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  • American Geophysical Union (AGU)
  • American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG)
  • 1
    Publication Date: 2024-02-27
    Description: Significant progress in permafrost carbon science made over the past decades include the identification of vast permafrost carbon stocks, the development of new pan‐Arctic permafrost maps, an increase in terrestrial measurement sites for CO〈jats:sub〉2〈/jats:sub〉 and methane fluxes, and important factors affecting carbon cycling, including vegetation changes, periods of soil freezing and thawing, wildfire, and other disturbance events. Process‐based modeling studies now include key elements of permafrost carbon cycling and advances in statistical modeling and inverse modeling enhance understanding of permafrost region C budgets. By combining existing data syntheses and model outputs, the permafrost region is likely a wetland methane source and small terrestrial ecosystem CO〈jats:sub〉2〈/jats:sub〉 sink with lower net CO〈jats:sub〉2〈/jats:sub〉 uptake toward higher latitudes, excluding wildfire emissions. For 2002–2014, the strongest CO〈jats:sub〉2〈/jats:sub〉 sink was located in western Canada (median: −52 g C m〈jats:sup〉−2〈/jats:sup〉 y〈jats:sup〉−1〈/jats:sup〉) and smallest sinks in Alaska, Canadian tundra, and Siberian tundra (medians: −5 to −9 g C m〈jats:sup〉−2〈/jats:sup〉 y〈jats:sup〉−1〈/jats:sup〉). Eurasian regions had the largest median wetland methane fluxes (16–18 g CH〈jats:sub〉4〈/jats:sub〉 m〈jats:sup〉−2〈/jats:sup〉 y〈jats:sup〉−1〈/jats:sup〉). Quantifying the regional scale carbon balance remains challenging because of high spatial and temporal variability and relatively low density of observations. More accurate permafrost region carbon fluxes require: (a) the development of better maps characterizing wetlands and dynamics of vegetation and disturbances, including abrupt permafrost thaw; (b) the establishment of new year‐round CO〈jats:sub〉2〈/jats:sub〉 and methane flux sites in underrepresented areas; and (c) improved models that better represent important permafrost carbon cycle dynamics, including non‐growing season emissions and disturbance effects.〈/jats:p〉
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 2
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 129(3), ISSN: 2169-9313
    Publication Date: 2024-03-04
    Description: 〈jats:title〉Abstract〈/jats:title〉〈jats:p〉Extensive investigation of continental rift systems has been fundamental for advancing the understanding of extensional tectonics and modes of formation of new ocean basins. However, current rift classification schemes do not account for conjugate end members formed by Large Igneous Province crust, referring to thick mafic crust, sometimes including continental fragments. Here, we investigate the rifting of William's Ridge (Kerguelen Plateau) and Broken Ridge, components of the Kerguelen Large Igneous Province now situated in the Southeast Indian Ocean, and incorporate these end members into the deformation migration concept for rifted margins. We use multichannel seismic reflection profiles and data from scientific drill cores acquired on both conjugate margins to propose, for the first time, a combined tectono‐stratigraphic framework. We interpret seismic patterns, tectonic features, and magnetic anomaly picks to determine an across‐strike structural domain classification. This interpretation considers the rift system overall to be “magma‐poor” despite being located proximal to the Kerguelen plume but suggests that syn‐rift interaction between the Kerguelen mantle plume and the lithospheric structure of William's Ridge and Broken Ridge has controlled the along‐strike segmentation of both conjugates. We integrate seismic reflection and bathymetric data to test the hypothesis of predominantly transform motion, between the Australian and Antarctic plates, in Late Cretaceous and Paleogene time.〈/jats:p〉
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 3
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 129(3), ISSN: 2169-9313
    Publication Date: 2024-03-04
    Description: 〈jats:title〉Abstract〈/jats:title〉〈jats:p〉Extensive investigation of continental rift systems has been fundamental for advancing the understanding of extensional tectonics and modes of formation of new ocean basins. However, current rift classification schemes do not account for conjugate end members formed by Large Igneous Province crust, referring to thick mafic crust, sometimes including continental fragments. Here, we investigate the rifting of William's Ridge (Kerguelen Plateau) and Broken Ridge, components of the Kerguelen Large Igneous Province now situated in the Southeast Indian Ocean, and incorporate these end members into the deformation migration concept for rifted margins. We use multichannel seismic reflection profiles and data from scientific drill cores acquired on both conjugate margins to propose, for the first time, a combined tectono‐stratigraphic framework. We interpret seismic patterns, tectonic features, and magnetic anomaly picks to determine an across‐strike structural domain classification. This interpretation considers the rift system overall to be “magma‐poor” despite being located proximal to the Kerguelen plume but suggests that syn‐rift interaction between the Kerguelen mantle plume and the lithospheric structure of William's Ridge and Broken Ridge has controlled the along‐strike segmentation of both conjugates. We integrate seismic reflection and bathymetric data to test the hypothesis of predominantly transform motion, between the Australian and Antarctic plates, in Late Cretaceous and Paleogene time.〈/jats:p〉
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 4
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geochemistry Geophysics Geosystems, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 25(1), ISSN: 1525-2027
    Publication Date: 2024-03-04
    Description: Mineral dust accumulated on the ocean floor is an important archive for reconstructing past atmospheric circulation changes and climatological conditions in the source areas. Dust emitted from Southern Hemisphere dust sources is widely deposited over the oceans. However, there are few records of dust deposition over the open ocean, and a large need for extended geographical coverage exists. We present a large data set (134 surface sediment samples) of Late Holocene dust deposition from seafloor surface sediments covering the entire South Atlantic Ocean. Polymodal grain-size distributions of the lithogenic fraction indicate that the sediments are composed of multiple sediment components. By using end-member modeling, we attempt to disentangle the dust signal from non-aeolian sediments. Combined with 230Th-normalized lithogenic fluxes, we quantified the specific deposition fluxes for mineral dust, crrent-sorted sediments and ice-rafted debris (IRD). Although the method could not completely separate the different components in every region, it shows that dust deposition off the most prominent dust source for the South Atlantic Ocean—southern South America—amounts up to approximately 0.7 g cm−2 Kyr−1 and decreases downwind. Bottom-current-sorted sediments and IRD are mostly concentrated around the continental margins. The ratio of the coarse to fine dust end members reveals input from north African dust sources to the South Atlantic. The majority of the observations are in good agreement with new model simulations. This extensive and relevant data set of dust grain size and deposition fluxes to the South Atlantic could be used to calibrate and validate further model simulations.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 5
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 129(3), ISSN: 2169-9313
    Publication Date: 2024-03-04
    Description: 〈jats:title〉Abstract〈/jats:title〉〈jats:p〉Extensive investigation of continental rift systems has been fundamental for advancing the understanding of extensional tectonics and modes of formation of new ocean basins. However, current rift classification schemes do not account for conjugate end members formed by Large Igneous Province crust, referring to thick mafic crust, sometimes including continental fragments. Here, we investigate the rifting of William's Ridge (Kerguelen Plateau) and Broken Ridge, components of the Kerguelen Large Igneous Province now situated in the Southeast Indian Ocean, and incorporate these end members into the deformation migration concept for rifted margins. We use multichannel seismic reflection profiles and data from scientific drill cores acquired on both conjugate margins to propose, for the first time, a combined tectono‐stratigraphic framework. We interpret seismic patterns, tectonic features, and magnetic anomaly picks to determine an across‐strike structural domain classification. This interpretation considers the rift system overall to be “magma‐poor” despite being located proximal to the Kerguelen plume but suggests that syn‐rift interaction between the Kerguelen mantle plume and the lithospheric structure of William's Ridge and Broken Ridge has controlled the along‐strike segmentation of both conjugates. We integrate seismic reflection and bathymetric data to test the hypothesis of predominantly transform motion, between the Australian and Antarctic plates, in Late Cretaceous and Paleogene time.〈/jats:p〉
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 6
    Publication Date: 2024-02-13
    Description: The availability of silicon (Si) in the ocean plays an important role in regulating biogeochemical and ecological processes. The Si budget of the Arctic Ocean appears balanced, with inputs equivalent to outputs, though it is unclear how a changing climate might aggravate this balance. In this study, we focus on Si cycling in Arctic coastal areas and continental shelf sediments to better constrain the Arctic Ocean Si budget. We provide the first estimate of amorphous Si (ASi) loading from erosion of coastal Yedoma deposits (30–90 Gmol yr−1), demonstrating comparable rates to particulate Si loading from rivers (10–90 Gmol yr−1). We found a positive relationship between surface sediment ASi and organic matter content on continental shelves. Combining these values with published Arctic shelf sediment properties and burial rates we estimate 70 Gmol Si yr−1 is buried on Arctic continental shelves, equivalent to 4.5% of all Si inputs to the Arctic Ocean. Sediment dissolved Si fluxes increased with distance from river mouths along cruise transects of shelf regions influenced by major rivers in the Laptev and East Siberian seas. On an annual basis, we estimate that Arctic shelf sediments recycle approximately up to twice as much DSi (680 Gmol Si) as is loaded from rivers (340–500 Gmol Si).
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 7
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Global Biogeochemical Cycles, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 38(1), ISSN: 0886-6236
    Publication Date: 2024-02-13
    Description: The coastal ocean contributes to regulating atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations by taking up carbon dioxide (CO2) and releasing nitrous oxide (N2O) and methane (CH4). In this second phase of the Regional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes (RECCAP2), we quantify global coastal ocean fluxes of CO2, N2O and CH4 using an ensemble of global gap-filled observation-based products and ocean biogeochemical models. The global coastal ocean is a net sink of CO2 in both observational products and models, but the magnitude of the median net global coastal uptake is ∼60% larger in models (−0.72 vs. −0.44 PgC year−1, 1998–2018, coastal ocean extending to 300 km offshore or 1,000 m isobath with area of 77 million km2). We attribute most of this model-product difference to the seasonality in sea surface CO2 partial pressure at mid- and high-latitudes, where models simulate stronger winter CO2 uptake. The coastal ocean CO2 sink has increased in the past decades but the available time-resolving observation-based products and models show large discrepancies in the magnitude of this increase. The global coastal ocean is a major source of N2O (+0.70 PgCO2-e year−1 in observational product and +0.54 PgCO2-e year−1 in model median) and CH4 (+0.21 PgCO2-e year−1 in observational product), which offsets a substantial proportion of the coastal CO2 uptake in the net radiative balance (30%–60% in CO2-equivalents), highlighting the importance of considering the three greenhouse gases when examining the influence of the coastal ocean on climate.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 8
    Publication Date: 2024-01-26
    Description: 〈jats:title〉Abstract〈/jats:title〉〈jats:p〉Erosion of permafrost coasts due to climate warming releases large quantities of organic carbon (OC) into the Arctic Ocean. While burial of permafrost OC in marine sediments potentially limits degradation, resuspension of sediments in the nearshore zone potentially enhances degradation and greenhouse gas production, adding to the “permafrost carbon feedback.” Recent studies, focusing on bulk sediments, suggest that permafrost OC derived from coastal erosion is predominantly deposited close to shore. However, bulk approaches disregard sorting processes in the coastal zone, which strongly influence the OC distribution and fate. We studied soils and sediments along a transect from the fast‐eroding shoreline of Herschel Island—〈jats:italic〉Qikiqtaruk〈/jats:italic〉 (Yukon, Canada) to a depositional basin offshore. Sample material was fractionated by density (1.8 g cm〈jats:sup〉−3〈/jats:sup〉) and size (63 μm), separating loose OC from mineral‐associated OC. Each fraction was analyzed for element content (TOC, TN), carbon isotopes (δ〈jats:sup〉13〈/jats:sup〉C, Δ〈jats:sup〉14〈/jats:sup〉C), molecular biomarkers (〈jats:italic〉n〈/jats:italic〉‐alkanes, 〈jats:italic〉n〈/jats:italic〉‐alkanoic acids, lignin phenols, cutin acids), and mineral surface area. The OC partitioning between fractions changes considerably along the transect, highlighting the importance of hydrodynamic sorting in the nearshore zone. Additionally, OC and biomarker loadings decrease along the land‐ocean transect, indicating significant loss of OC during transport. However, molecular proxies for degradation show contrasting trends, suggesting that OC losses are not always well reflected in its degradation state. This study, using fraction partitioning that crosses land‐ocean boundaries in a way not done before, aids to disentangle sorting processes from degradation patterns, and provides quantitative insight into losses of thawed and eroded permafrost OC.〈/jats:p〉
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 9
    Publication Date: 2024-03-13
    Description: Since the 1980s various international directives and frameworks have acknowledged the potential of risk communication to foster community empowerment. However, to achieve empowerment, communication has to be effective. When it comes to natural disasters, such as earthquakes, science communication requires the involvement of communities as a whole, promoting bottom-up strategies and proactive engagement. In this light, we conducted a scoping review of scientific publications on seismic risk communication in Europe published between 2000 and 2022. We focused on how seismic risk communication has changed in that time span, looking for targeted approaches, tools, recipients and channels. Here we provide an overview of the results obtained from the analysis of 109 selected publications, also highlighting the importance of scientific communication as a transnational problem, due to the mobility of modern society. Our study reveals that seismic risk communication in Europe is becoming increasingly proactive, focusing on a bottom-up strategy that relies on youth to build the resilience of future generations. The potential for the community empowerment has been primarily addressed with seismic risk communication during the pre-crisis phase of the disaster, when risk awareness can be effectively raised. Social media are increasingly used to provide timely and actionable information in times of crisis, to engage citizens within a two-way risk communication model, in the pre-crisis time, and to provide scientific data for post-disaster processing. The future agenda of seismic risk communication in Europe should focus on building trust with the public, moving towards a three-way model of seismic risk communication and, even more importantly, taking action to curb the spread of fake news and their negative impact on disaster management. Last but not least, more efforts should be made to link practice and theory and explicitly build seismic risk communication on theoretical models.
    Description: Published
    Description: San Francisco, California, USA
    Description: OS: Terza missione
    Keywords: Seismic risk ; communication ; Europe ; scoping review ; 04.06. Seismology ; 05.08. Risk ; 05.09
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Oral presentation
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  • 10
    Publication Date: 2024-03-13
    Description: In mid-September 2021 there was a rapid increase in geophysical and geochemical parameters on the island of Vulcano, Italy, reaching alarming values. This phase of unrest aroused serious concern among Civil Protection, local authorities and the scientific community due to the risk of phreatomagmatic activity, with potentially serious repercussions on the inhabitants of the island and on visiting tourists. The beginning of the unrest was marked by a high occurrence rate of local micro-seismicity related to fluid dynamics within the shallower hydrothermal system (mainly Long Period and Very Long Period events); Volcano-Tectonic (VT) earthquakes increased in late October after most of the monitored parameters reached their climax. Afterwards, major episodes of VT activity were also recorded from March to April and at the end of the year 2022, when an earthquake of ML 4.6 occurred on December 4, SW of the island of Vulcano. Here, we analyze the VT earthquakes from January 2020 to December 2022, in terms of space-time distribution, energy release and focal mechanisms in the framework of the regional geodynamic context and in the light of the main characteristics of the seismic activity recorded in the Vulcano area over the past 36 years.
