Publication Date:
2015-04-14
Description:
Our article contributes to the emerging micro-level strand of the literature on the link between local variations in weather shocks and conflicts by focusing on a pixel-level analysis for North and South Sudan between 1997 and 2009. Temperature anomalies are found to strongly affect the risk of conflict, whereas the risk is expected to magnify in a range of 24–31% in the future under a median scenario. Our analysis also sheds light on the competition over natural resources, in particular water, as the main driver of such relationship in a region where pastoralism constitutes the dominant livelihood.
Keywords:
D74 - Conflict
;
Conflict Resolution
;
Alliances, O13 - Agriculture
;
Natural Resources
;
Energy
;
Environment
;
Other Primary Products, Q54 - Climate
;
Natural Disasters
;
Global Warming, R11 - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, and Changes
Print ISSN:
1468-2702
Electronic ISSN:
1468-2710
Topics:
Geography
,
Economics
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