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  • 11
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Water resources management 12 (1998), S. 95-120 
    ISSN: 1573-1650
    Keywords: reliability ; resilience ; vulnerability ; reservoirhedging
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Geography
    Notes: Abstract Based on a detailed Monte-Carlo simulation, the effects of hedging parameters namely, starting water availability (SWA), ending water availability (EWA) and hedging factor (HF) on reservoir storage performance indicators have been investigated within the storage-yield plane of over-year reservoirs. Also, trade-off relationships between the various storage performance indicators are developed and selection of reasonable compromising hedging policies based on performance criteria is attempted for over-year reservoirs. Regions within the storage-yield plane of over-year reservoirs where hedging would be effective are identified. This would help the reservoir managers in mitigating the severity during long stretched critical drought periods.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 12
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Water resources management 2 (1988), S. 21-34 
    ISSN: 1573-1650
    Keywords: Stochastic programming ; linear programming ; objective function ; synthetic streamflow ; reliability ; skewed ; random variable ; spill ; release ; storage ; free board
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Geography
    Notes: Abstract A generalized linear decision rule is presented which takes into account the aspect of spill in a multi-lag LDR model. The proposed rule incorporates past inflow experience to determine the optimum release rules based on a stochastic (linear) programming optimization model. It also prescribes a procedure of determining spill, should it occur, and the method of adjusting the release policy, accordingly, for the subsequent periods, which are directly affected by the spill of the current period. The use of the rule also makes it possible to produce a specification for a reservoir with a smaller capacity by taking liberal constraints on the reservoir freeboard during the monsoon months. The problem is solved, for the purpose of illustration, using the historical data of a river located in central India. Two synthetic streamflow series of a duration of 50 years each are generated under lognormal flow assumption. The prescribed release rules are applied to a hypothetical reservoir with the optimum capacity determined by the linear programming method, and the generated series as the inflow. The results and findings are quite satisfactory.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 13
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Water resources management 2 (1988), S. 87-102 
    ISSN: 1573-1650
    Keywords: Performance ; resilience ; reliability ; developing countries ; agricultural planning ; investment scheduling ; income redistribution ; trade-off
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Geography
    Notes: Abstract The conflict between performance measured in terms of economic and income redistribution objectives, resilience and reliability of irrigated agricultural expansions in developing countries is investigated via a planning framework consisting of three sequential optimization models. The first model determines the most economic planning alternatives. The second model examines, in terms of an income redistribution criterion, the social attractiveness of each plan. The third model determines resilience and operating rules of the various alternatives. The planning framework is appled for a hypothetical agricultural expansion on the order of 30 000 hectares based on data from the Nile Delta in Egypt. The trade-off between system performance, reliability and resilience is derived.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 14
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Water resources management 1 (1987), S. 241-254 
    ISSN: 1573-1650
    Keywords: Groundwater management ; optimization ; uncertainty analysis ; reliability ; multiple-objective analysis
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Geography
    Notes: Abstract Like any other resources planning and management, groundwater management is performed in a stochastic environment in which the system itself involves a number of random elements. Consequences as a result of decisions made based on analyses are not certain. This paper presents a management model using the chance-constrained framework which explicitly considers the random nature of aquifer properties. The model enables the derivation of an optimal groundwater management policy that would satisfy required operation performance reliability. Furthermore, the chance-constrained model is extended to the multi-objective optimization framework in which a tradeoff between total water supply pumpage and system performance reliability is explicitly considered. The models are applied to a hypothetical example of a steady, nonuniform, homogeneous confined aquifer.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 15
    Electronic Resource
    Electronic Resource
    Springer
    Water resources management 13 (1999), S. 383-407 
    ISSN: 1573-1650
    Keywords: critical period ; reliability ; resilience ; surface water reservoirs ; within-year and over-year behaviours
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Architecture, Civil Engineering, Surveying , Geography
    Notes: Abstract Surface water reservoirs can beclassified as either within-year or over-year based onthe duration of their critical period (CP). Ingeneral, within-year systems are those which willrefill and spill several times in a year, whereasover-year systems have much longer critical periods,usually of the order of years. If the duration of thecritical period, and hence the precise mode ofbehaviour, of a reservoir were to be known apriori, then advantage could be taken of this toselect the level of detail required for reservoiranalysis. For example, if the reservoir system ispurely over-year, i.e. the CP is much longer than 12months, then only annual streamflow data are requiredfor analysis. On the contrary, systems which exhibitdual within-year and over-year behaviours will requiretime series data of a finer resolution to capture boththe seasonal and annual discrepancies between thedemand and inflow. Such a consideration often resultsin a phenomenal increase in the analysis time overthat required for annual data. Finally, if the systemis purely within-year, then the analysis effort can besignificantly reduced by concentrating on the criticalor driest year of the record. In this paper, weexamine the properties of the test in current use fordistinguishing between within-year and over-yearbehaviours. In particular we investigate how theparameter of the test is related to the CP, and weargue that knowing the CP is a more complete test. Wethen develop predictive equations for the CP and weoffer suggestions for extending the study.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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