    Description: Published
    Description: San Francisco, California, USA
    Description: OST3 Vicino alla faglia
    Keywords: earthquakes ; monitoring ; volcano unrest ; Vulcano ; 04.06. Seismology ; 04.07. Tectonophysics ; 04.08. Volcanology
    Repository Name: Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
    Type: Oral presentation
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  • 11
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 51(6), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2024-03-18
    Description: Understanding the material properties and physical conditions of basal ice is crucial for a comprehensive understanding of Antarctic ice‐sheet dynamics. Yet, direct data are sparse and difficult to acquire. Here, we employ ultra‐wideband radar to map high‐backscatter zones near the glacier bed within East Antarctica's Jutulstraumen drainage basin. Our backscatter analysis reveals that the basal ice in an area of ∼10,000 km² is composed of along‐flow oriented sediment‐laden basal ice units connected to the basal substrate, extending up to several hundred meters thick. Three‐dimensional thermomechanical modeling supports that these units form via basal freeze‐on of subglacial water that originated from further upstream. Our findings suggest that basal freeze‐on, and the entrainment and transport of subglacial material play a significant role in an accurate representation of material, physical, and rheological properties of the Antarctic ice sheet's basal ice, ultimately enhancing the accuracy and reliability of ice‐sheet modeling.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 12
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 51(6), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2024-03-18
    Description: Understanding the material properties and physical conditions of basal ice is crucial for a comprehensive understanding of Antarctic ice‐sheet dynamics. Yet, direct data are sparse and difficult to acquire. Here, we employ ultra‐wideband radar to map high‐backscatter zones near the glacier bed within East Antarctica's Jutulstraumen drainage basin. Our backscatter analysis reveals that the basal ice in an area of ∼10,000 km² is composed of along‐flow oriented sediment‐laden basal ice units connected to the basal substrate, extending up to several hundred meters thick. Three‐dimensional thermomechanical modeling supports that these units form via basal freeze‐on of subglacial water that originated from further upstream. Our findings suggest that basal freeze‐on, and the entrainment and transport of subglacial material play a significant role in an accurate representation of material, physical, and rheological properties of the Antarctic ice sheet's basal ice, ultimately enhancing the accuracy and reliability of ice‐sheet modeling.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 13
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 51(6), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2024-03-18
    Description: Understanding the material properties and physical conditions of basal ice is crucial for a comprehensive understanding of Antarctic ice‐sheet dynamics. Yet, direct data are sparse and difficult to acquire. Here, we employ ultra‐wideband radar to map high‐backscatter zones near the glacier bed within East Antarctica's Jutulstraumen drainage basin. Our backscatter analysis reveals that the basal ice in an area of ∼10,000 km² is composed of along‐flow oriented sediment‐laden basal ice units connected to the basal substrate, extending up to several hundred meters thick. Three‐dimensional thermomechanical modeling supports that these units form via basal freeze‐on of subglacial water that originated from further upstream. Our findings suggest that basal freeze‐on, and the entrainment and transport of subglacial material play a significant role in an accurate representation of material, physical, and rheological properties of the Antarctic ice sheet's basal ice, ultimately enhancing the accuracy and reliability of ice‐sheet modeling.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 14
    Publication Date: 2024-03-21
    Description: Tropospheric reactive bromine (Bry) influences the oxidation capacity of the atmosphere by acting as a sink for ozone and nitrogen oxides. Aerosol acidity plays a crucial role in Bry abundances through acid-catalyzed debromination from sea-salt-aerosol, the largest global source. Bromine concentrations in a Russian Arctic ice-core, Akademii Nauk, show a 3.5-fold increase from pre-industrial (PI) to the 1970s (peak acidity, PA), and decreased by half to 1999 (present day, PD). Ice-core acidity mirrors this trend, showing robust correlation with bromine, especially after 1940 (r = 0.9). Model simulations considering anthropogenic emission changes alone show that atmospheric acidity is the main driver of Bry changes, consistent with the observed relationship between acidity and bromine. The influence of atmospheric acidity on Bry should be considered in interpretation of ice-core bromine trends.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 15
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 51(4), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2024-03-27
    Description: The eruption of the Hunga Tonga‐Hunga Ha'apai volcano on 15 January 2022 was one of the most explosive eruptions of the last decades. The amount of water vapor injected into the stratosphere was unprecedented in the observational record, increasing the stratospheric water vapor burden by about 10%. Using model runs from the ATLAS chemistry and transport model and Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) satellite observations, we show that while 20%–40% more water vapor than usual was entrained into the Antarctic polar vortex in 2023 as it formed, the direct chemical effect of the increased water vapor on Antarctic ozone depletion in June through October was minor (less than 4 DU). This is because low temperatures in the vortex, as occur every year in the Antarctic, limit water vapor to the saturation pressure and thus reset any anomalies through the process of dehydration before they can affect ozone loss.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 16
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 129(3), ISSN: 2169-9313
    Publication Date: 2024-04-05
    Description: 〈jats:title〉Abstract〈/jats:title〉〈jats:p〉Extensive investigation of continental rift systems has been fundamental for advancing the understanding of extensional tectonics and modes of formation of new ocean basins. However, current rift classification schemes do not account for conjugate end members formed by Large Igneous Province crust, referring to thick mafic crust, sometimes including continental fragments. Here, we investigate the rifting of William's Ridge (Kerguelen Plateau) and Broken Ridge, components of the Kerguelen Large Igneous Province now situated in the Southeast Indian Ocean, and incorporate these end members into the deformation migration concept for rifted margins. We use multichannel seismic reflection profiles and data from scientific drill cores acquired on both conjugate margins to propose, for the first time, a combined tectono‐stratigraphic framework. We interpret seismic patterns, tectonic features, and magnetic anomaly picks to determine an across‐strike structural domain classification. This interpretation considers the rift system overall to be “magma‐poor” despite being located proximal to the Kerguelen plume but suggests that syn‐rift interaction between the Kerguelen mantle plume and the lithospheric structure of William's Ridge and Broken Ridge has controlled the along‐strike segmentation of both conjugates. We integrate seismic reflection and bathymetric data to test the hypothesis of predominantly transform motion, between the Australian and Antarctic plates, in Late Cretaceous and Paleogene time.〈/jats:p〉
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 17
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 50(4), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2023-06-23
    Description: Climate change in the Arctic has substantial impacts on human life and ecosystems both within and beyond the Arctic. Our analysis of CMIP6 simulations shows that some climate models project much larger Arctic climate change than other models, including changes in sea ice, ocean mixed layer, air-sea heat flux, and surface air temperature in wintertime. In particular, dramatic enhancement of Arctic Ocean convection down to a few hundred meters is projected in these models but not in others. Interestingly, these models employ the same ocean model family (NEMO) while the choice of models for the atmosphere and sea ice varies. The magnitude of Arctic climate change is proportional to the strength of the increase in poleward ocean heat transport, which is considerably higher in this group of models. Establishing the plausibility of this group of models with high Arctic climate sensitivity to anthropogenic forcing is imperative given the implied ramifications.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 18
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, American Geophysical Union (AGU), ISSN: 2169-897X
    Publication Date: 2023-06-23
    Description: Sea ice leads play an important role in energy exchange between the ocean and atmosphere in polar regions, and therefore must be considered in weather and climate models. As sea ice leads are not explicitly resolved in such models, lead-averaged surface heat flux is of considerable interest for the parameterization of energy exchange. Measurements and numerical studies have established that the lead-averaged surface heat flux depends not only on meteorological parameters, but also on lead width. Nonetheless, few studies to date have investigated the dependency of surface heat flux on lead width. Most findings on that dependency are based on observations with lead widths smaller than a few hundred meters, but leads can have widths from a few meters to several kilometers. In this parameter study, we present the results of three series of large-eddy simulations of turbulent exchange processes above leads. We varied the lead width and air temperature, as well as the roughness length. As this study focused on conditions without background wind, ice-breeze circulation occurred, and was the main driver of the adjustment of surface heat flux. A previous large-eddy simulation study with uncommonly large roughness length found that lead-averaged surface heat flux exhibited a distinct maximum at lead widths of about 3 km, while our results show the largest heat fluxes for the smallest leads simulated (lead width of 50 m). At more realistic roughness lengths, we observed monotonously increasing heat fluxes with increasing lead width. Further, new scaling laws for the ice-breeze circulation are proposed.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 19
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 128(3), ISSN: 2169-9275
    Publication Date: 2023-06-23
    Description: The Arctic is warming much faster than the global average. This is known as Arctic Amplification and is caused by feedbacks in the local climate system. In this study, we explore a previously proposed hypothesis that an associated wind feedback in the Barents Sea could play an important role by increasing the warm water inflow into the Barents Sea. We find that the strong recent decrease in Barents Sea winter sea ice cover causes enhanced ocean-atmosphere heat flux and a local air temperature increase, thus a reduction in sea level pressure and a local cyclonic wind anomaly with eastward winds in the Barents Sea Opening. By investigating various reanalysis products and performing high-resolution perturbation experiments with the ocean and sea ice model FESOM2.1, we studied the impact of cyclonic atmospheric circulation changes on the warm Atlantic Water import into the Arctic via the Barents Sea and Fram Strait. We found that the observed wind changes do not significantly affect the warm water transport into the Barents Sea, which rejects the wind-feedback hypothesis. At the same time, the cyclonic wind anomalies in the Barents Sea increase the amount of Atlantic Water recirculating westwards in Fram Strait by a downslope shift of the West Spitsbergen Current, and thus reduce Atlantic Water reaching the Arctic basin via Fram Strait. The resulting warm-water anomaly in the Greenland Sea Gyre drives a local anticyclonic circulation anomaly.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 20
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 50(22), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2023-11-25
    Description: Given the role played by the historical and extensive coverage of sea ice concentration (SIC) observations in reconstructing the long‐term variability of Antarctic sea ice, and the limited attention given to model‐dependent parameters in current sea ice data assimilation studies, this study focuses on enhancing the performance of the Data Assimilation System for the Southern Ocean in assimilating SIC through optimizing the localization and observation error estimate, and two assimilation experiments were conducted from 1979 to 2018. By comparing the results with the sea ice extent of the Southern Ocean and the sea ice thickness in the Weddell Sea, it becomes evident that the experiment with optimizations outperforms that without optimizations due to achieving more reasonable error estimates. Investigating uncertainties of the sea ice volume anomaly modeling reveals the importance of the sea ice‐ocean interaction in the SIC assimilation, implying the necessity of assimilating more oceanic and sea‐ice observations.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 21
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 50(20), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2023-11-20
    Description: Surface processes alter the water stable isotope signal of the surface snow after deposition. However, it remains an open question to which extent surface post-depositional processes should be considered when inferring past climate information from ice core records. Here, we present simulations for the Greenland Ice Sheet, combining outputs from two climate models with an isotope-enabled snowpack model. We show that surface vapor exchange and associated fractionation imprint a climate signal into the firn, resulting in an increase in the annual mean value of δ18O by +2.3‰ and a reduction in d-excess by −6.3‰. Further, implementing isotopic fractionation during surface vapor exchange improves the representation of the observed seasonal amplitude in δ18O from 65.0% to 100.2%. Our results stress that surface vapor exchange is important in the climate proxy signal formation and needs consideration when interpreting ice core climate records.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 22
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 50(4), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2023-02-23
    Description: Comparing helicopter-borne surface temperature maps in winter and optical orthomosaics in summer from the year-long Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate expedition, we find a strong geometric correlation between warm anomalies in winter and melt pond location the following summer. Warm anomalies are associated with thinner snow and ice, that is, surface depression and refrozen leads, that allow for water accumulation during melt. Warm surface temperature anomalies in January were 0.3–2.5 K warmer on sea ice that later formed melt ponds. A one-dimensional steady-state thermodynamic model shows that the observed surface temperature differences are in line with the observed ice thickness and snow depth. We demonstrate the potential of seasonal prediction of summer melt pond location and coverage from winter surface temperature observations. A threshold-based classification achieves a correct classification for 41% of the melt ponds.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 23
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 38, 22 p., pp. e2022PA004439-e2022PA004439, ISSN: 2572-4517
    Publication Date: 2023-08-30
    Description: Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations (pCO2) beyond ice core records have been reconstructed from δ11B derived from planktic foraminifera found in equatorial sediment cores. Here, I applied a carbon cycle model over the Plio-Pleistocene to evaluate the assumptions leading to these numbers. During glacials times, simulated atmospheric pCO2 was unequilibrated with pCO2 in the equatorial surface ocean by up to 35 ppm while the δ11B-based approaches assume unchanged (quasi)equilibrium between both. In the Pliocene, δ11B-based estimates of surface ocean pH are lower in the Pacific than in the Atlantic resulting in higher calculated pCO2. This offset in pH between ocean basins is not supported by models. To calculate pCO2 in surface waters out of the δ11B-based pH some assumptions on either total alkalinity or dissolved inorganic carbon are necessary. However, the assumed values of these under-constrained variables were according to my results partly inconsistent with chemically possible combinations within the marine carbonate system. The model results show glacial/interglacial variability in total alkalinity of the order of 100 μmol/kg, which is rarely applied to proxy reconstructions. Simulated atmospheric pCO2 is tightly (r2 〉 0.9) related to equatorial surface-ocean pH, which can be used for consistency checks. Long-term trends in volcanic CO2 outgassing and the strength of the continental weathering fluxes are still unconstrained, allowing for a wide range of possible atmospheric pCO2 across the Plio-Pleistocene. Nevertheless, this carbon cycle analysis suggests that reported atmospheric pCO2 above 500 ppm in the Pliocene might, for various reasons, need to be revised to smaller numbers.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 24
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 50(12), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2023-09-01
    Description: Aquatic ecosystems play an important role in global methane cycling and many field studies have reported methane supersaturation in the oxic surface mixed layer (SML) of the ocean and in the epilimnion of lakes. The origin of methane formed under oxic condition is hotly debated and several pathways have recently been offered to explain the “methane paradox.” In this context, stable isotope measurements have been applied to constrain methane sources in supersaturated oxygenated waters. Here we present stable carbon isotope signatures for six widespread marine phytoplankton species, three haptophyte algae and three cyanobacteria, incubated under laboratory conditions. The observed isotopic patterns implicate that methane formed by phytoplankton might be clearly distinguished from methane produced by methanogenic archaea. Comparing results from phytoplankton experiments with isotopic data from field measurements, suggests that algal and cyanobacterial populations may contribute substantially to methane formation observed in the SML of oceans and lakes.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 25
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 15(9), ISSN: 1942-2466
    Publication Date: 2023-09-04
    Description: 〈jats:title〉Abstract〈/jats:title〉〈jats:p〉Most viscous‐plastic sea ice models use the elliptical yield curve. This yield curve has a fundamental flaw: it excludes acute angles between deformation features at high resolution. Conceptually, the teardrop (TD) and parabolic lens (PL) yield curves offer an attractive alternative. These yield curves feature a non‐symmetrical shape, a Coulombic behavior for the low‐medium compressive stress, and a continuous transition to the ridging‐dominant mode, but their published formulation leads to negative or zero bulk and shear viscosities and, consequently, poor numerical convergence with stress states at times outside the yield curve. These issues are a consequence of the original assumption that the constitutive equations of the commonly used elliptical yield curve are also applicable to non‐symmetrical yield curves and yield curves with tensile strength. We derive a corrected formulation for the constitutive relations of the TD and PL yield curves. Results from simple uni‐axial loading experiments show that with the new formulation the numerical convergence of the solver improves and much smaller nonlinear residuals after a smaller number of total solver iterations can be reached, resulting in significant improvements in numerical efficiency and representation of the stress and deformation fields. The TD and PL yield curves lead to smaller angles of failure that better agree with observations. They are promising candidates to replace the elliptical yield curve in high‐resolution pan‐Arctic sea ice simulations.〈/jats:p〉
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 26
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Reviews of Geophysics, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 61(3), ISSN: 8755-1209
    Publication Date: 2023-10-09
