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  • Mexiko  (20)
  • Spanish  (20)
  • 1
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    Buenos Aires: Universidad del Centro de Estudios Macroeconómicos de Argentina (UCEMA)
    Publication Date: 2018-06-28
    Description: Pareciera que gestionar proyectos y liderar equipos a la distancia es lo que se avecina para los próximos tiempos, y tal vez podamos atribuir esta tendencia a las corporaciones o empresas, que instaladas en el territorio de la Argentina, utilizan recursos locales para implementar proyectos en otros países, donde el tipo de cambio (Dólar) es más que favorable para estos negocios, me refiero a Pagar salarios en Pesos Argentinos y Cobrar contratos en Dólares Americanos. Pero no hay que descuidar las tendencias en otros países, donde la situación cambiaria / financiera no es la misma que en Argentina. Es por ello, que también existen casos de empresas multinacionales que lideran proyectos regionales, y casos de empresas que por cuestiones de costos, hacen uso de las herramientas informáticas de avanzada (videoconferencias, chats, telefonía ip) para bajar los costos operativos, de logística y de recursos humanos. En la Argentina, en materia de Metodologías para la Administración de Proyectos, puede notarse que la organización con más presencia es sin duda el PMI –Project Management Institute. El PMI es una organización con alcance internacional y posee miles de personas “Certificadas” en Materia de Dirección de Proyectos o Project Management, e incluso posee distintos tipos de certificaciones, para diferenciar a personas especializadas en otras disciplinas como Program Management, Risk Management, entre otras. Si bien la metodología que establece el PMI no se encuentra focalizada únicamente para el ámbito de la Tecnología Informática, la misma puede aplicarse a otros ámbitos como por ejemplo la Construcción, la Ingeniería Espacial, la medicina, entre otros, pero existen otros organismos como PRINCE2 o CMMi que si se focalizan en una rama particular como la Ingeniería del Software. A lo largo de este trabajo se pretende focalizar en las metodologías del Project Management Institute (PMI), y en la metodología PRINCE2. Luego de analizar ambas metodologías en referencia a su modo tradicional de gestión, se analizará cómo aplica ambas metodologías el modelo de gestión de proyectos con equipos de trabajo distribuidos geográficamente en distintos países. Por último se propone un modelo adaptado de gestión a distancia, para minimizar los problemas detectados en la investigación que se ha realizado.
    Keywords: ddc:330 ; Virtuelles Team ; Projektmanagement ; Multinationales Unternehmen ; IKT-Sektor ; Erfrischungsgetränkeindustrie ; Argentinien ; Mexiko ; Bolivien ; Uruguay ; USA
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 2
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: In this paper we study the possible effect it may have concerning the use of financial derivatives in the evolution of the share price of Mexican non-financial corporations, whether such contracts are used for hedging financial risks or for trading. The first part is a review of the literature to analyze work they have done to date others, then studied at 25 non-financial companies listed on the Mexican Stock Exchange and are part of the Price Index and Quotes. Using a statistical model has been contrasted and tested the hypothesis, confirming that the use of financial derivatives has a significant positive influence on stock prices of companies.
    Keywords: G12 ; G13 ; G15 ; ddc:330 ; Finanzderivat ; Börsenkurs ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 3
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: This paper introduces an indicator of consumers' inflation expectations based on data from the National Consumer Confidence Survey of Mexico (ENCO, in Spanish), and tests its predictive power over CPI inflation and other measures of inflation that correspond to smaller baskets of consumer goods, for periods that range from 1 to 12 months. Our findings show that between January 2003 and September 2010, the predictive capability of the indicator over the different measures of inflation used was weak. Due to a modification in the survey questionnaire in October 2010, as of that date we observe a significant change in the responses and, thus, in the behavior of the indicator of consumers' inflation expectations. For this reason, from October 2010 on the main use of this indicator is to be a reference of consumers' confidence in price stability.
