ALBERT — All Library Books, journals and Electronic Records Telegrafenberg

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Correction for Otto et al., Past role and future outlook of the Conservation Reserve Program for supporting honey bees in the Great Plains [Correction] (2018)

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-08-08

Description: SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE Correction for “Past role and future outlook of the Conservation Reserve Program for supporting honey bees in the Great Plains,” by Clint R. V. Otto, Haochi Zheng, Alisa L. Gallant, Rich Iovanna, Benjamin L. Carlson, Matthew D. Smart, and Skip Hyberg, which was first published July 2, 2018;...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Correction to Supporting Information for Alix-Garcia et al., Payments for environmental services supported social capital while increasing land management [SI Corrections] (2018)

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-12-05

Description: SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE Correction to Supporting Information for “Payments for environmental services supported social capital while increasing land management,” by Jennifer M. Alix-Garcia, Katharine R. E. Sims, Victor H. Orozco-Olvera, Laura E. Costica, Jorge David Fernández Medina, and Sofía Romo Monroy, which was first published June 14, 2018; 10.1073/pnas.1720873115 (Proc Natl...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene [Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences] (2018)

Will Steffen, Johan Rockstrom, Katherine Richardson, Timothy M. Lenton, Carl Folke, Diana Liverman, Colin P. Summerhayes, Anthony D. Barnosky, Sarah E. Cornell, Michel Crucifix, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Steven J. Lade, Marten Scheffer, Ricarda Winkelmann, Hans Joachim Schellnhuber

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-08-15

Description: We explore the risk that self-reinforcing feedbacks could push the Earth System toward a planetary threshold that, if crossed, could prevent stabilization of the climate at intermediate temperature rises and cause continued warming on a “Hothouse Earth” pathway even as human emissions are reduced. Crossing the threshold would lead to...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Effects of environmental stressors on daily governance [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Nick Obradovich, Dustin Tingley, Iyad Rahwan

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-08-29

Description: Human workers ensure the functioning of governments around the world. The efficacy of human workers, in turn, is linked to the climatic conditions they face. Here we show that the same weather that amplifies human health hazards also reduces street-level government workers’ oversight of these hazards. To do so, we...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Small room for compromise between oil palm cultivation and primate conservation in Africa [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Giovanni Strona, Simon D. Stringer, Ghislain Vieilledent, Zoltan Szantoi, John Garcia-Ulloa, Serge A. Wich

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-08-29

Description: Despite growing awareness about its detrimental effects on tropical biodiversity, land conversion to oil palm continues to increase rapidly as a consequence of global demand, profitability, and the income opportunity it offers to producing countries. Although most industrial oil palm plantations are located in Southeast Asia, it is argued that...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Infrastructure to enable deployment of carbon capture, utilization, and storage in the United States [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Ryan W. J. Edwards, Michael A. Celia

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-09-19

Description: In February 2018, the United States enacted significant financial incentives for carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) that will make capture from the lowest-capture-cost sources economically viable. The largest existing low-capture-cost opportunity is from ethanol fermentation at biorefineries in the Midwest. An impediment to deployment of carbon capture at ethanol...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Synchronization of energy consumption by human societies throughout the Holocene [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Jacob Freeman, Jacopo A. Baggio, Erick Robinson, David A. Byers, Eugenia Gayo, Judson Byrd Finley, Jack A. Meyer, Robert L. Kelly, John M. Anderies

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-10-04

Description: We conduct a global comparison of the consumption of energy by human populations throughout the Holocene and statistically quantify coincident changes in the consumption of energy over space and time—an ecological phenomenon known as synchrony. When populations synchronize, adverse changes in ecosystems and social systems may cascade from society to...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Tradeoffs in environmental and equity gains from job accessibility [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Eleanor C. Stokes, Karen C. Seto

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-10-17

Description: Increasing job accessibility is considered key to urban sustainability progress, both from an environmental and from a social perspective. However, sustainability outcomes depend on the processes contributing to accessibility trends, not just the trends themselves. Here, we ask whether sustainability benefits have followed from accessibility trends in the United States....

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Empirical evidence of mental health risks posed by climate change [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Nick Obradovich, Robyn Migliorini, Martin P. Paulus, Iyad Rahwan

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-10-24

Description: Sound mental health—a critical facet of human wellbeing—has the potential to be undermined by climate change. Few large-scale studies have empirically examined this hypothesis. Here, we show that short-term exposure to more extreme weather, multiyear warming, and tropical cyclone exposure each associate with worsened mental health. To do so, we...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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More than $1 billion needed annually to secure Africa’s protected areas with lions [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Peter A. Lindsey, Jennifer R. B. Miller, Lisanne S. Petracca, Lauren Coad, Amy J. Dickman, Kathleen H. Fitzgerald, Michael V. Flyman, Paul J. Funston, Philipp Henschel, Samuel Kasiki, Kathryn Knights, Andrew J. Loveridge, David W. Macdonald, Roseline L. Mandisodza-Chikerema, Sean Nazerali, Andrew J. Plumptre, Riko Stevens, Hugo W. Van Zyl, Luke T. B. Hunter

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-11-07

Description: Protected areas (PAs) play an important role in conserving biodiversity and providing ecosystem services, yet their effectiveness is undermined by funding shortfalls. Using lions (Panthera leo) as a proxy for PA health, we assessed available funding relative to budget requirements for PAs in Africa’s savannahs. We compiled a dataset of...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Limiting the high impacts of Amazon forest dieback with no-regrets science and policy action [Environmental Sciences] (2018)

David M. Lapola, Patricia Pinho, Carlos A. Quesada, Bernardo B. N. Strassburg, Anȷa Rammig, Bart Kruiȷt, Foster Brown, Jean P. H. B. Ometto, Adriano Premebida, Jose A. Marengo, Walter Vergara, Carlos A. Nobre

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-11-14

Description: Large uncertainties still dominate the hypothesis of an abrupt large-scale shift of the Amazon forest caused by climate change [Amazonian forest dieback (AFD)] even though observational evidence shows the forest and regional climate changing. Here, we assess whether mitigation or adaptation action should be taken now, later, or not at...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Bottom trawl fishing footprints on the world’s continental shelves [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Ricardo O. Amoroso, C. Roland Pitcher, Adriaan D. Riȷnsdorp, Robert A. McConnaughey, Ana M. Parma, Petri Suuronen, Ole R. Eigaard, Francois Bastardie, Niels T. Hintzen, Franziska Althaus, Susan Jane Baird, Jenny Black, Lene Buhl–Mortensen, Alexander B. Campbell, Rui Catarino, Jeremy Collie, James H. Cowan Jr., Deon Durholtz, Nadia Engstrom, Tracey P. Fairweather, Heino O. Fock, Richard Ford, Patricio A. Galvez, Hans Gerritsen, Maria Eva Gongora, Jessica A. Gonzalez, Jan G. Hiddink, Kathryn M. Hughes, Steven S. Intelmann, Chris Jenkins, Patrik Jonsson, Paulus Kainge, Mervi Kangas, Johannes N. Kathena, Stefanos Kavadas, Rob W. Leslie, Steve G. Lewis, Mathieu Lundy, David Makin, Julie Martin, Tessa Mazor, Genoveva Gonzalez–Mirelis, Stephen J. Newman, Nadia Papadopoulou, Paulette E. Posen, Wayne Rochester, Tommaso Russo, Antonello Sala, Jayson M. Semmens, Cristina Silva, Angelo Tsolos, Bart Vanelslander, Corey B. Wakefield, Brent A. Wood, Ray Hilborn, Michel J. Kaiser, Simon Jennings

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-10-24

Description: Bottom trawlers land around 19 million tons of fish and invertebrates annually, almost one-quarter of wild marine landings. The extent of bottom trawling footprint (seabed area trawled at least once in a specified region and time period) is often contested but poorly described. We quantify footprints using high-resolution satellite vessel...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Strengthening sustainability through data [Sustainability Science] (2018)

D. G. Webster

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-10-31

Description: There is a well-known folk tale about six blind men who go to see an elephant. Each man touches a different part of the animal, so each believes the elephant to be a different type of creature. Rather than pooling their knowledge to create a complete picture, they argue, and,...