    Description: Knowledge of Antarctica's sedimentary basins builds our understanding of the coupled evolution of tectonics, ice, ocean, and climate. Sedimentary basins have properties distinct from basement-dominated regions that impact ice-sheet dynamics, potentially influencing future ice-sheet change. Despite their importance, our knowledge of Antarctic sedimentary basins is restricted. Remoteness, the harsh environment, the overlying ice sheet, ice shelves, and sea ice all make fieldwork challenging. Nonetheless, in the past decade the geophysics community has made great progress in internationally coordinated data collection and compilation with parallel advances in data processing and analysis supporting a new insight into Antarctica's subglacial environment. Here, we summarize recent progress in understanding Antarctica's sedimentary basins. We review advances in the technical capability of radar, potential fields, seismic, and electromagnetic techniques to detect and characterize basins beneath ice and advances in integrated multi-data interpretation including machine-learning approaches. These new capabilities permit a continent-wide mapping of Antarctica's sedimentary basins and their characteristics, aiding definition of the tectonic development of the continent. Crucially, Antarctica's sedimentary basins interact with the overlying ice sheet through dynamic feedbacks that have the potential to contribute to rapid ice-sheet change. Looking ahead, future research directions include techniques to increase data coverage within logistical constraints, and resolving major knowledge gaps, including insufficient sampling of the ice-sheet bed and poor definition of subglacial basin structure and stratigraphy. Translating the knowledge of sedimentary basin processes into ice-sheet modeling studies is critical to underpin better capacity to predict future change.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 27
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 128(1), ISSN: 2169-9275
    Publication Date: 2023-05-10
    Description: We assessed the spatial and temporal variability of the Arctic Boundary Current (ABC) using seven oceanographic moorings, deployed across the continental slope north of Severnaya Zemlya in 2015–2018. Transports and individual water masses were quantified based on temperature and salinity recorders and current profilers. Our results were compared with observations from the northeast Svalbard and the central Laptev Sea continental slopes to evaluate the hydrographic transformation along the ABC pathway. The highest velocities (〉0.30 m s−1) of the ABC occurred at the upper continental slope and decreased offshore to below 0.03 m s−1 in the deep basin. The ABC showed seasonal variability with velocities two times higher in winter than in summer. Compared to upstream conditions in Svalbard, water mass distribution changed significantly within 20 km of the shelf edge due to mixing with- and intrusion of shelf waters. The ABC transported 4.15 ± 0.3 Sv in the depth range 50–1,000 m, where 0.88 ± 0.1, 1.5 ± 0.2, 0.61 ± 0.1 and 1.0 ± 0.15 Sv corresponded to Atlantic Water (AW), Dense Atlantic Water (DAW), Barents Sea Branch Water (BSBW) and Transformed Atlantic Water (TAW). 62–70% of transport was constrained to within 30–40 km of the shelf edge, and beyond 84 km, transport increases were estimated to be 0.54 Sv. Seasonality of TAW derived from local shelf-processes and advection of seasonal-variable Fram Strait waters, while BSBW transport variability was dominated by temperature changes with maximum transport coinciding with minimum temperatures. Further Barents Sea warming will likely reduce TAW and BSBW transport leading to warmer conditions along the ABC pathway.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 28
    Publication Date: 2023-06-01
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 29
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, American Geophysical Union (AGU), ISSN: 2572-4517
    Publication Date: 2023-02-03
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 30
    Publication Date: 2024-03-01
    Description: The Himalayan mountain range produces one of the steepest and largest rainfall gradients on Earth, with 〉3 m/yr rainfall difference over a ∼100 km distance. The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) contributes more than 80% to the annual precipitation budget of the central Himalayas. The remaining 20% falls mainly during pre-ISM season. Understanding the seasonal cycle and the transfer pathways of moisture from precipitation to the rivers is crucial for constraining water availability in a warming climate. However, the partitioning of moisture into the different storage systems such as snow, glacier, and groundwater and their relative contribution to river discharge throughout the year remains under-constrained. Here, we present novel field data from the Kali Gandaki, a trans-Himalayan river, and use 4-year time series of river and rain water stable isotope composition (δ18O and δ2H values) as well as river discharge, satellite Global Precipitation Measurement amounts, and moisture source trajectories to constrain hydrological variability. We find that rainfall before the onset of the ISM is isotopically distinct and that ISM rain and groundwater have similar isotopic values. Our study lays the groundwork for using isotopic measurements to track changes in precipitation sources during the pre-ISM to ISM transition in this key region of orographic precipitation. Specifically, we highlight the role of pre-ISM precipitation, derived from the Gangetic plain, to define the seasonal river isotopic variability across the central Himalayas. Lastly, isotopic values across the catchment document the importance of a large well-mixed groundwater reservoir supplying river discharge, especially during the non-ISM season.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 31
    Publication Date: 2024-03-01
    Description: The Himalayan mountain range produces one of the steepest and largest rainfall gradients on Earth, with 〉3 m/yr rainfall difference over a ∼100 km distance. The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) contributes more than 80% to the annual precipitation budget of the central Himalayas. The remaining 20% falls mainly during pre-ISM season. Understanding the seasonal cycle and the transfer pathways of moisture from precipitation to the rivers is crucial for constraining water availability in a warming climate. However, the partitioning of moisture into the different storage systems such as snow, glacier, and groundwater and their relative contribution to river discharge throughout the year remains under-constrained. Here, we present novel field data from the Kali Gandaki, a trans-Himalayan river, and use 4-year time series of river and rain water stable isotope composition (δ18O and δ2H values) as well as river discharge, satellite Global Precipitation Measurement amounts, and moisture source trajectories to constrain hydrological variability. We find that rainfall before the onset of the ISM is isotopically distinct and that ISM rain and groundwater have similar isotopic values. Our study lays the groundwork for using isotopic measurements to track changes in precipitation sources during the pre-ISM to ISM transition in this key region of orographic precipitation. Specifically, we highlight the role of pre-ISM precipitation, derived from the Gangetic plain, to define the seasonal river isotopic variability across the central Himalayas. Lastly, isotopic values across the catchment document the importance of a large well-mixed groundwater reservoir supplying river discharge, especially during the non-ISM season.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 32
    Publication Date: 2024-02-08
    Description: Shells of the giant clam Tridacna can provide decade-long records of past environmental conditions via their geochemical composition and structurally through growth banding. Counting the daily bands can give an accurate internal age model with high temporal resolution, but daily banding is not always visually retrievable, especially in fossil specimens. We show that daily geochemical cycles (e.g., Mg/Ca) are resolvable via highly spatially resolved laser-ablation inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (LA-ICPMS; 3 \xc3\x97 33 \xce\xbcm laser slit) in our Miocene (\xe2\x88\xbc10 Ma) specimen, even in areas where daily banding is not visually discernible. By applying wavelet transformation on the measured daily geochemical cycles, we quantify varying daily growth rates throughout the shell. These growth rates are thus used to build an internal age model independent of optical daily band countability. Such an age model can be used to convert the measured elemental ratios from a function of distance to a function of time, which helps evaluate paleoenvironmental proxy data, for example, regarding the timing of sub-seasonal events. Furthermore, the quantification of daily growth rates across the shell facilitates the evaluation of (co)dependencies between growth rates and corresponding elemental compositions.
    Keywords: Tridacna
    Repository Name: National Museum of Natural History, Netherlands
    Type: info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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  • 33
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 50(21), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2023-11-01
    Description: Molybdenum (Mo) is a trace element sensitive to oceanic redox conditions. The fidelity of sedimentary Mo as a paleoredox proxy of coeval seawater depends on the extent of Mo remobilization during postdepositional processes. Here we present the Mo content and isotope profiles for deep sediments from the Nankai Trough, Japan. The Mo signature suggests that these sediments have experienced extensive early diagenesis and hydrothermal alteration at depth. Iron (Fe)‐manganese (Mn) (oxyhydr)oxide alteration combined with Mo thiolation leads to a more than twenty‐fold enrichment of Mo within the sulfate reduction zone. Hydrothermal fluids and Mo adsorption onto Fe‐Mn (oxyhydr)oxides cause extremely negative Mo‐isotope values at the underthrust zone. These postdepositional Mo signals might be misinterpreted as expanded anoxia in the water column. Our findings highlight the importance of constraining postdepositional effects on Mo‐based proxies during paleoredox reconstruction.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 34
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 50(17), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2023-09-08
    Description: We quantify sea ice concentration (SIC) changes related to synoptic cyclones separately for each month of the year in the Greenland, Barents and Kara Seas for 1979–2018. We find that these SIC changes can be statistically significant throughout the year. However, their strength varies from region to region and month to month, and their sign strongly depends on the considered time scale (before/during vs. after cyclone passages). Our results show that the annual cycle of cyclone impacts on SIC is related to varying cyclone intensity and traversed sea ice conditions. We further show that significant changes in these cyclone impacts have manifested in the last 40 years, with the strongest changes occurring in October and November. For these months, SIC decreases before/during cyclones have more than doubled in magnitude in the Barents and Kara Seas, while SIC increases following cyclones have weakened (intensified) in the Barents Sea (Kara Sea).
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 35
    Publication Date: 2023-12-19
    Description: As a contribution to the Regional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes phase 2 (RECCAP2) project, we present synthesized estimates of Arctic Ocean sea-air CO2 fluxes and their uncertainties from surface ocean pCO2-observation products, ocean biogeochemical hindcast and data assimilation models, and atmospheric inversions. For the period of 1985–2018, the Arctic Ocean was a net sink of CO2 of 116 ± 4 TgC yr−1 in the pCO2 products, 92 ± 30 TgC yr−1 in the models, and 91 ± 21 TgC yr−1 in the atmospheric inversions. The CO2 uptake peaks in late summer and early autumn, and is low in winter when sea ice inhibits sea-air fluxes. The long-term mean CO2 uptake in the Arctic Ocean is primarily caused by steady-state fluxes of natural carbon (70% ± 15%), and enhanced by the atmospheric CO2 increase (19% ± 5%) and climate change (11% ± 18%). The annual mean CO2 uptake increased from 1985 to 2018 at a rate of 31 ± 13 TgC yr−1 dec−1 in the pCO2 products, 10 ± 4 TgC yr−1 dec−1 in the models, and 32 ± 16 TgC yr−1 dec−1 in the atmospheric inversions. Moreover, 77% ± 38% of the trend in the net CO2 uptake over time is caused by climate change, primarily due to rapid sea ice loss in recent years. Furthermore, true uncertainties may be larger than the given ensemble standard deviations due to common structural biases across all individual estimates.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 36
    Publication Date: 2024-01-06
    Description: The seasonal cycle is the dominant mode of variability in the air-sea CO2 flux in most regions of the global ocean, yet discrepancies between different seasonality estimates are rather large. As part of the Regional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes Phase 2 project (RECCAP2), we synthesize surface ocean pCO2 and air-sea CO2 flux seasonality from models and observation-based estimates, focusing on both a present-day climatology and decadal changes between the 1980s and 2010s. Four main findings emerge: First, global ocean biogeochemistry models (GOBMs) and observation-based estimates (pCO2 products) of surface pCO2 seasonality disagree in amplitude and phase, primarily due to discrepancies in the seasonal variability in surface DIC. Second, the seasonal cycle in pCO2 has increased in amplitude over the last three decades in both pCO2 products and GOBMs. Third, decadal increases in pCO2 seasonal cycle amplitudes in subtropical biomes for both pCO2 products and GOBMs are driven by increasing DIC concentrations stemming from the uptake of anthropogenic CO2 (Cant). In subpolar and Southern Ocean biomes, however, the seasonality change for GOBMs is dominated by Cant invasion, whereas for pCO2 products an indeterminate combination of Cant invasion and climate change modulates the changes. Fourth, biome-aggregated decadal changes in the amplitude of pCO2 seasonal variability are largely detectable against both mapping uncertainty (reducible) and natural variability uncertainty (irreducible), but not at the gridpoint scale over much of the northern subpolar oceans and over the Southern Ocean, underscoring the importance of sustained high-quality seasonally resolved measurements over these regions.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 37
    Publication Date: 2024-01-06
    Description: This contribution to the RECCAP2 (REgional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes) assessment analyzes the processes that determine the global ocean carbon sink, and its trends and variability over the period 1985–2018, using a combination of models and observation-based products. The mean sea-air CO2 flux from 1985 to 2018 is −1.6 ± 0.2 PgC yr−1 based on an ensemble of reconstructions of the history of sea surface pCO2 (pCO2 products). Models indicate that the dominant component of this flux is the net oceanic uptake of anthropogenic CO2, which is estimated at −2.1 ± 0.3 PgC yr−1 by an ensemble of ocean biogeochemical models, and −2.4 ± 0.1 PgC yr−1 by two ocean circulation inverse models. The ocean also degasses about 0.65 ± 0.3 PgC yr−1 of terrestrially derived CO2, but this process is not fully resolved by any of the models used here. From 2001 to 2018, the pCO2 products reconstruct a trend in the ocean carbon sink of −0.61 ± 0.12 PgC yr−1 decade−1, while biogeochemical models and inverse models diagnose an anthropogenic CO2-driven trend of −0.34 ± 0.06 and −0.41 ± 0.03 PgC yr−1 decade−1, respectively. This implies a climate-forced acceleration of the ocean carbon sink in recent decades, but there are still large uncertainties on the magnitude and cause of this trend. The interannual to decadal variability of the global carbon sink is mainly driven by climate variability, with the climate-driven variability exceeding the CO2-forced variability by 2–3 times. These results suggest that anthropogenic CO2 dominates the ocean CO2 sink, while climate-driven variability is potentially large but highly uncertain and not consistently captured across different methods.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 38
    Publication Date: 2023-12-20
    Description: We assess the Southern Ocean CO2 uptake (1985–2018) using data sets gathered in the REgional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes Project Phase 2. The Southern Ocean acted as a sink for CO2 with close agreement between simulation results from global ocean biogeochemistry models (GOBMs, 0.75 ± 0.28 PgC yr−1) and pCO2-observation-based products (0.73 ± 0.07 PgC yr−1). This sink is only half that reported by RECCAP1 for the same region and timeframe. The present-day net uptake is to first order a response to rising atmospheric CO2, driving large amounts of anthropogenic CO2 (Cant) into the ocean, thereby overcompensating the loss of natural CO2 to the atmosphere. An apparent knowledge gap is the increase of the sink since 2000, with pCO2-products suggesting a growth that is more than twice as strong and uncertain as that of GOBMs (0.26 ± 0.06 and 0.11 ± 0.03 Pg C yr−1 decade−1, respectively). This is despite nearly identical pCO2 trends in GOBMs and pCO2-products when both products are compared only at the locations where pCO2 was measured. Seasonal analyses revealed agreement in driving processes in winter with uncertainty in the magnitude of outgassing, whereas discrepancies are more fundamental in summer, when GOBMs exhibit difficulties in simulating the effects of the non-thermal processes of biology and mixing/circulation. Ocean interior accumulation of Cant points to an underestimate of Cant uptake and storage in GOBMs. Future work needs to link surface fluxes and interior ocean transport, build long overdue systematic observation networks and push toward better process understanding of drivers of the carbon cycle.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 39
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 128(1), ISSN: 2169-9275
    Publication Date: 2024-01-31
    Description: We assessed the spatial and temporal variability of the Arctic Boundary Current (ABC) using seven oceanographic moorings, deployed across the continental slope north of Severnaya Zemlya in 2015–2018. Transports and individual water masses were quantified based on temperature and salinity recorders and current profilers. Our results were compared with observations from the northeast Svalbard and the central Laptev Sea continental slopes to evaluate the hydrographic transformation along the ABC pathway. The highest velocities (〉0.30 m s−1) of the ABC occurred at the upper continental slope and decreased offshore to below 0.03 m s−1 in the deep basin. The ABC showed seasonal variability with velocities two times higher in winter than in summer. Compared to upstream conditions in Svalbard, water mass distribution changed significantly within 20 km of the shelf edge due to mixing with- and intrusion of shelf waters. The ABC transported 4.15 ± 0.3 Sv in the depth range 50–1,000 m, where 0.88 ± 0.1, 1.5 ± 0.2, 0.61 ± 0.1 and 1.0 ± 0.15 Sv corresponded to Atlantic Water (AW), Dense Atlantic Water (DAW), Barents Sea Branch Water (BSBW) and Transformed Atlantic Water (TAW). 62–70% of transport was constrained to within 30–40 km of the shelf edge, and beyond 84 km, transport increases were estimated to be 0.54 Sv. Seasonality of TAW derived from local shelf-processes and advection of seasonal-variable Fram Strait waters, while BSBW transport variability was dominated by temperature changes with maximum transport coinciding with minimum temperatures. Further Barents Sea warming will likely reduce TAW and BSBW transport leading to warmer conditions along the ABC pathway.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 40
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, American Geophysical Union (AGU), ISSN: 2169-897X
    Publication Date: 2024-01-22
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 41
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geochemistry Geophysics Geosystems, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 24(12), ISSN: 1525-2027
    Publication Date: 2024-01-22
    Description: In the Fram Strait, mid-ocean ridge spreading is represented by the ultra-slow system of the Molloy Ridge, the Molloy Transform Fault and the Knipovich Ridge. Sediments on oceanic and continental crust are gas charged and there are several locations with documented seafloor seepage. Sedimentary faulting shows recent stress release in the sub-surface, but the drivers of stress change and its influence on fluid flow are not entirely understood. We present here the results of an 11-month-long ocean bottom seismometer survey conducted over the highly faulted sediment drift northwards from the Knipovich Ridge to monitor seismicity and infer the regional state of stress. We obtain a detailed earthquake catalog that improves the spatial resolution of mid-ocean ridge seismicity compared with published data. Seismicity at the Molloy Transform Fault is occurring southwards from the bathymetric imprint of the fault, as supported by a seismic profile. Earthquakes in the northern termination of the Knipovich Ridge extend eastwards from the ridge valley, which together with syn-rift faulting identified in seismic reflection data, suggests that a portion of the currently active spreading center is buried under sediments away from the bathymetric expression of the rift valley. This hints at the direct link between crustal rifting processes and faulting in shallow sediments. Two earthquakes occur close to the seepage system of the Vestnesa Ridge further north from the network. We suggest that deeper rift structures, reactivated by gravity and/or post-glacial subsidence, may lead to accommodation of stress through shallow extensional faults, therefore impacting seepage dynamics.