    Keywords: C14 ; E31 ; E58 ; ddc:330 ; CPI inflation ; consumers' inflation expectations ; household surveys ; consumer surveys ; consumer confidence surveys ; ENCO ; Verbraucherpreisindex ; Inflationserwartung ; Verbraucher ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 4
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    Ciudad de México: Banco de México
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: This paper presents an analysis of the expected inflation distribution based on the surveys made to economic analysts in the private sector, by Banco de México. Conceptually, the analysis can be divided into three aspects: level, dispersion, and skewness, of expected inflation. It is anticipated that the behavior of these aspects will be consistent with the process of inflation convergence to its target, in the sense that the expected inflation level and dispersion, and the probability of observing a sizable realization of inflation have been diminishing, as the cited process has taken place. Additionally, first, a model is presented in which agents face a cost when they update their in ation expectation. This model explains some of the facts seen in inflation expectation dispersion. In the model, the decrease in the dispersion is consistent with an increase in the frequency with which the agents update their inflation expectation, as observed in the data. Second, under an event-study framework the respond of upside risks of inflation expectations to the approval of the Income Law is analyzed. The results suggest that once the cited law is approved, on average there is a decrease in such risks.
    Keywords: E31 ; D84 ; ddc:330 ; Inflation ; Expectations ; Expected Inflation ; Inflationserwartung ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 5
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    Ciudad de México: Banco de México
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: This article presents three methods to estimate the logarithm of monthly real GDP in Mexico from the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE): (1) a deterministic approach using the IGAE growth rate; (2) an extension of Denton method; and, (3) the Kalman filter. In these methods the monthly GDP is regarded as an unobservable variable that is approximated using only the IGAE. Results suggest that the method based on the Kalman filter seems to fit better the observed data of quarterly GDP under several error measures. By analyzing different estimation periods it was found that the parameters corresponding to the filter remained relatively stable over the period of study. Therefore, this method was used to perform out-of-sample forecasts.
    Keywords: C22 ; D24 ; E23 ; E27 ; ddc:330 ; Gross Domestic Product ; Global Indicator of Economic Activity ; Kalman Filter ; Denton Method ; Forecasts ; Sozialprodukt ; Wirtschaftsindikator ; Zustandsraummodell ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: In this paper we analyze the synchronization between the business cycles of US and Mexican regions. Regional economic activity in Mexico is measured using regional coincident indexes recently developed at Banco de México, while US aggregate economic activity is measured with the national coincident index of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The framework for the empirical analysis is the structural linear times series model. We find a regional pattern in the covariance between cyclical disturbances in the US and in the Mexican regions: it is higher in the Northern than in the Central and Southern regions of the country. We also find that the elasticity of Mexican regional economic activity with respect to the US's aggregate economic activity exhibits a similar pattern. Moreover, while the variance of the business cycles in the Northern, North-Central, and Central regions is mostly associated with shocks to the US economy, in the Southern region it is mostly related to specific shocks to the Mexican economy.
    Keywords: E32 ; E37 ; R11 ; ddc:330 ; business cycles ; coincident indexes ; co-movement ; Mexico ; United States ; Konjunkturzusammenhang ; USA ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 7
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: This paper, first, reviews briefly the literature on the term structure of interest rates, citing some of the most important studies done on the topic for the Mexican case in the last years. In addition, the development of the government debt market is described. Second, evidence against the expectation hypothesis is shown and the deviations of the term structure from this hypothesis are examined. Third, it is documented that much of the variability of the term structure is due to changes in its level. Fourth, some of the statistics of the term structure are associated with macroeconomic variables, specifically the shortterm rate and the output gap as measured with the IGAE index. Regarding this last point, evidence is found that changes in the term structure of interest rates' slope are associated with the monetary policy stand along the business cycle. The nominal interest rates used in the analysis go from July 2002 to June 2011.