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The demise of caterpillar fungus in the Himalayan region due to climate change and overharvesting [Ecology] (2018)

Kelly A. Hopping, Stephen M. Chignell, Eric F. Lambin

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-11-07

Description: Demand for traditional medicine ingredients is causing species declines globally. Due to this trade, Himalayan caterpillar fungus (Ophiocordyceps sinensis) has become one of the world’s most valuable biological commodities, providing a crucial source of income for hundreds of thousands of collectors. However, the resulting harvesting boom has generated widespread concern...

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A multiscale approach to balance trade-offs among dam infrastructure, river restoration, and cost [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Samuel G. Roy, Emi Uchida, Simone P. de Souza, Ben Blachly, Emma Fox, Kevin Gardner, Arthur J. Gold, Jessica Jansujwicz, Sharon Klein, Bridie McGreavy, Weiwei Mo, Sean M. C. Smith, Emily Vogler, Karen Wilson, Joseph Zydlewski, David Hart

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-11-21

Description: Aging infrastructure and growing interests in river restoration have led to a substantial rise in dam removals in the United States. However, the decision to remove a dam involves many complex trade-offs. The benefits of dam removal for hazard reduction and ecological restoration are potentially offset by the loss of...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Transitions to freshwater sustainability [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Peter H. Gleick

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-09-05

Description: Fundamental transitions in natural resources technologies, institutions, and management approaches are often difficult to see in advance, or even in the midst, of actual changes. Such a transformation now appears to be underway for freshwater resources, driven by increasingly severe water-related crises around the world. These include mismatches between supply...

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Status-quo management of marine recreational fisheries undermines angler welfare [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Joshua K. Abbott, Patrick Lloyd-Smith, Daniel Willard, Wiktor Adamowicz

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-09-05

Description: Recreational fisheries can have a significant impact on fish populations and can suffer from the same symptoms of open access as commercial fisheries. However, recreational fisheries receive little attention compared with their commercial counterparts. Regulations designed to allocate scarce fish, such as seasonal closures and bag limits, can result in...

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The impact of exposure to air pollution on cognitive performance [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Xin Zhang, Xi Chen, Xiaobo Zhang

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-09-12

Description: This paper examines the effect of both cumulative and transitory exposures to air pollution for the same individuals over time on cognitive performance by matching a nationally representative longitudinal survey and air quality data in China according to the exact time and geographic locations of the cognitive tests. We find...

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Uncertainty in forecasts of long-run economic growth [Sustainability Science] (2018)

P. Christensen, K. Gillingham, W. Nordhaus

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-05-23

Description: Forecasts of long-run economic growth are critical inputs into policy decisions being made today on the economy and the environment. Despite its importance, there is a sparse literature on long-run forecasts of economic growth and the uncertainty in such forecasts. This study presents comprehensive probabilistic long-run projections of global and...

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Correction for Sanchez et al., Near-term deployment of carbon capture and sequestration from biorefineries in the United States [Correction] (2018)

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-10-17

Description: SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE Correction for “Near-term deployment of carbon capture and sequestration from biorefineries in the United States,” by Daniel L. Sanchez, Nils Johnson, Sean T. McCoy, Peter A. Turner, and Katharine J. Mach, which was first published April 23, 2018; 10.1073/pnas.1719695115 (Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 115:4875–4880). The authors note...

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Drought losses in China might double between the 1.5 {degrees}C and 2.0 {degrees}C warming [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Buda Su, Jinlong Huang, Thomas Fischer, Yanjun Wang, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, Jianqing Zhai, Hemin Sun, Anqian Wang, Xiaofan Zeng, Guojie Wang, Hui Tao, Marco Gemmer, Xiucang Li, Tong Jiang

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-10-17

Description: We project drought losses in China under global temperature increase of 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C, based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), a cluster analysis method, and “intensity-loss rate” function. In contrast to earlier studies, to project the drought losses, we...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Three pillars of sustainability in fisheries [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Frank Asche, Taryn M. Garlock, James L. Anderson, Simon R. Bush, Martin D. Smith, Christopher M. Anderson, Jingȷie Chu, Karen A. Garrett, Audun Lem, Kai Lorenzen, Atle Oglend, Sigbȷorn Tveteras, Stefania Vannuccini

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-10-31

Description: Sustainability of global fisheries is a growing concern. The United Nations has identified three pillars of sustainability: economic development, social development, and environmental protection. The fisheries literature suggests that there are two key trade-offs among these pillars of sustainability. First, poor ecological health of a fishery reduces economic profits for...

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Haiti’s biodiversity threatened by nearly complete loss of primary forest [Sustainability Science] (2018)

S. Blair Hedges, Warren B. Cohen, Joel Timyan, Zhiqiang Yang

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-11-14

Description: Tropical forests hold most of Earth’s biodiversity. Their continued loss through deforestation and agriculture is the main threat to species globally, more than disease, invasive species, and climate change. However, not all tropical forests have the same ability to sustain biodiversity. Those that have been disturbed by humans, including forests...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Peculiarly pleasant weather for US maize [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Ethan E. Butler, Nathaniel D. Mueller, Peter Huybers

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-11-21

Description: Continuation of historical trends in crop yield are critical to meeting the demands of a growing and more affluent world population. Climate change may compromise our ability to meet these demands, but estimates vary widely, highlighting the importance of understanding historical interactions between yield and climate trends. The relationship between...