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  • 42
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 38(10), ISSN: 2572-4517
    Publication Date: 2024-03-13
    Description: Three recently published papers including Napier et al. (2022, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021PA004355) utilize novel microanalytical approaches with varved marine sediments to demonstrate the potential to reconstruct seasonal and inter-annual climate variability. Obtaining paleoclimate data at a resolution akin to the observational record is vitally important for improving our understanding of climate phenomena such as monsoons and modes of variability such as the El Niño Southern Oscillation, for which appraisals of past inter-annual variability is critical. The ability to generate seasonal and inter annual resolution sea surface temperature proxy time series spanning a thousand years or more is revolutionary and has the potential to fill gaps in our knowledge of climate variability. Although generally limited to sediments from regions with oxygen depleted bottom waters, there is great potential to integrate shorter seasonal resolution climate “snap shots” from other archives such as annually banded corals into composite time series. But as paleoceanographic data are used more by the observational and modeling fields, we make the case for conducting a thorough case-by-case assessment of the processes that influence the climate signal recovered from proxies, using careful replication to validate new approaches. Understanding or exploring the potential influence of processes which effectively filter the climate signal will lead to more quantitative paleoceanographic data that will better serve the broader climate science community.
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  • 43
    Publication Date: 2024-03-21
    Description: Snowpack emissions are recognized as an important source of gas-phase reactive bromine in the Arctic and are necessary to explain ozone depletion events in spring caused by the catalytic destruction of ozone by halogen radicals. Quantifying bromine emissions from snowpack is essential for interpretation of ice-core bromine. We present ice-core bromine records since the pre-industrial (1750 CE) from six Arctic locations and examine potential post-depositional loss of snowpack bromine using a global chemical transport model. Trend analysis of the ice-core records shows that only the high-latitude coastal Akademii Nauk (AN) ice core from the Russian Arctic preserves significant trends since pre-industrial times that are consistent with trends in sea ice extent and anthropogenic emissions from source regions. Model simulations suggest that recycling of reactive bromine on the snow skin layer (top 1 mm) results in 9–17% loss of deposited bromine across all six ice-core locations. Reactive bromine production from below the snow skin layer and within the snow photic zone is potentially more important, but the magnitude of this source is uncertain. Model simulations suggest that the AN core is most likely to preserve an atmospheric signal compared to five Greenland ice cores due to its high latitude location combined with a relatively high snow accumulation rate. Understanding the sources and amount of photochemically reactive snow bromide in the snow photic zone throughout the sunlit period in the high Arctic is essential for interpreting ice-core bromine, and warrants further lab studies and field observations at inland locations.
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  • 44
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research Earth Surface, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 128(10), ISSN: 2169-9003
    Publication Date: 2024-03-14
    Description: Radio Echo Sounding (RES) surveys conducted in May 2010 and April 2011 revealed a 2 km2 flat area with increased bed reflectivity at the base of Isunnguata Sermia at the western margin of the Greenland Ice Sheet. This flat reflector was located within a localized subglacial hydraulic potential (hydropotential) minimum, as part of a complex and elongated trough system. By analogy with comparable features in Antarctica, the initial interpretation of such a feature was a potential subglacial lake. In September 2013 a co-located seismic survey revealed a 1,750 m by 540 and 37 m thick stratified lens-shaped bedform at the base of a subglacial trough system. Amplitude Versus Angle (AVA) analysis yields a derived reflection coefficient R = 0.09 ± 0.14 indicative of consolidated sediments possibly overlain by dilatant till. The bed and flank on the northern side of the trough consist of unconsolidated, possibly water-bearing sediments with R = −0.10 ± 0.08, whereas on the southern side it consists of more consolidated material. We interpret the trough as a key component of the wider subglacial drainage network, for which the sediments on its northern side act as a localized water-storage reservoir. Given the observation of seasonally forming and rapidly draining supraglacial meltwater lakes in this area, we interpret the lens-shaped bedform as deposited by episodically ponding meltwater within the subglacial trough system. Our results highlight the importance of transient subglacial hydrological and sedimentological processes such as drainage events for the interaction of ice sheets and their substrates, to understand ice dynamics in a warming climate.
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  • 45
    Publication Date: 2024-04-19
    Description: The greenhouse gas (GHG) balance of boreal peatlands in permafrost regions will be affected by climate change through disturbances such as permafrost thaw and wildfire. Although the future GHG balance of boreal peatlands including ponds is dominated by the exchange of both carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4), disturbance impacts on fluxes of the potent GHG nitrous oxide (N2O) could contribute to shifts in the net radiative balance. Here, we measured monthly (April to October) fluxes of N2O, CH4, and CO2 from three sites located across the sporadic and discontinuous permafrost zones of western Canada. Undisturbed permafrost peat plateaus acted as N2O sinks (−0.025 mg N2O m−2 d−1), but N2O uptake was lower from burned plateaus (−0.003 mg N2O m−2 d−1) and higher following permafrost thaw in the thermokarst bogs (−0.054 mg N2O m−2 d−1). The thermokarst bogs had below-ambient N2O soil gas concentrations, suggesting that denitrification consumed atmospheric N2O during reduction to dinitrogen. Atmospheric uptake of N2O in peat plateaus and thermokarst bogs increased with soil temperature and soil moisture, suggesting sensitivity of N2O consumption to further climate change. Four of five peatland ponds acted as N2O sinks (−0.018 mg N2O m−2 d−1), with no influence of thermokarst expansion. One pond with high nitrate concentrations had high N2O emissions (0.30 mg N2O m−2 d−1). Overall, our study suggests that the future net radiative balance of boreal peatlands will be dominated by impacts of wildfire and permafrost thaw on CH4 and CO2 fluxes, while the influence from N2O is minor.
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  • 46
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 128(10), ISSN: 2169-8953
    Publication Date: 2024-04-11
    Description: Human activities have increasingly changed terrestrial particulate organic carbon (POC) export to the coastal ocean since the Industrial Age (19th century). However, the influence of human perturbations on the composition and flux of terrestrial biospheric and petrogenic POC sub-pools remains poorly constrained. Here, we examined 13C and 14C compositions of bulk POC and source-specific biomarkers (fatty acids, FA) from two nearshore sediment cores collected in the Pearl River-derived mudbelt, to determine the impacts of human perturbations of the Pearl River watershed on the burial of terrestrial POC in the coastal ocean over the last century. Our results show that although agricultural practices and deforestation during the 1930s–1950s increased C4 plant coverage in the watershed, the export fluxes of terrestrial biospheric and petrogenic POC remained rather unchanged; however, added perturbations since 1974, including increasing coal consumption, embankment and dam constructions caused massive export of both petrogenic POC and relatively fresh terrestrial biospheric POC from the river delta. Our data reveal that human activities substantially enhance the transfer of petrogenic POC and fresh biospheric POC to the coastal ocean after ca. 1974, with the latter process acting as an important sink for anthropogenic CO2.
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  • 47
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Earth's Future, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 10(9), ISSN: 2328-4277
    Publication Date: 2022-11-06
    Description: In this study we assessed the representation of the sea surface salinity (SSS) and liquid freshwater content (LFWC) of the Arctic Ocean in the historical simulation of 31 CMIP6 models with comparison to 39 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) models, and investigated the projected changes in Arctic liquid and solid freshwater content and freshwater budget in scenarios with two different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). No significant improvement was found in the SSS and LFWC simulation from CMIP5 to CMIP6, given the large model spreads in both CMIP phases. The overestimation of LFWC continues to be a common bias in CMIP6. In the historical simulation, the multi-model mean river runoff, net precipitation, Bering Strait and Barents Sea Opening (BSO) freshwater transports are 2,928 ± 1,068, 1,839 ± 3,424, 2,538 ± 1,009, and −636 ± 553 km3/year, respectively. In the last decade of the 21st century, CMIP6 MMM projects these budget terms to rise to 4,346 ± 1,484 km3/year (3,678 ± 1,255 km3/year), 3,866 ± 2,935 km3/year (3,145 ± 2,651 km3/year), 2,631 ± 1,119 km3/year (2,649 ± 1,141 km3/year) and 1,033 ± 1,496 km3/year (449 ± 1,222 km3/year) under SSP5-8.5 (SSP2-4.5). Arctic sea ice is expected to continue declining in the future, and sea ice meltwater flux is likely to decrease to about zero in the mid-21st century under both SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Liquid freshwater exiting Fram and Davis straits will be higher in the future, and the Fram Strait export will remain larger. The Arctic Ocean is projected to hold a total of 160,300 ± 62,330 km3 (141,590 ± 50,310 km3) liquid freshwater under SSP5-8.5 (SSP2-4.5) by 2100, about 60% (40%) more than its historical climatology.
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  • 48
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 127(10), ISSN: 2169-8953
    Publication Date: 2023-06-21
    Description: Zooplankton plays a notable role in ocean biogeochemical cycles. However, it is often simulated as one generic group and top closure term in ocean biogeochemical models. This study presents the description of three zooplankton functional types (zPFTs, micro-, meso- and macrozooplankton) in the ocean biogeochemical model FESOM-REcoM. In the presented model, microzooplankton is a fast-growing herbivore group, mesozooplankton is another major consumer of phytoplankton, and macrozooplankton is a slow-growing group with a low temperature optimum. Meso- and macrozooplankton produce fast-sinking fecal pellets. With three zPFTs, the annual mean zooplankton biomass increases threefold to 210 Tg C. The new food web structure leads to a 25% increase in net primary production and a 10% decrease in export production globally. Consequently, the export ratio decreases from 17% to 12% in the model. The description of three zPFTs reduces model mismatches with observed dissolved inorganic nitrogen and chlorophyll concentrations in the South Pacific and the Arctic Ocean, respectively. Representation of three zPFTs also strongly affects phytoplankton phenology: Fast nutrient recycling by zooplankton sustains higher chlorophyll concentrations in summer and autumn. Additional zooplankton grazing delays the start of the phytoplankton bloom by 3 weeks and controls the magnitude of the bloom peak in the Southern Ocean. As a result, the system switches from a light-controlled Sverdrup system to a dilution-controlled Behrenfeld system. Overall, the results suggest that representation of multiple zPFTs is important to capture underlying processes that may shape the response of ecosystems and ecosystem services to on-going and future environmental change in model projections.
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  • 49
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 14(12), ISSN: 1942-2466
    Publication Date: 2023-06-23
    Description: A new version of the AWI Coupled Prediction System is developed based on the Alfred Wegener Institute Climate Model v3.0. Both the ocean and the atmosphere models are upgraded or replaced, reducing the computation time by a factor of 5 at a given resolution. This allowed us to increase the ensemble size from 12 to 30, maintaining a similar resolution in both model components. The online coupled data assimilation scheme now additionally utilizes sea-surface salinity and sea-level anomaly as well as temperature and salinity profile observations. Results from the data assimilation demonstrate that the sea-ice and ocean states are reasonably constrained. In particular, the temperature and salinity profile assimilation has mitigated systematic errors in the deeper ocean, although issues remain over polar regions where strong atmosphere-ocean-ice interaction occurs. One-year-long sea-ice forecasts initialized on 1 January, 1 April, 1 July and 1 October from 2003 to 2019 are described. To correct systematic forecast errors, sea-ice concentration from 2011 to 2019 is calibrated by trend-adjusted quantile mapping using the preceding forecasts from 2003 to 2010. The sea-ice edge raw forecast skill is within the range of operational global subseasonal-to-seasonal forecast systems, outperforming a climatological benchmark for about 2 weeks in the Arctic and about 3 weeks in the Antarctic. The calibration is much more effective in the Arctic: Calibrated sea-ice edge forecasts outperform climatology for about 45 days in the Arctic but only 27 days in the Antarctic. Both the raw and the calibrated forecast skill exhibit strong seasonal variations.
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  • 50
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 49(22), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2023-06-21
    Description: Based on the ERA5 reanalysis, we report on statistically significant impacts of transient cyclones on sea ice concentration (SIC) in the Atlantic sector of the Arctic Ocean in winter under “New Arctic” conditions (2000–2020). This includes a pattern of reduced SIC prior to and during cyclones for the whole study domain, while a regional difference between increased SIC in the Barents Sea and reduced SIC in the Greenland Sea is found as the net effect from 3 days prior to 5 days after the cyclone passage. Generally, locally low to medium SIC conditions combined with intense cyclones drive highest SIC changes. There are indications that both thermodynamic and dynamic effects contribute to the SIC changes, but a detailed quantification is required in future research. We provide evidence that cyclone impacts on SIC have amplified compared to the “Old Arctic” (1979–1999), particularly in the Barents Sea.
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  • 51
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 49(23), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2023-09-19
    Description: The strong cooling during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 21 ka BP) provides a rigorous test of climate models' ability to simulate past and future climate changes. We force an atmospheric general circulation model with two recent global LGM sea surface temperature (SST) reconstructions, one suggesting a weak and the other a more pronounced cooling, and compare the simulated land surface temperatures (LSTs) to reconstructed data. Our results do not confirm either SST reconstruction. The cold SST data set leads to good agreement between simulated and observed LSTs at low latitudes, but is systematically too cold at mid-latitudes. The opposite is true for the warm SST data set. Differences between the simulated LSTs are caused by varying land surface albedos, which is lower for the warmer SST reconstruction. The inconsistency between reconstructed and simulated climate points to a potentially significant bias in the proxy reconstructions and/or the climate sensitivity of current climate models.
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  • 52
    Publication Date: 2024-01-31
    Description: In this study, we used stable isotopes of oxygen (δ18O), deuterium (δD), and dissolved inorganic carbon (δ13CDIC) in combination with temperature, salinity, oxygen, and nutrient concentrations to characterize the coastal (71°–78°W) and an oceanic (82°–98°W) water masses (SAAW—Subantarctic Surface Water; STW—Subtropical Water; ESSW—Equatorial Subsurface water; AAIW—Antarctic Intermediate Water; PDW—Pacific Deep Water) of the Southeast Pacific (SEP). The results show that δ18O and δD can be used to differentiate between SAAW-STW, SAAW-ESSW, and ESSW-AAIW. δ13CDIC signatures can be used to differentiate between STW-ESSW (oceanic section), SAAW-ESSW, ESSW-AAIW, and AAIW-PDW. Compared with the oceanic section, our new coastal section highlights differences in both the chemistry and geometry of water masses above 1,000 m. Previous paleoceanographic studies using marine sediments from the SEP continental margin used the present-day hydrological oceanic transect to compare against, as the coastal section was not sufficiently characterized. We suggest that our new results of the coastal section should be used for past characterizations of the SEP water masses that are usually based on continental margin sediment samples.
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  • 53
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 49(24), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2024-03-13
    Description: The East Australian Current (EAC) is the western boundary current of the South Pacific Subtropical Gyre that transports warm tropical waters to higher southern latitudes and significantly impacts the climate of Australia and New Zealand. Modern observations show that the EAC has strengthened with rising global temperatures. However, little is known about the pre-industrial variability of the EAC and the forcing mechanisms. Planktic foraminifera Globigerinoides ruber (white) Mg/Ca-based sea surface temperature reconstructions offshore northeastern Australia between 15° and 26°S reveal an increase by ∼1.2°C after ∼1400 CE. We infer that the increase in temperature is related to a stronger EAC heat transport that is likely driven by a strengthening of the Southern Hemisphere subtropical gyre circulation due to a progressive shift of the Southern annular mode toward its positive phase and of El Niño-Southern Oscillation toward more El Niño-like conditions.
