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  • 2020-2024  (1)
  • 2020-2023  (1)
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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2022-05-25
    Description: We describe the main structure and outcomes of the new probabilistic seismic hazard model for Italy, MPS19 [Modello di Pericolosità Sismica, 2019]. Besides to outline the probabilistic framework adopted, the multitude of new data that have been made available after the preparation of the previous MPS04, and the set of earthquake rate and ground motion models used, we give particular emphasis to the main novelties of the modeling and the MPS19 outcomes. Specifically, we (i) introduce a novel approach to estimate and to visualize the epistemic uncertainty over the whole country; (ii) assign weights to each model components (earthquake rate and ground motion models) according to a quantitative testing phase and structured experts’ elicitation sessions; (iii) test (retrospectively) the MPS19 outcomes with the horizontal peak ground acceleration observed in the last decades, and the macroseismic intensities of the last centuries; (iv) introduce a pioneering approach to build MPS19_cluster, which accounts for the effect of earthquakes that have been removed by declustering. Finally, to make the interpretation of MPS19 outcomes easier for a wide range of possible stakeholders, we represent the final result also in terms of probability to exceed 0.15 g in 50 years.
    Language: English
    Type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
    Format: application/pdf
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2023-12-11
    Description: The INGV RING research infrastructure is based on a permanent GNSS network developed to measure deformation at different spatial and temporal scales in the Mediterranean region. The network (http://ring.gm.ingv.it/) consists of ~250 real-time transmitting remote sites, using standard RTCM format, towards the Irpinia acquisition centres (Southern Italy). Data streaming is managed by a Ntrip Caster (https://igs.bkg.bund.de/ntrip/bkgcaster), whose sourcetable is synchronized with the RING database, thus guaranteeing reliable metadata for the analysis. Within the EWRICA project, the real-time data analysis is performed by using the RTPPP software (Ge et al.,2012) that provides different Precise Point Positioning products with increasing accuracies (standard PPP, PPP-AR and PPP-RA). On 24-h data, the ambiguity resolution (PPP-AR) and the regional augmentation (PPP-RA) allows accuracies of ~1 cm and ~3 cm for the horizontal and vertical components, respectively, at the best sites. Using shorter sliding windows (i.e. 60 s or 120 s, thus simulating a real-time situation), the accuracies are ~0,5 cm and ~1 cm for horizontal and vertical components, respectively. We also tested a homemade algorithm able to detect co-seismic static offsets in real-time in a simulated real-time strategy. The first results make the RING real-time solutions a potential contribution to be tested in earthquake and tsunami warning systems in Italy and surrounding regions. We will show the RING architecture, from the data to the PPP results, an evaluation of the uncertainties, and some examples of offset detection for recent earthquakes.
    Language: English
    Type: info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject
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