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  • German  (3)
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  • 1
    Publication Date: 2020-02-12
    Description: The nucleation of earthquakes and their seismic waves cannot be predicted in a deterministic sense. However probabilistic hazard and risk estimations can be conducted which help to increase the preparedness and reduce the vulnerability of societies. Those estimations are based on the rapidly growing number of empirical earthquake data recorded by seismic networks or known from historical or geological studies, which show that earthquakes are not randomly occurring. They typically occur clustered in space and time with specific characteristics such as the Gutenberg-Richter law for the frequency-magnitude distribution. Seismicity models have to account for earthquake interactions to avoid erroneous estimations of the activity level and spatial distribution of future activity. Additionally, the vulnerability of societies is changing with with time, because of the dynamic reconstruction and growth of cities in earthquake-prone regions. Thus new sophisticated models, strategies, and methods have to be developed and tested for all components of the earthquake risk chain to improve our probabilistic hazard and risk estimations.
    Language: German
    Type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
    Format: application/pdf
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2020-02-12
    Description: The basic seismic load parameters for the upcoming national design regulation for DIN EN 1998-1/NA result from the reassessment of the seismic hazard supported by the German Institution for Civil Engineering (DIBt). This study is based on a comprehensive involvement of accessible uncertainties in models and parameters. It includes the provision of a rational framework for integrating epistemic uncertainties and aleatory variabilities in a comprehensive way and incorporates significant improvements. It is based on updated and extended databases, robust methods to evolve sets of models representing epistemic uncertainties and a selection of latest : ground shaking prediction models. The output specifications were designed according to the user oriented needs: Seismic load parameters are calculated for rock conditions, mean return periods of 475, 975 and 2475 years and delivered as uniform hazard spectra, seismic hazard maps for peak ground acceleration, spectral response accelerations and macroseismic intensities as mean, median and 84 % quantile. Examples of some elements of the input and a few basis results are shown.
    Language: German
    Type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2022-01-21
    Description: Das gegenwärtige Spannungsfeld der Erdkruste ist eine zentrale Feldgröße für die Beurteilung der Stabilität eines Endlagers. Erreichen die Spannungen einen kritischen Wert, dann versagt das Gestein. Es bilden sich Risse und Brüche, die Wegsamkeiten für Flüssigkeiten und Gase darstellen. Als Folge kann das Endlager undicht werden. Im direkten Bezug dazu stehen die Ausschlusskriterien seismische Aktivität und aktive Störungszonen aus dem Standortauswahlgesetz. Beide sind ein Ausdruck dafür, dass der kritische Wert überschritten wurde.
    Language: German
    Type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
    Format: application/pdf
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