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  • 54
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 50(1), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2024-03-28
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 55
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 49(20), pp. e2022gl099529-e2022gl099529, ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2024-03-14
    Description: The climate signal imprinted in the snow isotopic composition allows to infer past climate variability from ice core stable water isotope records. The concurrent evolution of vapor and surface snow isotopic composition between precipitation events indicates that post-depositional atmosphere-snow humidity exchange influences the snow and hence the ice core isotope signal. To date, however, this is not accounted for in paeleoclimate reconstructions from isotope records. Here we show that vapor-snow exchange explains 36% of the summertime day-to-day δ18O variability of the surface snow between precipitation events, and 53% of the δD variability. Through observations from the Greenland Ice Sheet and accompanying modeling we demonstrate that vapor-snow exchange introduces a warm bias on the summertime snow isotope value relevant for ice core records. In case of long-term variability in atmosphere-snow exchange the relevance for the ice core signal is also variable and thus paleoclimate reconstructions from isotope records should be revisited.
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  • 56
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 49(24), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2024-04-22
    Description: Statistical analysis of reanalysis and observed data reveals that high dust surface mass concentration in northern Greenland is associated with a Pacific Decadal Oscillation like pattern in its negative phase in the North Pacific as well as with La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific region. The sea surface temperature anomalies in the Pacific realm resemble the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO). The associated atmospheric circulation pattern, in the form of a wave-train from the North Pacific to the Eurasian continent, favors enhanced dust uptake and transport toward the northern Greenland. Similar patterns are associated with a low-resolution stacked record of five Ca2+ ice cores, that is, ngt03C93.2 (B16), ngt14C93.2 (B18), ngt27C94.2 (B21), GISP2−B, and NEEM-2011-S1, from northern Greenland, a proxy for regional dust concentration, during the last 400 years. We argue that northern Greenland ice core dust records could be used as proxies for the IPO and related teleconnections.
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  • 57
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 49(22), ISSN: 0094-8276
    Publication Date: 2024-04-23
    Description: Future precipitation levels remain uncertain because climate models have struggled to reproduce observed variations in temperature-precipitation correlations. Our analyses of Holocene proxy-based temperature-precipitation correlations and hydrological sensitivities from 2,237 Northern Hemisphere extratropical pollen records reveal a significant latitudinal dependence and temporal variations among the early, middle, and late Holocene. These proxy-based variations are largely consistent with patterns obtained from transient climate simulations (TraCE21k). While high latitudes and subtropical monsoon areas show mainly stable positive correlations throughout the Holocene, the mid-latitude pattern is temporally and spatially more variable. In particular, we identified a reversal from positive to negative temperature-precipitation correlations in the eastern North American and European mid-latitudes from the early to mid-Holocene that mainly related to slowed down westerlies and a switch to moisture-limited convection under a warm climate. Our palaeoevidence of past temperature-precipitation correlation shifts identifies those regions where simulating past and future precipitation levels might be particularly challenging.
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  • 58
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 13(10), ISSN: 1942-2466
    Publication Date: 2023-06-21
    Description: We propose to make the damping time scale, which governs the decay of pseudo-elastic waves in the Elastic Viscous Plastic (EVP) sea-ice solvers, independent of the external time step and large enough to warrant numerical stability for a moderate number of internal time steps. A necessary condition is that the forcing on sea ice varies slowly on the damping time scale, in which case an EVP solution may still approach a Viscous Plastic one, but on a time scale longer than a single external time step. In this case, the EVP method becomes very close to the recently proposed modified EVP (mEVP) method in terms of stability and simulated behavior. In a simple test case dealing with sea ice breaking under the forcing of a moving cyclone, the EVP method with an enlarged damping time scale can simulate linear kinematic features which are very similar to those from the traditional EVP implementation, although a much smaller number of internal time steps is used. There is more difference in sea-ice thickness and linear kinematic features simulated in a realistic Arctic configuration between using the traditional and our suggested choices of EVP damping time scales, but it is minor considering model uncertainties associated with choices of many other parameters in sea-ice models.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 59
    Publication Date: 2024-01-18
    Description: The North Atlantic Basin is a major sink for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) due in part to the extensive plankton blooms which form there supported by nutrients supplied by the three-dimensional ocean circulation. Hence, changes in ocean circulation and/or stratification may influence primary production and biological carbon export. In this study, we assess this possibility by evaluating inorganic nutrient budgets for 2004 and 2010 in the North Atlantic based on observations from the transatlantic A05-24.5°N and the Greenland-Portugal OVIDE hydrographic sections, to which we applied a box inverse model to solve the circulation and estimate the across-section nutrient transports. Full water column nutrient budgets were split into upper and lower meridional overturning circulation (MOC) limbs. According to our results, anomalous circulation in early 2010, linked to extreme negative NAO conditions, led to an enhanced northward advection of more nutrient-rich waters by the upper overturning limb, which resulted in a significant nitrate and phosphate convergence north of 24.5°N. Combined with heaving of the isopycnals, this anomalous circulation event in 2010 favored an enhancement of the nutrient consumption (5.7 ± 4.1 kmol-P s−1) and associated biological CO2 uptake (0.25 ± 0.18 Pg-C yr−1, upper-bound estimate), which represents a 50% of the mean annual sea–air CO2 flux in the region. Our results also suggest a transient state of deep silicate divergence in both years. Both results are indicative of a MOC-driven modulation of the biological carbon uptake (by the upper MOC limb) and nutrient inventories (by the lower MOC limb) in the North Atlantic.
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  • 60
    Publication Date: 2024-03-14
    Description: The presence of clouds in the Arctic regulates the surface energy budget (SEB) over the sea-ice surface and the ice-free ocean. Following several previous field campaigns, the cloud-radiation relationship, including cloud vertical structure and phase, has been elucidated; however, modeling of this relationship has matured slowly. In recognition of the recent decline in the Arctic sea-ice extent, representation of the cloud system in numerical models should consider the effects of areas covered by sea ice and ice-free areas. Using an in situ stationary meteorological observation data set obtained over the ice-free Arctic Ocean by the Japanese Research Vessel Mirai (September 2014), coordinated evaluation of six regional climate models (RCMs) with nine model runs was performed by focusing on clouds and the SEB. The most remarkable findings were as follows: (1) reduced occurrence of unstable stratification with low-level cloud water in all models in comparison to the observations, (2) significant differences in cloud water representations between single- and double-moment cloud schemes, (3) extensive differences in partitioning of hydrometeors including solid/liquid precipitation, and (4) pronounced lower-tropospheric air temperature biases. These issues are considered as the main sources of SEB uncertainty over ice-free areas of the Arctic Ocean. The results from a coupled RCM imply that the SEB is constrained by both the atmosphere and the ocean (and sea ice) with considerable feedback. Coordinated improvement of both stand-alone atmospheric and coupled RCMs would promote a more comprehensive and improved understanding of the Arctic air-ice-sea coupled system.
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  • 61
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research Earth Surface, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 126(12), ISSN: 2169-9003
    Publication Date: 2024-03-14
    Description: Bedforms of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica both record and affect ice flow, as shown by geophysical data and simple models. Thwaites Glacier flows across the tectonic fabric of the West Antarctic rift system with its bedrock highs and sedimentary basins. Swath radar and seismic surveys of the glacier bed have revealed soft-sediment flutes 100 m or more high extending 15 km or more across basins downglacier from bedrock highs. Flutes end at prominent hard-bedded moats on stoss sides of the next topographic highs. We use simple models to show that ice flow against topography increases pressure between ice and till upglacier along the bed over a distance that scales with the topography. In this basal zone of high pressure, ice-contact water would be excluded, thus increasing basal drag by increasing ice-till coupling and till flux, removing till to allow bedrock erosion that creates moats. Till carried across highlands would then be deposited in lee-side positions forming bedforms that prograde downglacier over time, and that remain soft on top through feedbacks that match till-deformational fluxes from well upglacier of the topography. The bedforms of the part of Thwaites surveyed here are prominent because ice flow has persisted over a long time on this geological setting, not because ice flow is anomalous. Bedform development likely has caused evolution of ice flow over time as till and lubricating water were redistributed, moats were eroded and bedforms grew.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 62
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 12(12), ISSN: 1942-2466
    Publication Date: 2023-06-21
    Description: Ocean models at eddy-permitting resolution are generally overdissipative, damping the intensity of the mesoscale eddy field. To reduce overdissipation, we propose a simplified, kinematic energy backscatter parametrization built into the viscosity operator in conjunction with a new flow-dependent coefficient of viscosity based on nearest neighbor velocity differences. The new scheme mitigates excessive dissipation of energy and improves global ocean simulations at eddy-permitting resolution. We find that kinematic backscatter substantially raises simulated eddy kinetic energy, similar to an alternative, previously proposed dynamic backscatter parametrization. While dynamic backscatter is scale aware and energetically more consistent, its implementation is more complex. Furthermore, it turns out to be computationally more expensive, as it applies, among other things, an additional prognostic subgrid energy equation. The kinematic backscatter proposed here, by contrast, comes at no additional computational cost, following the principle of simplicity. Our primary focus is the discretization on triangular unstructured meshes with cell placement of velocities (an analog of B-grids), as employed by the Finite-volumE Sea ice-Ocean Model (FESOM2). The kinematic backscatter scheme with the new viscosity coefficient is implemented in FESOM2 and tested in the simplified geometry of a zonally reentrant channel as well as in a global ocean simulation on a 1/4° mesh. This first version of the new kinematic backscatter needs to be tuned to the specific resolution regime of the simulation. However, the tuning relies on a single parameter, emphasizing the overall practicality of the approach.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 63
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 125(2), ISSN: 2169-8953
    Publication Date: 2024-01-30
    Description: Climate change in the Arctic leads to permafrost degradation and to associated changes infreshwater geochemistry. There is a limited understanding of how disturbances such as active layerdetachments or retrogressive thaw slumps impact water quality on a catchment scale. This study investigateshow permafrost degradation affects concentrations of dissolved organic carbon (DOC), total dissolvedsolids (TDS), suspended sediment, and stable water isotopes in adjacent Low Arctic watersheds. Weincorporated data on disturbance between 1952 and 2015, as well as sporadic runoff and geochemistry dataof streams nearby. Our results show that the total disturbed area decreased by 41% between 1952 and 2015,whereas the total number of disturbances increased by 66% in all six catchments. The spatial variabilityof hydrochemical parameters is linked to catchment properties and not necessarily reflected at the outflow.Degrading ice‐wedge polygons were found to increase DOC concentrations upstream in Ice Creek West,whereas hydrologically connected disturbances were linked to increases in TDS and suspended sediment.Although we found a great spatial variability of hydrochemical concentrations along the paired watershed,there was a linear relationship between catchment size and daily DOC, total dissolved nitrogen, and TDSfluxes for all six streams. Suspended sedimentflux on the contrary did not show a clear relationship as onehydrologically connected retrogressive thaw slump impacted the overallflux in one of the streams.Understanding the spatial variability of water quality will help to model the lateral geochemicalfluxes fromArctic catchments
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 64
    Publication Date: 2023-03-31
    Description: Coeval changes in atmospheric CO2 and 14C contents during the last deglaciation are often attributed to ocean circulation changes that released carbon stored in the deep ocean during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). Work is being done to generate records that allow for the identification of the exact mechanisms leading to the accumulation and release of carbon from the oceanic reservoir, but these mechanisms are still the subject of debate. Here we present foraminifera 14C data from five cores in a transect across the Chilean continental margin between ~540 and ~3,100 m depth spanning the last 20,000 years. Our data reveal that during the LGM, waters at ~2,000 m were 50% to 80% more depleted in Δ14C than waters at ~1,500 m when compared to modern values, consistent with the hypothesis of a glacial deep ocean carbon reservoir that was isolated from the atmosphere. During the deglaciation, our intermediate water records reveal homogenization in the Δ14C values between ~800 and ~1,500 m from ~16.5–14.5 ka cal BP to ~14–12 ka cal BP, which we interpret as deeper penetration of Antarctic Intermediate Water. While many questions still remain, this process could aid the ventilation of the deep ocean at the beginning of the deglaciation, contributing to the observed ~40 ppm rise in atmospheric pCO2.
