ALBERT

Description: The demographics of dark matter substructure depend sensitively on the nature of dark matter. Optimally leveraging this probe requires accurate theoretical predictions regarding the abundance of subhaloes. These predictions are hampered by artificial disruption in numerical simulations, by large halo-to-halo variance, and by the fact that the results depend on the baryonic physics of galaxy formation. In particular, numerical simulations have shown that the formation of a central disc can drastically reduce the abundance of substructure compared to a dark matter-only simulation, which has been attributed to enhanced destruction of substructure due to disc shocking. We examine the impact of discs on substructure using the semi-analytical subhalo model SatGen, which accurately models the tidal evolution of substructure free of the numerical disruption that still hampers N-body simulations. Using a sample of 10,000 merger trees of Milky Way-like haloes, we study the demographics of subhaloes that are evolved under a range of composite halo–disc potentials with unprecedented statistical power. We find that the overall subhalo abundance is relatively insensitive to properties of the disc aside from its total mass. For a disc that contains 5% of Mvir, the mean subhalo abundance within rvir is suppressed by ${lesssim }10\%$ relative to the no-disc case, a difference that is dwarfed by halo-to-halo variance. For the same disc mass, the abundance of subhaloes within 50 kpc is reduced by ${sim }30\%$. We argue that the disc mainly drives excess mass loss for subhaloes with small pericentric radii and that the impact of disc shocking is negligible.