ALBERT

Description: What role do socio-demographic and local environmental factors play in the perception of climate change? The article of Landwehr et al. to be discussed here presents interdisciplinary findings on this question, which are particularly interesting regarding the group of farmers. However, the findings also raise questions about the degree of abstraction of climate perception, the rigidity of social identity, the role of the media and the strategy of targeting. In the context of recent “farmer protests” and populist narratives, the author of this response concludes that future interdisciplinary research projects on climate perceptions should also analyse political variables and the relevance of populist discourses.

Description: Welche Rolle spielen sozio-demografische und lokale Umweltfaktoren für die Klimawandelwahrnehmung? Der hier besprochene Artikel von Landwehr et al. stellt interdisziplinäre Befunde zu dieser Frage vor, die besonders mit Blick auf die Gruppe der Landwirt(inn)e(n) interessant sind. Die Befunde werfen aber auch Fragen zum Abstraktionsgrad der Klimawahrnehmung, der Rigidität sozialer Identität, der Rolle der Medien und der Zielgruppenstrategie auf. Im Kontext der jüngsten ,,Bauernproteste“ und populistischer Narrative folgert der Autor dieser Reaktion, dass in künftigen interdisziplinären Forschungsprojekten zur Klimawahrnehmung auch politische Variablen und die Relevanz populistischer Diskurse untersucht werden sollten.

Description: Climate change poses a threat to the agricultural sector, increasing the risk of crop failures, food insecurity and poverty. Given the need for an efficient allocation of scarce adaptation finance, scientific evidence can help to guide the prioritization of adaptation options. This article offers reflections on lessons learned from the AGRICA project, a collaboration between the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) on behalf of the German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ). Running from 2018 to 2024, AGRICA aimed to provide scientific evidence on climate risks, related impacts and suitable adaptation strategies for the agricultural sector in sub-Saharan Africa. Bringing together insights from science, development cooperation and policy, we argue for the need to produce and use rigorous scientific evidence for adaptation policy and planning, including for the formulation and implementation of ambitious National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) and Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). This is motivated by assessments such as from the IPCC (2022), which deems current NDC efforts in the agricultural sector insufficient for achieving the Paris Agreement. We discuss lessons learned with a focus on trade-offs between in-depth and standardized assessments, data availability and spatial resolution, modelling uncertainty and methodological pluralism to bridge the science-policy gap.

Description: Highlights • Statistically different gas geochemistry was observed in two adjacent springs. • About 74% of helium was contributed by the mantle. • Excess N2 relative to Ar was attributed to subducted materials and seawater mixing. • Magmatic CO2 has been largely removed by calcite precipitation in the reaction zone. • The residual CO2 may also be supplied by microbial oxidation of alkanes. Gas emissions from hydrothermal systems can serve as indicators of subsurface activity. In addition to gas sources, hydrothermal gas geochemistry is strongly influenced by secondary processes that occur during/after hydrothermal circulation. Here, we observed statistically significant differences in the geochemical characteristics (except for helium isotopes) of bubbling gases discharged from two adjacent vents in the Northern Luzon Arc. Helium (3He/4He = 4.25–7.09 Ra) in both vents was controlled by mixing between mantle and crustal components, where about 74% of helium was contributed by the mantle. Differences in N2/Ar ratios (∼ 300–330) of the two neighboring springs are attributed to subducted materials and seawater mixing (contributing ∼2.5% N2 and Ar), rather than phase separation in the reaction zone. Specifically, Ar was mainly supplied by atmospheric components that dissolved in the percolated seawater with only 8%–9% contributed by the excess radiogenic 40Ar. Excess N2 relative to Ar was mainly supplied by the decomposition of subducted materials (83%–92%) of the South China Sea plate beneath the Philippine Sea Plate. The Lutao gases showed low CO2 concentrations (0.07–22.2 mmol/mol), despite the high 3He/4He ratios indicating a significant contribution of magmatic components. Magmatic CO2 may have been largely consumed by the high Ca Lutao vent fluids via carbonate precipitation in the reaction zone. Alternatively, stable carbon isotope compositions (δ13C) indicate that Lutao CO2 may be supplied by microbial oxidation of alkanes (e.g., CH4 with concentrations of 14.6–173 mmol/mol in the samples), with fractionation factor ΔCO2–CH4 ranging from −15‰ to −25‰ and conversion rates of 〈10%. Up to 65% of the CO2 in the 2016 samples experienced secondary calcite precipitation in the discharge zone. Our results indicate that recycled subducted materials could potentially affect the geochemical characteristics of gases discharged from arc-volcanic systems. In addition, the influence of secondary processes needs to be considered before tracing the sources of hydrothermal fluids and/or gases, especially in shallow-water hydrothermal systems.