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Counting the fish eaten rather than the fish caught [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Edward H. Allison, David J. Mills

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-07-18

Description: Counting fish underwater is more difficult than counting sheep on a pasture but is needed to support fishery management and to enumerate the contribution fish catches currently make to human society in the form of food, income, and revenue. Inland fisheries are particularly challenging to monitor and assess. They take...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Global hidden harvest of freshwater fish revealed by household surveys [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Etienne Fluet-Chouinard, Simon Funge-Smith, Peter B. McIntyre

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-07-18

Description: Consumption of wild-caught freshwater fish is concentrated in low-income countries, where it makes a critical contribution to food security and livelihoods. Underestimation of inland harvests in official statistics has long been suspected due to unmonitored subsistence fisheries. To overcome the lack of data from extensive small-scale harvests, we used household...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Widespread loss of intermediate soil horizons in urban landscapes [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Dustin L. Herrmann, Laura A. Schifman, William D. Shuster

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-06-27

Description: Soils support terrestrial ecosystem function and therefore are critical urban infrastructure for generating ecosystem services. Urbanization processes modify ecosystem function by changing the layers of soils identified as soil horizons. Soil horizons are integrative proxies for suites of soil properties and as such can be used as an observable unit...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Future warming increases probability of globally synchronized maize production shocks [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Michelle Tigchelaar, David S. Battisti, Rosamond L. Naylor, Deepak K. Ray

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-06-27

Description: Meeting the global food demand of roughly 10 billion people by the middle of the 21st century will become increasingly challenging as the Earth’s climate continues to warm. Earlier studies suggest that once the optimum growing temperature is exceeded, mean crop yields decline and the variability of yield increases even...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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China, the United States, and competition for resources that enable emerging technologies [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Andrew L. Gulley, Nedal T. Nassar, Sean Xun

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-04-18

Description: Historically, resource conflicts have often centered on fuel minerals (particularly oil). Future resource conflicts may, however, focus more on competition for nonfuel minerals that enable emerging technologies. Whether it is rhenium in jet engines, indium in flat panel displays, or gallium in smart phones, obscure elements empower smarter, smaller, and...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Correction for Ramus et al,. An invasive foundation species enhances multifunctionality in a coastal ecosystem [Correction] (2018)

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-04-18

Description: ECOLOGY, SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE Correction for “An invasive foundation species enhances multifunctionality in a coastal ecosystem,” by Aaron P. Ramus, Brian R. Silliman, Mads S. Thomsen, and Zachary T. Long, which was first published July 17, 2017; 10.1073/pnas.1700353114 (Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 114:8580–8585). The editors note that a conflict of...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Uncertainty in long-run forecasts of quantities such as per capita gross domestic product [Economic Sciences] (2018)

M. Granger Morgan

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-05-23

Description: People make predictions about the future all of the time. Often these predictions take the form of single-value best estimates, with no associated statement of uncertainty. Sometimes that is just fine. For example, if you need to know to within a few meters where Venus or the Earth will be...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Rapid growth of the US wildland-urban interface raises wildfire risk [Environmental Sciences] (2018)

Volker C. Radeloff, David P. Helmers, H. Anu Kramer, Miranda H. Mockrin, Patricia M. Alexandre, Avi Bar–Massada, Van Butsic, Todd J. Hawbaker, Sebastian Martinuzzi, Alexandra D. Syphard, Susan I. Stewart

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-03-28

Description: The wildland-urban interface (WUI) is the area where houses and wildland vegetation meet or intermingle, and where wildfire problems are most pronounced. Here we report that the WUI in the United States grew rapidly from 1990 to 2010 in terms of both number of new houses (from 30.8 to 43.4...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Climate warming enhances snow avalanche risk in the Western Himalayas [Sustainability Science] (2018)

J. A. Ballesteros–Canovas, D. Trappmann, J. Madrigal–Gonzalez, N. Eckert, M. Stoffel

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-03-28

Description: Ongoing climate warming has been demonstrated to impact the cryosphere in the Indian Himalayas, with substantial consequences for the risk of disasters, human well-being, and terrestrial ecosystems. Here, we present evidence that the warming observed in recent decades has been accompanied by increased snow avalanche frequency in the Western Indian...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Near-term deployment of carbon capture and sequestration from biorefineries in the United States [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Daniel L. Sanchez, Nils Johnson, Sean T. McCoy, Peter A. Turner, Katharine J. Mach

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-05-09

Description: Capture and permanent geologic sequestration of biogenic CO2 emissions may provide critical flexibility in ambitious climate change mitigation. However, most bioenergy with carbon capture and sequestration (BECCS) technologies are technically immature or commercially unavailable. Here, we evaluate low-cost, commercially ready CO2 capture opportunities for existing ethanol biorefineries in the United...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Comparative terrestrial feed and land use of an aquaculture-dominant world [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Halley E. Froehlich, Claire A. Runge, Rebecca R. Gentry, Steven D. Gaines, Benjamin S. Halpern

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-05-16

Description: Reducing food production pressures on the environment while feeding an ever-growing human population is one of the grand challenges facing humanity. The magnitude of environmental impacts from food production, largely around land use, has motivated evaluation of the environmental and health benefits of shifting diets, typically away from meat toward...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Value of ecosystem-based management [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Heather M. Leslie

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-04-04

Description: Taking the pulse of an ecosystem is not quite as straightforward as taking the pulse of a person, especially when that ecosystem is the Chesapeake Bay. At 195 miles long and 3,237 square miles in area, the size and complexity of the bay’s coupled social and ecological systems has challenged...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Divergent trends of open-surface water body area in the contiguous United States from 1984 to 2016 [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Zhenhua Zou, Xiangming Xiao, Jinwei Dong, Yuanwei Qin, Russell B. Doughty, Michael A. Menarguez, Geli Zhang, Jie Wang

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-04-11

Description: The contiguous United States (CONUS), especially the West, faces challenges of increasing water stress and uncertain impacts of climate change. The historical information of surface water body distribution, variation, and multidecadal trends documented in remote-sensing images can aid in water-resource planning and management, yet is not well explored. Here, we...

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Correction for Bevan et al., Holocene fluctuations in human population demonstrate repeated links to food production and climate [Correction] (2018)

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-04-11

Description: ANTHROPOLOGY, SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE Correction for “Holocene fluctuations in human population demonstrate repeated links to food production and climate,” by Andrew Bevan, Sue Colledge, Dorian Fuller, Ralph Fyfe, Stephen Shennan, and Chris Stevens, which was first published November 20, 2017; 10.1073/pnas.1709190114 (Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 114:E10524–E10531). The authors note that...

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Geospatial analysis of near-term potential for carbon-negative bioenergy in the United States [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Ejeong Baik, Daniel L. Sanchez, Peter A. Turner, Katharine J. Mach, Christopher B. Field, Sally M. Benson

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-03-28

Description: Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) is a negative-emissions technology that may play a crucial role in climate change mitigation. BECCS relies on the capture and sequestration of carbon dioxide (CO2) following bioenergy production to remove and reliably sequester atmospheric CO2. Previous BECCS deployment assessments have largely overlooked the...

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Long-term nutrient reductions lead to the unprecedented recovery of a temperate coastal region [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Jonathan S. Lefcheck, Robert J. Orth, William C. Dennison, David J. Wilcox, Rebecca R. Murphy, Jennifer Keisman, Cassie Gurbisz, Michael Hannam, J. Brooke Landry, Kenneth A. Moore, Christopher J. Patrick, Jeremy Testa, Donald E. Weller, Richard A. Batiuk

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-04-04

Description: Humans strongly impact the dynamics of coastal systems, yet surprisingly few studies mechanistically link management of anthropogenic stressors and successful restoration of nearshore habitats over large spatial and temporal scales. Such examples are sorely needed to ensure the success of ecosystem restoration efforts worldwide. Here, we unite 30 consecutive years...

