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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2010-07-27
    Description: Two probabilistic seismic hazard (PSH) maps in terms of macroseismic intensity characterized by an exceedance probability of 10% for exposure time of 50 years are presented and compared. The first map adopts the standard Cornell-McGuire approach and follows the computational scheme developed for the reference Italian peak ground acceleration (PGA) hazard map (MPS04), while the second one is derived through an alternative methodology (referred to here as the site approach) that is based on statistical analysis of the site seismic history (i.e., macroseismic intensities documented for past earthquakes). Because the two procedures make a different use of available information, this comparison provides a new insight about the sensitivity of PSH estimates for the different possible methodological choices. In particular, it is shown that, though basic differences exist between the two adopted methodologies, relevant results appear consistent over most of Italy. However, at a significant number of investigated localities (Italian municipalities), PSH estimates provided by the site approach are larger than those derived from the standard technique. Thus, a detailed analysis has been carried out to evaluate the role played by different choices of computational models and input data. Among these, the use/nonuse of seismogenic zoning seems to act as the key element in determining the pattern of differences observed between the two PSH estimates.
    Print ISSN: 0037-1106
    Electronic ISSN: 1943-3573
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2012-10-12
    Description: In the frame of the European Commission project "Seismic Hazard Harmonization in Europe" (SHARE), aiming at harmonizing seismic hazard at a European scale, the compilation of a homogeneous, European parametric earthquake catalogue was planned. The goal was to be achieved by considering the most updated historical dataset and assessing homogenous magnitudes, with support from several institutions. This paper describes the SHARE European Earthquake Catalogue (SHEEC), which covers the time window 1000-1899. It strongly relies on the experience of the European Commission project "Network of Research Infrastructures for European Seismology" (NERIES), a module of which was dedicated to create the European "Archive of Historical Earthquake Data" (AHEAD) and to establish methodologies to homogenously derive earthquake parameters from macroseismic data. AHEAD has supplied the final earthquake list, obtained after sorting duplications out and eliminating many fake events; in addition, it supplied the most updated historical dataset. Macroseismic data points (MDPs) provided by AHEAD have been processed with updated, repeatable procedures, regionally calibrated against a set of recent, instrumental earthquakes, to obtain earthquake parameters. From the same data, a set of epicentral intensity-to-magnitude relations has been derived, with the aim of providing another set of homogeneous Mw estimates. Then, a strategy focussed on maximizing the homogeneity of the final epicentral location and Mw, has been adopted. Special care has been devoted also to supply location and Mw uncertainty. The paper focuses on the procedure adopted for the compilation of SHEEC and briefly comments on the achieved results. © 2012 The Author(s).
    Print ISSN: 1383-4649
    Electronic ISSN: 1573-157X
    Topics: Geosciences , Physics
    Published by Springer
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2014-09-11
    Print ISSN: 1570-761X
    Electronic ISSN: 1573-1456
    Topics: Geosciences
    Published by Springer
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  • 4
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: Prior to 2003 the Italian building code, established in 1974, was mostly based on working stress design. The zonation that guided its application was made up in 1981 using a semi-quantitative, mainly seismological approach; it was enforced in 1984 and left about 2/3 of the territory without seismic provisions. In 1998 a new zonation was proposed but never adopted. The 2002 Mw5.7 earthquake in Molise (Southern Italy) caused the collapse of a school and the death of 26 children. The school was built in an area where seismic provisions were not applied, although the zonation proposed in 1998 assigned it to the second zone. The earthquake triggered a process that led in a few months to a new set of seismic provisions
    Description: Unpublished
    Description: San Francisco
    Description: open
    Keywords: Seismic hazard data ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risk
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Poster session
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  • 5
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: A seismic hazard map, in terms of macro seismic intensity with 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years, is proposed for the Italian territory. The input elements used to evaluate the seismic hazard are: the seismogenic zoning ZS9 (Meletti et al., 2007), the earthquake catalogue CPTI04 (Gruppo di lavoro CPTI04, 2004) and intensity attenuation relationships. The first two elements and the historical and statistical completeness of the catalogue are those used in the national seismic hazard map for Italy MPS04 (Gruppo di Lavoro MPS, 2004). Two intensity attenuation models are used: 1) one national relationship obtained with a new approach by Pasolini et al. (2006) and a relationship for the Etna volcanic zone proposed by Azzaro et al. (2006) 2) a set of regional relationships derived from a previous cubic model (Berardi et al., 1993) which is recalibrated in the present study using the macro seismic intensity database DBMI04 (Stucchi et al., 2007), which was used for compiling CPTI04. The computer code adopted to evaluate the seismic hazard, with the elements cited above, is SeisRisk III (Bender and Perkins, 1987), which has been modified within this study to incorporate the aleatory variability of the ground motion (macroseismic intensity). A logic-tree framework allowed to explore some possible alternatives of epistemic character. The seismic hazard map obtained in terms of intensity was subsequently transformed into PGA by means of a linear relation between intensity and PGA, in order to compare it with the recently national seismic hazard map MPS04.
