CV only indirectly via nocturnal drainage flows. While it is not clear how realistic are the increased evaporation in the forest or the drainage flows, how and why these alterations result in significantly improved relative humidity reconstructions within the Central Valley are shown.
    Print ISSN: 0882-8156
    Electronic ISSN: 1520-0434
    Topics: Geography , Physics
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