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
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  • 65
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    American Geophysical Union (AGU)
    In:  EPIC3Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 124(8), pp. 5503-5528, ISSN: 2169-9275
    Publication Date: 2022-11-02
    Repository Name: EPIC Alfred Wegener Institut
    Type: Article , NonPeerReviewed
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  • 66
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Late Cretaceous–to–present-day mixed carbonate–clastic deposition along the Nicaraguan platform, western Caribbean Sea, has evolved from a tectonically controlled, rifted upper Eocene shallow–to–deep-marine carbonate–siliciclastic shelf to an upper Miocene–to–present-day tectonically stable shallow-marine carbonate platform and passive margin. By integrating subsurface data of 287 two-dimensional seismic lines and 27 wells, we interpret the Cenozoic stratigraphic sequence as 3 cycles of transgression and regression beginning with an upper Eocene rhodolitic–algal carbonate shelf that interfingered with marginal siliciclastic sediments derived from exposed areas of Central America bordering the margin to the west. During the middle Eocene, a carbonate platform was established with both rimmed reefs and isolated patch reefs. A late Eocene forced regression produced widespread erosion and subaerial exposure across much of the platform and was recorded by a regional unconformity. The Oligocene–upper Miocene sedimentary record includes a southeastward prograding delta of the proto-Coco river, which drained the emergent area of what is now northern Nicaragua. The late Miocene–to–present-day period marks a period of strong subsidence with the development of small pinnacle reefs. We describe favorable petroleum system elements of the Nicaraguan platform that include (1) Eocene fossiliferous limestone source rocks documented as thermally mature in vintage exploration wells and seen as active gas chimneys emanating from inferred carbonate reservoirs; (2) upper–to–middle Eocene reservoirs in patch and pinnacle reefs, middle Eocene calcareous slumps, and Oligocene fluvial-deltaic facies documented in wells; and (3) regional seal intervals that consist of both regional unconformities and Eocene–Oligocene intraformational shale.〈/span〉
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  • 67
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Fault damage zones may significantly affect subsurface fluid migration and the development of unconventional resources. Most analyses of fault damage zones are based on direct field observations, and we expand these analyses to the subsurface by investigating the damage zone structure of an approximately 32-km (∼10〈sup〉5〈/sup〉-ft)-long right-lateral strike-slip fault in Oklahoma. We used the three-dimensional (3-D) seismic attribute of coherence to first define its regional and background levels, and then we evaluated the damage zone dimensions at multiple sites. We found damage zone thickness of approximately 1600 m (∼5300 ft) at a segment that is dominated by subsidiary faults, and it is slightly thicker at a segment with a pull-apart basin. The damage zone intensity decays exponentially with distance from the fault core, in agreement with field observations and distribution of seismic events. The coherence map displays a strong asymmetry of the damage zone between the two sides of the 3-D fault, which is related to the subsidiary structures of the fault zone. We discuss the effects of heterogeneous stress field on damage zone evolution through the detected subsidiary structures. It appears that seismic coherence is an effective tool for subsurface characterization of fault damage zones.〈/span〉
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  • 68
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Some fault zones leak vertically to the ground surface or seafloor, whereas most others remain naturally sealed. Understanding the factors that cause this leakage is essential for predicting and preventing such leakage for both conventional reservoir development and subsurface CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 storage. This study, a comparison of leaking and nonleaking natural CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 gas accumulations, provides such constraints. We compare and contrast trap configurations, fluid pressures, and stress states for several natural CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 accumulations from the Colorado Plateau. Extensive surface geologic data are integrated with subsurface data from a large suite of groundwater and hydrocarbon wells. Leakage of CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 is documented by geochemical surveys and the occurrence of extensive travertine deposits. The leakage occurs exclusively in fault fracture damage zones where the total fluid pressure reduces the minimum horizontal effective stress to approximately zero. These results are consistent with natural and accidentally induced fault seeps from some deep-water hydrocarbon reservoirs. These criteria can be used to evaluate the potential for fault zones to provide vertical leakage pathways and loss of fluid containment.〈/span〉
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  • 69
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉The three-dimensionally complex, highly progradational mixed siliciclastic–carbonate strata of the San Andres and Grayburg Formations have long been the backbone of conventional hydrocarbon reservoir production from the Permian Basin, and significant recovery continues via waterflooding and CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 injection. Besides, nonreservoir equivalents of these formations have recently taken increasing significance as produced water disposal targets. However, seismic-stratigraphic interpretations are challenged by complex internal shelfal-stratal geometries and numerous laterally continuous but vertically thin fluid barriers in overlying platforms. We built a three-dimensional (3-D) geocellular model of Guadalupian 8–13 high-frequency sequences (G8–G13 HFSs) and then conducted forward seismic modeling (35-Hz 0° phase). This allows investigations on the validity of applying conventional reflection-geometry–based interpretation to delineate the G9 HFS top and base, which can potentially serve as bounding/constraining surfaces for upper San Andres shelf–Grayburg platform reservoirs. This study contributes to 3-D modeling methodologies by introducing a query tree to select geostatistical methods for modeling dual-scale heterogeneities and by integrating data from diverse sources for seamless and realistic 3-D models. Our seismic-stratigraphic evaluation demonstrates that conventional reflection–geometry-based interpretation does not adequately resolve the G9 top and base; deviations from the geocellular model reach up to 80 m (260 ft) and are thus well beyond the maximum acceptable error limits of ±0.5 wavelength. We suggest improving conventional interpretations of the G9 base by selective interpolation or mixed-polarity event picking near the error-prone shelf margin and upper slope. Besides, instead of picking the highly discontinuous seismic peak as G9 top, bulk-shifting of a shallower trough horizon near actual G10 top should deliver a more accurate surface representing G9 top.〈/span〉
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  • 70
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉The Paleogene shale of the Dongying depression, a continental basin in eastern China, is taken as the study subject to examine the microscopic features of lacustrine shale reservoirs in the oil window. This study shows that shale pores in this evolutionary stage are present at the micrometer to nanometer scale, but fractures commonly have extension distances at the millimeter scale. Pores and fractures can be divided into three types, namely, primary pores, secondary pores, and cracks. Primary pores commonly have good connectivity at shallow burial depth. With the increase of burial depth, primary porosity is reduced because of compaction and cementation. Secondary pores are important in shale, including dissolved pores inside grains and at grain edge, and dissolution pores inside the hybrid of organic matter (OM) and clay minerals, and evaporite minerals, including carbonates or sulfates. Types of cracks were observed: bedding fissures, dissolution fractures, and structural fractures. The development of bedding fissures is related to the deposition of shale laminae. The formation of dissolution fractures is related to acidic fluids, such as organic acids and hydrogen sulfide, whereas the formation of structural fractures is jointly controlled by fault development, fluid overpressure, and lithofacies. The pores and fractures in the oil window of lacustrine shale can store and channel oil and gas. The hybrid OM–clay–carbonate (sulfate) and the pores inside are important through the oil window. Moreover, the development of the pores depends not only on hydrocarbon generation but also on the interaction of hydrocarbons and organic acid dissolution. This finding has important significance in the accumulation of oil and gas in continental shales.〈/span〉
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  • 71
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉In the past, determination of rock properties using image analysis relied upon petrographic transmitted-light images, but with limited success because of a lack of resolution and restricted computer processing power. A new technique that employs confocal laser scanning microscopy (CLSM) can be considered complementary to laboratory measurements and applicable to several samples, saving time and money and requiring only a limited amount of rock sample for analysis. We have studied several types of rocks with CLSM and fluorescent dye–impregnated thin sections. The two-dimensional scans of each thin section images is an area of 12 mm〈sup〉2〈/sup〉, with a pixel size of 0.198 µm and were used to simulate capillary pressure curves for pore bodies and pore throats. The CLSM technique also enables three-dimensional (3-D) visualization of the rock porosity. The studied rock samples were taken from diverse oil and gas field reservoirs: case A, a conventional sandstone (15.1% porosity, 29.8 md permeability); case B, a tight sandstone (3.7%, 0.02 md); case C, an oolitic carbonate (9.6%, 0.1 md); case D, a rhodolithic algal carbonate (19.8%, 43.7 md); case E, dolomitized carbonate (17%, 21.7 md); and case F, a naturally fractured carbonate (2.4%, 0.6 md). Our results confirm that the CLSM technique can be applied to rocks of contrasting porosity and permeability to obtain computed synthetic capillary pressure curves faster than with conventional measurement methods. The technique quantifies different pore-body and pore-throat sizes and distributions, with the added ability to visualize 3-D porosity and to extract from thin section analysis petrologic properties.〈/span〉
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  • 72
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    American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG)
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Oil API gravity predictions using published basin modeling source rock (SR) reaction kinetics have displayed poor matches between modeled output and field observations because these kinetic models do not predict increasing API gravities with increasing maturity. Ideally, an SR kinetic model should use at least two liquid components of different densities, which are generated and expelled from the SR such that the API gravities are a consequence of relative mixing. Very few available kinetic models predict APIs with reasonable trends, but those are either not adjustable to calibrate to field observations or do not consider sorption, which is a necessary process when evaluating unconventional resources. Five new kinetics data sets are presented in this paper, each representing a standard SR type, which provide geologically reasonable API gravity trends and ranges. Each kinetic model uses two liquid pseudocomponents and two vapor pseudocomponents. The relative ratios between the pseudocomponents at full kerogen transformation are average ratios available from public and proprietary kinetic data sets. The primary generation follows published activation energies, including minor shifts, which allow peak generation to occur at lower activation energies for the heavier liquid pseudocomponent and at higher energies for the lighter one. This systematic shift of activation energies thus results in a constant change in API gravity as primary generation progresses. Additional in-SR sorption and secondary cracking schemes support the primary generated API gravity trends. The default ranges of API gravity for the new five kinetic models represent observed averages but can be adjusted easily.〈/span〉
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  • 73
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Shale gas in the Sichuan Basin and its periphery potentially plays an important role in the world shale gas industry. An understanding of remigration and leakage from continuous shale reservoirs is very important for shale gas exploration, especially in the Sichuan Basin and its periphery. The shale gas accumulation models that relate to remigration and leakage were developed within the Wufeng and Longmaxi black shales in the Jiaoshiba and the Youyang blocks. First, a tectono-sedimentary history of the Wufeng and Longmaxi black shales in the Sichuan Basin and its periphery was developed based on the published literature. The history exhibits a continuous distribution of high-quality Wufeng and Longmaxi black shale, which is the foundation of the shale gas formation. Second, the shale gas remigration–accumulation model in the anticlines was clarified by using data collected from the shale gas fields in Jiaoshiba block. The shale gas model for the Jiaoshiba block was developed on the basis of a continuous shale reservoir distribution, differentiated structural deformation, and a gas self-sealed system. Third, the shale gas fault failure leakage model in the fault blocks and the erosion model in the residual areas were revealed based on the shale reservoir and shale gas content heterogeneity in the Youyang block. These two models were validated by available data including 13 two-dimensional seismic lines and 2 shale gas exploration vertical wells in the Youyang block. Shale gas areas with high gas resource and gas production rates in the anticlines were defined by the remigration–accumulation model. The fault failure leakage model was used to find shale gas with limited commercial potential, whereas commercial shale gas was largely lacking according to the erosion residual model. The study on remigration and leakage from continuous shale reservoirs in the Sichuan Basin and its periphery can be used to better understand and improve the exploration efforts based on resource preservation.〈/span〉
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  • 74
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉For both modeling and management of a reservoir, pathways to and through the seal into the overburden are of vital importance. Therefore, we suggest applying the presented structural modeling workflow that analyzes internal strain, elongation, and paleogeomorphology of the given volume. It is assumed that the magnitude of strain is a proxy for the intensity of subseismic scale fracturing. Zones of high strain may correlate with potential migration pathways. Because of the enhanced need for securing near-surface layer integrity when CO〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 storage is needed, an interpretation of three-dimensional (3-D) seismic data from the Cooperative Research Centre for Greenhouse Gas Technologies Otway site, Australia, was undertaken. The complete 3-D model was retrodeformed. Compaction- plus deformation-related strain was calculated for the whole volume. The strain distribution after 3-D restoration showed a tripartition of the study area, with the most deformation (30%–50%) in the southwest. Of 24 faults, 4 compartmentalize different zones of deformation. The paleomorphology of the seal formation is determined to tilt northward, presumably because of a much larger normal fault to the north. From horizontal extension analysis, it is evident that most deformation occurred before 66 Ma and stopped abruptly because of the production of oceanic crust in the Southern Ocean. Within the seal horizon, various high-strain zones and therefore subseismic pathways were determined. These zones range in width from 50 m (164 ft) up to 400 m (1312 ft) wide and do not simply follow fault traces, and—most importantly—none of them continue into the overburden. Such information is relevant for reservoir management and public communication and to safeguard near-surface ecologic assets.〈/span〉
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  • 75
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    American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG)
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉In the last 30 yr, basin and petroleum system modeling (BPSM) has evolved into a large and diverse field encompassing a broad range of scientific disciplines. As BPSM is applied to an increasingly wide range of problems, what are, or should be, the future directions in the evolution of BPSM comes into question.To address this question, a survey was conducted at the AAPG Hedberg Research Conference on “The Future of Basin and Petroleum Systems Modeling,” held in Santa Barbara, California, April 3–8, 2016. To capture the full range of thoughts, participants were asked to list in priority order what they think are the three most important future directions in BPSM. The responses were collated into six general categories for analysis. The categorization process involved some qualitative judgements because some areas spanned several of the general areas.The results show that the most frequently cited directions are related to BPSM workflows, organizations, and processes. This category includes how modelers are used in an organization, how projects are executed, and how the results are interpreted and integrated.Migration modeling (primary and secondary) is the most frequently cited technical need. The results indicate that migration processes are not well understood and there are still substantial differences of thought about the processes involved and the best ways to model them.Some subjects, such as uncertainty and unconventionals, were mentioned in several of the general categories, whereas other subjects, such as increased functionality in the models, were only seldom mentioned.〈/span〉
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  • 76
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Natural fractures are important storage spaces and fluid-flow channels in tight-oil sandstones. Intraformational open fractures are the major channels for fluid flow in tight-oil sandstones. Small faults may provide fluid-flow channels across different layers. According to analogous outcrops, cores, and borehole image logs, small faults and intraformational open fractures are developed in the tight-oil sandstones of the Upper Triassic Yanchang Formation in the southwestern Ordos Basin, China. Among them, high dip-angle intraformational open fractures are the most abundant. Northeast-southwest–trending fractures are the principal fractures for fluid flow because that is the present-day maximum horizontal compressive stress direction. Combined with production data, horizontal wells, striking normal to or at a large angle relative to the major flow pathways, are beneficial for tight-oil production improvement. Fractures with high dip angles are the main factor that influences initial oil production. Linkage and tip damage zones are more favorable for oil production improvement than wall damage zones. This study provides an example of natural fracture characterization and unravels fracture contributions to reservoir physical properties and oil production of tight-oil sandstones, which could provide a geological basis for oil exploration and development in tight sandstones.〈/span〉
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  • 77
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Using recently acquired three-dimensional seismic data, we summarize typical patterns for seismic-based identification and stage analysis of sedimentary units in the Eocene succession of the southern slope-break belts of the Bozhong sag, Bohai Bay Basin, China. The sedimentary units in the study area are characterized by progradational reflectors and mound-shaped, bidirectional downlapping reflectors in dip and strike directions, respectively. Differential characteristics of a distinct sedimentary unit within one lobe are documented. The major provenance direction is defined and characterized by the largest dip angles of reflectors, the longest transport distance of sediments, and the thickest deposits in comparison to other dip directions—all recognized in this study and serving as typical characteristics for sedimentary unit identification and separation from the overlapped sedimentary complex. This study also summarizes diverse patterns—including collateral and prograding types—of sedimentary unit contact relationships and stage analysis along dip and strike directions. Collateral patterns are composed of three subtypes: superimposed, antithetic, and isolated. Three sedimentary units—S1, S2, and S3—are recognized in the study area. Summarized patterns of sedimentary unit contact relationships indicate that S1 was deposited earliest and S3 latest. The proposed patterns supplement seismic-based sedimentologic studies. This work may serve as a useful reference for sand-body characterization and stage analysis in other basins and similar areas.〈/span〉
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  • 78
