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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2019-01-17
    Description: Salinization is a well-known problem in agricultural areas worldwide. For the last 20–30 years, rising salinity in the upper, unconfined aquifer has been observed in the Freepsumer Meer, a deep grassland area near the German North Sea coast. In order to investigate long-term development of soil salinity and water balance, the one-dimensional SWAP model was set up and calibrated for a soil column in the area, simulating water and salt balance at discrete depths for 1961–2099. The model setup involved a deep aquifer as the only source of salt through upward seepage since other sources were negligible. In the vertical salt transport equation, only dispersion and advection were included. Six different regional outputs of statistical downscaling methods (WETTREG, XDS), based on simulations of different GCMs (ECHAM5, ECHAM6, IPSL-CM5) driven by greenhouse gas emission scenarios (SRES-A2, SRES-B1) and concentration pathways (RCP45, RCP85), were used as scenarios. These comprised different rates of increasing surface temperature and essentially different trends in seasonal rainfall. The results of the model runs exhibit opposing salinity trends for topsoil and deeper layers: While the projections of some scenarios entail decreasing salinities near the soil surface, most of them project a rise in subsoil salinity with strongest trends of up to +0.9 mg cm−3 (100 a)−1 at −65 cm. The results suggest that topsoil salinity trends are affected by the magnitude of winter rainfall trends while high subsoil salinity trends correspond to low winter rainfall and high summer temperature. Absolute salinity is high in scenarios of high-temperature and low-rainfall summers. How these projected trends affect the vegetation and thereby future land use will depend on the future management of groundwater levels in the area.
    Print ISSN: 1812-2108
    Electronic ISSN: 1812-2116
    Topics: Geography , Geosciences
    Published by Copernicus on behalf of European Geosciences Union.
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2020-01-01
    Electronic ISSN: 1539-1663
    Topics: Geosciences , Agriculture, Forestry, Horticulture, Fishery, Domestic Science, Nutrition
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2023-09-27
    Description: Abstract
    Description: The Cryogenian period (720--635~million years ago) in the Neoproterozoic era featured two phases of global or near-global ice cover, termed `Snowball Earth'. Here we present a comprehensive sensitivity study considering different scenarios for the Cryogenian continental configuration, orbital geometry, and short-term volcanic cooling effects in a consistent model framework, using the climate model of intermediate complexity CLIMBER-3α. The continental configurations comprise palaeogeography reconstructions for both Snowball-Earth periods from two different sources, as well as two idealised configurations with either uniformly dispersed continents or a single polar supercontinent. Orbital geometries are sampled as multiple different combinations of the parameters obliquity, eccentricity, and argument of perihelion. For volcanic eruptions, we differentiate between single globally homogeneous perturbations, single zonally resolved perturbations, and random sequences of globally homogeneous perturbations with realistic statistics. The CO2 threshold lies between 10 and 250 ppm for all simulations.
    Description: Methods
    Description: We use the relatively fast intermediate-complexity model CLIMBER-3α to be able to run a large number of simulations. CLIMBER-3α consists of (1) an improved version of the ocean general circulation model MOM3 run at a coarse horizontal resolution of 3.75 x 3.75 degrees with 24 vertical layers, (2) the sea-ice model ISIS operated at the same horizontal resolution and capturing both the thermodynamics and dynamics of sea ice, and (3) the fast statistical--dynamical atmosphere model POTSDAM-2 with grid cells measuring 22.5 degrees in longitude and 7.5 degrees in latitude. The main limitations of the model relate to its simplified atmosphere component. For more details see the corresponding article.
    Keywords: paleoclimate ; Cryogenian ; Neoproterozoic ; Snowball Earth ; global glaciation ; snowball bifurcation ; EARTH SCIENCE 〉 PALEOCLIMATE 〉 LAND RECORDS 〉 GLACIATION
    Type: Dataset , Dataset
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2020-05-06
    Description: As high-dimensional nonlinear systems, regional climate models are sensitive to small perturbations of their initial state. This permits such a model, starting from almost identical states, to develop different dynamics which are equally valid solutions under the same given boundary conditions. The range of solutions generated by this internal variability (IV) is examined for the coupled Arctic regional climate model HIRHAM–NAOSIM using three ensembles. Analyzing the variables mean sea level pressure, sea ice extent, and sea ice thickness, annual cycles of IV are found. While boundary conditions significantly affect the interannual dynamics, the choice of the model version has a larger influence on the annual cycle and the magnitude of IV. Considerations of selected cases imply that links of particular IV states to spatial characteristics of the physical fields are detectable sometime but mostly inconsistent. Similarly, effects of the recent atmospheric circulation on IV states of the sea ice variables are diverse and often only weak. An assessment of the relative importance of IV compared with the overall variability shows that the IV is generally dominated by the external forcing but, depending on the season and region, occasionally exceeds the externally forced variability.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Type: Thesis , notRev
    Format: application/pdf
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