    Description: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, sezione di Milano-Pavia
    Description: Published
    Description: open
    Keywords: probabulistic seismic hazard assessment ; intensity attenuation ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risk
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: report
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: Abstract The 2nd century AD earthquake in central Italy is only known by an epigraph that mentions restorations to a damaged weighing-house at the ancient locality of Pagus Interpromium. The available seismic catalogues report this event with the conventional date of 101 AD, a magnitude M aw of 6.3, and an epicentral location at the village of San Valentino in Abruzzo Citeriore, in the province of Pescara. In order to improve the knowledge of the damage pattern, we gathered all the archaeological data collected during modern excavations at sites located in the area, which were presumably struck by the earthquake. This information is mainly represented by (1) stratigraphic units due to the sudden collapse of buildings over still frequented floors; (2) stratigraphic units demonstrating restoration or re-building of edifices; (3) stratigraphic units formed as the result of the abandonment of sites or of their lack of frequentation for decades or centuries. Only stratigraphic evidence consistent with an earthquake occurrence during the 2nd century AD has been considered. The most recent archaeological material found in a collapsed unit is a coin of Antoninus Pius, dated at 147–148 AD. This may represent a post quem date very close to the occurrence of the earthquake. The gathered information, plus the stratigraphic data that excluded the earthquake occurrence at some sites, has allowed us to roughly delineate an area of possible damage, including the Sulmona Plain and surrounding areas. Comparisons between the possible 2nd century damage distribution and (i) the damage patterns of more recent historical events that have struck the investigated area, (ii) the distribution of virtual intensities obtained by simulating an earthquake having an epicenter in the Sulmona Plain and applying an intensity attenuation relationship and (iii) a shaking scenario obtained by modelling the activation of the major active fault of the Sulmona Plain area (the Mt. Morrone fault) have revealed consistency between the ancient earthquake and the activation of this fault. Since no other historical events can be attributed to this active fault, we conclude that the time that has elapsed since the last fault activation should be in the order of 1,850 years, i.e. a time span that is very close to the recurrence interval of Apennine seismogenic sources. Moreover, considering the fault length, the causative source may be responsible for earthquakes with M up to 6.6–6.7. The comparison between the presumed 2nd century damage and the shaking scenario suggests that the magnitude mentioned is consistent with the presumed effects of the ancient earthquake. Finally, considering that Sulmona (the most important town in the region investigated) is located in the middle of the Mt. Morrone fault hanging wall, we consider it as the probable epicentral area. Therefore, to summarise the information on the 2nd century AD earthquake, we can conclude that (i) it occurred shortly after 147–148 AD; (ii) a magnitude M w 6.6–6.7 can be attributed to it and (iii) the probable macroseismic epicentral area was Sulmona.
    Description: Published
    Description: 335-359
    Description: 3.10. Storia ed archeologia applicate alle Scienze della Terra
    Description: JCR Journal
    Description: reserved
    Keywords: Archaeoseismology ; Historical seismology ; Seismotectonics ; Central Italy ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.05. Historical seismology
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: article
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: A seismic hazard map, with 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years in terms of macroseismic intensity, is proposed for the Italian territory. The input elements used to evaluate the seismic hazard are: the seismogenic zoning ZS9, the earthquake catalogue CPTI04, the historical and statistical completeness. These elements are those used in MPS04 (Gruppo di Lavoro MPS, 2004). Two new intensity attenuation models were used: 1) a set of regional relationships derived from a previous cubic model (Berardi et al., 1993) which has been recalibrated (Gómez Capera, 2006); 2) a relationship obtained with a new approach (Pasolini et al., 2006). The intensity attenuation models were obtained using the macroseismic intensity database, which was used for compiling CPTI04. The computer code adopted to evaluate the seismic hazard, with the elements cited above, is SeisRisk III, which has been modified to be used with macroseismic intensity data, i.e. allowing to consider the normal distribution of the residuals. A logic tree approach has been used to explore some possible alternatives of epistemic character.
