Publication Date:
2014-03-25
Description:
This paper examines the role of oil prices, credit, financial and commercial linkages in the propagation of industrial market crises during the period 2004-2012. Using VAR-MGARCH-DCC model regressions on seven markets finds that credit linkage played a significant role in the subprime, financial and global crises. Our results also show that the European debt crisis has already spread like a crisis from oil prices to Ireland and Portugal, and other countries are now at risk: Spain is a probable candidate for financial crisis. Keywords: Oil price; Contagion; Crisis; VAR-MGARCH-DCC. JEL Classifications: C32; C52
Electronic ISSN:
2146-4553
Topics:
Energy, Environment Protection, Nuclear Power Engineering
,
Economics