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Land use strategies to mitigate climate change in carbon dense temperate forests [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Beverly E. Law, Tara W. Hudiburg, Logan T. Berner, Jeffrey J. Kent, Polly C. Buotte, Mark E. Harmon

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-04-04

Description: Strategies to mitigate carbon dioxide emissions through forestry activities have been proposed, but ecosystem process-based integration of climate change, enhanced CO2, disturbance from fire, and management actions at regional scales are extremely limited. Here, we examine the relative merits of afforestation, reforestation, management changes, and harvest residue bioenergy use in...

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The opportunity cost of animal based diets exceeds all food losses [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Alon Shepon, Gidon Eshel, Elad Noor, Ron Milo

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-04-11

Description: Food loss is widely recognized as undermining food security and environmental sustainability. However, consumption of resource-intensive food items instead of more efficient, equally nutritious alternatives can also be considered as an effective food loss. Here we define and quantify these opportunity food losses as the food loss associated with consuming...

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Effect of environmental changes on vegetable and legume yields and nutritional quality [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Pauline F. D. Scheelbeek, Frances A. Bird, Hanna L. Tuomisto, Rosemary Green, Francesca B. Harris, Edward J. M. Joy, Zaid Chalabi, Elizabeth Allen, Andy Haines, Alan D. Dangour

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-06-27

Description: Environmental changes threaten agricultural production, food security, and health. Previous reviews suggest that environmental changes will substantially affect future yields of starchy dietary staples. To date, no comprehensive global analysis of the impacts of environmental change on (nonstaple) vegetables and legumes—important constituents of healthy diets—has been reported. We systematically searched...

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Policy distortions, farm size, and the overuse of agricultural chemicals in China [Environmental Sciences] (2018)

Yiyun Wu, Xican Xi, Xin Tang, Deming Luo, Baojing Gu, Shu Kee Lam, Peter M. Vitousek, Deli Chen

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-07-04

Description: Understanding the reasons for overuse of agricultural chemicals is critical to the sustainable development of Chinese agriculture. Using a nationally representative rural household survey from China, we found that farm size is a strong factor that affects the use intensity of agricultural chemicals across farms in China. Statistically, a 1%...

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Quantifying coal power plant responses to tighter SO2 emissions standards in China [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Valerie J. Karplus, Shuang Zhang, Douglas Almond

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-07-04

Description: We evaluate the impact of China’s new air pollution standards on sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions by comparing newly available data from Continuous Emissions Monitoring Systems (CEMS) at coal power plants with satellite measures. First, we show that following the July 2014 deadline for implementing tighter emissions standards, stack concentrations of...

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Payments for environmental services supported social capital while increasing land management [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Jennifer M. Alix–Garcia, Katharine R. E. Sims, Victor H. Orozco–Olvera, Laura E. Costica, Jorge David Fernandez Medina, Sofia Romo Monroy

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-07-04

Description: Payments for environmental services (PES) programs incentivize landowners to protect or improve natural resources. Many conservationists fear that introducing compensation for actions previously offered voluntarily will reduce social capital (the institutions, relationships, attitudes, and values that govern human interactions), yet little rigorous research has investigated this concern. We examined the...

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Past role and future outlook of the Conservation Reserve Program for supporting honey bees in the Great Plains [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Clint R. V. Otto, Haochi Zheng, Alisa L. Gallant, Rich Iovanna, Benjamin L. Carlson, Matthew D. Smart, Skip Hyberg

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-07-18

Description: Human dependence on insect pollinators continues to grow even as pollinators face global declines. The Northern Great Plains (NGP), a region often referred to as America’s last honey bee (Apis mellifera) refuge, has undergone rapid land-cover change due to cropland expansion and weakened land conservation programs. We conducted a trend...

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Vulnerability of Arctic marine mammals to vessel traffic in the increasingly ice-free Northwest Passage and Northern Sea Route [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Donna D. W. Hauser, Kristin L. Laidre, Harry L. Stern

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-07-18

Description: The fabled Northwest Passage and Northern Sea Route that were once the quests of early Western explorers are now increasingly sea ice–free, with routine vessel transits expected by midcentury. The potential impacts of this novel vessel traffic on endemic Arctic marine mammal (AMM) species are unknown despite their critical social...

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Gravity of human impacts mediates coral reef conservation gains [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Joshua E. Cinner, Eva Maire, Cindy Huchery, M. Aaron Mac; Neil, Nicholas A. J. Graham, Camilo Mora, Tim R. McClanahan, Michele L. Barnes, John N. Kittinger, Christina C. Hicks, Stephanie D’Agata, Andrew S. Hoey, Georgina G. Gurney, David A. Feary, Ivor D. Williams, Michel Kulbicki, Laurent Vigliola, Laurent Wantiez, Graham J. Edgar, Rick D. Stuart–Smith, Stuart A. Sandin, Alison Green, Marah J. Hardt, Maria Beger, Alan M. Friedlander, Shaun K. Wilson, Eran Brokovich, Andrew J. Brooks, Juan J. Cruz–Motta, David J. Booth, Pascale Chabanet, Charlotte Gough, Mark Tupper, Sebastian C. A. Ferse, U. Rashid Sumaila, Shinta Pardede, David Mouillot

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-07-04

Description: Coral reefs provide ecosystem goods and services for millions of people in the tropics, but reef conditions are declining worldwide. Effective solutions to the crisis facing coral reefs depend in part on understanding the context under which different types of conservation benefits can be maximized. Our global analysis of nearly...

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US nuclear power: The vanishing low-carbon wedge [Sustainability Science] (2018)

M. Granger Morgan, Ahmed Abdulla, Michael J. Ford, Michael Rath

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-07-11

Description: Nuclear power holds the potential to make a significant contribution to decarbonizing the US energy system. Whether it could do so in its current form is a critical question: Existing large light water reactors in the United States are under economic pressure from low natural gas prices, and some have...

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River-discharge effects on United States Atlantic and Gulf coast sea-level changes [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Christopher G. Piecuch, Klaus Bittermann, Andrew C. Kemp, Rui M. Ponte, Christopher M. Little, Simon E. Engelhart, Steven J. Lentz

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-07-25

Description: Identifying physical processes responsible for historical coastal sea-level changes is important for anticipating future impacts. Recent studies sought to understand the drivers of interannual to multidecadal sea-level changes on the United States Atlantic and Gulf coasts. Ocean dynamics, terrestrial water storage, vertical land motion, and melting of land ice were...

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Mapping an ancient city with a century of remotely sensed data [Anthropology] (2018)

David Stott, Soren Munch Kristiansen, Achim Lichtenberger, Rubina Raȷa

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-06-13

Description: The rapidly growing global population places cultural heritage at great risk, and the encroachment of modern settlement on archaeological sites means that valuable information about how past societies worked and interacted with the environment is lost. To manage and mitigate these risks, we require knowledge about what has been lost...