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Instead of using discrete values for properties that influence the volumetric calculation for recoverable reserves from the Middle Bakken, Pronghorn, and Three Forks reservoir rocks in the Williston Basin in North Dakota, an uncertainty-based assessment method was used. Various estimates have been published in the past that attempt to quantify recoverable reserves from the Bakken petroleum system. The Bakken–Three Forks trend is regarded as an unconventional tight oil play typical of a continuous-type basin-centered accumulation. However, production data reveal that areas are unequal and that certain regions stand out as sweet spots whereas others exhibit fairly high water cuts. This paper is based on 28 well models, which have been porosity-calibrated and adjusted for the prevalent thermal regime. The area of interest was delineated by geological parameters such as shale maturity and reservoir rock presence as well as existing production data. The purpose of this study is to use an uncertainty assessment method based on hundreds of basin model simulations that sample ranges of probable input parameters to quantify the recoverable reserves from the Bakken petroleum system in North Dakota. The results are displayed in reverse cumulative probability plots, tornado sensitivity charts, as well as in maps of the 10% chance, 50% chance (P50), 90% chance values. This means that there is an X% chance of success or an X probablity of realizing a certain amount of hydrocarbon. The P50 results of the uncertainty assessment indicate that approximately 4 billion bbl of oil and 3.6 tcf (102 billion m〈sup〉3〈/sup〉) of gas are recoverable from the Middle Bakken, Pronghorn, and Three Forks reservoir rocks in North Dakota. The Bakken–Three Forks trend appears to be an overcharged petroleum system, where the available pore space in reservoir rocks is the limiting factor for each accumulation.〈/span〉
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  • 79
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉The Węglówka oil field is located in the outer Carpathians. The outer Carpathians are a region where hydrocarbons were discovered and exploited at the end of the nineteenth century in several dozen oil fields, which are relatively small. The Węglówka oil field is one of the largest in this region. In the 150 yr or so of hydrocarbon exploration in the area, more than 1 million t (〉1,237,000 tons [〉8,841,000 bbl]) of oil have been produced. Hydrocarbons are concentrated in Lower Cretaceous sandstones (Grodziszcze and Lgota sandstones) that form an anticline sealed by Upper Cretaceous marls called the Węglówka marls. These cap rocks are up to 600 m (2000 ft) thick. Because of the thrust-related exhumation, they were exposed at the surface and represent the youngest deposits in the region. The present work is focused on a detailed petrographic characterization of the Węglówka marls. This study allows petroleum geologists to better understand the evolution of porosity in these cap rocks and can serve as a foundation for the prediction of their sealing properties. The marls appear as a succession of interbedded red and green varieties, which occur in up to 2-m (6-ft)-thick beds. These beds are nonarenaceous, soft, and bioturbated. Grain size corresponds to approximately 80% clay and less than 20% silt fractions. X-ray diffraction (XRD) reveals that the marls contain, on average, 54% clay, 28% calcite, 16% quartz, up to 3% feldspars and, in red marls, 3% hematite. The XRD patterns of clay are typical of mixed-layer illite–smectite ([I–S]; 40% illite in I–S). The clay structures are dioctahedral with similar octahedral Mg and relatively high Fe〈sup〉3〈/sup〉〈sup〉+〈/sup〉 contents both in the red and green intervals. As revealed by standard petrography combined with high-resolution petrography performed through the use of a field emission scanning electron microscope, the marls have mudstone textures according to Dunham’s (1962) classification and are mostly composed of coccoliths and clay with rare nanoquartz. This rock may be considered an impure chalk. Sealing properties of the Węglówka marls are indicated by the specific surface area, porosity, pore size, and permeability, calculated using N〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 gas adsorption, helium, and mercury porosimetry. The sealing potential is postulated to result from a combination of the following: (1) origin of components (i.e., deposition of minute calcareous bioclasts and volcanic material as a source for clay); (2) oxygenated sedimentary environment (as a result of the presence of oxygen in the sediments, burrowing caused the rocks to be homogenized); and (3) tectonic-induced clogging of pore space because of reorganization of clay flakes (the rocks were strongly tectonically deformed, which resulted in reduction of porosity in clay aggregates).〈/span〉
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  • 80
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Calcite cementation has been identified as an active process in the Upper Triassic Yanchang Formation throughout its burial history and as a major diagenetic factor causing strong reservoir heterogeneities. The origins of calcite cements and their relevance to reservoir heterogeneities were investigated using a suite of petrographic and geochemical methods, including optical microscopy with fluorescence and cathodoluminescence, scanning and backscattered electron microscopy with energy-dispersive spectrometry, x-ray diffraction, x-ray fluorescence, electron probe microanalysis, quantitative evaluation of minerals by scanning electron microscopy, fluid inclusion analysis, and carbon and oxygen stable isotope analyses. The sandstones are compositionally immature with relatively high amounts of volcanic rock fragments. The two generations of calcite cements are Ca-I and Ca-II. The Ca-I calcites are distributed along the interface of sandstone and mudstone units and were formed during the Late Triassic to Early Jurassic at formation temperatures of approximately 90°C. The Ca-II calcite mainly developed in the lower part of the fining-upward sandstone units and was formed in the Late Jurassic at higher temperatures of approximately 110°C. The origins of calcite cements were constrained by geochemical and isotope measurements, fluid inclusion homogenization temperature, and in situ element analysis. The Ca-I calcite cement originated from dissolution of the lacustrine depositional carbonates in the interbedded mudstones and reprecipitation in the adjacent sandstones. The Ca-II calcite was mainly related to organic matter decarboxylation, with Ca〈sup〉2+〈/sup〉 having been provided internally by volcanic fragment alteration and plagioclase dissolution. Calcite cementation had caused strong reservoir heterogeneities in the Yanchang Formation tight sandstones. The Ca-I calcite cementation destroyed reservoir properties along the interface of sandstones and mudstones. The lower parts of the fining-upward sandstone units were tightly cemented by Ca-II calcite, although they originally had high porosity and permeability. The middle–upper parts of the fining-upward sandstone units contain less calcite cements and thus have better preserved reservoir pores because of oil emplacement inhibiting the calcite cementation processes.〈/span〉
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  • 81
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    Unknown
    American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG)
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉The Fuling shale gas field is located in a mountainous area, with well-developed underground rivers and karst caves. It also has a highly concentrated population, so the shale gas development in this field is faced with environmental protection problems. Combined with the characteristics of surface natural environment in the Fuling shale gas field and the features of shale gas development engineering, the main environmental issues encountered in the development of the Fuling shale gas field were analyzed. Studies on intensive land use, water conservation and protection, harmless use and disposal of oil-based drill cuttings, recycling of wastewater from drilling and fracturing, and green environment management mode for shale gas development were conducted, and the green development technology system suitable for the Fuling shale gas field was established. Field applications showed that, after applying the green development technology, the land occupation was reduced by 62.l%, the recycling rate of drilling and fracturing wastewater was up to 100%, the oil content of treated oil-based drill cuttings was less than 0.3%, and carbon dioxide emission was reduced by 64.47 × 10〈sup〉4〈/sup〉 t (1.41 × 10〈sup〉9〈/sup〉 lb). Thus, the goal of zero contamination was realized during shale gas field development. Research showed that the green and environmental protection development technology for the Fuling shale gas field has served as a valuable demonstration in the environmental protection in large-scale development of shale gas fields in China.〈/span〉
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  • 82
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Increased oil and gas production in many areas has led to concerns over the effects these activities may be having on nearby groundwater quality. In this study, we determine the lateral and vertical extent of groundwater with less than 10,000 mg/L total dissolved solids near the Lost Hills–Belridge oil fields in northwestern Kern County, California, and document evidence of impacts by produced water disposal within the Tulare aquifer and overlying alluvium, the primary protected aquifers in the area.The depth at which groundwater salinity surpasses 10,000 mg/L ranges from 150 m (500 ft) in the northwestern part of the study area to 490–550 m (1600–1800 ft) in the south and east, respectively, as determined by geophysical log analysis and lab analysis of produced water samples. Comparison of logs from replacement wells with logs from their older counterparts shows relatively higher-resistivity intervals representing the vadose zone or fresher groundwater being replaced by intervals with much lower resistivity because of infiltration of brines from surface disposal ponds and injection of brines into disposal wells. The effect of the surface ponds is confined to the alluvial aquifer—the underlying Tulare aquifer is largely protected by a regional clay layer at the base of the alluvium. Sand layers affected by injection of produced waters in nearby disposal wells commonly exhibit log resistivity profiles that change from high resistivity in their upper parts to low resistivity near the base because of stratification by gravity segregation of the denser brines within each affected sand. The effects of produced water injection are mainly evident within the Tulare Formation and can be noted as far as 550 m (1800 ft) from the main group of disposal wells located along the east flank of South Belridge.〈/span〉
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  • 83
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Recent oil discoveries in an Aptian–Cenomanian clinothem in Arctic Alaska demonstrate the potential for hundred-million- to billion-barrel oil accumulations in Nanushuk Formation topsets and Torok Formation foresets–bottomsets. Oil-prone source rocks and the clinothem are draped across the Barrow arch, a structural hinge between the Colville foreland basin and Beaufort Sea rifted margin. Stratigraphic traps lie in a favorable thermal maturity domain along multiple migration pathways across more than 30,000 km〈sup〉2〈/sup〉 (10,000 mi〈sup〉2〈/sup〉). Sediment from the Chukotkan orogen (Russia) filled the western Colville basin and spilled over the Beaufort rift shoulder, forming east- and north-facing shelf margins. Progradational shelf margin trajectories change abruptly to “sawtooth” trajectories at midclinothem, the result of reduction in sediment influx. Two stratigraphic trap types are inferred in Nanushuk basal topsets in the eastern part of the clinothem: (1) lowstand systems tracts, inferred to reflect forced regression, include a narrow, thick progradational stacking pattern perched on a sequence boundary on the upper slope; and (2) highstand-progradational systems tracts include a broad, thin wedge of shingled parasequences above a toplap surface. Both include stratigraphically isolated sandstone sealed by mudstone. Trap geometries in Torok foreset and bottomset facies in the same area include basin-floor fan, slope-apron, and slope-channel deposits that pinch out upslope and are sealed by mudstone. Significant potential exists for the discovery of additional oil accumulations in these stratigraphic trap types in the eastern part of the clinothem. Less potential may exist in the western part because reservoir–seal pairs may not be well developed.〈/span〉
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  • 84
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Porosity is one of the most important rock properties in describing hydrocarbon reservoirs. Tests on core samples provide direct and representative porosity data, and the measurement of porosity at high confining pressures is recognized to correlate well with subsurface reservoir porosity. Whereas theoretical deductions of the changes and relationships of pressures, volumes, and compressibility suggest that porosity is reduced during the coring and lifting processes, the porosity measurement at elevated confining pressure does not evaluate original reservoir porosity. This theory is quantitatively validated by repeated laboratory experiments of loading and unloading on sandstone core samples. When the in situ confining pressure is approximately 30–35 MPa (∼4350–5076 psi), coring and lifting would cause a porosity reduction of approximately 1.2%–1.6%, and the porosity test under high confining stress results in further porosity loss. A revised approach in calculating reservoir porosity from cored samples is proposed and can have significant implications for reserve calculations, recovery factors, and geostatistical reservoir models. The study is important for both conventional and unconventional reservoirs because it discusses a fundamental mechanism of porosity change.〈/span〉
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  • 85
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    Unknown
    American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG)
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉In this paper, high-resolution three-dimensional seismic data are used to interpret a transpressional salt tectonic structure in the Yingxiongling area, Qaidam Basin, China. The geometries of the salt structure and the Shizigou fault system that intersects it are precisely depicted. The Shizigou fault system is composed of suprasalt and subsalt components. The suprasalt component is a Y-shaped reverse fault, and the subsalt component is a complex flower structure. In previous studies, suprasalt and subsalt components were interpreted as two independent fault systems. This paper proposes instead that the suprasalt and subsalt faults are kinematically related and decoupled across the salt layer.〈/span〉
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  • 86
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Miocene carbonate reservoirs in Central Luconia, offshore Sarawak, Malaysia, have been delivering gas for over 30 yr. In this paper, learnings from that period of production are used to understand the key drivers affecting flow during production and recovery optimization in existing fields as well as development decisions for new discoveries. The large data set, generated over more than 40 yr, was analyzed in a consistent manner through a holistic database, constrained by a stratigraphic framework, to allow reservoir units to be compared like-for-like (“integrated knowledge base” [IKB] concept). Carbonate reservoir heterogeneities impacting flow are grouped into “horizontal–heterogeneities”—argillaceous flooding layers and exposure-related karst—and “vertical–heterogeneities”—large-scale architectural elements, found especially along platform margins. Both types of heterogeneities control water ingress during production and influence the recovery mechanism. Argillaceous flooding layers can act as baffles, holding back water rise during production, or can form pressure compartments. Long-lived, fault-bounded reef margins, carbonate shoals, islands, and karsts can be vertical conduits for aquifer inflow. Platform shape and architecture impact column height and hence recovery efficiency. Additional drivers impacting recovery were found to be gas-column height, aquifer size and permeability, pressure connection to neighboring fields, and field development concepts. All drivers identified impact decisions throughout the field life, e.g., well count and design, intervention capabilities, evaluation and mitigation of early-water breakthrough, reservoir management, selecting enhanced recovery methods, and abandonment pressure. The IKB allowed to derive “big rules” on what matters for flow, which were used to decide on development strategies for greenfields in Central Luconia. The presented outcomes can be extrapolated to comparable carbonate systems, whereas the IKB approach can be adapted and applied to other mature basins and reservoir types where equally vast and historic data sets are awaiting to be used in the current era of digitalization.〈/span〉
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  • 87
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    Unknown
    American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG)
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Petroleum mobility in shale is closely correlated with the attributes of shale petroleum and pores; however, the relationship between these attributes is poorly understood. To characterize petroleum mobility in self-sourcing reservoirs, a suite of mature Eocene shales was selected and subjected to organic solvent extraction, and both the raw and solvent-treated samples were analyzed using pyrolysis, nitrogen adsorption, and x-ray diffraction. The results show that the pore surface area and pore volume of these shales are mainly controlled by their clay and quartz content rather than their organic matter (OM) content and are limited by the presence of carbonates. Correlations of soluble OM with pore surface area and volume after solvent extraction indicate that petroleum mobility of studied shales is initiated when the petroleum content reaches 0.70 wt. % of the rock and the pore diameter is over 12.1 nm. These thresholds are established in the studied area and should be similar for the self-sourcing reservoirs from similar sedimentary environments. This work proposes a method to reveal the thresholds of petroleum content and pore diameter for petroleum mobility in self-sourcing reservoirs, which is useful in the assessment of petroleum producibility and is of significance for unconventional petroleum exploration and exploitation.〈/span〉
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  • 88
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉For oil-rich shales, current solvent extraction– and thermal extraction–based methods inaccurately measure hydrocarbon-filled porosity (〈span〉φ〈/span〉〈sub〉〈span〉HC〈/span〉〈/sub〉). Moreover, the hydrocarbon composition is not characterized by either method. Here, we show how open-system programmed thermal extraction and pyrolysis, LECO total organic carbon, Archimedes bulk density, and helium pycnometry measurements are integrated to calculate oil and gas pore volumes, characterize their composition, and estimate mobility. Use of a modified multiramp, slow-heating thermal extract, and pyrolysis temperature program further subdivides the 〈span〉φ〈/span〉〈sub〉〈span〉HC〈/span〉〈/sub〉. Saturate–aromatic–resin–asphaltene (SARA) separation and gas chromatography of solvent-extracted organic matter and thermally extracted oils are used to compositionally classify the 〈span〉φ〈/span〉〈sub〉〈span〉HC〈/span〉〈/sub〉. The segregated bulk compositions of gas- and oil-filled porosity measured via this method are shown to overlap and are broken into the following categories: gas-filled porosity (∼C〈sub〉1〈/sub〉–C〈sub〉14〈/sub〉), light oil–filled porosity (∼C〈sub〉6〈/sub〉–C〈sub〉36〈/sub〉), and heavy oil–filled porosity (∼C〈sub〉32〈/sub〉–C〈sub〉36〈/sub〉+). Furthermore, slow-heating multiramp thermal extraction can subdivide the light oil–filled porosity into four components capturing the C〈sub〉11〈/sub〉–C〈sub〉13〈/sub〉, C〈sub〉12〈/sub〉–C〈sub〉16〈/sub〉, C〈sub〉14〈/sub〉–C〈sub〉20〈/sub〉, and C〈sub〉17〈/sub〉–C〈sub〉36〈/sub〉 ranges of the extractable organic matter. Analysis of solvent-extracted oils by SARA identifies abundant saturates and aromatics in the light oil–filled porosity and abundant resins and asphaltenes in the heavy oil–filled porosity. Low-maturity shales can be dominated by heavy (C〈sub〉32〈/sub〉+) oils rich in asphaltene and resin fractions not observed in the produced fluid. The ratios of SARA components in the C〈sub〉15〈/sub〉+ fraction of produced fluid and core extract can be used to better estimate the potentially mobile 〈span〉φ〈/span〉〈sub〉〈span〉HC〈/span〉〈/sub〉.〈/span〉
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  • 89
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉The Fuling gas field in Sichuan Basin, China, has produced greater than 1.5 × 10〈sup〉10〈/sup〉 m〈sup〉3〈/sup〉 (0.53 tcf) of natural gas from overmature Upper Ordovician Wufeng and lower Silurian Longmaxi shales. To systemically investigate the characteristics of wettability and connectivity and to understand the underlying causes of production behavior, we study five samples of Wufeng and Longmaxi shales with different total organic carbon contents and mineral compositions. Complementary approaches include mercury intrusion capillary pressure (MICP), contact angle measurement, spontaneous imbibition and saturated diffusion, and tracer (both nonsorbing and sorbing) migration mapped via laser ablation inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. According to measured contact angles and imbibition tests conducted on aqueous (deionized water and brine) and oleic (n-decane) phases, Wufeng and Longmaxi shales are strongly oil wet and moderately strong water wet. The lower boundary of estimated permeability obtained from n-decane imbibition can reach 137 nd, which is higher than the geometric mean permeability derived from the MICP method (5.5–68.8 nd). Effective diffusion coefficients of the Wufeng and Longmaxi shales are in the range of 10〈sup〉−13〈/sup〉 m〈sup〉2〈/sup〉/s (1.1 × 10〈sup〉−12〈/sup〉 ft〈sup〉2〈/sup〉/s). Tests of imbibition and saturated diffusion using tracer-containing brine show that concentrations of nanometer-sized tracers decrease rapidly (a factor of 〉10) over a migration distance of a few millimeters from the sample edge, suggesting the presence of poorly edge-connected water-wet pores. Sparsely connected hydrophilic pores, mixed wettability, and highly restricted pathways collectively contribute to the limited migration of nano-sized tracers, which probably results in the production behavior of initial steep decline and low overall recovery in the Fuling gas field.〈/span〉