    Keywords: E43 ; G12 ; ddc:330 ; Term Structure of Interest Rates ; Expectation Hypothesis ; Principal Component Analysis ; Nominal Interest Rates ; Zinsstruktur ; Zins ; Erwartungstheorie ; Hauptkomponentenanalyse ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 8
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    Ciudad de México: Banco de México
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: This paper estimates private returns to education in Mexico by means of the Mincer model. The natural ability bias that the literature reports in this type of estimations is tried to be solved using the control function method. Through this method some variables relevant to wage determination are included in the model, such as natural ability index, mother's education, household infrastructure, height and health. Results suggest that the returns to education by year of schooling in Mexico are between 8.2% and 8.4 %. On the other hand, results by level of education suggest that more education is associated with higher returns. The highest return to education in both absolute and relative terms is provided by Postgraduate education followed by Graduate education. In general, results suggest that there is a convex relationship between education level and wage.
    Keywords: I21 ; J24 ; J31 ; ddc:330 ; private returns to education ; natural ability bias ; natural ability index ; mother's education ; Mexico ; Bildungsertrag ; Frauenbildung ; Mütter ; Bildungsverhalten ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 9
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    Ciudad de México: Banco de México
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: Following the Hotelling model of spatial competition used by Massoud and Bernhardt (2002) to analyze competition in ATM fees, in this paper we analyze the effects of banning fees on the usage of ATMs by account holders. We find that the prohibition also reduces the fees charged to non-account holders but increases fixed fees. This latter increase is on average smaller than the decrease of the former two, which leads total consumer welfare to increase. We also find that the prohibition decreases total surplus but that this decrease is absorbed by the banks' profits. The model does not consider the decision of banks to open or closedown ATMs, which we leave for future research.
    Keywords: G21 ; L51 ; D40 ; ddc:330 ; banking competition ; ATM fees ; bank regulation ; retail banking ; Electronic Banking ; Bankentgelt ; Bankenregulierung ; Privatkundengeschäft ; Räumlicher Wettbewerb ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: This paper shows that the evolution of the level of Mexico real and real per capita output between 1895 and 2008 can be adequately described through a trendstationary model, affected by 4 structural breaks, which occurred at dates that seem to coincide with domestic institutional arrangements, wars, and financial and economic crises. These changes are modeled through logistic smooth transition functions, in which transition periods are endogenously estimated. In terms of growth rates, our results indicate that for Mexico real and real per capita GDP, there are four stationary growth paths, separated by three transition periods. For instance, for real GDP we identify the following stationary growth paths: 1895-1924, 1935-1952, 1956-1978, and 1989-2008, separated by three transition periods: 1925-1934, 1953-1955, and 1979-1988.
    Keywords: C12 ; C13 ; C15 ; C22 ; O47 ; O54 ; ddc:330 ; gross domestic product ; economic growth ; stationarity ; unit root ; structural break ; logistic function ; smooth transition ; Wirtschaftswachstum ; Sozialprodukt ; Strukturbruch ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
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  • 11
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: This paper analyzes the pass-through of exchange rate to different price indexes in Mexico. The analysis is based on a vector autoregressive model (VAR) using monthly data from January 1997 to December 2010. The pass-through effects are calculated by means of accumulated impulse response functions to a recursively identified exchange rate shock. The results show that the exchange rate pass-through to import prices is complete, but it declines along the distribution chain in such a way that the impact on consumer prices is below 20 percent. Moreover, we find that the exchange rate pass-through seems to have decreased substantially from 2001 onwards, which coincides with the adoption of an inflation targeting regime by Banco de Mexico.
