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The probability distribution of the predicted CFM-induced ozone depletion (1979)

Chang, J. S. ; Bulter, D. M. ; Ehhalt, D. H.

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Publication Date: 2011-08-17

Description: It is argued from the central limit theorem that the uncertainty in model predicted changes of the ozone column density is best represented by a normal probability density distribution. This conclusion is validated by comparison with a probability distribution generated by a Monte Carlo technique. In the case of the CFM-induced ozone depletion, and based on the estimated uncertainties in the reaction rate coefficients alone the relative mean standard deviation of this normal distribution is estimated to be 0.29.

Keywords: GEOPHYSICS

Type: Journal of Geophysical Research; 84; Dec. 20

Format: text

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