    Description: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia
    Description: Published
    Description: 4.2. TTC - Scenari e mappe di pericolosità sismica
    Description: open
    Keywords: seismic hazard ; macroseismic data ; intensity attenuation ; Italy ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risk
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: report
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: Empirical relationships between macroseismic intensity and PGA are useful for comparing the macroseismic observations to recorded peak ground motions and for comparing seismic hazard assessment in terms of intensity with those in PGA. In literature is observed that despite the intensity correlate fairly well with PGA, the relationships I-PGA is the only mathematical instrumental to convert seismic hazard assessment in terms of intensity to PGA. Not many studies deal with the relationship between intensity and PGA and the majority have been published for the western USA and Japan. In Italy, relationships between the intensity data and PGA records have been proposed among others by Margottini et al. (1987, 1992) and by Faccioli and Cauzzi (2006), which used data from earthquakes of the Mediterranean area (Italy, Turkey, Algeria, France and Slovenia). In the present study a probabilistic I-PGA relationship is proposed, based on the datasets from Margottini et. al and from Faccioli and Cauzzi, and adopting a generalized orthogonal regression.
    Description: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia
    Description: Published
    Description: 4.2. TTC - Scenari e mappe di pericolosità sismica
    Description: open
    Keywords: relationships I-PGA ; intensity-PGA ; seismic hazard ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.11. Seismic risk
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: report
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: We present the results of a calibration analysis performed on Italian seismicity datasets of the approach proposed by Bakun and Wentworth (1997) to bound earthquakes epicentral area and magnitude from macroseismic data only. The calibration is required as the method derives an intensity magnitude (equal in the mean to moment magnitude Mw) from macroseismic observations by using a regionally suitable attenuation relationship of intensity as a function of Mw and source distance. To this purpose, a training set of earthquakes occurred in Italy since 1980 was selected, for which a large number of intensity observations and reliable instrumental determinations of Mw and epicentral location are available. Following the Bakun-Wentworth’s method, the distribution of intensity data with epicentral distance was analyzed for each one of the events considered and three different functional relations (linear, logarithmic and cubic dependence on distance) were calibrated. We also considered two better constrained (defined on a much larger dataset) intensity attenuation relationships recently proposed for Italy, originally derived as a function of epicentral intensity I0 and, thus, “converted” through an empirical I0-Mw relation. Performance of all the above relationships was then checked both on the training set and on an independent set of recent Italian earthquakes.
    Description: Published
    Description: Hersonissos, Creta island, Greece
    Description: 5.1. TTC - Banche dati e metodi macrosismici
    Description: open
    Keywords: earthquake parameters ; macroseismic ; Bakun and Wentworth method ; macroseismic intensity attenuation relationship ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.99. General or miscellaneous
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Abstract
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2017-04-04
    Description: In the frame of the NA-4 module of the European project NERIES, a specific task is devoted to the determination of earthquakes parameters from macroseismic data. On this regard, a new methodology, implemented in the program MEEP, has been developed by Musson et al. (see relevant presentation in this session). Here we present and discuss some tests performed by using the MEEP program in order to contribute to the setting up of the code and to validate the methodology itself. To this purpose, a set of earthquakes occurred in different regions of Europe and with different ranges of magnitude have been selected. In particular, the main aspects investigated here are: •reliability of estimates of epicentre location, magnitude and hypocentral depth compared with instrumental determinations; •comparison with epicentral parameters derived by using other methods based on macroseismic data; •sensitivity of the methodology to number and geographic distribution of available intensity data points (IDPs); •sensitivity to the calibration parameters requested by the program. Results of this analysis suggested some modifications of the program
    Description: Published
    Description: Hersonissos, Creta island, Greece
    Description: 5.1. TTC - Banche dati e metodi macrosismici
    Description: open
    Keywords: earthquake parameters ; macroseismic ; 04. Solid Earth::04.06. Seismology::04.06.99. General or miscellaneous
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Abstract
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