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Statistical analysis of flight times for space shuttle ferry flights (1974)

Perlmutter, M. ; Graves, M. E.

In: CASI

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Publication Date: 2019-06-27

Description: Markov chain and Monte Carlo analysis techniques are applied to the simulated Space Shuttle Orbiter Ferry flights to obtain statistical distributions of flight time duration between Edwards Air Force Base and Kennedy Space Center. The two methods are compared, and are found to be in excellent agreement. The flights are subjected to certain operational and meteorological requirements, or constraints, which cause eastbound and westbound trips to yield different results. Persistence of events theory is applied to the occurrence of inclement conditions to find their effect upon the statistical flight time distribution. In a sensitivity test, some of the constraints are varied to observe the corresponding changes in the results.

Keywords: SPACE SCIENCES

Type: NASA-CR-129021

Format: application/pdf

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