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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2023-12-12
    Description: Strain energy from tectonic loading can be partly released through aseismic creep. Earthquake repeaters, repeatedly activated brittle fault patches surrounded by creep, indicate steady‐state creep that affects the amount of seismic energy available for the next large earthquake along a plate contact. The offshore Main Marmara Fault (MMF) of the North Anatolian Fault Zone represents a seismic gap capable of generating a M 〉 7 earthquake in direct vicinity to the mega‐city Istanbul. Based on a newly compiled seismicity catalog, we identify repeating earthquakes to resolve the spatial creep variability along the MMF during a 15‐year period. We observe a maximum of seismic repeaters indicating creep along the central and western MMF segments tapering off toward the locked onshore Ganos fault in the west, and the locked offshore Princes Islands segment immediately south of Istanbul in the east. This indicates a high degree of spatial creep variability along the Istanbul‐Marmara seismic gap.
    Description: Plain Language Summary: The relative motion of tectonic plates deforms these plates along their contact zone until the plate contact ruptures in an earthquake. However, some of this deformation can be released without earthquakes by so‐called aseismic creep in which the plates creep past each other. Within this creep zone, sometimes some brittle patches exist that interlock during the plate creep and rupture repeatedly in smaller earthquakes that are very similar. They are called earthquake repeaters. In the Sea of Marmara south of Istanbul lies the contact between the Eurasian and the Anatolian plates, the so‐called Main Marmara Fault (MMF). This plate contact did not rupture for a long time and thus a large magnitude event is expected here. We observe a large number of earthquake repeaters in the western offshore part of the MMF while no earthquake repeaters are found toward the east south of Istanbul or onshore toward the west. These areas seem to be locked and might accumulate deformation for a future large earthquake. The zones in between show an intermediate behavior with fewer earthquake repeaters indicating less creep. These results are important for the seismic risk and hazard assessment for the mega‐city of Istanbul.
    Description: Key Points: Earthquake repeaters along the Main Marmara Fault are identified based on a newly derived homogeneous earthquake catalog spanning 15 years. Seismic creep estimated from these repeaters is highly variable along‐strike with higher creep values along the western part. A repeating earthquake sequence showing accelerated activity after a nearby Mw 5.2 earthquake is observed.
    Description: Helmholtz Association http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100009318
    Description: https://doi.org/10.5880/GFZ.4.2.2023.002
    Description: http://doi.org/10.7914/SN/TU
    Description: http://doi.org/10.7914/SN/KO
    Description: http://doi.org/10.7914/SN/PZ
    Description: http://doi.org/10.7914/SN/TB
    Description: http://alomax.free.fr/nlloc/
    Description: https://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/%7Efelixw/hypoDD.html
    Description: http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3407866
    Description: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019gc008515
    Keywords: ddc:551.22 ; repeating earthquakes ; Marmara Sea ; fault creep ; seismic cyle ; seismic gap
    Language: English
    Type: doc-type:article
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2022-12-05
    Description: Earthquakes and slow‐slip events interact, however, detailed studies investigating their interplay are still limited. We generate the highest resolution microseismicity catalog to date for the northern Armutlu Peninsula in a ∼1‐year period to perform a detailed seismicity distribution analysis and correlate the results with a local, geodetically observed slow‐slip transient within the same period. Seismicity shows a transition of cluster‐type behavior from swarm‐like to burst‐like, accompanied by an increasing relative proportion of clustered (non‐Poissonian) relative to background (Poissonian) seismicity and gradually decreasing b‐value as the geodetically observed slow‐slip transient ends. The observed slow‐slip transient decay correlates with gradually increasing effective‐stress‐drop values. The observed correlation between the b‐value and geodetic transient highlights the influence of aseismic deformation on seismic deformation and the impact of slow‐slip transients on local seismic hazard.
    Description: Plain Language Summary: Seismic and aseismic slip on faults can change the stress state in the crust and affect the recurrence time of earthquakes. Observations of how earthquakes and aseismic fault slip influence each other are limited because of the dearth of synchronous high‐resolution seismological and geodetic data. Here we use high‐resolution earthquake data in the northern Armutlu Peninsula along the Marmara seismic gap of the North Anatolian Fault (Turkey) to correlate the earthquake distribution with a local slow‐slip transient that occurred in the same period. We find that the slow‐slip transient modulates the spatiotemporal and frequency‐magnitude evolution of earthquakes, which highlights the influence of slow fault creep on fast fault slip. Our study demonstrates the importance of considering slow‐slip transients for seismic hazard assessment.
    Description: Key Points: Seismicity analysis suggests that both external and internal forcing drive deformation in the Armutlu Peninsula. Temporal correlation between a slow‐slip transient and seismic b‐value highlights interactions between aseismic and seismic deformation. Slow‐slip transients modulate the frequency‐magnitude and spatiotemporal earthquake distribution.