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Correction for Tang et al., Patterns of plant carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus concentration in relation to productivity in China’s terrestrial ecosystems [Corrections] (2018)

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-06-27

Description: ECOLOGY, SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE Correction for “Patterns of plant carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus concentration in relation to productivity in China’s terrestrial ecosystems,” by Zhiyao Tang, Wenting Xu, Guoyi Zhou, Yongfei Bai, Jiaxiang Li, Xuli Tang, Dima Chen, Qing Liu, Wenhong Ma, Gaoming Xiong, Honglin He, Nianpeng He, Yanpei Guo, Qiang Guo,...

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Iterative near-term ecological forecasting: Needs, opportunities, and challenges [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Michael C. Dietze, Andrew Fox, Lindsay M. Beck-Johnson, Julio L. Betancourt, Mevin B. Hooten, Catherine S. Jarnevich, Timothy H. Keitt, Melissa A. Kenney, Christine M. Laney, Laurel G. Larsen, Henry W. Loescher, Claire K. Lunch, Bryan C. Pijanowski, James T. Randerson, Emily K. Read, Andrew T. Tredennick, Rodrigo Vargas, Kathleen C. Weathers, Ethan P. White

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-02-14

Description: Two foundational questions about sustainability are “How are ecosystems and the services they provide going to change in the future?” and “How do human decisions affect these trajectories?” Answering these questions requires an ability to forecast ecological processes. Unfortunately, most ecological forecasts focus on centennial-scale climate responses, therefore neither meeting...

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Correction for Murari et al., Climate change and agricultural suicides in India [Correction] (2018)

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-02-14

Description: LETTER Correction for “Climate change and agricultural suicides in India,” by Kamal Kumar Murari, T. Jayaraman, and Madhura Swaminathan, which was first published December 29, 2017; 10.1073/pnas.1714747115 (Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 115:E115). The editors note that, in the first paragraph, lines 5–6, “an increase in 1 °C temperature in...

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Correction for Das, Unfounded assumptions in linking crop-damaging temperature and suicide in India [Correction] (2018)

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-02-14

Description: LETTER Correction for “Unfounded assumptions in linking crop-damaging temperature and suicide in India,” by Saudamini Das, which was first published December 29, 2017; 10.1073/pnas.1715331115 (Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 115:E116). The editors note that, in the first paragraph, line 2, “suicides during 1987–2013” should instead appear as “suicides during 1980–2013.”...

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Correction for Sanderman et al., Soil carbon debt of 12,000 years of human land use [Correction] (2018)

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-02-14

Description: SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE Correction for “Soil carbon debt of 12,000 years of human land use,” by Jonathan Sanderman, Tomislav Hengl, and Gregory J. Fiske, which was first published August 21, 2017; 10.1073/pnas.1706103114 (Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 114:9575–9580). The authors would like to note the following: “We regret that two small...

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Economic value of ecological information in ecosystem-based natural resource management depends on exploitation history [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Timothy E. Essington, James N. Sanchirico, Marissa L. Baskett

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-02-14

Description: Ecosystem approaches to natural resource management are seen as a way to provide better outcomes for ecosystems and for people, yet the nature and strength of interactions among ecosystem components is usually unknown. Here we characterize the economic benefits of ecological knowledge through a simple model of fisheries that target...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Throwing back the big ones saves a fishery from hot water [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Malin L. Pinsky

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-02-21

Description: In Lewis Carroll’s Alice in Wonderland, the Mock Turtle and the Gryphon teach Alice a dance in which everyone partners with a lobster and then throws it “as far out to sea as you can” (1). While the “porpoise” (as the Mock Turtle pronounces “purpose”) of throwing lobsters never becomes...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Climate vulnerability and resilience in the most valuable North American fishery [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Arnault Le Bris, Katherine E. Mills, Richard A. Wahle, Yong Chen, Michael A. Alexander, Andrew J. Allyn, Justin G. Schuetz, James D. Scott, Andrew J. Pershing

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-02-21

Description: Managing natural resources in an era of increasing climate impacts requires accounting for the synergistic effects of climate, ecosystem changes, and harvesting on resource productivity. Coincident with recent exceptional warming of the northwest Atlantic Ocean and removal of large predatory fish, the American lobster has become the most valuable fishery...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Effect of oil palm sustainability certification on deforestation and fire in Indonesia [Environmental Sciences] (2018)

Kimberly M. Carlson, Robert Heilmayr, Holly K. Gibbs, Praveen Noojipady, David N. Burns, Douglas C. Morton, Nathalie F. Walker, Gary D. Paoli, Claire Kremen

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-01-03

Description: Many major corporations and countries have made commitments to purchase or produce only “sustainable” palm oil, a commodity responsible for substantial tropical forest loss. Sustainability certification is the tool most used to fulfill these procurement policies, and around 20% of global palm oil production was certified by the Roundtable on...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Dietary species richness as a measure of food biodiversity and nutritional quality of diets [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Carl Lachat, Jessica E. Raneri, Katherine Walker Smith, Patrick Kolsteren, Patrick Van Damme, Kaat Verzelen, Daniela Penafiel, Wouter Vanhove, Gina Kennedy, Danny Hunter, Francis Oduor Odhiambo, Gervais Ntandou–Bouzitou, Bernard De Baets, Disna Ratnasekera, Hoang The Ky, Roseline Remans, Celine Termote

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-01-03

Description: Biodiversity is key for human and environmental health. Available dietary and ecological indicators are not designed to assess the intricate relationship between food biodiversity and diet quality. We applied biodiversity indicators to dietary intake data from and assessed associations with diet quality of women and young children. Data from 24-hour...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Predicting tipping points in complex environmental systems [Ecology] (2018)

John C. Moore

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-01-25

Description: Ecologists have long recognized that ecosystems can exist and function in one state within predictable bounds for extended periods of time and then abruptly shift to an alternate state (1–5). Desertification of grasslands, shrub expansion in the Arctic, the eutrophication of lakes, ocean acidification, the formation of marine dead zones,...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Predicting tipping points in mutualistic networks through dimension reduction [Ecology] (2018)

Junjie Jiang, Zi-Gang Huang, Thomas P. Seager, Wei Lin, Celso Grebogi, Alan Hastings, Ying-Cheng Lai

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-01-25

Description: Complex networked systems ranging from ecosystems and the climate to economic, social, and infrastructure systems can exhibit a tipping point (a “point of no return”) at which a total collapse of the system occurs. To understand the dynamical mechanism of a tipping point and to predict its occurrence as a...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Correction to Supporting Information for Carlson et al., Effect of oil palm sustainability certification on deforestation and fire in Indonesia [SI Correction] (2018)

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-01-25

Description: SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE, ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Correction to Supporting Information for “Effect of oil palm sustainability certification on deforestation and fire in Indonesia,” by Kimberly M. Carlson, Robert Heilmayr, Holly K. Gibbs, Praveen Noojipady, David N. Burns, Douglas C. Morton, Nathalie F. Walker, Gary D. Paoli, and Claire Kremen, which was first...

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New pests for old as GMOs bring on substitute pests [Agricultural Sciences] (2018)

Robert A. Cheke

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-08-15

Description: In agroecological systems, one thing leads to another, often in unexpected ways. In the 1950s a single pesticide application per season was sufficient to control the jassid bug Empoasca lybica, the only major cotton pest in the Gezira of Sudan at the time (1). However, the spraying killed the natural...

