Publication Date:
2017-04-04
Description:
Forecasting the time, nature and impact of future eruptions is difficult at volcanoes such as Mount Etna, in Italy, where eruptions occur from the summit and on the flanks, affecting areas distant from each other. Nonetheless, the identification and quantification of areas at risk from new eruptions is fundamental for mitigating potential human casualties and material damage. Here, we present new results from the application of a methodology to define flexible high-resolution lava invasion susceptibility maps based on a reliable computational model for simulating lava flows at Etna and on a validation procedure for assessing the correctness of susceptibility mapping in the study area. Furthermore, specific scenarios can be extracted at any time from the simulation database, for land-use and civil defence planning in the long-term, to quantify, in real-time, the impact of an imminent eruption, and to assess the efficiency of protective measures.
Description:
This work was sponsored by the Italian Ministry for Education,
University and Research, FIRB project n° RBAU01RMZ4 “Lava flow simulations by Cellular
Automata”, and by the National Civil Defence Department and INGV (National Institute of
Geophysics and Volcanology), project V3_6/09 “V3_6 – Etna”.
Description:
In press
Description:
1.5. TTC - Sorveglianza dell'attività eruttiva dei vulcani
Description:
3.5. Geologia e storia dei vulcani ed evoluzione dei magmi
Description:
3.6. Fisica del vulcanismo
Description:
4.3. TTC - Scenari di pericolosità vulcanica
Description:
4.4. Scenari e mitigazione del rischio ambientale
Description:
JCR Journal
Description:
open
Keywords:
lava flows
;
Etna
;
hazard evaluation
;
04. Solid Earth::04.04. Geology::04.04.99. General or miscellaneous
;
04. Solid Earth::04.08. Volcanology::04.08.99. General or miscellaneous
;
04. Solid Earth::04.08. Volcanology::04.08.08. Volcanic risk
;
05. General::05.01. Computational geophysics::05.01.99. General or miscellaneous
;
05. General::05.01. Computational geophysics::05.01.02. Cellular automata, fuzzy logic, genetic alghoritms, neural networks
;
05. General::05.02. Data dissemination::05.02.99. General or miscellaneous
;
05. General::05.02. Data dissemination::05.02.03. Volcanic eruptions
;
05. General::05.08. Risk::05.08.99. General or miscellaneous
;
05. General::05.09. Miscellaneous::05.09.99. General or miscellaneous
Repository Name:
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
Type:
article
