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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2023-08-29
    Description: Machine learning, with its advances in deep learning has shown great potential in analyzing time series. In many scenarios, however, additional information that can potentially improve the predictions is available. This is crucial for data that arise from e. g., sensor networks that contain information about sensor locations. Then, such spatial information can be exploited by modeling it via graph structures, along with the sequential (time series) information. Recent advances in adapting deep learning to graphs have shown potential in various tasks. However, these methods have not been adapted for time series tasks to a great extent. Most attempts have essentially consolidated around time series forecasting with small sequence lengths. Generally, these architectures are not well suited for regression or classification tasks where the value to be predicted is not strictly depending on the most recent values, but rather on the whole length of the time series. We propose TISER-GCN, a novel graph neural network architecture for processing, in particular, these long time series in a multivariate regression task. Our proposed model is tested on two seismic datasets containing earthquake waveforms, where the goal is to predict maximum intensity measurements of ground shaking at each seismic station. Our findings demonstrate promising results of our approach—with an average MSE reduction of 16.3%—compared to the best performing baselines. In addition, our approach matches the baseline scores by needing only half the input size. The results are discussed in depth with an additional ablation study.
    Description: Interreg North-West Europe program (Interreg NWE), project Di-Plast - Digital Circular Economy for the Plastics Industry (NWE729). INGV Pianeta Dinamico 2021 Tema 8 SOME (CUP D53J1900017001) funded by Italian Ministry of University and Research “Fondo finalizzato al rilancio degli investimenti delle amministrazioni centrali dello Stato e allo sviluppo del Paese, legge 145/2018.
    Description: Published
    Description: 317–332
    Description: 8T. Sismologia in tempo reale e Early Warning Sismico e da Tsunami
    Description: JCR Journal
    Keywords: Graph neural networks ; Time series ; Sensors ; Convolutional neural networks ; Regression ; Earthquake ground motion ; Seismic network ; 04.06. Seismology
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
    Location Call Number Expected Availability
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2023-01-27
    Description: Rapid accurate prediction of strong ground shaking can be crucial for earthquake early warning. Recently, machine learning (ML), with its advances in Deep Learning (DL), has shown great potential in analysing seismic waveforms. More specifically, when using the data acquired by a seismic network, the incorporation of additional information consisting of the network station positioning into the DL model has been found beneficial to improve the accuracy of the ground motion predictions (Jozinović et al., 2022). Such spatial information can be exploited thoroughly by adopting graph structures, along with the seismic waveforms. Recent advances in adapting DL to graphs have shown promising potential in various graph- related tasks. However, these methods have not been completely adapted for seismological tasks. In this work, we advance an architecture capable of processing a set of seismic time series acquired by a network of stations using the benefits of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) (see Fig. 1). The objective of the study is the rapid determination of the ground motion (PGA, PGV, and SA 0.3s, 1s and 3s) at farther stations that have not been yet reached by the strong ground shaking by availing of the first signals recorded at the stations close to the epicentre. The work builds upon the GNN approach proposed in Bloemheuvel et al. (2022) and incorporates transfer learning, see Jozinović et al. (2022). We apply the methodology to two datasets having very different source-receiver geometries sited in central Italy (CI, Jozinović et al., 2020, Jozinović et al., 2022) and in north-western central Italy (CW), respectively (Fig. 2). The two datasets have already been the object of similar studies using convolutional neural networks which serve as baselines for comparison. We find that the GNNs are highly suited for the analysis of seismic data from a set of stations and show improvement when compared to the previous work (Bloemheuvel et al., 2022 and Jozinović et al., 2022). We exemplify the early warning capabilities of the proposed approach.
    Description: Interreg North-West Europe program (Interreg NWE), project Di-Plast - Digital Circular Economy for the Plastics Industry (NWE729), and partially funded by the INGV project Pianeta Dinamico 2021 Tema 8 SOME (grant no. CUP D53J1900017001) funded by the Italian Ministry of University and Research “Fondo finalizzato al rilancio degli investimenti delle amministrazioni centrali dello Stato e allo sviluppo del Paese, legge 145/2018” and by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (grant no. 821115), Real-time Earthquake Risk Reduction for a Resilient Europe (RISE).
    Description: Published
    Description: 4300-4306
    Description: 8T. Sismologia in tempo reale e Early Warning Sismico e da Tsunami
    Description: N/A or not JCR
    Keywords: Graph Neural Networks, Seismogram, Convolutional Neural Networks, Sensors, Regression, Earthquake Ground Motion, Seismic Network, EEW ; 04.06. Seismology
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
    Location Call Number Expected Availability
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