    Keywords: E31 ; F31 ; F41 ; ddc:330 ; exchange rate pass-through ; import price ; consumer price ; distribution chain ; inflation ; Exchange Rate Pass-Through ; Preisindex ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 12
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    Ciudad de México: Banco de México
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: Using various statistical measures we estimate the degree of comovement and cyclical synchronization of formal employment across Mexican states. As a measure of formal employment we use the number of workers with permanent contracts registered at the Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social in each state between July 1997 and April 2009. We find that Mexican states are highly heterogeneous with respect to the degree of employment comovement and the association between the state and national employment. Only in 11 of the 32 states we find that fluctuations in state employment are highly synchronized between them and with national employment. These states are located in the northern border with the United States, in the center west and in the center of the country. Additionally, we find evidence of employment comovement, albeit much weaker, in 4 states located in the vicinity of Mexico City. In the rest of the states, employment fluctuations are unrelated to national employment or other states' employment fluctuations.
    Keywords: E32 ; R11 ; R23 ; ddc:330 ; employment ; cycles ; comovement ; states ; regions ; Mexico ; Regionale Arbeitslosigkeit ; Teilstaat ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 13
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    Ciudad de México: Banco de México
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: We determine the extent of cyclical comovement in employment among the regions of Mexico by analyzing the covariance of the disturbances in regional cycles during the period July 1997 - October 2009. Employment refers to the number of workers with permanent contracts affiliated to the Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social. Trend and cycle decomposition and the variance-covariance matrix of the cycle's disturbances are obtained from the estimation - using state space methods - of a structural multivariate model of the employment time series. We find, for most regions, that employment comovement is high and that the variance of the regional cycles' disturbances is largely associated with the fluctuations in national employment. We do not find evidence, however, of a common underlying cycle, which means that employment comovement would arise from the geographical propagation of regional specific shocks.
    Keywords: E32 ; R11 ; R23 ; ddc:330 ; employment ; comovement ; regions ; Mexico ; Regionale Arbeitslosigkeit ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 14
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    Ciudad de México: Banco de México
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: This article applies fuzzy set theory to measure three dimensions of poverty in Mexico: monetary poverty, non-monetary poverty of private goods and non-monetary poverty of public goods. By using those three dimensions, it is possible to build a joint membership to classify poverty in manifest, latent and non-poverty, which are computed for the three types of official poverty used in Mexico, for urban and rural areas and for the total of households and individuals in Mexico from 1994 to 2006. Moreover, confidence intervals are calculated for each estimation, which are used to establish if there are statistically significant changes along time. Results show that, although poverty in Mexico has diminished between 1994 and 2006, its evolution has been different according to the area and the type of poverty analyzed.
    Keywords: I32 ; ddc:330 ; multidimensional fuzzy poverty ; monetary poverty ; non monetary poverty ; manifest poverty ; latent poverty ; Armut ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 15
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    Ciudad de México: Banco de México
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: This paper describes and tries to quantify the effects of some factors that have affected costs of state owned electric utilities in Mexico (energy losses, fuel and labor). It is noted that the impact of the increases in fuel prices on the electric utilities' total cost in the last years has been important. However, the over-cost associated to energy losses and labor is also significant and comparable to the impact of the increase in fuel prices. The structure of cross subsidies in the industry is also described, pointing out that it is complex and makes the performance evaluation of the state owned electric utilities difficult.
    Keywords: H54 ; Q48 ; ddc:330 ; electricity sector ; state-owned utility ; energy losses ; CFE ; LyFC ; Elektrizitätswirtschaft ; Öffentliches Unternehmen ; Produktionskosten ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 16
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    Ciudad de México: Banco de México
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: In this paper, we conducted a detailed statistical analysis of the behavior of the Mexican CPI price variations from May 2003 to August 2006. Different methodologies allowed identification of possible classification problems of the subindexes and inflationary pressures on specific items during the sample period. Regarding classification problems, education was included in non-core inflation during the sample period; however in our study, it showed similarities in distribution and moments to the subindexes of core inflation. Note that education was reclassified into core inflation from January 2008. Regarding inflationary pressures, the highest means and variances were seen in fruits and vegetables at the subindex level, and in products related to agriculture, processed food, energy, and metals at the item level. However further analysis of incidences showed that a considerable part of headline inflation during the studied period was explained by a few individual items.