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Conservation biological control: Improving the science base [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Josef Settele, William H. Settle

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-08-15

Description: Based on the notion that monocultures and highly simplified farmscapes are associated with pest outbreaks (1), there has been an increased focus on “conservation biological control” [also called “ecological engineering” (2)] within the last decades to minimize economic losses to pests (3, 4), and at the same time avoid the...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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A framework to diagnose factors influencing proenvironmental behaviors in water-sensitive urban design [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Jacki Schirmer, Fiona Dyer

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-08-15

Description: The ongoing challenge of maintaining and improving the quality of water that leaves urban stormwater systems is often addressed using technical rather than social solutions. The need for investment in often expensive water infrastructure can be reduced through better investing in promoting human behaviors that protect water quality as part...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Multidecadal, county-level analysis of the effects of land use, Bt cotton, and weather on cotton pests in China [Agricultural Sciences] (2018)

Wei Zhang, Yanhui Lu, Wopke van der Werf, Jikun Huang, Feng Wu, Ke Zhou, Xiangzheng Deng, Yuying Jiang, Kongming Wu, Mark W. Rosegrant

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-08-15

Description: Long-term changes in land use, climate, and agricultural technologies may affect pest severity and management. The influences of these major drivers can only be identified by analyzing long-term data. This study examines panel data on land use, adoption of genetically modified Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) insect-resistant cotton, weather, pest severity, and...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Crop pests and predators exhibit inconsistent responses to surrounding landscape composition [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Daniel S. Karp, Rebecca Chaplin–Kramer, Timothy D. Meehan, Emily A. Martin, Fabrice De; Clerck, Heather Grab, Claudio Gratton, Lauren Hunt, Ashley E. Larsen, Aleȷandra Martinez–Salinas, Megan E. O’Rourke, Adrien Rusch, Katȷa Poveda, Mattias Jonsson, Jay A. Rosenheim, Nancy A. Schellhorn, Teȷa Tscharntke, Stephen D. Wratten, Wei Zhang, Aaron L. Iverson, Lynn S. Adler, Matthias Albrecht, Audrey Alignier, Gina M. Angelella, Muhammad Zubair Anȷum, Jacques Avelino, Peter Batary, Johannes M. Baveco, Felix J. J. A. Bianchi, Klaus Birkhofer, Eric W. Bohnenblust, Riccardo Bommarco, Michael J. Brewer, Berta Caballero–Lopez, Yves Carriere, Luisa G. Carvalheiro, Luis Cayuela, Mary Centrella, Aleksandar Ćetković, Dominic Charles Henri, Ariane Chabert, Aleȷandro C. Costamagna, Aldo De la Mora, Joop de Kraker, Nicolas Desneux, Eva Diehl, Tim Diekotter, Carsten F. Dormann, James O. Eckberg, Martin H. Entling, Daniela Fiedler, Pierre Franck, F. J. Frank van Veen, Thomas Frank, Vesna Gagic, Michael P. D. Garratt, Awraris Getachew, David J. Gonthier, Peter B. Goodell, Ignazio Graziosi, Russell L. Groves, Geoff M. Gurr, Zachary Haȷian–Forooshani, George E. Heimpel, John D. Herrmann, Anders S. Huseth, Diego J. Inclan, Adam J. Ingrao, Phirun Iv, Katȷa Jacot, Gregg A. Johnson, Laura Jones, Marina Kaiser, Joe M. Kaser, Tamar Keasar, Tania N. Kim, Miriam Kishinevsky, Douglas A. Landis, Blas Lavandero, Claire Lavigne, Anne Le Ralec, Debissa Lemessa, Deborah K. Letourneau, Heidi Liere, Yanhui Lu, Yael Lubin, Tim Luttermoser, Bea Maas, Kevi Mace, Filipe Madeira, Viktoria Mader, Anne Marie Cortesero, Lorenzo Marini, Eliana Martinez, Holly M. Martinson, Philippe Menozzi, Matthew G. E. Mitchell, Tadashi Miyashita, Gonzalo A. R. Molina, Marco A. Molina–Montenegro, Matthew E. O’Neal, Itai Opatovsky, Sebaastian Ortiz–Martinez, Michael Nash, Orȷan Ostman, Annie Ouin, Damie Pak, Daniel Paredes, Soroush Parsa, Hazel Parry, Ricardo Perez–Alvarez, David J. Perović, Julie A. Peterson, Sandrine Petit, Stacy M. Philpott, Manuel Plantegenest, Milan Plećaš, Therese Pluess, Xavier Pons, Simon G. Potts, Richard F. Pywell, David W. Ragsdale, Tatyana A. Rand, Lucie Raymond, Benoit Ricci, Chris Sargent, Jean–Pierre Sarthou, Julia Saulais, Jessica Schackermann, Nick P. Schmidt, Gudrun Schneider, Christof Schuepp, Frances S. Sivakoff, Henrik G. Smith, Kaitlin Stack Whitney, Sonȷa Stutz, Zsofia Szendrei, Mayura B. Takada, Hisatomo Taki, Giovanni Tamburini, Linda J. Thomson, Yann Tricault, Noelline Tsafack, Matthias Tschumi, Muriel Valantin–Morison, Mai Van Trinh, Wopke van der Werf, Kerri T. Vierling, Ben P. Werling, Jennifer B. Wickens, Victoria J. Wickens, Ben A. Woodcock, Kris Wyckhuys, Haiȷun Xiao, Mika Yasuda, Akira Yoshioka, Yi Zou

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-08-15

Description: The idea that noncrop habitat enhances pest control and represents a win–win opportunity to conserve biodiversity and bolster yields has emerged as an agroecological paradigm. However, while noncrop habitat in landscapes surrounding farms sometimes benefits pest predators, natural enemy responses remain heterogeneous across studies and effects on pests are inconclusive....

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General methodology for inferring failure-spreading dynamics in networks [Engineering] (2018)

Xiangyang Guan, Cynthia Chen

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-08-29

Description: A generic modeling framework to infer the failure-spreading process based on failure times of individual nodes is proposed and tested in four simulation studies: one for cascading failures in interdependent power and transportation networks, one for influenza epidemics, one benchmark test case for congestion cascade in a transportation network, and...

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Linking economic growth pathways and environmental sustainability by understanding development as alternate social-ecological regimes [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Graeme S. Cumming, Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-09-19

Description: Scientists understand how global ecological degradation is occurring but not why it seems to be so difficult to reverse. We used national-level data and a mathematical model to provide an empirical test of the hypothesis that national economies display two distinct economic regimes that are maintained by self-reinforcing feedbacks between...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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High nitrous oxide fluxes from rice indicate the need to manage water for both long- and short-term climate impacts [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Kritee Kritee, Drishya Nair, Daniel Zavala-Araiza, Jeremy Proville, Joseph Rudek, Tapan K. Adhya, Terrance Loecke, Tashina Esteves, Shalini Balireddygari, Obulapathi Dava, Karthik Ram, Abhilash S. R., Murugan Madasamy, Ramakrishna V. Dokka, Daniel Anandaraj, D. Athiyaman, Malla Reddy, Richie Ahuja, Steven P. Hamburg

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-09-26

Description: Global rice cultivation is estimated to account for 2.5% of current anthropogenic warming because of emissions of methane (CH4), a short-lived greenhouse gas. This estimate assumes a widespread prevalence of continuous flooding of most rice fields and hence does not include emissions of nitrous oxide (N2O), a long-lived greenhouse gas....