Description: The crises of climate change and biodiversity loss are interlinked and must be addressed jointly. A proposed solution for reducing reliance on fossil fuels, and thus mitigating climate change, is the transition from conventional combustion-engine to electric vehicles. This transition currently requires additional mineral resources, such as nickel and cobalt used in car batteries, presently obtained from land-based mines. Most options to meet this demand are associated with some biodiversity loss. One proposal is to mine the deep seabed, a vast, relatively pristine and mostly unexplored region of our planet. Few comparisons of environmental impacts of solely expanding land-based mining versus extending mining to the deep seabed for the additional resources exist and for biodiversity only qualitative. Here, we present a framework that facilitates a holistic comparison of relative ecosystem impacts by mining, using empirical data from relevant environmental metrics. This framework (Environmental Impact Wheel) includes a suite of physicochemical and biological components, rather than a few selected metrics, surrogates, or proxies. It is modified from the “recovery wheel” presented in the International Standards for the Practice of Ecological Restoration to address impacts rather than recovery. The wheel includes six attributes (physical condition, community composition, structural diversity, ecosystem function, external exchanges and absence of threats). Each has 3–5 sub attributes, in turn measured with several indicators. The framework includes five steps: (1) identifying geographic scope; (2) identifying relevant spatiotemporal scales; (3) selecting relevant indicators for each sub-attribute; (4) aggregating changes in indicators to scores; and (5) generating Environmental Impact Wheels for targeted comparisons. To move forward comparisons of land-based with deep seabed mining, thresholds of the indicators that reflect the range in severity of environmental impacts are needed. Indicators should be based on clearly articulated environmental goals, with objectives and targets that are specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time bound.

Description: Scientists are using a variety of geochemical, geophysical, and numerical methods to study offshore freshened groundwater and better understand its role in the global water cycle.

Description: The deep-sea water column below 200 m is a vast three-dimensional habitat with an enormous but largely unexplored biodiversity (Robison, 2009). Cephalopod mollusks are abundant in the deep sea and are important prey for many kinds of predators. Still, most deep-sea cephalopods have never been observed alive in their natural habitat and their reproductive biology remains poorly documented. In March of 2015, at a depth of 2566 m, we observed a female squid of an undescribed species but likely belonging to the Gonatidae, carrying few but exceptionally large eggs in her arms. This raises questions as to how these and other related animals reproduce in the deep sea, an environment that is generally characterized by darkness, low temperature, reduced oxygen, limited food availability, and low population densities. The authors were conducting dives with deep-sea robots (remotely operated vehicles or ROVs) equipped with cameras in the deep basins of the Gulf of California, to investigate how deep-sea fauna are distributed in relation to the extensive low-oxygen zones in the region (Gilly et al., 2013). The squid (Individual 1, Table 1) we observed with an ROV at 2566 m in the Gulf of California in 2015 was carrying 30–40 large eggs (average maximum diameter 11.2 mm, n = 5; measured eggs were 11.4, 10.4, 11.5, 11.7 and 11 mm maximum diameter) embedded in a small external egg sheet that did not extend beyond the arm tips. The size of the eggs was similar to those of two squid (Individuals 2 and 3, Table 1) that were observed close to the seafloor during earlier expeditions in the same region.

Description: Abstract Robust chronologies and time equivalent tephra markers are essential to better understand spatial palaeoenvironmental response to past abrupt climatic changes. Identification of well-dated and widely dispersed volcanic ash by tephra and cryptotephra (microscopic volcanic ash) provide time synchronous tie-points and strongly reduce chronological uncertainties. Here, we present the major, minor and trace element analyses of cryptotephra shards in the Dead Sea Deep Drilling sedimentary record (DSDDP 5017-1A) matching the Campanian Ignimbrite (CI). This geochemical identification expands the know dispersal range of the CI to the southeastern Mediterranean, over 2,300 km from the volcanic source. Due to the CI eruption occurring near-synchronous with North Atlantic ice surge of Heinrich Event 4 (HE4), this tephra provides insights into regional responses to large-scale climatic change in the Mediterranean. In the Dead Sea, the CI layer is associated with wetter climatic conditions. This contrasts with the contemporaneous occurrence of the CI deposition and dry conditions in the northern and western Mediterranean suggesting a possible climate time-transgressive expansion of HE4. Our finding underscores the temporal and spatial complexity of regional climate responses and emphasises the importance of tephra as a time marker for studying large-scale climatic changes verses regional variations.