    Keywords: C19 ; E31 ; ddc:330 ; Mexican CPI ; Sample distributions and descriptive measures ; Dendrograms ; Principal component analysis ; Verbraucherpreisindex ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 17
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: This document analyzes inflation, exchange rate, interest rate, and GDP growth forecasts from the monthly Survey of Specialists in Economics from the Private Sector, maintained by Banco de M'exico. The study concentrates on the mean across forecasters for the period from January 1995 to April 2008. The study evaluates the efficiency in the use of information and the relative performance using as benchmarks forecasts from time series models and from other macroeconomic variables. Inflation, interest rate, and GDP expectations seem to incorporate information in a relatively efficient manner. These forecasts appear to be better, in mean squared error terms, than the benchmark forecasts, except for the case of one-yearahead inflation. In addition, exchange rate forecasts do not seem to optimally incorporate available information and do not seem to improve upon forecasts obtained from a random walk model.
    Keywords: C22 ; C53 ; E17 ; E37 ; E47 ; F37 ; ddc:330 ; Predictive ability ; Rational expectations ; Rolling-forecasts ; Wirtschaftsprognose ; Inflation ; Zins ; Sozialprodukt ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 18
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: We estimate wage differentials across different sectors of the Mexican economy. The results suggest that the wage differential between the formal and informal sectors is significant and larger than the differential between industry and services. The findings suggest that significant differences in productivity levels between the formal and informal sectors could exist. This, in turn, might imply that the economy's aggregate productivity could be affected by the increase of the share of informal employment. The results also suggest that the main distortions in the Mexican labor market seem to be related more with labor regulations that affect the allocation of resources between formal and informal activities, than a result of intrinsic characteristics of the production processes in the industrial and service sectors.
    Keywords: J24 ; J31 ; O17 ; ddc:330 ; Informal Sector ; Productivity ; Labor Market Distortions ; Städtischer Arbeitsmarkt ; Lohnstruktur ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 19
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    Ciudad de México: Banco de México
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: During the last years, Mexico has registered relatively large output falls. The business cycle accounting method of Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan (2007) is applied to the two most recent recessions in Mexico (including the 'Tequila crisis') in order to understand what are the most important wedges driving output over the cycle and to evaluate to what extent such falls may be smoothed. First, it is found that efficiency and labor wedges may reasonably account for output fluctuations in each recession. Second, counterfactual exercises suggest that the elimination of distortions represented in terms of the efficiency wedge might result in output falls about one third of those observed in the data.
    Keywords: E32 ; O41 ; O54 ; ddc:330 ; Business cycle accounting ; Tequila crisis ; Total factor productivity ; Mexico ; Konjunktur ; Produktivität ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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  • 20
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    Ciudad de México: Banco de México
    Publication Date: 2018-07-03
    Description: This paper provides a description of some of the empirical regularities for the Mexican business cycle. The purpose is to have a benchmark for assessing dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models for the Mexican case. We follow the Kydland and Prescott methodology to describe the cyclical properties of the Mexican business cycle. We describe the volatility of several macroeconomic variables as well as their correlation with GDP. We use two filters to remove trends from the data: Hodrick-Prescott filter and Baxter-King filter. The idea is to check the robustness of the results. Qualitatively the findings are similar across both filtering methods. In order to analyze changes in the properties of the Mexican business cycle, the whole period of analysis is divided into two sub-periods, 1980-1995 and 1996-2006. The first sub-period is marked by high economic instability and the second and most recent sub-period is marked by a significant decrease in the volatility of all variables.
    Keywords: E30 ; ddc:330 ; Mexican Economy ; Business Cycles ; Konjunktur ; Mexiko
    Repository Name: EconStor: OA server of the German National Library of Economics - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
    Language: Spanish
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