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Group size in social-ecological systems [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Marco Casari, Claudio Tagliapietra

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-03-14

Description: Cooperation becomes more difficult as a group becomes larger, but it is unclear where it will break down. Here, we study group size within well-functioning social-ecological systems. We consider centuries-old evidence from hundreds of communities in the Alps that harvested common property resources. Results show that the average group size...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Companies’ contribution to sustainability through global supply chains [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Tannis Thorlakson, Joann F. de Zegher, Eric F. Lambin

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-02-28

Description: Global supply chains play a critical role in many of the most pressing environmental stresses and social struggles identified by the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Responding to calls from the global community, companies are adopting a variety of voluntary practices to improve the environmental and/or social management of...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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National trends in drinking water quality violations [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Maura Allaire, Haowei Wu, Upmanu Lall

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-02-28

Description: Ensuring safe water supply for communities across the United States is a growing challenge in the face of aging infrastructure, impaired source water, and strained community finances. In the aftermath of the Flint lead crisis, there is an urgent need to assess the current state of US drinking water. However,...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Land-use and land-cover change shape the sustainability and impacts of protected areas [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Anteneh T. Tesfaw, Alexander Pfaff, Rachel E. Golden Kroner, Siyu Qin, Rodrigo Medeiros, Michael B. Mascia

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-02-28

Description: Protected areas (PAs) remain the dominant policy to protect biodiversity and ecosystem services but have been shown to have limited impact when development interests force them to locations with lower deforestation pressure. Far less known is that such interests also cause widespread tempering, reduction, or removal of protection [i.e., PA...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Crop intensification, land use, and on-farm energy-use efficiency during the worldwide spread of the green revolution [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Pedro Pellegrini, Roberto J. Fernandez

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-03-07

Description: We analyzed crop production, physical inputs, and land use at the country level to assess technological changes behind the threefold increase in global crop production from 1961 to 2014. We translated machinery, fuel, and fertilizer to embedded energy units that, when summed up, provided a measure of agricultural intensification (human...

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Correction for Larsen and Noack, Identifying the landscape drivers of agricultural insecticide use leveraging evidence from 100,000 fields [Correction] (2018)

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-01-03

Description: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES, SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE Correction for “Identifying the landscape drivers of agricultural insecticide use leveraging evidence from 100,000 fields,” by Ashley E. Larsen and Frederik Noack, which was first published May 8, 2017; 10.1073/pnas.1620674114 (Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 114:5473–5478). The authors note that on page 5477, right column, second...

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Preservation of the genetic diversity of a local common carp in the agricultural heritage rice-fish system [Sustainability Science] (2018)

Weizheng Ren, Liangliang Hu, Liang Guo, Jian Zhang, Lu Tang, Entao Zhang, Jiaen Zhang, Shiming Luo, Jianjun Tang, Xin Chen

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2018-01-17

Description: We examined how traditional farmers preserve the genetic diversity of a local common carp (Cyprinus carpio), which is locally referred to as “paddy field carp” (PF-carp), in a “globally important agricultural heritage system” (GIAHS), i.e., the 1,200-y-old rice–fish coculture system in Zhejiang Province, China. Our molecular and morphological analysis showed...

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Determining climate effects on US total agricultural productivity [Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences] (2017)

Xin-Zhong Liang, You Wu, Robert G. Chambers, Daniel L. Schmoldt, Wei Gao, Chaoshun Liu, Yan-An Liu, Chao Sun, Jennifer A. Kennedy

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-03-22

Description: The sensitivity of agricultural productivity to climate has not been sufficiently quantified. The total factor productivity (TFP) of the US agricultural economy has grown continuously for over half a century, with most of the growth typically attributed to technical change. Many studies have examined the effects of local climate on...

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Emerging role of wetland methane emissions in driving 21st century climate change [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Zhen Zhang, Niklaus E. Zimmermann, Andrea Stenke, Xin Li, Elke L. Hodson, Gaofeng Zhu, Chunlin Huang, Benjamin Poulter

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-09-06

Description: Wetland methane (CH4) emissions are the largest natural source in the global CH4 budget, contributing to roughly one third of total natural and anthropogenic emissions. As the second most important anthropogenic greenhouse gas in the atmosphere after CO2, CH4 is strongly associated with climate feedbacks. However, due to the paucity...

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Soil carbon debt of 12,000 years of human land use [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Jonathan Sanderman, Tomislav Hengl, Gregory J. Fiske

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-09-06

Description: Human appropriation of land for agriculture has greatly altered the terrestrial carbon balance, creating a large but uncertain carbon debt in soils. Estimating the size and spatial distribution of soil organic carbon (SOC) loss due to land use and land cover change has been difficult but is a critical step...

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Individuals with greater science literacy and education have more polarized beliefs on controversial science topics [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Caitlin Drummond, Baruch Fischhoff

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-09-06

Description: Although Americans generally hold science in high regard and respect its findings, for some contested issues, such as the existence of anthropogenic climate change, public opinion is polarized along religious and political lines. We ask whether individuals with more general education and greater science knowledge, measured in terms of science...

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Compounding effects of sea level rise and fluvial flooding [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Hamed R. Moftakhari, Gianfausto Salvadori, Amir Agha; Kouchak, Brett F. Sanders, Richard A. Matthew

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-09-13

Description: Sea level rise (SLR), a well-documented and urgent aspect of anthropogenic global warming, threatens population and assets located in low-lying coastal regions all around the world. Common flood hazard assessment practices typically account for one driver at a time (e.g., either fluvial flooding only or ocean flooding only), whereas coastal...

Keywords: Sustainability Science

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Air-quality implications of widespread adoption of cool roofs on ozone and particulate matter in southern California [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Scott A. Epstein, Sang-Mi Lee, Aaron S. Katzenstein, Marc Carreras-Sospedra, Xinqiu Zhang, Salvatore C. Farina, Pouya Vahmani, Philip M. Fine, George Ban-Weiss

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-08-23

Description: The installation of roofing materials with increased solar reflectance (i.e., “cool roofs”) can mitigate the urban heat island effect and reduce energy use. In addition, meteorological changes, along with the possibility of enhanced UV reflection from these surfaces, can have complex impacts on ozone and PM2.5 concentrations. We aim to...

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Impact of catch shares on diversification of fishers’ income and risk [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Daniel S. Holland, Cameron Speir, Juan Agar, Scott Crosson, Geret De; Piper, Stephen Kasperski, Andrew W. Kitts, Larry Perruso

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-08-30

Description: Many fishers diversify their income by participating in multiple fisheries, which has been shown to significantly reduce year-to-year variation in income. The ability of fishers to diversify has become increasingly constrained in the last few decades, and catch share programs could further reduce diversification as a result of consolidation. This...