Description: As a consequence of on-going global warming, the ocean is losing oxygen, which has implications not only in terms of marine resources management and food supply but also in terms of the potentially important feedback on the global carbon cycle and climate. Of particular scrutiny are the extended zones of already low levels of oxygen called the oxygen minimum zones (OMZs) embedded in the subsurface waters of the productive Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS). These OMZs are currently diversely simulated by state-of-the-art Earth System Models (ESM) hampering a reliable projection of ocean deoxygenation on marine ecosystem services in these regions. Here we focus on the most emblematic EBUS OMZs of the planet, that of the South Eastern Pacific (SEP), which is under the direct influence of the El Ni & ntilde;o Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the main climate mode on interannual timescales at global scale. We show that, despite the low consensus among ESM long-term projections of oxygen levels, the sensitivity of the depth of the upper margin (oxycline) of the SEP OMZ to El Ni & ntilde;o events in an ensemble of ESMs can be used as a predictor of its long-term trend, which establishes an emergent constraint for the SEP OMZ. Because the oxycline along the coast of Peru and Chile deepens during El Ni & ntilde;o events, the upper bound of the SEP OMZ is thus likely to deepen in the future climate, therefore oxygenating the SEP OMZ. This has implications not only for understanding the nitrogen and carbon cycles at global scale but also for designing adaptation strategies for regional upper-ocean ecosystem services. The upper bound of the southeast Pacific oxygen minimum zone deepens during El Ni & ntilde;o events across an ensemble of Earth system models and is therefore projected to likely contract in the future climate, according to an analysis of multiple Earth System Models.

Description: Low-level jets (LLJs), vertical profiles with a wind speed maxima in the lowest hundred meters of the troposphere, have multiple impacts in the Earth system, but a global present-day climatology based on contemporary data does not exist. We use the spatially and temporally complete data set from ERA5 reanalysis to compile a global climatology of LLJs for studying the formation mechanisms, characteristics, and trends during the period of 1992–2021. In the global mean, LLJs are detected 21% of the time with more cases over land (32%) than over the ocean (15%). We classified the LLJs into three categories: non-polar land (LLLJ), polar land (PLLJ), and coastal (CLLJ) LLJs. For LLLJ, the averaged frequency of occurrence is 20% and 75% of them are associated with a near-surface temperature inversion as a prerequisite for an inertial oscillation. PLLJs are also associated with a temperature inversion and occur even more frequently with 59% of the time. These are also the lowest and the strongest LLJs among the three categories. CLLJs are particularly frequent in some marine hotspots, situated along the west coast of continents, with neutral to unstable stratification close to the surfaces and a stably stratified layer aloft. We found distinct regional trends in both the frequency and intensity of LLJs over the past decades, which can have implications for the emission and transport of aerosols, and the transport of atmospheric moisture. Future studies could address changes in LLJs and the associated implications in more detail, based on the here released ERA5-based LLJ data. Key Points: - First global comprehensive low-level jet (LLJ) climatology using ERA5 - Polar LLJs are the strongest and most frequent among the detected types - Distinct past trends in regional LLJ frequency and intensity

Description: Phytoplankton form the base of the marine food web by transforming CO2 into organic carbon via photosynthesis. Despite the importance of phytoplankton for marine ecosystems and global carbon cycling, projections of phytoplankton biomass in response to climate change differ strongly across Earth system models, illustrating uncertainty in our understanding of the underlying processes. Differences are especially large in the Southern Ocean, a region that is notoriously difficult to represent in models. Here, we argue that total (depth-integrated) phytoplankton biomass in the Southern Ocean is projected to largely remain unchanged under climate change by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) multi-model ensemble because of a shifting balance of bottom-up and top-down processes driven by a shoaling mixed-layer depth. A shallower mixed layer is projected on average to improve growth conditions, consequently weaken bottom-up control, and confine phytoplankton closer to the surface. An increase in the phytoplankton concentration promotes zooplankton grazing efficiency, thus intensifying top-down control. However, large differences across the model ensemble exist, with some models simulating a decrease in surface phytoplankton concentrations. To reduce uncertainties in projections of surface phytoplankton concentrations, we employ an emergent constraint approach using the observed sensitivity of surface chlorophyll concentration, taken as an observable proxy for phytoplankton, to seasonal changes in the mixed-layer depth as an indicator for future changes in surface phytoplankton concentrations. The emergent constraint reduces uncertainties in surface phytoplankton concentration projections by around one-third and increases confidence that surface phytoplankton concentrations will indeed rise due to shoaling mixed layers under global warming, thus favouring intensified top-down control. Overall, our results suggest that while changes in bottom-up conditions stimulate enhanced growth, intensified top-down control opposes an increase in phytoplankton and becomes increasingly important for the phytoplankton response to climate change in the Southern Ocean.