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  • 90
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉The upper zone of the Lower Cretaceous Kharaib Formation (151–177 ft [46–54 m] thick in the studied wells) is a major oil reservoir in several giant oil fields. Wide variations in porosity and permeability of this zone have been shown to result from both the inhibition of burial cementation by oil in the crest of each field and localized cementation adjacent to stylolites, combined with the more subtle influence of widely varying depositional mud content and grain size. The present study examines these relationships in closer detail, using core and petrographic observations from two wells on the oil-filled crest and two wells on the water-filled flanks of a giant domal oil field.Although porosities are higher overall in the crestal cores, each well shows wide variations within each of seven main groupings of the samples by depositional texture. This heterogeneity results mainly from the distribution of clay, which is concentrated along depositional laminations and causes widely varying porosity losses in all textures by promoting stylolite development and associated calcite cementation. Higher clay abundance (and lower porosity) within the upper and lower 12–17 ft (4–5 m) of the reservoir reflects increased influx of siliciclastic fines across the epeiric Barremian carbonate platform immediately following and preceding, respectively, third-order falls in global sea level. Most (95%) of porosity-permeability data from the studied wells lie within Lucia rock-fabric class 3, showing distinct but relatively subtle differences between texture groups, whereas a subordinate part of the data from the upper, relatively mud-poor third of the reservoir plot at higher permeabilities. Development of a predictive model for the petrophysical heterogeneity of this example requires a combination of the following: (1) a diagenetic model for porosity controls; (2) the use of a modestly higher porosity-permeability transform (upper class 3) in the upper part of the reservoir than in the lower reservoir (lower class 3); and (3) a recognition of the scattered and widely varying occurrences of exceptionally high permeabilities in the upper reservoir.〈/span〉
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  • 91
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉In the Paleocene to Eocene Wilcox Group in the northern Gulf of Mexico, exploration targets are reaching into deep to ultradeep burial depths. At these great depths, reservoir quality (porosity and permeability) becomes an important risk factor in determining the chance of encountering an economic reservoir. Major controls on reservoir quality are pore types and abundances, pore-throat sizes, and pore network composition. These factors can be analyzed by integrating petrographic, core plug porosity and permeability, and mercury injection capillary pressure (MICP) analyses. The Wilcox sandstones are mostly lithic arkoses and feldspathic litharenites that contain primary interparticle pores, secondary dissolution pores, and micropores. However, these pore types evolve with depth and temperature. As temperature increases, the relative abundance of primary interparticle pores decreases, whereas the relative abundance of secondary dissolution pores and nano- to micropores increases. Associated with this evolution of pore networks with increasing temperature, there is a decrease in reservoir quality. This decrease in reservoir quality is caused by a transition to finer pore-throat sizes that correspond to changes in pore types. Petrographic analysis provides information on pore types, core plug porosity and permeability analysis provides information on volume of pores and effectiveness of flow, and MICP analysis provides information on pore-throat radius distribution. Through forecasting the pore network in the target temperature zone, a realistic porosity versus permeability transform can be selected to estimate permeability from wire-line log porosity.〈/span〉
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  • 92
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉The Canning Basin is a largely unexposed and underexplored frontier basin, formed mostly in the Paleozoic. Geological knowledge of this basin is based predominantly on sparse regional “vintage” two-dimensional seismic and small three-dimensional (3-D) seismic surveys and less than 230 exploration wells. Following seismic interpretation, an integrated interpretation was completed on airborne gravity gradiometer (AGG), magnetic, seismic, well, and complementary data along the southwestern margin of the Fitzroy trough and Gregory subbasin. Seismic data were reinterpreted using AGG data to produce a better constrained geological model. A basement structure map, two intrasedimentary structure maps, and a formation distribution map were produced. The interpretation of seismic profiles, validated through 2.5-dimensional gravity gradiometer modeling, is essential to this workflow.Repeatedly reactivated west–northwest and northwest structural trends, inherited from Proterozoic orogenies, respectively delineate the Fitzroy trough and the Gregory subbasin with its northwestern structural extension into the Fitzroy trough, the Gregory subbasin trend. Subsidence occurred during two periods of extension. An asymmetric extensional system of the Fitzroy trough controlled Ordovician–Silurian deposition of the Carribuddy Group. Devonian–Carboniferous subsidence defines the Gregory subbasin trend. This Pillara extension reactivated structures in the east of the Fitzroy trough. Simultaneous activity of both extensional fault systems and growth faulting controlled the facies and thickness distribution of carbonates and clastics of the early Carboniferous Fairfield Group. The Meda and Fitzroy transpressional phases inverted faults of the Gregory subbasin trend and Fitzroy trough, producing prospects by structural interference.The improved understanding of tectono-stratigraphic relationships, including the 3-D distribution of carbonate reservoirs, benefited the planning of seismic surveys, prospect evaluation, drilling, and acreage relinquishment.〈/span〉
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  • 93
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    Unknown
    American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG)
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Thermal conductivity is a major influencing factor on subsurface conductive heat transport and resulting temperature distribution, which in turn is a key parameter in basin modeling. Basin modeling studies commonly use representative literature values of thermal conductivity despite their impact on modeling results. We introduce a workflow for quantifying the effect of uncertain thermal conductivity on subsurface temperature distribution and thus on basin modeling results and test this workflow on a two-dimensional generic model from the Nordkapp Basin; a prior ensemble of possible models is conditioned according to Bayes’ theorem to incorporate prior knowledge of temperature data. This conditional probability yields a posterior ensemble of temperature fields with a significantly reduced standard deviation. To verify our approach, we use five characteristic scenarios from the posterior ensemble for transient petroleum systems modeling. How considering uncertain thermal conductivity affects variance in hydrocarbon generation is assessed by modeling corresponding vitrinite reflectances (〈span〉R〈/span〉〈sub〉〈span〉o〈/span〉〈/sub〉).Temperature uncertainty increases with depth. It also increases with increasing offset from the salt diapirs, which can be associated with a large lateral heat-flow component in the complex tectonic environment of the Nordkapp Basin. The introduced workflow can reduce temperature uncertainty significantly, especially in regions with high prior uncertainty. The 〈span〉R〈/span〉〈sub〉〈span〉o〈/span〉〈/sub〉 is very sensitive to changes in thermal conductivity because the onset depth of the gas window in the Nordkapp Basin may vary by up to 800 m (2600 ft) within the 95% confidence interval. This demonstrates the importance of quantification of the uncertainty in thermal conductivity on thermal basin modeling.〈/span〉
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  • 94
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉The Yinggehai–Song Hong Basin has received a large amount of terrigenous sediment from different continental blocks since the Paleogene. The Yingdong slope, which is located on the eastern side of this basin, is an important potential gas province, but the provenance of the marine sediments in this area are poorly understood. The detrital zircon U-Pb geochronology of sedimentary rocks from the lower Miocene to Quaternary is examined in this study to investigate the temporal and spatial variations in provenance since the early Miocene. The U-Pb ages of detrital zircon range from 3078 to 30 Ma, suggesting that sediment input is derived from multiple sources. Detailed analyses of these components indicate that both the Red River and Hainan are likely the major sources of the sediments on the Yingdong slope, with additional minor contributions from central Vietnam (eastern Indochina block) and possibly the Songpan–Garze block. Variations in the dominant detrital zircon populations within stratigraphic successions display an increasing contribution from the Red River since the middle Miocene. This resulted from the progradation of the Red River Delta in the northern basin and may have also been influenced by regional surface uplift and associated climate changes in East Asia. This study shows that the Red River has had a relatively stable provenance since at least the early Miocene, indicating that any large-scale drainage capture of the Red River should have occurred before circa 23 Ma.〈/span〉
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  • 95
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉The Jurassic black mudstone and coal beds in the central Junggar Basin, northwestern China, are the major source rocks for the basin with type II〈sub〉2〈/sub〉 and type III (gas-prone) kerogens. Widespread overpressures are developed in the Jurassic stratigraphic interval. Sonic and resistivity logs display strong characteristic responses of overpressure in the mudstones, with anomalously high acoustic traveltimes and low resistivity compared with the normally pressured mudstones. The overpressured Jurassic sediment sequences appear to have undergone normal compaction because the mudstones exhibit no anomalously low bulk density. The overpressured mudstones deviate from the normally pressured mudstones in density–effective vertical stress space. The overpressure in the Jurassic source rocks is, therefore, not caused by disequilibrium compaction. The overpressured Jurassic sandstone reservoirs are predominantly oil and gas saturated or oil bearing. The well-log responses of the overpressured mudstones and seismic velocity characteristics indicate that the top depth of the overpressure zone ranges from 3800 to 4600 m (12,500 to 15,100 ft), corresponding to formation temperatures of approximately 94°C to 111°C (∼201°F to 232°F), with estimated vitrinite reflectance values of 0.6% to 0.75%. The Jurassic source rocks with overpressure are capable of generating hydrocarban at present and are currently overpressured. All the evidence suggests that the overpressure in the Jurassic source rocks in the central Junggar Basin is caused by hydrocarbon (HC) generation. The overpressure evolution was modeled quantitatively in response to pressure changes caused by HC generation during basin evolution. The results indicate that multiple episodes of overpressure development and release occurred within the Jurassic source rocks, suggesting multiple episodes of HC expulsion. The timing and numbers of these episodes of HC expulsion were thus determined from the modeled overpressure evolution.〈/span〉
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    Electronic ISSN: 1943-2674
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  • 96
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    American Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG)
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Thermal properties of rocks are essential parameters for investigating the geothermal regime of sedimentary basins, and they are also important factors in assessments of hydrocarbon and geothermal energy resources. The Tarim Basin, the largest basin located in the north of the Tibetan Plateau, northwestern China, has great hydrocarbon resource potential and is an ongoing target for industry exploration. However, the thermal properties of sedimentary rocks within the basin are yet to be systematically investigated at a basin scale, thereby limiting our understanding of the thermal regime in the basin. Here, we collected 101 samples of sedimentary rocks and measured their thermal properties. Our results show that the ranges (and means) of thermal conductivity, radiogenic heat production, and specific heat capacity are 1.08–5.35 W/mK (2.52 ± 0.99 W/mK), 0.03–3.24 μW/m〈sup〉3〈/sup〉 (1.24 ± 0.87 μW/m〈sup〉3〈/sup〉), and 0.75–1.10 kJ/(kg·°C) (0.87 ± 0.07 kJ/(kg·°C)), respectively. Volumetric heat capacity and thermal diffusivity at the temperature of 40°C range from 1.61 to 2.79 MJ/(m〈sup〉3〈/sup〉·K) (2.26 ± 0.25 MJ/[m〈sup〉3〈/sup〉·K]) and 0.44–2.95 × 10〈sup〉−6〈/sup〉 m〈sup〉2〈/sup〉/s ((1.12 ± 0.53) × 10〈sup〉−6〈/sup〉 m〈sup〉2〈/sup〉/s), respectively. The thermal properties vary considerably for different lithologies, even within the same lithotype, indicating that thermal properties alone cannot be used to distinguish lithology. Thermal conductivity increases with increased burial depth, density, and stratigraphic age, suggesting the dominant influence is porosity variation on thermal conductivity. Furthermore, a strong contrast in the thermal properties of rock salt and other sedimentary rocks perturbs the geothermal pattern, which should be taken into consideration when performing basin modeling.〈/span〉
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  • 97
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉The relationship between base metal deposits, especially Mississippi Valley–type (MVT) Pb–Zn deposits, and hydrocarbons is not well constrained. This is despite the fact that hydrocarbons generally occur in MVT deposits; the ores are emplaced in the same temperature range as hydrocarbon maturation and migration, and the deposits commonly occur in proximity to metal-rich black shales. Better understanding should lead to better exploration models for both hydrocarbons and MVT deposits. This connection is better understood with the help of Pb isotope patterns. Sphalerite Pb isotope compositions from the northern Arkansas and Tri-State mining districts and Woodford–Chattanooga and Fayetteville Shales were determined to assess the potential of shales as source rocks for the ore metals. The ores in both districts have a broad range of Pb isotope ratios and define linear trends, suggesting mixing of Pb from two distinct end members. Current results and previous depositional environment studies indicate the following: (1) shales deposited mainly under nonsulfidic anoxic conditions represent the less radiogenic end member, or (2) shales are the only source of ore metals. Given the array of organic molecules, each with their own thermochemical range, and the ways metals can be associated with them, the release of metals may cover varying ranges. Thus, the compositions of the released fluids would change through time and not have a single static composition, closely approximating the isotopic composition of the released metals at various times. Mineralization derived from a dynamically evolving fluid may show apparent end members, without the need to call on mixing of fluids from separate sources.〈/span〉
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  • 98
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉A subaqueous clinoform system has been identified from high-quality three-dimensional seismic data from the northeast Exmouth Plateau, North West Shelf, Australia, and was interpreted as a shelf–slope–basin clinoformal component of a Jurassic fluviodeltaic system (the Legendre delta). Several geomorphological features associated with shelf-slope development and subsequent rift tectonics were identified, including (1) submarine channels at slope to basin floor; (2) gullies on the slope; (3) slumps on the shelf; and (4) canyons, canyon-derived gravity flow deposits, and a fan lobe developed in subsequent rift processes.The results of this study provide insights into the controlling factors on the sinuosity, degree of erosion, and sediment gravity flows of channels developed at slope to basin-floor settings, which shed light on the way fluvial sands were transported across the shelf and slope to the basin floor. The geometries and distributions of gravity flow deposits, if confirmed by drilling, may serve as an analog for reservoir prediction in the deep-water fluviodeltaic settings. The gullies on the slope were interpreted as a result of dilute, sheetlike flows. The slumps on the shelf were interpreted as a result of nonslope-related causes.The syntectonic canyons, the canyon-derived gravity flow deposits, and the fan lobe present vivid examples of the erosion and sedimentation processes during active rift tectonics and have significant implications for understanding the rift processes of the North West Shelf, Australia, as well as other rift-related basins.〈/span〉
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  • 99
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Giant petroleum accumulations worldwide with burial depths more than 7000 m (〉23,000 ft) occur mostly in Mesozoic and Cenozoic reservoirs and yield predominantly natural gas. Recently, however, a giant oil accumulation with reservoir depths between 7000 m (23,000 ft) and 8000 m (26,000 ft) was discovered in the lower Paleozoic section in the southern part of the Halahatang region in the Tarim Basin, China. Petroleum sourced from lower Paleozoic rocks is contained in Ordovician karst fracture-cave reservoirs and sealed by Middle–Upper Ordovician limestones and mudstones. The newly discovered superdeep accumulation is among the deepest black single-phase oil accumulations worldwide and opens up new avenues for petroleum exploration in deep-marine carbonate reservoirs. Reservoir pressures are between 75 MPa (10,878 psi) and 85 MPa (12,328 psi), with pressure coefficients between 1.2 and 1.7 and temperatures ranging between 140°C (284°F) and 172°C (342°F). Charging and accumulation of petroleum occurred during the late Hercynian orogeny, followed by subsequent gradual deep burial, which took place before rapid subsidence beginning circa 5 Ma. Following subsidence, the thickness of overlying strata increased by more than 2000 m (〉6600 ft) before finally attaining current depth. Therefore, this oil accumulation represents a well-preserved ancient petroleum system. Based on the geochemical features of oils and gases, the crude oils can be classified as mature, sourced from mixed marine organofacies of shale, marl, and carbonate, whereas the gases were cogenerated with oils. Despite very high present-day reservoir temperatures, no oil cracking has occurred because of the relatively short exposure of oils to high temperatures in a low geothermal gradient regime. Thus, there is significant exploration potential under similar conditions for liquid petroleum in superdeep strata. Faults and reservoirs are major factors controlling petroleum accumulation. Interlayer karsts with excellent fracture-cavity connectivity developed adjacent to faults, generally resulting in the enrichment of oil and gas along fault zones. High-quality reservoirs in this area are easy to identify because they exhibit strong bead-like amplitude features in seismic sections. Wells located near faults produce relatively large amounts of oil and gas. Effective karst fracture-cave reservoirs with noncracked oil may exist below 8000 m (26,000 ft) in the Tarim Basin and represent a significant exploration target in China.〈/span〉
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  • 100
    Publication Date: 2019
    Description: 〈span〉〈div〉ABSTRACT〈/div〉Substantial amounts of petroleum were recently discovered in the Carboniferous andesite, tuff, breccia, and basalt reservoirs of the Chepaizi uplift in the western Junggar Basin. However, the charging history of the Carboniferous petroleum reservoir is poorly understood. Oil–oil correlation studies indicate that all of the oils were mainly derived from the middle Permian Wuerhe Formation source rocks, possibly mixed with a small contribution from Carboniferous Baogutu Formation source rocks in the neighboring Changji sag. Based on the petrographic and microthermometry of fluid inclusions, two hydrocarbon charging episodes are defined; these episodes were characterized by a low-peak-range homogenization temperature (〈span〉Th〈/span〉) distribution (80°C–90°C) and high salinity (13.22–13.42 wt. % NaCl) and a high-peak-range 〈span〉Th〈/span〉 distribution (120°C–130°C) and low salinity (4.89–11.72 wt. % NaCl), respectively. Through one-dimensional basin modeling and pressure–volume–temperature–composition simulation, the burial-thermal histories for wells P61, P66, P668, and P663 were reconstructed, and their trapping temperatures of the hydrocarbon inclusions were calculated to be higher than their corresponding highest paleotemperature (i.e., 56.8°C, 53.7°C, 60.9°C, and 58.1°C, respectively), implying fast hydrocarbon charging processes promoted by deep hydrothermal fluids. Associated with the hydrocarbon generation history, sealing process of the Hongche fault, and regional tectonic evolution, these two hydrocarbon charging events were deduced as the adjustments of oils previously accumulated along the Hongche fault zone, because of the tectonic extension in the Paleogene and regional tilting in the Neogene, respectively. The general direction of oil charging was traced from south to north and from east to west, as indicated by the molecular parameters of nitrogen-bearing compounds and C〈sub〉20〈/sub〉 + C〈sub〉21〈/sub〉 triaromatic steroids/C〈sub〉20〈/sub〉 + C〈sub〉21〈/sub〉 + C〈sub〉26〈/sub〉–C〈sub〉28〈/sub〉 triaromatic steroids (TA(I)/TA(I+II)), which roughly coincided with the active fracturing.〈/span〉
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