    Description: VW momentum grant
    Description: Helmotz Association Young Investigator Group http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100009318
    Description: Helmholtz‐Zentrum Potsdam—Deutsches GeoForschungs Zentrum GFZ, GIPP http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100010956
    Keywords: ddc:551.22 ; microseismicity ; enhanced catalog ; near‐fault monitoring ; seismic‐aseismic deformation ; slow‐slip transient
    Language: English
    Type: doc-type:article
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2015-07-30
    Description: We investigate spatiotemporal variations of the crustal stress field orientation along the rupture zones of the 1999 August Izmit M w 7.4 and November Düzce M w 7.1 earthquakes at the North Anatolian Fault zone (NAFZ) in NW Turkey. Our primary focus is to elaborate on the relation between the state of the crustal stress field and distinct seismotectonic features as well as variations of coseismic slip within the seismogenic layer of the crust. To achieve this, we compile an extensive data base of hypocentres and first-motion polarities including a newly derived local hypocentre catalogue extending from 2 yr prior (1997) to 2 yr after (2001) the Izmit and Düzce main shocks. This combined data set allows studying spatial and temporal variations of stress field orientation along distinct fault segments for the pre- and post-seimic phase of the two large earthquakes in detail. Furthermore, the occurrence of two M  〉 7 earthquakes in rapid succession gives the unique opportunity to analyse the 87-d-long ‘inter-seismic phase’ between them. We use the MOTSI (first MOTion polarity Stress Inversion) procedure directly inverting first-motion polarities to study the stress field evolution of nine distinct segments. In particular, this allows to determine the stress tensor also for the pre- and post-seismic phases when no stable single-event focal mechanisms can be determined. We observe significantly different stress field orientations along the combined 200-km-long rupture in accordance with lateral variations of coseismic slip and seismotectonic setting. Distinct vertical linear segments of the NAFZ show either pure-strike slip behaviour or transtensional and normal faulting if located near pull-apart basins. Pull-apart structures such as the Akyazi and Düzce basins show a predominant normal faulting behaviour along the NAFZ and reflect clearly different characteristic from neighbouring strike-slip segments. Substantial lateral stress field heterogeneity following the two main shocks is observed that declines with time towards the post-seismic period that rather reflects the regional right-lateral strike-slip stress field.
    Keywords: Seismology
    Print ISSN: 0956-540X
    Electronic ISSN: 1365-246X
    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Deutsche Geophysikalische Gesellschaft (DGG) and the Royal Astronomical Society (RAS).
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2016-06-25
    Description: We present the software package hybridMT which allows performing seismic moment tensor inversion and refinement, optimized for earthquake data recorded by regional-to-local seismic networks as well as for acoustic emission activity. The provided software package is designed predominantly for use in MATLAB (see Data and Resources )/shell environments. The algorithm uses first P -wave amplitudes to invert for unconstrained full, deviatoric, and double-couple constrained moment tensors. Uncertainty assessment is performed by bootstrap resampling. The moment tensor inversion may be performed directly in the shell environment (by a dedicated command-line tool) or conveniently through the MATLAB interface (m-functions). In addition to moment tensor inversion, we also provide the MATLAB implementation of the hybrid moment tensor technique. This methodology increases the quality of calculated seismic moment tensors from events forming a spatial cluster by assessing and correcting for poorly known path and site effects. We tested hybridMT on synthetic datasets, acoustic emission data recorded during laboratory rock deformation experiments, and induced seismicity data from a geothermal reservoir. The package is supplemented with extensive documentation, tutorials, and a dedicated website. HybridMT is freely available and distributed under General Public License.
