ALBERT

Description: Aspects of the dynamics of internal solitary waves evolving in a three-layer ocean are investigated using a new numerical multilayer model that solves the nonlinear, weakly nonhydrostatic Boussinesq equations and uses high-resolution in situ data. The model applications refer to two different phenomena frequently observed in the real ocean, which can be described using a three-layer model rather than a two-layer model. In the first application the influence of the strength of a shallow seasonal thermocline superimposed on a two-layer permanent stratification on the structure of internal solitary waves is studied. It is found that while for small to medium wave amplitudes a decrease in the strength of the thermocline yields an increase in the simulated wavelengths, for large wave amplitudes this dependence is no longer monotonic. In particular, in the limiting case of a vanishing thermocline, first-mode internal solitary wave solutions of the three-layer numerical model tend to the analytical internal solitary wave solutions of the Miyata equations, a two-layer model, in which the full nonlinearity of the shallow-water theory up to first-order phase dispersion is retained. In the second application that refers particularly to high-resolution observations made north and south of the Strait of Messina in the Eurafrican Mediterranean basin the generation of internal solitary waves by the evolution of surface and subsurface water jets is investigated. The analysis of the in situ data shows in fact that from very energetic surface and subsurface jet-like disturbances subject to strong turbulent mixing internal solitary waves emerge as robust, quasi-nondissipative oceanic features. Idealized flow conditions aimed at approximating possible initial stages of the observed water jets are imposed to force our numerical model. In general, good agreement is found between characteristics of observed and simulated wave fields. Our investigation identifies the observed water jets as peculiar features of the complex ocean dynamics and suggests that layered numerical models can represent helpful tools in understanding fundamental processes inherent in their intricate dynamics.

Description: This study presents aspects of the spatial and temporal variability of abyssal water masses in the Ionian Sea, as derived from recent temperature, salinity, dissolved oxygen and velocity observations and from comparisons between these and former observations. Previous studies showed how in the Southern Adriatic Sea the Adriatic Deep Water (AdDW) became fresher (ΔS ≈ −0.08) and colder (ΔT ≈ −0.1°C) after experiencing warming and salinification between 2003 and 2007. Our data, collected from October 2009 to July 2010 from two bottom moorings, one within the Strait of Otranto and the other in the northern Ionian, confirm this tendency: a bottom vein of southward-flowing AdDW, whose temperature and salinity continuously decreased during the observation time, was detected there. Typically, the vein travel time between the two stations ranged between 45 and 50 days. This gave us a temporal estimate for AdDW anomaly propagation towards the Ionian abyss from their Adriatic generation region. The density excess of the observed vein was always enough to enable its existence as a bottom-arrested current. This evidence confirms that, at that time (2009 and 2010), the Adriatic Sea was greatly contributing to the formation of Eastern Mediterranean Deep Water (EMDW), the bottom water of the Eastern Mediterranean. Hence, based on these results and on the evidence that, from 2003 to 2009, abyssal Ionian waters became saltier and warmer under the time-lagged influence of AdDW, possible future changes in the EMDW characteristics, as a response to Adriatic variability, are discussed.

Description: Radiative forcing from volcanic aerosol impacts surface temperatures; however, the background climate state also affects the response. A key question thus concerns whether constraining forcing estimates is more important than constraining initial conditions for accurate simulation and attribution of posteruption climate anomalies. Here we test whether different realistic volcanic forcing magnitudes for the 1815 Tambora eruption yield distinguishable ensemble surface temperature responses. We perform a cluster analysis on a superensemble of climate simulations including three 30-member ensembles using the same set of initial conditions but different volcanic forcings based on uncertainty estimates. Results clarify how forcing uncertainties can overwhelm initial-condition spread in boreal summer due to strong direct radiative impact, while the effect of initial conditions predominate in winter, when dynamics contribute to large ensemble spread. In our setup, current uncertainties affecting reconstruction-simulation comparisons prevent conclusions about the magnitude of the Tambora eruption and its relation to the “year without summer.”