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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2016-03-23
    Description: Annual growth zones in cod otoliths from the eastern Baltic stock are less discrete than in other cod stocks leading to biased age reading, which recently led to a failure of age-based assessment in the eastern Baltic cod stock. In this study, we explored the applicability of minor and trace element patterns in cod otoliths for age determination. By first identifying elements of interest in a stock without ageing problems, western Baltic cod, we then tested their applicability on another stock without ageing problems, North Sea cod, and finally applied this knowledge to estimate age of eastern Baltic cod. In western Baltic cod, matching patterns with respect to occurrence of minima and maxima in both otolith opacity and element concentrations were found for Cu, Zn, and Rb, and inverse patterns with Mg and Mn. No match was found for Pb, Ba, and Sr. In the test stock, the North Sea cod, the same patterns in Cu, Zn, Rb, Mg, and Mn signals occurred. All eastern Baltic cod with low visual contrast between growth zones exhibited clearly defined synchronous cycles in Cu, Zn, Rb and Pb. Using a combined finite differencing method and structural break models approach, the statistical significance of the local profile minima were identified, based on which their age could be estimated. Despite extensive environmental differences between the three areas examined, the element concentrations of Cu, Zn, and Rb were strongly correlated in all individuals with similar correlations in all three areas, suggesting that the incorporation mechanisms are the same for these elements and independent of environmental concentrations.
    Print ISSN: 1054-3139
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9289
    Topics: Biology , Geosciences , Physics
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2014-09-30
    Description: We examined factors affecting the fishing effort in the German brown shrimp ( Crangon crangon ) fishery, including shrimp and fuel price, catch per unit effort (cpue), number of days with strong wind, fishing port, and season. Time-series analysis (TS) using rational transfer functions (ARIMAX, an extension of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) modelling) were applied to model mean monthly boat effort (MBE, in hours), aggregated from the logbook data of five German ports for the years 2000–2008. We addressed two major areas: (i) whether cyclic effort patterns and the effect of external factors such as wind differ regionally, and (ii) whether external factors such as cpue, shrimp and fuel prices have a significant influence on the effort pattern. The estimated ARIMAX models accounted for 52–77% of the variance in MBE if analysed separately for each port, indicating a stable seasonal pattern of fishing effort without major interannual variations or significant trends. In spite of considerable variability in the external factors, none of cpue, shrimp or fuel price had a significant effect on the fishing effort. We interpreted this stability as a lack of alternative target species and discuss the theory that a response of a fishery to these external factors might only occur once certain critical threshold values have been exceeded, which was not the case during the investigated period. The models indicated differences in the seasonal patterns of the different harbours, with shorter trips and an earlier start for the main fishing season in the southwest (SW) regions, whereas in the northeast (NE) harbours, trips were longer, peak effort was shifted by 1–2 months and the spring season was of greater importance. The relationships of these regional patterns to the shrimp life cycle and coast topography, as well as implications for future management, are discussed.
    Print ISSN: 1054-3139
    Electronic ISSN: 1095-9289
    Topics: Biology , Geosciences , Physics
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 1994-01-01
    Print ISSN: 0171-8630
    Electronic ISSN: 1616-1599
    Topics: Biology
    Published by Inter-Research
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2019-09-24
    Description: Environmentally induced change appears to be impacting the recruitment of North Sea herring (Clupea harengus). Despite simultaneously having a large adult population, historically low exploitation, and Marine Stewardship Council accreditation (implying sustainability), there have been an unprecedented 6 sequential years of poor juvenile production (recruitment). Analysis suggests that the poor recruitment arises during the larval overwintering phase, with recent survival rates greatly reduced. Contemporary warming of the North Sea has caused significant changes in the plankton community, and a recently identified regime shift around 2000 shows close temporal agreement with the reduced larval survival. It is, therefore, possible that we are observing the first consequences of this planktonic change for higher trophic levels. There is no indication of a recovery in recruitment in the short term. Fishing mortality is currently outside the agreed management plan, and forecasts show a high risk of the stock moving outside safe biological limits soon, potentially precipitating another collapse of the stock. However, bringing the realized fishing mortality back in line with the management plan would likely alleviate the problem. This illustrates again that recruitment is influenced by more than just spawning-stock biomass, and that changes in other factors can be of equal, or even greater, importance. In such dynamically changing environments, recent management success does not necessarily guarantee future sustainability.
    Type: Article , PeerReviewed
    Format: text
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