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Forecasting the PSBR Outside Government: The IFS Perspective (1998)

GILES, CHRISTOPHER ; HALL, JOHN

Oxford, UK : Blackwell Publishing Ltd

Fiscal studies 19 (1998), S. 0

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ISSN: 1475-5890

Source: Blackwell Publishing Journal Backfiles 1879-2005

Topics: Economics

Notes: Expectations regarding the future state of the public finances are vital for public policy formation. The UK experience has been that forecast of the PSBR have been beset with problems since the mid-1980s. Independent assessments of the accuracy and plausibility of public finance forecasts are an important check on government forecasts and serve to increase public debate over government finance issues. We examine the success of various possible methods available to those outside government. JEL classification: E6, H1, H6.

Type of Medium: Electronic Resource

URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-5890.1998.tb00278.x

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