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Ensemble modeling informs hypoxia management in the northern Gulf of Mexico [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Donald Scavia, Isabella Bertani, Daniel R. Obenour, R. Eugene Turner, David R. Forrest, Alexey Katin

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-08-16

Description: A large region of low-dissolved-oxygen bottom waters (hypoxia) forms nearly every summer in the northern Gulf of Mexico because of nutrient inputs from the Mississippi River Basin and water column stratification. Policymakers developed goals to reduce the area of hypoxic extent because of its ecological, economic, and commercial fisheries impacts....

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Emergence of a global science-business initiative for ocean stewardship [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Henrik Osterblom, Jean–Baptiste Jouffray, Carl Folke, Johan Rockstrom

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-08-23

Description: The ocean represents a fundamental source of micronutrients and protein for a growing world population. Seafood is a highly traded and sought after commodity on international markets, and is critically dependent on healthy marine ecosystems. A global trend of wild stocks being overfished and in decline, as well as multiple...

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Disaggregating sorghum yield reductions under warming scenarios exposes narrow genetic diversity in US breeding programs [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Jesse Tack, Jane Lingenfelser, S. V. Krishna Jagadish

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-08-30

Description: Historical adaptation of sorghum production to arid and semiarid conditions has provided promise regarding its sustained productivity under future warming scenarios. Using Kansas field-trial sorghum data collected from 1985 to 2014 and spanning 408 hybrid cultivars, we show that sorghum productivity under increasing warming scenarios breaks down. Through extensive regression...

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Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Chuang Zhao, Bing Liu, Shilong Piao, Xuhui Wang, David B. Lobell, Yao Huang, Mengtian Huang, Yitong Yao, Simona Bassu, Philippe Ciais, Jean–Louis Durand, Joshua Elliott, Frank Ewert, Ivan A. Janssens, Tao Li, Erda Lin, Qiang Liu, Pierre Martre, Christoph Muller, Shushi Peng, Josep Penuelas, Alex C. Ruane, Daniel Wallach, Tao Wang, Donghai Wu, Zhuo Liu, Yan Zhu, Zaichun Zhu, Senthold Asseng

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-08-30

Description: Wheat, rice, maize, and soybean provide two-thirds of human caloric intake. Assessing the impact of global temperature increase on production of these crops is therefore critical to maintaining global food supply, but different studies have yielded different results. Here, we investigated the impacts of temperature on yields of the four...

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US cities can manage national hydrology and biodiversity using local infrastructure policy [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Ryan A. McManamay, Sujithkumar Surendran Nair, Christopher R. De; Rolph, Benjamin L. Ruddell, April M. Morton, Robert N. Stewart, Matthew J. Troia, Liem Tran, Hyun Kim, Budhendra L. Bhaduri

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-09-06

Description: Cities are concentrations of sociopolitical power and prime architects of land transformation, while also serving as consumption hubs of “hard” water and energy infrastructures. These infrastructures extend well outside metropolitan boundaries and impact distal river ecosystems. We used a comprehensive model to quantify the roles of anthropogenic stressors on hydrologic...

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Subnational mobility and consumption-based environmental accounting of US corn in animal protein and ethanol supply chains [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Timothy M. Smith, Andrew L. Goodkind, Taegon Kim, Rylie E. O. Pelton, Kyo Suh, Jennifer Schmitt

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-09-20

Description: Corn production, and its associated inputs, is a relatively large source of greenhouse gas emissions and uses significant amounts of water and land, thus contributing to climate change, fossil fuel depletion, local air pollutants, and local water scarcity. As large consumers of this corn, corporations in the ethanol and animal...

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Redefining community based on place attachment in a connected world [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Georgina G. Gurney, Jessica Blythe, Helen Adams, W. Neil Adger, Matthew Curnock, Lucy Faulkner, Thomas James, Nadine A. Marshall

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-09-20

Description: The concept of community is often used in environmental policy to foster environmental stewardship and public participation, crucial prerequisites of effective management. However, prevailing conceptualizations of community based on residential location or resource use are limited with respect to their utility as surrogates for communities of shared environment-related interests, and...

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Empirical prediction intervals improve energy forecasting [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Lynn H. Kaack, Jay Apt, M. Granger Morgan, Patrick McSharry

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-08-16

Description: Hundreds of organizations and analysts use energy projections, such as those contained in the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)’s Annual Energy Outlook (AEO), for investment and policy decisions. Retrospective analyses of past AEO projections have shown that observed values can differ from the projection by several hundred percent, and thus...

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Correction for Sokolow et al., Reduced transmission of human schistosomiasis after restoration of a native river prawn that preys on the snail intermediate host [Correction] (2017)

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-08-16

Description: ECOLOGY, SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE Correction for “Reduced transmission of human schistosomiasis after restoration of a native river prawn that preys on the snail intermediate host,” by Susanne H. Sokolow, Elizabeth Huttinger, Nicolas Jouanard, Michael H. Hsieh, Kevin D. Lafferty, Armand M. Kuris, Gilles Riveau, Simon Senghor, Cheikh Thiam, Alassane N’Diaye, Djibril...

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Crop-damaging temperatures increase suicide rates in India [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Tamma A. Carleton

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-08-16

Description: More than three quarters of the world’s suicides occur in developing countries, yet little is known about the drivers of suicidal behavior in poor populations. I study India, where one fifth of global suicides occur and suicide rates have doubled since 1980. Using nationally comprehensive panel data over 47 y,...

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Landowner behavior can determine the success of conservation strategies for ecosystem migration under sea-level rise [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Christopher R. Field, Ashley A. Dayer, Chris S. Elphick

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-08-23

Description: The human aspects of conservation are often overlooked but will be critical for identifying strategies for biological conservation in the face of climate change. We surveyed the behavioral intentions of coastal landowners with respect to various conservation strategies aimed at facilitating ecosystem migration for tidal marshes. We found that several...

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Global socioeconomic material stocks rise 23-fold over the 20th century and require half of annual resource use [Sustainability Science] (2017)

Fridolin Krausmann, Dominik Wiedenhofer, Christian Lauk, Willi Haas, Hiroki Tanikawa, Tomer Fishman, Alessio Miatto, Heinz Schandl, Helmut Haberl

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-02-23

Description: Human-made material stocks accumulating in buildings, infrastructure, and machinery play a crucial but underappreciated role in shaping the use of material and energy resources. Building, maintaining, and in particular operating in-use stocks of materials require raw materials and energy. Material stocks create long-term path-dependencies because of their longevity. Fostering a...

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Marine reserves can mitigate and promote adaptation to climate change [Environmental Sciences] (2017)

Callum M. Roberts, Bethan C. O’Leary, Douglas J. McCauley, Philippe Maurice Cury, Carlos M. Duarte, Jane Lubchenco, Daniel Pauly, Andrea Saenz–Arroyo, Ussif Rashid Sumaila, Rod W. Wilson, Boris Worm, Juan Carlos Castilla

National Academy of Sciences

In: PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

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Publication Date: 2017-06-14

Description: Strong decreases in greenhouse gas emissions are required to meet the reduction trajectory resolved within the 2015 Paris Agreement. However, even these decreases will not avert serious stress and damage to life on Earth, and additional steps are needed to boost the resilience of ecosystems, safeguard their wildlife, and protect...

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