Publication Date:
2015-04-25
Description:
This paper examines the success of peer-review panels in predicting the future quality of proposed research. We construct new data to track publication, citation, and patenting outcomes associated with more than 130,000 research project (R01) grants funded by the U.S. National Institutes of Health from 1980 to 2008. We find that better peer-review scores are consistently associated with better research outcomes and that this relationship persists even when we include detailed controls for an investigator's publication history, grant history, institutional affiliations, career stage, and degree types. A one-standard deviation worse peer-review score among awarded grants is associated with 15% fewer citations, 7% fewer publications, 19% fewer high-impact publications, and 14% fewer follow-on patents.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Notes: 〈/span〉Li, Danielle -- Agha, Leila -- New York, N.Y. -- Science. 2015 Apr 24;348(6233):434-8. doi: 10.1126/science.aaa0185. Epub 2015 Apr 23.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Author address: 〈/span〉Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA. dli@hbs.edu lagha@bu.edu. ; Boston University, Boston, MA 02215, USA. National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA. dli@hbs.edu lagha@bu.edu.〈br /〉〈span class="detail_caption"〉Record origin:〈/span〉 〈a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25908820" target="_blank"〉PubMed〈/a〉
Keywords:
Biomedical Research/*economics/statistics & numerical data/*trends
;
Financing, Organized
;
*Journal Impact Factor
;
*National Institutes of Health (U.S.)
;
Peer Review, Research/*trends
;
United States
Print ISSN:
0036-8075
Electronic ISSN:
1095-9203
Topics:
Biology
,
Chemistry and Pharmacology
,
Computer Science
,
Medicine
,
Natural Sciences in General
,
Physics