    Print ISSN: 0895-0695
    Electronic ISSN: 1938-2057
    Topics: Geosciences
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉Abstract〈/div〉Over 700 induced seismic events recorded between June 2009 and March 2015 at different parts of The Geysers geothermal field, California, are used to estimate local 〈span〉S〈/span〉‐wave coda quality factors (QC). Recorded by the 31‐station short‐period Berkeley‐Geysers seismic network, the events have duration magnitudes 1〈MD〈3, depth ranges of 1 and 4 km, and epicentral distance ranges of 0.7–19 km. We apply the coda analysis technique of 〈a href="https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/bssa#rf27"〉Phillips (1985)〈/a〉 to find QC. Using a sequence of overlapping time windows, the average power spectral density of the coda is calculated. We extract the signal amplitudes at fixed octave‐width frequency bands, measure their decay with time and fit for QC(f) estimates with associated uncertainties. We investigate the sensitivity of the QC results to different input parameters, including lapse time, magnitude range, moving window width, total coda length, and seismic‐sensor components. The choice of quality criteria—signal‐to‐noise ratio and coda Q uncertainties (2σ(QC(f)))—are found to be most sensitive factors. Testing different window lengths and lapse times results in relatively small variations of QC. The final, highest quality mean coda Q (QC‾(f)) estimates are further tested in the context of their spatiotemporal behavior in the reservoir. We found that distance and azimuthal dependence of QC‾(f) are related to the observed crack‐induced reservoir anisotropy, lithological, and structural features. At the northwestern The Geysers about 50% larger QC‾(〉40  Hz) estimates are obtained compared with the southwest. In contrast, geothermal production rate variations, analyzed for a tight cluster in the northwest, do not influence the QC(f) estimates. Moreover, we compare the QC(f) results with previous estimates of direct 〈span〉S〈/span〉‐wave quality factors (QD). A match for QC results at 7 Hz center frequency with QD estimates is observed. However, QC estimates show lower scattering and thus a higher stability.〈/span〉
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2014-07-02
    Print ISSN: 0895-0695
    Electronic ISSN: 1938-2057
    Topics: Geosciences
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉Abstract〈/div〉Over 700 induced seismic events recorded between June 2009 and March 2015 at different parts of The Geysers geothermal field, California, are used to estimate local 〈span〉S〈/span〉‐wave coda quality factors (QC). Recorded by the 31‐station short‐period Berkeley‐Geysers seismic network, the events have duration magnitudes 1〈MD〈3, depth ranges of 1 and 4 km, and epicentral distance ranges of 0.7–19 km. We apply the coda analysis technique of 〈a href="https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/bssa#rf27"〉Phillips (1985)〈/a〉 to find QC. Using a sequence of overlapping time windows, the average power spectral density of the coda is calculated. We extract the signal amplitudes at fixed octave‐width frequency bands, measure their decay with time and fit for QC(f) estimates with associated uncertainties. We investigate the sensitivity of the QC results to different input parameters, including lapse time, magnitude range, moving window width, total coda length, and seismic‐sensor components. The choice of quality criteria—signal‐to‐noise ratio and coda Q uncertainties (2σ(QC(f)))—are found to be most sensitive factors. Testing different window lengths and lapse times results in relatively small variations of QC. The final, highest quality mean coda Q (QC‾(f)) estimates are further tested in the context of their spatiotemporal behavior in the reservoir. We found that distance and azimuthal dependence of QC‾(f) are related to the observed crack‐induced reservoir anisotropy, lithological, and structural features. At the northwestern The Geysers about 50% larger QC‾(〉40  Hz) estimates are obtained compared with the southwest. In contrast, geothermal production rate variations, analyzed for a tight cluster in the northwest, do not influence the QC(f) estimates. Moreover, we compare the QC(f) results with previous estimates of direct 〈span〉S〈/span〉‐wave quality factors (QD). A match for QC results at 7 Hz center frequency with QD estimates is observed. However, QC estimates show lower scattering and thus a higher stability.〈/span〉
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈p〉We show that near–real-time seismic monitoring of fluid injection allowed control of induced earthquakes during the stimulation of a 6.1-km-deep geothermal well near Helsinki, Finland. A total of 18,160 m〈sup〉3〈/sup〉 of fresh water was pumped into crystalline rocks over 49 days in June to July 2018. Seismic monitoring was performed with a 24-station borehole seismometer network. Using near–real-time information on induced-earthquake rates, locations, magnitudes, and evolution of seismic and hydraulic energy, pumping was either stopped or varied—in the latter case, between well-head pressures of 60 and 90 MPa and flow rates of 400 and 800 liters/min. This procedure avoided the nucleation of a project-stopping magnitude 〈i〉M〈/i〉〈sub〉W〈/sub〉 2.0 induced earthquake, a limit set by local authorities. Our results suggest a possible physics-based approach to controlling stimulation-induced seismicity in geothermal projects.〈/p〉
    Electronic ISSN: 2375-2548
    Topics: Natural Sciences in General
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2020-06-27
    Print ISSN: 0278-7407
    Electronic ISSN: 1944-9194
    Topics: Geosciences
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2017-07-22
    Description: We use a high-quality data set from the NW part of The Geysers geothermal field to determine statistical significance of temporal static stress drop variations and their relation to injection rate changes. We use a group of 322 seismic events which occurred in the proximity of Prati-9 and Prati-29 injection wells to examine the influence of parameters such as moment magnitude, focal mechanism, hypocentral depth, and normalized hypocentral distances from open-hole sections of injection wells on static stress drop changes. Our results indicate that (1) static stress drop variations in time are statistically significant, (2) statistically significant static stress drop changes are inversely related to injection rate fluctuations. Therefore, it is highly expected that static stress drop of seismic events is influenced by pore pressure in underground fluid injection conditions and depends on the effective normal stress and strength of the medium. ©2017. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
    Print ISSN: 0094-8276
    Electronic ISSN: 1944-8007
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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